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Please guys, stay on topic.
This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria. |
On May 29 2013 00:37 sgtnoobkilla wrote:Show nested quote +On May 29 2013 00:30 BioNova wrote:On May 28 2013 11:08 ImFromPortugal wrote: #BREAKING: EU lifts embargo to arm Syria rebels: Hague A lot of shaking going on here. • Russia has said it is going to go ahead with a delivery of anti-aircraft missiles to the Syrian government in order to deter “hotheads” from getting involved in the country’s civil war.
... • Israel condemned Russia’s move, and to a lesser extent Europe’s. It is worried a new influx of weapons could be used against its own cities and citizens.
Looks like Israel's getting put between a rock and a hard place (not that they weren't in one to begin with). Now it remains to be seen if they'll strike Syria again or not before those missiles get assembled.
Problem is they want to solve the situation being harder than the rock and the hard place.
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DeepElemBlues, you seem to believe there's a war between USA and the arabs which is nonsense. There's absolutely no such thing as not all arabs are even united in any way. I still don't understand what Iran has to lose in this, unless they lose Syria as an ally, they continue to be a pretty big power in the area, and they seem to be projecting their power well in this proxy war.
What are you talking about, that's dumb.
You seem to believe that realpolitik = war.
Arabs and Persians have very different goals for the Middle East than the US or each other. If Arabs want to kill Arabs and Persians want to get involved too, it's too bad all they all can't lose.
It has nothing to do with the USA "being at war" with Arabs, it's Arabs weakening themselves being a good thing because their goals besides being mostly horrible are also at odds with ours.
S-300 defense systems : D well played Russia.
Those systems will never be set up, they'll be destroyed by Israel before they can be deployed. The S-300 is not some impervious anti-air missile defense system anyway, it's very good with a good crew but does Syria have those crews / is Russia willing to crew them with its own soldiers.
So your argument is, if a country is a little bit closer to Moscow than to Washington, we should fuck them up hard? I'm just glad the Soviets were nowhere near as aggressive as we've been since '45, or else we both probably would not have been born.
lololololololol
Go read a history book JudicatorHammurabi and then try to make the statement that the Soviets were less aggressive than the United States with a straight face.
The Cold War logic is sensationalist.
Nope. Lest you forget, the Cold War actually existed and the Soviets actually did invade or subvert countries to Communist tyranny every decade from the 1920s to the 1970s. Calling Cold War logic sensationalist in the context of the Cold War is not only ignorant, it's silly.
Speaking about the 60s, we didn't mess with Nasser, the guy had free reign in who he chose to deal with, and he made "close" ties with the USSR, and yet, Egypt didn't become communist, didn't become under Soviet sovereignty, wasn't even a Soviet ally, like Cold War conspiracy theories like the domino effect would claim about countries who had any positive relations with the USSR.
What are you talking about, Nasser's close relationship with the USSR was directly responsible for 2 decades of violent instability in the Middle East that only ended when Sadat took Egypt into the USA camp.
The domino theory was a conspiracy theory, that's why after Vietnam fell Laos and Cambodia had to endure Communist butchery right. That's why after Cuba fell Communist "insurgencies" popped up in half the countries of South America and Cuban soldiers were sent to Angola. That's why after WW2 the Soviets tried to do in Greece and Turkey what we did in Iran, but they weren't good enough to pull it off.
And on and on and on, all you ever do is present this mishmash of Orientalist sentimentality and pseudo-hard-headed realpolitik, it's really bad and lacking in depth.
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UPDATES:
UK 'reports new cases of Syria chemical weapons use' to UN - @AFP
France says as many as 4,000 Hezbollah militants are fighting in Syria - @Reuters
US State Department calls on Lebanon's Hezbollah to withdraw fighters from Syria immediately - @Reuters
White House: Every option remains on the table for Syria, including possible no-fly zone - @Reuters
#BREAKING: Syria FM says Bashar Assad will remain Syria's president until 2014 elections, may run again. @AP
#BREAKING: Syrian foreign minister promises "immediate" response If Israel strikes Syria again. @AP
Al-Qaida-affiliated group of Syrian rebels says they will start launching attacks on Hezbollah strongholds inside Lebanon in 3 days - @NBCNews
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On May 30 2013 07:52 ImFromPortugal wrote: Al-Qaida-affiliated group of Syrian rebels says they will start launching attacks on Hezbollah strongholds inside Lebanon in 3 days - @NBCNews FFS. Poor Lebanon just can't catch a break.
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Syrian opposition members face their final day of talks in Istanbul having set out 'preconditions' on entering international peace talks scheduled for next month in Geneva.
The Syrian National Coalition, so far deeply divided on how to take the movement forward, will meet for a final day in Istanbul on Thursday.
On Wednesday, they laid out what are being called preconditions for attending a proposed international meeting on Syria, spearheaded by the US and Russia, and which aims to bring the Syrian government and opposition together for the first time.
They want, among other requirements, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to quit before they enter international peace talks.
"The participation of the Syrians in any conference is tied to the presentation of a deadline for a solution and giving the necessary binding international guarantees," said a statement released by the coalition.
"The Syrian Coalition welcomes the international efforts to find a political solution to what Syria has been suffering for two years while being committed to the principles of the revolution."
"The opposition wants to see guarantees by the international community - binding measures as they say in their own words - that Assad will not be part of any settlement agreement," said Al Jazeera's Rawya Rageh, reporting from Istanbul.
Source
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On May 30 2013 07:55 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On May 30 2013 07:52 ImFromPortugal wrote: Al-Qaida-affiliated group of Syrian rebels says they will start launching attacks on Hezbollah strongholds inside Lebanon in 3 days - @NBCNews FFS. Poor Lebanon just can't catch a break. I feel sorry for Lebanon (not Hezbollah)
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On May 30 2013 08:28 Thor.Rush wrote:Show nested quote +On May 30 2013 07:55 xDaunt wrote:On May 30 2013 07:52 ImFromPortugal wrote: Al-Qaida-affiliated group of Syrian rebels says they will start launching attacks on Hezbollah strongholds inside Lebanon in 3 days - @NBCNews FFS. Poor Lebanon just can't catch a break. I feel sorry for Lebanon (not Hezbollah)
dat timing... americans say to hezbollah to leave syria and the rebels decide they will start attacking hezbollah bases in LEbanon : D
UPDATES:
Sen. McCain said he is confident the US can send weapons to Syria without the risk they will fall in the wrong hands - @Reuters
Syria's President Assad tells Hezbollah TV that Syria has received its 1st S-300 surface-to-air missile shipment - @Haaretzcom, @AP
Russia's foreign minister says Syrian opposition coalition seeking to thwart peace efforts and provoke military intervention - Interfax via @Reuters
Israel is looking into reports that Syria has received the 1st shipment of the advanced Russian S-300 air defense system - @Reuters
Syrian forces loyal to President Assad reclaim airbase near Qusair after 10 days of fierce fighting - @AFP
Syrian rebels plead for military and medical aid as regime forces pound strategic area of Qusair - @Reuters
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What does it mean that Russia ''may lift'' the ban on selling weapon, when they have been providing Bashar weapons since the beginning
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Rebels - that's the new term of "Terrorists"? Sounds more civilized.
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so we need a new agenda now. instead of war on terror/terrorists, war on rebels. i can see that going on in the future. it would be the perfect excuse to use force/strikes on domestic soil.
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On May 30 2013 19:05 HeartOfTheSwarm wrote:What does it mean that Russia ''may lift'' the ban on selling weapon, when they have been providing Bashar weapons since the beginning
They were mostly "defensive" weapons that could be used to deter anything from the outside, but couldn't actually be used against the rebels; the S-300 for example. Other stuff that they were sending were based on legitimate contracts that dated back several years before civil war broke out.
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#BreakingNews: Turkish military fires back into #Syria after its troops came under gunfire while patrolling border
Russian Foreign Ministry says US refusal to rule out no-fly zone over Syria casts doubt on commitment to peace efforts - @Reuters
Syrian President Assad says his forces will respond to any future Israeli strike on Syria - @AP
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Israel says will act to prevent S-300 missile systems from becoming operational
Netanyahu tells European foreign ministers that if the Russian missile systems get into Syria, Israel's 'entire airspace will become a no-fly zone' and therefore it 'cannot stand idly by.'
Israel's National Security Adviser Yaakov Amidror sketched out what Jerusalem's "red line" is vis-à-vis the S-300 missile systems Russia intends to send to Syria before the 27 European Union ambassadors in Israel.
Two diplomats who were in the room during the briefing last Thursday, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the meeting was a closed event, said that Amidror stressed Israel will act "to prevent the S-300 missiles from becoming operational" on Syrian soil. This message was also conveyed by Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon when he said on Tuesday that if the missiles reach Syria "Israel will know what to do."
Amidror's briefing, the diplomats said, made it clear that Israel estimates that sooner or later Russia will provide Syria with the missile systems and for reasons unrelated to Israel - namely Russian rivalry with the U.S., Britain and France on the Syrian issue. "We understood from Amidror that the Israeli government thinks the missile transfer cannot be prevented, therefore it will act against them after the transfer but before they become operational," one of the diplomats said.
http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/israel-says-will-act-to-prevent-s-300-missile-systems-from-becoming-operational-1.526653
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Russia to deliver military aircraft to Syria in accordance with contract; unlikely to deliver S-300 air defenses before autumn - @Reuters
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On May 31 2013 17:54 ImFromPortugal wrote: Russia to deliver military aircraft to Syria in accordance with contract; unlikely to deliver S-300 air defenses before autumn - @Reuters
Can you provide more details of the military aircraft? What are they selling?
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this was so predictable. as long as the rebels have the upper hand, the western countries remain quiet. now, as the government seems to win the conflict, suddenly there are "proofs" for the use of chemical weapons and stuff like this.
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Russian S-300 missiles unlikely to reach Syria for monthsRussian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles will probably arrive in Syria only after several months, but more Israeli air strikes or the creation of a no-fly zone would speed up delivery, a Russian arms industry source said. ... Source
Syria conflict: Assad interview fuels missile confusionAn interview given by Syria's President Bashar al-Assad to a Lebanese TV channel has resulted in confusion over the supply of a Russian missile defence system. ... Press in the Middle East and neighbouring countries reacted with confusion over al-Akhbar's erroneous trail of the interview, while one Russian newspaper quoted military sources as saying that deliveries of the missile system would not start until next year at the earliest. ... Russia's Vedomosti newspaper thought a delivery of S-300s would not be likely until at least 2014. "The truth is, those air defence missile weapon systems have not been sent to Syria," the paper said, citing a source in the defence industry who also thought that the missiles would be of little tactical use: "Those systems won't help the Syrian government to prevent air strikes on the country in case Nato and Israel decide to act, and everyone realises that." ... Source
Syria President Bashar al-Assad says Golan will be new war frontSYRIA'S President Bashar al-Assad has threatened to open "a new front" against Israel in the Golan Heights, as his country's civil war worsens. He also blamed "Israeli escalation" for the growing role of the militant Shia group Hezbollah in trying to shore up his regime. ... Two Russian newspapers reported yesterday that the S-300s may not be sent to Syria until next year. Vedomosti and Kommersant said the $US1 billion contract had been signed in 2010 and that even if they were delivered now it may take six months for them to be assembled and ready for use. ... Source
The whole "missiles have already arrived" is one giant media fiasco basically. Don't think it's such a good idea on Assad's account to play mind games with Israel considering he isn't even able to handle an insurgency, let alone a conventional war at this point.
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On May 31 2013 19:47 Pika Chu wrote:Show nested quote +On May 31 2013 17:54 ImFromPortugal wrote: Russia to deliver military aircraft to Syria in accordance with contract; unlikely to deliver S-300 air defenses before autumn - @Reuters Can you provide more details of the military aircraft? What are they selling?
Yak-130's which is a newer combat 'training' aircraft. Syria purchased 36 of them. It's basically a subsonic trainer with a payload of 3000 pounds(not much). A older F-16 carries 17,000 for example.
On June 01 2013 00:02 sgtnoobkilla wrote:Show nested quote +Russian S-300 missiles unlikely to reach Syria for monthsRussian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles will probably arrive in Syria only after several months, but more Israeli air strikes or the creation of a no-fly zone would speed up delivery, a Russian arms industry source said. ... Source Show nested quote +Syria conflict: Assad interview fuels missile confusionAn interview given by Syria's President Bashar al-Assad to a Lebanese TV channel has resulted in confusion over the supply of a Russian missile defence system. ... Press in the Middle East and neighbouring countries reacted with confusion over al-Akhbar's erroneous trail of the interview, while one Russian newspaper quoted military sources as saying that deliveries of the missile system would not start until next year at the earliest. ... Russia's Vedomosti newspaper thought a delivery of S-300s would not be likely until at least 2014. "The truth is, those air defence missile weapon systems have not been sent to Syria," the paper said, citing a source in the defence industry who also thought that the missiles would be of little tactical use: "Those systems won't help the Syrian government to prevent air strikes on the country in case Nato and Israel decide to act, and everyone realises that." ... Source Show nested quote +Syria President Bashar al-Assad says Golan will be new war frontSYRIA'S President Bashar al-Assad has threatened to open "a new front" against Israel in the Golan Heights, as his country's civil war worsens. He also blamed "Israeli escalation" for the growing role of the militant Shia group Hezbollah in trying to shore up his regime. ... Two Russian newspapers reported yesterday that the S-300s may not be sent to Syria until next year. Vedomosti and Kommersant said the $US1 billion contract had been signed in 2010 and that even if they were delivered now it may take six months for them to be assembled and ready for use. ... Source The whole "missiles have already arrived" is one giant media fiasco basically. Don't think it's such a good idea on Assad's account to play mind games with Israel considering he isn't even able to handle an insurgency, let alone a conventional war at this point.
Most of Assads military equipment can handle the rebels barring advanced AT/AA weapons. As a former Infantry, I still respect the killing power of a BMP-2/3 or a T-72. No AT4/SMAW, I do not engage. Possibly anti-material sniping, but no open gunfire battle with armor. The video linked many pages earlier of the armored column firing at buildings before a couple of kids smoked the T-72 comes to mind.
Reports of 10+ Mig-29 cropping up as well now which is a decent trainer to fighter ratio, makes sense.
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Rebel fighters have broken through army lines to enter Qusayr in Western Syria as the battle for the beset city near the Lebanese border intensifies, opposition activists have said.
Leader of the opposition, George Sabra, said about 1,000 extra fighters from across Syria had penetrated the city near the Lebanese border.
Syrian state media said on Friday that government forces had surrounded the city, and activists reported that regime troops had carried out a deadly attack on a convoy trying to evacuate wounded people from Qusayr.
The upsurge in fighting came as Lebanese politicians postponed a June parliamentary election until late next year owing to instability in neighbouring Syria and political deadlock at home.
Rami Abdel Rahman, head of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, said that hundreds of rebels had broken through army lines near the village of Shamsinn, northeast of Qusayr, after losing 11 fighters.
The opposition coalition has appealed for the rescue of 1,000 civilians wounded in Qusayr, which Assad's forces have been trying to seize back in an all-out offensive since May 19.
Qusayr-based activist Hadi Abdullah said the shelling of the convoy had killed nine people and wounded many others.
Source
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