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Coronavirus and You - Page 347

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4769 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-06 09:45:21
February 06 2021 09:44 GMT
#6921
Since 12 February: Opening hotels, cinemas, theaters, philharmonies and museums (for 50% capacity) and also sking resorts and open sky pools. The thing is people are both fed up with various restrictions and government incompatence so more and more people are ignoring precuations. I see the same kind of behavior/mindset i saw at the end of summer which lead to first high wave in Poland.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18473 Posts
February 06 2021 09:48 GMT
#6922
On February 06 2021 18:15 Geisterkarle wrote:
What exactly is Poland opening up again? Maybe it isn't that bad...

Maybe in combination with that. There is/was much talk about this "Britain-mutant" and that it is much more infectious.
And I scrolled through the numbers of most European countries. And basically _all_ numbers are going down or at least it is stagnating. Finland is going up, but we are talking 400 persons. And probably the most infections are in "moving sideways" France.or Italy. The rest? And espacially GB? Downwards it goes!
So for all the "hype" around this "new" virus it is doing exactly nothing ... aside maybe inducing "fear" in some people...
http://www.dkriesel.com/corona

Spain, France, Netherlands, etc. are in lockdown that is as strict or stricter than the March 2020 lockdown, so the numbers had better be improving...
Furikawari
Profile Joined February 2014
France2522 Posts
February 06 2021 10:08 GMT
#6923
It's not lockdown in France yet, it's a curfew + some restrictions on big stores area. I don't know what our government is expecteing exactly...
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22669 Posts
February 06 2021 10:30 GMT
#6924
On February 06 2021 18:15 Geisterkarle wrote:
What exactly is Poland opening up again? Maybe it isn't that bad...

Maybe in combination with that. There is/was much talk about this "Britain-mutant" and that it is much more infectious.
And I scrolled through the numbers of most European countries. And basically _all_ numbers are going down or at least it is stagnating. Finland is going up, but we are talking 400 persons. And probably the most infections are in "moving sideways" France.or Italy. The rest? And espacially GB? Downwards it goes!
So for all the "hype" around this "new" virus it is doing exactly nothing ... aside maybe inducing "fear" in some people...
http://www.dkriesel.com/corona
The Netherlands is under the strictest lockdown yet, including a curfew and while numbers are going down the UK variant is becoming a bigger and bigger portion of new cases.

While the total reproductive rate is below 1 (obviously since numbers are going down) I believe the Uk variant is actually still above 1 and there is not much room for more stringent measures left without locking people into their own homes.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
February 06 2021 11:33 GMT
#6925
On February 06 2021 18:15 Geisterkarle wrote:
What exactly is Poland opening up again? Maybe it isn't that bad...

Maybe in combination with that. There is/was much talk about this "Britain-mutant" and that it is much more infectious.
And I scrolled through the numbers of most European countries. And basically _all_ numbers are going down or at least it is stagnating. Finland is going up, but we are talking 400 persons. And probably the most infections are in "moving sideways" France.or Italy. The rest? And espacially GB? Downwards it goes!
So for all the "hype" around this "new" virus it is doing exactly nothing ... aside maybe inducing "fear" in some people...
http://www.dkriesel.com/corona

Of course they’re going to go down, or at least flatten we have basically no life whatsoever over here and schools aren’t going to reopen until March at the absolute earliest. Measures brought in to deal with this new variant. Plus the U.K. has managed to at least manage the vaccination process well after incompetence in every other area. Not nearly enough to get to anything approaching herd immunity, but I’d assume enough to at least help in flattening things to at least some degree.

Nothing but non-essential retail is open, and has been the case for a fair while now. The weather has been awful so people haven’t been gathering in groups outdoors in any way like the summer.

It’s a vicious cycle where the effects of measures intended to stop the effects of some ‘hype’ are used as evidence to say the threat was overblown.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
February 06 2021 11:36 GMT
#6926
On February 06 2021 18:44 Silvanel wrote:
Since 12 February: Opening hotels, cinemas, theaters, philharmonies and museums (for 50% capacity) and also sking resorts and open sky pools. The thing is people are both fed up with various restrictions and government incompatence so more and more people are ignoring precuations. I see the same kind of behavior/mindset i saw at the end of summer which lead to first high wave in Poland.

I would say that’s, quite a bad idea?

I don’t think these measures are exactly popular anywhere, us Brits are begrudgingly getting on board for the most part. Is dissatisfaction more pronounced in Poland or something and would you have theories as to why that might be?

From recollection Poles were considerably less enthusiastic about getting vaccinated even compared to many further West in Europe.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
2016 Posts
February 06 2021 12:15 GMT
#6927
On February 06 2021 18:48 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 06 2021 18:15 Geisterkarle wrote:
What exactly is Poland opening up again? Maybe it isn't that bad...

Maybe in combination with that. There is/was much talk about this "Britain-mutant" and that it is much more infectious.
And I scrolled through the numbers of most European countries. And basically _all_ numbers are going down or at least it is stagnating. Finland is going up, but we are talking 400 persons. And probably the most infections are in "moving sideways" France.or Italy. The rest? And espacially GB? Downwards it goes!
So for all the "hype" around this "new" virus it is doing exactly nothing ... aside maybe inducing "fear" in some people...
http://www.dkriesel.com/corona

Spain, France, Netherlands, etc. are in lockdown that is as strict or stricter than the March 2020 lockdown, so the numbers had better be improving...


I don't know where you live, but the lockdown here is nowhere near as hard as it was in March last year.
-Schools are open
-All stores are open with limited hours
-Businesses are open, but many are working from home.
-You can go outside
-You can travel if you have a good reason

On the other hand, like in 2020:
-You can't gather with people you don't live with
-All cafes and restaurants are closed, except some takeaway.
-You can't travel out of town for visits, sight seeing etc.

The only thing stricter are really the mask mandates.

As a sum, it seems to be working well enough to have switched the situation in positive direction, but I expect a very slow decline. They are going out of their way to NOT do a similar lockdown to last year, which I appreciate after all. It was 3 months of hell.

The restriction there is most pressure to lift is reopening bars and restaurants, as they are so many employed in the sector. Unfortunately, it is probably also the most effective measure in the current situation, along with limiting other indoor gatherings.
Buff the siegetank
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4769 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-06 12:30:31
February 06 2021 12:28 GMT
#6928
Well. Current polish government was already extremly unpopular in big cities even before pandemy. And when covid came it exposed both their corruption and incompetence. Their COVID related policies seem like made on a whim, they change a lot and without warning or reason, some of the moves made no sense at all.

Also big thing is they avoided declaring state of emergency at all cost because it would mean that chairwomen of our supreme court would have her term extended (and they hated her) and without state of emergency many of their polices where illegal. Now courts are killing cases en masse (from first lockdown).

Constant changing of policies made people very upset, many buisnesses are suffering and they (restaurants and fitness/sports related buisnesses are going on direct collision course with gov).

Add to that blantant corruption and incompetance, constant beating the drums of war and using abortion and LGBT issues as distraction.

Plus people themselves are idiots and are buying into vaccine/covid related conspiracy theories. I regret adding some of my work collegues on FB because now i know what bullshit they belive.
Pathetic Greta hater.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5888 Posts
February 06 2021 13:11 GMT
#6929
On February 06 2021 20:36 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 06 2021 18:44 Silvanel wrote:
Since 12 February: Opening hotels, cinemas, theaters, philharmonies and museums (for 50% capacity) and also sking resorts and open sky pools. The thing is people are both fed up with various restrictions and government incompatence so more and more people are ignoring precuations. I see the same kind of behavior/mindset i saw at the end of summer which lead to first high wave in Poland.

I would say that’s, quite a bad idea?

I don’t think these measures are exactly popular anywhere, us Brits are begrudgingly getting on board for the most part. Is dissatisfaction more pronounced in Poland or something and would you have theories as to why that might be?

From recollection Poles were considerably less enthusiastic about getting vaccinated even compared to many further West in Europe.

Poland did not have a furlough scheme to support the people who can't work due to the restrictions, only one-time payments, IIRC. You can imagine how people feel about the lockdowns.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
February 06 2021 17:22 GMT
#6930
Cheers for the additional context folks
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18473 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-06 18:09:04
February 06 2021 18:07 GMT
#6931
On February 06 2021 21:15 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 06 2021 18:48 Acrofales wrote:
On February 06 2021 18:15 Geisterkarle wrote:
What exactly is Poland opening up again? Maybe it isn't that bad...

Maybe in combination with that. There is/was much talk about this "Britain-mutant" and that it is much more infectious.
And I scrolled through the numbers of most European countries. And basically _all_ numbers are going down or at least it is stagnating. Finland is going up, but we are talking 400 persons. And probably the most infections are in "moving sideways" France.or Italy. The rest? And espacially GB? Downwards it goes!
So for all the "hype" around this "new" virus it is doing exactly nothing ... aside maybe inducing "fear" in some people...
http://www.dkriesel.com/corona

Spain, France, Netherlands, etc. are in lockdown that is as strict or stricter than the March 2020 lockdown, so the numbers had better be improving...


I don't know where you live, but the lockdown here is nowhere near as hard as it was in March last year.
-Schools are open
-All stores are open with limited hours
-Businesses are open, but many are working from home.
-You can go outside
-You can travel if you have a good reason

On the other hand, like in 2020:
-You can't gather with people you don't live with
-All cafes and restaurants are closed, except some takeaway.
-You can't travel out of town for visits, sight seeing etc.

The only thing stricter are really the mask mandates.

As a sum, it seems to be working well enough to have switched the situation in positive direction, but I expect a very slow decline. They are going out of their way to NOT do a similar lockdown to last year, which I appreciate after all. It was 3 months of hell.

The restriction there is most pressure to lift is reopening bars and restaurants, as they are so many employed in the sector. Unfortunately, it is probably also the most effective measure in the current situation, along with limiting other indoor gatherings.

Catalonia. All the shops are closed except for essentials (well, non-essential shops with a surface area smaller than 400 sqm are allowed to open Monday - Thursday). You can't travel outside your municipality unless you have a good reason. Restaurants are allowed to open for 2 hours for lunch with reduced capacity, and not at all for dinner. There's a curfew from 2200-0600

In practice for me it's identical to the March lockdown.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
2016 Posts
February 07 2021 17:16 GMT
#6932
In practice for me it's identical to the March lockdown.


That is interesting, for me there are a lot of very important differences.
-I go to work almost normally, but with a lot of strict precautions.
-I can shop anything I want in stores with slightly reduced hours.
-I can go outside.
-Schools and kindergartens are open.

The nighttime curfew does not bother me too much. Real normal life feels so distant I barely remember how it was!
Buff the siegetank
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-08 02:01:38
February 08 2021 02:01 GMT
#6933
The South Africa variant looks like trouble. AstraZeneca is apparently a bust in protecting against it. Not clear how all the other ones will play out. Source
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
2016 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-02-08 08:29:44
February 08 2021 08:27 GMT
#6934
On February 08 2021 11:01 LegalLord wrote:
The South Africa variant looks like trouble. AstraZeneca is apparently a bust in protecting against it. Not clear how all the other ones will play out. Source


No, it isn't a bust. Even if it is not working against mild illness, a "turn covid-19 into a a mild normal flu" vaccine sounds pretty great to me! The severe cases are what we are after.

Pfizer seems do do better against that variant.
Buff the siegetank
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7429 Posts
February 08 2021 09:12 GMT
#6935
Curious to see if numbers will take a dive in two weeks cause of super bowl. First time watching it alone and of course falling asleep ^^
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Amui
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada10567 Posts
February 08 2021 10:44 GMT
#6936
On February 08 2021 17:27 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 08 2021 11:01 LegalLord wrote:
The South Africa variant looks like trouble. AstraZeneca is apparently a bust in protecting against it. Not clear how all the other ones will play out. Source


No, it isn't a bust. Even if it is not working against mild illness, a "turn covid-19 into a a mild normal flu" vaccine sounds pretty great to me! The severe cases are what we are after.

Pfizer seems do do better against that variant.

It's absolutely a bust. 10% is basically useless for preventing spread of the SA strain. SA also apparently resistant to antibodies granted from already having covid, so that's where a lot of the reinfections have come from.

SA strain could be one mutation away from making even Pfizer/Moderna near useless, a which point we're back at square one for vaccinations.

Making it a less severe disease does absolutely nothing to prevent spread, and in all honesty probably makes it more likely to spread. You either kill it entirely, or else it's going to be another settlers in North America situation again, where people with the astra vaccine are unwitting carriers of endemic strains of Covid.

You can still inject them with the vaccine for now, but those people will need a follow-up with another vaccine that actually works.
Porouscloud - NA LoL
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
February 08 2021 11:44 GMT
#6937
Since when do the other vaccines officially prevent the spread?
passive quaranstream fan
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
February 08 2021 11:51 GMT
#6938
On February 08 2021 20:44 Artisreal wrote:
Since when do the other vaccines officially prevent the spread?


What do you mean by this? When a vaccine officially claims 70% efficacy aren't they claiming they prevent the spread 70% of the time?
Bora Pain minha porra!
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
February 08 2021 12:06 GMT
#6939
No, they are preventing severe cases.
Every official information I've heard here in Germany states that we don't know if people are still infectious.

As for example this end of 2020 study financed by biotech / Pfizer states as an unknown whether the transmissions is prevented.
passive quaranstream fan
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2397 Posts
February 08 2021 12:58 GMT
#6940
On February 08 2021 11:01 LegalLord wrote:
The South Africa variant looks like trouble. AstraZeneca is apparently a bust in protecting against it. Not clear how all the other ones will play out. Source

I'm not sure why the world isn't talking about directing 50M Pfizer vaccines to South Africa immediately to try to nuke the new variant into the ground. This seems to me to be the kind of thing the WHO and COVAX and those types of people should be doing. Maybe that variant has already spread enough that containing it in South Africa would be pointless.

The good news is that cases in South Africa have plummeted from a peak of 20k in early January to an average of 3k today.
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