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Bitcoin discussion thread - Page 17

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Azide
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada566 Posts
December 03 2013 23:43 GMT
#321
Yea I'm with vault. Wish they had their CAD deposit setup quicker
Azide and SuperNinja - Best Double Protoss 2v2 Team!
MaestroSC
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2073 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-04 01:04:42
December 04 2013 01:02 GMT
#322
On December 04 2013 07:56 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2013 05:06 MaestroSC wrote:
On December 03 2013 23:27 Acrofales wrote:
On December 03 2013 23:21 0x64 wrote:
On December 03 2013 23:08 heroyi wrote:
On December 03 2013 14:32 MaestroSC wrote:
On December 03 2013 13:19 heroyi wrote:
On December 03 2013 12:31 calgar wrote:
On December 03 2013 11:07 MaestroSC wrote:
On December 03 2013 09:09 FiWiFaKi wrote:
[quote]

You need to stop thinking about the BTC as an investment... For the BTC to be used as a currency, people need to treat it as a currency. Just like if you trade USD to Euro you aren't thinking you are invest money, you are just using a different medium of exchange. If we are under the impression that the goal of the BTC is to create a virtual currency, it cannot be a stock market.

I will list my biggest issues with bitcoin right now:

1) If fractional reserve banking is used (which it must if it is to be a viable currency), it is a lot more likely that if there is no government backing of the bitcoin that if there is a change in price many people will try to cash their bitcoins, and the banks will not have enough money. Then you get bank runs, and it's good game. Don't really see how this is preventable.

2) Deflation. Coins can be easily lost, hoarding will be an issue as long as another currency exists. No human behavior will be able to offset all the deflation of bitcoins. Deflation leads to many bad things: wages, reduce spending (slows economy).

3) No fees is totally bullshit. Check the exchanges, they have fees, actually very high fees, I don't know why people keep trying to advertise no fees. I have no fees using my visa, I get fees using bitcoins. Check here: https://www.mtgox.com/fee-schedule.... It will actually be just like paper money in that regard, there will still be a banking system. There will always be a banking system with the same mechanic as you have now. I'm uncertain why people think this wouldn't be the case?

4) The markets for trading suck. Unlike currency exchange where it's much easier to keep it secure, the bit-coin markets must constantly keep up with technology to prevent any breaches, I honestly don't trust a privately run company to be able to do that. Geez Mtgox can't even convert many peoples' money to USD within 2 months. You just need government regulation to make it safe, but that defeats the purpose. Why do you think the price varies so wildly between exchanges? LOTS of fees and trouble converting to cash.

5) Bitcoins are very bad for the government. When there is a 2% inflation rate and the government prints the money to maintain the inflation rate at 2%... It practically gives the government free money, as well as the control over its money supply. Bitcoins, and everything about them would be a nightmare to deal with for governments. Government sacrifices lots of power by not being able to control the money supply. The stability of the currency weakens when the supply cannot be controlled. There will be pressure to prevent bitcoins from becoming the dominant currency.

6) Actually there's quite a lot more issues, and they aren't easy ones to solve. People are being too optimistic imo.


currency trading has always been a thing tho. One of my buddies dads has been a currency trader for the past 30 years and has made plenty of money off of it.
Whether it is a smart thing is the question. Did he beat the 30 year stock market average on annual rate of return? How much time did he spend doing so?

I'm always extremely skeptical of commodity trading and day trading. There seems to be so much risk and so little means to actually give yourself a true advantage in the long run.

Piggy backing on this:

everyone keeps saying that bitcoin is going to go only higher and higher...Bitcoin already has passed that $1000 line you really think a currency like this is going to just keep going up and up? It is going to crash sooner or later. Hard (it won't bounce back to what it was previously down in the future). The bubble is there and it will burst.

Back when bitcoins were kinda young then yes they would be a pretty sound investment. An underground currency that bypasses lot of security and watchdogs. Currency that has digital properties (strong, secure). Now the current stage the bitcoins are at make them quite risky. IMO the market for them is no different than the penny stock market...and everyone knows about that hell


I know better than to argue with someone who speaks in absolutes on something that he literally 100% cannot prove lol. Seriously every1 is entitled to their opinion or view on the matter, but stating matter of factly what is going to happen, is your best guess, as much as other people are guessing they become worth more.

Will never understand people who make statements like this. Tell me is there a God too? I am sure you have that one nailed. Also on what day will you die o wise seer?

And to the guy with the question, currency trading has been his career for the past 30+ years. Last time I talked to him he had just gotten back from his vacation in Dubai.

I didn't mean to come off pretentious as I was simply trying to raise an argument and want people to argue otherwise.

I don't see any other reason to believe otherwise as this (bitcoin) is not some different entity that is immune to a bubble burst. Rule of thumb is if something hits the media hard then generally speaking you are too late to the party to reap large amount of rewards for little risk. Yes, people will spend money which I am fine as some like to live dangerously. But I don't understand why people are going to go out and invest a large sum (that is outside of their comfort zone) into something that is now extremely volatile (with the recent media attention) and risky. My ears are open to anyone that can raise a good argument and be CIVIL about it.


Because we are past this argument.
We don't need to explain to each newcomer in this thread why it is so. The arguments have been raised again and again.
Each burst bubble make the bitcoin stronger.
The more the bitcoins are distributed to a bigger number of people the better. If the bubble burst, it makes it stronger, and like the phoenix rises from its ashes, the bitcoin reach a new high with higher degree of confidence.
The price of the bitcoin is a collective agreement that it is worth that much.
If you think it's worth less and you have none, your opinion is irrelevant.
If you have bitcoins and think they are worth less, sell them.
If you have bitcoin and have no idea about anything, wait and see but don't keep 99% of your saving on it and be ready to have that value divided time to time by 4. When a real bubble burst, the confidence is lost for long, but what is happening at each miniburst is that a very small proportion of the bitcoin possessors have panicked.
Another strange effect is that the Bitcoin is best used as a money, so people are likely to keep them while the services appears to avoid conversion fees. Now, if you sell all your bitcoin, you end up paying huge profit taxes depending where you live.


That's the whole problem of bitcoin. It is a currency that cannot be used as a currency, because everybody is using it to speculate. How many people in this thread have actually USED a bitcoin to buy a pizza (or anything else)... and same question but limited to the last half a year or so.

How do you even decide on the value of a pizza in bitcoins when the value, when compared to the USD, fluctuates so wildly.

Hell, the Zimbabwe Dollar has more use as a currency than the bitcoin at the moment. At least you know that is only going to go down in the near future, so you'd best spend it all ASAP.


This is one of the things people dont understand about bitcoins. The value of bitcoin fluctuates...which is why services that allow you to sell things and have them purchased via bitcoin... also offer a service that automatically updates its prices everytime someone buys in bitcoins.

IE if you want a $20 shirt... u click "buy in bitcoins" and the service automatically looks up what Bitcoins are valued at the present time, and charges you whatever % of a bitcoin = $20. And also the service will then take the bitcoin and give you that amount in either USD or Bitcoin, whichever you prefer to personally receive/hold.

You dont have to update your prices or worry about overpaying, as the prices are able to be updated instantly, hence the appeal of these services.

You havent done much research on bitcoin. The biggest hurdle bitcoin faces is people who are uninformed, claiming to know about bitcoins and how they operate, and spreading incorrect information.


And people losing their bitcoins doesnt devalue your bitcoins... if anything it causes your bitcoin to be worth more. I dont know if you are aware... but you can deal in .5 bitcoins and such... you cant only deal in whole coins. This is why bitcoins have their high value, because there is a limited number of them available to the world, which means as the market for bitcoins grow, bitcoins become worth more, especially as people begin to lose their bitcoins.

Bitcoins are already able to be split down to the 8th decimal place, and the code has been written in a way that this can be changed in the future if necessary.

And while you, Acrofales think that people should sell their bitcoins asap, there are hundreds of thousands of people who disagree with you. If you want to go to nearly ANY financial information site/magazine/etc there are thousands of "experts" whose opinions vary from "its goint to crash" to "these are going to be worth 100,000,000 a coin one day."

So I dont understand how, if the financial experts from Forbes arent 100% sure on the future of the bitcoin, that you are so sure.

But maybe its cause I havent seen your time machine yet.

I dont know whats going to happen either, which is why you wont read me saying "SELL IT ALL!" or "INVEST YOUR ENTIRE WORTH INTO BITCOINS".

My guess after doing nonstop research over the past couple weeks, is that this is only the beginning.

I invite you to visit R/bitcoin (tho its obv a bit bias towards the success of bitcoins) or r/bitcoinmarkets where there are 100s of articles being posted every hour full of information to read. (and by articles I mean written by our financial giants/advisors of today from sites like Forbes)


Sorry man, but you are pretty wrong about bitcoins here =/ I think someone below you said something similar.

If bitcoin is used like this there is NO reason for bitcoin to exist. You are buying something that's in USD with bitcoins, just so the seller converts back to USD. Why wouldn't you just use visa? Would it not do the exact same thing? Hell, you could even buy gold with USD, use it to purchase the good, then get the retailer to convert it back. Or you could buy it with Korean Won. The problem is that converting between bitcoins and USD is extremely expensive. You want to keep everything in one currency to prevent those costs. And those costs can't be negated... You HAVE TO have to have someone that keeps money just sitting around and doing nothing with, so when you come with bitcoins, he can purchase your bitcoins and give you the cash that was just sitting in his bank. Therefore in 100% of cases it's be economically more efficient to use money opposed to bitcoins.

Now people losing bitcoins causes deflation of goods, or the inflation of the bitcoin, depends how you want to look at it. That is a HUUGE problem. A currency that deflates has too many issues to count. And a constant money supply that has growth in the economy causes deflation, even if no coins were lost. The fact that coins can be lost semi-easily just perpetuates that problem.

The problem with currency with intrinsic value such as bitcoins or gold, is the price is impossible to control. The reason is. Say a new technology is invented to mine gold 5x as fast as it's being mined now, what will happen to the price of gold? It will change! What will happen to bitcoins if bitcoin miners gets 1000x faster and electricity becomes super cheap because of a new usable source of electricty? The price will change! Changing the price of the bitcoins changes the money supply.

You need to be able to control the money supply, or you have vicious vicious business cycles that will end you. Without being able to control the money supply, recession becomes depression. The great depression was caused by excessive deflation. People hold on to their money, don't spend, they are fucked. The government has no way to increase incentive to spend because they have no control of the money supply. If bitcoins fluctuate in value, they will only use them like you said here. Spend USD to buy bitcoins, buy with bitcoins, retailer converts bitcoins to USD, which is simply put - bad.

In my opinion the main reason the price has been so low forever is because investors knew this. Bitcoin's wont work. But then people want to see a new currency happen, and bam, people will start buying them and try to justify why they could potentially work, when they realistically have so many flaws that are just being ignored, or are given half-ass solutions to the problem.

TLDR: In their current use, BTC's are much inferior fiat currency like the Euro or USD.


How is it so expensive to convert USD to BTC and BTC back to USD? It cost me $10 to convert over $1,000 from USD to BTC. To convert $1,000 USD to Australian $1,000 costs nearly $100 just in fees.

Also IDK how you need to have cash on hand (as the business) to accept BTC, when there are already services that automatically convert any purchase made into BTC straight to USD so that you (the vendor) never touch a BTC. And I would use this because it costs me $100 in fees to turn my USD into Euro's when I go on vacation. And in some countries its even more expensive and difficult than that. With Bitcoins you can exchange currency from one country to another in under 10 mins. (and this is fact). And there are fees, but they are at the worst 1/2 as expensive as more conventional methods.



Also even if the mining speed of bitcoin increases (which is not foreseeable/predictable as the system was designed so that mining becomes much more difficult and time consuming, as time progresses).The only way this would change is if we somehow managed a major discovery in technology and implemented it within the next 20 years. And i understand technology moves faster and advances fast, but the system was literally designed to prevent this type of thing from happening. Also there are only ever going to be a certain amount of bitcoins available to the market (there is a hardcap of how many bitcoins can be mined), so even if we somehow manage to speed up mining of bitcoins (which is seems nearly impossible and highly unlikely) All it means is a faster route to stabilization, because there will be 0 new bitcoins entering the market.

And I am pretty sure the end-goal with bitcoins is to eventually have the infrastructure where there is no converting to USD or desire to do so. If you can buy any/everything you want with bitcoin in the future, you have no need for the USD, and hence no reason to ever convert BTC back to USD. I know this is the "long game" but thats what a lot of people are investing in and trying to achieve.
BakedButters
Profile Joined November 2011
United States748 Posts
December 04 2013 09:34 GMT
#323
To those saying bitcoin is 100% traceable, then why are there so numerous reports on theft and heists of BTCs being stolen?
Snute <3 Bomber <3 Parting <3 Life <3
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4554 Posts
December 04 2013 09:48 GMT
#324
On December 04 2013 18:34 BakedButters wrote:
To those saying bitcoin is 100% traceable, then why are there so numerous reports on theft and heists of BTCs being stolen?


Because it doesn't help you to know where they went?
It's anonym!
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
aseq
Profile Joined January 2003
Netherlands3977 Posts
December 04 2013 09:58 GMT
#325
On December 04 2013 18:34 BakedButters wrote:
To those saying bitcoin is 100% traceable, then why are there so numerous reports on theft and heists of BTCs being stolen?

If you can get access to someone's account, you can transfer the Bitcoins over to your preferred destination. They can still be traced back to that account, though. There's a log of all transactions. Also, most of the reports on stolen Bitcoins were those on the markets, i.e. people trusted some marketplace with their BTC, then someone ran off with them.
BakedButters
Profile Joined November 2011
United States748 Posts
December 04 2013 11:40 GMT
#326
On December 04 2013 18:58 aseq wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2013 18:34 BakedButters wrote:
To those saying bitcoin is 100% traceable, then why are there so numerous reports on theft and heists of BTCs being stolen?

If you can get access to someone's account, you can transfer the Bitcoins over to your preferred destination. They can still be traced back to that account, though. There's a log of all transactions. Also, most of the reports on stolen Bitcoins were those on the markets, i.e. people trusted some marketplace with their BTC, then someone ran off with them.


Still if this were to happen for a bank, you will still have the financial backing of the bank. The bank will take those loses, or they have insurance to cover theft
Snute <3 Bomber <3 Parting <3 Life <3
Chrono000
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Korea (South)358 Posts
December 04 2013 12:29 GMT
#327
same people here keep posting the biggest largest pieces of disinformation spreading fear. to any noob out there go research a bit for yourself, it will take u a few days or longer to understand it but using btc is still the quickest.

the bitcoin price is about to break the all time high right now and possibly go on a rally. if you have a little fiat on the exchanges u might wana consider buying a little bitcoin now or soon.

ignore losses and gains at this point because even as close as a year down the line the price u bought at isnt really gona matter much anymore.

focus on the protocol.

cho cho!
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4554 Posts
December 04 2013 14:00 GMT
#328
A single argument why the BTC is very cheap still.

The are not enough bitcoin for each american to possess 0.03 BTC...
Now, you can still afford a full coin but that won't be for long.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
MaestroSC
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2073 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-04 18:27:32
December 04 2013 18:12 GMT
#329
Someone just bought 2.2 million in bitcoins on Bitstamp...

If you wanted to buy bitcoins last week, you could not get approval until today, so expect to see numbers go up for a bit. Might drop again on the weekend. If you are planning on buying coins atm id wait until monday or get them asap and cash out before sunday. Should make some $$.

PURE SPECULATION, do not do anything crazy because a stranger on the internet speculated something.

Price back up to 1200 while the majority of Asia (60% of the bitcoin market alone is in China) is still sleeping. Will be an interesting day to stare at the graphs


anyways, that big purchase and others like it are why i dont expect bitcoins to die or crash anytime soon. There is simply too much money in them now. If they crash down to even below 500 they will be bought up instantly and shoot back up within a day due to people being aware of the volatility and chance to jump that high
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
December 04 2013 22:54 GMT
#330
Was researching mining today. Kinda sucks that you pretty much have to already have many thousands of dollars to either A. Buy bitcoins outright as an investment or B. Buy the equipment necessary to mine more than $1 a month. I was hoping there was hope for people who didn't have anything to invest to make some cash. I am disappoint.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17983 Posts
December 04 2013 22:56 GMT
#331
On December 05 2013 07:54 ayaz2810 wrote:
Was researching mining today. Kinda sucks that you pretty much have to already have many thousands of dollars to either A. Buy bitcoins outright as an investment or B. Buy the equipment necessary to mine more than $1 a month. I was hoping there was hope for people who didn't have anything to invest to make some cash. I am disappoint.

Generally it takes money to make money... and get rich quick schemes are scams.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
December 04 2013 22:58 GMT
#332
On December 05 2013 07:56 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 05 2013 07:54 ayaz2810 wrote:
Was researching mining today. Kinda sucks that you pretty much have to already have many thousands of dollars to either A. Buy bitcoins outright as an investment or B. Buy the equipment necessary to mine more than $1 a month. I was hoping there was hope for people who didn't have anything to invest to make some cash. I am disappoint.

Generally it takes money to make money... and get rich quick schemes are scams.


In my mind, I thought joining a pool and using a gaming computer to mine would generate some decent money over say a year or so. Turns out, even a gaming computer is nothing compared to the ~$4000+ cards you can buy. I was just woefully uninformed and got excited about what little I knew I guess. And yeah, the rich get richer lol
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
MaestroSC
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2073 Posts
December 04 2013 23:38 GMT
#333
To make money mining bitcoin without spending 50k+ in hardware, you had to do it 2-3 years ago. Nowadays its becoming monopolized by mega mining centers mostly in china. There is one company in China that basically took a Railroad car and jampacked it full of nearly 100,000 worth of equipment for their mining operation.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
December 04 2013 23:45 GMT
#334
That is insane. And probably insanely profitable. The energy costs must be staggering.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
MaestroSC
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2073 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-05 07:00:25
December 05 2013 00:38 GMT
#335
On December 05 2013 08:45 ayaz2810 wrote:
That is insane. And probably insanely profitable. The energy costs must be staggering.


i have no knowledge of communist china's electricity costs.. but ya id assume so. But i am sure its worth it haha.

in other news there is talk of Bitcoin becoming tradable on major exchanges... in which case we will def see some new insane new top price

http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2013/12/04/the-bitcoin-bubble/

States how the government currently views bitcoin. IMO this means we will never see a shutdown or crash caused by a US shutdown. This doesnt mean the bitcoin will never go down in value again... but a lot of peoples' fears are addressed when you see the government is in favor of it and will not be looking to shut it down asap.
3772
Profile Joined May 2010
Czech Republic434 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-05 11:40:15
December 05 2013 11:30 GMT
#336
GPU mining can be profitable, but not by mining BTC. You mine some scrypt coins (like LTC) and then sell them for BTC. LTC went up to 50$ and down a bit recently.

The difficulty rises so fast in BTC that if the ASIC you buy right now gets delayed somewhere for a week or two, it will never even pay for itself. Do the math before buying stuff or you will lose money.

That said, I bought some 7950's in April and made couple times the investment. Not sure if the time is right to get into LTC mining, since the difficulty will rise there too.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4554 Posts
December 05 2013 12:23 GMT
#337
The volume of trading is currently crazy.
This is very good news for the bitcoin overall.
The hoarding is weak and liquidity of the coin is growing with 6% of black friday volume went throught bitpay. This mean that the bitcoin is used as a currency much more widely than people seems to think.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51484 Posts
December 05 2013 13:05 GMT
#338
On December 05 2013 20:30 3772 wrote:
GPU mining can be profitable, but not by mining BTC. You mine some scrypt coins (like LTC) and then sell them for BTC. LTC went up to 50$ and down a bit recently.

The difficulty rises so fast in BTC that if the ASIC you buy right now gets delayed somewhere for a week or two, it will never even pay for itself. Do the math before buying stuff or you will lose money.

That said, I bought some 7950's in April and made couple times the investment. Not sure if the time is right to get into LTC mining, since the difficulty will rise there too.


Thats what im doing, there is so many different coins right now, that i saw an opening to try and make BTC.
I am using a guys program/pool which auto sends script of a certain coin to mine that is easy/valuable. You mine that (quicker because its easier to get) then you get paid with BTC for it in an automatic exchange!
Pretty funky. Made $30 with 3 ppl mining (i mine with 2 other friends, GPU mining)
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
Karakaxe
Profile Joined August 2010
Sweden585 Posts
December 05 2013 13:41 GMT
#339
It's really sad that so many people are being sucked into this.

So much hype and so much money will be lost.
Sword of Omens, give me sight beyond sight.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51484 Posts
December 05 2013 13:55 GMT
#340
How will money be lost?
People buying BTC at most will make a small profit.
People mining others to get BTC are going to make huge profits, especially if they are doing the LTC mining and exchanging for BTC.

To flat out say people are going to lose money is way off the mark.
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
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