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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9743

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
January 20 2018 12:33 GMT
#194841
On January 20 2018 16:04 Leporello wrote:

Wait how can this happen and Trump is still crying about dems hating the military?
Neosteel Enthusiast
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21774 Posts
January 20 2018 12:34 GMT
#194842
On January 20 2018 21:33 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2018 16:04 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/mattwhouse/status/954599584063508486

Wait how can this happen and Trump is still crying about dems hating the military?

Because it now becomes a battle of spin and lies. Whoever gets blamed for the shutdown will move to end it.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18832 Posts
January 20 2018 12:58 GMT
#194843
Yep, it's all a PR game now and, for once, the Dems have the better end of it.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 20 2018 13:04 GMT
#194844
On January 20 2018 12:59 mozoku wrote:
Yes obviously the lack of meaningless symbolic votes on doomed resolutions makes it totally different this time.

Where's arbiter Zlefin he's needed? We need to know who's being the honest and sound arguer here.

EDIT: It's (un)official! Resolution was rejected!

are you actually asking for my input or just snarking? given our history I have doubts you're actually asking for my input so I'm checking before providing it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 20 2018 13:14 GMT
#194845
On January 20 2018 15:00 Vindicare605 wrote:
So how many times have the Republicans shut down the government in the last 5 years? 3?

looks to be 2 (counting this one)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_shutdowns_in_the_United_States
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9674 Posts
January 20 2018 13:57 GMT
#194846
On January 20 2018 21:34 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2018 21:33 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
On January 20 2018 16:04 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/mattwhouse/status/954599584063508486

Wait how can this happen and Trump is still crying about dems hating the military?

Because it now becomes a battle of spin and lies. Whoever gets blamed for the shutdown will move to end it.


I know this one because I learned US politics from the West Wing!
RIP Meatloaf <3
Tachion
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada8573 Posts
January 20 2018 14:14 GMT
#194847
Anyone else excited for the optics of Trump celebrating at his super ritzy inauguration anniversary party while the government is shutdown? That's gonna be delicious.
i was driving down the road this november eve and spotted a hitchhiker walking down the street. i pulled over and saw that it was only a tree. i uprooted it and put it in my trunk. do trees like marshmallow peeps? cause that's all i have and will have.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 20 2018 14:52 GMT
#194848
ok count me surprised. I REALLY thought the Democrats would give in in the end... but then they already took all of the heat they could possibly take anyways. Not like going full yolo makes it any worse for them than only going half yolo I guess.

This really comes down to who wins the message war. On the one hand we have the Democrats refusing 2 bills (last week and the one from this week that the house wanted), arguably because both were really hard to swallow for them as both would have been total surrenders without getting anything in return but you have to explain that to the people.

On the other hand you have Republicans refusing 2.5 bills as Trump kicked Graham out of his office as well as the bill from yesterday to keep at least the Military funded (as well as the super short CR but I'm not sure that counts). The military one in particular seems really hard to explain and they're banking on their voters to "understand" that they had to let the military go payless to make the Dems suffer, which would help the military in the longrun. Not that I'd agree with that, just that that would have to be the message they want, right? Or just people straight up not hearing about it in the first place. The latter seems difficult considering what they're up against though.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21774 Posts
January 20 2018 14:55 GMT
#194849
On January 20 2018 23:52 Toadesstern wrote:
ok count me surprised. I REALLY thought the Democrats would give in in the end... but then they already took all of the heat they could possibly take anyways. Not like going full yolo makes it any worse for them than only going half yolo I guess.

This really comes down to who wins the message war. On the one hand we have the Democrats refusing 2 bills (last week and the one from this week that the house wanted), arguably because both were really hard to swallow for them as both would have been total surrenders without getting anything in return but you have to explain that to the people.

On the other hand you have Republicans refusing 2.5 bills as Trump kicked Graham out of his office as well as the bill from yesterday to keep at least the Military funded (as well as the super short CR but I'm not sure that counts). The military one in particular seems really hard to explain and they're banking on their voters to "understand" that they had to let the military go payless to make the Dems suffer, which would help the military in the longrun. Not that I'd agree with that, just that that would have to be the message they want, right? Or just people straight up not hearing about it in the first place. The latter seems difficult considering what they're up against though.

I'd bet money on Fox not reporting that McConnell refused to keep the military funded.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 20 2018 15:07 GMT
#194850
sure, but everything else is going to report on it. No matter how much you're in that Fox/Breitbart/whateverelse bubble you're going to hear about it. The hardcore Trump supports will probably call it fakenews, the people somewhere in the middle though probably not?
Not like you're going to get some hardcore Trumpsupporter to admit on it being something Dear Leader might have possibly had a hand in anyways.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 20 2018 15:34 GMT
#194851
note that a few republicans did vote no, with a few dems voting yes.

one thing I can't find is who actually filed the filibuster (assuming that's the thing they needed more votes to get past, dunno if there's some more arcane rule involved)
it's also clear that the republicans have no regard for the rules and would've tossed the filibuster if it was an issue they actually wanted to win the vote on.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
January 20 2018 15:36 GMT
#194852


Democrats in the PA special Election Day say he “will not be afraid to compromise” in statement about the shutdown.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4818 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-20 15:42:52
January 20 2018 15:42 GMT
#194853
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.



"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3188 Posts
January 20 2018 15:52 GMT
#194854
On January 21 2018 00:42 Introvert wrote:
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954514004667486209
https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954603500582907904

Why are they doomed to fail exactly?
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-20 15:55:51
January 20 2018 15:53 GMT
#194855
Welcome to the game of politics, that is how it’s played. They want to get the other side to back down and that is how it is done.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-20 16:00:47
January 20 2018 15:57 GMT
#194856
On January 21 2018 00:52 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 00:42 Introvert wrote:
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954514004667486209
https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954603500582907904

Why are they doomed to fail exactly?

assuming i'm understanding their terminology right; UC = unanimous consent. There's a rule which lets the congress do stuff really fast and easily (bypassing most of their normal rules) if noone (and I mean NOONE) objects. given the circumstances, getting that is impossible.
it's generally used for minor thinsg like procedural motions on a highly popular bipartisan bill, or on tiny nothing like bills to name a federal post office after someone. it's also used to expedite some minor procedural matters as a matter of form.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3188 Posts
January 20 2018 16:12 GMT
#194857
On January 21 2018 00:57 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 00:52 ChristianS wrote:
On January 21 2018 00:42 Introvert wrote:
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954514004667486209
https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954603500582907904

Why are they doomed to fail exactly?

assuming i'm understanding their terminology right; UC = unanimous consent. There's a rule which lets the congress do stuff really fast and easily (bypassing most of their normal rules) if noone (and I mean NOONE) objects. given the circumstances, getting that is impossible.
it's generally used for minor thinsg like procedural motions on a highly popular bipartisan bill, or on tiny nothing like bills to name a federal post office after someone. it's also used to expedite some minor procedural matters as a matter of form.

I know too little about the procedural stuff to say, but why can't some of these last-minute deals be done in a way that only requires 60 votes or w/e? Most of them seem like everybody would probably support them if it came to a vote
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21774 Posts
January 20 2018 16:26 GMT
#194858
On January 21 2018 01:12 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 00:57 zlefin wrote:
On January 21 2018 00:52 ChristianS wrote:
On January 21 2018 00:42 Introvert wrote:
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954514004667486209
https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954603500582907904

Why are they doomed to fail exactly?

assuming i'm understanding their terminology right; UC = unanimous consent. There's a rule which lets the congress do stuff really fast and easily (bypassing most of their normal rules) if noone (and I mean NOONE) objects. given the circumstances, getting that is impossible.
it's generally used for minor thinsg like procedural motions on a highly popular bipartisan bill, or on tiny nothing like bills to name a federal post office after someone. it's also used to expedite some minor procedural matters as a matter of form.

I know too little about the procedural stuff to say, but why can't some of these last-minute deals be done in a way that only requires 60 votes or w/e? Most of them seem like everybody would probably support them if it came to a vote

Because procedures take time but they exist for good reasons. The shit with the tax bill where there were hand written amendments and then corrections on those amendments that no one could read should show you why that is a good thing.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-20 16:33:28
January 20 2018 16:27 GMT
#194859
On January 21 2018 01:12 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 00:57 zlefin wrote:
On January 21 2018 00:52 ChristianS wrote:
On January 21 2018 00:42 Introvert wrote:
There isn't much more to say except to warn some people so they aren't taken in.

Things like "fund military salaries!" that are introduced near the deadlinw are PR ploys, and the journalists know it.

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954514004667486209
https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/954603500582907904

Why are they doomed to fail exactly?

assuming i'm understanding their terminology right; UC = unanimous consent. There's a rule which lets the congress do stuff really fast and easily (bypassing most of their normal rules) if noone (and I mean NOONE) objects. given the circumstances, getting that is impossible.
it's generally used for minor thinsg like procedural motions on a highly popular bipartisan bill, or on tiny nothing like bills to name a federal post office after someone. it's also used to expedite some minor procedural matters as a matter of form.

I know too little about the procedural stuff to say, but why can't some of these last-minute deals be done in a way that only requires 60 votes or w/e? Most of them seem like everybody would probably support them if it came to a vote

normal bills have to go through a fair bit of process before they come to the floor; i'm not familiar with the details, but first they go to committee, committee talks about them some, amendments, multiple readings to the floor (mostly nominal readings these days); basically stuff that lets it be worked on over time.

besides, if there were a deal which could get 60 votes they would've made it already through the regular process.

these things could of course be put in as separate bills, go through regular process, and maybe be voted on. but there's a lot of ways to stall a bill and keep it from coming to an actual vote (and hence making it less clear/more debateable who's blocking it). part of the larger issue is the majority party may prevent the minority party's bills from getting to a floor vote. i'ts pretty common to do that so as sto avoid having to have officially taken a stance on something. like they don't want to it to happen, but don't want to be on record voting against it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
January 20 2018 16:28 GMT
#194860
On January 20 2018 15:28 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2018 14:48 Doodsmack wrote:
On January 20 2018 13:37 Danglars wrote:
On January 20 2018 12:06 Doodsmack wrote:

Twitter accounts linked to Russian influence operations have begun promoting the hashtag #ReleaseTheMemo.

It's a reference to a document written by Rep. Devin Nunes that purports to show abuse by the Obama administration of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.

The frequency with which the accounts have been promoting the hashtag has spiked by 233,000% over the past 48 hours, according to an analysis.

The most-shared URL has been a link to WikiLeaks' "submit" page.


www.yahoo.com

#ReleaseTheNunesDossier

We're for transparency, except if it's on the FISA warrant used against Trump, in which case it's schemes by the Russians.

Okay. I'll take the FISA application itself. Show me Hillary opposition research wasn't used to justify wiretaps on an American citizen.


The contents of the Nunes dossier are pretty much as presumptively false as the contents of the Steele dossier.

Given how much people here, like zlefin, call the Steele dossier substantially confirmed, this should be worrisome

Transparency: if you don’t like it, tell people the classified memos are false anyways. Trump-level stupidity on display.



Yes, pretend that you are not treating the Steele and Nunes dossiers very differently.
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