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Ukraine Crisis - Page 158

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There is a new policy in effect in this thread. Anyone not complying will be moderated.

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Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 03 2014 18:00 GMT
#3141


Also, looks like the ship that got issued the ultimatum plans to fight:
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
BronzeKnee
Profile Joined March 2011
United States5219 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:01:40
March 03 2014 18:00 GMT
#3142
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States. Just like the Warsaw Pact wasn't pointless because of the Soviet Union.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 03 2014 18:02 GMT
#3143
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States.


NATO works on the basis of consensus votes. Either everyone acts or no-one. I'm confident that the Baltic states and Poland would do everything to help, if not, they're next.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:08:10
March 03 2014 18:02 GMT
#3144
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States. Just like the Warsaw Pact wasn't pointless because of the Soviet Union.

What are you even talking about. If a NATO member is attacked all other NATO states are legally bound to help. If you declare war on one NATO member you're at war with all of them. That's the whole point of the pact.

Edit: FYI the NATO was founded in 1949.
BronzeKnee
Profile Joined March 2011
United States5219 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:07:07
March 03 2014 18:03 GMT
#3145
On March 04 2014 03:02 Ghanburighan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States.


NATO works on the basis of consensus votes. Either everyone acts or no-one. I'm confident that the Baltic states and Poland would do everything to help, if not, they're next.


NATO has never been tested to this degree. When the going gets tough, a lot of people bail out. Remember what happened to Poland in 1939.

Let me quote the Anglo-Polish military alliance again, since people don't seem to understand how politics works:

... in the event of any action which clearly threatened Polish independence, and which the Polish Government accordingly considered it vital to resist with their national forces, His Majesty's Government would feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power. They have given the Polish Government an assurance to this effect.


Did "His Majesty's Government feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power"?

They did absolutely nothing.
Derez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Netherlands6068 Posts
March 03 2014 18:06 GMT
#3146
On March 04 2014 02:42 JudicatorHammurabi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 02:38 farvacola wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:35 JudicatorHammurabi wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:17 Derez wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:06 Pandemona wrote:
If shit really does hit the fan and war or attacks do happen. The only way EU and America can battle with the Russian's is economically imo. There is no way American can afford a large scale war now and no one in Europe is even remotely equipped with the right numbers of military personal or funds to even help out.
Putin is one crazy bastard and has got his own way again by the looks of it.

Just to put it in terms of army sizes as well;
[image loading]

My brother who has recently left the army said they aren't even classified as an "army" anymore as they do not have the numbers to call themselves one. The UK army Is classified as a "defense force" as it has less than 100,000 people in it. Also no reserves as UK again doesn't do military training etcetc. Also we don't have a working Air craft carrier so we are pretty much fucked and no use to anyone, unless you want to stop off and re fuel at extraordinary prices or have a cup of tea?

I have no idea why people perceive Russia's military to be that strong. They spend a fraction of what the west spends, conflicts they've been in have shown massive weaknesses and most of their equipment is rather outdated to the point where they have to import weapon systems.

The economy in the EU/US might not be great at the moment, but neither is Russia's. The russian central bank has already spent an estimated 10% of their foreign currency reserves on stabilizing the ruble, and the collapse of gas imports to Europe would completely cripple them. The Russian economy won't survive any type of real conflict.

It's just that Putin is a better bluffer at this point and that NATO consists of a set of leaders that are exceptionally weak.


On March 04 2014 01:20 Pandemona wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:17 Derez wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:06 Pandemona wrote:
If shit really does hit the fan and war or attacks do happen. The only way EU and America can battle with the Russian's is economically imo. There is no way American can afford a large scale war now and no one in Europe is even remotely equipped with the right numbers of military personal or funds to even help out.
Putin is one crazy bastard and has got his own way again by the looks of it.

Just to put it in terms of army sizes as well;
[image loading]

My brother who has recently left the army said they aren't even classified as an "army" anymore as they do not have the numbers to call themselves one. The UK army Is classified as a "defense force" as it has less than 100,000 people in it. Also no reserves as UK again doesn't do military training etcetc. Also we don't have a working Air craft carrier so we are pretty much fucked and no use to anyone, unless you want to stop off and re fuel at extraordinary prices or have a cup of tea?

I have no idea why people perceive Russia's military to be that strong. They spend a fraction of what the west spends, conflicts they've been in have shown massive weaknesses and most of their equipment is rather outdated to the point where they have to import weapon systems.

The economy in the EU/US might not be great at the moment, but neither is Russia's. The russian central bank has already spent an estimated 10% of their foreign currency reserves on stabilizing the ruble, and the collapse of gas imports to Europe would completely cripple them. The Russian economy won't survive any type of real conflict.

It's just that Putin is a better bluffer at this point and that NATO consists of a set of leaders that are exceptionally weak.


Completely agree, but they still have the numbers, even if outdated and old they can still do crazy damage with what they have.
I think the best way like you mentioned is to just cripple their economy. They have dropped 10% this morning already?



Actually, it's outdated only to the degree that they decided to use mothballed tanks and aircraft (ie. things that weren't even in service) and a reserve division in the 5-day war with Georgia because it literally required no effort militarily. T-62/64s were the brunt of the Russian AFVs used. Apparently iirc a few T-90s were deployed and it was complete overkill and the tanks were untouchable. That's just heavy armor btw.
The hilarious illusion of "outdated weapons" comes from the fact that Russia never sells their actual weapons. They sell export variants also known as "monkey models" that are so incredibly watered down that the only likeness between what they sell and what they use themselves is appearance. Militarily, a country like Ukraine will be a rout. Numbers are irrelevant, also. @Pandemona, You're also conveniently forgetting that what Ukraine has is far inferior to what Russia has.

Post a source please.

I'm not sure if you're trying to be a sarcastic dude or not.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_variants_of_Soviet_military_equipment

It's surprising how few people who love to bash Russia but don't know nothing about one of the things they're most known for: their large-scale military exports. USSR/Russia has things they use in their own military. If they want to sell them, they'll develop export variants that are a lot cheaper and a lot more inferior. As I recall, the development of such variants came out of the motivation to have highly and easily produced variants in case of nuclear war where heavier development would be far more difficult due to the destruction of facilities manufacturing highly-advanced models starting in the post-WW2 era. It built into the Soviets' budding military export scheme, and also served the motivation of protecting their technology from insecure third world countries that could easily have it secured/taken by other countries.

This is something I knew ever since I learned anything about Russian military tech and it was put straight in front of me. It's no secret, quite the opposite if anything. You know, you can use google yourself, too


Which might all be true but it doesn't change the fact that while the russians have some newer tanks, their equipment is still 70-80% last generation gear. They drive around maybe 500 t-90's on an active tank fleet of maybe 2.7k, the rest being t-72's or worse. When it comes to their air assets the situation gets even worse, and that's not even taking into consideration that they have always been technologically behind on the west. Place a 4th gen western fighter vs a 4th gen russian fighter and I know where I'm putting my money. After that, you get basic concerns of professionalism, unit cohesion and conscription and you end up with an army that seems pretty damn large but is operationally not all that capable. 2008 showed that pretty clearly.
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
March 03 2014 18:06 GMT
#3147
The Polish Foreign Minister, Radoslaw Sikorski, tells the BBC: "My biggest fear is that the Russian authorities believe their own propaganda and make fatal mistakes that open the gates of hell."

Thats the problem with people who live in a parallel information universe, at least some of them really believe that Nazi Fascist Junta Puppets of NATO Imperialists are behind all of this, after all when was the last time Russians demonstrated for freedom and won? 1991? Most of the soldiers currently invading Ukraine probably werent even born back then.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 03 2014 18:07 GMT
#3148
On March 04 2014 03:03 BronzeKnee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:02 Ghanburighan wrote:
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States.


NATO works on the basis of consensus votes. Either everyone acts or no-one. I'm confident that the Baltic states and Poland would do everything to help, if not, they're next.


NATO has never been tested to this degree. When the going gets tough, a lot of people bail out. Remember what happened to Poland in 1939.

Let me quote this again, since people don't seem to understand how politics works:

Do we all remember the Anglo-Polish military alliance?
Show nested quote +
... in the event of any action which clearly threatened Polish independence, and which the Polish Government accordingly considered it vital to resist with their national forces, His Majesty's Government would feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power. They have given the Polish Government an assurance to this effect.


Did "His Majesty's Government would feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power"?

They did absolutely nothing.


You're basically just making an empty claim contradicted by everything we know about NATO and its history. An example from pre-NATO times is not going to convince anyone. Either find a credible source for this analysis (and it better be extensive) or don't post the same stuff again.

On other news, some speculation:
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
SilentchiLL
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany1405 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:10:17
March 03 2014 18:08 GMT
#3149
On March 04 2014 03:03 BronzeKnee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:02 Ghanburighan wrote:
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States.


NATO works on the basis of consensus votes. Either everyone acts or no-one. I'm confident that the Baltic states and Poland would do everything to help, if not, they're next.


NATO has never been tested to this degree. When the going gets tough, a lot of people bail out. Remember what happened to Poland in 1939.

Let me quote the Anglo-Polish military alliance again, since people don't seem to understand how politics works:

Show nested quote +
... in the event of any action which clearly threatened Polish independence, and which the Polish Government accordingly considered it vital to resist with their national forces, His Majesty's Government would feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power. They have given the Polish Government an assurance to this effect.


Did "His Majesty's Government feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power"?

They did absolutely nothing.



So you're saying that nobody in the NATO would act, except america, based on something that happened 100 years ago when the NATO didn't even exist, when there were only a few countries involved and when a monarchy instead of a democracy ruled britain?
Please stop posting ill-informed opinions as facts.
possum, sed nolo - Real men play random. ___ "Who the fuck is Kyle?!" C*****EX
Derez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Netherlands6068 Posts
March 03 2014 18:08 GMT
#3150
On March 04 2014 03:02 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:00 BronzeKnee wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:56 r.Evo wrote:
...lead America to where exactly this time? Also FYI you just called the NATO pointless.


Read what I wrote again. Even if Ukraine was in NATO, no one in Europe would help (I meant Europeans). America isn't in Europe.

NATO isn't pointless because of the United States. Just like the Warsaw Pact wasn't pointless because of the Soviet Union.

What are you even talking about. If a NATO member is attacked all other NATO states are legally bound to help. If you declare war on one NATO member you're at war with all of them. That's the whole point of the pact.

Not actually true.

Article 5 only compels states to give any support that 'they deem necessary'. That could include military options but it does not require it.
Alzadar
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada5009 Posts
March 03 2014 18:09 GMT
#3151
On March 04 2014 02:54 BronzeKnee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 02:42 Sub40APM wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:38 Alzadar wrote:
On March 04 2014 02:34 Sub40APM wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:50 Liman wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:20 TheFish7 wrote:
So what is Putin hoping to get out of this, annex Crimea, then everyone goes home, and we all have a good chuckle about it at the G8 in Sochi?


I think this is Putin saying : This is still Russia's backyard and you are not allowed to take over power in ex soviet republics and put NATO bases there.Im still in charge here and you can go fuck yourselves.
Risking sanctions,economic hardship and even war just tells how serious he is.
Changing Crimea status is just a bonus,and it helps proving his point.

This is something every great power would do.Just imagine what would happen if US enemy tried to take over a nearby country....oh wait Cuban missile crisis,there was almost ww3.

What do you think is going to happen as soon as Russia finishes its invasion and annexation? The rest of Ukraine will apply to NATO status, and NATO bases get another 500 KM closer to Moscow.


If nothing else, surely this whole crisis shows that Ukraine is far too unstable to join NATO?

Personally I'm not sure the trend of having NATO gobble up ex-Warsaw states one by one is all that helpful for ensuring peace.

Why? Putin has threatened the various Baltic states with large populations, he has informed Poland and Czech Republic he will nuke them if they let Americans build bases but yet the worst he has done so far is launch cyber attacks. Ukraine was stupid in (a) giving up its nuclear forces and (b) not joining NATO and now its being invaded


I'm not going to lie here, even if Ukraine had joined NATO, no one in Europe would help them militarily against Russia. It doesn't matter what is on a piece of a paper.

Do we all remember the Anglo-Polish military alliance?
Show nested quote +
... in the event of any action which clearly threatened Polish independence, and which the Polish Government accordingly considered it vital to resist with their national forces, His Majesty's Government would feel themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in their power. They have given the Polish Government an assurance to this effect.


We all know how that turned out. Britain did absolutely nothing to help Poland. Nothing.


Really, nothing? I guess 400 000 British soldiers slipped and hit their heads.
I am the Town Medic.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 03 2014 18:13 GMT
#3152
Nothing new, but very detailed:

Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Saumure
Profile Joined February 2012
France404 Posts
March 03 2014 18:16 GMT
#3153
lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something?
Putin blocked the invasion of Syria (and what would have followed) and nobody finds it strange that another riot escalates next to russia immediatly after that?
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:25:16
March 03 2014 18:18 GMT
#3154
Why should anybody trust your totally broken analysis. Stop with your USA nationalisms aready, this isn't the place for it.

Hoo rah! USA! USA only can save the world! Really.

Concerning your lack of knowledge about everything you have written previously, it is not a case of the British unwilling to defend Poland, but that they tried and failled. Talk about a mockey of the lives lost doing exactly the opposite of what you have written. It's the oubreak of WW2, and Russia invaded Poland alongside the Germany in a shockingly fast fashion at the head of a totally new style of war, whilst only a meagre British force exists on the continent, which was shortly routed in the invasion of France anyhow. Remember, back then, no nation even had transport craft suitable for landing large numbers of equipment. Aftermath of WW2 and Russia has seized half of Europe. Not to mention detained/assassinated the entire Polish political and military command. All of this is well documented already, so I can only think that your remarks is just a self expression of ego stroking of USA! USA! USA!
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
March 03 2014 18:20 GMT
#3155
On March 04 2014 03:16 Saumure wrote:
lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something?
Putin blocked the invasion of Syria (and what would have followed) and nobody finds it strange that another riot escalates next to russia immediatly after that?

Its all a Western plot, I knew it. Democracy always has such a dirty Western bias and must be prevented at all costs.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-03 18:21:26
March 03 2014 18:20 GMT
#3156
On March 04 2014 03:16 Saumure wrote:
lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something?

The Polish military seems to think so. Or at least preparing for the possibility. Perhaps you know something they don't know?
Liman
Profile Joined July 2012
Serbia681 Posts
March 03 2014 18:23 GMT
#3157
On March 04 2014 02:34 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 01:50 Liman wrote:
On March 04 2014 01:20 TheFish7 wrote:
So what is Putin hoping to get out of this, annex Crimea, then everyone goes home, and we all have a good chuckle about it at the G8 in Sochi?


I think this is Putin saying : This is still Russia's backyard and you are not allowed to take over power in ex soviet republics and put NATO bases there.Im still in charge here and you can go fuck yourselves.
Risking sanctions,economic hardship and even war just tells how serious he is.
Changing Crimea status is just a bonus,and it helps proving his point.

This is something every great power would do.Just imagine what would happen if US enemy tried to take over a nearby country....oh wait Cuban missile crisis,there was almost ww3.

What do you think is going to happen as soon as Russia finishes its invasion and annexation? The rest of Ukraine will apply to NATO status, and NATO bases get another 500 KM closer to Moscow.

Russia wont stop at Crimea,even if they dont annex it they wont let Ukraine get into NATO.
Putin is trying to make a point,and the point is that Russia is again superpower (im not saying it is or that it isnt just that they think they are one).
Freelancer veteran
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
March 03 2014 18:25 GMT
#3158
U.S. senator Chris Murphy, the chairman of the Senate’s Europe subcommittee, said the body is considering imposing sanctions on Russia’s banks, freezing assets of Russian public institutions and private investors and imposing travel bans because of its moves in Ukraine, Reuters reports.

Unilateral U.S. sanctions against Russia will have little effect if they are not matched by actions from Europe, Murphy advised.
Alzadar
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada5009 Posts
March 03 2014 18:26 GMT
#3159
On March 04 2014 03:20 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:16 Saumure wrote:
lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something?

The Polish military seems to think so. Or at least preparing for the possibility. Perhaps you know something they don't know?


Pretty standard for militaries to prepare for things that pretty certainly won't happen.
I am the Town Medic.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
March 03 2014 18:28 GMT
#3160
On March 04 2014 03:26 Alzadar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2014 03:20 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
On March 04 2014 03:16 Saumure wrote:
lol, do you really think Russia would invade Poland or something?

The Polish military seems to think so. Or at least preparing for the possibility. Perhaps you know something they don't know?


Pretty standard for militaries to prepare for things that pretty certainly won't happen.


Not so much if we're talking relocation to the borders, they didn't just "alert" the troops, which indeed happens on occasion.
On track to MA1950A.
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