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zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6343 Posts
June 24 2016 05:18 GMT
#2261
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country
Pre-emptive retaliatory de-escalation action
Fprime
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada64 Posts
June 24 2016 05:18 GMT
#2262
On June 24 2016 14:06 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:01 Fprime wrote:
At this point, Cameron has to meet with EU leaders to try and negotiate special status concessions so he can declare victory and vote down the motion to leave the EU in Westminster. If he can do that, and if the pound continues its nosedive, then he may be able to sell his own MPs on the idea that they can survive the next general election after voting to remain in the EU, against the referendum outcome.

However, I think it would be in the EU's best interests to refuse any new concessions to the UK, and let them reap what they've sown. Scotland will demand a new referendum on leaving the UK, which has a greater chance of passing now that there's yet another policy split between England and Scotland. Ultimately, the UK will sink deeper into political and economic instability.

If the EU can delay these new demands for referendums from its own members for a couple of years, all they have to do is point to the UK as an example of how bad things will be if Country X votes to leave. The EU can, and will, survive this.

Are you for real? England would lose their shit if Cameron pulled something like this. And the UK will still be in the EU for quite some time as the formalities are sorted out.

Cameron should resign immediately.


I didn't say he would succeed - I said he'd have a fighting chance. Depending on how sweet of a deal he could hypothetically negotiate, he may be able to convince enough of his MPs (who are already against leaving the EU) to vote according to their conscience on this even if it means risking a loss in their next reelection. There is precedent for this in English political history (Churchill, for example).

The alternative is that Cameron bows to the populist wave, and watches as the UK inflicts massive damage to itself. This maximizes his chances of retaining his position (a powerful motive to a politician, to be sure), but it also means that he'll have to watch as the UK's influence on the world shrinks lower than it ever has been since England lost the Hundred Years War. Say what you want about the Tories - they hate being weak and powerless.
"Her name is Brienne." -Ser Jaime Lannister
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4432 Posts
June 24 2016 05:20 GMT
#2263
On June 24 2016 14:15 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:12 Sent. wrote:
I dont think a 52% or smaller victory is enough to justify such a drastic change. Wouldnt be surprised (or outraged) if Cameron decided to ignore the result.

Yeah, it's barely a mandate. and the UK will be a small fish in a pond with one big fish. It's a far from perfect win. Just makes shit hard.

So lets say Cameron says he won't honour the referendum result.
How long do you seriously think he will last with Boris breathing down his neck?
Boris is the obvious choice to replace him and he will honour the result.
This isn't really up for debate, you're getting so desperate here.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6302 Posts
June 24 2016 05:20 GMT
#2264
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country

Norway has to pay into the EU budget and has to abide by the rules. Switzerland only has access to parts of the single market and most importantly for the UK not to the services part.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-24 05:23:32
June 24 2016 05:21 GMT
#2265
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country


Not sure that you realize, but this "argument" is actually not in favor of your position.

Norway has to pay into the EU budget and has to abide by the rules. Switzerland only has access to parts of the single market and most importantly for the UK not to the services part.


More importantly, in both trade deals they included the freedom of movement, schengen etc.

Literally all the things that the UK didn't want, and in regards to freedom of movement, the single biggest reason for them to leave. It's a really, REALLY idiotic statement to make and shows that some people have zeo idea of what they're talking about.
On track to MA1950A.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 24 2016 05:21 GMT
#2266
Start of reactions from Europe.
BERLIN, June 24 (Reuters) - German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said on Friday that Britain's vote to leave the European Union marked a sad day for Europe.

"The news from Britain is really sobering. It looks like a sad day for Europe and Britain," the German Foreign Ministry quoted Steinmeier as saying on its official Twitter account.

Source
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
trifecta
Profile Joined April 2010
United States6795 Posts
June 24 2016 05:23 GMT
#2267
On June 24 2016 14:10 plasmidghost wrote:
I hope this is good for the UK, keep calm and carry on, as the meme says


until the UK becomes just England :D
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
June 24 2016 05:25 GMT
#2268
On June 24 2016 14:23 trifecta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:10 plasmidghost wrote:
I hope this is good for the UK, keep calm and carry on, as the meme says


until the UK becomes just England :D

Even becoming England will be great for them ...
They will keep the City, London, Big Ben, Thames, Pound, fog, rain ... all what they need :-)
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
maartendq
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Belgium3115 Posts
June 24 2016 05:25 GMT
#2269
On June 24 2016 14:20 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:15 Plansix wrote:
On June 24 2016 14:12 Sent. wrote:
I dont think a 52% or smaller victory is enough to justify such a drastic change. Wouldnt be surprised (or outraged) if Cameron decided to ignore the result.

Yeah, it's barely a mandate. and the UK will be a small fish in a pond with one big fish. It's a far from perfect win. Just makes shit hard.

So lets say Cameron says he won't honour the referendum result.
How long do you seriously think he will last with Boris breathing down his neck?
Boris is the obvious choice to replace him and he will honour the result.
This isn't really up for debate, you're getting so desperate here.

A divisive person as Boris Johnson is just about the last person you want to lead a country that has chosen to have to renegotiate a ton of trade deals. In fact I'd say that a PM like Johnson would be a godsend to the EU, since no doubt his abrasive manners would give ammunition to the Germans and French to play hardball, i.e. make sure that any new trade deal will be far worse than the ones the UK has now.

The UK might want to look for a less polarising figure as new head of state. The problem is that the current generation of UK politicians seems so incompetent. They're cameleons that change their views to whatever will get them or keep them in power.
AngryMag
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany1040 Posts
June 24 2016 05:25 GMT
#2270
Stock exchanges will have a field day today. Wille be funny to see the egg on the faces of eurocrats. Life will go on, everything will be fine. Will be interesting to see whether the UK and the EU continue to exist in the next decade.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-24 05:26:37
June 24 2016 05:26 GMT
#2271
On June 24 2016 14:23 trifecta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:10 plasmidghost wrote:
I hope this is good for the UK, keep calm and carry on, as the meme says


until the UK becomes just England :D

There is a long history other counties leaving the The UK when it does silly shit.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6343 Posts
June 24 2016 05:26 GMT
#2272
On June 24 2016 14:20 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country

Norway has to pay into the EU budget and has to abide by the rules. Switzerland only has access to parts of the single market and most importantly for the UK not to the services part.

Having control over your own country and government is more important than paying a tax to trade with the EU. The UK can now trade with the whole World. And more importantly its free.
Pre-emptive retaliatory de-escalation action
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44201 Posts
June 24 2016 05:26 GMT
#2273
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country

They are subject to the regulations but not involved in the making of them. Not really what the leave voters had in mind when they voted to leave.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Deleted User 26513
Profile Joined February 2007
2376 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-24 05:37:25
June 24 2016 05:27 GMT
#2274
Good job UK, you believed to people like Farage and Boris Johnson. I thought better of you.
Goodbye.

BTW, If I'm from Scotland and I voted to remain in the UK, now I'd be REAAALY pissed. Basically England and Wales decided that the UK should leave
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
June 24 2016 05:27 GMT
#2275
On June 24 2016 14:26 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country

They are subject to the regulations but not involved in the making of them. Not really what the leave voters had in mind when they voted to leave.

I think someone fought a war about a similar issue.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
June 24 2016 05:27 GMT
#2276
On June 24 2016 14:26 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:20 RvB wrote:
On June 24 2016 14:18 zeo wrote:
Poor Norway and Switzerland, they can't trade with the EU. You have to hand over your sovereignty to be a successful country

Norway has to pay into the EU budget and has to abide by the rules. Switzerland only has access to parts of the single market and most importantly for the UK not to the services part.

Having control over your own country and government is more important than paying a tax to trade with the EU. The UK can now trade with the whole World. And more importantly its free.


Except it's not.
On track to MA1950A.
Fprime
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada64 Posts
June 24 2016 05:28 GMT
#2277
On June 24 2016 14:15 showstealer1829 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:01 Fprime wrote:
At this point, Cameron has to meet with EU leaders to try and negotiate special status concessions so he can declare victory and vote down the motion to leave the EU in Westminster. If he can do that, and if the pound continues its nosedive, then he may be able to sell his own MPs on the idea that they can survive the next general election after voting to remain in the EU, against the referendum outcome.

However, I think it would be in the EU's best interests to refuse any new concessions to the UK, and let them reap what they've sown. Scotland will demand a new referendum on leaving the UK, which has a greater chance of passing now that there's yet another policy split between England and Scotland. Ultimately, the UK will sink deeper into political and economic instability.

If the EU can delay these new demands for referendums from its own members for a couple of years, all they have to do is point to the UK as an example of how bad things will be if Country X votes to leave. The EU can, and will, survive this.


Scotland won't get another referendum. Westminster will block it under the Edinburgh agreement


I read it. It contains thirty point outlining the scope of the referendum, timing rules, and campaign financing rules. I didn't see anything in it which prevented a new referendum in the future.
"Her name is Brienne." -Ser Jaime Lannister
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11586 Posts
June 24 2016 05:28 GMT
#2278
On June 24 2016 14:18 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:12 Sent. wrote:
I dont think a 52% or smaller victory is enough to justify such a drastic change. Wouldnt be surprised (or outraged) if Cameron decided to ignore the result.

Should have thought of that before the referendum. I.E. you need a 60% majority to let it pass like with constitutional changes where you often need 66% or even 75%. You cannot do that afterwards.

Was it really just a simple majority they were looking for?
I guess if Cameron wanted to not immediately go with the Referendum and instead wanted to give Remain another go, he could call an election and make it THE election issue that he and his party was going to stand or die on.
Moderator5000 of our finest Taliban warriors have been released! Rise up my brothers. Mashalla! al-Donald ibn-Frederick al-Masih allows it.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-24 05:31:20
June 24 2016 05:30 GMT
#2279
On June 24 2016 14:28 Fprime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:15 showstealer1829 wrote:
On June 24 2016 14:01 Fprime wrote:
At this point, Cameron has to meet with EU leaders to try and negotiate special status concessions so he can declare victory and vote down the motion to leave the EU in Westminster. If he can do that, and if the pound continues its nosedive, then he may be able to sell his own MPs on the idea that they can survive the next general election after voting to remain in the EU, against the referendum outcome.

However, I think it would be in the EU's best interests to refuse any new concessions to the UK, and let them reap what they've sown. Scotland will demand a new referendum on leaving the UK, which has a greater chance of passing now that there's yet another policy split between England and Scotland. Ultimately, the UK will sink deeper into political and economic instability.

If the EU can delay these new demands for referendums from its own members for a couple of years, all they have to do is point to the UK as an example of how bad things will be if Country X votes to leave. The EU can, and will, survive this.


Scotland won't get another referendum. Westminster will block it under the Edinburgh agreement


I read it. It contains thirty point outlining the scope of the referendum, timing rules, and campaign financing rules. I didn't see anything in it which prevented a new referendum in the future.

Realistically, even if it happens, it will probably take a few years to get to that point. Now is not a good time to have yet another referendum.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44201 Posts
June 24 2016 05:31 GMT
#2280
On June 24 2016 14:28 Falling wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2016 14:18 RvB wrote:
On June 24 2016 14:12 Sent. wrote:
I dont think a 52% or smaller victory is enough to justify such a drastic change. Wouldnt be surprised (or outraged) if Cameron decided to ignore the result.

Should have thought of that before the referendum. I.E. you need a 60% majority to let it pass like with constitutional changes where you often need 66% or even 75%. You cannot do that afterwards.

Was it really just a simple majority they were looking for?
I guess if Cameron wanted to not immediately go with the Referendum and instead wanted to give Remain another go, he could call an election and make it THE election issue that he and his party was going to stand or die on.

The Conservatives are the anti-European party (of the two Westminster English parties). They'd be campaigning on leave.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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