• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 18:28
CEST 00:28
KST 07:28
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL22] Ro24 Preview: Siren's Call8[ASL22] Ro24 Preview: Summer's End9Serral wins HomeStory Cup 2915Serral wins Maestros of the Game 244ByuL, and the Limitations of Standard Play3
Community News
Official StarCraft website teases new content ahead of BlizzCon?81Stellar Fest TWO the Moon (Dec 16-20)9Weekly Cups (August 24-30): Patches' balance mod takes over3New 3v3 BGH Ladder (and more) on ShieldBattery!40Weekly Cups (August 17-23): Zerg dominate the week6
StarCraft 2
General
Nexon wins bid to develop StarCraft IP content, distribute Overwatch mobile game SC4ALL: II Winner Will Earn a Spot at HSC 30! Weekly Cups (August 24-30): Patches' balance mod takes over Balance hotfix patch 5.0.16b (July 16) September World Ranking: herO leads, Serral climbs
Tourneys
Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament Stellar Fest TWO the Moon (Dec 16-20) IntoTheTV X SOOP SC2 League : Weekly & Monthly SC2 INu's Battles#20 [BO.9] 2026 GSTL Announcement
Strategy
[G] Having the right mentality to improve
Custom Maps
Nexus Wars 2021 GUIDE [M] (2) Industrial Park
External Content
Mutation # 541 Binary Choice The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 540 Dodge This Mutation # 539 Thunder Dome
Brood War
General
Official StarCraft website teases new content ahead of BlizzCon? ASL22 General Discussion Gypsy to Korea [Personal Project Share] Terran Defense v0.60 BW General Discussion
Tourneys
Brood War in Budapest ! WORTEX 2026 BW Finals KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 3 [Megathread] Daily Proleagues BSL LAN Party - Kraków 29-30 August - OPEN SIGNUPS
Strategy
Odyssey Mineral Stack Saturation Replay Review Process - What do you do? Game Theory for Starcraft Fighting Spirit mining rates
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread Diablo IV EVE Corporation [Maplestory Hardcore] Let's Play~!! General RTS Discussion Thread
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
[TL LoL EUW IHs] Teemo shall perish TSM pausing esports and CLG Dead
Heroes of the Storm
Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Power Rank TL Mafia Community Thread NeO.D_StephenKing vs This Guy From 1 Million Dance
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Artificial Intelligence Thread Canadian Politics Mega-thread UK Politics Mega-thread
Fan Clubs
MarineLorD Fan Club The Creator Fan Club The ShoWTimE Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! Anime Discussion Thread
Sports
Football (Soccer) Thread TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 MLB/Baseball 2023 NBA General Discussion
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List Northern Ireland Global Starcraft
Blogs
Dreaming of BW patches (mod…
c3rberUs
Regacy Esports: The Bh…
regacyesports
Violent Games and Crime Rate…
TrAiDoS
LOCKPICKING NOOB
LUCKY_NOOB
Cathedral Of CS And NY pizza a…
FuDDx
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 6737 users

US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9748

Forum Index > Closed
Post a Reply
Prev 1 9746 9747 9748 9749 9750 10093 Next
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
January 21 2018 03:01 GMT
#194941
On January 21 2018 10:13 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 08:22 Danglars wrote:
On January 21 2018 07:14 mozoku wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:33 Introvert wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:29 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:27 Introvert wrote:
I find it fascinating that in 2013 it was the minority party's fault but this time we all play dumb and pretend the filibuster doesn't exist. Especially funny since Schumer objected to the motion for unanimous consent to move to a vote.

Shows how intellectually bankrupt Democrats are on shutdown politics. Republicans blamed their own party last time.

Are you really about to pretend that with Republicans in control of the House, the Senate, and the White House, the Democrats are to blame in any meaningful way? Your boys did this. Own it and hold them accountable.


Yep! One party suggested a clean bill, the other ensured it required 60 votes then didn't grant them. I'm making actual arguments while everyone here is being intellectually dishonest to an amazing extent and making vague arguments about "controlling all branches."

In previous years we would have heard about how the minority party has to make sacrifices and accept that they don't run it all. Now, that argument has disappeared. It has to be dishonesty, no one in this thread is stupid enough to try and argue it's any different, so they don't.

So have fun, the primaries will be so much more boring.

This is way back now, but want to highlight how true this is. I'm honestly sort of flabbergasted at the doublethink tbh.

Interestingly, it's not just here. The official line from Schumer appears to be "they control all three branches" while conveniently ignoring they're still unable to avoid a shutdown without Dem votes.

If someone wanted to argue DACA is worth it and shutdown politics is justified now but wasn't in 2013, I could at least disagree while understanding the argument. Instead, the suspension of reason/active ignorance feels eerily Trumpian. It's even more worrisome to me when the supposed intellectual party are willing to fall for this nonsense tbh.

And ... you prompt another wave of dishonest responses. Its Trumpian, like one party elected him and the other party elected to use his tactics.

Honest question, would you include mine among the "dishonest responses" you're referring to? I think I've been trying pretty hard to make good faith comments about this, but if people are going to assume I'm dishonest anyway I won't bother to put in the effort

That looked like an honest question and perspective (that I disagree with, but not what I was referring to). The other arguments presented for why it was really Republican's fault, and how those arguments twisted and turned (Introvert/Mozoku pair of posts) was what stood out.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-21 03:09:49
January 21 2018 03:02 GMT
#194942
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.


I mean, I'm not sure what kind of "cause" you're talking about here. The Democrats could have said "okay, GOP, we'll believe your lies that you won't just kick this can a month." That's true. But by equal token, the GOP leadership could have also said "let's put the bipartisan bill on the floor right now that we said we would make last time we kicked the can so we don't have to kick the can a month." It's like watching two people choking each other to death and saying "it's definitely X's fault for not letting go first."

Right now it's like those two people choking each other said a month ago "let's go out for burritos by next month, we like burritos and without us the burrito stand will go out of business, one of us has a car, and we're both really hungry," this month the person with the car decided "eh, maybe we can go next month" even though the burrito stand is closing soon. Who "causes" the resulting altercation?

(Also, the "clean" CR included extensions on delays of ACA taxes that would doubtless be used to justify future cuts-you can read it yourself here)
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 21 2018 03:29 GMT
#194943
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.


that might be the case if your President would be without a veto-power.

As it stands, the way you set up the way you pass bills it just happens to be impossible to get things the minority party wants passed as a standalone bill because
a) It won't be put to the floor in the first place
b) even if you somehow get that done and put it on Trumps desk he can still just veto it. We both know he would veto the fuck out of every standalone DACA reform

You're basicly saying that Dems should have given up on DACA on that specific day, should have just funded the government and then come back to fight for DACA on another day. Fully well knowing that you need to attach it to something else if you're the minority party or else you don't have a chance to fight for it in the first place.

I'd call it a shitty system but it's what it is. If you want to get even the most minor change as the minority party you have to force it being attached to something else and the only thing that makes it "unmoral" or not is public opinion wether or not that fight for it is reasonable or not I guess.
Say Dems had fought not just for DACA but on top of that for universal healthcare, for Universal Income and a complete opening of all borders so that everyone can get in no matter what just for shitz and giggles. I'm sure noone would be sitting here thinking "mmmh yeah.... I don't think they could have gotten it somehow else so I approve of them holding the government hostage over it", people would think Dems are crazy for demanding that much.
Likewise, say Republicans had actually offered something in return, I don't think we would have people saying that it's so easily their fault either because they would have actually offered something. But they were asking for everything they want without giving something in return.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
January 21 2018 03:30 GMT
#194944
On January 21 2018 10:54 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 09:37 mozoku wrote:
On January 21 2018 08:10 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 21 2018 07:14 mozoku wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:33 Introvert wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:29 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:27 Introvert wrote:
I find it fascinating that in 2013 it was the minority party's fault but this time we all play dumb and pretend the filibuster doesn't exist. Especially funny since Schumer objected to the motion for unanimous consent to move to a vote.

Shows how intellectually bankrupt Democrats are on shutdown politics. Republicans blamed their own party last time.

Are you really about to pretend that with Republicans in control of the House, the Senate, and the White House, the Democrats are to blame in any meaningful way? Your boys did this. Own it and hold them accountable.


Yep! One party suggested a clean bill, the other ensured it required 60 votes then didn't grant them. I'm making actual arguments while everyone here is being intellectually dishonest to an amazing extent and making vague arguments about "controlling all branches."

In previous years we would have heard about how the minority party has to make sacrifices and accept that they don't run it all. Now, that argument has disappeared. It has to be dishonesty, no one in this thread is stupid enough to try and argue it's any different, so they don't.

So have fun, the primaries will be so much more boring.

This is way back now, but want to highlight how true this is. I'm honestly sort of flabbergasted at the doublethink tbh.

Interestingly, it's not just here. The official line from Schumer appears to be "they control all three branches" while conveniently ignoring they're still unable to avoid a shutdown without Dem votes.

If someone wanted to argue DACA is worth it and shutdown politics is justified now but wasn't in 2013, I could at least disagree while understanding the argument. Instead, the suspension of reason/active ignorance feels eerily Trumpian. It's even more worrisome to me when the supposed intellectual party are willing to fall for this nonsense tbh.

People aren't ignoring it, rather that's precisely the point. You have a party that's unwilling to reach any form of compromise with opposing views, and have spent so long saying no to everyone that they don't even know how to agree with each other anymore. Honestly, I don't know how anyone can see what's happened and still shill for Republicans, they've just shown everyone the most complete and utter failure a leadership possibly can. You don't get to complain that the minority didn't just go along with everything you wanted. This is a government built on compromise. And your boys are bent on eliminating it and just running the show themselves. Surprise, it doesn't work.

DACA has nothing to with funding the government. If you want DACA to remain (which I do), you need to win the elections necessary to do so. Democrats didn't. To make up for it, they're refusing to fund the government until DACA is restored and then complaining that the GOP never compromises when the party that actually won the elections says no.

There's no way to look at it without it being literally "hostage tactics."

Most of the posts here are shunning real arguments in here in favor of just GOP-bashing (and deservedly so), but it's still nothing more than the whataboutism that you guys constantly complain about.


Just as a sidenote, do you know how democracy works? Just out of interest. Let me remind you: not 100% of the US citizens are behind what republicans want to do. That's the reason they don't have 100% majority everywhere. In fact in terms of your president, the majority didn't actually want him as president in the first place, and it was out of their hands. He won because the US is one of the countries where some votes matter more than others.

The "well they are more so they can do what they want" is the dumbest argument i've heard today. The democrats won enough elections to have a say as well, they represent 40% or whatever of your fucking country.

It's called "opposition". Look it up. Very necessary, regardless of how much you think that republicans should be able to do whatever the fuck they want because they were better at gerrymandering.

I really enjoyed this post. Here's me in July:

On July 18 2017 12:59 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2017 12:55 Wulfey_LA wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 18 2017 11:59 Introvert wrote:
Every Republican who voted for this in 2015 should be shamed if they balk now.




The Republican policy platform has long devolved into sticking it to the libs. Look at all the praise by Trumpkins for Gorka cause he sticks it to the libs on TV. There is no real Republican policy ... even on taxes. It is crazy. They could pass a 10% capital gains tax cut right now with 50 votes but they don't. Only thing the REpublican party can still do is Judges, and that is because of the power of faith.

The Left's energy is literally behind a movement called "The Resistance" and you're only concerned about Republicans being obstructionist?

Sticking it to the other party is the standard opposition party strategy. Counterproductive as it is to actually getting things done, welcome to American politics.

On July 19 2017 08:19 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2017 07:30 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 07:23 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 07:02 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I believe that Danglars is talking about in regards to Democrats is that they aren't offering up anything in the vacuum that is left in the leadership ranks. They are satisfied to just watch the Republicans flail and fail. Danglars is saying that, instead of waiting for all of this Russia/Collusion/Obstruction mess to clear up, now is the time to push a message and get out some alternative choices for the public to see. Right now, if they want to pick up those seats, their message needs to be that they are working to solve the problems.

On July 19 2017 07:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:38 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:22 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:14 Doodsmack wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:06 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:03 Gorsameth wrote:
[quote]
Congress as such isn't focused on Russia, a committee is but Congress is free to do whatever they want,

The only thing they are doing tho is failing to pass anything at all.
That's also why Russia is so much in the news. There is nothing else coming out of the Government because they are utterly paralyzed by their own internal issues.

When I'm talking about what Democrats are doing and how it's hurting them in 2018/2020, I'm more or less expecting responses to touch on the point. Not the status of committees, but the dearth of leadership and lack of message that doesn't involve Trump or Russia. Or tell me why it doesn't matter or I'm wrong.


Your poll referred to what Congress is doing, not what Democrats are doing. You used the poll to support an argument about what Democrats are doing. By undercutting the support for your argument, his point very clearly responded to your post.

My poll referred to the public' disgust with the Russia distraction. It has an effect on Congress. I showed how it means bad things for absent Democrat leadership, but apparently that's too damaging to discuss. Oh well. Go cite the poll and tell me why it's bad for Republicans, I mean be my guest. I'm very much in favor of making the argument than dodging the argument.

A Harvard-Harris poll showed majorities from both parties say Congress should stop focusing on Russia and focus instead on national security, the economy, and health care. 73% are concerned the Russia probes have distracted Congress from the issues that matter.

Congress
Congress is free to focus on NS, economy and Healthcare.
Congress is failing to do any of it because every single one of their proposals keeps failing.

I'm in a particularly good mood today, so I'll help you out one more time. Democrats have been doing nothing but focus on Trump and Russia. They have no message. Their allies in media have been focusing on Trump and Russia as well. The public has shown in the poll that they think it's a distraction and impacts congressional focus. Do you think this harms Democrats? Do you think I'm wrong about Democrats lacking a message or Democrats only focusing on the Russia angle? Do you actually reject the poll, judging from your wish that the poll showed people just don't like Congress, rather than disliking the rhetoric on Russia? I have a feeling that somewhere deep down you agree with me, but want to sidetrack it to a more pleasant topic for you.

I responded to the information in the poll you linked, plain and simple.

As for the real question you tried to hide behind the poll.
No I don't think Democrats should stop talking about Russia. This is the biggest controversy in politics in decades, a President has been all but confirmed to have taken dirt on his opponent from a foreign government during the election.

As for their lack of a message. No, I don't see it as an issue. Mid-terms are further away then peoples memory. Nothing being said now sticks other then a vague sense of 'stuff' that happened.
If we're a few months out and they have no message then yes, you have a point. But now? No. Focus on the unprecedented level of shit that is Trump and the Republicans failure to govern despite controlling all 3 branches.

ZerOCool, I think you can see now that he's arguing that the poll doesn't mean Democrats should change on the Russia stuff. They have the choice to focus on issues that matter more to Americans, but here we have one person (albeit not in the US) that thinks it's fine to be all about this controversy.

In this sphere, it's about the most stark disagreement you can ask for. Not that you're misunderstanding what I said, but you're disagreeing with the argument. But you have both sides and Gorsameth moved on to addressing the topic (Controversy itself is good enough, lack of a message isn't an issue due to the year between now and midterm elections, any message now wouldn't stick). I'm fine illustrating that disagreement and showing why I think the poll matters, without arguing forcefully that people will remember this in the midterms and the controversy itself is adequately handled with by pending investigations.

The Republicans are floundering around aimlessly. Why should the Democrats supply them with solutions after 7 years of pure obstructionism?

I think both parties are scum. It's just that around here (and most places tbh) a lot people have a hard time understanding that the Dems operate in basically the same way that the Republicans do for some reason. I fully expect the Dems to be obstructionist. It's a proven opposition party strategy. It has nothing to do with being Democrat or Republican.

I'm well aware of how opposition works. You guys only seemed to have figured it out yesterday though.
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3304 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-21 03:40:28
January 21 2018 03:38 GMT
#194945
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.

I'm going to try by best to explain why I don't think it's so cut-and-dried as you're describing it in the bolded bit above. I'd welcome you to try to explain where you think I'm wrong. And for the record, that's not me beating my chest in a challenge – I easily might be wrong. I'm not an expert on politics, and in this case, I'm not totally sure what I think about this shutdown. In 2013 it looked clearly like the Republicans' fault to me; in this case it feels a lot less clear-cut.

If we consider the long-term budget renewal as a negotiation, I'll try to enumerate what each side is hoping to get out of the final deal:

Mutual Goals
continue funding the government
DACA (?)
CHIP (?)

Democrats
DACA (?)
CHIP funding (?)
other stuff?

Republicans
more military funding
border wall / increased border security funding
other stuff?


(Side note: I marked DACA and CHIP with (?) because at various points they have seemed like either mutual goals or just Democrats' goals; at the moment I would say that both sides want CHIP but Democrats want it more, and Democrats want DACA while Republicans, on average, don't. But that's just my estimation, thus the question mark)

There's a variety of, again, long-term deals we could imagine coming out of that set of terms for a negotiation. Something Trump has pretty clearly suggested on Twitter was that the Democrats fund his wall in exchange for legislative protections for DACA recipients. But that's just one example (and one that I don't think Democrats would accept).

But what the Republicans offered last night was not a long-term deal. It was a short-term CR. The premise of the short-term CR is "let's pass this limited funding of the government to avert a shutdown while we negotiate a long-term budget deal." But of course, to do that they have to come to a deal on what short-term CR to do.

So let's consider the short-term CR as a separate negotiation, and once again ask what each side is hoping to get out of it.

Mutual Goals
temporarily fund the government for some time interval while negotiations for a long-term deal continue
CHIP (?)

Democrats
time interval: ~1 week
CHIP(?)

Republicans
time interval: 1 month
elimination of some minor Obamacare taxes


(CHIP appears in this list too because its funding runs out in the short-term)

I tried to make all of the above more or less non-partisan analysis; if anyone disagrees with any of the above characterizations, please say so, because I honestly thought that was all pretty much agreed upon.

Now here's what I think we can say factually. Republicans and Democrats together failed to come to an agreement in the negotiations for a long-term deal. They also failed to come to an agreement in the negotiations for a [b]short-term[b] deal. Without either a long-term or short-term budget deal, the government shut down.

I don't think we can say with the same factual certainty whose fault either of those failures was. I think the mistake you're making is looking at the Democrats long-term rhetoric (we need DACA as part of a deal) and juxtaposing with the Republicans short-term proposal (1 month CR with CHIP funding), and seeing it as "Republicans just want a clean CR, but Democrats won't do it without DACA." Then a vote was held on the Republicans' proposal, and Democrats opposed it, so that appeared to confirm your interpretation.

The examples that would disprove your interpretation are hypothetical, but I think they do disprove it. If, hypothetically, Mitch McConnell had in a moment of spinelessness or insanity or whatever other reason, brought a vote to amend the CR to only fund the government for 1 week, I don't know whether it would have passed, but I absolutely believe Dems would have voted for it. If the amendment passed, and in a moment of continued insanity McConnell then brought a vote for cloture on the now-shortened CR, I don't know if it would have passed, but I absolutely think the Dems would have voted for it. That behavior would be inconsistent with the attitude of "we won't do a CR unless it includes DACA."

All the reporting on the negotiations that went on last night (to my mind, at least) confirms to me this interpretation. All the haggling seemed to be over the length of the CR. Republicans were announcing that they were offering a 3-week "off-ramp" if Democrats wanted to avert a shutdown. Democrats refused. Democrats offered a deal that would expire on January 29th; Republicans refused. At one point Bob Corker said the negotiations had haggled the range down to "somewhere between the 2nd and the 8th of February."

Just like the long-term deal, we could argue about whose short-term wish list is more meritorious, or who was being more intransigent, to try to pin blame on someone for the failure to reach a deal. But I simply don't think you can factually state "the Democrats wouldn't take the Republicans' 1-month CR, so it's their fault." The Republicans were just as unwilling to accept the one-week CR. If either side had capitulated to the other's timeline, they could have averted the shutdown, so in that sense, it was entirely within both sides' power to stop it.

Forgive me for not putting in the work to make this post shorter, but really, I'd like to hear where you think I'm either mistaken or engaging in Trumpian dishonesty/denial of logic.

Edit:
On January 21 2018 12:01 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 10:13 ChristianS wrote:
On January 21 2018 08:22 Danglars wrote:
On January 21 2018 07:14 mozoku wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:33 Introvert wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:29 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:27 Introvert wrote:
I find it fascinating that in 2013 it was the minority party's fault but this time we all play dumb and pretend the filibuster doesn't exist. Especially funny since Schumer objected to the motion for unanimous consent to move to a vote.

Shows how intellectually bankrupt Democrats are on shutdown politics. Republicans blamed their own party last time.

Are you really about to pretend that with Republicans in control of the House, the Senate, and the White House, the Democrats are to blame in any meaningful way? Your boys did this. Own it and hold them accountable.


Yep! One party suggested a clean bill, the other ensured it required 60 votes then didn't grant them. I'm making actual arguments while everyone here is being intellectually dishonest to an amazing extent and making vague arguments about "controlling all branches."

In previous years we would have heard about how the minority party has to make sacrifices and accept that they don't run it all. Now, that argument has disappeared. It has to be dishonesty, no one in this thread is stupid enough to try and argue it's any different, so they don't.

So have fun, the primaries will be so much more boring.

This is way back now, but want to highlight how true this is. I'm honestly sort of flabbergasted at the doublethink tbh.

Interestingly, it's not just here. The official line from Schumer appears to be "they control all three branches" while conveniently ignoring they're still unable to avoid a shutdown without Dem votes.

If someone wanted to argue DACA is worth it and shutdown politics is justified now but wasn't in 2013, I could at least disagree while understanding the argument. Instead, the suspension of reason/active ignorance feels eerily Trumpian. It's even more worrisome to me when the supposed intellectual party are willing to fall for this nonsense tbh.

And ... you prompt another wave of dishonest responses. Its Trumpian, like one party elected him and the other party elected to use his tactics.

Honest question, would you include mine among the "dishonest responses" you're referring to? I think I've been trying pretty hard to make good faith comments about this, but if people are going to assume I'm dishonest anyway I won't bother to put in the effort

That looked like an honest question and perspective (that I disagree with, but not what I was referring to). The other arguments presented for why it was really Republican's fault, and how those arguments twisted and turned (Introvert/Mozoku pair of posts) was what stood out.

Thanks, I appreciate the clarification.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
January 21 2018 03:39 GMT
#194946
On January 21 2018 12:30 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 10:54 m4ini wrote:
On January 21 2018 09:37 mozoku wrote:
On January 21 2018 08:10 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 21 2018 07:14 mozoku wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:33 Introvert wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:29 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:27 Introvert wrote:
I find it fascinating that in 2013 it was the minority party's fault but this time we all play dumb and pretend the filibuster doesn't exist. Especially funny since Schumer objected to the motion for unanimous consent to move to a vote.

Shows how intellectually bankrupt Democrats are on shutdown politics. Republicans blamed their own party last time.

Are you really about to pretend that with Republicans in control of the House, the Senate, and the White House, the Democrats are to blame in any meaningful way? Your boys did this. Own it and hold them accountable.


Yep! One party suggested a clean bill, the other ensured it required 60 votes then didn't grant them. I'm making actual arguments while everyone here is being intellectually dishonest to an amazing extent and making vague arguments about "controlling all branches."

In previous years we would have heard about how the minority party has to make sacrifices and accept that they don't run it all. Now, that argument has disappeared. It has to be dishonesty, no one in this thread is stupid enough to try and argue it's any different, so they don't.

So have fun, the primaries will be so much more boring.

This is way back now, but want to highlight how true this is. I'm honestly sort of flabbergasted at the doublethink tbh.

Interestingly, it's not just here. The official line from Schumer appears to be "they control all three branches" while conveniently ignoring they're still unable to avoid a shutdown without Dem votes.

If someone wanted to argue DACA is worth it and shutdown politics is justified now but wasn't in 2013, I could at least disagree while understanding the argument. Instead, the suspension of reason/active ignorance feels eerily Trumpian. It's even more worrisome to me when the supposed intellectual party are willing to fall for this nonsense tbh.

People aren't ignoring it, rather that's precisely the point. You have a party that's unwilling to reach any form of compromise with opposing views, and have spent so long saying no to everyone that they don't even know how to agree with each other anymore. Honestly, I don't know how anyone can see what's happened and still shill for Republicans, they've just shown everyone the most complete and utter failure a leadership possibly can. You don't get to complain that the minority didn't just go along with everything you wanted. This is a government built on compromise. And your boys are bent on eliminating it and just running the show themselves. Surprise, it doesn't work.

DACA has nothing to with funding the government. If you want DACA to remain (which I do), you need to win the elections necessary to do so. Democrats didn't. To make up for it, they're refusing to fund the government until DACA is restored and then complaining that the GOP never compromises when the party that actually won the elections says no.

There's no way to look at it without it being literally "hostage tactics."

Most of the posts here are shunning real arguments in here in favor of just GOP-bashing (and deservedly so), but it's still nothing more than the whataboutism that you guys constantly complain about.


Just as a sidenote, do you know how democracy works? Just out of interest. Let me remind you: not 100% of the US citizens are behind what republicans want to do. That's the reason they don't have 100% majority everywhere. In fact in terms of your president, the majority didn't actually want him as president in the first place, and it was out of their hands. He won because the US is one of the countries where some votes matter more than others.

The "well they are more so they can do what they want" is the dumbest argument i've heard today. The democrats won enough elections to have a say as well, they represent 40% or whatever of your fucking country.

It's called "opposition". Look it up. Very necessary, regardless of how much you think that republicans should be able to do whatever the fuck they want because they were better at gerrymandering.

I really enjoyed this post. Here's me in July:

Show nested quote +
On July 18 2017 12:59 mozoku wrote:
On July 18 2017 12:55 Wulfey_LA wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 18 2017 11:59 Introvert wrote:
Every Republican who voted for this in 2015 should be shamed if they balk now.

https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/887142552377450500



The Republican policy platform has long devolved into sticking it to the libs. Look at all the praise by Trumpkins for Gorka cause he sticks it to the libs on TV. There is no real Republican policy ... even on taxes. It is crazy. They could pass a 10% capital gains tax cut right now with 50 votes but they don't. Only thing the REpublican party can still do is Judges, and that is because of the power of faith.

The Left's energy is literally behind a movement called "The Resistance" and you're only concerned about Republicans being obstructionist?

Sticking it to the other party is the standard opposition party strategy. Counterproductive as it is to actually getting things done, welcome to American politics.

Show nested quote +
On July 19 2017 08:19 mozoku wrote:
On July 19 2017 07:30 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 07:23 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 07:02 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I believe that Danglars is talking about in regards to Democrats is that they aren't offering up anything in the vacuum that is left in the leadership ranks. They are satisfied to just watch the Republicans flail and fail. Danglars is saying that, instead of waiting for all of this Russia/Collusion/Obstruction mess to clear up, now is the time to push a message and get out some alternative choices for the public to see. Right now, if they want to pick up those seats, their message needs to be that they are working to solve the problems.

On July 19 2017 07:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:38 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:22 Danglars wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:14 Doodsmack wrote:
On July 19 2017 06:06 Danglars wrote:
[quote]
When I'm talking about what Democrats are doing and how it's hurting them in 2018/2020, I'm more or less expecting responses to touch on the point. Not the status of committees, but the dearth of leadership and lack of message that doesn't involve Trump or Russia. Or tell me why it doesn't matter or I'm wrong.


Your poll referred to what Congress is doing, not what Democrats are doing. You used the poll to support an argument about what Democrats are doing. By undercutting the support for your argument, his point very clearly responded to your post.

My poll referred to the public' disgust with the Russia distraction. It has an effect on Congress. I showed how it means bad things for absent Democrat leadership, but apparently that's too damaging to discuss. Oh well. Go cite the poll and tell me why it's bad for Republicans, I mean be my guest. I'm very much in favor of making the argument than dodging the argument.

A Harvard-Harris poll showed majorities from both parties say Congress should stop focusing on Russia and focus instead on national security, the economy, and health care. 73% are concerned the Russia probes have distracted Congress from the issues that matter.

Congress
Congress is free to focus on NS, economy and Healthcare.
Congress is failing to do any of it because every single one of their proposals keeps failing.

I'm in a particularly good mood today, so I'll help you out one more time. Democrats have been doing nothing but focus on Trump and Russia. They have no message. Their allies in media have been focusing on Trump and Russia as well. The public has shown in the poll that they think it's a distraction and impacts congressional focus. Do you think this harms Democrats? Do you think I'm wrong about Democrats lacking a message or Democrats only focusing on the Russia angle? Do you actually reject the poll, judging from your wish that the poll showed people just don't like Congress, rather than disliking the rhetoric on Russia? I have a feeling that somewhere deep down you agree with me, but want to sidetrack it to a more pleasant topic for you.

I responded to the information in the poll you linked, plain and simple.

As for the real question you tried to hide behind the poll.
No I don't think Democrats should stop talking about Russia. This is the biggest controversy in politics in decades, a President has been all but confirmed to have taken dirt on his opponent from a foreign government during the election.

As for their lack of a message. No, I don't see it as an issue. Mid-terms are further away then peoples memory. Nothing being said now sticks other then a vague sense of 'stuff' that happened.
If we're a few months out and they have no message then yes, you have a point. But now? No. Focus on the unprecedented level of shit that is Trump and the Republicans failure to govern despite controlling all 3 branches.

ZerOCool, I think you can see now that he's arguing that the poll doesn't mean Democrats should change on the Russia stuff. They have the choice to focus on issues that matter more to Americans, but here we have one person (albeit not in the US) that thinks it's fine to be all about this controversy.

In this sphere, it's about the most stark disagreement you can ask for. Not that you're misunderstanding what I said, but you're disagreeing with the argument. But you have both sides and Gorsameth moved on to addressing the topic (Controversy itself is good enough, lack of a message isn't an issue due to the year between now and midterm elections, any message now wouldn't stick). I'm fine illustrating that disagreement and showing why I think the poll matters, without arguing forcefully that people will remember this in the midterms and the controversy itself is adequately handled with by pending investigations.

The Republicans are floundering around aimlessly. Why should the Democrats supply them with solutions after 7 years of pure obstructionism?

I think both parties are scum. It's just that around here (and most places tbh) a lot people have a hard time understanding that the Dems operate in basically the same way that the Republicans do for some reason. I fully expect the Dems to be obstructionist. It's a proven opposition party strategy. It has nothing to do with being Democrat or Republican.

I'm well aware of how opposition works. You guys only seemed to have figured it out yesterday though.


First, i call things like i see them. If someone's bullshitting, i call them out - as happened when our lefties here circlejerked about punching nazis, taking away their rights etc.

I don't know if i was part of that discussion, if they were obstructionist, i would have called them out too.

Second, more importantly:

Oh, that's interesting. Could you briefly point me to where the points are listed? Thanks.


Or is it the kinda "i didn't watch the video, but i'm absolutely convinced that my side did nothing wrong" thing again?
On track to MA1950A.
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
January 21 2018 03:39 GMT
#194947
On January 21 2018 12:29 Toadesstern wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.


that might be the case if your President would be without a veto-power.

As it stands, the way you set up the way you pass bills it just happens to be impossible to get things the minority party wants passed as a standalone bill because
a) It won't be put to the floor in the first place
b) even if you somehow get that done and put it on Trumps desk he can still just veto it. We both know he would veto the fuck out of every standalone DACA reform

You're basicly saying that Dems should have given up on DACA on that specific day, should have just funded the government and then come back to fight for DACA on another day. Fully well knowing that you need to attach it to something else if you're the minority party or else you don't have a chance to fight for it in the first place.

I'd call it a shitty system but it's what it is. If you want to get even the most minor change as the minority party you have to force it being attached to something else and the only thing that makes it "unmoral" or not is public opinion wether or not that fight for it is reasonable or not I guess.
Say Dems had fought not just for DACA but on top of that for universal healthcare, for Universal Income and a complete opening of all borders so that everyone can get in no matter what just for shitz and giggles. I'm sure noone would be sitting here thinking "mmmh yeah.... I don't think they could have gotten it somehow else so I approve of them holding the government hostage over it", people would think Dems are crazy for demanding that much.
Likewise, say Republicans had actually offered something in return, I don't think we would have people saying that it's so easily their fault either because they would have actually offered something. But they were asking for everything they want without giving something in return.

This is an acceptable point of view... if you're willing to acknowledge it was also acceptable for Ted Cruz in 2013. I've acknowledged that it's fair argument to claim the shutdown is worth it for DACA. It's just that doing so implicitly concedes that "hostage tactics" are justified in some legislative circumstances, and there's not really any way a consistent way to say "well when it's for DACA it's a legitimate path, but when it's for spending cuts it's hostage tactics."
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-21 03:57:55
January 21 2018 03:56 GMT
#194948
On January 21 2018 12:39 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 12:29 Toadesstern wrote:
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.


that might be the case if your President would be without a veto-power.

As it stands, the way you set up the way you pass bills it just happens to be impossible to get things the minority party wants passed as a standalone bill because
a) It won't be put to the floor in the first place
b) even if you somehow get that done and put it on Trumps desk he can still just veto it. We both know he would veto the fuck out of every standalone DACA reform

You're basicly saying that Dems should have given up on DACA on that specific day, should have just funded the government and then come back to fight for DACA on another day. Fully well knowing that you need to attach it to something else if you're the minority party or else you don't have a chance to fight for it in the first place.

I'd call it a shitty system but it's what it is. If you want to get even the most minor change as the minority party you have to force it being attached to something else and the only thing that makes it "unmoral" or not is public opinion wether or not that fight for it is reasonable or not I guess.
Say Dems had fought not just for DACA but on top of that for universal healthcare, for Universal Income and a complete opening of all borders so that everyone can get in no matter what just for shitz and giggles. I'm sure noone would be sitting here thinking "mmmh yeah.... I don't think they could have gotten it somehow else so I approve of them holding the government hostage over it", people would think Dems are crazy for demanding that much.
Likewise, say Republicans had actually offered something in return, I don't think we would have people saying that it's so easily their fault either because they would have actually offered something. But they were asking for everything they want without giving something in return.

This is an acceptable point of view... if you're willing to acknowledge it was also acceptable for Ted Cruz in 2013. I've acknowledged that it's fair argument to claim the shutdown is worth it for DACA. It's just that doing so implicitly concedes that "hostage tactics" are justified in some legislative circumstances, and there's not really any way a consistent way to say "well when it's for DACA it's a legitimate path, but when it's for spending cuts it's hostage tactics."


I'd argue that Dems were actually willing to give something in return back in 2013 and thus it's a bit different, But I honestly don't feel like putting in the effort to look up how it played out in 2013 so I could be wrong.
The reason I call this out as bullshit is because the party in power is asking for 100% of what they want while not being willing to offer up even just 1% of what Dems would want.
Whereas when I think about 2013 I vaguely remember the party in power being willing to offer at least some things, even if that wasn't what Ted Cruz wanted.

Let's say Republicans had offered something else here to sweeten the deal that Dems want and Republicans usually wouldn't want. Let's say, for example, something that makes Obamacare actually better in a way the Dems want, instead of the usual Reps trying to blow it up. Or whatever else. I wouldn't be sitting here arguing about how it's the Republicans fault, I'd be saying that Dems didn't get what they want (DACA) but should probably take that Obamacare thing (or whatever else) because that's how compromises work.
Or at least, I'd be sitting here judging wether I think the thing they got offered in return is worth something and thus wether it would be unreasonable to refuse.

But Trump is hellbent on getting 100% of his agenda passed and making sure Dems get 0% of theirs. That won't work.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
January 21 2018 04:17 GMT
#194949
Actually 2013 is a really idiotic example.

The reason the government shut down wasn't because democrats didn't want to give in to republicans. Many republicans thought the bill would pass the house with ACA in its original form. The democrats didn't budge back then because they knew the reason that they'll shut down is not because they have an unacceptable proposal: republicans were expected to vote in favour.

The reason was that Boehner didn't pass it to the house. Boehner refused to let republicans vote on the bill that was expected to pass.

How exactly is this comparable to what's happening now?
On track to MA1950A.
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
January 21 2018 05:22 GMT
#194950
On January 21 2018 13:17 m4ini wrote:
Actually 2013 is a really idiotic example.

The reason the government shut down wasn't because democrats didn't want to give in to republicans. Many republicans thought the bill would pass the house with ACA in its original form. The democrats didn't budge back then because they knew the reason that they'll shut down is not because they have an unacceptable proposal: republicans were expected to vote in favour.

The reason was that Boehner didn't pass it to the house. Boehner refused to let republicans vote on the bill that was expected to pass.

How exactly is this comparable to what's happening now?

It's actually pretty comparable, if you consider that the bipartisan Senate bill described in the tweet below probably could have passed the house with most of the Democrats and less than half of the Republicans.


Basically, Hastert rule in action. When Republicans control the house, the house passes stuff that is a compromise between the moderate conservatives and the far right conservatives, and Democrats in the house are more or less ignored.



Also, regarding hostage taking, Republicans basically didn't fund CHIP for four months so that they could hold it hostage right now.
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
January 21 2018 08:10 GMT
#194951
On January 21 2018 12:38 ChristianS wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 21 2018 11:03 mozoku wrote:
The telling part of this is that none of you want to explicitly state what exactly the Dems want the GOP to compromise on and just keep vaguely referring to what's on the table as "an unreasonable deal because the GOP never compromises!" It's like all of you forgot that the point of a funding bill is well... funding. There are were no poison pills in the resolution put up for vote last night. The GOP isn't doing "whatever it wants." It's literally just trying to pass a clean funding bill.

Could Trump and the GOP have agreed to a DACA deal and avoided this? Yes. Is Trump incompetent? Yes. Does that change the fact that a clean funding bill was put to vote that would have funded the government, and that bill was supported by nearly all Republicans and opposed by nearly all Democrats? No, it doesn't.

Whether or not Trump blew up a previous deal doesn't change the fact that the Democrats had agency in that vote to either accept a clean funding bill and keep the government running, or to reject it and shut down the government in an attempt to gain leverage on DACA negotiations. They chose the latter. There's really no argument to be made here.

Could you argue the GOP is at fault for no DACA? Sure. Could you argue the shutdown is justified this time? Sure. What you cannot argue is that the GOP caused the shutdown. That's factually false.

I'm going to try by best to explain why I don't think it's so cut-and-dried as you're describing it in the bolded bit above. I'd welcome you to try to explain where you think I'm wrong. And for the record, that's not me beating my chest in a challenge – I easily might be wrong. I'm not an expert on politics, and in this case, I'm not totally sure what I think about this shutdown. In 2013 it looked clearly like the Republicans' fault to me; in this case it feels a lot less clear-cut.

If we consider the long-term budget renewal as a negotiation, I'll try to enumerate what each side is hoping to get out of the final deal:

Mutual Goals
continue funding the government
DACA (?)
CHIP (?)

Democrats
DACA (?)
CHIP funding (?)
other stuff?

Republicans
more military funding
border wall / increased border security funding
other stuff?


(Side note: I marked DACA and CHIP with (?) because at various points they have seemed like either mutual goals or just Democrats' goals; at the moment I would say that both sides want CHIP but Democrats want it more, and Democrats want DACA while Republicans, on average, don't. But that's just my estimation, thus the question mark)

There's a variety of, again, long-term deals we could imagine coming out of that set of terms for a negotiation. Something Trump has pretty clearly suggested on Twitter was that the Democrats fund his wall in exchange for legislative protections for DACA recipients. But that's just one example (and one that I don't think Democrats would accept).

But what the Republicans offered last night was not a long-term deal. It was a short-term CR. The premise of the short-term CR is "let's pass this limited funding of the government to avert a shutdown while we negotiate a long-term budget deal." But of course, to do that they have to come to a deal on what short-term CR to do.

So let's consider the short-term CR as a separate negotiation, and once again ask what each side is hoping to get out of it.

Mutual Goals
temporarily fund the government for some time interval while negotiations for a long-term deal continue
CHIP (?)

Democrats
time interval: ~1 week
CHIP(?)

Republicans
time interval: 1 month
elimination of some minor Obamacare taxes


(CHIP appears in this list too because its funding runs out in the short-term)

I tried to make all of the above more or less non-partisan analysis; if anyone disagrees with any of the above characterizations, please say so, because I honestly thought that was all pretty much agreed upon.

Now here's what I think we can say factually. Republicans and Democrats together failed to come to an agreement in the negotiations for a long-term deal. They also failed to come to an agreement in the negotiations for a [b]short-term[b] deal. Without either a long-term or short-term budget deal, the government shut down.

I don't think we can say with the same factual certainty whose fault either of those failures was. I think the mistake you're making is looking at the Democrats long-term rhetoric (we need DACA as part of a deal) and juxtaposing with the Republicans short-term proposal (1 month CR with CHIP funding), and seeing it as "Republicans just want a clean CR, but Democrats won't do it without DACA." Then a vote was held on the Republicans' proposal, and Democrats opposed it, so that appeared to confirm your interpretation.

The examples that would disprove your interpretation are hypothetical, but I think they do disprove it. If, hypothetically, Mitch McConnell had in a moment of spinelessness or insanity or whatever other reason, brought a vote to amend the CR to only fund the government for 1 week, I don't know whether it would have passed, but I absolutely believe Dems would have voted for it. If the amendment passed, and in a moment of continued insanity McConnell then brought a vote for cloture on the now-shortened CR, I don't know if it would have passed, but I absolutely think the Dems would have voted for it. That behavior would be inconsistent with the attitude of "we won't do a CR unless it includes DACA."

All the reporting on the negotiations that went on last night (to my mind, at least) confirms to me this interpretation. All the haggling seemed to be over the length of the CR. Republicans were announcing that they were offering a 3-week "off-ramp" if Democrats wanted to avert a shutdown. Democrats refused. Democrats offered a deal that would expire on January 29th; Republicans refused. At one point Bob Corker said the negotiations had haggled the range down to "somewhere between the 2nd and the 8th of February."

Just like the long-term deal, we could argue about whose short-term wish list is more meritorious, or who was being more intransigent, to try to pin blame on someone for the failure to reach a deal. But I simply don't think you can factually state "the Democrats wouldn't take the Republicans' 1-month CR, so it's their fault." The Republicans were just as unwilling to accept the one-week CR. If either side had capitulated to the other's timeline, they could have averted the shutdown, so in that sense, it was entirely within both sides' power to stop it.

Forgive me for not putting in the work to make this post shorter, but really, I'd like to hear where you think I'm either mistaken or engaging in Trumpian dishonesty/denial of logic.

Edit:
On January 21 2018 12:01 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 10:13 ChristianS wrote:
On January 21 2018 08:22 Danglars wrote:
On January 21 2018 07:14 mozoku wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:33 Introvert wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:29 NewSunshine wrote:
On January 20 2018 14:27 Introvert wrote:
I find it fascinating that in 2013 it was the minority party's fault but this time we all play dumb and pretend the filibuster doesn't exist. Especially funny since Schumer objected to the motion for unanimous consent to move to a vote.

Shows how intellectually bankrupt Democrats are on shutdown politics. Republicans blamed their own party last time.

Are you really about to pretend that with Republicans in control of the House, the Senate, and the White House, the Democrats are to blame in any meaningful way? Your boys did this. Own it and hold them accountable.


Yep! One party suggested a clean bill, the other ensured it required 60 votes then didn't grant them. I'm making actual arguments while everyone here is being intellectually dishonest to an amazing extent and making vague arguments about "controlling all branches."

In previous years we would have heard about how the minority party has to make sacrifices and accept that they don't run it all. Now, that argument has disappeared. It has to be dishonesty, no one in this thread is stupid enough to try and argue it's any different, so they don't.

So have fun, the primaries will be so much more boring.

This is way back now, but want to highlight how true this is. I'm honestly sort of flabbergasted at the doublethink tbh.

Interestingly, it's not just here. The official line from Schumer appears to be "they control all three branches" while conveniently ignoring they're still unable to avoid a shutdown without Dem votes.

If someone wanted to argue DACA is worth it and shutdown politics is justified now but wasn't in 2013, I could at least disagree while understanding the argument. Instead, the suspension of reason/active ignorance feels eerily Trumpian. It's even more worrisome to me when the supposed intellectual party are willing to fall for this nonsense tbh.

And ... you prompt another wave of dishonest responses. Its Trumpian, like one party elected him and the other party elected to use his tactics.

Honest question, would you include mine among the "dishonest responses" you're referring to? I think I've been trying pretty hard to make good faith comments about this, but if people are going to assume I'm dishonest anyway I won't bother to put in the effort

That looked like an honest question and perspective (that I disagree with, but not what I was referring to). The other arguments presented for why it was really Republican's fault, and how those arguments twisted and turned (Introvert/Mozoku pair of posts) was what stood out.

Thanks, I appreciate the clarification.

This is a much more reasonable analysis than what I've seen from other posters, and I can mostly agree with it. That said, I don't see it as in conflict with what I've posted. I don't see how the the breakdown of long-term negotiations, from a funding perspective, can be blamed on Republicans. Doing so requires the assumption that DACA is somehow necessarily linked to funding. The short-term analysis is doesn't contradict what I've read, but it doesn't absolve the Democrats either. While the Democrats would have preferred a one week CR, I've seen no reason to consider a one-month CR a "poison pill." Nor do I see any issue with the majority party holding a vote on their preferred timeline instead of their opposition's. It isn't really a defensible response to shut down the government because you didn't get the timeline you wanted on the timeline.

The Dem strategy for the shutdown is this: Republicans usually are worse in generic shutdown politics because they're the small government party; they also control all three relevant chambers; their president is unpopular and widely seen as incompetent; and DACA is popular. Hence, they feel they can force a shutdown and essentially blame the Republicans to gain leverage on DACA. The optics from their perspective are fantastic.

The issue is that, in an ironic reversal of roles, the facts and truth of the matter actually lie with the Republicans on this one. This is why both parties are somewhat comfortable going into the shutdown: the Dems think they can persuade the public it's the GOP's fault with of all the circumstantial evidence, and the GOP feels it can successfully explain to the public that the Dems are the ones that actually chose the shutdown.
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
January 21 2018 08:26 GMT
#194952
On January 21 2018 13:17 m4ini wrote:
Actually 2013 is a really idiotic example.

The reason the government shut down wasn't because democrats didn't want to give in to republicans. Many republicans thought the bill would pass the house with ACA in its original form. The democrats didn't budge back then because they knew the reason that they'll shut down is not because they have an unacceptable proposal: republicans were expected to vote in favour.

The reason was that Boehner didn't pass it to the house. Boehner refused to let republicans vote on the bill that was expected to pass.

How exactly is this comparable to what's happening now?

I don't see how you think it's not comparable. Republican(s) (leadership) refused to vote for/on a funding bill that included the ACA without changes. Today, Dems refuse to vote for a funding bill that doesn't include DACA. It's not complicated.
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
January 21 2018 08:37 GMT
#194953
On January 21 2018 17:26 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 13:17 m4ini wrote:
Actually 2013 is a really idiotic example.

The reason the government shut down wasn't because democrats didn't want to give in to republicans. Many republicans thought the bill would pass the house with ACA in its original form. The democrats didn't budge back then because they knew the reason that they'll shut down is not because they have an unacceptable proposal: republicans were expected to vote in favour.

The reason was that Boehner didn't pass it to the house. Boehner refused to let republicans vote on the bill that was expected to pass.

How exactly is this comparable to what's happening now?

I don't see how you think it's not comparable. Republican(s) (leadership) refused to vote for/on a funding bill that included the ACA without changes. Today, Dems refuse to vote for a funding bill that doesn't include DACA. It's not complicated.


Was there a deal in 2013 that was blown up by the president at the last minute...over...and over? Was there an honest majority in congress for any specific changes in 2013? No but there is for DACA. A 60 vote majority would easily happen for a clean DACA bill and everyone knows it. 60 votes would NEVER happen for the healthcare changes. Was there an imminent impending deadline that forces immediate action in regards to 2013? No, but there is in 2018.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8181 Posts
January 21 2018 09:52 GMT
#194954
Morning smile:

The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24321 Posts
January 21 2018 10:57 GMT
#194955
On January 21 2018 18:52 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Morning smile:

https://twitter.com/StephenAtHome/status/954594002065678336


This actually makes me really miss Carlin.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8181 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-21 11:59:49
January 21 2018 11:58 GMT
#194956
On January 21 2018 19:57 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 18:52 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Morning smile:

https://twitter.com/StephenAtHome/status/954594002065678336


This actually makes me really miss Carlin.

He would have had a good time.. can’t make that up really.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6453 Posts
January 21 2018 12:32 GMT
#194957
On January 21 2018 08:08 Plansix wrote:
Amnesty is a word they use to stoke outrage. It implies something unfair, even those most of our families came over when there were no immigration laws or restrictions. The Dreams will have arrive the exact same way my great grandmother and grandfather did, as children.

You brought this up before when saying your ancestors were illiterate. It's not relevant because we don't live in that world now, I think you must know the sophistry when you're typing because it's so transparent, we do have laws now and breaking them is unfair both to the people who come in accordance with those laws and the citizens of the government who sets them to begin with. You are uncharacteristically romanticizing a past when there were laws for people to own people, and we wouldn't consider that fair just because it happened.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
January 21 2018 13:02 GMT
#194958
You're reading a specific argument into his general statement that isn't necessarily there; plansix could very well be pointing to immigration in the past in the context of "fairness" in the interest of complicating what "fairness" means when our country owes a great deal of its success to open and liberal immigration policies.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
January 21 2018 13:23 GMT
#194959
On January 21 2018 22:02 farvacola wrote:
You're reading a specific argument into his general statement that isn't necessarily there; plansix could very well be pointing to immigration in the past in the context of "fairness" in the interest of complicating what "fairness" means when our country owes a great deal of its success to open and liberal immigration policies.

Hole in one.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-21 13:58:37
January 21 2018 13:53 GMT
#194960
By all means correct me on the following things as I understand them (and attempt to grapple with this latest situation)

* 2013 shutdown: This came about - if I remember right - because a certain wing of the Republican GOP insisted point blank that they would not sign any bill that didn't completely defund the ACA. I vividly recall Bill O'Reilly of all people telling a Tea Party speaker that they couldn't possibly win in that situation because the ACA had been signed into law and therefore had to be funded.

* 2018 shutdown: The Dems and GOP came up with a bipartisan bill that would have sorted everything out, but for some reason it failed. I'm not sure why. Did the GOP feel they were giving up too much?

* The GOP then put forward a bill that required the Dems to accept multiple cuts to the ACA in order to keep things open. They refused, as the ACA is a hard line they don't want to budge on.

* The Dems tried to put forth an alternative, but Mitch refused to allow a vote on it. Was there something the GOP objected to in the alternative? I've not heard a take on it.

* Somewhere in this mess, Trump tweeted that he didn't support the inclusion of CHIP funding, which seems to be the one thing everyone supports? Or is that a Dem thing? Looking at the posts here, everyone seems to think CHIP funding is good.

* The Republicans still can't get everyone voting together because a few voted no. And a few Democrats voted yes, and they failed by a slim margin. If the Republicans all voted in lockstep would they have passed it, plus the Dem yes votes? Why did the nos no?

* Is DACA the big sticking point here? Or CHIP? Or the border wall? Or something entirely different? I'm genuinely trying to figure this out but the messaging is really garbled and at the moment seems to involve a lot of 'YOU DID IT' from both sides without any clear explanation of WHY whoever did what they did, did it.

* Part of the issue seems to be that the issues at foot have been getting Continuing Resolutioned for months, and some senators have had enough and want them sorted instead of having to talk about them again in another few months. Is this part of the problem?
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Prev 1 9746 9747 9748 9749 9750 10093 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 11h 32m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Liquid`TLO 195
JuggernautJason106
StarCraft: Brood War
Hyuk 235
Horang2 187
White-Ra 141
NaDa 19
Dota 2
syndereN544
NeuroSwarm102
LuMiX1
League of Legends
Doublelift5297
JimRising 485
Counter-Strike
minikerr31
Heroes of the Storm
Khaldor222
Other Games
gofns22467
summit1g7934
Grubby1627
fl0m1256
PiGStarcraft276
KnowMe167
XaKoH 155
Trikslyr48
Mew2King46
ViBE31
Nina16
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick1732
BasetradeTV99
angryscii14
[ Show 15 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• musti20045 26
• RyuSc2 24
• Adnapsc2 5
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• Azhi_Dahaki29
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• masondota21629
Other Games
• imaqtpie1068
• Shiphtur139
Upcoming Events
Sparkling Tuna Cup
11h 32m
OSC
13h 32m
Shopify Rebellion Sundays
16h 32m
Mixu vs TBD
Spirit vs TBD
Clem vs TBD
Patches Events
17h 32m
OSC
1d 1h
Afreeca Starleague
1d 11h
Soma vs Shuttle
BeSt vs Rush
WardiTV Weekly
1d 12h
Monday Night Weeklies
1d 17h
Afreeca Starleague
2 days
Leta vs ggaemo
Jaedong vs Queen
GSL
2 days
[ Show More ]
PiGosaur Cup
3 days
Kung Fu Cup
3 days
Replay Cast
4 days
The PondCast
4 days
KCM Race Survival
4 days
Escore
5 days
IntoTheTV X SOOP
5 days
CranKy Ducklings
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-09-02
PiG Sty Festival 8.0
Light Tournament 2026

Ongoing

KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 3
K-JUNGMAN
ASL Season 22
Super Anchor Qualifying S3
CSL 2026 AUTUMN (S22)
Acropolis #5
Acropolis #5 - TRS
RSL Revival: Season 6
Calamity Invitational
Big Dog Cup 2026 Div 1
BLAST Open Fall 2026
Esports World Cup 2026
Esports World Cup 2026: LCQ
BLAST Bounty Summer 2026
BLAST Bounty Summer Qual
Stake Ranked Episode 3
XSE Pro League 2026

Upcoming

Escore Tournament S3: King of Kings
Blizzard Classic Cup 2026
Acropolis #5 - GSA
Acropolis #5 - GSB
Acropolis #5 - GSC
SC4ALL II: Brood War
HSC XXX
Stellar Fest 2: Lunar Cup
SC4ALL II: StarCraft II
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
RSL Offline Finals
BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
IEM Beijing 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 5
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
1win Private Club #2
Thunderpick World Champ. '26
ESL Pro League Season 24
Stake Ranked Episode 4
1win Private Club #1
Logitech G Play Connect 2026
SL StarSeries Fall 2026
FISSURE Playground #3
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.