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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 952

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 25 2017 23:04 GMT
#19021
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.
sc-darkness
Profile Joined August 2017
856 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-25 23:08:19
September 25 2017 23:07 GMT
#19022
On September 26 2017 08:04 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.


What if this causes hysteria? It might sound shocking to you but I know at least one bank which has bankrupted due to hysteria and people withdrawing their money in response.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 25 2017 23:08 GMT
#19023
On September 26 2017 08:07 sc-darkness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 08:04 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.


What if this causes hysteria? It might sound shocking to you but I know at least one bank which has bankrupt due to hysteria and people withdrawing their money in response.

What would cause hysteria?
sc-darkness
Profile Joined August 2017
856 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-25 23:12:07
September 25 2017 23:09 GMT
#19024
On September 26 2017 08:08 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 08:07 sc-darkness wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:04 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.


What if this causes hysteria? It might sound shocking to you but I know at least one bank which has bankrupt due to hysteria and people withdrawing their money in response.

What would cause hysteria?


People's Court? This actually reminds me about something... You know what regime used that? Communism.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 25 2017 23:24 GMT
#19025
On September 26 2017 08:09 sc-darkness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2017 08:08 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:07 sc-darkness wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:04 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2017 08:01 Sent. wrote:
On September 26 2017 07:53 TheDwf wrote:
I find it amusing that some people worry about possible "mistakes" with direct democracy, when you witness every year some catastrophic decisions taken by representative ones. For instance, do you think bankers would have ran with the loot after the 2008 crisis had people been directly consulted about what should have been done?


I assume few bankers would be jailed, then the banking system would collapse due to some populistic "reforms" and we would be in a middle of giant economic crisis right now, while the rest of the bankers would laugh at us poor peasants from their estates outside of the reach of the European law enforcement.

And I think we would have some bankers in jail + a more stable banking system with healthier regulation... and less debts to pay.


What if this causes hysteria? It might sound shocking to you but I know at least one bank which has bankrupt due to hysteria and people withdrawing their money in response.

What would cause hysteria?


People's Court? This actually reminds me about something... You know what regime used that? Communism.

Don't tempt me
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 26 2017 00:01 GMT
#19026
This would not improve things...

Spain’s attorney general has refused to rule out the possibility of arresting the Catalan president, as the region’s pro-sovereignty government prepares to defy Madrid by holding an independence referendum on Sunday.

José Manuel Maza said that Carles Puigdemont could face action for disobedience, breaching public duties and misuse of public funds for proceeding with the poll after Spain’s constitutional court suspended the hastily passed legislation underpinning the vote.

Maza said the regional president could be arrested for misuse of public funds as the crime carries a jail sentence. On Monday, he told Onda Cero radio that although such a move had not been judged “timely” as yet, adding: “It’s a decision that’s always available.”

Speaking days after Spanish police arrested 14 Catalan officials, seized almost 10m ballot papers and chartered ferries to accommodate the thousands of extra police officers who are being sent to Catalonia to stop the referendum, Maza rejected suggestions that the government was being heavy-handed.

“On the contrary, we’re making an effort every day not to go beyond what the law allows and, of course, not to be disproportionate,” he said.

Puigdemont, however, has accused the Spanish government of acting “beyond the limits of a respectable democracy” in its effort to stop the vote. He has promised to declare independence within 48 hours of a victory for the yes campaign.

The Spanish prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, has repeatedly said the unilateral referendum will not be allowed to take place because it is illegal and a clear breach of the constitution.

Speaking to reporters in Barcelona on Sunday, the Spanish infrastructure minister, Iñigo de la Serna, said the vote would not happen and rubbished talk of a unilateral declaration of independence.

“As far as we’re concerned, what is proposed for 1 October lacks all the normal guarantees and therefore has nothing to do with a referendum,” said Iñigo de la Serna. “To be a referendum, it has to be legal, and if it’s not, it’s something else.”

He repeated the government’s assertion that it was willing to enter into dialogue if the Catalan government abandoned its attempt to hold a referendum, but said there were currently no meetings planned between the Spanish and Catalan administrations.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10165 Posts
September 26 2017 11:02 GMT
#19027
As much i despise the PP, and how much they are to blame for the current situation through budget and complete lack of communication with the catalonian goverment for years (and it's not a hyperbole), this all could had been avoided if the PSOE backed the right for Catalonia to do a referendum and joined forces with the nationalists and podemos back on the elections. It's not like we didn't know this was coming.

Now they are spouting their federal argument on every media channel they can, but fall on deaf ears since they have no power to put their money where they mouth is.

It's just a shitshow from all sides.
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1967 Posts
September 26 2017 14:53 GMT
#19028
Are there more then economical reasons for the independence of the catalonians? The Kingdom of Aragon ceased to be independent in the 15th century, and even though the Catalonians were not quite as integrated for the first centuries, that's an awfully long time to reverse in the 21st century. Considering that Spain and France are the longest standing centralized countries in Europe, it would mean every other european state could over night brake apart. Or am i completely unaware of the long struggle of the catalonians to break off after 1689? My german Bundesland of Baden-Württemberg has probably less that binds it to a centralized german Country then Catalonia to Spain.
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-26 20:44:09
September 26 2017 20:43 GMT
#19029
Since I assume that most of us are still rather young I have some breaking news for everyone: "Acquiring property is a good way to prevent poverty in old age for young people."
Thank god for conservatives. I would be totally lost without their guidance. I'm off now, gonna buy some nice big flat in Vienna tonight. It's just that easy and I never saw it! Tomorrow I'm gonna start eating cake instead of bread. What glorious times we live in!
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-26 20:58:11
September 26 2017 20:58 GMT
#19030
Yeah, acquiring property is a good idea. Definitely should give it a shot.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 26 2017 21:28 GMT
#19031
On September 27 2017 05:43 Big J wrote:
Since I assume that most of us are still rather young I have some breaking news for everyone: "Acquiring property is a good way to prevent poverty in old age for young people."
Thank god for conservatives. I would be totally lost without their guidance. I'm off now, gonna buy some nice big flat in Vienna tonight. It's just that easy and I never saw it! Tomorrow I'm gonna start eating cake instead of bread. What glorious times we live in!

Just fly back in time...



{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 26 2017 21:42 GMT
#19032
On Sunday, September 17, Juan Ignacio Zoido, Spain’s Twitter-happy minister of the interior, posted a strange video on his feed. The 24-second clip showed scores of boxes the authorities had seized, most still in their original packaging, located in a nondescript warehouse. Had they found drugs? No. Money? Also no. As the camera approached, it showed a poster with “Sí” in bold, block letters. The Spanish police, it turned out, had confiscated 1.3 million posters, fliers, and pamphlets calling for a “Yes” vote in the upcoming Catalan referendum on independence, which is scheduled to take place across the region on October 1. Hours later, Interior Ministry officials posted a DEA-style picture on Twitter of their entire loot.

The police confiscations indicate the degree to which tensions between the central government in Madrid and Catalonia’s regional government in Barcelona, known as the Generalitat, have escalated in recent weeks. As it turned out, they were only the first salvo in a series of draconian measures that have left many Catalans and Spaniards reeling, pushing the country to the edge of its most serious constitutional crisis since the end of the Franco dictatorship.

Once Catalonia announced the referendum in early September, Madrid immediately launched an appeal with the country’s Constitutional Court, which then proceeded to suspend the measures while it considered their legality—a process that can take many months. Spain’s 1978 Constitution grants the region limited autonomy, including the right to its own parliament, language, and police force, but also declares Spain “indivisible.” As such, there are no provisions for regional secession, and referenda of any kind can only be issued by the central state, for the entire state.

President of the Generalitat Carles Puigdemont and other Catalan leaders have declared their intention to proceed with the October 1 referendum anyway. According to leaders in Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s administration, the Catalan president and his cabinet’s brazen acts of disobedience may be punished with stiff fines and prison sentences, including years of disbarment from active politics. (Some of them have been prosecuted for conducting a similar referendum in 2014.)

“We will apply the law in its full force,” Rajoy, the conservative leader of Spain’s Popular Party (PP), announced in early September. The key word, it turns out, was “force.” On September 13 and again on September 16, the national police shuttered Catalonia’s official referendum website. On September 14, the Supreme Court of Catalonia ordered the national police to compile a list of media organizations that were running referendum ads, marking them as possible targets for criminal proceedings. On September 19, the Spanish Finance Ministry took over the Catalan treasury; it even ordered that banks block the credit cards of the Generalitat in compliance with the national court’s suspension of the referendum. On September 20, Madrid announced that it was sending some 4,000 riot police to Catalonia to help “maintain order” in the run-up to the referendum. (Given the lack of housing, they are being lodged in several chartered cruise ships anchored in Catalan harbors; the fact that one of them features gigantic images of Looney Tunes characters has provided some comic relief.)
Also on September 20, the national police raided several offices of the Generalitat and arrested 14 officials, including the second-in-command of Catalan Vice President Oriol Junqueras, who were charged with disobedience, misuse of funds, and sedition. The Constitutional Court then proceeded to impose individual fines of between $7,000 and $14,000 for every day they continued to work on the referendum. To shelter the officials from this liability, the Catalan government had no choice but to relieve them of their duties—in effect dissolving the governing body responsible for safeguarding the referendum’s integrity. On September 23, Zoido’s Interior Ministry announced it was taking over command of Catalonia’s autonomous police force, the Mossos d’Esquadra, although the measure was presented as a mere issue of “coordination.”

According to article 155 of Spain’s Constitution, the central government may revoke a region’s autonomy if it poses a “serious threat” to the country’s interest. Despite not formally invoking the article, which would require a previous parliamentary procedure, Rajoy’s summary decision to take control of Catalonia’s finances and security apparatus has effectively revoked any autonomy the region had. To many, his bypassing of Parliament and reliance on a politicized judiciary point to an erosion of Spanish democracy.

Throughout the entire process, Rajoy has insisted that his government is simply “enforcing the law” and not “entering into the provocation” that the Catalan government is angling for. But many would argue that it is Rajoy who is the provocateur. His administration’s disproportionate measures have not only showcased its tone-deafness, but have, for many, also conjured the specter of Spain’s dictatorial past. Speaking at a meeting of left-wing parties looking to negotiate a state-sponsored referendum, Alberto Garzón, the leader of United Left, a left-wing coalition that includes the Spanish Communist Party, called the central government’s measures “characteristic of the Francoist dictatorship.” Rajoy, he said, was “a coward” for “hiding behind the law instead of taking a political position.”

Indeed, were Rajoy to pronounce his political position on Catalan independence, he’d have to confess to his deep-seated attachment to a unified Spain. His brand of Spanish nationalism is eerily close to that of erstwhile dictator Francisco Franco, a diehard centralist for whom the unity and cultural homogeneity of Spain was sacred. “Without doing so formally, Rajoy has decreed a state of exception,” Benet Salellas, a member of the Catalan parliament for the left-wing, assembly-based Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP), told us, referencing the concept developed by the Nazi jurist Carl Schmitt in Weimar Germany. In his indignant reaction to the arrests on September 20, Catalan President Puigdemont used the same phrase.

Given the battery of confiscations, prohibitions, and arrests, will the Catalans get to vote at all on self-determination on October 1? “It’s anybody’s guess,” Guillem Martínez, a journalist in Barcelona who writes for the weekly CTXT, told us the day after a million Catalans took to the streets on September 11, Catalonia’s National Day, to defend their right to vote. “Literally no one knows what will happen.”

While the repressive measures taken so far have certainly made a region-wide vote more difficult, the Catalans refuse to give up. In a nationally televised interview aired on September 24, Catalan President Puigdemont vowed to go ahead with the referendum. Meanwhile, the arrests of September 20 have prompted massive, ongoing demonstrations in Barcelona and elsewhere. More remarkable even is the fact that Rajoy’s heavy-handed response has sparked acts of solidarity across the country. Bilbao and San Sebastián, in the Basque Country, have seen protests over the past fortnight in support of the Catalan referendum. The Basque group Gure Esku Dago (“In Our Hands”), which organized the protests in Bilbao, has called for a major demonstration on September 30, the day before the scheduled vote in Catalonia. (Elsewhere, in Zaragoza, radical-right Spanish nationalists took to the streets to demand that the Catalan “traitors” be executed.)


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
September 26 2017 22:02 GMT
#19033
On September 27 2017 06:28 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2017 05:43 Big J wrote:
Since I assume that most of us are still rather young I have some breaking news for everyone: "Acquiring property is a good way to prevent poverty in old age for young people."
Thank god for conservatives. I would be totally lost without their guidance. I'm off now, gonna buy some nice big flat in Vienna tonight. It's just that easy and I never saw it! Tomorrow I'm gonna start eating cake instead of bread. What glorious times we live in!

Just fly back in time...

https://twitter.com/PeterStefanovi2/status/909034709468028930



If you showed this to a conservative they would probably feel confirmed. After all you must imagine how much taxes a fireman - that totally gets 200k nowadays because that's just how the economy works - must have to pay. Those damn socialist, don't they see that lowering the peak taxes is totally in the interest of people like fireman?
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 26 2017 22:20 GMT
#19034
On September 27 2017 07:02 Big J wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2017 06:28 TheDwf wrote:
On September 27 2017 05:43 Big J wrote:
Since I assume that most of us are still rather young I have some breaking news for everyone: "Acquiring property is a good way to prevent poverty in old age for young people."
Thank god for conservatives. I would be totally lost without their guidance. I'm off now, gonna buy some nice big flat in Vienna tonight. It's just that easy and I never saw it! Tomorrow I'm gonna start eating cake instead of bread. What glorious times we live in!

Just fly back in time...

https://twitter.com/PeterStefanovi2/status/909034709468028930



If you showed this to a conservative they would probably feel confirmed. After all you must imagine how much taxes a fireman - that totally gets 200k nowadays because that's just how the economy works - must have to pay. Those damn socialist, don't they see that lowering the peak taxes is totally in the interest of people like fireman?

Firefighters can simply marry daughters or sons of oligarchs. But since there are not enough oligarchs for this masterplan, we need more tax cuts for more oligarchs.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10950 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 07:15:55
September 27 2017 05:11 GMT
#19035
On September 26 2017 23:53 Broetchenholer wrote:
Are there more then economical reasons for the independence of the catalonians? The Kingdom of Aragon ceased to be independent in the 15th century, and even though the Catalonians were not quite as integrated for the first centuries, that's an awfully long time to reverse in the 21st century. Considering that Spain and France are the longest standing centralized countries in Europe, it would mean every other european state could over night brake apart. Or am i completely unaware of the long struggle of the catalonians to break off after 1689? My german Bundesland of Baden-Württemberg has probably less that binds it to a centralized german Country then Catalonia to Spain.


Uhm, like large parts of its history?

I read this article/blog yesterday (in german), you might find it intresting

In short, the struggle for more independence (not necessarily an own country) is centuries old and never went really away.

https://blog.tagesanzeiger.ch/historyreloaded/index.php/1671/warum-spanien-als-nation-scheitert/
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10165 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 12:04:03
September 27 2017 12:01 GMT
#19036
Sooo, while we are having this shitshow going, our president visited USA and Donald Trump, while also cancelling his presence on the european gathering to push for an european reform.

Mariano Rajoy, corrupt, incompetent, terrible reader and sometimes hilariously dumb just added fellatio master to his resumee.

Donald Trump: “It would be foolish of Catalonia not to stay with Spain"

"I bet you if you had accurate numbers and accurate polling, you’d find that they love their country, they love Spain."
DONALD TRUMP ON THE CATALANS


https://www.google.es/amp/s/elpais.com/elpais/2017/09/27/inenglish/1506498314_493491.amp.html

And obviously this is running in the main national media like some sort of a win for "constitutionalists".

warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2397 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-27 14:38:58
September 27 2017 14:38 GMT
#19037
Judging from the past, for Catalonia to become independent, either a majority of the Spanish must be willing to grant it or a large number of Catalans must be willing to fight for the cause. Is either of those true?
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10165 Posts
September 27 2017 15:23 GMT
#19038
Define a large number of catalans. If we take the plebiscite they did back in 2015 during elections as any reference: They lost it, but pretty much it's a 50/50. So yeah, it's pretty large imo, atleast enough to deserve an honest debate.

I don't have any numbers for spanish, but it's a right+center vs left divide. So while i am sure there is a good chunk of the population who doesn't mind catalonia having their a (legal) referendum, the center and the right won't and they are the majority (called constitutionalists).
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11982 Posts
September 27 2017 15:27 GMT
#19039
On September 28 2017 00:23 Godwrath wrote:
Define a large number of catalans. If we take the plebiscite they did back in 2015 during elections as any reference: They lost it, but pretty much it's a 50/50. So yeah, it's pretty large imo, atleast enough to deserve an honest debate.

I don't have any numbers for spanish, but it's a right+center vs left divide. So while i am sure there is a good chunk of the population who doesn't mind catalonia having their a (legal) referendum, the center and the right won't and they are the majority (called constitutionalists).


I think the difference here is between supporting something by voting for it, and actually be willing to fight for it IRA style. Actually killing people until you get the thing you want. Maybe there is a different way, too.

But historically, nations become independent either when the main nation is no longer interested in having them or doesn't care about it, or if their people are willing to kill people until that happens. There are also some rare situations where they don't kill people, but just die until they get their independence, like India. But there is a huge difference in commitment between voting for something and dying/killing for it.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10950 Posts
September 27 2017 16:16 GMT
#19040
There is also slowakia and czechia.
Slowakia got fucked economically but thats not really the point here.

Countries with more independent regions also exist a plenty. Afaik the Catalans are/were pissed because they didn't even really get that.
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