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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1422

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
May 03 2019 15:13 GMT
#28421
On May 04 2019 00:07 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2019 23:53 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:09 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:52 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:42 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
In not sure I buy the "Mueller wanted to take trump down" argument. He could have but didn't. So that line of reasoning should be put to rest.

We're just going to have to agree to disagree on this for the reasons that I have discussed ad nauseum.


You both said that Mueller wrote a hit piece to hurt Trump and that he could have made a call on obstruction. If he was really out to get Trump, though, he did a piss poor job of it because the door was open to recommend an indictment yet he choose not to. Unless you think not making a recommendation, thus giving Trump cover, is somehow worse for Trump than the alternative, or Mueller is incompetent, then your two sentiments dont mesh.


Of course my statements mesh. You have to separate the issues. The first issue is whether Mueller could conclude that Trump committed a crime under the OLC guidelines, regardless of the merits of the charge. What I have said on that point is that he could. The second issue is the quality of the merits of any charge that Mueller might bring. This is a separate and unrelated inquiry. Mueller clearly concludes in his report that there was no charge to bring with regards to the Russia conspiracy stuff in Volume 1. As to the Volume 2 stuff pertaining to obstruction, Mueller reached no conclusion. I think that the reason why he decided to reach no conclusion and take the tact that he did was because Mueller knew that the obstruction charges would not hold up on the merits. So rather than exonerate Trump by conclusively stating no charges would be brought for obstruction, Mueller cooked up this nonsense excuse about how the OLC guidelines prevented him from reaching a conclusion. This excuse then allowed Mueller to create a huge cloud over Trump that less-discerning people would interpret as Trump actually did obstruct justice. Stated another way, Mueller was playing politics with the intention of inflicting as much damage upon Trump as possible on the way out.


If it's a hit job as you say, then Mueller wouldn't give a shit if the charges actually held up; just the indictment recommendation alone would be catastrophic for Trump. It's not like he would need to actually put up or shut up by putting Trump on trial himself. He would just leave it to Congress.


Of course Mueller would care if the charges didn't hold up. Prosecutors (and litigators in general) hate to lose. Beyond that, Mueller would actually have to stand behind the charges if he brought them. Once he signs that kind of document, his name, license, and reputation are at issue. By doing what he did, he avoids all of that while still inflicting damage upon Trump.

Also, the idea that Mueller was just using the un-indictable argument to avoid clearing Trump holds no water in light of the report literally saying "if we had confidence after a thorough investigation of the facts that the president clearly did not commit obstruction of justice, we would so state."


This is completely wrong and betrays a fundamental misunderstanding regarding the role of a prosecutor. Prosecutors do not exonerate people. That's not their job. Nor is it their job to determine innocence. That Mueller threw in this statement is indisputable proof of how much of a political hack that he is.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 15:28:53
May 03 2019 15:28 GMT
#28422
On May 04 2019 00:13 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 00:07 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:53 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:09 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:52 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:42 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
In not sure I buy the "Mueller wanted to take trump down" argument. He could have but didn't. So that line of reasoning should be put to rest.

We're just going to have to agree to disagree on this for the reasons that I have discussed ad nauseum.


You both said that Mueller wrote a hit piece to hurt Trump and that he could have made a call on obstruction. If he was really out to get Trump, though, he did a piss poor job of it because the door was open to recommend an indictment yet he choose not to. Unless you think not making a recommendation, thus giving Trump cover, is somehow worse for Trump than the alternative, or Mueller is incompetent, then your two sentiments dont mesh.


Of course my statements mesh. You have to separate the issues. The first issue is whether Mueller could conclude that Trump committed a crime under the OLC guidelines, regardless of the merits of the charge. What I have said on that point is that he could. The second issue is the quality of the merits of any charge that Mueller might bring. This is a separate and unrelated inquiry. Mueller clearly concludes in his report that there was no charge to bring with regards to the Russia conspiracy stuff in Volume 1. As to the Volume 2 stuff pertaining to obstruction, Mueller reached no conclusion. I think that the reason why he decided to reach no conclusion and take the tact that he did was because Mueller knew that the obstruction charges would not hold up on the merits. So rather than exonerate Trump by conclusively stating no charges would be brought for obstruction, Mueller cooked up this nonsense excuse about how the OLC guidelines prevented him from reaching a conclusion. This excuse then allowed Mueller to create a huge cloud over Trump that less-discerning people would interpret as Trump actually did obstruct justice. Stated another way, Mueller was playing politics with the intention of inflicting as much damage upon Trump as possible on the way out.


If it's a hit job as you say, then Mueller wouldn't give a shit if the charges actually held up; just the indictment recommendation alone would be catastrophic for Trump. It's not like he would need to actually put up or shut up by putting Trump on trial himself. He would just leave it to Congress.


Of course Mueller would care if the charges didn't hold up. Prosecutors (and litigators in general) hate to lose. Beyond that, Mueller would actually have to stand behind the charges if he brought them. Once he signs that kind of document, his name, license, and reputation are at issue. By doing what he did, he avoids all of that while still inflicting damage upon Trump.

Show nested quote +
Also, the idea that Mueller was just using the un-indictable argument to avoid clearing Trump holds no water in light of the report literally saying "if we had confidence after a thorough investigation of the facts that the president clearly did not commit obstruction of justice, we would so state."


This is completely wrong and betrays a fundamental misunderstanding regarding the role of a prosecutor. Prosecutors do not exonerate people. That's not their job. Nor is it their job to determine innocence. That Mueller threw in this statement is indisputable proof of how much of a political hack that he is.


So he would care about his reputation in that case but not when it comes to putting out this biased hack-job report (as you describe it)? You literally just said he is a political hack, and that is without him recommending an indictment.

The point Zero was making is that if he was really out to get Trump, like you say he was, then he could have gone more extreme than he did. Things like "but his reputation" isnt a defense if you claim he already has trashed it by putting out the report the way he did.

Also, I dont agree with your interpretation of Mueller's obstruction statement. He isnt commenting on innocence. In the context of the whole "we cant indict" thing, which it must be considered with, he is just saying "if we would not recommend indictment, like we did with collusion, then we would say so." Basically they have no problem NOT recommending indictment, since there is no rule against that, but they actively chose not to do that in light of the evidence.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
May 03 2019 15:42 GMT
#28423
On May 04 2019 00:28 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 00:13 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 00:07 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:53 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:09 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:52 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:42 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
In not sure I buy the "Mueller wanted to take trump down" argument. He could have but didn't. So that line of reasoning should be put to rest.

We're just going to have to agree to disagree on this for the reasons that I have discussed ad nauseum.


You both said that Mueller wrote a hit piece to hurt Trump and that he could have made a call on obstruction. If he was really out to get Trump, though, he did a piss poor job of it because the door was open to recommend an indictment yet he choose not to. Unless you think not making a recommendation, thus giving Trump cover, is somehow worse for Trump than the alternative, or Mueller is incompetent, then your two sentiments dont mesh.


Of course my statements mesh. You have to separate the issues. The first issue is whether Mueller could conclude that Trump committed a crime under the OLC guidelines, regardless of the merits of the charge. What I have said on that point is that he could. The second issue is the quality of the merits of any charge that Mueller might bring. This is a separate and unrelated inquiry. Mueller clearly concludes in his report that there was no charge to bring with regards to the Russia conspiracy stuff in Volume 1. As to the Volume 2 stuff pertaining to obstruction, Mueller reached no conclusion. I think that the reason why he decided to reach no conclusion and take the tact that he did was because Mueller knew that the obstruction charges would not hold up on the merits. So rather than exonerate Trump by conclusively stating no charges would be brought for obstruction, Mueller cooked up this nonsense excuse about how the OLC guidelines prevented him from reaching a conclusion. This excuse then allowed Mueller to create a huge cloud over Trump that less-discerning people would interpret as Trump actually did obstruct justice. Stated another way, Mueller was playing politics with the intention of inflicting as much damage upon Trump as possible on the way out.


If it's a hit job as you say, then Mueller wouldn't give a shit if the charges actually held up; just the indictment recommendation alone would be catastrophic for Trump. It's not like he would need to actually put up or shut up by putting Trump on trial himself. He would just leave it to Congress.


Of course Mueller would care if the charges didn't hold up. Prosecutors (and litigators in general) hate to lose. Beyond that, Mueller would actually have to stand behind the charges if he brought them. Once he signs that kind of document, his name, license, and reputation are at issue. By doing what he did, he avoids all of that while still inflicting damage upon Trump.

Also, the idea that Mueller was just using the un-indictable argument to avoid clearing Trump holds no water in light of the report literally saying "if we had confidence after a thorough investigation of the facts that the president clearly did not commit obstruction of justice, we would so state."


This is completely wrong and betrays a fundamental misunderstanding regarding the role of a prosecutor. Prosecutors do not exonerate people. That's not their job. Nor is it their job to determine innocence. That Mueller threw in this statement is indisputable proof of how much of a political hack that he is.


So he would care about his reputation in that case but not when it comes to putting out this biased hack-job report (as you describe it)? You literally just said he is a political hack, and that is without him recommending an indictment.

The point Zero was making is that if he was really out to get Trump, like you say he was, then he could have gone more extreme than he did. Things like "but his reputation" isnt a defense if you claim he already has trashed it by putting out the report the way he did.


Yep. There's a subtle, technical -- yet absolutely material -- difference between actually indicting Trump (or finding probable cause of a crime) and simply airing dirty laundry while claiming that no conclusion can be made. It's the kind of thing that only litigating attorneys will really appreciate. Look, I have to hand it to Mueller. What he did was genius. But that doesn't make it savory.

Also, I dont agree with your interpretation of Mueller's obstruction statement. He isnt commenting on innocence. In the context of the whole "we cant indict" thing, which it must be considered with, he is just saying "if we would not recommend indictment, like we did with collusion, then we would say so." Basically they have no problem NOT recommending indictment, since there is no rule against that, but they actively chose not to do that in light of the evidence.


He absolutely is commenting on innocence. Commenting on whether the subject of the investigation "clearly did not [commit a crime]" cannot be taken any other way. It's not the job of a prosecutor to determine whether someone "clearly did not commit a crime." In any case, there is always some evidence linking the subject of the investigation to the crime. This is why the person comes under investigation in the first place. Yet this doesn't mean that the person necessarily did something wrong. This is why prosecutors are supposed to make binary prosecution decisions and aren't supposed to do what Mueller did and show all of the evidence linking the person to the crime, because it can create an appearance of impropriety regardless of their actually being any (and this is one of the reasons why grand jury evidence is kept confidential).
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 16:04:04
May 03 2019 16:03 GMT
#28424
On May 04 2019 00:42 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 00:28 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 04 2019 00:13 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 00:07 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:53 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 23:09 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:52 xDaunt wrote:
On May 03 2019 22:42 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
In not sure I buy the "Mueller wanted to take trump down" argument. He could have but didn't. So that line of reasoning should be put to rest.

We're just going to have to agree to disagree on this for the reasons that I have discussed ad nauseum.


You both said that Mueller wrote a hit piece to hurt Trump and that he could have made a call on obstruction. If he was really out to get Trump, though, he did a piss poor job of it because the door was open to recommend an indictment yet he choose not to. Unless you think not making a recommendation, thus giving Trump cover, is somehow worse for Trump than the alternative, or Mueller is incompetent, then your two sentiments dont mesh.


Of course my statements mesh. You have to separate the issues. The first issue is whether Mueller could conclude that Trump committed a crime under the OLC guidelines, regardless of the merits of the charge. What I have said on that point is that he could. The second issue is the quality of the merits of any charge that Mueller might bring. This is a separate and unrelated inquiry. Mueller clearly concludes in his report that there was no charge to bring with regards to the Russia conspiracy stuff in Volume 1. As to the Volume 2 stuff pertaining to obstruction, Mueller reached no conclusion. I think that the reason why he decided to reach no conclusion and take the tact that he did was because Mueller knew that the obstruction charges would not hold up on the merits. So rather than exonerate Trump by conclusively stating no charges would be brought for obstruction, Mueller cooked up this nonsense excuse about how the OLC guidelines prevented him from reaching a conclusion. This excuse then allowed Mueller to create a huge cloud over Trump that less-discerning people would interpret as Trump actually did obstruct justice. Stated another way, Mueller was playing politics with the intention of inflicting as much damage upon Trump as possible on the way out.


If it's a hit job as you say, then Mueller wouldn't give a shit if the charges actually held up; just the indictment recommendation alone would be catastrophic for Trump. It's not like he would need to actually put up or shut up by putting Trump on trial himself. He would just leave it to Congress.


Of course Mueller would care if the charges didn't hold up. Prosecutors (and litigators in general) hate to lose. Beyond that, Mueller would actually have to stand behind the charges if he brought them. Once he signs that kind of document, his name, license, and reputation are at issue. By doing what he did, he avoids all of that while still inflicting damage upon Trump.

Also, the idea that Mueller was just using the un-indictable argument to avoid clearing Trump holds no water in light of the report literally saying "if we had confidence after a thorough investigation of the facts that the president clearly did not commit obstruction of justice, we would so state."


This is completely wrong and betrays a fundamental misunderstanding regarding the role of a prosecutor. Prosecutors do not exonerate people. That's not their job. Nor is it their job to determine innocence. That Mueller threw in this statement is indisputable proof of how much of a political hack that he is.


So he would care about his reputation in that case but not when it comes to putting out this biased hack-job report (as you describe it)? You literally just said he is a political hack, and that is without him recommending an indictment.

The point Zero was making is that if he was really out to get Trump, like you say he was, then he could have gone more extreme than he did. Things like "but his reputation" isnt a defense if you claim he already has trashed it by putting out the report the way he did.


Yep. There's a subtle, technical -- yet absolutely material -- difference between actually indicting Trump (or finding probable cause of a crime) and simply airing dirty laundry while claiming that no conclusion can be made. It's the kind of thing that only litigating attorneys will really appreciate. Look, I have to hand it to Mueller. What he did was genius. But that doesn't make it savory.

Show nested quote +
Also, I dont agree with your interpretation of Mueller's obstruction statement. He isnt commenting on innocence. In the context of the whole "we cant indict" thing, which it must be considered with, he is just saying "if we would not recommend indictment, like we did with collusion, then we would say so." Basically they have no problem NOT recommending indictment, since there is no rule against that, but they actively chose not to do that in light of the evidence.


He absolutely is commenting on innocence. Commenting on whether the subject of the investigation "clearly did not [commit a crime]" cannot be taken any other way. It's not the job of a prosecutor to determine whether someone "clearly did not commit a crime." In any case, there is always some evidence linking the subject of the investigation to the crime. This is why the person comes under investigation in the first place. Yet this doesn't mean that the person necessarily did something wrong. This is why prosecutors are supposed to make binary prosecution decisions and aren't supposed to do what Mueller did and show all of the evidence linking the person to the crime, because it can create an appearance of impropriety regardless of their actually being any (and this is one of the reasons why grand jury evidence is kept confidential).


I dont think we disagree as much as you think. I strongly believe that Mueller SHOULD have made a call one way or the other. By refusing to do that, and refusing to subpoena interviews, he took the easy way out. He didnt do his job as far as I'm concerned and should be called out for it. It's one of the few bipartisan positions regarding the report I've seen.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 03 2019 16:18 GMT
#28425
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
May 03 2019 16:20 GMT
#28426
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 16:37:01
May 03 2019 16:36 GMT
#28427
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena, getting us into the very weird Andrew Jackson problem of the court having to enforce its order against the branch of goverment in charge of enforcing orders.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States22990 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 16:38:06
May 03 2019 16:37 GMT
#28428
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena.


This highlights a weakness in the system no? That the law (with regard to the president) is dependent on the political will of people's who's livelihood/career is tied to the success of the person they are to hold accountable?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 16:39:33
May 03 2019 16:38 GMT
#28429
I have no problem with Mueller getting into that fight. Nothing says "I have nothing to hide" like fighting for dear life to avoid going under oath.

Also undermines shit like Trump coming out yesterday and saying he was more transparent than anyone ever during this investigation. That is another lie ofc, but who is counting... oh wait WaPo is! He is over 10,000 lies now. He can def claim to be the best at that!
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
May 03 2019 16:41 GMT
#28430
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena, getting us into the very weird Andrew Jackson problem of the court having to enforce its order against the branch of goverment in charge of enforcing orders.

What you're missing here is that there's no adverse political consequence for Mueller to take up and then lose the Article 2 fight. If anything, it would give him additional talking points. Losing the probable cause fight, however, is a completely different animal. If challenged, he would have had to finally explain to a court what he was doing as it pertained to his investigation of Trump. It wouldn't have gone well. Hell, just look at how quickly and easily Barr shut Mueller down once he became AG.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
May 03 2019 16:42 GMT
#28431
On May 04 2019 01:37 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena.


This highlights a weakness in the system no? That the law (with regard to the president) is dependent on the political will of people's who's livelihood/career is tied to the success of the person they are to hold accountable?


Yes it's a major problem. Same problem we are seeing with the federal courts where the only way to get noticed, and thus nominated, is to become a political actor since political actors are the ones picking and voting for them.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
May 03 2019 16:46 GMT
#28432
I suspect the issue of entrapment of Trump's people in 2016 is soon going to be front and center. The evidence is becoming pretty strong that various western intelligence and law enforcement agencies, including the FBI, ran sting/entrapment ops against Carter Page and George P in Europe, in order to generate predicates for surveillance. All of this info is fully under the purview of the DOJ IG investigation that is soon to be concluded.

The question now is what will happen to the people who directed that the sting ops take place (for all I know sting ops are legal, but this is sure to be controversial, given that the sting ops were run against a political campaign). I was previously unsure whether to consider this guy credible, though he purports to have a lot of inside info:



But now the NYT reports something similar:

F.B.I. officials have called the bureau’s activities in the months before the election both legal and carefully considered under extraordinary circumstances. They are now under scrutiny as part of an investigation by Michael E. Horowitz, the Justice Department inspector general. He could make the results public in May or June, Attorney General William P. Barr has said. Some of the findings are likely to be classified.


www.nytimes.com

The story emerging from that NYT report is that, while it is true that aggressive investigative tactics were used against Trump's campaign in the run up to election day, they were premised on good faith suspicion and were carried out in extraordinary circumstances. The risk of a presidential candidate actually being compromised was too great to ignore. There is a picture emerging of a very broad effort to monitor Trump's people, starting in 2015. The justification that will likely be advanced is that there was good faith suspicion of involvement with Russia (especially because of Trump's hiring of Manafort, GP, and Carter Page, combined with Trump's public stance towards Russia and Putin).
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
May 03 2019 16:46 GMT
#28433
The fight to subpoena the president is in court, not Congress. Mueller simply knew he didn't have the evidence to win the fight.

The Supreme Court previously upheld subpoenas of a sitting president when it happened under Nixon. It was a unanimous decision..

Kenneth Starr successfully subpoena'd President Clinton to appear before a grand jury.

There's no big Article 2 "waah I can't get the Republicans to let me do it" argument here. It's been done twice in the past, and will probably be done several times in the future. It's the weakness of Mueller's case (or his resolve if you ask some Democrats) that prompted this decision. Mueller certainly tried to negotiate with Trump with the threat of a subpoena, which Trump's lawyers properly recognized as a bluff and laughed at him.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States22990 Posts
May 03 2019 16:48 GMT
#28434
On May 04 2019 01:42 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:37 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena.


This highlights a weakness in the system no? That the law (with regard to the president) is dependent on the political will of people's who's livelihood/career is tied to the success of the person they are to hold accountable?


Yes it's a major problem. Same problem we are seeing with the federal courts where the only way to get noticed, and thus nominated, is to become a political actor since political actors are the ones picking and voting for them.


I feel like we've already concluded (collectively as a thread) it's hopeless to think the people controlling the system are going to allow it to change in such a way they would be eliminated from it as well, no?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 03 2019 16:56 GMT
#28435
On May 04 2019 01:41 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena, getting us into the very weird Andrew Jackson problem of the court having to enforce its order against the branch of goverment in charge of enforcing orders.

What you're missing here is that there's no adverse political consequence for Mueller to take up and then lose the Article 2 fight. If anything, it would give him additional talking points. Losing the probable cause fight, however, is a completely different animal. If challenged, he would have had to finally explain to a court what he was doing as it pertained to his investigation of Trump. It wouldn't have gone well. Hell, just look at how quickly and easily Barr shut Mueller down once he became AG.

And this argument assumes his goal in the investigation is political. If the article 2 fight is a loser, there is no point in spending limited attorney resources to fight over subpoenas that will not lead to anything. Especially if the investigators believe they get obtain the same or sufficient evidence without resource intensive subpoena fight that dips into separation of powers.

And even if we assume the investigation is political, there is a down side of getting into a subpoena fight, appearing to aggressive. If we assume the special counsel is out to get Trump, he still wants to keep up the appearance of respecting the White House's need to operate as the executive branch, not to appear to bias and to keep any claims that he is abusing or is outside of his authority at bay. Getting into a costly legal battle over article 2 that isn't likely to succeed could do all of those things.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
May 03 2019 17:05 GMT
#28436
On May 03 2019 23:51 Danglars wrote:
Kimberly Strassel had a good wrap-up in the Wall Street Journal on Barr's accusers and what it means. It's a tale of frustration of goals from the Mueller investigation, and how exposed many powerful people are to the Barr & Horowitz investigations. If it was just inquiries into the start of the investigation, that wouldn't be so bad. Most of the likely top figures responsible have been fired or resigned under a cloud. It's also the criminal leaks, FISA warrant, dossier (as possible Russian disinformation). I also hadn't caught on that at least one journalist has started in on Mr. Horowitz.

Show nested quote +
The only thing uglier than an angry Washington is a fearful Washington. And fear is what’s driving this week’s blitzkrieg of Attorney General William Barr.

Mr. Barr tolerantly sat through hours of Democratic insults at a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing Wednesday. His reward for his patience was to be labeled, in the space of a news cycle, a lawbreaking, dishonest, obstructing hack. Speaker Nancy Pelosi publicly accused Mr. Barr of lying to Congress, which, she added, is “considered a crime.” House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold Nadler said he will move to hold Mr. Barr in contempt unless the attorney general acquiesces to the unprecedented demand that he submit to cross-examination by committee staff attorneys. James Comey, former director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation, lamented that Donald Trump had “eaten” Mr. Barr’s “soul.” Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren demands the attorney general resign. California Rep. Eric Swalwell wants him impeached.

These attacks aren’t about special counsel Robert Mueller, his report or even the surreal debate over Mr. Barr’s first letter describing the report. The attorney general delivered the transparency Democrats demanded: He quickly released a lightly redacted report, which portrayed the president in a negative light. What do Democrats have to object to?

Some of this is frustration. Democrats foolishly invested two years of political capital in the idea that Mr. Mueller would prove President Trump had colluded with Russia, and Mr. Mueller left them empty-handed. Some of it is personal. Democrats resent that Mr. Barr won’t cower or apologize for doing his job. Some is bitterness that Mr. Barr is performing like a real attorney general, making the call against obstruction-of-justice charges rather than sitting back and letting Democrats have their fun with Mr. Mueller’s obstruction innuendo.

But most of it is likely fear. Mr. Barr made real news in that Senate hearing, and while the press didn’t notice, Democrats did. The attorney general said he’d already assigned people at the Justice Department to assist his investigation of the origins of the Trump-Russia probe. He said his review would be far-reaching—that he was obtaining details from congressional investigations, from the ongoing probe by the department’s inspector general, Michael Horowitz, and even from Mr. Mueller’s work. Mr. Barr said the investigation wouldn’t focus only on the fall 2016 justifications for secret surveillance warrants against Trump team members but would go back months earlier.


He also said he’d focus on the infamous “dossier” concocted by opposition-research firm Fusion GPS and British former spy Christopher Steele, on which the FBI relied so heavily in its probe. Mr. Barr acknowledged his concern that the dossier itself could be Russian disinformation, a possibility he described as not “entirely speculative.” He also revealed that the department has “multiple criminal leak investigations under way” into the disclosure of classified details about the Trump-Russia investigation.

Do not underestimate how many powerful people in Washington have something to lose from Mr. Barr’s probe. Among them: Former and current leaders of the law-enforcement and intelligence communities. The Democratic Party pooh-bahs who paid a foreign national (Mr. Steele) to collect information from Russians and deliver it to the FBI. The government officials who misused their positions to target a presidential campaign. The leakers. The media. More than reputations are at risk. Revelations could lead to lawsuits, formal disciplinary actions, lost jobs, even criminal prosecution.

The attacks on Mr. Barr are first and foremost an effort to force him out, to prevent this information from coming to light until Democrats can retake the White House in 2020. As a fallback, the coordinated campaign works as a pre-emptive smear, diminishing the credibility of his ultimate findings by priming the public to view him as a partisan.

That’s why Mr. Barr isn’t alone in getting slimed. Natasha Bertrand at Politico last month penned a hit piece on the respected Mr. Horowitz. It’s clear the inspector general is asking the right questions. The Politico article acknowledges he’s homing in on Mr. Steele’s “credibility” and the dossier’s “veracity”—then goes on to provide a defense of Mr. Steele and his dossier, while quoting unnamed sources who deride the “quality” of the Horowitz probe, and (hilariously) claim the long-tenured inspector general is not “well-versed” in core Justice Department functions.

“We have to stop using the criminal-justice process as a political weapon,” Mr. Barr said Wednesday. The line didn’t get much notice, but that worthy goal increasingly looks to be a reason Mr. Barr accepted this unpleasant job. Stopping this abuse requires understanding how it started. The liberal establishment, including journalists friendly with it, doesn’t want that to happen, and so has made it a mission to destroy Mr. Barr. The attorney general seems to know what he’s up against, and remains undeterred. That’s the sort of steely will necessary to right the ship at the Justice Department and the FBI.

WSJ

One more word about specifically Mueller complaining about the press coverage. Why would a prosecutor, who has finished his report and whose staff is working with the DOJ to release it with minor redactions, be concerned about the things the press is getting wrong in a few short weeks? It's entirely reasonable for Barr to simply give a quick breakdown of the principal conclusions, instead of releasing parts in piecemeal fashion. If Mueller really wanted it to be quickly released after conclusion, he could've done more to indicate to Barr the (6e) redactions prior to submission. He simply couldn't stand a brief description of his failure to reach a conclusion on obstruction to deflateAndrew McCarthy:

.

You should really stop spreading this nonsense. For one, Mueller is not complaining about the press coverage. It's a complete fabrication of a talking point. It's not at all what Muellers letter says. Mueller complained about Barr's work being crap and people getting it wrong because his work was crap and he wasn't releasing material already provided.

Mueller provided summaries that were cleared of redacted material. Then in the letter he asked Barr again! to release those summaries. Of course he was worried about people getting it wrong since Barr's summary was wrong, Barr failed to do his job as AG. That said Barr never intended to do his job properly, he just wanted damage limitation so he ignored the summaries already provided and never even mentioned them.

And then let me point you to a very in depth article about the problem with Barr.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/05/bill-barrs-performance-was-catastrophic/588574/

Some quotes

As I read them, Barr’s public statements on the report reflect at least seven different layers of substantive misrepresentation, layers which build on one another into a dramatic rewriting of the president’s conduct—and of Mueller’s findings about the president’s conduct. It is worth unpacking and disentangling these misrepresentations, because each is mischievous on its own, but together they operate as a disinformation campaign being run by the senior leadership of the Justice Department.


Both at the press conference and in yesterday’s hearing, the attorney general insisted that Mueller had told him that it was not merely the Justice Department’s legal opinion stating that the president could not be indicted that prevented him from concluding that Trump had obstructed justice. “He made it clear that he had not made the determination that there was a crime” but for the opinion, Barr said at the press conference. The implication is that the issue was not just one of legal authority, but that the evidence wasn’t there either.

I don’t know what Mueller told Barr privately, but the report does not support this claim. Mueller lists four “considerations that guided our obstruction-of-justice investigation.” The first of them states that the Justice Department “has issued an opinion finding that ‘the indictment or criminal prosecution of a sitting President would impermissibly undermine the capacity of the executive branch to perform its constitutionally assigned functions’ in violation of ‘the constitutional separation of powers.’” Because Mueller is an officer of the Justice Department, “this Office accepted [the department’s] legal conclusion for purposes of exercising prosecutorial jurisdiction.”

The use of the word jurisdiction here is not casual. It means that Mueller believes he lacks the authority to indict the president. Because of that, he goes on to explain, he did not evaluate the evidence to render a traditional prosecutorial judgment. The report offers no support for the notion that Mueller stayed his hand on obstruction out of concern for the strength of the evidence.

The effects of these layers of mischaracterization are to rewrite the Mueller report and to recast the presidential conduct described in it. The direction of the recasting just happens to dovetail with the president’s talking points, and just happens to transmute him from a scofflaw with power into a victim of the “deep state.”

Neosteel Enthusiast
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
May 03 2019 17:09 GMT
#28437
--- Nuked ---
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 03 2019 17:09 GMT
#28438
On May 04 2019 01:48 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:42 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:37 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena.


This highlights a weakness in the system no? That the law (with regard to the president) is dependent on the political will of people's who's livelihood/career is tied to the success of the person they are to hold accountable?


Yes it's a major problem. Same problem we are seeing with the federal courts where the only way to get noticed, and thus nominated, is to become a political actor since political actors are the ones picking and voting for them.


I feel like we've already concluded (collectively as a thread) it's hopeless to think the people controlling the system are going to allow it to change in such a way they would be eliminated from it as well, no?

I think it has been eroded over time. There was a time, as recently as the Bush Administration, where the people in power wanted to keep over political bias as far away from the courts as possible. And that the courts should keep politics in check. Now, to be clear, that political bias always favored the people in power over the marginized(aka, brown folks, the poor and so on). But they did understand the injecting overt political bias into law enforcement and the court system would do real damage in the long term. Again, this balance I’m speaking of only applies to political ideas supported by the very white majority in power.

But that era is super dead now. It was dying for a while. I would argue it became terminal in 1970s when the capitalists were able to finally sell the idea of free markets solving everything to a generation of people who didn’t really remember the last time capitalists fucked up everything. It took them 40 years, but we are finally at the peak where all the old safe guards against the problems of capitalism are being torn out by the roots.

But the plus side is that it has opened the overton window so wide that anything can be discussed. We can openly talk about things like ending medicare or expanding it to cover everyone. Fuck, I bet a candidate could talk about nationalizing the oil industry or Facebook/Twitter and not be laughed off the debate stage. They could never win, but they could talk about it. We just need to make sure that this window doesn’t open so far that we go farther down the White Nationalist rabbit hole we are in right now.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States22990 Posts
May 03 2019 17:17 GMT
#28439
On May 04 2019 02:09 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2019 01:48 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:42 On_Slaught wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:37 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:36 Plansix wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:20 xDaunt wrote:
On May 04 2019 01:18 Plansix wrote:
I don't know if Mueller would be able to get those subpoena's enforced. The White House would challenge them and it is very difficult to get the executive branch to produce documents or people without the full backing of Congress.


Mueller deliberately dodged the subpoena fight because he didn't want to have to fight it out in court. Even if you accept that Mueller had the authority to issue a subpoena notwithstanding any underlying Article 2 issues, he still would have had to establish probable cause of a crime. As we now know from the report, he probably wouldn't have been able to do this. It would have been a catastrophe for his investigation.

I disagree. He didn't subpoena the executive branch because he didn't want to get into an Article 2 fight over if he had the power to do so because he knew the Republican congress at the time wouldn't' have his back to apply pressure to force the white house comply. This is unlike the the Ken Starr investigation in the 1990, where the Republicans controlled both chambers of congress and were very happy to pressure the White House to fork over information. There is also the problem that the White House could just ignore the subpoena.


This highlights a weakness in the system no? That the law (with regard to the president) is dependent on the political will of people's who's livelihood/career is tied to the success of the person they are to hold accountable?


Yes it's a major problem. Same problem we are seeing with the federal courts where the only way to get noticed, and thus nominated, is to become a political actor since political actors are the ones picking and voting for them.


I feel like we've already concluded (collectively as a thread) it's hopeless to think the people controlling the system are going to allow it to change in such a way they would be eliminated from it as well, no?

I think it has been eroded over time. There was a time, as recently as the Bush Administration, where the people in power wanted to keep over political bias as far away from the courts as possible. And that the courts should keep politics in check. Now, to be clear, that political bias always favored the people in power over the marginized(aka, brown folks, the poor and so on). But they did understand the injecting overt political bias into law enforcement and the court system would do real damage in the long term. Again, this balance I’m speaking of only applies to political ideas supported by the very white majority in power.

But that era is super dead now. It was dying for a while. I would argue it became terminal in 1970s when the capitalists were able to finally sell the idea of free markets solving everything to a generation of people who didn’t really remember the last time capitalists fucked up everything. It took them 40 years, but we are finally at the peak where all the old safe guards against the problems of capitalism are being torn out by the roots.

But the plus side is that it has opened the overton window so wide that anything can be discussed. We can openly talk about things like ending medicare or expanding it to cover everyone. Fuck, I bet a candidate could talk about nationalizing the oil industry or Facebook/Twitter and not be laughed off the debate stage. They could never win, but they could talk about it. We just need to make sure that this window doesn’t open so far that we go farther down the White Nationalist rabbit hole we are in right now.


This is one reason I've been the person I have. Without voices on the left that window only opens rightward. As you mention, the history of the country lends itself to the core tenets of that white nationalist view, by blaming the erosion of quality of life on anyone but the white men who made all the decisions and eroded the system.

This was the threat Hillary presented in my eyes. This white nationalist stuff was coming either way, but should Hillary have won the argument from Democrats/centrist/some "progressives" would have been we had to unite around Hillary's centrist policies, which would be further right than Obama's. Then 2024 would be both parties being even further to the right than Hillary-Trump.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12045 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-05-03 17:25:11
May 03 2019 17:18 GMT
#28440
I get to bless the thread with some solid news for once. Court ruled on Ohio's gerrymandering

"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
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