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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action. |
It seems to me that there is a fundamental lack of understanding on behalf of the center left/center right parties about the causes of relative nativism (either on immigration or trade). When it is expected for the state to take care of the citizenry and there is a foreseeable lack of jobs this will almost invariably be the reaction of a substantial % of the population, and that is because they are not fully incorrect. Yes, there is a fixed pie of government resources, and yes there are native citizens that cannot maintain a high standard of living when forced to compete with international, or immigrant labor.
The choices for elites is to embrace them and erect a social safety net plus borders and manage the decline, or to deconstruct the net and embrace a hypercompetitive marketplace with significant portions of people being set behind others, but still likely being better off in a few generations.
The current strategy of managed decline + welcoming competition for those on the lowest rungs of the ladder is not a solution to either the political problems or the economic problems.
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On March 15 2016 03:14 AngryMag wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 03:01 Nyxisto wrote: yes, they rather became non-voters (which steadily increased over the last few decades) and now they've found a party they consider electable again that can mobilize them. I still don't understand how you aren't getting it Because you are saying that the AFD is atleast borderline right wing extremist, explain the non success of right wing movements with social stigma (despite the vote being secret) and then accuse the 15-20% AFD voters of having racist tendencies. Incoherent. There is either social stigma and if the AFD would be too far right they wouldn't have the success of the two last years. Or there is stigma and the AFD is not too far right because otherwise virtually no one would vote for them (like for NPD or whatever right wing movements) otherwise. Or there is no stigma at all because the vote is secret and no one gives a fuck. In all three cases your explanation is simply nonsense (past stigma-->no succes for right wing movements, now succes for supposed far right party because of magic)
I'm would just like to point out that another extremist right wing party (DVU) has had similiar success in the 1998 Saxony-Anhalt Parliament election. In the same way as the AFD they profiteered from protest voters, as well as giving racist voters a platform. So to me, what Nyxisto is arguing at least makes sense to me.
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On March 15 2016 04:52 Iridius wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 03:14 AngryMag wrote:On March 15 2016 03:01 Nyxisto wrote: yes, they rather became non-voters (which steadily increased over the last few decades) and now they've found a party they consider electable again that can mobilize them. I still don't understand how you aren't getting it Because you are saying that the AFD is atleast borderline right wing extremist, explain the non success of right wing movements with social stigma (despite the vote being secret) and then accuse the 15-20% AFD voters of having racist tendencies. Incoherent. There is either social stigma and if the AFD would be too far right they wouldn't have the success of the two last years. Or there is stigma and the AFD is not too far right because otherwise virtually no one would vote for them (like for NPD or whatever right wing movements) otherwise. Or there is no stigma at all because the vote is secret and no one gives a fuck. In all three cases your explanation is simply nonsense (past stigma-->no succes for right wing movements, now succes for supposed far right party because of magic) I'm would just like to point out that another extremist right wing party (DVU) has had similiar success in the 1998 Saxony-Anhalt Parliament election. In the same way as the AFD they profiteered from protest voters, as well as giving racist voters a platform. So to me, what Nyxisto is arguing at least makes sense to me.
But this+the one or other election were isolated incidents stretching over decades. AFD did not sit in one single parliament in 2013 (made the first one in 2014 I think) and is now sitting in 8, not missing one in the last 8 elections. You will see this trend continue and not because everyone is a nazi but because of the utter ineptitude to compromise with vast percentages of the population, the contempt towards the working class by today's left which is also displayed in this thread and various other reasons. Denial and demonizing will just help them.
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In the German context I think it is really ridiculous to talk about contempt for the working class. The AfD still has retained all their libertarian economic positions. They're opposed to minimum wages, they want tax cuts, are in favour of putting the burden of education and child support back to the family (which is pretty bad for people that aren't that well off). They're very Ukip like in that regard. How are these things going to help poor people? They're solely fuelled by their immigration position. It's pretty much the German version of Trump, they're not champions of the working class.
Which is by the way why I am very sure that the nativist and nationalist stuff is the main driving force here. If they'd be voting for socialists you could convince me that this is a class issue. But the AfD voters are screwing themselves over economically
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dude, what you suffer of is this: identity-protective cognition (quote from a .pdf) The “cultural cognition thesis” is a relatively new approach to science communication (e.g., see Kahan, 2010, 2012, 2015; Kahan, Jenkins-Smith, & Braman, 2011; Kahan et al., 2012). Theoretically, the approach can be seen as a conceptual marriage between the “cultural theory of risk” (Douglas & Wildavsky, 1982) and the psychometric paradigm (Slovic, 2000). Broadly, the theory aims to explain why groups with different “cultural outlooks” tend to disagree about important societal issues. In particular, the cultural cognition thesis argues that public disagreement over key societal risks (e.g., climate change, nuclear power) arises not because people fail to understand the science or lack relevant information, but rather as a result of the fact that “people endorse whichever position reinforces their connection to others with whom they share important ties” (Kahan, 2010, p. 296). This latter notion is central to much of the cultural cognition thesis and is generally referred to as a specific form of motivated reasoning, namely, “identity-protective cognition” (Kahan, 2012). Because espousing beliefs that are not congruent with the dominant sentiment in one’s group could threaten one’s position or status within the group, people may be motivated to “protect” their cultural identities. In fact, the cultural cognition thesis predicts that identity-protective reasoning is a mechanism that people unconsciously employ to assimilate (risk) information. In other words, people are expected to process information in a motivated way, that is, consistent with their cultural worldviews (Kahan, 2012). A key prediction that flows from this theory is that when people are exposed to (new) scientific information, “culturally” biased cognition will merely reinforce existing predispositions and cause groups with opposing values to become even more polarized on the respective issue (Kahan, 2010, 2012). (tldr /b so stop calling people names). if more and more people connect with the likes of Afd, means there's a real problem somewhere.
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The things I'm being accused of in this thread are getting weirder on every page
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well yea, but i gave you reason!.
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On March 15 2016 05:32 xM(Z wrote:dude, what you suffer of is this: identity-protective cognition(quote from a .pdf) Show nested quote +The “cultural cognition thesis” is a relatively new approach to science communication (e.g., see Kahan, 2010, 2012, 2015; Kahan, Jenkins-Smith, & Braman, 2011; Kahan et al., 2012). Theoretically, the approach can be seen as a conceptual marriage between the “cultural theory of risk” (Douglas & Wildavsky, 1982) and the psychometric paradigm (Slovic, 2000). Broadly, the theory aims to explain why groups with different “cultural outlooks” tend to disagree about important societal issues. In particular, the cultural cognition thesis argues that public disagreement over key societal risks (e.g., climate change, nuclear power) arises not because people fail to understand the science or lack relevant information, but rather as a result of the fact that “people endorse whichever position reinforces their connection to others with whom they share important ties” (Kahan, 2010, p. 296). This latter notion is central to much of the cultural cognition thesis and is generally referred to as a specific form of motivated reasoning, namely, “identity-protective cognition” (Kahan, 2012). Because espousing beliefs that are not congruent with the dominant sentiment in one’s group could threaten one’s position or status within the group, people may be motivated to “protect” their cultural identities. In fact, the cultural cognition thesis predicts that identity-protective reasoning is a mechanism that people unconsciously employ to assimilate (risk) information. In other words, people are expected to process information in a motivated way, that is, consistent with their cultural worldviews (Kahan, 2012). A key prediction that flows from this theory is that when people are exposed to (new) scientific information, “culturally” biased cognition will merely reinforce existing predispositions and cause groups with opposing values to become even more polarized on the respective issue (Kahan, 2010, 2012). (tldr /b so stop calling people names). if more and more people connect with the likes of Afd, means there's a real problem somewhere.
Sounds like a slightly more refined confirmation bias.
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On March 15 2016 05:15 Nyxisto wrote: In the German context I think it is really ridiculous to talk about contempt for the working class. The AfD still has retained all their libertarian economic positions. They're opposed to minimum wages, they want tax cuts, are in favour of putting the burden of education and child support back to the family (which is pretty bad for people that aren't that well off). They're very Ukip like in that regard. How are these things going to help poor people? They're solely fuelled by their immigration position. It's pretty much the German version of Trump, they're not champions of the working class.
Which is by the way why I am very sure that the nativist and nationalist stuff is the main driving force here. If they'd be voting for socialists you could convince me that this is a class issue. But the AfD voters are screwing themselves over economically
Those are perfectly reasonable positions for a working class person to hold, particularly one who is opposed to increased immigration. They realize the only protection a minimum wage would afford them is from competition from those immigrants for low skill labor positions, but also realize having a low minimum wage and relatively in check deficit is the reason Germany is the economic center of the EU right now.
Plus, if their support is concentrated in the relatively poorer East Germany it makes even more sense given their recent interactions with price controls and bread lines as recently as the early 90s.
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On March 15 2016 05:44 AngryMag wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 05:32 xM(Z wrote:dude, what you suffer of is this: identity-protective cognition(quote from a .pdf) The “cultural cognition thesis” is a relatively new approach to science communication (e.g., see Kahan, 2010, 2012, 2015; Kahan, Jenkins-Smith, & Braman, 2011; Kahan et al., 2012). Theoretically, the approach can be seen as a conceptual marriage between the “cultural theory of risk” (Douglas & Wildavsky, 1982) and the psychometric paradigm (Slovic, 2000). Broadly, the theory aims to explain why groups with different “cultural outlooks” tend to disagree about important societal issues. In particular, the cultural cognition thesis argues that public disagreement over key societal risks (e.g., climate change, nuclear power) arises not because people fail to understand the science or lack relevant information, but rather as a result of the fact that “people endorse whichever position reinforces their connection to others with whom they share important ties” (Kahan, 2010, p. 296). This latter notion is central to much of the cultural cognition thesis and is generally referred to as a specific form of motivated reasoning, namely, “identity-protective cognition” (Kahan, 2012). Because espousing beliefs that are not congruent with the dominant sentiment in one’s group could threaten one’s position or status within the group, people may be motivated to “protect” their cultural identities. In fact, the cultural cognition thesis predicts that identity-protective reasoning is a mechanism that people unconsciously employ to assimilate (risk) information. In other words, people are expected to process information in a motivated way, that is, consistent with their cultural worldviews (Kahan, 2012). A key prediction that flows from this theory is that when people are exposed to (new) scientific information, “culturally” biased cognition will merely reinforce existing predispositions and cause groups with opposing values to become even more polarized on the respective issue (Kahan, 2010, 2012). (tldr /b so stop calling people names). if more and more people connect with the likes of Afd, means there's a real problem somewhere. Sounds like a slightly more refined confirmation bias. confirmation bias is to identity-protective cognition what neanderthal is to sapiens.
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No, its pretty much the same thing. Only difference is that one is individual, and the other is social.
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one implies blind faith/mob mentality, the other accounts for reasoning/science.
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Which one is which? They are both forms of unreasoning.
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On March 15 2016 05:07 AngryMag wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 04:52 Iridius wrote:On March 15 2016 03:14 AngryMag wrote:On March 15 2016 03:01 Nyxisto wrote: yes, they rather became non-voters (which steadily increased over the last few decades) and now they've found a party they consider electable again that can mobilize them. I still don't understand how you aren't getting it Because you are saying that the AFD is atleast borderline right wing extremist, explain the non success of right wing movements with social stigma (despite the vote being secret) and then accuse the 15-20% AFD voters of having racist tendencies. Incoherent. There is either social stigma and if the AFD would be too far right they wouldn't have the success of the two last years. Or there is stigma and the AFD is not too far right because otherwise virtually no one would vote for them (like for NPD or whatever right wing movements) otherwise. Or there is no stigma at all because the vote is secret and no one gives a fuck. In all three cases your explanation is simply nonsense (past stigma-->no succes for right wing movements, now succes for supposed far right party because of magic) I'm would just like to point out that another extremist right wing party (DVU) has had similiar success in the 1998 Saxony-Anhalt Parliament election. In the same way as the AFD they profiteered from protest voters, as well as giving racist voters a platform. So to me, what Nyxisto is arguing at least makes sense to me. But this+the one or other election were isolated incidents stretching over decades. AFD did not sit in one single parliament in 2013 (made the first one in 2014 I think) and is now sitting in 8, not missing one in the last 8 elections. You will see this trend continue and not because everyone is a nazi but because of the utter ineptitude to compromise with vast percentages of the population, the contempt towards the working class by today's left which is also displayed in this thread and various other reasons. Denial and demonizing will just help them.
It may be true that the AFD has had more consecutive success than other extremist right wing parties. But the way in which they achieved their success is pretty text book for racist parties. There are probably many reasons, why they have so much success now, including the current crises. But I'm pretty sure, they profit more from unreasonable fears than reasonable ones.
That their voters are not all racists being said, the party leadership is very clearly racist and pro-nazi, going fro their election program alone.
With these thoughts in mind, I feel forced to believe their voters are either openly racist or not educated (or possibly uninformed). I find it hard to believe that someone, who is strongly against racism and well informed would willingly vote for these people.
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On March 15 2016 06:30 Dangermousecatdog wrote: Which one is which? They are both forms of unreasoning. i smell semantics dude; i won't do this. get the context of Nyx argument(educated=CDU vs uneducated=AFD) then read on confirmation bias(its wiki definition/explanation) then on ICT vs SCT experiments/studies. randomWhy does public conflict over societal risks persist in the face of compelling and widely accessible scientific evidence? We conducted an experiment to probe two alternative answers: the “Science Comprehension Thesis” (SCT), which identifies defects in the public’s knowledge and reasoning capacities as the source of such controversies; and the “Identity-protective Cognition Thesis” (ICT) which treats cultural conflict as disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science. In our experiment, we presented subjects with a difficult problem that turned on their ability to draw valid causal inferences from empirical data. As expected, subjects highest in Numeracy — a measure of the ability and disposition to make use of quantitative information — did substantially better than less numerate ones when the data were presented as results from a study of a new skin-rash treatment. Also as expected, subjects’ responses became politically polarized — and even less accurate — when the same data were presented as results from the study of a gun-control ban. But contrary to the prediction of SCT, such polarization did not abate among subjects highest in Numeracy; instead, it increased. This outcome supported ICT, which predicted that more Numerate subjects would use their quantitative-reasoning capacity selectively to conform their interpretation of the data to the result most consistent with their political outlooks. We discuss the theoretical and practical significance of these findings. so if your whole point was that "but the results are the same", then that's the semantics i won't go into and you're missing the whole point+ Show Spoiler +numerate people just as emotional ones, are stupid too; actually the former are stupider because they do it on purpose .
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On March 15 2016 04:25 OtherWorld wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 03:53 WhiteDog wrote:On March 15 2016 03:10 Nyxisto wrote: Higher educated / higher income individuals in Germany predominantly vote CDU/FDP/Green. So no, not socialist. They definitely vote less radical. Unionized working /middle class votes predominantly SPD, the poor and disenfrachised used to vote for the SPD but have largely moved to 'Die Linke', regional parties or the non-voter block (before this election). And why do educated and higher income individuals vote CDU FDP and Green and less radical ? Because the current situation benefit them more than uneducated people, not because they are more knowledgeable on anything. Uh? Anyone reasoning with their head and not their heart would realize that the parties that are supposedly "anti-mainstream" and not cut off from people's everyday lives are in fact just as corrupt and demagogue as the usual parties [be it anti-mainstream parties leaning toward the far right or the far left, btw], thus that it's no use voting for them if you think the current situation is not profiting you. Less educated voters generally tend to vote for more extreme/radical parties (in this day and age, at least) because they are generally more prone to use emotions in their thinking instead of reason, and that more radical parties like to play on emotions (especially fear, unsurprisingly) to get their point across. It has nothing to do with corruption, just that a society is not unified, but actually split in various groups with different interests and value systems. The center (right or left) defend the rich, the upper class or the middle class, sometimes the minorities, but almost no classical party defend the interests / values of the less educated and poorest - thus they don't vote, and a small part of those people vote for anti system parties (since the system does not benefit them).
Your vision is nothing but class racism by the way (the poor don't think lolz, they react through their emotions ... sure !). Even the distinction between emotion and rational thinking is stupid, there is no such things in reality ; like there is a part of the brain that is strictly used for emotions and another for logic, and somehow the less educated have that part less developped right ?
On March 15 2016 07:05 xM(Z wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 06:30 Dangermousecatdog wrote: Which one is which? They are both forms of unreasoning. i smell semantics dude; i won't do this. get the context of Nyx argument(educated=CDU vs uneducated=AFD) then read on confirmation bias(its wiki definition/explanation) then on ICT vs SCT experiments/studies. random Show nested quote +Why does public conflict over societal risks persist in the face of compelling and widely accessible scientific evidence? We conducted an experiment to probe two alternative answers: the “Science Comprehension Thesis” (SCT), which identifies defects in the public’s knowledge and reasoning capacities as the source of such controversies; and the “Identity-protective Cognition Thesis” (ICT) which treats cultural conflict as disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science. In our experiment, we presented subjects with a difficult problem that turned on their ability to draw valid causal inferences from empirical data. As expected, subjects highest in Numeracy — a measure of the ability and disposition to make use of quantitative information — did substantially better than less numerate ones when the data were presented as results from a study of a new skin-rash treatment. Also as expected, subjects’ responses became politically polarized — and even less accurate — when the same data were presented as results from the study of a gun-control ban. But contrary to the prediction of SCT, such polarization did not abate among subjects highest in Numeracy; instead, it increased. This outcome supported ICT, which predicted that more Numerate subjects would use their quantitative-reasoning capacity selectively to conform their interpretation of the data to the result most consistent with their political outlooks. We discuss the theoretical and practical significance of these findings. so if your whole point was that "but the results are the same", then that's the semantics i won't go into and you're missing the whole point + Show Spoiler +numerate people just as emotional ones, are stupid too; actually the former are stupider because they do it on purpose . Interesting work, do you have some link for me ?
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On March 15 2016 07:19 WhiteDog wrote: Your vision is nothing but class racism by the way (the poor don't think lolz, they react through their emotions ... sure !). Even the distinction between emotion and rational thinking is stupid, there is no such things in reality ; like there is a part of the brain that is strictly used for emotions and another for logic, and somehow the less educated have that part less developped right ?
The AfD wants to privatize unemployment benefits. That's the most drastic break with the German welfare state since I don't know when. They're the most neoliberal party in the race. That is what he means when he says irrational. They are voting against their economic interests 'because Muslims'. That is actually the opposite of class struggle, it's reverse identity politics. If they were actually fighting for their rights they'd fight alongside immigrants because those actually share their economic realities.
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On March 15 2016 07:29 Nyxisto wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 07:19 WhiteDog wrote: Your vision is nothing but class racism by the way (the poor don't think lolz, they react through their emotions ... sure !). Even the distinction between emotion and rational thinking is stupid, there is no such things in reality ; like there is a part of the brain that is strictly used for emotions and another for logic, and somehow the less educated have that part less developped right ? The AfD wants to privatize unemployment benefits. That's the most drastic break with the German welfare state since I don't know when. They're the most neoliberal party in the race. That is what he means when he says irrational. They are voting against their economic interests 'because Muslims'. That is actually the opposite of class struggle, it's reverse identity politics. If they were actually fighting for their rights they'd fight alongside immigrants because those actually share their economic realities. Yes, because you are thinking in utilitarian terms : economic interests, consumption power, wage, etc. This idea of rationality is incomplete : it's Max Weber who clearly explained that next to that utilitarian rationality (in finality), people had behavior that were rational in value. But sure, if you put the politics out of politics, I agree : those poor people are stupid as fuck. The nation or "fatherland" as a value for exemple is the brick on which the socialist movement crashed itself in 1914, and now europe (and Merkel) is doing the same.
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On March 15 2016 07:05 xM(Z wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 06:30 Dangermousecatdog wrote: Which one is which? They are both forms of unreasoning. i smell semantics dude; i won't do this. get the context of Nyx argument(educated=CDU vs uneducated=AFD) then read on confirmation bias(its wiki definition/explanation) then on ICT vs SCT experiments/studies. random Show nested quote +Why does public conflict over societal risks persist in the face of compelling and widely accessible scientific evidence? We conducted an experiment to probe two alternative answers: the “Science Comprehension Thesis” (SCT), which identifies defects in the public’s knowledge and reasoning capacities as the source of such controversies; and the “Identity-protective Cognition Thesis” (ICT) which treats cultural conflict as disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science. In our experiment, we presented subjects with a difficult problem that turned on their ability to draw valid causal inferences from empirical data. As expected, subjects highest in Numeracy — a measure of the ability and disposition to make use of quantitative information — did substantially better than less numerate ones when the data were presented as results from a study of a new skin-rash treatment. Also as expected, subjects’ responses became politically polarized — and even less accurate — when the same data were presented as results from the study of a gun-control ban. But contrary to the prediction of SCT, such polarization did not abate among subjects highest in Numeracy; instead, it increased. This outcome supported ICT, which predicted that more Numerate subjects would use their quantitative-reasoning capacity selectively to conform their interpretation of the data to the result most consistent with their political outlooks. We discuss the theoretical and practical significance of these findings. so if your whole point was that "but the results are the same", then that's the semantics i won't go into and you're missing the whole point + Show Spoiler +numerate people just as emotional ones, are stupid too; actually the former are stupider because they do it on purpose . No semantics needed. Both confirmation bias and identity-protective cognition are both as acknowledged by your own very quote to "disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science". Why continue to embarrass yourself? Why quote something totally irrelevent that contradicts yourself in order to be proven wrong?
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On March 15 2016 07:39 Dangermousecatdog wrote:Show nested quote +On March 15 2016 07:05 xM(Z wrote:On March 15 2016 06:30 Dangermousecatdog wrote: Which one is which? They are both forms of unreasoning. i smell semantics dude; i won't do this. get the context of Nyx argument(educated=CDU vs uneducated=AFD) then read on confirmation bias(its wiki definition/explanation) then on ICT vs SCT experiments/studies. random Why does public conflict over societal risks persist in the face of compelling and widely accessible scientific evidence? We conducted an experiment to probe two alternative answers: the “Science Comprehension Thesis” (SCT), which identifies defects in the public’s knowledge and reasoning capacities as the source of such controversies; and the “Identity-protective Cognition Thesis” (ICT) which treats cultural conflict as disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science. In our experiment, we presented subjects with a difficult problem that turned on their ability to draw valid causal inferences from empirical data. As expected, subjects highest in Numeracy — a measure of the ability and disposition to make use of quantitative information — did substantially better than less numerate ones when the data were presented as results from a study of a new skin-rash treatment. Also as expected, subjects’ responses became politically polarized — and even less accurate — when the same data were presented as results from the study of a gun-control ban. But contrary to the prediction of SCT, such polarization did not abate among subjects highest in Numeracy; instead, it increased. This outcome supported ICT, which predicted that more Numerate subjects would use their quantitative-reasoning capacity selectively to conform their interpretation of the data to the result most consistent with their political outlooks. We discuss the theoretical and practical significance of these findings. so if your whole point was that "but the results are the same", then that's the semantics i won't go into and you're missing the whole point + Show Spoiler +numerate people just as emotional ones, are stupid too; actually the former are stupider because they do it on purpose . No semantics needed. Both confirmation bias and identity-protective cognition are both as acknowledged by your own very quote to "disabling the faculties that members of the public use to make sense of decision-relevant science". Why continue to embarrass yourself? Why quote something totally irrelevent that contradicts yourself in order to be proven wrong? You're funny.
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