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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 989

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 11 2014 14:00 GMT
#19761
you can certainly pick on the theory laden stories they tell in econ 101 though. that stuff is just bad.

in actual news

http://ksj.mit.edu/tracker/2014/04/ama-loses-35-year-battle-keep-medicare-p

see how much medicare is paying doctors protected by the AMA cartel.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
April 11 2014 14:18 GMT
#19762
On April 11 2014 23:00 oneofthem wrote:
you can certainly pick on the theory laden stories they tell in econ 101 though. that stuff is just bad.

in actual news

http://ksj.mit.edu/tracker/2014/04/ama-loses-35-year-battle-keep-medicare-p

see how much medicare is paying doctors protected by the AMA cartel.


'Both stories reported that 344 doctors took in at least $3 million each, for a total of $1.5 billion. And 151 ophthalmologists in that exclusive club earned a total of $658 million in Medicare payments. Eye doctors were the top earners.

An annual take of $3 million or more per year breaks down to at least $60,000 a week, or $12,000 or more per day. How many pairs of glasses is that? Melgen made $84,000 a day.'


I bet it was all totally legal too...
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-11 16:12:39
April 11 2014 15:36 GMT
#19763
On April 11 2014 20:44 oneofthem wrote:
incentive based policy, or at the very least, policy with incentive considered, is pretty widespread and not wholesale bad.

look at picketty's book for example. inherited wealth and rentseeking discourage working and enterprise. this is an example of disincentive.


p.s. danglars lol you are not too good at this are you. if you actually read the thread whitedog basically ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy. that's an empirical claim on the lack of incentive in the 'practical world.' this is a radical claim and a great overreaction.

It's not incentive theory. You must make a distinction between an empirical analysis and "incentive". The idea of incentive is a modelization of human behavior, made to predict the reaction to specific change.

And Piketty never said that in his book, I think you are mistaking Piketty for Stiglitz.

I never ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy, I said incentive theory by itself is weak, and real policy need a discussion between various models, and an adaptation of the model used to the context. Systematically using the same weak theory no matter the context is just ideology (like incentive work the same way for everybody, at every level, whatever the topic).
For exemple, incentive theory is really important when talking about a possible substitution between taxations on firm and environmental taxations, but imperfect when talking about the substitution between labor and capital (like in anything Cobb Douglas), and just flat out dumb when used to study the possible substitution between work and leisure time.

On April 11 2014 20:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 19:36 WhiteDog wrote:
People are mixing two completly different topic, and this come from a misunderstanding about my first post.

I don't care about economic theory and the idea of incentive and rational agent. It's not a bad, not a glorious theory, but it has its own value. Economic thinking built itself, since a decisive article coming from Milton Friedman (1954, I think the title is positive and normative economy or something like that), that the value of a model was not supposed to be evaluated by the empirical nature of its hypothesis : models are completly irrealist by nature because you need to simplify reality. For Friedman, the core aspect of economic models, and their value, was supposed to be found in their ability to predict the future : the model of the market is absolutly ridiculous if you think about it, and the "law of offer and demand" is obviously wrong (the equilibrium), but it is the only model that actually explain why prices goes up when demand goes up and offer stay the same.

No economist consider that the homo economicus is true "in real life" - but it is a valuable assertion that has value because, through the modelization of the behavior of agent, economists are able to predict, to a certain degree, how things should evolve. Incentive is the same, another theory that has its use - if there is a problem, it is not that economist have irrealist hypothesis, but that they only consider economic agent as rational, and never try to use different type of modelization (there are a lot of other kind of vision on individuals in philosophy and sociology).

But, my point was that trying to get a practical solution to practical matters out of those completly irrealists theories is retarded. What you need is to create a dialogue between various point of view / theories, to really get a grasp on reality. Nobody consider that a country with no state and only the market can function, because the market is not "pure and perfect". It's the same kind of thing that bothers me when someone tell me that incentive is a valid justification to any kind of situation or political program (like we saw many time on inequalities or lately on healthcare).


Neoclassical economic models are about as useful to modern economics as astrology is to astronomy. Instead of getting left behind by the scientific movement it was unfortunately bolstered.

If you are really interested in what science is telling us about economics (more especially the intensely flawed assumptions of neoclassical economic thought) this is a good place to start.

https://www.ted.com/talks/dan_ariely_asks_are_we_in_control_of_our_own_decisions

https://www.ted.com/playlists/74/our_brains_predictably_irrati

Neoclassical economy is interesting. It's easy to completly discard it if you don't know it to its core, but if you know it enough, it gives you both the tools to understand economy from a certain point of view and the tools to criticize your own biased point of view.
By the way, economy is bigger than neoclassical economy - Smith was not a neoclassic (we was a classical economist, like K. Marx the one who find the name). I'm not sure ted talk and cognitives sciences hold the solution for me.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-11 15:39:22
April 11 2014 15:39 GMT
#19764
Sorry double post...
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
April 11 2014 19:49 GMT
#19765
On April 11 2014 21:06 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 17:15 IgnE wrote:
The funny thing about economists' descriptions of the "marketplace" and financial transactions is that the people who actually do business know that the models are broken. Across campus from the economics department, where people spend their time rationalizing and celebrating the ideology of capitalism, you have the business school, where jonny went, and people actually learn how to run businesses by making profits, and selling people things through advertising. The foundational bedrock of advertisement is that you can convince people to buy your commodities over the commodities of someone else, not by rationally explaining the utility benefits of your commodity compared to theirs, not by providing them perfect information so that they can make a rational decision, but by manipulating how people feel about a certain product. Market values become completely detached from use values, even as they become impossible to predict because they are tied to the subconscious desires of people operating with imperfect information. And this is by design. Advertising ends up manufacturing demand in an inherently irrational way. How can you even talk about rational actors in a marketplace dominated by ephemeral desires that spring into and out of existence in response to social cues mediated through marketing departments?
Nevertheless, I didn't see any models proposed by Jonny or others that assumed people would spend their discretionary income in some dispassionate utilitarian way. Hypotheses and models have their own scope that's limited in some aspects and expansive in others. Your presumption that the irrational aspects of advertising somehow defeats any consideration of rational actors in markets is overstepping your own example. Think of financial markets, foreign markets, education markets, housing markets, health care markets, and others. Are all of these dominated by ephemeral desires, such that we throw away any model of behavior "because advertising?" It borders on the assertion that everyone with choice will choose wrong; so its best to outsource choice to ivory towers.


I would never say that everyone with choice will "choose wrong." Advertising is one example of irrationality, albeit an irrationality that is consciously exploited by those who actually work in markets. But perhaps I am overstating my case. I mean just look at how we've been able to avoid financial crises over the last 90 years or so. The housing market models were very useful back in 2007 in preventing catastrophe.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 11 2014 20:25 GMT
#19766
Combined sales of legal recreational and medical marijuana in the United States is projected to reach more than $8 billion in 2018. That's according to a new report by Marijuana Business Daily citing data from the Marijuana Business Factbook, which forecasts that the 2018 retail marijuana industry could see an estimated $7.4 to $8.2 billion in sales.

The projection is based on sales estimates from the state-legal medical and recreational marijuana markets that already exist, as well as 4-5 additional states that are expected to legalize recreational marijuana and 2-3 states expected to legalize medical marijuana by 2018.

Currently, there are 20 states with legal medical marijuana. Colorado and Washington have both legalized recreational marijuana and about a dozen other states are expected to legalize marijuana in some form in the coming years.

“This total is conservative –- the reality of retail sales could be larger,” Chris Walsh, editor of CannaBusiness Media, the publisher of both the Factbook and Marijuana Business Daily, said in a statement. “Nor does it include wholesale cannabis sales, or the billions of dollars in ancillary cannabusiness revenues such as growing equipment, real estate, legal fees, testing labs, paraphernalia, etc.”

Walsh's suggestion that sales could exceed that $8 billion mark is supported by another recent study that projects that the U.S. marijuana industry could be worth $10 billion by 2018.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
April 11 2014 20:26 GMT
#19767
On April 12 2014 05:25 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
Combined sales of legal recreational and medical marijuana in the United States is projected to reach more than $8 billion in 2018. That's according to a new report by Marijuana Business Daily citing data from the Marijuana Business Factbook, which forecasts that the 2018 retail marijuana industry could see an estimated $7.4 to $8.2 billion in sales.

The projection is based on sales estimates from the state-legal medical and recreational marijuana markets that already exist, as well as 4-5 additional states that are expected to legalize recreational marijuana and 2-3 states expected to legalize medical marijuana by 2018.

Currently, there are 20 states with legal medical marijuana. Colorado and Washington have both legalized recreational marijuana and about a dozen other states are expected to legalize marijuana in some form in the coming years.

“This total is conservative –- the reality of retail sales could be larger,” Chris Walsh, editor of CannaBusiness Media, the publisher of both the Factbook and Marijuana Business Daily, said in a statement. “Nor does it include wholesale cannabis sales, or the billions of dollars in ancillary cannabusiness revenues such as growing equipment, real estate, legal fees, testing labs, paraphernalia, etc.”

Walsh's suggestion that sales could exceed that $8 billion mark is supported by another recent study that projects that the U.S. marijuana industry could be worth $10 billion by 2018.


Source


Something tells me we might also be able to use some of this to reduce our trade deficit.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 11 2014 21:13 GMT
#19768
The National Security Agency says it did not know about a critical security bug until it became public earlier this month.

The NSA was responding to a report from Bloomberg that the agency had known about the vulnerability known as "Heartbleed" for two years and instead of alerting the tech community, it exploited the bug to "gather critical intelligence."

Just to catch you up: The Heartbleed bug has led tech experts to call on Internet users worldwide to change the passwords they use on popular and sensitive sites, like that of their bank or email provider. As NPR's Jeremy Bower explained, the bug allowed an attacker to receive the encryption keys used to transmit information like your username and password. In other words, the bug allowed access to the "crown jewels."


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
April 11 2014 21:37 GMT
#19769
On April 12 2014 00:36 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 20:44 oneofthem wrote:
incentive based policy, or at the very least, policy with incentive considered, is pretty widespread and not wholesale bad.

look at picketty's book for example. inherited wealth and rentseeking discourage working and enterprise. this is an example of disincentive.


p.s. danglars lol you are not too good at this are you. if you actually read the thread whitedog basically ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy. that's an empirical claim on the lack of incentive in the 'practical world.' this is a radical claim and a great overreaction.

It's not incentive theory. You must make a distinction between an empirical analysis and "incentive". The idea of incentive is a modelization of human behavior, made to predict the reaction to specific change.

And Piketty never said that in his book, I think you are mistaking Piketty for Stiglitz.

I never ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy, I said incentive theory by itself is weak, and real policy need a discussion between various models, and an adaptation of the model used to the context. Systematically using the same weak theory no matter the context is just ideology (like incentive work the same way for everybody, at every level, whatever the topic).
For exemple, incentive theory is really important when talking about a possible substitution between taxations on firm and environmental taxations, but imperfect when talking about the substitution between labor and capital (like in anything Cobb Douglas), and just flat out dumb when used to study the possible substitution between work and leisure time.

Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 20:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 11 2014 19:36 WhiteDog wrote:
People are mixing two completly different topic, and this come from a misunderstanding about my first post.

I don't care about economic theory and the idea of incentive and rational agent. It's not a bad, not a glorious theory, but it has its own value. Economic thinking built itself, since a decisive article coming from Milton Friedman (1954, I think the title is positive and normative economy or something like that), that the value of a model was not supposed to be evaluated by the empirical nature of its hypothesis : models are completly irrealist by nature because you need to simplify reality. For Friedman, the core aspect of economic models, and their value, was supposed to be found in their ability to predict the future : the model of the market is absolutly ridiculous if you think about it, and the "law of offer and demand" is obviously wrong (the equilibrium), but it is the only model that actually explain why prices goes up when demand goes up and offer stay the same.

No economist consider that the homo economicus is true "in real life" - but it is a valuable assertion that has value because, through the modelization of the behavior of agent, economists are able to predict, to a certain degree, how things should evolve. Incentive is the same, another theory that has its use - if there is a problem, it is not that economist have irrealist hypothesis, but that they only consider economic agent as rational, and never try to use different type of modelization (there are a lot of other kind of vision on individuals in philosophy and sociology).

But, my point was that trying to get a practical solution to practical matters out of those completly irrealists theories is retarded. What you need is to create a dialogue between various point of view / theories, to really get a grasp on reality. Nobody consider that a country with no state and only the market can function, because the market is not "pure and perfect". It's the same kind of thing that bothers me when someone tell me that incentive is a valid justification to any kind of situation or political program (like we saw many time on inequalities or lately on healthcare).


Neoclassical economic models are about as useful to modern economics as astrology is to astronomy. Instead of getting left behind by the scientific movement it was unfortunately bolstered.

If you are really interested in what science is telling us about economics (more especially the intensely flawed assumptions of neoclassical economic thought) this is a good place to start.

https://www.ted.com/talks/dan_ariely_asks_are_we_in_control_of_our_own_decisions

https://www.ted.com/playlists/74/our_brains_predictably_irrati

Neoclassical economy is interesting. It's easy to completly discard it if you don't know it to its core, but if you know it enough, it gives you both the tools to understand economy from a certain point of view and the tools to criticize your own biased point of view.
By the way, economy is bigger than neoclassical economy - Smith was not a neoclassic (we was a classical economist, like K. Marx the one who find the name). I'm not sure ted talk and cognitives sciences hold the solution for me.


I mean I know there are helpful discoveries and such within it like let's say Aristotle's physics. Some important ideas and concepts were touched but we wouldn't use Aristotle's physics to send a satellite into orbit, why would we use Neoclassical economics to understand our economy?

The ted talk is just easier for lay people to wrap their head around the fact that people regularly behave in predictable, uncontrollable, irrational ways.

Here's a couple papers that are more traditional if you are interested in understanding a bit more where I am coming from.

http://fitelson.org/woodward/hoover.pdf

http://public.econ.duke.edu/~kdh9/Source Materials/Research/Boianovsky-Hoover Introduction 1-29-09.pdf

• Then there is Mirowski’s critique of Joseph Stiglitz and other attempts by many in the discipline to distance themselves from the now infamous Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH). These critiques, as Mirowski shows, are meaningless when looked at from a larger perspective. They are attempts to pick little holes in the edifice of the Great Equilibrator (The Market) and show where tiny little micro-irrationalities creep in. This insulates the economists from recognising that The Market might be inherently destabalising (think Minsky’s: ‘unstable economy’). Indeed, The Market may not even exist as a tangible entity, it may simply be a figment of the economists’ imaginations; a metaphysical/theological positing of equilibrium and harmony – a religious-like belief that somewhere out there is a Godlike Hidden Hand that ensures benevolence; in short: a primitive belief that real science did away with years ago.

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/12/philip-mirowski-the-seekers-or-how-mainstream-economists-have-defended-their-discipline-since-2008-–-part-i.html

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-11 21:55:03
April 11 2014 21:50 GMT
#19770
Ohio Earthquake Likely Caused by Fracking Wastewater:

Injecting wastewater deep underground is the prime suspect, potentially widening earthquake worries linked to hydraulic fracturing

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ohio-earthquake-likely-caused-by-fracking/

Externalities much? I wonder if conservatives realize neoclassical economics concluded a long time ago that something like a 'carbon tax' is necessary to their models?

Neoclassical economists long ago recognized that the inefficiencies associated with technical externalities constitute a form of “market failure.” Private market–based decision making fails to yield efficient outcomes from a general welfare perspective. These economists recommended government intervention to correct for the effects of externalities. In The Economics of Welfare, British economist Arthur Pigou suggested that governments tax polluters an amount equivalent to the cost of the harm to others. Such a tax would yield the market outcome that would have prevailed with adequate internalization of all costs by polluters. By the same logic, governments should subsidize those who generate positive externalities, in the amount that others benefit.

Source
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
April 11 2014 22:24 GMT
#19771
On April 12 2014 06:50 GreenHorizons wrote:
Ohio Earthquake Likely Caused by Fracking Wastewater:

Injecting wastewater deep underground is the prime suspect, potentially widening earthquake worries linked to hydraulic fracturing

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ohio-earthquake-likely-caused-by-fracking/

Externalities much? I wonder if conservatives realize neoclassical economics concluded a long time ago that something like a 'carbon tax' is necessary to their models?

Neoclassical economists long ago recognized that the inefficiencies associated with technical externalities constitute a form of “market failure.” Private market–based decision making fails to yield efficient outcomes from a general welfare perspective. These economists recommended government intervention to correct for the effects of externalities. In The Economics of Welfare, British economist Arthur Pigou suggested that governments tax polluters an amount equivalent to the cost of the harm to others. Such a tax would yield the market outcome that would have prevailed with adequate internalization of all costs by polluters. By the same logic, governments should subsidize those who generate positive externalities, in the amount that others benefit.

Source

It would be nice to have a basic carbon tax in lieu of the current regulatory / subsidy regime.

Conservatives tend to not like the carbon tax part and liberals tend to not like the getting rid of the regulatory / subsidy parts. It's a tough sell politically.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
April 11 2014 22:38 GMT
#19772
On April 12 2014 07:24 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2014 06:50 GreenHorizons wrote:
Ohio Earthquake Likely Caused by Fracking Wastewater:

Injecting wastewater deep underground is the prime suspect, potentially widening earthquake worries linked to hydraulic fracturing

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ohio-earthquake-likely-caused-by-fracking/

Externalities much? I wonder if conservatives realize neoclassical economics concluded a long time ago that something like a 'carbon tax' is necessary to their models?

Neoclassical economists long ago recognized that the inefficiencies associated with technical externalities constitute a form of “market failure.” Private market–based decision making fails to yield efficient outcomes from a general welfare perspective. These economists recommended government intervention to correct for the effects of externalities. In The Economics of Welfare, British economist Arthur Pigou suggested that governments tax polluters an amount equivalent to the cost of the harm to others. Such a tax would yield the market outcome that would have prevailed with adequate internalization of all costs by polluters. By the same logic, governments should subsidize those who generate positive externalities, in the amount that others benefit.

Source

It would be nice to have a basic carbon tax in lieu of the current regulatory / subsidy regime.

Conservatives tend to not like the carbon tax part and liberals tend to not like the getting rid of the regulatory / subsidy parts. It's a tough sell politically.


Doesn't that end up as essentially "Do what you want, just pay for it"? Meaning in the end, companies will manage to spend insanely small amounts for polluting rivers and stuff? I'd much rather tell companies they need to find a way to not be horribly toxic. They always find a way.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 11 2014 23:18 GMT
#19773
INDIANAPOLIS — School leaders are getting ready for a big change in school food service.

The USDA’s Smart Snacks in School rules go into effect July 1, 2014. In short, all “junk food” in vending machines, a la carte lunch, student stores and fundraisers such as bake sales will be banned July 1.

“I think that’s great!” said Betsy Hunsucker, a Brownsburg mother. “I think kids would love fruits and vegetables.”

Fruits, vegetables, dairy, protein-rich foods and whole grain-rich foods are allowed.

Water, milk and 100 percent fruit and vegetable juice is permitted. High school students can have caffeine and low-calorie carbonated drinks.

There are also rules when it comes to nutritional values like calories, sodium, sugar and fat.

“I’m afraid that parents have spoiled their children so much with the choices that they allow them to make at home that the kids will turn up their noses to the nutrition,” said Hunsucker.

Some schools, like Brownsburg, have already started. They have been compliant with grades K-5 since Christmas break, and have been slowly introducing older students to items like baked chips.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-11 23:28:29
April 11 2014 23:24 GMT
#19774
On April 12 2014 00:36 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 20:44 oneofthem wrote:
incentive based policy, or at the very least, policy with incentive considered, is pretty widespread and not wholesale bad.

look at picketty's book for example. inherited wealth and rentseeking discourage working and enterprise. this is an example of disincentive.


p.s. danglars lol you are not too good at this are you. if you actually read the thread whitedog basically ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy. that's an empirical claim on the lack of incentive in the 'practical world.' this is a radical claim and a great overreaction.

It's not incentive theory. You must make a distinction between an empirical analysis and "incentive". The idea of incentive is a modelization of human behavior, made to predict the reaction to specific change.

And Piketty never said that in his book, I think you are mistaking Piketty for Stiglitz.

I never ditched all kind of incentive concern in real policy, I said incentive theory by itself is weak, and real policy need a discussion between various models, and an adaptation of the model used to the context. Systematically using the same weak theory no matter the context is just ideology (like incentive work the same way for everybody, at every level, whatever the topic).
For exemple, incentive theory is really important when talking about a possible substitution between taxations on firm and environmental taxations, but imperfect when talking about the substitution between labor and capital (like in anything Cobb Douglas), and just flat out dumb when used to study the possible substitution between work and leisure time.

Show nested quote +
On April 11 2014 20:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 11 2014 19:36 WhiteDog wrote:
People are mixing two completly different topic, and this come from a misunderstanding about my first post.

I don't care about economic theory and the idea of incentive and rational agent. It's not a bad, not a glorious theory, but it has its own value. Economic thinking built itself, since a decisive article coming from Milton Friedman (1954, I think the title is positive and normative economy or something like that), that the value of a model was not supposed to be evaluated by the empirical nature of its hypothesis : models are completly irrealist by nature because you need to simplify reality. For Friedman, the core aspect of economic models, and their value, was supposed to be found in their ability to predict the future : the model of the market is absolutly ridiculous if you think about it, and the "law of offer and demand" is obviously wrong (the equilibrium), but it is the only model that actually explain why prices goes up when demand goes up and offer stay the same.

No economist consider that the homo economicus is true "in real life" - but it is a valuable assertion that has value because, through the modelization of the behavior of agent, economists are able to predict, to a certain degree, how things should evolve. Incentive is the same, another theory that has its use - if there is a problem, it is not that economist have irrealist hypothesis, but that they only consider economic agent as rational, and never try to use different type of modelization (there are a lot of other kind of vision on individuals in philosophy and sociology).

But, my point was that trying to get a practical solution to practical matters out of those completly irrealists theories is retarded. What you need is to create a dialogue between various point of view / theories, to really get a grasp on reality. Nobody consider that a country with no state and only the market can function, because the market is not "pure and perfect". It's the same kind of thing that bothers me when someone tell me that incentive is a valid justification to any kind of situation or political program (like we saw many time on inequalities or lately on healthcare).


Neoclassical economic models are about as useful to modern economics as astrology is to astronomy. Instead of getting left behind by the scientific movement it was unfortunately bolstered.

If you are really interested in what science is telling us about economics (more especially the intensely flawed assumptions of neoclassical economic thought) this is a good place to start.

https://www.ted.com/talks/dan_ariely_asks_are_we_in_control_of_our_own_decisions

https://www.ted.com/playlists/74/our_brains_predictably_irrati

Neoclassical economy is interesting. It's easy to completly discard it if you don't know it to its core, but if you know it enough, it gives you both the tools to understand economy from a certain point of view and the tools to criticize your own biased point of view.
By the way, economy is bigger than neoclassical economy - Smith was not a neoclassic (we was a classical economist, like K. Marx the one who find the name). I'm not sure ted talk and cognitives sciences hold the solution for me.

ok that's more agreeable. usually incentives are misused when agency is misconstrued. for example, as you've said, in labor markets or leisure-work the constructed agents are too simple. a more egregious problem is in collective action problems where you see people go "country A has incentive to blah blah" , or 'corporation P has incentive to not do dumb thing Q" without realizing that these collective entities are ruled by minorities/management with their own interests.



We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 11 2014 23:31 GMT
#19775
On April 12 2014 06:50 GreenHorizons wrote:
Ohio Earthquake Likely Caused by Fracking Wastewater:

Injecting wastewater deep underground is the prime suspect, potentially widening earthquake worries linked to hydraulic fracturing

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ohio-earthquake-likely-caused-by-fracking/

by all accounts fracking can cause small and shallow earthquakes. but those are not really very damaging. earthquake energy release is proportional to the amount of seismic moment getting "stuck" before a release, and fracking, while creating pressure and lubricating faults underground, doesn't hold that much energy back for one big release.

i'd be more worried about groundwater contamination not only underground but from the transportation and storage of hydrocarbons.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
April 11 2014 23:42 GMT
#19776
On April 12 2014 06:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
The National Security Agency says it did not know about a critical security bug until it became public earlier this month.

The NSA was responding to a report from Bloomberg that the agency had known about the vulnerability known as "Heartbleed" for two years and instead of alerting the tech community, it exploited the bug to "gather critical intelligence."

Just to catch you up: The Heartbleed bug has led tech experts to call on Internet users worldwide to change the passwords they use on popular and sensitive sites, like that of their bank or email provider. As NPR's Jeremy Bower explained, the bug allowed an attacker to receive the encryption keys used to transmit information like your username and password. In other words, the bug allowed access to the "crown jewels."


Source

Yea, the assertion that they knew about the bug doesn't make a lot of sense. People are claiming that the NSA knew only days/weeks after 1.0.1 went live (in 2012). If mega companies that heavily rely on OpenSSL (like Google, Microsoft, and Facebook) didn't know about it until recently, I doubt the NSA would have had access to it as well. It's one thing to engineer viruses and whatnot, it's another thing entirely to dig deep into RFCs and source code to find this stuff.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-12 00:37:58
April 12 2014 00:36 GMT
#19777
On April 12 2014 08:42 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2014 06:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The National Security Agency says it did not know about a critical security bug until it became public earlier this month.

The NSA was responding to a report from Bloomberg that the agency had known about the vulnerability known as "Heartbleed" for two years and instead of alerting the tech community, it exploited the bug to "gather critical intelligence."

Just to catch you up: The Heartbleed bug has led tech experts to call on Internet users worldwide to change the passwords they use on popular and sensitive sites, like that of their bank or email provider. As NPR's Jeremy Bower explained, the bug allowed an attacker to receive the encryption keys used to transmit information like your username and password. In other words, the bug allowed access to the "crown jewels."


Source

Yea, the assertion that they knew about the bug doesn't make a lot of sense. People are claiming that the NSA knew only days/weeks after 1.0.1 went live (in 2012). If mega companies that heavily rely on OpenSSL (like Google, Microsoft, and Facebook) didn't know about it until recently, I doubt the NSA would have had access to it as well. It's one thing to engineer viruses and whatnot, it's another thing entirely to dig deep into RFCs and source code to find this stuff.


Well there was this.

https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2014/04/wild-heart-were-intelligence-agencies-using-heartbleed-november-2013

Not conclusive by far but enough to warrant further investigation

The crawling and data mining potential of this hasn't really been mentioned at all in mainstream channels...?

Just the 'reset your password' suggestion if even that, from most entities, which is suspicious to say the least.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Erdrick
Profile Joined April 2014
Canada7 Posts
April 12 2014 00:45 GMT
#19778
time to fix ther OP pic
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
April 12 2014 06:32 GMT
#19779
Well, interesting to see GreenHorizons now talking about externalities and carbon taxation, while the entire idea of the carbon tax is based around the idea of equilibrium. Reading about carbon tax in detail made me realize how flawed it is (it is not a tool design to limit carbon emission, but a tool that prioritize the well being of the economy).
Plus, modern neoclassical economy (Weitzman, Price versus quantities) showed carbon tax is not always the best solution.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23488 Posts
April 12 2014 06:59 GMT
#19780
On April 12 2014 15:32 WhiteDog wrote:
Well, interesting to see GreenHorizons now talking about externalities and carbon taxation, while the entire idea of the carbon tax is based around the idea of equilibrium. Reading about carbon tax in detail made me realize how flawed it is (it is not a tool design to limit carbon emission, but a tool that prioritize the well being of the economy).
Plus, modern neoclassical economy (Weitzman, Price versus quantities) showed carbon tax is not always the best solution.



The point I was making was that the same people arguing against a carbon tax have an economic philosophy that advocates for it.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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