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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2441

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
StalkerTL
Profile Joined May 2020
212 Posts
June 22 2020 01:10 GMT
#48801
It’s pretty funny but at the same time this is the most obvious grifting attempt.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
June 22 2020 02:38 GMT
#48802
On June 22 2020 08:37 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Bolton saying he'll vote for Biden because he's seen the Trump sausage factory up close and was not pleased. Come on, you laughed a bit reading this news. The idea you can have legendary New Left intellectuals like Chomsky and practically every Dubya administration member still in the public square opposed to Trump like this is the stuff you imagine in a fever dream in 2010.

Was like this in 2016 too, so all the surprise is long since gone. Didn't help then either.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15547 Posts
June 22 2020 05:02 GMT
#48803
On June 22 2020 11:38 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2020 08:37 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Bolton saying he'll vote for Biden because he's seen the Trump sausage factory up close and was not pleased. Come on, you laughed a bit reading this news. The idea you can have legendary New Left intellectuals like Chomsky and practically every Dubya administration member still in the public square opposed to Trump like this is the stuff you imagine in a fever dream in 2010.

Was like this in 2016 too, so all the surprise is long since gone. Didn't help then either.


The GOP was licking hella boots by the time the election actually rolled around in 2016. Cruz bent the knee so hard I thought it would snap. I also think we are in a weird political environment where incumbent is actually now a disadvantage, since people basically expect the world. It feels like elections are more like social media campaigns than they used to be and that forces candidates to be pretty unrealistic. I think it is a lot easier to yell from the sidelines what the president should be doing differently. And especially when you consider how many people wondered if an outsider would be better and knew they were rolling dice.

Overall, I do believe that Trump being put into practice hurt him. Mattis and Bolton aren't big players per se, but I think they are hard to ignore for Republicans who are wondering if they should just sit the next election out. A lot of educated republicans I have talked to super prioritize the economy as #1 and then national security as #2. Trump's base is a lot more social issue focused, but it is important to remember the other parts of the party.
OmniEulogy
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada6592 Posts
June 22 2020 11:11 GMT
#48804
On June 22 2020 08:37 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Bolton saying he'll vote for Biden because he's seen the Trump sausage factory up close and was not pleased. Come on, you laughed a bit reading this news. The idea you can have legendary New Left intellectuals like Chomsky and practically every Dubya administration member still in the public square opposed to Trump like this is the stuff you imagine in a fever dream in 2010.

https://www.axios.com/john-bolton-biden-trump-b216371a-5134-4d09-96af-76ad0fd74cca.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=1100


Before making Bolton seem too reasonable the exact quote from the article is, "I don't think he's a conservative Republican. I'm not going to vote for him in November — certainly not going to vote for Joe Biden either," Bolton said, per ABC News. "I'm going to figure out a conservative Republican to vote in."

so he's not quite going as far as voting for Biden, he just claims he wont vote for Trump.
LiquidDota Staff
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
June 22 2020 11:57 GMT
#48805
On June 22 2020 14:02 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2020 11:38 LegalLord wrote:
On June 22 2020 08:37 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Bolton saying he'll vote for Biden because he's seen the Trump sausage factory up close and was not pleased. Come on, you laughed a bit reading this news. The idea you can have legendary New Left intellectuals like Chomsky and practically every Dubya administration member still in the public square opposed to Trump like this is the stuff you imagine in a fever dream in 2010.

Was like this in 2016 too, so all the surprise is long since gone. Didn't help then either.


The GOP was licking hella boots by the time the election actually rolled around in 2016. Cruz bent the knee so hard I thought it would snap. I also think we are in a weird political environment where incumbent is actually now a disadvantage, since people basically expect the world. It feels like elections are more like social media campaigns than they used to be and that forces candidates to be pretty unrealistic. I think it is a lot easier to yell from the sidelines what the president should be doing differently. And especially when you consider how many people wondered if an outsider would be better and knew they were rolling dice.

Overall, I do believe that Trump being put into practice hurt him. Mattis and Bolton aren't big players per se, but I think they are hard to ignore for Republicans who are wondering if they should just sit the next election out. A lot of educated republicans I have talked to super prioritize the economy as #1 and then national security as #2. Trump's base is a lot more social issue focused, but it is important to remember the other parts of the party.


They'll still mostly vote for Trump. By the time election rolls around it'll still come down to 'our guys are better on these issues than the other guys'. I can't conceive of anything Biden could do to convince them otherwise that won't lose him Democrat votes by the handful.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 22 2020 15:19 GMT
#48806
--- Nuked ---
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
June 22 2020 16:01 GMT
#48807
If trump keeps on getting bad rallies, the GOP will turn on him as fast as they turned last time.
It will be quite pleasant to watch, if it happens.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7881 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-06-22 16:17:36
June 22 2020 16:13 GMT
#48808
On June 22 2020 02:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2020 22:57 PhoenixVoid wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:28 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:02 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2020 17:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
Worth noting that 2018 increased turnout was primarily driven by a dramatic rise in voter participation among voters under 29, not a group inspired by either candidate.
And why would <29 not be inspired to vote by seeing the shitshow of the Trump administration?

Lots of reasons they aren't inspired by Biden. A handful that come to mind.

1. The candidate they overwhelmingly preferred isn't on the ballot.
2. Democrats ignored their votes being suppressed on campuses and in places like Chicago.
3. Hiding and hoping the other guy makes you look acceptable by comparison is cynical, pathetic, and uninspiring.
4. He's literally said "nothing will fundamentally change" and campaigned on "restoring" a US they've never liked.

That overlaps with the standard reasons people don't vote in general.

This is hardly the place I would think people need to be convinced relying on voters under 29 is less than ideal though.
I agree you shouldn't rely on them but I also don't think the improved turnout in 2018 was because of Bernie.

Don't underestimate people willingness to go out and vote when they see the current situation as a bad thing.
(And before you bring up the many social/economic bad things going on constantly, most people simply don't give a shit, sad as that may be).

Either way its all speculation, we will see what the numbers say in November.


I'm in the "no chance he gets more votes than Obama in 08" camp. I agree that a "change" candidate is generally well positioned if the current situation is bad (like Obama despite not running against an incumbent). A "nothing will fundamentally change" candidate against an incumbent with high voter enthusiasm and systemic voter suppression amid a pandemic (Republicans barely think is real), not so much.

Biden's probably going to lose in my book, but it'll be interesting to see how his VP pick goes. All I know is if he picks Lindsey Graham I'm going to laugh myself into a coma.

You must really be out of the loop if you actually think Graham is on a shortlist of VP picks for Biden. It's heavily tilting to Harris, Warren or Demings.


lol I'm aware of his short list. The bickering on twitter between Warren and Harris supporters about it has kept me pretty amused recently.

I'll go on record now that it's not a good cycle to pick a cop (the Black women you mentioned) as a running mate for obvious reasons.

Kamala Harris, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Susan Rice are among the most serious candidates, and even Stacey Abrams is still a thousand times more likely than Graham but ok.

On June 23 2020 01:01 Erasme wrote:
If trump keeps on getting bad rallies, the GOP will turn on him as fast as they turned last time.
It will be quite pleasant to watch, if it happens.

Well, I think at that point that they will put up with him until the election. What is certain is that if he loses he will be a pariah of american politics.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15547 Posts
June 22 2020 16:43 GMT
#48809
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7881 Posts
June 22 2020 16:47 GMT
#48810
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15547 Posts
June 22 2020 17:06 GMT
#48811
On June 23 2020 01:47 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.


I definitely think it is deeply immoral to schedule tribalism assemblies for ego stroking during a pandemic. But my point is that knowing there is a pandemic in motion, what constitutes attendance failure is very different.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23091 Posts
June 22 2020 17:13 GMT
#48812
On June 23 2020 01:13 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2020 02:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2020 22:57 PhoenixVoid wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:28 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2020 18:02 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2020 17:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
Worth noting that 2018 increased turnout was primarily driven by a dramatic rise in voter participation among voters under 29, not a group inspired by either candidate.
And why would <29 not be inspired to vote by seeing the shitshow of the Trump administration?

Lots of reasons they aren't inspired by Biden. A handful that come to mind.

1. The candidate they overwhelmingly preferred isn't on the ballot.
2. Democrats ignored their votes being suppressed on campuses and in places like Chicago.
3. Hiding and hoping the other guy makes you look acceptable by comparison is cynical, pathetic, and uninspiring.
4. He's literally said "nothing will fundamentally change" and campaigned on "restoring" a US they've never liked.

That overlaps with the standard reasons people don't vote in general.

This is hardly the place I would think people need to be convinced relying on voters under 29 is less than ideal though.
I agree you shouldn't rely on them but I also don't think the improved turnout in 2018 was because of Bernie.

Don't underestimate people willingness to go out and vote when they see the current situation as a bad thing.
(And before you bring up the many social/economic bad things going on constantly, most people simply don't give a shit, sad as that may be).

Either way its all speculation, we will see what the numbers say in November.


I'm in the "no chance he gets more votes than Obama in 08" camp. I agree that a "change" candidate is generally well positioned if the current situation is bad (like Obama despite not running against an incumbent). A "nothing will fundamentally change" candidate against an incumbent with high voter enthusiasm and systemic voter suppression amid a pandemic (Republicans barely think is real), not so much.

Biden's probably going to lose in my book, but it'll be interesting to see how his VP pick goes. All I know is if he picks Lindsey Graham I'm going to laugh myself into a coma.

You must really be out of the loop if you actually think Graham is on a shortlist of VP picks for Biden. It's heavily tilting to Harris, Warren or Demings.


lol I'm aware of his short list. The bickering on twitter between Warren and Harris supporters about it has kept me pretty amused recently.

I'll go on record now that it's not a good cycle to pick a cop (the Black women you mentioned) as a running mate for obvious reasons.

Kamala Harris, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Susan Rice are among the most serious candidates, and even Stacey Abrams is still a thousand times more likely than Graham but ok.

I said I was
poking fun at the absurd superficiality of the veepstakes, while lamenting the bastardization of intersectionality and identity politics

Not seriously suggesting Graham was a likely VP, but with Joe Biden and Democrats, it's a terrible enough idea that I can't completely put it past them.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
NrG.Bamboo
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
United States2756 Posts
June 22 2020 17:16 GMT
#48813
On June 23 2020 01:47 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.

Agreed, it was doomed to fail for a few reasons:

First, the historical relationship between the massacre in '21, and the current racial tensions, lined up with somehow tying Juneteenth into the picture frames this as a deliberate message. Not a good message, but one that everyone heard and drew their own conclusions from.

Second, Tulsa is as close to a drop of blue in a sea of red as one might be willing to imagine. If I recall correctly, Oklahoma was 100% red for the 2016 presidential election, not a single wavering county. Tulsa, however, is a bit of an artist safe haven and about as far left as this area would currently allow; it's a surprising place, I'm a personal fan.

Third, people in Oklahoma that haven't written off COVID as some bullshit understand that there are increased infections right now very close to us, (Texas, Arizona, etc.) as well as ours going up too.
I need to protect all your life you can enjoy the vibrant life of your battery
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7881 Posts
June 22 2020 17:25 GMT
#48814
On June 23 2020 02:06 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 01:47 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.


I definitely think it is deeply immoral to schedule tribalism assemblies for ego stroking during a pandemic. But my point is that knowing there is a pandemic in motion, what constitutes attendance failure is very different.

Well, you are right of course, but for Trump, anything else than full room is terrible, terrible PR. Live by the rally...
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
June 22 2020 17:30 GMT
#48815
On June 23 2020 02:25 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 02:06 Mohdoo wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:47 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.


I definitely think it is deeply immoral to schedule tribalism assemblies for ego stroking during a pandemic. But my point is that knowing there is a pandemic in motion, what constitutes attendance failure is very different.

Well, you are right of course, but for Trump, anything else than full room is terrible, terrible PR. Live by the rally...

In this case, he already died at his inauguration xD
NoiR
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 22 2020 17:59 GMT
#48816
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21594 Posts
June 22 2020 18:29 GMT
#48817
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"
In a 'normal' world filling 1/3 of a stadium for a political rally during an epidemic would be a pretty good showing.
But Trumps campaign hyped up how much interest there was and how amazing it was going to be. That was completely unrealistic and they utterly failed to match it. And therefor they lost.
Because doing 'ok' when you hyped it up to be 'the best thing ever' is an 'utter failure'.

And failure is weak and weakness is unacceptable.


It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 22 2020 18:39 GMT
#48818
--- Nuked ---
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7881 Posts
June 22 2020 19:05 GMT
#48819
On June 23 2020 02:30 Nouar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 02:25 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On June 23 2020 02:06 Mohdoo wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:47 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"

Then it's a fiasco to have organized it in the first place. Whichever way you want to take it it's disastrous.


I definitely think it is deeply immoral to schedule tribalism assemblies for ego stroking during a pandemic. But my point is that knowing there is a pandemic in motion, what constitutes attendance failure is very different.

Well, you are right of course, but for Trump, anything else than full room is terrible, terrible PR. Live by the rally...

In this case, he already died at his inauguration xD

That's a point 🙃
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
NrG.Bamboo
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
United States2756 Posts
June 22 2020 19:11 GMT
#48820
On June 23 2020 03:39 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2020 03:29 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 23 2020 01:43 Mohdoo wrote:
I honestly don't see why this rally is considered such a failure. We're in a pandemic. redhats are very anti-mask in a lot of situations, but I think even the most disturbed of individuals realize stepping into a stadium with thousands of people is kind of sketchy. And for what, to listen to what you already agree with? The cost:benefit:risk is not favorable. I imagine a lot of very enthusiastic Trump supporters are simply like "yeah so I won't wear a mask at the grocery store, but thousands of people is whack"
In a 'normal' world filling 1/3 of a stadium for a political rally during an epidemic would be a pretty good showing.
But Trumps campaign hyped up how much interest there was and how amazing it was going to be. That was completely unrealistic and they utterly failed to match it. And therefor they lost.
Because doing 'ok' when you hyped it up to be 'the best thing ever' is an 'utter failure'.

And failure is weak and weakness is unacceptable.



Not mention that they are down playing the pandemic so they can not use it as a legitimate excuse. Because people who love Trump are supposed to not wear masks, and not worry about the "kung flu". He really appears to be shooting himself in the foot in multiple ways right now.

So long as he does it with a really badass gun, everything else can be overlooked. Some people will never accept a failure for what it is.

Yeehaw
I need to protect all your life you can enjoy the vibrant life of your battery
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