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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2137

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9489 Posts
February 23 2020 01:11 GMT
#42721
On February 23 2020 09:03 Nakajin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 08:43 CorsairHero wrote:
Chris Matthews comparing Bernie winning to Germany invading France in WW2
smh msnbc


Wait what?

since you asked for the source:
© Current year.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35118 Posts
February 23 2020 01:14 GMT
#42722
Aaand CNN just declared Sanders the winner in Nevada.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8988 Posts
February 23 2020 01:19 GMT
#42723
On February 23 2020 10:11 CorsairHero wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 09:03 Nakajin wrote:
On February 23 2020 08:43 CorsairHero wrote:
Chris Matthews comparing Bernie winning to Germany invading France in WW2
smh msnbc


Wait what?

since you asked for the source:
https://twitter.com/KeithJCarberry/status/1231345934891724802


lol wtf
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 23 2020 01:21 GMT
#42724
--- Nuked ---
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
February 23 2020 01:28 GMT
#42725
On February 23 2020 10:05 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 09:56 LegalLord wrote:
So I'm really not at all certain how these results are being counted. Seeing Sanders with anywhere from 29% to 54% of the vote, depending on who's reporting. Can't help but feel that the complete lack of transparency in how these results are supposed to work is a problem. Wtf?


The basic explanation is this:

1. Media didn't trust the party to give them the numbers they needed to keep their audience.
2. Media put out their own observers to document and report results to their decision desks.
3. As expected the party wasn't reporting anything long after they previously reported a lot of results in 2016
4. The media attempting to prevent another Iowa, start reporting their own numbers.
5.They show Sanders running away with it
6. The party having reported 88%+ in 2016 at this point had to report something and released an inexplicable selection for the delegate count.
7. Delegate count? Yes, the media only reported popular vote totals and left the delegate math to the state party to report.

So the delegate count with only 4% is the official state party report (unclear if they gave the 1st and 2nd alignment numbers that went with them).

The 10% popular vote count is from a pool of observers for decision desks in media companies. Seems that they collaborated and are sharing a common number for that (but it isn't from the state party, but documented by media staff at the caucuses)

Ah ok, that makes some sense. Thanks for the explanation.

What's odd to me: the fact that both Biden and Butt are giving strange second place "victory" speeches. Seem awfully premature given the massive margins in favor of Sanders and the fact that there is zero consistency between who is actually in second place out of the three "contenders."
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18820 Posts
February 23 2020 01:32 GMT
#42726
Very pleased with what I’ve seen so far, cheers y’all!
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15476 Posts
February 23 2020 01:57 GMT
#42727
Buttigieg likely to be the top post in /r/punchablefaces tomorrow. Good lord, I just don't like him at all. He's the first Democrat I've felt like I could legitimately never vote for.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-23 02:03:05
February 23 2020 02:02 GMT
#42728
On February 23 2020 10:57 Mohdoo wrote:
Buttigieg likely to be the top post in /r/punchablefaces tomorrow. Good lord, I just don't like him at all. He's the first Democrat I've felt like I could legitimately never vote for.

I agree, he's particularly bad. It's upsetting to me that Iowa and New Hampshire gave him a platform for some reason, but here's to hoping that the one-trick pony is finally on the way down to a perpetual decline. I really have no idea why anyone would have voted for him in the primary, honestly - what does he offer besides obviously empty rhetoric?

Glad his visibly disingenuous appeal to Hispanics didn't go anywhere - he's a solid third place behind both Sanders and Biden in Nevada for that demographic.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1048 Posts
February 23 2020 02:48 GMT
#42729
On February 23 2020 10:11 CorsairHero wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 09:03 Nakajin wrote:
On February 23 2020 08:43 CorsairHero wrote:
Chris Matthews comparing Bernie winning to Germany invading France in WW2
smh msnbc


Wait what?

since you asked for the source:
https://twitter.com/KeithJCarberry/status/1231345934891724802

From the clip, the Chris Matthews thing is not comparing Bernie to Nazi Germany. It’s comparing the punditry to Churchill not accepting that it was over, when it was clearly over.

Unless there is more context, the Matthews message isn’t even anti-Bernie. It’s just calling the election (or Nevada, not sure the context there).
Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-23 03:55:43
February 23 2020 02:55 GMT
#42730
Based on current vote proportions, Sanders is outperforming pre-caucus polling averages by 10%+. Pre-caucus analysis I read suggested 30%+ of delegates would be considered a good day for him, 40% would be exceptional. He's currently on track for ~45%. That's pretty impressive. He dominated among both voters under 30 and Latino voters, but even among the 30-44 and 45-64 groups he's leading. Crazy stuff, and this is Nevada. I'm curious to see how California goes.

edit: As more numbers come in, things look better for Bernie. This looks to be a complete rout. 46-47% or so of the delegate votes, which is twice second place. This was a complete blowout.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18820 Posts
February 23 2020 03:57 GMT
#42731
Looking at the tide of headlines on my google news feed, it looks like Nevada may be a watershed event for Bernie’s campaign. The number of otherwise lukewarm-on-Bernie outlets headlining articles with abjectly positive descriptions of his Nevada performance is catching my eye.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States22991 Posts
February 23 2020 04:11 GMT
#42732
Damn, Steyer is beating Klobuchar, ouch.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
February 23 2020 04:16 GMT
#42733
On February 23 2020 12:57 farvacola wrote:
Looking at the tide of headlines on my google news feed, it looks like Nevada may be a watershed event for Bernie’s campaign. The number of otherwise lukewarm-on-Bernie outlets headlining articles with abjectly positive descriptions of his Nevada performance is catching my eye.


Certainly positive, still not completely converted though. NYT and CNN are only saying that he "won," not that he routed the opposition.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4682 Posts
February 23 2020 06:05 GMT
#42734
On February 23 2020 13:16 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 12:57 farvacola wrote:
Looking at the tide of headlines on my google news feed, it looks like Nevada may be a watershed event for Bernie’s campaign. The number of otherwise lukewarm-on-Bernie outlets headlining articles with abjectly positive descriptions of his Nevada performance is catching my eye.


Certainly positive, still not completely converted though. NYT and CNN are only saying that he "won," not that he routed the opposition.


This the Democrat partisan press, they will fall in line when they have no choice, and if Sanders loses they will pretend the warnings they are giving now aligned with their positions all along. We're going to see a retcon potentially followed by a retcon of the retcon.
"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 23 2020 06:18 GMT
#42735
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15476 Posts
February 23 2020 07:09 GMT
#42736
You can't tell 40% of Nevada they don't get the nominee that overwhelmingly won. I really don't think they're gonna try to steal it from Bernie at this point. If Bernie wins SC, I think they'll rally behind him otherwise they will after ST
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4682 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-23 08:39:01
February 23 2020 08:37 GMT
#42737
On February 23 2020 15:18 JimmiC wrote:
So you are saying the Dems have created a win/win for themselves. If Bernie wins great they have the presidency. If Bernie loses the moderates can say , "see progressives are not electable for presidency".

Now my only question is how far and how fast do you think the right press and Reps run away from Trump if he loses?

When the media acts as an extension of your party it's always a win-win. Unless, I suppose, it's so transparent that most of the citizenry hates you, as they do now.

As for Trump, a lot would depend on how he lost. Was he doing well until some major, unavoidable even occurred? Or did he lose a " normal" election?

But Trump hasn't spent the time to clean out the party leadership and hasn't used his power to support people who actually support his agenda, so the one thing I am absolutely sure of is that most GOP pols will go right back to their amnesty-loving, corporatist ways. Trump may have taught them it's ok to punch back at least rhetorically, and punch back hard, but otherwise they will continue doing what they are trying to do now. It remains to be seen if the people who actually were elected on an agenda aligning with his will have what it takes. because if given the chance the party will go right back to Romney-squish mode (and in many ways it's still there anyways).
"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35118 Posts
February 23 2020 10:32 GMT
#42738
On February 23 2020 15:18 JimmiC wrote:
So you are saying the Dems have created a win/win for themselves. If Bernie wins great they have the presidency. If Bernie loses the moderates can say , "see progressives are not electable for presidency".

Now my only question is how far and how fast do you think the right press and Reps run away from Trump if he loses?

They won't have to, because they can just scream about communism for the next 4 years.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21528 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-23 10:56:36
February 23 2020 10:55 GMT
#42739
On February 23 2020 15:18 JimmiC wrote:
So you are saying the Dems have created a win/win for themselves. If Bernie wins great they have the presidency. If Bernie loses the moderates can say , "see progressives are not electable for presidency".

Now my only question is how far and how fast do you think the right press and Reps run away from Trump if he loses?
Republicans lost their mind when a black man got into power.
They will lose their shit when a 'Communist' wins. I don't think they will drop Trump but weaponize him to take back power again by using his far right appeal on the side while their actual candidates will be more moderate.
Assuming they don't get forced into the far far right again during the primary.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8988 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-23 13:02:43
February 23 2020 13:00 GMT
#42740
On February 23 2020 16:09 Mohdoo wrote:
You can't tell 40% of Nevada they don't get the nominee that overwhelmingly won. I really don't think they're gonna try to steal it from Bernie at this point. If Bernie wins SC, I think they'll rally behind him otherwise they will after ST


I think you're right after Super Thuseday, actually if he win SC coming into ST, he could maybe just win every single state nomination all the way to the convention.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
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