What would happen if US pulls out of SK and Japan? - Page 4
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NotSupporting
Sweden1998 Posts
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semantics
10040 Posts
Personally i've always thought of the US military as our most socialist program, we give people education, place to live, money and healthcare in tern they follow though with the US commitments which basically say the US is the world police and if anyone wants to fight one of our allies they will fight us. Although currently alot of the defense budget is operational costs keeping things fueled up and paying those risking their lives, cutting back on the japan and SK commitment isn't super large as most of the military cost is in our active wars. Also all the ppl on nk vs sk, the US and china has a strong interest in keeping nk as is a little buffer zone. The US waters on the issue is always more murky just becuase more people voice their opinion about matters but the US stance is on continued stalemate with sk on nk. | ||
DeepElemBlues
United States5079 Posts
Unfortunately NK has more than 10,000 artillery pieces and rocket launchers in range of Seoul, yeah they'd lose but they'd tear Seoul to pieces. | ||
jello_biafra
United Kingdom6637 Posts
Given that the US not only has bases in SK but also helps supply the SK army and has strong ties with Japan and SK and encouraged them to make a defence pact with each other too, I don't think they'll be leaving any time soon. | ||
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Jibba
United States22883 Posts
On June 26 2011 02:04 exog wrote: Stop being rational and sensible, this is international politics, money, sex, murders and all that jazz. "Benefits", "truth" and "reason" has nothing to do with this. Those concepts are far to advanced for the stone-age thought process of "the strongest is right". If there's no enforcement, then the rational thing to do is to try and control your own sphere of power, before you're disadvantaged against someone else. The economic paradigm still hasn't proven itself against neo-realism. | ||
zalz
Netherlands3704 Posts
On June 26 2011 03:50 DeepElemBlues wrote: NK would lose a war against SK in about a few weeks because the US and Japan would fall on NK from the sea like a ton of bricks. Unfortunately NK has more than 10,000 artillery pieces and rocket launchers in range of Seoul, yeah they'd lose but they'd tear Seoul to pieces. Japan is within nuclear missiles range of North-Korea and NK hates Japan with a passion that rivals the US. When a war breaks out they will use their artillery to fire at SK and launch their nuclear missiles at Japanese cities. And there is no reliable way to stop those missiles. They are currently estimated to have around 5 nukes. Even if we take into account that their missiles might not be very accurate, is it really that hard to hit a Japanese major city? They are rather large targets where a missile being off by a kilometer doesn't mean that much, it's still going to kill a lot of people. don't think it would be wise for the US to pull out of these countries, China is without doubt investing a lot in upgrading its military, including navy and airforce with the aim of creating a force that can rival that of the US and the intention of projecting their power further afield, pulling out would be an open invitation to China to take over these countries and others at some point. People are mentioning that Japan's army size is limited because of post-WW2 limitations but their defence force has been steadily building itself up over the years and the US is turning a blind eye because of North Korea, China and the Taiwan situation, they need strong allies and their own military assets in the region to maintain peace and order. At this point China's army couldn't hope to stand against the US for any serious ammount of time. Infact no country in the world could hope to fight the current US army. Thanks to Hollywood the idea of the mobile modern army has become imprinted in people's minds as being the standard. The American army is insanely well funded compared to any other army in the world. Even if the Chinese army was to rival the US in terms of funding (currently the US spends something like 20x as much) then the difference in strength would come from experience. The US has experience in several wars whilst China has experience in rolling over Tibet. The US army is more seasoned and more funded. It will be decades before the Chinese army can be considered equall to the US. It's not even just a matter of funding, you still got the problem of what to buy with the money. The US has a massive war machine that is constantly creating new and highly modern weaponry. China doesn't have a similar structure. In terms for a military industrial complex China is like a country that has no roads and the US like a country that has roads, railroads, highways and a fully functional air communication structure. | ||
rickybobby
United States405 Posts
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Tatari
United States1179 Posts
On June 26 2011 01:56 Klipsys wrote: What the.... You know that japan hasn't had a standing army since WW2, and it's a violation of UN resolutions if they re-militarize Wait, what happened to the JSDF? It's a military force. :I | ||
hookyelyak
Egypt184 Posts
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jello_biafra
United Kingdom6637 Posts
On June 26 2011 04:47 zalz wrote: Japan is within nuclear missiles range of North-Korea and NK hates Japan with a passion that rivals the US. When a war breaks out they will use their artillery to fire at SK and launch their nuclear missiles at Japanese cities. And there is no reliable way to stop those missiles. They are currently estimated to have around 5 nukes. Even if we take into account that their missiles might not be very accurate, is it really that hard to hit a Japanese major city? They are rather large targets where a missile being off by a kilometer doesn't mean that much, it's still going to kill a lot of people. At this point China's army couldn't hope to stand against the US for any serious ammount of time. Infact no country in the world could hope to fight the current US army. Thanks to Hollywood the idea of the mobile modern army has become imprinted in people's minds as being the standard. The American army is insanely well funded compared to any other army in the world. Even if the Chinese army was to rival the US in terms of funding (currently the US spends something like 20x as much) then the difference in strength would come from experience. The US has experience in several wars whilst China has experience in rolling over Tibet. The US army is more seasoned and more funded. It will be decades before the Chinese army can be considered equall to the US. It's not even just a matter of funding, you still got the problem of what to buy with the money. The US has a massive war machine that is constantly creating new and highly modern weaponry. China doesn't have a similar structure. In terms for a military industrial complex China is like a country that has no roads and the US like a country that has roads, railroads, highways and a fully functional air communication structure. I realize that, there are only 3 countries on earth that are really capable of projecting force all around the globe, the US, the UK and France and only the US can do it on a really substantial scale. This is the reason China is investing huge amounts of money and resources into developing new fighters, aircraft carriers and methods of destroying carriers. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12154991 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-13761711 A couple links on it, this isn't just me fear mongering or some shit, it's a genuine concern of US government officials. | ||
MERLIN.
Canada546 Posts
On June 26 2011 02:30 DeepElemBlues wrote: Ummm, this is why China is upgrading their navy and air force and to a slightly lesser degree their army, there is no arms race. Wrong... And to people who think that Japan would be violating some UN resolution if they were to "re-militarize," totally wrong. Only Japanese law (specifically their constitution) restricts their military. Their constitution says they are not allowed to have any offensive forces whatsoever. That's why their army and navy and air force have "Self-Defense" in the title, that's the only constitutional thing for them to do, they're allowed to have "self-defense forces." Japan has already become more and more right-wing in its foreign policy especially toward North Korea, if the US left Tokyo and Seoul would both be terrified of Pyongyang and would greatly increase their forces as a result. Japan does not like and is very suspicious of NK especially because of the decades of NK kidnapping random Japanese off Japanese beaches to train NK spies on how to act Japanese. Japan can change its constitution whenever it wants. Ummm... wrong. England and France approached Israel and said we're going to attack Egypt you should help us because hurting Egypt will help you in the short and long run. Israel said okay. England and France went to Eisenhower and said you should come too and he said no, and we can't support you in doing it. Don't do it. England and France did it and the US did not support them and forced London and Paris to accept a cease-fire when the USSR threatened to get involved. In England especially what the US did was viewed as the death knell of the British empire and was not very well received by the Brits. Well, since you decided to rip apart peoples statements lets get one thing clear, Ummm, this is why China is upgrading their navy and air force This "navy" you speak of is a joke, and anyone informed knows this. That new carrier they have upgraded from a soviet warship, not even built themselves is touted as a "peice of junk" by the American military and the Pentagon, the thought that this is even strikingly an issue for "arms" discussion is behond me. There is no country carrying a navy as superior as the United States navy, and there will be no arms race in Navy terms, especially from China. There is no arms race, there is the United States, who since its revolution has had over 20 major wars, and many minor conflicts. The nation is bred for war, was made by a war, and will continue to thrive in that regard. So don't pretend that there is a military race of arms, in anyway shape or form, you'll be kidding yourself. That being said, I think the country is failing because of this, and in that regard will either use the military to enforce its survival or there will be some economic global change which will bail them out, because I think with 14 trillion in debt, you pass a limit where it is impossible to surpass the interest, I'm confident that happened a long time ago before they pass 10trillion, because it's just been exponentially declining. Nothing like privatizing banks and getting rid of regulation to really put yourself in debt. | ||
Madkipz
Norway1643 Posts
its not like countries build and maintain military bases for no reason at all. | ||
Medrea
10003 Posts
Japan lacks an army that is capable of striking beyond its borders, as is decreed in the post war constitution. | ||
DannyJ
United States5110 Posts
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Dr_Jones
Norway252 Posts
On June 26 2011 03:45 NotSupporting wrote: For people discussing a potential war between SK and NK I would just like to add that there is a war RIGHT NOW, SK and NK are officially still at war, a peace agreement was never reached only an agreement of ceasefire. Also, people thinking NK has nothing to threaten with anyway - NK has nuclear weapons and Seoul is very close to the border, these two factors are enough to create a huge disaster in case of resumed fighting North Korea has nuclear DEVICES, although there is no credible evidence they possess the means of delivery, or the stability a nuclear weapons attack would require. Stop confusing facts. | ||
Happykola
United Kingdom62 Posts
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Klogon
MURICA15980 Posts
http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/06/military-spending So SK spends 2.8% of GDP while NK spends 15%+ and SK still spends more. And generally in modern warfare, the more you spend the better your military capabilities are. | ||
Skullflower
United States3779 Posts
On June 26 2011 01:56 Klipsys wrote: What the.... You know that japan hasn't had a standing army since WW2, and it's a violation of UN resolutions if they re-militarize They have an incredibly high-tech and well equipped army but it's only for defensive purposes. And now their main focus has moved from Russia to China. | ||
Gryffes
United Kingdom763 Posts
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Swagalisk
United States7 Posts
For example, lets say North Korea does attack countries in that region. We could launch an offensive from Japan or South Korea the same day. As apposed to having to fight for a foot hold in that region, which could take some time. | ||
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