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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1404

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26223 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 16:32:03
April 08 2025 16:31 GMT
#28061
On April 08 2025 10:22 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2025 21:27 WombaT wrote:
Any Spaniards or just those with more knowledge of the sitch here able to comment on recent developments and these protests we’re seeing?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp8je0xewlgo

Another piece I was reading but subsequently misplaced was also talking rather a lot about AirBnB’s role. Obviously not the sole boogeyman here. Especially its increasing status as a short term, commercial landlord company in a de facto sense, minus any of those obligations due to loopholes, and distorting housing stock towards insecure, short-term rentals.

Is there any great groundswell, or indication of government willingness to essentially close the loopholes here?

If so, it could be quite big and impactful Europe-wide if they do go that route. Hey, I want my Spanish brothers and sisters to have their rather legitimate gripes addressed, and if it’s just that it’s still a win in my book. But it’s a problem in the UK, it’s a problem in Ireland as well.

As someone who noticed that first-hand, it's definitely true and obviously a problem. I was pretty lucky. I moved away in 2012 and back in 2016. When we rented in 2011, we got a pretty good flat in the center of a very well-to-do satellite town of Barcelona for 900 €. When we got back in 2016 we got an inadequate and bedbug infested flat for roughly that. We were able to get out of the rent and find something else, but not for under 1200 € for a smaller flat than we had had before. We were looking at rent prices and potential mortgages, and renting was a financial trap, but having no credit history for 4 years meant the banks weren't going to give us a mortgage. In 2020, we bought a home, and instead of paying 1300/month in rent, went to 700/month for a mortgage of a far bigger flat. Not quite as popular a location (but better for us). Right now, our neighbour (same building, slightly larger flat) rents for 1800/month. It's a two-bedroom flat, so kinda okay, but cramped for a family with 2 kids.the median wage is roughly 2000/month in Spain (slightly higher in Barcelona region). The cost of renting in "popular" places is absurd.

As for doing stuff, the federal government wants to, but not a lot they can do. In the case of Barcelona, the rent caps are horrendously backfiring. I have colleagues complaining they can't get a normal rental, and have to accept a "seasonal" rental contract. Seasonal rental contracts are anything under 1 year, so they set them up for 11 months. They are also not covered by the rent cap law, so a rather massive loophole.

The flip side, is of course, that Spain has vast regions where housing is dirt cheap. You want to live in Teruel or Soria or so? Rental for a nice town house is probably about 600/month. But there's no work. And these are pleasant, small cities with all facilities (but no airport). A friend is an avid surfer and we can work remote. He's now renting a (small) house on the beach in Cantabria and he's paying less for the house than he did for a *room* in Barcelona.

Airbnb is a part of it, but tourist rental is not the whole problem. I can't tell you what all the issues are, but I'd say the barrier to being able to buy is not helping either. I compare myself to my brother, who bought a flat in 2006 (things were temporarily harder, but I heard they're now back to being like this again) with his then-girlfriend, in the center of Amsterdam. They were both recently done studying and had decent jobs. They got a mortgage for 100% the value of their flat, and a mortgage insurance to cover the case where the value of the flat dropped and they were forced to sell. They could also deduct interest payments from their taxes (since then this has been reduced). In Spain it's highly unusual to get more than 80% of the value, there's no such thing as an insurance, and no tax benefits (there used to be some). This means as an individual, you need more cash, and run a higher risk. Interest payments are similar, because they're all pegged to the Euribor regardless. Part of this is historic and part of it is because 2008 hit Spain exceptionally hard, but it means someone starting a new job *cannot* buy a home. They first need to save up 20-30% of the value of a home. Someone living paycheck to paycheck will therefore *never* be able to buy a home. Now comparing the housing market of Spain and the Netherlands is difficult. The Netherlands is notoriously overheated (at least in the Randstad part). But another thing that is somewhat available in the Netherlands is social housing, which puts some downward pressure on rent prices. It's insufficient, with long LONG waiting lists, but, impossibly, much much better than in Spain.

Finally, and anecdotally, I've noticed a serious uptick in foreigners (like me) who seem to live here. I was talking to some friends the other day, and we hypothesised that they're digital nomads (unlike me). Those 11-month rental contracts are perfect for them. They move here for a while, and then when their rental contract is up, move on to Italy... or Indonesia. If there's generally speaking as many around the whole area as there are in my town, that's another group putting pressure on the rental market.

Cheers for the comprehensive response! Are you foreign to Spain? I’d just always assumed you were a Spanish native!

Thanks for the comprehensive response and yeah it’s just fucking complicated to actually fix. Plus the actual problems will differ from locale to locale, often quite considerably.

Dublin you’re seeing these problems for sure. Technically GDP per capita is through the roof, but a lot of that is from folks working in various tech companies or whatever, and some of them are somewhat temporarily living there.

One practice that seems to be quite common, in many places is the combination of property capital gradually buying out standard rental housing and converting it to AirBnBs, but rather than service the tourist types, basically just using it as standard rental property without any of the regulatory oversight.

The overall problem is a gigantic fucker. I think there’s pretty simple solutions really, but not ones that are remotely political palatable

You can close that loophole though, 100%, it just takes a bit of agitation and some balls.

Uber exists here over in Northern Ireland but alongside traditional taxi companies and hasn’t loss-lead to dominate the sector subsequently simply because they were subject to the same rules rather than ‘technically it’s a ride sharing operation consisting of independent contractors’ or whatever
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1057 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-09 08:45:59
April 09 2025 08:30 GMT
#28062
China won't budge and if we won't budge your average US consumer, living paycheck to paycheck, is fucked. I say bring it on. The US may be volatile to Trumps bullshit, i hope we're not. New German chancellor to be sworn in, looking forward to the traditional visit in Washington. If Merz shows some balls he could turn the public opinion about him.

The insanity of those policies, tariffing coffee/cocoa and cheap fashion producers they created by trade deficit. Looking forward to return those jobs to the US?
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4736 Posts
April 09 2025 09:28 GMT
#28063
Unfortunetly it seems that Italians and French are too scared of Trump and EU is not going to introduce targeted tarrifs:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/08/eu-drops-plans-to-hit-american-bourbon-with-retaliatory-tariffs

How can one industry, not even that important one, be dicatating the policy of 27 countries block? They are waiting for China to do their job for them...
Pathetic Greta hater.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
April 09 2025 09:59 GMT
#28064
The article says the EU is planning targeted retaliatory tariffs, just not on bourbon
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4736 Posts
April 09 2025 10:06 GMT
#28065
Yeah I know that. But less than they initially planned. Now they wont tarriff burbon etc. because they got scared after Trump treatend 200% tarrifs on wine. That might be a smart play vs Trump, but I really dont like that we are getting bullied.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9753 Posts
April 09 2025 10:09 GMT
#28066
On April 09 2025 19:06 Silvanel wrote:
Yeah I know that. But less than they initially planned. Now they wont tarriff burbon etc. because they got scared after Trump treatend 200% tarrifs on wine. That might be a smart play vs Trump, but I really dont like that we are getting bullied.


The smart play as the EU right now is to watch what China do, and use that as leverage.
Just threatening to double down on whatever tariffs China apply could make things look extremely dire for the US.
RIP Meatloaf <3
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2671 Posts
April 09 2025 10:10 GMT
#28067
Also these are the counter to the previous tariffs on steel and aluminium, not the new ones.

EU moves slowly.

I think they want to give it a while. Let US consumers taste their own tariffs for a while and exhaust negotiations.

EU holds quite a bit of leverage here. If they make a deal with the US that puts immense pressure on China.
If they can't they want it to look like they tried. If both EU and China counter tariff the US it's more likely other countries like Japan and SK will do it too.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26223 Posts
April 09 2025 11:20 GMT
#28068
I think it’s prudent to wait a bit, and anyway coordinating across so many nations and sticking up a united, agree front is difficult at the best of times.

Unlike say, Trump’s admin I’m basically 100% confident the EU itself, plus constituent members have plan As, plan Bs, plan Cs for all sorts of different eventualities.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1057 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-09 11:39:53
April 09 2025 11:29 GMT
#28069
On April 09 2025 18:59 BlackJack wrote:
The article says the EU is planning targeted retaliatory tariffs, just not on bourbon

If the US tariffs don't, we'll probably finish off Harley Davidson for good + Show Spoiler +
Already in turmoil, dependant on south east asian suppliers and European customers
. And no Chinese Investor in sight to save them.

Everyone knows Trump only wants people to kiss his ass to the max. But every politician not doing it will gain a huge popularity bonus. I'm kind of exited about the next months and hoping for further emancipation. Godspeed.
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7021 Posts
April 09 2025 11:54 GMT
#28070
On April 09 2025 18:28 Silvanel wrote:
Unfortunetly it seems that Italians and French are too scared of Trump and EU is not going to introduce targeted tarrifs:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/08/eu-drops-plans-to-hit-american-bourbon-with-retaliatory-tariffs

How can one industry, not even that important one, be dicatating the policy of 27 countries block? They are waiting for China to do their job for them...


Oh that would be great if EU tariffs US alcohol and in return US tariffs EU alcohol even more. That means EU alcohol would be becoming dirt cheap in the EU :D
I'll drink some Italian Wine and some Irish Whisky to that!
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4736 Posts
April 10 2025 10:59 GMT
#28071
Well. EU tarrfis are paused, while US 10% remain in place... https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn4jjw30d5qt
Don't know how I feel about that. On the one hand I like that we are being mature about that, but on the other I dont like being bullied.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21996 Posts
April 10 2025 11:17 GMT
#28072
Nothing mature about it, Trump got to place 10% blanket tariffs without a reciprocal response. Sad that the world is having to look to China of all places to teach America not to fuck around.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1057 Posts
April 10 2025 11:26 GMT
#28073
Burst into laughter when i heard the news yesterday. Either Trump is a coward and an idiot or this was some inside trading scheme.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22104 Posts
April 10 2025 11:39 GMT
#28074
On April 09 2025 19:06 Silvanel wrote:
Yeah I know that. But less than they initially planned. Now they wont tarriff burbon etc. because they got scared after Trump treatend 200% tarrifs on wine. That might be a smart play vs Trump, but I really dont like that we are getting bullied.


Wine from here, France, Italy etc. is worth gold in advanced gastronomy, even in the US, so it‘s not much of a surprise. The rich clientele Donny caters to is still a sucker for that.

Still being able to sell it at the standard is worth more than engaging in a shitfight with him. He‘s more interested into playing the stock market than accomplishing something of value.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18154 Posts
April 10 2025 12:26 GMT
#28075
On April 09 2025 20:54 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 18:28 Silvanel wrote:
Unfortunetly it seems that Italians and French are too scared of Trump and EU is not going to introduce targeted tarrifs:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/08/eu-drops-plans-to-hit-american-bourbon-with-retaliatory-tariffs

How can one industry, not even that important one, be dicatating the policy of 27 countries block? They are waiting for China to do their job for them...


Oh that would be great if EU tariffs US alcohol and in return US tariffs EU alcohol even more. That means EU alcohol would be becoming dirt cheap in the EU :D
I'll drink some Italian Wine and some Irish Whisky to that!

What it realistically means is that more wineries go out of business. They're already overproducing, which is leading to a price problem. If demand craters because US tariffs they just go out of business: the EU market is already saturated.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10823 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-10 14:10:50
April 10 2025 14:10 GMT
#28076
Is this a challenge? Europeans could start drinking way more until our life expectancies are on par with the US.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11685 Posts
April 10 2025 14:19 GMT
#28077
On April 10 2025 23:10 Velr wrote:
Is this a challenge? Europeans could start drinking way more until our life expectancies are on par with the US.


That sounds kinda complicated. How much booze do i need to offset the chlorinated chicken, leaded drinking water and HFCS in everything?
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26223 Posts
April 10 2025 15:30 GMT
#28078
On April 10 2025 23:19 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2025 23:10 Velr wrote:
Is this a challenge? Europeans could start drinking way more until our life expectancies are on par with the US.


That sounds kinda complicated. How much booze do i need to offset the chlorinated chicken, leaded drinking water and HFCS in everything?

A fuckload I’d imagine. Stereotypes and all that but the Irish have em beat. Fuck sake the Scots like a wee dram as well and they deep fry bloody Mars Bars and they’re still coming out ahead
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
mounteast02
Profile Joined October 2024
24 Posts
April 10 2025 15:30 GMT
#28079
On April 10 2025 20:17 Gorsameth wrote:
Nothing mature about it, Trump got to place 10% blanket tariffs without a reciprocal response. Sad that the world is having to look to China of all places to teach America not to fuck around.



Well, everyone who did not put up any reciprocal response already lost, period.

This round of tariff is just a classic chicken game, if you do not dare to fight back, you already lost.

Just think about it, for any country that did not retaliate, they would start the negotiation with (at least) 10% tariff disadvantage, no matter how good their "negotiation skill" are, they are going to get / agree to a deal which is worst than the situation before the "liberation day". In another word, Trump succeeded in getting something without giving anything in return.

The worst part is, why wouldn't Trump or other future US president pull the same trick again?
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23514 Posts
April 10 2025 15:33 GMT
#28080
On April 10 2025 20:17 Gorsameth wrote:
Nothing mature about it, Trump got to place 10% blanket tariffs without a reciprocal response. Sad that the world is having to look to China of all places to teach America not to fuck around.

Alright boys, gather round, the new lesser evil just dropped.

In fairness, it's basically what I expected.

Doesn't seem like Europeans have given any thought to how far they would let Trump go before drawing some sort of red line for themselves when they would demand their government do something. Doesn't seem like there's some obvious redline for their governments either.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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