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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1137

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
February 21 2019 10:06 GMT
#22721
On February 21 2019 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2019 06:14 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
On February 21 2019 06:08 Mohdoo wrote:
On February 21 2019 05:51 Logo wrote:
On February 21 2019 05:16 Mohdoo wrote:
Bernie's fundraising is absolutely hilarious. Everyone seems irrelevant at this point. The people who haven't officially entered will not touch Bernie's 24-hour numbers. Won't be surprised when Bernie body slams this primary and it wraps up before we're halfway done.


It's funny because in 2016 when the media sort of spun a narrative that Bernie had no chance to win or that his ideas were too zany you could at least see a tether to the truth there.

Now it's 2020 and people are trying to basically do the same thing when Bernie has been the most popular politicians of the past 3 years, has tangible things accomplished in that time frame, and has the largest grassroots & donation base out of al the contenders. The tether is severed but the lies are still being spouted.

Not that I think everyone should just anoint Bernie the primary winner at this point, but that's basically what the media did to Hillary and all coverage was framed around what affect something had in relation to Hillary. But instead we still have the same tired takes we had in 2016 combined somehow with takes that people with no voting record as such now support his platforms and all the candidates are progressive in the same way so why vote Bernie.

Also until Biden has a below 50% approval rating the approval polls don't mean much except people haven't looked into the candidates yet. Joe McHandsy delivered Strom Thrumond's euology ffs, how can you be a contender with a record like that.


The way I see it is:

1. Clinton and the entire democratic party were preparing for a Clinton presidency since 2008.
2. Clinton fully tightened her grip on the party as Obama's successor around 2015.
3. Right out of the gate, Clinton was all but awarded the nomination since roughly day 1...perhaps before then.
4. Bernie entirely organically created his own movement and was actively fought against, not just not supported, the entire time
5. Bernie almost pulls off the anime comeback of the century
6. Clinton loses


Now,

1. Bernie already has a giant following and never stopped fighting the fight
2. $15/hr is totally a Bernie thing
3. M4A is totally a Bernie thing
4. No giant machine working against Bernie
5. Grassroots, giant machine working FOR Bernie
6. Trump moved the entire democratic party to the left the same way Obama drove republicans to the right
7. Suddenly Bernie is in the best position ever.


I think there will still be a new machine working against Bernie, billionaires gonna billionaire

It’s a bit simplistic to attributes the opposition to Sanders to “billionaires” only. I remembered reading Krugman explaining for example that he thought his program was simply not serious, and that his numbers didn’t even start to add up. Considering what happened in Europe when populist left wing promising unicorns on the basis of flawed, wildly over optimistic numbers won, I would personally not support Sanders in a primary. When those people win, they damage the left for decades because they can’t deliver a fraction of their program and become « establishment » (read: living in the real world), which boomerangs badly.

The way I see it, Bernie wants the same thing than the rest of the democratic party, meaning a system looking a little bit more like Denmark, but adopts a confrontational, « revolutionary » and populist stance that revulses the moderates, just like the pragmatic, compromising, small step approach of the « establishment » revulses his supporters.

At one point all those people should realize that they need each other and are working towards the very same goal. But the left is gonna be the left, and the collosal stupidity of right wingers who still support a dangerous, morally bankrupt, megalomaniac and utterly incompetent moron after such a train wreck of two years, proves to be a decisive advantage, not for the country, but for the GOP.
I am once again reminded of the Times? interview with Sanders during the 2016 campaign where he majorly fumbled when asked how he would accomplish some of his major campaign goals (like going after the banks).
There was a very noticeable shift in the conversation on this forum from people that supported Sanders who saw that he had good idea's but no clue how to accomplish them.

Outside forces certainly had an effect on the primary but a lot of it was on Sanders aswell.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4438 Posts
February 21 2019 10:11 GMT
#22722
I just fail to see how you can have lax immigration and better welfare to citizens at the same time.Better unemployment and other benefits may work if you had a wall and strong immigration policy, without that nothing is stopping millions of central americans moving up for the welfare.

It’s no coincidence that in 2015 when over a million refugees flooded Europe the small nation of Sweden took in the second largest number.Well, if you vote for those policies i just hope you don’t mind paying higher taxes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14187 Posts
February 21 2019 10:15 GMT
#22723
Nettles the left is okay with paying higher taxes. Do you not know this or agree that they do?
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8169 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-21 10:51:31
February 21 2019 10:49 GMT
#22724
On February 21 2019 19:11 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
I just fail to see how you can have lax immigration and better welfare to citizens at the same time.Better unemployment and other benefits may work if you had a wall and strong immigration policy, without that nothing is stopping millions of central americans moving up for the welfare.

It’s no coincidence that in 2015 when over a million refugees flooded Europe the small nation of Sweden took in the second largest number.Well, if you vote for those policies i just hope you don’t mind paying higher taxes.

The notion that what the democrats want is just for people to be able to come from abroad unchecked, settle in the country and enjoy its welfare is completely absurd.

No one wants unrestricted immigration, anywhere. And in a country like France, immigration is a net gain for the country in terms of tax/welfare spending ratio. Because guess what, those people work and pay their taxes too, that help fund the unemployment benefits, cancer treatment or pensions of all of us.

Actually, it was discovered a few years back that some big brasseries in Paris employed illegal immigrants who had paid their taxes for years and years without enjoying any of the advantages of the welfare they were funding.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
February 21 2019 10:59 GMT
#22725
On February 21 2019 13:40 Plansix wrote:
And we are back to the Republican filled FBI was biased against Trump from the start, despite the overwhelming evidence that the man is dripping with crime and grift.


Shrug. For all the dubious thinking behind it, Daunt's right that if Trump was going down we'd almost certainly know about it at this point. The final report is likely to be as damaging to his reputation - what little remains to damage - as the Clinton e-mail report was to her. It isn't going to land him in jail or see him ousted from the Presidency. At least... not directly.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
February 21 2019 11:05 GMT
#22726
On February 21 2019 19:59 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2019 13:40 Plansix wrote:
And we are back to the Republican filled FBI was biased against Trump from the start, despite the overwhelming evidence that the man is dripping with crime and grift.


Shrug. For all the dubious thinking behind it, Daunt's right that if Trump was going down we'd almost certainly know about it at this point. The final report is likely to be as damaging to his reputation - what little remains to damage - as the Clinton e-mail report was to her. It isn't going to land him in jail or see him ousted from the Presidency. At least... not directly.
First off we likely wouldnt know about it because Mueller's team has not/barely leaked. Most of the leaks about the investigation came from Trump's side.
Secondly I thought it was clear that it was highly unlikely that Mueller would directly call for the President to be indited.

If Trump is going down as a result of the report its because it concludes he knew about/ordered a ton of illegal things going on in his campaign.
And even then it requires Republicans to join in which is highly unlikely regardless of how big and infallible the evidence might turn out to be.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 21 2019 13:02 GMT
#22727
Update from North Carolina, the GOP Candidate said he was never warned about his hiring of the political operative. Turns out he was by a federal prosecutor, his son. Who also kept the emails he was sending him about potential illegal activity going on with his recent hire.





On day three of a hearing meant to get to the bottom of an absentee ballot scheme in the as-yet-undecided U.S. House race in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, Republican Mark Harris' son testified that he warned his father about the political operative at the investigation's center.

All eyes now are on Harris, who is expected to testify first thing Thursday morning about what he knew was going on in the eastern part of the 9th District, and when he knew it.

The State Board of Elections' investigation is centered on a political operative, McCrae Dowless, who was hired by Harris to get out the vote. A consultant testified that Dowless was paid roughly 5 percent of the Harris campaign's total expenditures over the course of the primary and general elections.

Investigators say Dowless' efforts went beyond what is legal in North Carolina, but Harris has said publicly a number of times that he knew nothing about any illegal activity being done on behalf of his campaign. Testimony by his own son on Wednesday calls those assertions into question.

Harris' son, John Harris, is an assistant U.S. attorney in North Carolina. He said Wednesday that he reviewed the 2016 primary results after Harris was defeated by incumbent Robert Pittenger.

He noticed oddities in vote-by-mail results in Bladen County, where the third-place finisher, Todd Johnson, won a near sweep of those ballots in the county. Dowless worked on behalf of Johnson in 2016.

John Harris then looked at publicly available data on when ballots were received and noticed that the absentee ballots were returned in "batches."

That led him to believe that someone was collecting ballots and turning them in.

"Did you talk about those concerns with Mark Harris?" asked Kim Strach, the executive director of the North Carolina State Board of Elections.

"I did," said John Harris.

Investigators showed the board a number of emails John Harris exchanged with his father about absentee ballots in Bladen County, including an email in which he forwarded the specific North Carolina statute that forbids the collection of ballots.

John Harris said he did not think Dowless was honest about his tactics before Mark Harris decided to hire him.

"I had no reason to believe that my father or mother knew Dowless was doing the things that have been described [this week]," John Harris said. "I think they were lied to, and they believed the person who lied to them."

Dowless declined to testify on Monday unless the State Board of Elections provided him immunity from future prosecution. Board Chairman Robert Cordle said the board was not willing to provide that immunity.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
February 21 2019 13:06 GMT
#22728
When your own son has to testify against you to avoid getting caught in a cover up you know you done fucked up.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 21 2019 14:17 GMT
#22729
One of the under discussed parts of this Trump era is how he gives everyone the impression that things like this don't have consequences.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-21 14:29:11
February 21 2019 14:26 GMT
#22730
The son emphasizes he doesn't think that his parents really knew (or they were willfully blind). But beyond that, there's written evidence he told his dad that this was a really bad idea and that this was potentially a felony.

I think we've hit the preponderance of evidence threshold here that Harris was up to some shit and not just another victim of a overzealous, crooked operative. IMO the seat should go to the Democrat.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46279 Posts
February 21 2019 14:29 GMT
#22731
On February 21 2019 22:06 Gorsameth wrote:
When your own son has to testify against you to avoid getting caught in a cover up you know you done fucked up.


I really hope that one day we see a parallel between this and Donald Trump Jr./Sr.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 21 2019 14:50 GMT
#22732
On February 21 2019 19:59 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2019 13:40 Plansix wrote:
And we are back to the Republican filled FBI was biased against Trump from the start, despite the overwhelming evidence that the man is dripping with crime and grift.


Shrug. For all the dubious thinking behind it, Daunt's right that if Trump was going down we'd almost certainly know about it at this point. The final report is likely to be as damaging to his reputation - what little remains to damage - as the Clinton e-mail report was to her. It isn't going to land him in jail or see him ousted from the Presidency. At least... not directly.

The final report won’t damage Trump. To the extent that any portion of it sees the light of day beyond Barr, it will merely be a statement saying no collusion/crime or something to that effect. What has been damaging to Trump is all of speculation and innuendo that has been in the media for more than two years. That damage is not easily remedied.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-21 14:59:09
February 21 2019 14:58 GMT
#22733
On February 21 2019 20:05 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2019 19:59 iamthedave wrote:
On February 21 2019 13:40 Plansix wrote:
And we are back to the Republican filled FBI was biased against Trump from the start, despite the overwhelming evidence that the man is dripping with crime and grift.


Shrug. For all the dubious thinking behind it, Daunt's right that if Trump was going down we'd almost certainly know about it at this point. The final report is likely to be as damaging to his reputation - what little remains to damage - as the Clinton e-mail report was to her. It isn't going to land him in jail or see him ousted from the Presidency. At least... not directly.
First off we likely wouldnt know about it because Mueller's team has not/barely leaked. Most of the leaks about the investigation came from Trump's side.
Secondly I thought it was clear that it was highly unlikely that Mueller would directly call for the President to be indited.

If Trump is going down as a result of the report its because it concludes he knew about/ordered a ton of illegal things going on in his campaign.
And even then it requires Republicans to join in which is highly unlikely regardless of how big and infallible the evidence might turn out to be.

Not sure what you are talking about with the leaks. Mueller’s team and the FBI/DOJ have been leaking like crazy. McCabe is under grand jury investigation over it, and I bet others are, too. Virtually every leak story that you have seen in the NYT or WashPo came from someone opposite of Trump. The pro-Trump leaks have been going to John Solomon and a couple other places.

And we know that Mueller does not have anything not only because there has been nothing to suggest that he does, but also because there is a three year record of the investigators themselves saying/implying that there is nothing —- everything from Strzok’s texts to McCabe’s book tour.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 21 2019 15:00 GMT
#22734
The entire report is going to be made public. Congress will need to pass legislation to allow the report to be released once it is out there, but there is no way it stays with the DOJ. Even Barr said it should be released to the public.

As for Trump being harmed by this, we haven’t seen any all the report. But given that he directly instructed his attorney violate campaign finance laws and lied to the American people about having real estate deals going on in Russia, I’m willing to bet there is more malfeasance in the report. The one thing that is consistent in the Trump administration is how brazen and overt they are with their criminality.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Blitzkrieg0
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States13132 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-21 15:14:16
February 21 2019 15:13 GMT
#22735
On February 21 2019 23:26 ticklishmusic wrote:
The son emphasizes he doesn't think that his parents really knew (or they were willfully blind). But beyond that, there's written evidence he told his dad that this was a really bad idea and that this was potentially a felony.

I think we've hit the preponderance of evidence threshold here that Harris was up to some shit and not just another victim of a overzealous, crooked operative. IMO the seat should go to the Democrat.


There should be another election and it should include the Republican that likely got cheated out of the primary win. Giving it to the other runner is not how elections should function as this means you should get caught cheating for the opposition so you win by default.
I'll always be your shadow and veil your eyes from states of ain soph aur.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 21 2019 15:16 GMT
#22736
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 21 2019 15:19 GMT
#22737
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
February 21 2019 15:30 GMT
#22738
On February 21 2019 23:50 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2019 19:59 iamthedave wrote:
On February 21 2019 13:40 Plansix wrote:
And we are back to the Republican filled FBI was biased against Trump from the start, despite the overwhelming evidence that the man is dripping with crime and grift.


Shrug. For all the dubious thinking behind it, Daunt's right that if Trump was going down we'd almost certainly know about it at this point. The final report is likely to be as damaging to his reputation - what little remains to damage - as the Clinton e-mail report was to her. It isn't going to land him in jail or see him ousted from the Presidency. At least... not directly.

The final report won’t damage Trump. To the extent that any portion of it sees the light of day beyond Barr, it will merely be a statement saying no collusion/crime or something to that effect. What has been damaging to Trump is all of speculation and innuendo that has been in the media for more than two years. That damage is not easily remedied.
Yes, all that unjust damage to his reputation...

Oh wait he admitted on Twitter that Jr. went to the meeting to get dirt on Hillary from the Russian government.
And we've had people lie infront of congress that Trump wasn't in discussions about a Trump tower in Moscow during the campaign.
Not to mention all the other indictements that have already come out of the investigation.

I thought we moved past "it didn't happen" unto "but it wasn't illegal".
Guess we've gone back a step again.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12502 Posts
February 21 2019 15:39 GMT
#22739
I did a search with "Benghazi", then "Libya" for username xDaunt the other day. Was a pretty fun read, would recommend.

User was warned for this post
No will to live, no wish to die
hunts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2113 Posts
February 21 2019 15:48 GMT
#22740
I didn't expect there to be that many people here that would support sanders 2020, I honestly don't get why. It's not like he magically learned how to be a good politician, he's still the same one trick pony he was in 2016, except even older. And when people talk about "outside interference in the primary" I sure hope they remember that while most of the claims of "rigged in hillary's favor" are nebulous and without any proof, the one type of interference we DO have proof of, is russian interference in favor of bernie. Honestly I hope he drops out before 2020, or becomes too sick to run, I have a feeling him and his supporters will do their best to tear the party apart from the inside, again.
twitch.tv/huntstv 7x legend streamer
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