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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2135

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 22 2020 16:26 GMT
#42681
--- Nuked ---
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45046 Posts
February 22 2020 18:10 GMT
#42682
On February 23 2020 01:26 JimmiC wrote:
I think he wins it. Bloomberg got absolutely torched and will again, Biden seems toast, I can't imagine Klob or Butt over taking him. And Warren would need Bernie voters to have a chance and I can't imagine any of them switching. The longer it stays a bunch of candidates the less likely I think it is that anyone catches him.


I agree, especially with a bunch of moderates cannibalizing each other and diluting the centrist vote, that Sanders is becoming more and more likely to wind up with more delegates than any other candidate, by the end of the primaries. My main worry, however, is that he only wins a plurality of the delegates (not a majority), which means the superdelegates are allowed to get involved and can entirely let 2nd or 3rd place win the nomination.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 22 2020 18:44 GMT
#42683
I don't think it'd be altogether bad for Sanders if several candidates start dropping out. Yes, this current field does divide the "moderate" vote across several candidates, but it's not at all guaranteed that voters who would have voted for any given moderate would immediately shift to some other moderate. Each of the moderate candidates are problematic in their own unique way, which is why there is no broad coalition around any one of them in the first place. If Biden drops out, Bernie will now most likely be the top candidate for the minority vote. If Warren drops out, Bernie will win a lot of "somewhat progressive" voters. Contingent on retaining the frontrunner status, that halo effect draws support all on its own as well.

Hell, look at Vermont - Bernie had a whopping 85% there in 2016, but it's down to around 50% because of how enormous the field is. That suggests he'd gain as much as 70% of the non-Bernie votes if the field were to be whittled down to just one opponent.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
February 22 2020 19:04 GMT
#42684
I'm officially on team chaos and I want a convention floor fight. I think it'll be the greatest mass media event of our age and the most real reality television we'll ever see. I know its incredibly unlikely that it'll happen or be a disappointment but I refuse to budge from team chaos at this point.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23467 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-22 20:43:40
February 22 2020 20:34 GMT
#42685
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45046 Posts
February 22 2020 21:01 GMT
#42686
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.


In before the news headline "Sanders plummets to another plurality victory; can he recover from winning the popular vote in all three states so far?"
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26032 Posts
February 22 2020 21:07 GMT
#42687
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23467 Posts
February 22 2020 21:20 GMT
#42688
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


lmao haven't heard that in forever.

Sanders winning 54% of the Latino vote, so here comes the "not those PoC" lines from corporate stooges.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
TentativePanda
Profile Joined August 2014
United States800 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-22 21:31:28
February 22 2020 21:26 GMT
#42689
On February 23 2020 06:01 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.


In before the news headline "Sanders plummets to another plurality victory; can he recover from winning the popular vote in all three states so far?"


Bro™ the other candidates have more votes than him collectively, how is that a winning candidate?




On February 23 2020 06:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


lmao haven't heard that in forever.

Sanders winning 54% of the Latino vote, so here comes the "not those PoC" lines from corporate stooges.


Only black people who didnt get stop and frisked and voted moderate are PoC you racist PoS

EDIT: Also that saying is really common from where I'm from in the US
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
February 22 2020 22:08 GMT
#42690
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


Funnily, the version I grew up with was 'third the royal princess'.

So... Harris for teh win???
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26032 Posts
February 22 2020 22:10 GMT
#42691
On February 23 2020 07:08 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


Funnily, the version I grew up with was 'third the royal princess'.

So... Harris for teh win???

It may be a more accurate predictive model than whatever the hell the pundit class are using anyway.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
StasisField
Profile Joined August 2013
United States1086 Posts
February 22 2020 22:25 GMT
#42692
On February 23 2020 06:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


lmao haven't heard that in forever.

Sanders winning 54% of the Latino vote, so here comes the "not those PoC" lines from corporate stooges.

They'll probably switch back to the "Bernie's support is too *urban*" argument again.
What do you mean Immortals can't shoot up?
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23467 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-22 22:27:46
February 22 2020 22:26 GMT
#42693
Kinda hilarious watching these pundits wonder where they fit under a Sanders administration. Chris Matthews thinks he'll be drug out in the park and shot and I don't think he was being hyperbolic, I think he genuinely believes that.

On February 23 2020 07:25 StasisField wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2020 06:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
On February 23 2020 06:07 Wombat_NI wrote:
On February 23 2020 05:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
Can't believe I'm already hearing how winning by less than 10% is bad for Bernie. These hacks are shameless.

Sanders is also leading with Moderates/Conservatives in entrance polling.

I saw this referring to something else, but it does apply to media coverage of this too.

It’s like the media are basing their coverage on that old school rhyme ‘first the worst, second the best, 3rd the one with the hairy chest’

If you Americans don’t know that reference my apologies lol.


lmao haven't heard that in forever.

Sanders winning 54% of the Latino vote, so here comes the "not those PoC" lines from corporate stooges.

They'll probably switch back to the "Bernie's support is too *urban*" argument again.


They've been leaning into the antisemitism and now they're going with "Russia wants Bernie, are you a Russian asset!?" It's sad and hilarious at the same time to me.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 22 2020 22:28 GMT
#42694
A few hours in, and we already have 2% of the results. MUCH better than Iowa already.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
StasisField
Profile Joined August 2013
United States1086 Posts
February 22 2020 22:47 GMT
#42695
A pundit on CNN just had a very self-aware moment. Said he was seeing deja vu and that they (referring to the media) were making the same arguments they made against Trump like having a low ceiling.
What do you mean Immortals can't shoot up?
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23467 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-22 22:53:05
February 22 2020 22:48 GMT
#42696
On February 23 2020 07:28 LegalLord wrote:
A few hours in, and we already have 2% of the results. MUCH better than Iowa already.


The final count is anyone's guess and will inevitably be of questionable reliability, but Bernie is winning so resoundingly it will be interesting to see just how long they can go before they just call it (based on their own observations in the field) regardless of what the party does.

EDIT: Warren rally in Seattle is dismal. This is surprising to me because she had a lot of organizers working there and had 15,000 in Seattle earlier in the campaign.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12325 Posts
February 22 2020 22:53 GMT
#42697
So this is going well :D
No will to live, no wish to die
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 22 2020 22:57 GMT
#42698
On February 23 2020 07:47 StasisField wrote:
A pundit on CNN just had a very self-aware moment. Said he was seeing deja vu and that they (referring to the media) were making the same arguments they made against Trump like having a low ceiling.

The comparison definitely does come to mind.

Perhaps more important for them to realize: why exactly is it that they're so strongly against Bernie that he's notionally a lot like Trump in that regard? Trump is so very far from the CNN base that it makes sense, but Bernie is very much in the same camp ideologically, so it might be worth realizing what the real story is there...
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23467 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-02-22 23:07:10
February 22 2020 23:01 GMT
#42699
On February 23 2020 07:53 Nebuchad wrote:
So this is going well :D


Dem's have 200 paid staffers working a call center and still can't manage to get results reported in without tons of reports of busy signals but yeah, clearly time to unite around the nominee and stop doing Republican's job tearing him down.

EDIT: For reference, we had 88% of the vote in at this point in 2016
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 22 2020 23:14 GMT
#42700
--- Nuked ---
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