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What would happen if US pulls out of SK and Japan? - Page 3

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Popss
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden176 Posts
June 25 2011 17:59 GMT
#41
I think its more likely that U.S. will be forced to leave rather than them making that decision themselves.

Those bases was never really popular to begin with for obvious reasons.

thoradycus
Profile Joined August 2010
Malaysia3262 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-25 18:02:14
June 25 2011 18:01 GMT
#42
On June 26 2011 02:59 Popss wrote:
I think its more likely that U.S. will be forced to leave rather than them making that decision themselves.

Those bases was never really popular to begin with for obvious reasons.


never popular? among who? South Korea, Japan and USA enjoy really good relations in military and economic terms
Popss
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden176 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-25 18:04:43
June 25 2011 18:03 GMT
#43
On June 26 2011 03:01 thoradycus wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 02:59 Popss wrote:
I think its more likely that U.S. will be forced to leave rather than them making that decision themselves.

Those bases was never really popular to begin with for obvious reasons.


never popular? among who? South Korea, Japan and USA enjoy really good relations in military and economic terms


General population.

EDIT: Hmm I did some research and I'm wrong on this one.
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
June 25 2011 18:11 GMT
#44
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
thoradycus
Profile Joined August 2010
Malaysia3262 Posts
June 25 2011 18:18 GMT
#45
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.

any chance u hav source? im interested in this kind of stuff lol
dybydx
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Canada1764 Posts
June 25 2011 18:20 GMT
#46
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.

not that i support a war, but if NK and SK wants to duke it out. they should have the freedom and right to do so.

for that same reason that we should not be involved in Libya.
...from the land of imba
SorYu
Profile Joined May 2011
Netherlands75 Posts
June 25 2011 18:20 GMT
#47
On June 26 2011 01:34 Voltaire wrote:
along with Germany and other places where there are unnecessary bases. .

can they take their nukes with them too we store for them..stupid junk, we dont want this in europe (Netherlands)
MC - Ret (no terran love right now sry)
Bibdy
Profile Joined March 2010
United States3481 Posts
June 25 2011 18:22 GMT
#48
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.


The aftermath of that war would be just miserable. Seoul, being so close to the border and the target of a metric fuckton of long-range artillery, would have been bombarded to rubble (or even nuked) and there would be millions of brainwashed, unemployable (due to lack of industrial skills) North Koreans looking for food, work and shelter.
aqui
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Germany1023 Posts
June 25 2011 18:22 GMT
#49
Stupid question but don't the USA save money having forces stationed in countries like Japan,Sk or Germany, since those countries pay for the bases not the US and having the forces at home they'd have to pay more to sustain them?
Probe1
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States17920 Posts
June 25 2011 18:23 GMT
#50
On June 26 2011 03:20 SorYu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 01:34 Voltaire wrote:
along with Germany and other places where there are unnecessary bases. .

can they take their nukes with them too we store for them..stupid junk, we dont want this in europe (Netherlands)


Yeah, that'll just leave UK and France.. and the other countries that didn't disclose their development.


Politically I can only see China asserting increased influence over SK and Japan if the United States were to suddenly leave. I don't know if that's for better or worse but I'm certain that would be the result.


But we HAVE to cut funding to the military. The national debt is disgusting.
우정호 KT_VIOLET 1988 - 2012 While we are postponing, life speeds by
thoradycus
Profile Joined August 2010
Malaysia3262 Posts
June 25 2011 18:24 GMT
#51
On June 26 2011 03:22 Bibdy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.


The aftermath of that war would be just miserable. Seoul, being so close to the border and the target of a metric fuckton of long-range artillery, would have been bombarded to rubble (or even nuked) and there would be millions of brainwashed, unemployable (due to lack of industrial skills) North Koreans looking for food, work and shelter.

yea, their economy would be hit very hard.
Redlol
Profile Joined June 2010
United States181 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-25 18:28:34
June 25 2011 18:26 GMT
#52
On June 26 2011 01:53 Voltaire wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 01:45 DeepElemBlues wrote:
If the US ever left SK and Japan, both SK and Japan would start enlarging their navies and there would be a naval arms race between them and China. That would be the biggest political change from the US leaving, Japan returning to its status as a premier naval power in the Pacific.


This isn't 1930, there is no way an "arms race" would emerge in the present day. Also there are severe restrictions on the Japanese military because of WWII.


Look at the German military/submarine buildup before World War II, the world relaxed the World War I restrictions because they were outdated(bit of an oversimplification but the point stands). Similarly if the Japanese were to start building their military they would likely be allowed to as long as it was within reason.

On June 26 2011 03:20 dybydx wrote:

not that i support a war, but if NK and SK wants to duke it out. they should have the freedom and right to do so.

for that same reason that we should not be involved in Libya.


You never, ever have the right to genocide which is what really happened in Libya.
zalz
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Netherlands3704 Posts
June 25 2011 18:28 GMT
#53
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.


Air superiorty doesn't stop rockets and artillery shells from hitting Seoul. SK will never be the agressor so any situation begins with the initial strike coming from NK.

SK simply will not survive the initial atack. Their entire country is within instant range of NK weaponry. The only tactic that SK has is stalling for international (USA) help wich they well get. The question is how many million will die before they get their help.

not that i support a war, but if NK and SK wants to duke it out. they should have the freedom and right to do so.

for that same reason that we should not be involved in Libya.


Millions of people will die and an entire nation will be thrown into poverty. Their entire industry destroyed within days.

But ofcourse "they" should have at it. The frightenting mind of a colectivist thinker who has passed the threshold and consider the intrest of nations to supercede the intrests of people living in said nations.
FallDownMarigold
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States3710 Posts
June 25 2011 18:30 GMT
#54
On June 26 2011 01:40 Crisco wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 01:37 Skee wrote:
What do you mean fall under China's influence? Neither South Korea, Japan or China rely on eachother or any other asian country economically speaking and no, China is not going to go to war with them.... So I am having a problem understanding what you mean.

Like the above poster said, the most important reason for troops in South Korea is for the imminent fall of North Korea in the next 50 years. And even then, military-wise South Korea is pretty well off compared to North Korea.


Actually NK's army is vastly larger than SK's


Yes, because NK spends something like 16% GDP on defense... That's appalling. Most countries sit around 1-4%. Priorities are disgusting within that government system...
Geo.Rion
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
7377 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-25 18:33:12
June 25 2011 18:32 GMT
#55
also what would happen if the Moon falls off the sky? Good question, though i dont see a point to discuss it till there are signs that show it could happen. China not wanting US there is not something new.

When there are some events which would suggest that this is an issue to speak of, then i'm very interested in discussing it, since i study international relations at my university.
"Protoss is a joke" Liquid`Jinro Okt.1. 2011
dybydx
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Canada1764 Posts
June 25 2011 18:32 GMT
#56
On June 26 2011 03:26 Redlol wrote:
Look at the German military/submarine buildup before World War II, the world relaxed the World War I restrictions because they were outdated(bit of an oversimplification but the point stands). Similarly if the Japanese were to start building their military they would likely be allowed to as long as it was within reason.

Japan spends nearly as much on defense as Russia. although i heard that Japanese themselves have very low opinion of the army and that those who join are viewed as incompetent unemployed youths.
...from the land of imba
NotSupporting
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden1998 Posts
June 25 2011 18:35 GMT
#57
Was a long time since I last saw a thread on TL with this much pure speculation, but I guess the question really calls for it. North Korea right now is using it's military to gain respect and influence from the rest of the world, with US army gone from South Korea the situation would get really tense and NK would get a much larger diplomatic edge on SK.
FallDownMarigold
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States3710 Posts
June 25 2011 18:36 GMT
#58
On June 26 2011 03:20 dybydx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 03:11 Sufficiency wrote:
If I recall correctly, some "experts" said that if NK and SK fights again, NK will lose in about 3-4 days.

The problem is that NK has no airforce whatsoever, nor does it have the money to buy fuel for pilot training. If there is a war, SK will almost instantly have air superiority. Regardless how large NK's land army is, once its supply routes are cut off, it's very hard to maintain the invasion.

not that i support a war, but if NK and SK wants to duke it out. they should have the freedom and right to do so.

for that same reason that we should not be involved in Libya.


Excuse me? That's appalling. Did you somehow miss out on world history and forget about the holocaust, which spawned the UN's drive to "never again" allow for such slaughter? The UN's primary security purpose is to "prevent and protect". This issue emerged again in Rwanda in the 90s, whereby an even greater promise was made after the fact to "never again permit this genocide".

You might think it's okay to let systematic slaughter of thousands - millions - to occur, but fortunately the UN and most of the world do not. NK deciding to steamroll Seoul in a barrage of missiles would not be an act of war. It would be an act of genocide - in Libya, Qaddafi's imminent actions in Benghazi would have been a genocide of over 700,000 - again, not an act of war.

Genocide, mass slaughter, and other humanitarian crimes are not to be ignored just because "people should have the right to duke it out" - that's incredibly naive. People should not have the right to "duke it out".
Cyba
Profile Joined June 2010
Romania221 Posts
June 25 2011 18:39 GMT
#59
On June 26 2011 03:32 dybydx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 03:26 Redlol wrote:
Look at the German military/submarine buildup before World War II, the world relaxed the World War I restrictions because they were outdated(bit of an oversimplification but the point stands). Similarly if the Japanese were to start building their military they would likely be allowed to as long as it was within reason.

Japan spends nearly as much on defense as Russia. although i heard that Japanese themselves have very low opinion of the army and that those who join are viewed as incompetent unemployed youths.


Most people with good education view the kids heading for the army the same in every country... You risk your life but your decisions in life pretty much end there untill you get out. At any rate fact that they see army as incompetent camp is just because they value education alot more then most countries.

Besides nowadays wars between civilised countries are fought with banks, not infantry.
I'm not evil, I'm just good lookin
Craton
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States17250 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-06-25 18:43:42
June 25 2011 18:42 GMT
#60
On June 26 2011 01:40 Crisco wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2011 01:37 Skee wrote:
What do you mean fall under China's influence? Neither South Korea, Japan or China rely on eachother or any other asian country economically speaking and no, China is not going to go to war with them.... So I am having a problem understanding what you mean.

Like the above poster said, the most important reason for troops in South Korea is for the imminent fall of North Korea in the next 50 years. And even then, military-wise South Korea is pretty well off compared to North Korea.


Actually NK's army is vastly larger than SK's

Which doesn't mean much when both countries have enough artillery pointed at each other to wipe out every major city in a matter of hours.

War erases both countries pretty succinctly.
twitch.tv/cratonz
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