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On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over gas prices.
When you're part of the party that constantly obstructs drilling and developing domestic oil sources, then it becomes pretty easy to be blamed for the high gas prices. Obama has not done anything helpful to lower gas prices, but he has done a number of things that put upwards pressure on gas prices, ranging from shutting down offshore drilling, to preventing oil companies from drilling in regions like the Bakkan, to obstructing the Keystone XL pipeline. Despite all of this, he still has the gall to take credit for increased domestic production during his tenure, all of which was the result of Bush administration policies granting licenses to drill (there's a significant lag time between getting permission to drill and getting a productive well online).
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On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over that. Blame "the man", he probably runs them cartels.
Well he could try and illegalize the printing press.
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On March 06 2012 03:07 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over gas prices. When you're part of the party that constantly obstructs drilling and developing domestic oil sources, then it becomes pretty easy to be blamed for the high gas prices. Obama has not done anything helpful to lower gas prices, but he has done a number of things that put upwards pressure on gas prices, ranging from shutting down offshore drilling, to preventing oil companies from drilling in regions like the Bakkan, to obstructing the Keystone XL pipeline. Despite all of this, he still has the gall to take credit for increased domestic production during his tenure, all of which was the result of Bush administration policies granting licenses to drill (there's a significant lag time between getting permission to drill and getting a productive well online). That's a bit of an extreme position isn't it? It's convenient for you. First you grossly exaggerate the restrictions put on offshore drilling and domestic oil sources, and then you directly blame Obama who frankly has very little wiggle room anyway? As if it were completely ridiculous to be a little bit hesitant anyway after the huge BP disaster.
Let me ask you this - how long do you think it takes for such a project to reach a full drawdown? Do you think the prices would go down significantly now if the Keystone XL project, which would take 10 years to complete. ANWR is the one oil project I can think of that Obama really objected to, and in 20 years it would represent like 1% of the US's oil consumption. That means in 2032 it would be a tiny portion of the US consumption. Also I don't want to be boring, but ANWR stands for "Arctic National Wildlife Refuge".
"Obama we want lower gas prices, let's dig oles errywhere and extract gas during your presidency, also construct the Shrine of Love with magic an unicorns"
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On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over that. Blame "the man", he probably runs them cartels. it really doesn't help him that his energy secretary said that we need to find a way to raise the price of unleaded to $6-$7/gallon.
it may not be Obama's fault that gas prices are going up, but it's still gonna hurt him.
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On March 06 2012 03:35 sc2superfan101 wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over that. Blame "the man", he probably runs them cartels. it may not be Obama's fault that gas prices are going up, but it's still gonna hurt him. I know, and I didn't blame anyone in this thread - I just think it's unfortunate that people don't bother to actually understand these things before making decisions.
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How so? I say that stereotypes are effective. Person A throws out a stereotype and says that he think its bullshit. I say that it must be a bad stereotype. The retort is, "well you just undermined your argument -- stereotypes must not be effective then because this one doesn't work." I say that I can't account for user error.
Here's the point: if someone makes a bad stereotype, then it's not going to stick or be affective. For example, let's say that someone states, "you know, those Germans, they are always late and their trains never run on time." Is that a good stereotype? Of course not, because it's not based in any kind of truth. That's what I meant by "user error."
Because you're saying you know better than everyone else, your stereotypes are just as likely to be wrong as anyone elses.
I originally wasn't going to respond to this post until I saw this part. Let's ignore the socialists and libertarians for now, and focus upon democrats and republicans. For the sake of argument, I'll just assume that it is the universal platform of the republican party to ban abortion and gay marriage. Those are two instances of taking away liberty. There's smaller (though vocal minority) of republicans that would like to clamp down other social issues (whether it be birth control or porn), but they're not large enough to be taken seriously. On the balance however, there isn't much else that republicans have a hard-on for regulating.
Now let's look at a list of the freedoms that democrats want to take away (and this is just a list of stuff that comes right off the top of my head: school choice (vouchers), the right own firearms, a whole slew of economic freedoms in the workplace (ranging from whether people can choose whether to join unions to mandating that health care be provided), high tax policy (taking away people's money is taking away their freedom), carbon emissions (ie this is a huge economic issue in and of itself), and a whole slew of other things that fall under democratic regulations. If you're looking for even more extreme examples, you can go down to local levels where cities like New York have banned salt in restaurants or cities like LA have banned throwing footballs and frisbees on beaches.
I have no doubt that bad policies (often based on moral grounds) are implemented by both parties. Comparing local levels to federal levels is not a fair comparison however, since there are plenty of dumb laws implemented by everyone. You must understand though, most good laws from a liberal stand-point are predicated on positive freedom. Universal health-care, workplace or economic regulation is all designed to prevent companies or individuals from stripping freedom from victims and grants those victims the ability to live their life freely without the dependancy on insurance companies etc. that can leverage their position of advantage against you.
While I don't think you're a terrible person for having the view that positive liberty can strip away individual freedom for the freedom of the many, I take issue with your militant characterization of all liberals as some form of lazy human being looking only to the government to take care of them. It's your representation of liberals (this flawed stereotyping) that makes you so off-base on many of your remarks. Democrats are not some free wheeling hippies looking to strip away your rights, they have a difference of opinions on how much government should be involved, and what role government should play, but they aren't ignorant fools, they have good logical reasoning behind most of their beliefs. You may think they're on the wrong side of most arguments, but that's just an opinion. I personally believe you're on the wrong side of most arguments, hooray for freespeech. I, however, don't attempt to stifle communication with idiotic hyperbole or grand stereotypes, neither do I ridicule people based on their positions, nor do I make ignorant assumptions that only work to hinder my own voice, whereas your inflammatory speech often does all these things.
And while we're on the topic of liberty, which group pushes the tyranny of the "politically correct" in our society? Here's a hint: it's the left. God help us if we dare offend anyone -- particularly any minority.
I'm not sure why you think being "politically correct" is tyrannical, it makes for sensible and understandable arguments as opposed to emotion laden babble. It's an issue of standards, but I have no sympathy for people who cannot get their point across intelligently and without inflaming or attacking individuals or groups. Not to mention, Rush Limbaugh and Bill Maher get to stay on the air, so you might just be exaggerating the tyranny of "politically correct".
Stuff like this makes it hard to take you seriously.
The duck test is basically a black swan fallacy, it's used to point out the simple in the complex, however when used improperly (as I believe you did) it's a fallacy like any other.
If you say so.
Stuff like this makes it hard to take you seriously.
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On March 06 2012 03:39 Tor wrote: While I don't think you're a terrible person for having the view that positive liberty can strip away individual freedom for the freedom of the many, I take issue with your militant characterization of all liberals as some form of lazy human being looking only to the government to take care of them. It's your representation of liberals (this flawed stereotyping) that makes you so off-base on many of your remarks. Democrats are not some free wheeling hippies looking to strip away your rights, they have a difference of opinions on how much government should be involved, and what role government should play, but they aren't ignorant fools, they have good logical reasoning behind most of their beliefs. You may think they're on the wrong side of most arguments, but that's just an opinion. I personally believe you're on the wrong side of most arguments, hooray for freespeech. I, however, don't attempt to stifle communication with idiotic hyperbole or grand stereotypes, neither do I ridicule people based on their positions, nor do I make ignorant assumptions that only work to hinder my own voice, whereas your inflammatory speech often does all these things.
I particularly liked this part of your post. Well put
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On March 06 2012 03:35 Djzapz wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 03:07 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2012 03:02 Djzapz wrote:On March 06 2012 02:23 xDaunt wrote: Factor in high commodity prices (gas being the latest), and it is pretty clear that Obama cannot rest on his laurels. It's funny that gas prices comes into play, as if Obama had a significant amount of control over gas prices. When you're part of the party that constantly obstructs drilling and developing domestic oil sources, then it becomes pretty easy to be blamed for the high gas prices. Obama has not done anything helpful to lower gas prices, but he has done a number of things that put upwards pressure on gas prices, ranging from shutting down offshore drilling, to preventing oil companies from drilling in regions like the Bakkan, to obstructing the Keystone XL pipeline. Despite all of this, he still has the gall to take credit for increased domestic production during his tenure, all of which was the result of Bush administration policies granting licenses to drill (there's a significant lag time between getting permission to drill and getting a productive well online). That's a bit of an extreme position isn't it? It's convenient for you. First you grossly exaggerate the restrictions put on offshore drilling and domestic oil sources, and then you directly blame Obama who frankly has very little wiggle room anyway? As if it were completely ridiculous to be a little bit hesitant anyway after the huge BP disaster.
I don't think that I am exaggerating about anything. There's less offshore drilling now than there was before the BP disaster. I have a client who has interests worth tens of millions of dollars in the Bakken, so I know what's going on up there as well. I don't know why you say that Obama has little wriggle room. All he has to do is come out in full support of drilling. That's a pretty damned easy bipartisan issue that he could exploit.
Let me ask you this - how long do you think it takes for such a project to reach a full drawdown? Do you think the prices would go down significantly now if the Keystone XL project, which would take 10 years to complete. ANWR is the one oil project I can think of that Obama really objected to, and in 20 years it would represent like 1% of the US's oil consumption. That means in 2032 it would be a tiny portion of the US consumption. Also I don't want to be boring, but ANWR stands for "Arctic National Wildlife Refuge".
"Obama we want lower gas prices, let's dig oles errywhere and extract gas during your presidency, also construct the Shrine of Love with magic an unicorns"
You can't look at any one project to understand what's going on. You have to take a broad-based look at all US oil domestic production. If just one project is obstructed, it doesn't really matter that much because the effect is marginal. When substantially all of the projects are blocked, then it matters.
Lastly, I really don't like the argument that we shouldn't drill because it won't have any immediate impact on prices. It's so obviously short-sighted that it isn't even really worth commenting on.
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I just want to throw out that gas prices in the US are pretty low compared to other places in the world. When I was in Austria about three years back, I think gas was four euros... per liter. When I was in Cambodia over the summer, I think it was something similar (since Cambodian money kind of stinks, they use US dollars for most transactions). Same thing for Taiwan.
US gas prices are kind of low compared to these countries. Austria and Taiwan are arguably pretty developed countries, probably on par or higher than the United States (for example, the Taiwanese shit themselves when the unemployment was past 5%, lol). Cambodia is a poorer nation and provides some contrast. Honestly, if all these nations can get by on more expensive gas, the US should be able to as well.
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the way i see it is that most people, be they democrat or republican, are all trying to find a proper balance for government. by proper balance i mean the proper balance between freedom and security. there are radicals on both sides that don't care about balance, but in general, people want a healthy mix of both.
most republicans and democrats, liberals and conservatives, want to achieve a proper balance. they just disagree on where the scales should be tipped. in every situation, we have the option of more government control or less government control. a lot of times, either or is acceptable (acceptable in the sense that it won't destroy the nation and enslave us all). UHC will not bring down the country and annihilate all freedom as we know it. private insurance with minimal regulation will not bring down the country or result in no one getting care unless they have trillions of dollars. we can argue about which one is better or worse, and we will argue about which one is preferable, but at the end of the day, it's dependent upon how you place your priorities. get rid of all the doom and gloom predictions and strawmen and you'll find that often the argument is not one of opposites, but of degrees.
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So even though you said you weren't going to respond to me anymore, here's your actual quote:
"Not believing in evolution is not the same as not believing in science."
My interpretation of that is 'evolution is not scientific.' I very much disagree and would very much like to hear what my interpretation of that should have been.
Also do you think it's just a coincidence that the one guy in the republican primaries that actually says he trusts scientists was forced to drop out before someone who says that contraception is a "license to do things in the sexual realm that is counter to how they should be"?
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On March 06 2012 03:53 DamnCats wrote: So even though you said you weren't going to respond to me anymore, here's your actual quote:
"Not believing in evolution is not the same as not believing in science."
My interpretation of that is 'evolution is not scientific.' I very much disagree and would very much like to hear what my interpretation of that should have been.
Also do you think it's just a coincidence that the one guy in the republican primaries that actually says he trusts scientists was forced to drop out before someone who says that contraception is a "license to do things in the sexual realm that is counter to how they should be"?
i believe that evolution is the proper theory of the origin of life. i generally trust scientists (to a certain degree) and am very hesitant to flat out deny the various theories and hypothesis' they put out.
i didn't like huntsman for a variety of reasons. the big one was that he was never able to garner the mass support of the party. i respect his time as governor, i definitely respect his willingness to think rationally about a lot of positions, and i think he would have been a pretty decent candidate.
most republicans wouldn't be able to tell you who huntsman is, much less what his position on evolution is. i could be wrong, but i seriously doubt that that alone is what sunk him.
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On March 06 2012 03:51 ticklishmusic wrote: I just want to throw out that gas prices in the US are pretty low compared to other places in the world. When I was in Austria about three years back, I think gas was four euros... per liter. When I was in Cambodia over the summer, I think it was something similar (since Cambodian money kind of stinks, they use US dollars for most transactions). Same thing for Taiwan.
US gas prices are kind of low compared to these countries. Austria and Taiwan are arguably pretty developed countries, probably on par or higher than the United States (for example, the Taiwanese shit themselves when the unemployment was past 5%, lol). Cambodia is a poorer nation and provides some contrast. Honestly, if all these nations can get by on more expensive gas, the US should be able to as well.
America is enjoying spectacularly LOW gas prices compared to the rest of the world. Come visit Canada and just see how shitty it is.
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On March 06 2012 04:01 Defacer wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 03:51 ticklishmusic wrote: I just want to throw out that gas prices in the US are pretty low compared to other places in the world. When I was in Austria about three years back, I think gas was four euros... per liter. When I was in Cambodia over the summer, I think it was something similar (since Cambodian money kind of stinks, they use US dollars for most transactions). Same thing for Taiwan.
US gas prices are kind of low compared to these countries. Austria and Taiwan are arguably pretty developed countries, probably on par or higher than the United States (for example, the Taiwanese shit themselves when the unemployment was past 5%, lol). Cambodia is a poorer nation and provides some contrast. Honestly, if all these nations can get by on more expensive gas, the US should be able to as well. America is enjoying spectacularly LOW gas prices compared to the rest of the world. Come visit Canada and just see how shitty it is.
That's exactly what I said. I don't understand why my fellow Americans complain so much about high gas prices.
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Not trying to be a dick but.... how is there 521 pages for republican nominations? You guys realize American politics is fixed and bull shit right...
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On March 06 2012 03:39 Tor wrote: I have no doubt that bad policies (often based on moral grounds) are implemented by both parties. Comparing local levels to federal levels is not a fair comparison however, since there are plenty of dumb laws implemented by everyone. You must understand though, most good laws from a liberal stand-point are predicated on positive freedom. Universal health-care, workplace or economic regulation is all designed to prevent companies or individuals from stripping freedom from victims and grants those victims the ability to live their life freely without the dependancy on insurance companies etc. that can leverage their position of advantage against you.
No, most "good" laws from a liberal standpoint are predicated on good intentions. They're looking to fix a problem using the power of government. Take Obamacare as an example. How exactly does it promote "positive freedom?" If anything, it does exactly the opposite by imposing a range of regulations upon persons, employees, and employers ranging from mandating that that insurance be bought/sold to regulating precisely what care must be offered. There's no liberty or property interest being protected here. To the contrary, liberty and property rights are being infringed for the purpose of providing healthcare to everyone, which is merely a welfare benefit and not the same thing as a right.
While I don't think you're a terrible person for having the view that positive liberty can strip away individual freedom for the freedom of the many, I take issue with your militant characterization of all liberals as some form of lazy human being looking only to the government to take care of them. It's your representation of liberals (this flawed stereotyping) that makes you so off-base on many of your remarks. Democrats are not some free wheeling hippies looking to strip away your rights, they have a difference of opinions on how much government should be involved, and what role government should play, but they aren't ignorant fools, they have good logical reasoning behind most of their beliefs. You may think they're on the wrong side of most arguments, but that's just an opinion. I personally believe you're on the wrong side of most arguments, hooray for freespeech. I, however, don't attempt to stifle communication with idiotic hyperbole or grand stereotypes, neither do I ridicule people based on their positions, nor do I make ignorant assumptions that only work to hinder my own voice, whereas your inflammatory speech often does all these things.
I wasn't making any normative arguments about the desirability of liberal policies. I was merely describing them for what they are and objecting to your characterization that democrats/liberals are the ones who promote freedoms. Like it or not, the democratic party (and liberals) is the party of the nanny state. They want to regulate everything to root out and prevent any problems that may arise. Despite how good their intentions are, the fact remains that, by so regulating, they are stomping all over the freedoms of people in this country.
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Americans drive further and more than the citizens of most countries, i believe. also, Americans are big on low prices. we want it now, we want it cheap, and we want it big. it's also a thing of we've had low gas prices compared to the rest of the world, but most of us have never been out of the country. we don't know or care what gas prices are in other countries. they are higher than they have been in a long time and they keep on going up. it makes it hard for us to travel, go to work, go to school, etc.
i can tell you that going to school would not be an option for me if gas went up to $6/gallon, unless I got some serious financial aid, which i may not be qualified for due to the income of my parents (who, ironically, don't have enough money to support me due to various bad decisions with their money)
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On March 06 2012 04:06 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 03:39 Tor wrote: I have no doubt that bad policies (often based on moral grounds) are implemented by both parties. Comparing local levels to federal levels is not a fair comparison however, since there are plenty of dumb laws implemented by everyone. You must understand though, most good laws from a liberal stand-point are predicated on positive freedom. Universal health-care, workplace or economic regulation is all designed to prevent companies or individuals from stripping freedom from victims and grants those victims the ability to live their life freely without the dependancy on insurance companies etc. that can leverage their position of advantage against you. No, most "good" laws from a liberal standpoint are predicated on good intentions. They're looking to fix a problem using the power of government. Take Obamacare as an example. How exactly does it promote "positive freedom?" If anything, it does exactly the opposite by imposing a range of regulations upon persons, employees, and employers ranging from mandating that that insurance be bought/sold to regulating precisely what care must be offered. There's no liberty or property interest being protected here. To the contrary, liberty and property rights are being infringed for the purpose of providing healthcare to everyone, which is merely a welfare benefit and not the same thing as a right.
You don't understand the concept of 'positive freedom' (more accurately, positive liberty), which at times is opposed to negative liberty, which is the concept of freedom you use. If anything, more 'negative' inceptions of freedom are predicated on good intentions of the individual, while more 'positive' forms start with a slightly more negative view of humanity.
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On March 06 2012 03:51 xDaunt wrote: I don't think that I am exaggerating about anything. There's less offshore drilling now than there was before the BP disaster. I have a client who has interests worth tens of millions of dollars in the Bakken, so I know what's going on up there as well. I don't know why you say that Obama has little wriggle room. All he has to do is come out in full support of drilling. That's a pretty damned easy bipartisan issue that he could exploit. Why are you surprised that there is less offshore drilling now than there was before the BP disaster.. Any semi-competent politician would at least take a step back and slow things down, it's how things are done.
You can't look at any one project to understand what's going on. You have to take a broad-based look at all US oil domestic production. If just one project is obstructed, it doesn't really matter that much because the effect is marginal. When substantially all of the projects are blocked, then it matters. What world do you live in where all the projects are blocked, stop being so freaking dishonest to further your points.
Lastly, I really don't like the argument that we shouldn't drill because it won't have any immediate impact on prices. It's so obviously short-sighted that it isn't even really worth commenting on. That's your answer to everything. Not commenting on it. It's not short sighted, the argument is that the current gas prices are high, stop being so fucking evasive.
Don't be wondering why so many people are getting annoyed with you, whenever you're in a corner you lie or blow things out of proportion and you insult people and tell them you're done with them. What the hell dude?
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xDaunt:
They want to regulate everything to root out and prevent any problems that may arise. Despite how good their intentions are, the fact remains that, by so regulating, they are stomping all over the freedoms of people in this country.
Yes, regulating wall st so goldman sachs doesn't have the freedom to create all sorts of fucked up derivatives that multiply the risk/reward tenfold and cause a worldwide financial crash would certainly be terrible.
Yes, regulating health insurance companies so that they don't have the freedom to tell Little Timmy with Hodgkin's to go fuck himself would certainly be terrible.
Yes, regulating food and drugs so that food and pharma companies don't have the freedom to put whatever the hell they want in their products would certainly be terrible.
Yes, regulating oil companies so that they don't have the freedom to just say "fuck it, someone else's mess" after their rig blows up would certainly be terrible.
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