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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2814

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 31 2020 15:24 GMT
#56261
On October 31 2020 13:50 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.





They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

Part of journalism is ascertaining if a story is credible enough to be published, it’s not just throwing anything out there as long as you name your sources.

If nothing else because the impact of a scoop in the public consciousness tends not to be equally counteracted by a retraction. An odd quirk of human nature, but a pertinent one nonetheless. One that should be factored in to what one puts out there.

You won’t have a way to report on the story (Giuliani has a laptop hard drive, there are pictures with the presidential candidates son and a crack pipe, there are emails) and come to a final decision on veracity prior to publication. The paper asks for comment, does its best in first pass to find corroboration, and publishes to bring more out.

This is in essence dictating to the publication what is credible enough. We’re in a post-pee-tape dossier world. You no longer have weight behind you to dictate what, to the New York Post, is credible enough to publish. And I already stated what follow up political actions meant it gained authority in retrospect (to the sound of crickets, unsurprisingly). The media and social media then turned the Streisand effect up to 11.

I trust the viewers, yes the much maligned American people, to read the truthful account of the sourcing and decide what level of doubt to apply to the actors in it. And I expect the media to attempt further verification with such hard questions as “Does the FBI indeed have this laptop and since when?” I hold the WSJ up as the sterling example of media doing their job and not moaning about how unfair it is that they wouldn’t have published and someone actually published news.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22345 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 15:50:19
October 31 2020 15:49 GMT
#56262
On November 01 2020 00:24 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2020 13:50 WombaT wrote:
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322301003090268162

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322302679016767489


They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

Part of journalism is ascertaining if a story is credible enough to be published, it’s not just throwing anything out there as long as you name your sources.

If nothing else because the impact of a scoop in the public consciousness tends not to be equally counteracted by a retraction. An odd quirk of human nature, but a pertinent one nonetheless. One that should be factored in to what one puts out there.

You won’t have a way to report on the story (Giuliani has a laptop hard drive, there are pictures with the presidential candidates son and a crack pipe, there are emails) and come to a final decision on veracity prior to publication. The paper asks for comment, does its best in first pass to find corroboration, and publishes to bring more out.

This is in essence dictating to the publication what is credible enough. We’re in a post-pee-tape dossier world. You no longer have weight behind you to dictate what, to the New York Post, is credible enough to publish. And I already stated what follow up political actions meant it gained authority in retrospect (to the sound of crickets, unsurprisingly). The media and social media then turned the Streisand effect up to 11.

I trust the viewers, yes the much maligned American people, to read the truthful account of the sourcing and decide what level of doubt to apply to the actors in it. And I expect the media to attempt further verification with such hard questions as “Does the FBI indeed have this laptop and since when?” I hold the WSJ up as the sterling example of media doing their job and not moaning about how unfair it is that they wouldn’t have published and someone actually published news.
The Steele dossier came from a reputable source and multiple parts of it were verified to be true.

The Hunter story came from an extremely unreliable source and pretty much nothing of it has been verified. Some pictures of Hunter with a crackpipe do not make a case for corruption.

Pretty sure the FBI was asked and they gave the only answer they can "no comment on an ongoing investigation".

And ROFLMAO at "trusting the American people to know the truth" when daily we see example after example of Fox or the administration lying to the American people and a certain segment of the population eating it up like the word of god.

I would point to Tucker Carlson as an example but a dog ate my links and I didn't make backups.....
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 31 2020 16:03 GMT
#56263
On October 31 2020 13:24 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322301003090268162

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322302679016767489


They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

When you say "no you can't have any" when the media asks you for any additional information at all so that they can corroborate, you deserve to get laughed out of the room. That's all that's happening here. They wouldn't even trust the Daily Caller with the info : just Fox News and the NY Post so far.

I'm now pretty certain that no, they should not have ever been published. The NY Post forfeited all rights to be treated as a breaking source, ever again, in the future, with one story. It's incredible how blatantly a lie it was from the start : which was why no journalist there was willing to attribute their name to it.

These are the new red flags I've read just in the time since your post:

One of the sources of this whole conspiracy isn't even real. Their photo it turns out, is an ai composite, the security company they said he worked for doesn't exist, and no one with that name has ever existed in Switzerland.
Show nested quote +
One month before a purported leak of files from Hunter Biden's laptop, a fake "intelligence" document about him went viral on the right-wing internet, asserting an elaborate conspiracy theory involving former Vice President Joe Biden's son and business in China.

The document, a 64-page composition that was later disseminated by close associates of President Donald Trump, appears to be the work of a fake "intelligence firm" called Typhoon Investigations, according to researchers and public documents.

The author of the document, a self-identified Swiss security analyst named Martin Aspen, is a fabricated identity, according to analysis by disinformation researchers, who also concluded that Aspen's profile picture was created with an artificial intelligence face generator. The intelligence firm that Aspen lists as his previous employer said that no one by that name had ever worked for the company and that no one by that name lives in Switzerland, according to public records and social media searches.

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/how-fake-persona-laid-groundwork-hunter-biden-conspiracy-deluge-n1245387


The person who claims to have been an associate of the Bidens is 635$k in debt, making it super easy to compromise him. A week and a half ago he was ordered to pay it by a court, and suddenly he has a change of heart.

Order:
https://heavy.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/bobulinski-lawsuit.pdf
Screenshot:


He also still has literally 0 proof that anything he's saying is true. Biden's campaign is also now back to claiming that not even the alleged meeting in that email ever happened.

The only reason any narrative exists about the media is because conservative media has been pushing it in a wildly reckless manner. Responsible news media has also been especially reluctant to publish unverified info on this since it reeks of foreign intelligence interference, and it has the exact same timing and pattern as what happened in 2016.

Any "questions to be asked" about it are also ridiculous, as whatever Hunter is guilty of, he's not a factor in the election. I can trust that Biden isn't going to hire him to be part of his staff: As Ivanka is currently working in the White House, her vagaries are much more relevant but still treated with kid gloves by the mainstream media.

The NYP's reach has increased, for reasons I talked about and you chose not to address. I don't really see anything beyond appeals to authority to back up your opinion, and the conclusions you reach are wildly unfounded.

I sense a little ... attempt to blur every conspiracy into the same one. AI composite photos, one month before the laptop story ... make "one of the sources of this whole conspiracy isn't even real." Yeah, try much much harder to paint one story badly by appending a different story and evaluating the credibility of the second.

You're attacking the corroborating source, which I applaud. Just drop the act about "the person who claims to have been an associate of the Bidens." Your bias is leaking through. One critical faculty you aren't exhibiting here is the ability to incorporate the substance of fact checks into your own opinion regarding matters. Bobulinski provided emails to the Wall Street Journal that corroborate the emails on Hunter Biden's laptop. Maybe you're still detached enough to realize the significance of coming forward with corroborating emails to ones the NYP had. This is more directed at the wayward son Biden than any claims of Joe Biden's absolute culpability in the schemes. Voters deserve to know possible angles on Joe Biden that might be exposed in his presidency, and rewind the tape 2 years and you'd find people like yourself, Nevuk, who were intensely worried about Russian compromat on Trump associates. So let's drop the games in the future, and argue with whoever you mistook me for ... because this is maybe a story made and gone in a week if there wasn't so much censorship involved in the report. I know maybe after you mull this over for some months, you can arrive at some sensible compromise for what's deserving of reporting on its existence that doesn't necessarily have tremendous importance to the election race itself.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 31 2020 16:08 GMT
#56264
On November 01 2020 00:49 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 01 2020 00:24 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 13:50 WombaT wrote:
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322301003090268162

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322302679016767489


They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

Part of journalism is ascertaining if a story is credible enough to be published, it’s not just throwing anything out there as long as you name your sources.

If nothing else because the impact of a scoop in the public consciousness tends not to be equally counteracted by a retraction. An odd quirk of human nature, but a pertinent one nonetheless. One that should be factored in to what one puts out there.

You won’t have a way to report on the story (Giuliani has a laptop hard drive, there are pictures with the presidential candidates son and a crack pipe, there are emails) and come to a final decision on veracity prior to publication. The paper asks for comment, does its best in first pass to find corroboration, and publishes to bring more out.

This is in essence dictating to the publication what is credible enough. We’re in a post-pee-tape dossier world. You no longer have weight behind you to dictate what, to the New York Post, is credible enough to publish. And I already stated what follow up political actions meant it gained authority in retrospect (to the sound of crickets, unsurprisingly). The media and social media then turned the Streisand effect up to 11.

I trust the viewers, yes the much maligned American people, to read the truthful account of the sourcing and decide what level of doubt to apply to the actors in it. And I expect the media to attempt further verification with such hard questions as “Does the FBI indeed have this laptop and since when?” I hold the WSJ up as the sterling example of media doing their job and not moaning about how unfair it is that they wouldn’t have published and someone actually published news.
The Steele dossier came from a reputable source and multiple parts of it were verified to be true.

The Hunter story came from an extremely unreliable source and pretty much nothing of it has been verified. Some pictures of Hunter with a crackpipe do not make a case for corruption.

Pretty sure the FBI was asked and they gave the only answer they can "no comment on an ongoing investigation".

And ROFLMAO at "trusting the American people to know the truth" when daily we see example after example of Fox or the administration lying to the American people and a certain segment of the population eating it up like the word of god.

I would point to Tucker Carlson as an example but a dog ate my links and I didn't make backups.....

The parts that were verifiable were already public information, the parts that weren't were never so, and parts were so clearly false from the start (and easily seen, which means their inclusion was hilarious on its face. See: Prague)). This is kind of my point in all this: partisans cling to the Dossier and still pretend that they can dismiss Hunter Biden's laptop. A Hillary Clinton oppo firm hiring former spies is just the bullshit that you'd expect out of Giuliani, and I bet deep down you know that to be true. My advice is to not swallow your own propaganda.

Hookers urinating on Barack Obama's former bed is exactly the kind of story I want Democrats to hitch their wagons to against Hunter Biden trading on his name in Ukraine and China. It proves my point much better coming from your lips not mine.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4951 Posts
October 31 2020 16:26 GMT
#56265
On October 31 2020 23:21 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2020 11:02 Introvert wrote:
I think UPS found it (a flashdrive) and admitted to losing it.

I mean they found the package I'm not sure they found what Tucker described, since you think this proof would be something they would like to get out ASAP.

It looks like a package was lost and then Tucker came up.with this tale. Which is kind of classic, take a little bit of truth to try to make you lie more believable. Seems unbelievable that after losing this amazing evidence they would have it returned and then sit on it.


They had a statement from UPS and I dont think UPS has disputed it. You could watch the appropriate clip if you are interested in what tucker did or did not say.

also, they say they did make backups. You guys are missing he point of the story. The story of the missing data was not a "oh gosh we no longer have this very damning evidence!" the point was to raise suspicions about tampering with material. But you guys defaulted to the first and didnt bother considering the second.

I'm not terribly invested in the screw ups of a delivery service but you guys have latched onto totally the wrong thing.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8744 Posts
October 31 2020 16:32 GMT
#56266
So, who tampered? To what end? Let's get down this rabbit hole ~
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 16:37:17
October 31 2020 16:36 GMT
#56267
It's not been proven 100% (and some things in it have been disproven) but I'd say 65-70% of the claims in it have been proven true.
The hookers urinating thing should probably have been left out as it's all anyone really focuses on and really doesn't matter at all. The more important part was the underlying pattern of Russia attempting to get into Trump's good graces.

No politician in particular is running on the Steele dossier, and we have better sources if we really want info on Trump's corruption and Russia's help of him(the Senate Intel Committee report specifically. Mueller's report would also be useful if it hadn't been redacted in a partisan manner, according to a judge).

Compare this to the Hunter Biden thing, where <1% of it has been proven true after weeks of investigation, and significant amounts have been openly discredited. Giuliani was posting "texts" from Hunter where he didn't bother to crop out the russian cell network, for fuck's sake.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43973 Posts
October 31 2020 16:43 GMT
#56268
Lying to people and then insisting it’s a virtue because you had faith in their ability to see through your lies is a very special form of gaslighting. This “You think we shouldn’t lie to people? Do you think they’re too stupid to see through the lies? Why do you hate America?!” has to stop.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
October 31 2020 16:51 GMT
#56269
--- Nuked ---
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 17:06:47
October 31 2020 17:06 GMT
#56270
Stanford study says that Trump's rallies can be directly linked to 30K new covid cases and 700 or more deaths.



I think we all knew it was some increase, but this is way larger than I expected.

Paper:
https://sebotero.github.io/papers/COVIDrallies_10_30_2000.pdf

Vox writeup:
A study conducted by four Stanford University economic researchers determined that 18 Trump campaign rallies, the bulk of which took place over the past summer, “ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19” and “likely led to more than 700 deaths.”

The study examined 18 counties that hosted Trump rallies in locations such as Tulsa, Oklahoma; Phoenix, Arizona; and Winston-Salem, North Carolina, held between June 20 and September 22. It then compared the rate of post-rally Covid-19 infections in the host counties to that of comparable counties that did not host a rally. Attendance at individual rallies varied, but Trump often draws thousands of supporters to these events.

“For the vast majority of county matching procedures we employ,” the authors wrote, “our estimate of the average treatment effect across the eighteen rallies implies that they increased subsequent confirmed cases of COVID-19 by more than 250 per 100,000 residents.” The researchers — B. Douglas Bernheim, an economics professor at Stanford, and Stanford grad students Nina Buchmann, Zach Freitas-Groff, and Sebastián Otero — extrapolated that figure to the entire sample, concluding that the rallies led to thousands of new infections and, likely, hundreds of deaths.

Vox writeup
https://www.vox.com/2020/10/31/21543277/trump-rallies-covid-19-deaths-superspreader-stanford-study-infections

Mediaite writeup if you hate vox:
https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-rallies-have-led-to-more-than-30000-covid-19-cases-new-study/

WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26765 Posts
October 31 2020 17:55 GMT
#56271
On November 01 2020 00:24 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 31 2020 13:50 WombaT wrote:
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322301003090268162

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322302679016767489


They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

Part of journalism is ascertaining if a story is credible enough to be published, it’s not just throwing anything out there as long as you name your sources.

If nothing else because the impact of a scoop in the public consciousness tends not to be equally counteracted by a retraction. An odd quirk of human nature, but a pertinent one nonetheless. One that should be factored in to what one puts out there.

You won’t have a way to report on the story (Giuliani has a laptop hard drive, there are pictures with the presidential candidates son and a crack pipe, there are emails) and come to a final decision on veracity prior to publication. The paper asks for comment, does its best in first pass to find corroboration, and publishes to bring more out.

This is in essence dictating to the publication what is credible enough. We’re in a post-pee-tape dossier world. You no longer have weight behind you to dictate what, to the New York Post, is credible enough to publish. And I already stated what follow up political actions meant it gained authority in retrospect (to the sound of crickets, unsurprisingly). The media and social media then turned the Streisand effect up to 11.

I trust the viewers, yes the much maligned American people, to read the truthful account of the sourcing and decide what level of doubt to apply to the actors in it. And I expect the media to attempt further verification with such hard questions as “Does the FBI indeed have this laptop and since when?” I hold the WSJ up as the sterling example of media doing their job and not moaning about how unfair it is that they wouldn’t have published and someone actually published news.

Why do you have this faith? In theory I agree but that requires a consistently reliable media reporting of basic facts and I think the whole edifice is extremely hard to maintain in an era of innumerable alternative sources, some of whom are specialists in a particular area and in ways better than the broad-focused media, some are of extreme dubiousness as reliable interlocutors. Journalism is a full-time gig when done properly, laymen don’t have the time or sometimes the skillset to journalism the journalists.

To that end Nevuk posting on the topic quite extensively in a thread I frequent in my daily routine has been much appreciated, otherwise it’s not a story I’d be particularly chasing down.

Perhaps I am reading you wrong here. I’m merely saying that in a world with so much informational complexity that stories need to be solid as possible when they ship. By want of a crude analogy, not like a computer game shipping with bugs and being patched after the fact.

If something is published journalists should (and many do) point out the flaws in allegations or potential motivations of the actors within their own.

As per your pee dossier example, doesn’t really pass my smell test anyway. Trump the known germaphobe and all that. Should that have even been published, or if published with that caveat front and centre? But it was and there’s probably lots of people out there who actually believe that, but wouldn’t if the story exists. And probably would be hard to dislodge from believing it, even if I, noted Trump fan think it seems highly dubious.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 18:03:22
October 31 2020 18:03 GMT
#56272
I will also note that a lot of journalists thought the dossier shouldn't have been published by the press, and that Buzzfeed justified publishing it to the public because all of the press had access and had been referencing it repeatedly (and it was being used by the FBI and McCain, but no one knew that at the time).
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
October 31 2020 18:09 GMT
#56273
On November 01 2020 01:43 KwarK wrote:
Lying to people and then insisting it’s a virtue because you had faith in their ability to see through your lies is a very special form of gaslighting. This “You think we shouldn’t lie to people? Do you think they’re too stupid to see through the lies? Why do you hate America?!” has to stop.

Lauding the American people's ability to sift through bullshit, while a millionaire tells those same people that wealthy elites are out to get them, and that oops sorry a dog ate his conspiracy theory homework, is peak GOP.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 31 2020 18:25 GMT
#56274
On November 01 2020 02:55 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 01 2020 00:24 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 13:50 WombaT wrote:
On October 31 2020 11:26 Danglars wrote:
On October 31 2020 09:44 Nevuk wrote:
They don't need to deny the veracity because they're so unbelievably not credible and deserve 0 extra oxygen. Doesn't pass the laugh test. (And every new detail they've claimed makes it more insane. The latest claim is that apparently the FBI has been hiding Hunter Biden's child porn videos for the past year, while Rudy has been disseminating them to his friends and the media. Yes, he's been admitting in interviews that he's been committing a felony in order to bring Biden down).

Edit:
Oh, and NBC has clarified that they reached out to Rudy and Bobulinksi on the Hunter thing and were refused the necessary access to fact check (the HD, or even just copies of files). So the media blackout thing is total bs.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/here-s-what-happened-when-nbc-news-tried-report-alleged-n1245533


Also, remember Trafalgar Group's polls and how weird they've been? Turns out they were hiding (or at the least, hadn't disclosed) that some of them had been paid for by the GOP.
Per 538. They had removed all of them since they were so weird, but have added them back in for a slight dem decrease in the senate.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322301003090268162

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322302679016767489


They deserved to be published, for the part of my post you can’t dispute, which brings up the kind of journalism seeking additional information on the allegations. WSJ opinion page column and news reporting serve as great examples of it. Don’t squash the news stories, further feeding a narrative about the news media. Publish and confirm and publish to disseminate all the issues and corroboration.

Part of journalism is ascertaining if a story is credible enough to be published, it’s not just throwing anything out there as long as you name your sources.

If nothing else because the impact of a scoop in the public consciousness tends not to be equally counteracted by a retraction. An odd quirk of human nature, but a pertinent one nonetheless. One that should be factored in to what one puts out there.

You won’t have a way to report on the story (Giuliani has a laptop hard drive, there are pictures with the presidential candidates son and a crack pipe, there are emails) and come to a final decision on veracity prior to publication. The paper asks for comment, does its best in first pass to find corroboration, and publishes to bring more out.

This is in essence dictating to the publication what is credible enough. We’re in a post-pee-tape dossier world. You no longer have weight behind you to dictate what, to the New York Post, is credible enough to publish. And I already stated what follow up political actions meant it gained authority in retrospect (to the sound of crickets, unsurprisingly). The media and social media then turned the Streisand effect up to 11.

I trust the viewers, yes the much maligned American people, to read the truthful account of the sourcing and decide what level of doubt to apply to the actors in it. And I expect the media to attempt further verification with such hard questions as “Does the FBI indeed have this laptop and since when?” I hold the WSJ up as the sterling example of media doing their job and not moaning about how unfair it is that they wouldn’t have published and someone actually published news.

Why do you have this faith? In theory I agree but that requires a consistently reliable media reporting of basic facts and I think the whole edifice is extremely hard to maintain in an era of innumerable alternative sources, some of whom are specialists in a particular area and in ways better than the broad-focused media, some are of extreme dubiousness as reliable interlocutors. Journalism is a full-time gig when done properly, laymen don’t have the time or sometimes the skillset to journalism the journalists.

Frankly, because the people that try their hardest to say these things shouldn't be published because dumb people might believe it are themselves the dumbest of the bunch. They're partisans that can't see the blinders they have on their own political analysis. They overtrust the left-wing spin at best, and eat up any propagandistic missives to make their primary diet at worst. It's just a little too out of control at the current time to "trust" anyone else. Publish it and let the public decide. The elites, sometimes also called the experts, need to right their own ship before credentialism can return to a sane level.

To that end Nevuk posting on the topic quite extensively in a thread I frequent in my daily routine has been much appreciated, otherwise it’s not a story I’d be particularly chasing down.

The mirror episode would be another user thanking Danglars for bringing up the 4-5 reasons why the story should have been published together with full accounting of the sourcing. I don't get to choose for you who you outsource your thinking to in terms of evaluating stories. Frankly, too many people deliberately confuse stories that should be published and more stories echoing back doubts, with stories that are immediately verifiable from multiple sources not in communication with each other.

Perhaps I am reading you wrong here. I’m merely saying that in a world with so much informational complexity that stories need to be solid as possible when they ship. By want of a crude analogy, not like a computer game shipping with bugs and being patched after the fact.

If something is published journalists should (and many do) point out the flaws in allegations or potential motivations of the actors within their own.

As per your pee dossier example, doesn’t really pass my smell test anyway. Trump the known germaphobe and all that. Should that have even been published, or if published with that caveat front and centre? But it was and there’s probably lots of people out there who actually believe that, but wouldn’t if the story exists. And probably would be hard to dislodge from believing it, even if I, noted Trump fan think it seems highly dubious.

I think you have a rubbish evaluation of what amounts to "solid as possible when they ship." It's a subjective scale on its face. In this case, the NYP got direct access to the email trove, Evidence #1. They contacted the store's owner. Person #1 says this is what happened. They got access to the sex videos and crack pipe pictures showing Hunter Biden, Evidence #2. The NYP obtained a federal subpoena for the laptop, Evidence #3. Evidence 1 & 2 were NYP's copy of the hard drive. They connected the emails to the background on Biden's brags on getting Sorkin fired, and the emails regarding Pozharskyi to Ukrainian business. The Post reaches out to the FBI and reports on it, and asks for comment from Hunter's lawyer and Biden's campaign. So I say to you, WombaT, how's that for making it as solid as possible when they ship?

Don't worry about the pee tape unless you're advancing a specific claim that the dossier should have been published in its unverified state and the same standard should not, however, be applied to the hard drive. You have enough to do with squaring your general views with this specific case that contradicts them.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
October 31 2020 18:26 GMT
#56275
--- Nuked ---
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 31 2020 18:28 GMT
#56276
On November 01 2020 03:03 Nevuk wrote:
I will also note that a lot of journalists thought the dossier shouldn't have been published by the press, and that Buzzfeed justified publishing it to the public because all of the press had access and had been referencing it repeatedly (and it was being used by the FBI and McCain, but no one knew that at the time).

This is in fact not how Buzzfeed justified publishing it to the public.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 18:37:31
October 31 2020 18:30 GMT
#56277
On November 01 2020 03:28 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 01 2020 03:03 Nevuk wrote:
I will also note that a lot of journalists thought the dossier shouldn't have been published by the press, and that Buzzfeed justified publishing it to the public because all of the press had access and had been referencing it repeatedly (and it was being used by the FBI and McCain, but no one knew that at the time).

This is in fact not how Buzzfeed justified publishing it to the public.

How did they justify it? I recall that they got a lot of criticism and that was my recollection (I think they gave multiple justifications after criticism rolled in), but it has been 4 years.

edit:
I was able to find that yes, that was in fact their justification.



(he may have updated it later on to include "and media", as the quote I see is this everywhere) :
“Our presumption is to be transparent in our journalism and to share what we have with our readers. We have always erred on the side of publishing. In this case, the document was in wide circulation at the highest levels of American government and media,”
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/01/why-did-buzzfeed-publish-the-trump-dossier/512771/
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 18:45:40
October 31 2020 18:44 GMT
#56278
--- Nuked ---
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-31 19:00:26
October 31 2020 18:59 GMT
#56279
It's also just stupid. The people most concerned about getting COVID are traditionally republican voting blocs. There's no real sign that people voting that way lean democrat, unlike with mail-in voting.

21 year olds aren't the ones with reason to be afraid to stand in a crowded line. (This is also why the Florida GOP was desperately trying to tell their constituents to be ok with mail in voting)
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
October 31 2020 19:01 GMT
#56280
--- Nuked ---
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