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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9827

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
February 02 2018 15:27 GMT
#196521
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 02 2018 16:00 GMT
#196522
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21950 Posts
February 02 2018 16:07 GMT
#196523
On February 03 2018 01:00 Plansix wrote:
https://twitter.com/rachelnpr/status/959445296173416448

clearly a rino that should just be ignored.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 02 2018 16:19 GMT
#196524
I like how we are supposed to be agreeing with all of these people who have no idea what’s even in the memo. I believe a philosopher once said something about opinions being like assholes....
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
February 02 2018 16:25 GMT
#196525
On February 02 2018 23:20 Plansix wrote:
That is to high risk, high reward for my blood. I don’t like it when people like him get that close to power. But it does end any delusion what that state’s republican party is if he does win.

Edit: I forgot that Nunes was on the transition team. I don’t know why he is able to still be involved with this investigation considering he could be called as a witness by the FBI.


He also reclused himself from the investigation, but somehow is still part of it? This guy is on. Whole other level. I don’t know how California can vote this guy in.
Life?
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
February 02 2018 16:26 GMT
#196526
On February 03 2018 01:25 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 02 2018 23:20 Plansix wrote:
That is to high risk, high reward for my blood. I don’t like it when people like him get that close to power. But it does end any delusion what that state’s republican party is if he does win.

Edit: I forgot that Nunes was on the transition team. I don’t know why he is able to still be involved with this investigation considering he could be called as a witness by the FBI.


He also reclused himself from the investigation, but somehow is still part of it? This guy is on. Whole other level. I don’t know how California can vote this guy in.


it is a big state, we have some weird parts in the middle
Something witty
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 02 2018 16:29 GMT
#196527
The house has seen the memo and it’s widely known what the topic is. It’s the 80-400 page application for the FISA warrant renewal on Carter Page boiled down to 4 pages.

And there is the fundamental problem that the memo attacks the FBI and Justice department for misuse of surveillance powers when the Justice department and FBI are prohibited from responding. There is already an investigation into this matter with the inspector general, which is the correct venue to bring these concerns.

The Republicans in the House know this, but are still pushing to release the memo attacking the FBI’s use of the FISA warrant. Normally this memo would come out with a second memo drafted by the opposition and a memo from the agency in question all at the same time. It’s a hit job where they know there will be no counter punch and the American people are not familiar with that standard process.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9629 Posts
February 02 2018 16:50 GMT
#196528
On February 03 2018 01:19 xDaunt wrote:
I like how we are supposed to be agreeing with all of these people who have no idea what’s even in the memo. I believe a philosopher once said something about opinions being like assholes....

must’ve been the same guy with the quick thoughts on smelling shit everywhere you go.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 02 2018 16:52 GMT
#196529
On February 03 2018 01:29 Plansix wrote:
The house has seen the memo and it’s widely known what the topic is. It’s the 80-400 page application for the FISA warrant renewal on Carter Page boiled down to 4 pages.

And there is the fundamental problem that the memo attacks the FBI and Justice department for misuse of surveillance powers when the Justice department and FBI are prohibited from responding. There is already an investigation into this matter with the inspector general, which is the correct venue to bring these concerns.

The Republicans in the House know this, but are still pushing to release the memo attacking the FBI’s use of the FISA warrant. Normally this memo would come out with a second memo drafted by the opposition and a memo from the agency in question all at the same time. It’s a hit job where they know there will be no counter punch and the American people are not familiar with that standard process.

I basically agree with this. However, I'd add a couple things. First, the apoplexy with which opponents are reacting to the memo's release should not be ignored. Whatever is in there is clearly very bad for the FBI, and potentially for others. What seems to be coming is the allegation that the FISA application(s) was based upon unverified political opposition research. Given that the memo is likely largely based upon what's in the FISA application(s), it's going to have an element of truth to it which should not be ignored. The real question is what else is in the FISA application(s).
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 02 2018 16:55 GMT
#196530
And here it is:

The House Intelligence Committee has released its controversial memo outlining alleged abuses of secret surveillance by the FBI and Justice Department in the Trump-Russia investigation. Here are some key points:

* The Steele dossier formed an essential part of the intial and all three renewal FISA applications against Carter Page.

* Andrew McCabe confirmed that no FISA warrant would have been sought from the FISA Court without the Steele dossier information.

* The political origins of the Steele dossier were known to senior DOJ and FBI officials, but excluded from the FISA applications.

* DOJ official Bruce Ohr met with Steele beginning in the summer of 2016 and relayed to DOJ information about Steele's bias. Steele told Ohr that he, Steele, was desperate that Donald Trump not get elected president and was passionate about him not becoming president.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.

Once Intelligence Committee leaders and staff compiled some of that information into the memo, the FBI and Justice Department, supported by Capitol Hill Democrats, mounted a ferocious campaign of opposition, saying release of the memo would endanger national security and the rule of law.

But Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes never wavered in his determination to make the information available to the public. President Trump agreed, and, as required by House rules, gave his approval for release.

Finally, the memo released today does not represent the sum total of what House investigators have learned in their review of the FBI and Justice Department Trump-Russia investigation. That means the fight over the memo could be replayed in the future when the Intelligence Committee decides to release more information.


Source.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-02 17:04:51
February 02 2018 16:59 GMT
#196531
On February 03 2018 01:52 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 03 2018 01:29 Plansix wrote:
The house has seen the memo and it’s widely known what the topic is. It’s the 80-400 page application for the FISA warrant renewal on Carter Page boiled down to 4 pages.

And there is the fundamental problem that the memo attacks the FBI and Justice department for misuse of surveillance powers when the Justice department and FBI are prohibited from responding. There is already an investigation into this matter with the inspector general, which is the correct venue to bring these concerns.

The Republicans in the House know this, but are still pushing to release the memo attacking the FBI’s use of the FISA warrant. Normally this memo would come out with a second memo drafted by the opposition and a memo from the agency in question all at the same time. It’s a hit job where they know there will be no counter punch and the American people are not familiar with that standard process.

I basically agree with this. However, I'd add a couple things. First, the apoplexy with which opponents are reacting to the memo's release should not be ignored. Whatever is in there is clearly very bad for the FBI, and potentially for others. What seems to be coming is the allegation that the FISA application(s) was based upon unverified political opposition research. Given that the memo is likely largely based upon what's in the FISA application(s), it's going to have an element of truth to it which should not be ignored. The real question is what else is in the FISA application(s).

I have no problem with a careful review of that FISA warrant, since investigating any election campaign is very serious and should have a lot of oversight. But there is a venue for that and election officials can use that venue with the full assistance of the FBI and Justice department. The venue should not be the court of public opinion based on a memo drafted by a member of the transition team.

Edit: Yep, that sounds like a memo omitting a bunch of information. It doesn’t address that the FISA warrant against Page existed well before Steele was retained by the group working for the Democrats. And it just injects more politics into the FBI and pushes them to defense themselves when they are prohibited from doing so.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-02 17:24:36
February 02 2018 17:03 GMT
#196532
On February 03 2018 01:55 xDaunt wrote:
And here it is:

Show nested quote +
The House Intelligence Committee has released its controversial memo outlining alleged abuses of secret surveillance by the FBI and Justice Department in the Trump-Russia investigation. Here are some key points:

* The Steele dossier formed an essential part of the intial and all three renewal FISA applications against Carter Page.

* Andrew McCabe confirmed that no FISA warrant would have been sought from the FISA Court without the Steele dossier information.

* The political origins of the Steele dossier were known to senior DOJ and FBI officials, but excluded from the FISA applications.

* DOJ official Bruce Ohr met with Steele beginning in the summer of 2016 and relayed to DOJ information about Steele's bias. Steele told Ohr that he, Steele, was desperate that Donald Trump not get elected president and was passionate about him not becoming president.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.

Once Intelligence Committee leaders and staff compiled some of that information into the memo, the FBI and Justice Department, supported by Capitol Hill Democrats, mounted a ferocious campaign of opposition, saying release of the memo would endanger national security and the rule of law.

But Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes never wavered in his determination to make the information available to the public. President Trump agreed, and, as required by House rules, gave his approval for release.

Finally, the memo released today does not represent the sum total of what House investigators have learned in their review of the FBI and Justice Department Trump-Russia investigation. That means the fight over the memo could be replayed in the future when the Intelligence Committee decides to release more information.

Source.

A couple of questions here:

The Steele dossier was an essential part of the initial FISA application against Page? Maybe he didn't show up on the radar before then, I guess. When was this initial FISA application against Page? Presumably in July somewhere? When exactly did the FBI get their hands on the dossier? And what about Manafort, who was also lodged in Trump Tower, when did they start listening in on him? Presumable he's been in the FBIs sights for a while, working for the pro-Kremlin president in Ukraine and all that?

As with the hacking situation and all, I need a detailed time-line of events. I'm not invested enough to keep all events chronologically in my head.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
February 02 2018 17:06 GMT
#196533
On February 03 2018 01:55 xDaunt wrote:
And here it is:

Show nested quote +
The House Intelligence Committee has released its controversial memo outlining alleged abuses of secret surveillance by the FBI and Justice Department in the Trump-Russia investigation. Here are some key points:

* The Steele dossier formed an essential part of the intial and all three renewal FISA applications against Carter Page.

* Andrew McCabe confirmed that no FISA warrant would have been sought from the FISA Court without the Steele dossier information.

* The political origins of the Steele dossier were known to senior DOJ and FBI officials, but excluded from the FISA applications.

* DOJ official Bruce Ohr met with Steele beginning in the summer of 2016 and relayed to DOJ information about Steele's bias. Steele told Ohr that he, Steele, was desperate that Donald Trump not get elected president and was passionate about him not becoming president.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.

Once Intelligence Committee leaders and staff compiled some of that information into the memo, the FBI and Justice Department, supported by Capitol Hill Democrats, mounted a ferocious campaign of opposition, saying release of the memo would endanger national security and the rule of law.

But Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes never wavered in his determination to make the information available to the public. President Trump agreed, and, as required by House rules, gave his approval for release.

Finally, the memo released today does not represent the sum total of what House investigators have learned in their review of the FBI and Justice Department Trump-Russia investigation. That means the fight over the memo could be replayed in the future when the Intelligence Committee decides to release more information.


Source.


This is it? This is the memo

This seems like a joke

1) Okay, but why does that matter? Parts of the Steele D have been proven true
2) Again, parts have been proven true
3) This is the only thing I agree is bad, but more of a they should not fuck that up in the future or at least drop a side note going hey this guy is paid by political group but we believe this info to be crediable
4) Who cares? I was passionate about not having trumped be elected, its not like that compromised my job or I would lie to hurt his chances
Something witty
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15723 Posts
February 02 2018 17:07 GMT
#196534
On February 03 2018 01:55 xDaunt wrote:
And here it is:

Show nested quote +
The House Intelligence Committee has released its controversial memo outlining alleged abuses of secret surveillance by the FBI and Justice Department in the Trump-Russia investigation. Here are some key points:

* The Steele dossier formed an essential part of the intial and all three renewal FISA applications against Carter Page.

* Andrew McCabe confirmed that no FISA warrant would have been sought from the FISA Court without the Steele dossier information.

* The political origins of the Steele dossier were known to senior DOJ and FBI officials, but excluded from the FISA applications.

* DOJ official Bruce Ohr met with Steele beginning in the summer of 2016 and relayed to DOJ information about Steele's bias. Steele told Ohr that he, Steele, was desperate that Donald Trump not get elected president and was passionate about him not becoming president.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.

Once Intelligence Committee leaders and staff compiled some of that information into the memo, the FBI and Justice Department, supported by Capitol Hill Democrats, mounted a ferocious campaign of opposition, saying release of the memo would endanger national security and the rule of law.

But Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes never wavered in his determination to make the information available to the public. President Trump agreed, and, as required by House rules, gave his approval for release.

Finally, the memo released today does not represent the sum total of what House investigators have learned in their review of the FBI and Justice Department Trump-Russia investigation. That means the fight over the memo could be replayed in the future when the Intelligence Committee decides to release more information.


Source.

This idea of bias is silly. If my research pointed to Trump being compromised, I would also be desperate for him to not be president.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 02 2018 17:12 GMT
#196535
I will say the Nunes was passionate about getting Trump elected and keeping Trump from being tied up in an investigation. Attacking people based on having a political view goes both ways.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-02 17:22:10
February 02 2018 17:17 GMT
#196536
On February 03 2018 02:07 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 03 2018 01:55 xDaunt wrote:
And here it is:

The House Intelligence Committee has released its controversial memo outlining alleged abuses of secret surveillance by the FBI and Justice Department in the Trump-Russia investigation. Here are some key points:

* The Steele dossier formed an essential part of the intial and all three renewal FISA applications against Carter Page.

* Andrew McCabe confirmed that no FISA warrant would have been sought from the FISA Court without the Steele dossier information.

* The political origins of the Steele dossier were known to senior DOJ and FBI officials, but excluded from the FISA applications.

* DOJ official Bruce Ohr met with Steele beginning in the summer of 2016 and relayed to DOJ information about Steele's bias. Steele told Ohr that he, Steele, was desperate that Donald Trump not get elected president and was passionate about him not becoming president.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.

Once Intelligence Committee leaders and staff compiled some of that information into the memo, the FBI and Justice Department, supported by Capitol Hill Democrats, mounted a ferocious campaign of opposition, saying release of the memo would endanger national security and the rule of law.

But Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes never wavered in his determination to make the information available to the public. President Trump agreed, and, as required by House rules, gave his approval for release.

Finally, the memo released today does not represent the sum total of what House investigators have learned in their review of the FBI and Justice Department Trump-Russia investigation. That means the fight over the memo could be replayed in the future when the Intelligence Committee decides to release more information.


Source.

This idea of bias is silly. If my research pointed to Trump being compromised, I would also be desperate for him to not be president.


Yeah this seems not very actionable. The exact same outcome would happen if Steele and/or the FBI were politically motivated or if they were just working in their best interest.

The FBI and Justice Department mounted a months-long effort to keep the information outlined in the memo out of the House Intelligence Committee's hands. Only the threat of contempt charges and other forms of pressure forced the FBI and Justice to give up the material.


Like this is barely noteworthy when the president and Nunes are working so hard to undermine things. "Guy who should be recused from the investigation and is demanding information in a transparent attempt to undermine investigation is met with resistance." is an obvious thing that would happen.

There could be a FISA abuse, and it's probably a 100% chance the FBI has abused FISA at some point, but the majority of the memo doesn't really seem all that persuasive. It's just as likely the information wasn't relevant to the FISA application.

I'd want to see the actual primary source FISA application to make up my mind.
Logo
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
February 02 2018 17:21 GMT
#196537
So this is bigger than Watergate, eh?
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9629 Posts
February 02 2018 17:22 GMT
#196538
i’m not reading anywhere that this memo was released with any source material. is that correct?

looking forward to the forthcoming admission that it is meaningless without it.
MrUniverse
Profile Joined January 2018
6 Posts
February 02 2018 17:26 GMT
#196539
So, the Clinton campaign/DNC worked with a foreign spy to develop a salacious and phony dossier on Donald Trump, gave the dossier to the FBI and they used it to open an investigation and obtain a FISA warrant to spy on Trump campaign members. Unreal.

User was banned for this post.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-02 17:33:13
February 02 2018 17:32 GMT
#196540
On February 03 2018 02:26 MrUniverse wrote:
So, the Clinton campaign/DNC worked with a foreign spy to develop a salacious and phony dossier on Donald Trump, gave the dossier to the FBI and they used it to open an investigation and obtain a FISA warrant to spy on Trump campaign members. Unreal.

No. They hired a firm to preform opposition research and they hired the former British spy. That spy turned up some stuff that he felt should go right to the FBI and handed it over. He never involved the DNC or Clinton camp in that decision. The FBI was already aware of a lot of the things the spy told them and used what he provided as supporting documentation for their FISA warrant renewal.

The important part is that the FISA warrant was issued long before the spy was ever involved. The FBI was already on the case without any involvement from that spy, and Clinton/the DNC by extension.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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