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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1360

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 10 2022 19:30 GMT
#27181
--- Nuked ---
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5656 Posts
April 10 2022 19:34 GMT
#27182
On April 11 2022 03:21 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 03:14 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 11 2022 02:37 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 10 2022 23:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 09 2022 23:41 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 09 2022 01:54 Erasme wrote:
On April 08 2022 20:44 Nebuchad wrote:
Oh no not Putin's stooges brrr

Let's just put an anti nato/eu revolutionnary at the head of France. It seems like a good time to do it no ?
I'm actually quite interested as to your reasons for voting that way ? It must be quite important to forget that he lets russian money dictate his policies.


I want to break the system so I'll vote for the candidate that has the most chance of breaking the system. Seems fairly straightforward. Poutou is clearly a much better person but he's going to get like 3% or whatever.
When has voting to break the system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather then just getting even worse?


No idea. When has voting to maintain a (neoliberal) system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather than just getting even worse?
Every democratic country that has improved in some way in the last god knows how many years?

Now I get that Macron might not be the guy to do it, maybe none of the candidates are. And that sucks, I get it. But 'breaking the system' has basically a 100% failure rate.

Parts of America thought they would be better of 'breaking the system' by voting for Trump. I feel pretty confident in saying none of them are better off because of it.

Its ok to hate Macron, its ok to hate the system and to want change, but no Democratic system has gotten better by voting to break it. Vote for people you think will do better and if you think that is Le Pen, then so be it. But don't vote for the system to fail and hope that miraculously things will somehow get better despite the entirety of modern history showing that it won't.


I'm skeptical that you'll find any country that has improved in any kind of significant way under neoliberalism. The US is worse than ever, the UK is trending down, France is at its low point... Maybe we have a different definition of what improving means, if you're talking about where you would love to live as a billionaire then sure they're all doing amazing.

The whole Central/Eastern Europe made massive leap in terms of the quality of life.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12320 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-10 19:36:17
April 10 2022 19:34 GMT
#27183
On April 11 2022 04:30 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 04:24 Nebuchad wrote:
Good point Jimmi, I'll try to do better in the future.

For the people who need further clarification, the neoliberal electoral mechanism is to create circumstances where it's most likely that in every election you have a choice between liberalism and the far right, an absence of change or a change for the worse. As such, if you choose a change for the worse, you're not breaking the system in any way, you are participating in it.

Could that "worse" be so worse that it also breaks the system in the other direction? It is less likely, because we know that the system can easily function with more fascistic social outlooks, it has done so for hundreds of years when people had less of those "woke ideas" like minorities are human beings.

Nonetheless, it is a risk, and we know that the neoliberals weren't too confident when Trump was in. But between having a risk like Trump and having a risk for a better society for humans, it's not even close, they will choose Trump every time.


Why is that the far right beating the left? Couldnt the left get ahead of the far right? My thought is because the right attacks "the left" which includes centerists to them and the left attacks centerests.

Every democratic system is going to lead to compromise as people do not agree completely on much, but it would be a lot better (imo) if the center had to compromise with the left rather than far right.


Indeed it would! That would break the system, and we would go back to the electoral split of social democracy, a different system, where the principal opposition is between leftists (left) and liberals (right), as we have in Switzerland for example. That was the whole point of voting Mélenchon in the first round, hoping that we could get France back to how it operated before Macron. Unfortunately a lot of forces are working against this happening, including Macron, who finds it very easy to campaign as the good guy vs the bad guys.

On April 11 2022 04:34 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 03:21 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 11 2022 03:14 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 11 2022 02:37 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 10 2022 23:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 09 2022 23:41 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 09 2022 01:54 Erasme wrote:
On April 08 2022 20:44 Nebuchad wrote:
Oh no not Putin's stooges brrr

Let's just put an anti nato/eu revolutionnary at the head of France. It seems like a good time to do it no ?
I'm actually quite interested as to your reasons for voting that way ? It must be quite important to forget that he lets russian money dictate his policies.


I want to break the system so I'll vote for the candidate that has the most chance of breaking the system. Seems fairly straightforward. Poutou is clearly a much better person but he's going to get like 3% or whatever.
When has voting to break the system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather then just getting even worse?


No idea. When has voting to maintain a (neoliberal) system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather than just getting even worse?
Every democratic country that has improved in some way in the last god knows how many years?

Now I get that Macron might not be the guy to do it, maybe none of the candidates are. And that sucks, I get it. But 'breaking the system' has basically a 100% failure rate.

Parts of America thought they would be better of 'breaking the system' by voting for Trump. I feel pretty confident in saying none of them are better off because of it.

Its ok to hate Macron, its ok to hate the system and to want change, but no Democratic system has gotten better by voting to break it. Vote for people you think will do better and if you think that is Le Pen, then so be it. But don't vote for the system to fail and hope that miraculously things will somehow get better despite the entirety of modern history showing that it won't.


I'm skeptical that you'll find any country that has improved in any kind of significant way under neoliberalism. The US is worse than ever, the UK is trending down, France is at its low point... Maybe we have a different definition of what improving means, if you're talking about where you would love to live as a billionaire then sure they're all doing amazing.

The whole Central/Eastern Europe made massive leap in terms of the quality of life.


Do you guys have neoliberalism? At least Poland I thought had a very conservative but economically leftist party as one of its main possibilities.
No will to live, no wish to die
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5656 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-10 19:42:09
April 10 2022 19:40 GMT
#27184
On April 11 2022 04:34 Nebuchad wrote:
Do you guys have neoliberalism? At least Poland I thought had a very conservative but economically leftist party as one of its main possibilities.

We did have neoliberalism for some 20-25 years after the collapse of the communist bloc. As did most post-communist countries. And PiS is not economically leftist. It's purely populist with no long-term plan. They did very little for worker rights.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12320 Posts
April 10 2022 19:42 GMT
#27185
On April 11 2022 04:40 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 04:34 Nebuchad wrote:
Do you guys have neoliberalism? At least Poland I thought had a very conservative but economically leftist party as one of its main possibilities.

We did have neoliberalism for some 20 years after the collapse of the communist bloc. As did most post-communist countries. And PiS is not economically leftist. It's purely populist with no long-term plan. They did very little for worker rights.


Fair enough, that is a good point then, thanks. Do you know what steps you took to escape it?
No will to live, no wish to die
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9245 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-10 19:45:47
April 10 2022 19:45 GMT
#27186
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.
You're now breathing manually
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 10 2022 19:56 GMT
#27187
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21951 Posts
April 10 2022 20:07 GMT
#27188
On April 11 2022 04:56 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 04:34 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 11 2022 04:30 JimmiC wrote:
On April 11 2022 04:24 Nebuchad wrote:
Good point Jimmi, I'll try to do better in the future.

For the people who need further clarification, the neoliberal electoral mechanism is to create circumstances where it's most likely that in every election you have a choice between liberalism and the far right, an absence of change or a change for the worse. As such, if you choose a change for the worse, you're not breaking the system in any way, you are participating in it.

Could that "worse" be so worse that it also breaks the system in the other direction? It is less likely, because we know that the system can easily function with more fascistic social outlooks, it has done so for hundreds of years when people had less of those "woke ideas" like minorities are human beings.

Nonetheless, it is a risk, and we know that the neoliberals weren't too confident when Trump was in. But between having a risk like Trump and having a risk for a better society for humans, it's not even close, they will choose Trump every time.


Why is that the far right beating the left? Couldnt the left get ahead of the far right? My thought is because the right attacks "the left" which includes centerists to them and the left attacks centerests.

Every democratic system is going to lead to compromise as people do not agree completely on much, but it would be a lot better (imo) if the center had to compromise with the left rather than far right.


Indeed it would! That would break the system, and we would go back to the electoral split of social democracy, a different system, where the principal opposition is between leftists (left) and liberals (right), as we have in Switzerland for example. That was the whole point of voting Mélenchon in the first round, hoping that we could get France back to how it operated before Macron. Unfortunately a lot of forces are working against this happening, including Macron, who finds it very easy to campaign as the good guy vs the bad guys.

On April 11 2022 04:34 maybenexttime wrote:
On April 11 2022 03:21 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 11 2022 03:14 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 11 2022 02:37 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 10 2022 23:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 09 2022 23:41 Nebuchad wrote:
On April 09 2022 01:54 Erasme wrote:
On April 08 2022 20:44 Nebuchad wrote:
Oh no not Putin's stooges brrr

Let's just put an anti nato/eu revolutionnary at the head of France. It seems like a good time to do it no ?
I'm actually quite interested as to your reasons for voting that way ? It must be quite important to forget that he lets russian money dictate his policies.


I want to break the system so I'll vote for the candidate that has the most chance of breaking the system. Seems fairly straightforward. Poutou is clearly a much better person but he's going to get like 3% or whatever.
When has voting to break the system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather then just getting even worse?


No idea. When has voting to maintain a (neoliberal) system ever resulted in the system actually getting better rather than just getting even worse?
Every democratic country that has improved in some way in the last god knows how many years?

Now I get that Macron might not be the guy to do it, maybe none of the candidates are. And that sucks, I get it. But 'breaking the system' has basically a 100% failure rate.

Parts of America thought they would be better of 'breaking the system' by voting for Trump. I feel pretty confident in saying none of them are better off because of it.

Its ok to hate Macron, its ok to hate the system and to want change, but no Democratic system has gotten better by voting to break it. Vote for people you think will do better and if you think that is Le Pen, then so be it. But don't vote for the system to fail and hope that miraculously things will somehow get better despite the entirety of modern history showing that it won't.


I'm skeptical that you'll find any country that has improved in any kind of significant way under neoliberalism. The US is worse than ever, the UK is trending down, France is at its low point... Maybe we have a different definition of what improving means, if you're talking about where you would love to live as a billionaire then sure they're all doing amazing.

The whole Central/Eastern Europe made massive leap in terms of the quality of life.


Do you guys have neoliberalism? At least Poland I thought had a very conservative but economically leftist party as one of its main possibilities.


I think that is a fine strategy. I just would like to see more attack of the right or even the right policies of the centerists. Attacking the group seems to be pushing people right and not left.

That being said I do not really understand why the right is gaining so much when much of the populist stuff is dumb and many of the people that I would consider "far right" do not consider themselves that. It seems more that they are angry at the elite much like the left, but instead of the elite being the wealthy it is the educated. A lot of the people around here that have money (100k plus incomes or more) but are blue collar whether that is farm, oil, or owning/working in the trades and they do not blame the rich or even the ultra rich but instead the ultra educated who they think are talking down to them and keeping them down.
Because populism offers easy solutions to complex problems and that is very enticing to people.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
April 10 2022 20:15 GMT
#27189
Do y'all have any resources to share for the state of Belgian and EU politics? Moving there in August to the Flanders region and wanted to be aware of everything going on politically. Currently a bit nervous that the far-right party VB has decent support there
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12320 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-04-10 20:20:52
April 10 2022 20:18 GMT
#27190
Populism is obviously very good. Elites are engaged in a fight against us, it is good and logical that we fight back. The issue with the far right is of course that they don't hold any populist beliefs. They don't object to the elites because of any kind of class war, they object to the elites because those elites implement a liberal society, and they would rather have elites that implement a "conservative" (fascistic) society.

For the average voter who gets convinced by this, I assume some of them don't understand that they are being lied to about the populism. But mostly conservatives aren't humanists, they just care about themselves, and they correctly deduce that in a society where other people are put down because of identity, they are better off. And they just want to be better off, so they want that.

On April 11 2022 04:45 Sent. wrote:
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.


Why didn't the far right win at that point?
No will to live, no wish to die
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 10 2022 20:25 GMT
#27191
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 10 2022 20:28 GMT
#27192
--- Nuked ---
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12320 Posts
April 10 2022 20:28 GMT
#27193
On April 11 2022 05:28 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 05:18 Nebuchad wrote:
Populism is obviously very good. Elites are engaged in a fight against us, it is good and logical that we fight back. The issue with the far right is of course that they don't hold any populist beliefs. They don't object to the elites because of any kind of class war, they object to the elites because those elites implement a liberal society, and they would rather have elites that implement a "conservative" (fascistic) society.

For the average voter who gets convinced by this, I assume some of them don't understand that they are being lied to about the populism. But mostly conservatives aren't humanists, they just care about themselves, and they correctly deduce that in a society where other people are put down because of identity, they are better off. And they just want to be better off, so they want that.

On April 11 2022 04:45 Sent. wrote:
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.


Why didn't the far right win at that point?


I disagree it is obviously good. Where is the proof? What populist goverment is actually doing well and not still losing to whatever scapegoat they were blaming in the first place?

Right also blames "elites", just different ones.


I don't know Jimmi
No will to live, no wish to die
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26021 Posts
April 10 2022 21:09 GMT
#27194
On April 11 2022 05:18 Nebuchad wrote:
Populism is obviously very good. Elites are engaged in a fight against us, it is good and logical that we fight back. The issue with the far right is of course that they don't hold any populist beliefs. They don't object to the elites because of any kind of class war, they object to the elites because those elites implement a liberal society, and they would rather have elites that implement a "conservative" (fascistic) society.

For the average voter who gets convinced by this, I assume some of them don't understand that they are being lied to about the populism. But mostly conservatives aren't humanists, they just care about themselves, and they correctly deduce that in a society where other people are put down because of identity, they are better off. And they just want to be better off, so they want that.

Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 04:45 Sent. wrote:
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.


Why didn't the far right win at that point?

I think fundamentally people tend like neoliberalism, but don’t like the negative aspects of neoliberalism.

In as crude a framing as is almost possible. People will flirt with the far right to an extent if they’re pissed, because they’ll be throwing out bedcrumbs of critique there. But generally they’ll gravitate to the status quo neoliberal parties.

Taken individually one can point to particular factors in electoral results in various countries as an attempt to explain x left wing party bombing. Be that a hostile media culture, a flawed leader, flawed messaging or indeed flawed policy prescriptions.

But in aggregate, perhaps there’s some counter-examples, somewhere in Europe/the Anglosphere, I can’t think of anywhere the left has really meaningfully punched through in quite some time.

At least on current trends anyway, people don’t seem to want genuine left alternatives, they want all of the benefits of neoliberalism but to be personally insulated from its effects, if even entirely artificially or arbitrarily.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
April 10 2022 21:17 GMT
#27195
For the French election, is it accurate that it's Macron and Le Pen again? Sources like the NYT were saying Le Pen got 24+% while France 2 shows her at 23% and my French isn't good enough to understand
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9245 Posts
April 10 2022 21:18 GMT
#27196
Yes
You're now breathing manually
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
April 10 2022 21:22 GMT
#27197
On April 11 2022 06:18 Sent. wrote:
Yes

Damn, that's unfortunate, but it looks like Macron will win again if I am reading things correctly
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18113 Posts
April 10 2022 21:33 GMT
#27198
On April 11 2022 05:15 plasmidghost wrote:
Do y'all have any resources to share for the state of Belgian and EU politics? Moving there in August to the Flanders region and wanted to be aware of everything going on politically. Currently a bit nervous that the far-right party VB has decent support there

The Vlaams Belang is fairly standard populist right for Europe; similar to Wilders in NL or Le Pen in France, but with the added twist of being anti-Walloon. That's their main thing and the main reason they get votes. That said, NVA is the main Flemish party, and have all of the anti-Walloon nonsense too. Due to the Belgian governmental system, VB is all but guaranteed to never ever govern at a national level (it's also the reason Belgian governments crash and burn so often, and take forever to find coalitions): constitutionally Wallonië and Vlaanderen have to share power. I don't understand all the details and it's a running joke in Belgium that absolutely nobody understands their system.

I lived in Leuven for a few months and found life very similar to NL, but with a lower cost of living and better food (and beer). I cycled everywhere, as did everyone else, and public transport worked well too. Not sure how their healthcare system works, but I know for a while people on the border in NL used to visit Belgian hospitals because they had shorter waiting lists for a lot of care. That was a decade or two ago, though.

Anyway, I would worry about VB a lot less than the far right in Belgium's neighbors. The NVA is boneheaded enough tho.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12320 Posts
April 10 2022 21:34 GMT
#27199
On April 11 2022 06:09 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 05:18 Nebuchad wrote:
Populism is obviously very good. Elites are engaged in a fight against us, it is good and logical that we fight back. The issue with the far right is of course that they don't hold any populist beliefs. They don't object to the elites because of any kind of class war, they object to the elites because those elites implement a liberal society, and they would rather have elites that implement a "conservative" (fascistic) society.

For the average voter who gets convinced by this, I assume some of them don't understand that they are being lied to about the populism. But mostly conservatives aren't humanists, they just care about themselves, and they correctly deduce that in a society where other people are put down because of identity, they are better off. And they just want to be better off, so they want that.

On April 11 2022 04:45 Sent. wrote:
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.


Why didn't the far right win at that point?

I think fundamentally people tend like neoliberalism, but don’t like the negative aspects of neoliberalism.

In as crude a framing as is almost possible. People will flirt with the far right to an extent if they’re pissed, because they’ll be throwing out bedcrumbs of critique there. But generally they’ll gravitate to the status quo neoliberal parties.

Taken individually one can point to particular factors in electoral results in various countries as an attempt to explain x left wing party bombing. Be that a hostile media culture, a flawed leader, flawed messaging or indeed flawed policy prescriptions.

But in aggregate, perhaps there’s some counter-examples, somewhere in Europe/the Anglosphere, I can’t think of anywhere the left has really meaningfully punched through in quite some time.

At least on current trends anyway, people don’t seem to want genuine left alternatives, they want all of the benefits of neoliberalism but to be personally insulated from its effects, if even entirely artificially or arbitrarily.


I think it's unlikely that a lot of people like liberalism in general, let alone neoliberalism. The main reason why I think that is because I live in Switzerland, where we often vote on policies rather than individuals. I work in a newspaper so sometimes I have to read things sent to us by liberal politicians that want to give arguments to vote for or against specific policies. The overwhelming majority of the time, the framing that they choose is to say that they are on the side of the leftist policy, but there is some sort of flaw that forces them to vote in the way that you would expect a liberal to vote.

If liberalism was popular, you wouldn't need to do that shit. You would just state that you defend the liberal policy because liberalism is cool. Instead they always say "leftism is cool we love it but we can't do it because [some bullshit reason that changes for every vote]".

You can see some of those effects on an international level, where liberals often dishonestly present as pragmatic and non-ideological. And when you see those maps of beliefs for voters in the States, most people who vote democrat are bottom left, squarely on the side of leftism, rather than bottom right where liberalism operates.
No will to live, no wish to die
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18113 Posts
April 10 2022 21:47 GMT
#27200
On April 11 2022 05:18 Nebuchad wrote:
Populism is obviously very good. Elites are engaged in a fight against us, it is good and logical that we fight back. The issue with the far right is of course that they don't hold any populist beliefs. They don't object to the elites because of any kind of class war, they object to the elites because those elites implement a liberal society, and they would rather have elites that implement a "conservative" (fascistic) society.

For the average voter who gets convinced by this, I assume some of them don't understand that they are being lied to about the populism. But mostly conservatives aren't humanists, they just care about themselves, and they correctly deduce that in a society where other people are put down because of identity, they are better off. And they just want to be better off, so they want that.

Show nested quote +
On April 11 2022 04:45 Sent. wrote:
Moderate government trying to raise the retirement age to 67 aand maybe people being bored of having the same government for 8 years.


Why didn't the far right win at that point?

Real populists don't exist in modern European politics. You'd need to look to South America to see populists (Lula is a very obvious populist). In Europe we basically mean demagogue when we say populist, and those "populist" parties on the far right are rife with demagoguery. That said, Melenchon isn't a populist either. He is a socialist.

I don't see populism as obviously very good. Mob rule is "populism", and it's definitely not good. Moreover, populist platforms tend to be an incoherent mess, because there's no clear ideology. That makes them completely unpredictable when a new situation arises while in power.
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