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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 953

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1950 Posts
September 27 2017 16:18 GMT
#19041
I am largely ignorant to the political environment of Spain and that's why i am asking To me, they have been spanisch for 500 years now. They had rebellions and uprisings but according to internet history they seemed to stem from inequality and injustice. Like the peasant uprisings of southern germany due to the terrible situation they were in. Which is why i am asking, i am interested in what makes people say, you know what, we should totally do our own thing.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10842 Posts
September 27 2017 17:06 GMT
#19042
Spaniards could answer this better but basically, catalans (and basques) have never been "happy" spaniards.
Mafe
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany5966 Posts
September 27 2017 17:20 GMT
#19043
so remind me, ETA was basque and unrelated to catalans?
sc-darkness
Profile Joined August 2017
856 Posts
September 27 2017 18:02 GMT
#19044
On September 26 2017 08:24 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 08:09 sc-darkness wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:08 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:07 sc-darkness wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:04 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.


What if this causes hysteria? It might sound shocking to you but I know at least one bank which has bankrupt due to hysteria and people withdrawing their money in response.

What would cause hysteria?


People's Court? This actually reminds me about something... You know what regime used that? Communism.

Don't tempt me


What's the problem here?
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10137 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 21:10:47
September 27 2017 21:08 GMT
#19045
On September 28 2017 00:27 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2017 00:23 Godwrath wrote:
Define a large number of catalans. If we take the plebiscite they did back in 2015 during elections as any reference: They lost it, but pretty much it's a 50/50. So yeah, it's pretty large imo, atleast enough to deserve an honest debate.

I don't have any numbers for spanish, but it's a right+center vs left divide. So while i am sure there is a good chunk of the population who doesn't mind catalonia having their a (legal) referendum, the center and the right won't and they are the majority (called constitutionalists).


I think the difference here is between supporting something by voting for it, and actually be willing to fight for it IRA style. Actually killing people until you get the thing you want. Maybe there is a different way, too.

But historically, nations become independent either when the main nation is no longer interested in having them or doesn't care about it, or if their people are willing to kill people until that happens. There are also some rare situations where they don't kill people, but just die until they get their independence, like India. But there is a huge difference in commitment between voting for something and dying/killing for it.
In the past, sure, maybe, even though i don't remember any independence unilaterally declared withouth real fighting rather than terrorist attacks. Nowadays it's different. ETA or IRA didn't accomplish much if anything. Meanwhile Scottish got their referendum (i am very ignorant on this, is it binding? i am sure it is a bit more complex than that).

So if we were to run an analogy, Catalonia has been seeking for a referendum akin to what the Scottish got, and i certainly believe this is easier to obtain than an unilateral declaration of indepence. The central goverment is showing that they are more than willing to flex the muscle, and probably looking for international support (the decission to ignore Europe and go to USA is also because how he has been dealing with the situation is way more likely to be criticized here in Europe, than by Trump).

I am sure Acrofales would do a better job than me at clearing this up to be honest. Not only he has a much better english, but also the knowledge to back up it, even if i will disagree with him in some historical stuff.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9270 Posts
September 27 2017 21:21 GMT
#19046
ignore Europe


Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was under the impression that "Europe" is against separatist movements in general. I remember something about EU officials saying that Catalonians or Scots should be very careful about seceding, because if they do that, they'll automatically leave the union and lose their access to the common market.

Getting Trump's support wasn't an alternative, it's just a bonus.
You're now breathing manually
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11735 Posts
September 27 2017 21:25 GMT
#19047
On September 28 2017 06:21 Sent. wrote:
Show nested quote +
ignore Europe


Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was under the impression that "Europe" is against separatist movements in general. I remember something about EU officials saying that Catalonians or Scots should be very careful about seceding, because if they do that, they'll automatically leave the union and lose their access to the common market.

Getting Trump's support wasn't an alternative, it's just a bonus.


EU is against separatists precisely because of spain and catalonia. Since new countries are technically new countries, they would have to join the EU anew, which requires that all countries in the EU agree to that. (That doesn't necessarily need to be overly complex though) And since spain doesn't want catalonia to secede, it is assumed that they wouldn't allow any separatists from other countries to join the EU, either.
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10137 Posts
September 27 2017 21:27 GMT
#19048
It's about raising critics about his handling of the referendum (which has been raised in Europe), not about if Catalonia should or should not be independent. He is doing it to avoid as much bad press in national media as possible.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10842 Posts
September 27 2017 22:01 GMT
#19049
On September 28 2017 02:20 Mafe wrote:
so remind me, ETA was basque and unrelated to catalans?



Yes?
sc-darkness
Profile Joined August 2017
856 Posts
September 27 2017 22:26 GMT
#19050
On September 28 2017 06:25 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2017 06:21 Sent. wrote:
ignore Europe


Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was under the impression that "Europe" is against separatist movements in general. I remember something about EU officials saying that Catalonians or Scots should be very careful about seceding, because if they do that, they'll automatically leave the union and lose their access to the common market.

Getting Trump's support wasn't an alternative, it's just a bonus.


EU is against separatists precisely because of spain and catalonia. Since new countries are technically new countries, they would have to join the EU anew, which requires that all countries in the EU agree to that. (That doesn't necessarily need to be overly complex though) And since spain doesn't want catalonia to secede, it is assumed that they wouldn't allow any separatists from other countries to join the EU, either.


It begs the question why Kosovo was ok... :D It's not in the EU but the question is the same.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11735 Posts
September 27 2017 22:36 GMT
#19051
It is not necessarily about "ok" or "not ok". It is about how much certain countries can actually influence things.

Spain has a lot of power in this case, because as a EU country, it basically has a veto on any country joining the EU (As all EU countries have to agree on those). Spain doesn't really like people separating from their host countries, because it has its own separatist problem with catalonia and the basques. Thus, they are not likely to help a country that just seceded from an EU state to join the EU. Most other EU countries (or countries in general) don't view secession as that bad, because no part of their country wants to secede.

In the case of Kosovo, spain didn't have that power of veto. And thus, noone really cared what spain thought about it. Also, the situation was a bit different with the genocide going on.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18206 Posts
September 27 2017 22:45 GMT
#19052
Wow, I'm hardly an expert on Catalan history. But essentially they have a long history of interleaved periods of being a happy part of Spain and fighting wars with Castillians. As with all countries, history is always long and never simple, and it's worth noting that Catalonia and Castillia have been on opposing sides of plenty of civil wars, almost invariably with Catalonia backing the eventual losers. I still find it somewhat hilarious that the Diada (September 11, the National Day of Catalonia) is a celebration of a battle they LOST (the fall of Barcelona in the War of Succession), and the start of a period of repression of Catalan culture (in a nutshell, the Catalans supported the Habsburg pretender to the throne, and the Bourbons won the war. They wanted to style their kingdom after the French manner of centralizing everything in Paris, and didn't want to deal with Catalan rebellions, so they built a giant fortress around Barcelona, and tried to repress the Catalan language... this was back in the 18th century, btw). The Catalans were also on opposing sides from Castillians during the Carlist wars, and in some ways, the Spanish Civil War (although as always, regions are not homogeneous).

So it is definitely not true to state that Catalonia has a long peaceful history within Spain and independence movement is new.. it has been around since at least the 18th century. That said, the historical and cultural aspects are mostly irrelevant to the current movement. Insofar as politicians refer to history at all, it's to Franco (who made another attempt at repressing the Catalan language). The thing is, though, that Catalonia was quite onboard with the constitution as drafted after the establishment of democracy: Taradellas and Pujol could probably have leveraged their power to get a similar exceptional status to that of the Basque country (and Navarra), but at that time, I believe the fear of sparking a new civil war was probably greater than the call for Catalan autonomy (which unlike the Basque country, did not have a terrorist organization fighting for independence... Terra Lliure was both ineffective and had no popular support). But things have changed, and mainly due to economic reasons. Feel free to read my previous post a few pages back for my take on that.

But once again, I'm a foreigner living here, and never learned this history in school, and am working off what I have read and talked about over time during my stay here.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9270 Posts
September 27 2017 22:50 GMT
#19053
I agree that it's mostly about Spain's right to veto, but I think it's also because of the general European solidarity against separatism.

Any European capital wouldn't back separatists from other EU member state because if they did, they would ruin their relations with that state AND have a harder time in dealing with their own separatists. For example: Corisican or Silesian indepedence movements aren't serious now, but I'm convinced Paris or Warsaw wouldn't like it if Corisica or Silesia had an example to follow at some unspecified time in the future.

We supported Kosovo because we thought it was worth it, there is no reason to back Catalonia. At least not until Spain starts treating Catalonians like Turkey treats Kurds. + Show Spoiler +
in before certain Turkish poster shows up
You're now breathing manually
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 23:02:31
September 27 2017 23:01 GMT
#19054
Tell me one place in the world where separatism isn't fought with violence, usually even genocide. If you look at the map Europe is a pretty split up place, despite it being quite homogenous in many aspects. Except for languages there are no huge cultural or organizational barriers these days.
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10137 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 23:26:38
September 27 2017 23:25 GMT
#19055
Acrofales, outside of Catalonia, we learn very little history about Catalonia and Spain interactions from high school. Well, or atleast that what has been my experience where we don't get much history outside of our very own comunidad autónoma and the country as a whole. And i am also at fault because i haven't done much to expand on it.

While we can say that it is fueled by economical reasons (2011 and 2012 asking for a fiscal policy change, which probably was reasonable), catalonians having a chunk of their population wanting independence is not new and solely based on economical factors. I remember having these discussions back in 2006-2007 with catalonian friends when i worked there, and even in the best years economically speaking, the youth was already quite on board with the prospects of leaving Spain, or atleast, a majority of college students i met at the time. They felt that the Spanish goverment was culturally repressing them. If i am not mistaken since the late 90's, there was a lot of discussion going on about catalonian language being forced as mandatory ahead of spanish as an ever present polemic. Maybe it wasn't as loud as it is nowadays, or neither has the same popular support, but the conflict has been ever present.

Offtopic and anecdotical, but it was on Alicante (Valencia) where i actually had to deal with having exams in valencià and the teacher telling me to suck it up, but never had a problem in Barcelona (well, except with some clients who were complete douches, but it was more related to skin tone).
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 28 2017 00:18 GMT
#19056
One of the most prominent figures in the nationalist Alternative for Germany said Tuesday she plans to leave the party, even as other lawmakers from the anti-migrant party held their first meeting after a strong showing at the polls.

The announcement from Frauke Petry, the party's co-chairwoman since 2015, came after Alternative for Germany, or AfD, won 12.6 percent of the vote in Sunday's election to secure seats in the national parliament for the first time.

Petry told reporters Tuesday in the eastern city of Dresden she would leave the party "in the coming days." She said it was "the logical consequence of what has happened in recent months in our party."

She played a key role in moving AfD's focus from opposing eurozone bailouts to migration when she took over in 2015, but has been increasingly sidelined in recent months.

Petry has said she aimed to make the AfD ready for government in 2021, and urged her party earlier this year to exclude members who expressed extremist views.

"We think this country urgently needs political change, but we no longer consider our party in a position to take it in hand" after months of in-fighting, she said Tuesday.

"Of course I want to continue pushing for political change in 2021 as an individual lawmaker, and perhaps later in a different configuration that it's far too early to speak about," she added.

Petry had already announced Monday that she wouldn't join the party's parliamentary group, but left her future open. Other leaders then urged her to leave the party altogether.

Her husband, Marcus Pretzell, the party leader in the western state of North Rhine-Westphalia and a regional lawmaker there, told The Associated Press that he is also leaving AfD.

AfD won 94 of the 709 seats in the new German parliament, including Petry's. It wasn't immediately clear whether any other federal lawmakers would follow her departure.

Fellow AfD members appeared relatively unconcerned by the news as they gathered in Berlin.

Sunday's election left Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservative bloc weakened but still easily the biggest group in parliament. Merkel now faces a complicated task in forming a coalition most likely with the pro-business Free Democrats and the traditionally left-leaning Greens.

Her partners in the outgoing government, the center-left Social Democrats, say they will go into opposition after they lost substantial support.

Before she can haggle with other parties, Merkel will have to smooth over tensions with the Christian Social Union, the Bavaria-only sister to her own conservative Christian Democratic Union.

The CSU leader, Bavarian governor Horst Seehofer, feuded with Merkel over the 2015-16 migrant influx and demanded a fixed annual limit on the number of asylum-seekers Germany accepts.

The pair buried their differences in recent months, but Seehofer has insisted since election night that the conservatives need to close an "open flank" to their right.

"We must make clear to the public we have understood (that) just carrying on wouldn't be good," Seehofer said, adding that people "expect policies that react to this election result."

Merkel said Monday she "can't see what we should do differently." But Seehofer said after meeting her Tuesday he has "great confidence" that they will close ranks.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
fronkschnonk
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany622 Posts
September 28 2017 14:11 GMT
#19057
Sadly it doesn't look like many members of the Bundestag from the AfD will follow Petry (so far only her Husband Pretzell, leader of the afd faction in the parliament of Nordrhein-Westfalen).
But it still could be a sign of quarrel in the AfD. If more so-called "moderate" people like Petry leave the AfD, the party will become more and more clearly a far-right party, which could be easier politically isolated. But in the end the social injustices will have to be tempered at least to stop far-right views being successful.
Furthermore, I consider that some kind of Code A must be reestablished.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 28 2017 14:19 GMT
#19058
Of course there is internal dissent. A party that never had to do much governing catapulted to relevance by the tone deafness of its opposition now having to come to terms with a new reality. But they will find a new equilibrium.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
September 28 2017 15:00 GMT
#19059
On September 28 2017 23:11 fronkschnonk wrote:
Sadly it doesn't look like many members of the Bundestag from the AfD will follow Petry (so far only her Husband Pretzell, leader of the afd faction in the parliament of Nordrhein-Westfalen).
But it still could be a sign of quarrel in the AfD. If more so-called "moderate" people like Petry leave the AfD, the party will become more and more clearly a far-right party, which could be easier politically isolated. But in the end the social injustices will have to be tempered at least to stop far-right views being successful.


Doesn't work, happened in Austria. Twice. First the liberals left the populists and formed the LIF. Then the populists left the Nazis and formed the BZÖ. Both movements failed, the far-right preveiled.
FPÖ nowadays is under the control of former Neonazi Strache and far-right fraternities that are pledged to overcoming the historical abomination Austria to rejoin a Greater Germany, take back Southern Tyrol and so on. They are polling at 25%.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10842 Posts
September 28 2017 15:45 GMT
#19060
Also happened in Switzerland, while the split up part of the SVP is still around, its very small.
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