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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 8577

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 28 2017 17:09 GMT
#171521
On August 29 2017 02:07 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 01:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:21 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:18 brian wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:13 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:05 Broetchenholer wrote:
I am not sure if this is just due to the fact that you were not prepared for a disaster of this proportion or if there was no preparation for someting of that magnitude.
I remember the last really bad flooding in eastern germany and it was basically days and days of people fighting the dams to break. I haven't seen any coverage of people building sandsack dams.

I would find it interesting to know if that wasn't in the coverage i saw but happened or if it did not happen.

And if it did not happen, why not? I don't understand the concept of building paperhouses on faultlines, tornado zones and hurricane areas which seems to have happened here as well. Could this have been avoided if people had just tried before?


You are underestimating the amount of water they got and the amount of wind by comparing it to the German flood (which was as I recalled it due to a combination of increased melting of snow/ice and an above average downpour). Houson got more rain over the weekend than Denmark gets in 2 years (and Denmark isn't exactly known for it's dry climate as most people might now). It's damn near unfathomable how much water we are talking here.

The concept of paperhouses is a more widespread american thing and has to do with the american dream of a family house in a cul-de-sac with a white picket fence. Building cheap houses is the way to keep down housing costs. US houses are an impressive study in using space terribly.


to quote an article on my PC that i'm too lazy to find on my phone (damn work firewalls) so much rain has fallen on texas that 'you could coat the entire lower 48 in .17 inches, or the size of three pennies stacked.'

like obviously that number itself isn't impressive. but it's enough rain that you could splash around in the entire country


'in comparison to Katrina, if you took this rain and distributed it within new orleans city limits, it would be the height of a twelve story building.'


While an interesting fact I think you are not really helping any of us Europeans understanding how much water it is with your inches and pennies

The NO comparison is insane though.


There is no fighting or preparing against this much water imo. Your only option is to get out of the way and wait it out.


Do you even rebuild the city? For people who remember our conversation about housing prices in Phoenix: Fuck it, forget Houston, don't rebuild it. Just move everyone to Phoenix for half the cost.

Well you still own the land in Houston. And your job might still be there too. If everyone does that, there will quickly be no jobs in Phoenix.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
August 28 2017 17:10 GMT
#171522
On August 29 2017 02:09 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 02:07 Mohdoo wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:21 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:18 brian wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:13 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:05 Broetchenholer wrote:
I am not sure if this is just due to the fact that you were not prepared for a disaster of this proportion or if there was no preparation for someting of that magnitude.
I remember the last really bad flooding in eastern germany and it was basically days and days of people fighting the dams to break. I haven't seen any coverage of people building sandsack dams.

I would find it interesting to know if that wasn't in the coverage i saw but happened or if it did not happen.

And if it did not happen, why not? I don't understand the concept of building paperhouses on faultlines, tornado zones and hurricane areas which seems to have happened here as well. Could this have been avoided if people had just tried before?


You are underestimating the amount of water they got and the amount of wind by comparing it to the German flood (which was as I recalled it due to a combination of increased melting of snow/ice and an above average downpour). Houson got more rain over the weekend than Denmark gets in 2 years (and Denmark isn't exactly known for it's dry climate as most people might now). It's damn near unfathomable how much water we are talking here.

The concept of paperhouses is a more widespread american thing and has to do with the american dream of a family house in a cul-de-sac with a white picket fence. Building cheap houses is the way to keep down housing costs. US houses are an impressive study in using space terribly.


to quote an article on my PC that i'm too lazy to find on my phone (damn work firewalls) so much rain has fallen on texas that 'you could coat the entire lower 48 in .17 inches, or the size of three pennies stacked.'

like obviously that number itself isn't impressive. but it's enough rain that you could splash around in the entire country


'in comparison to Katrina, if you took this rain and distributed it within new orleans city limits, it would be the height of a twelve story building.'


While an interesting fact I think you are not really helping any of us Europeans understanding how much water it is with your inches and pennies

The NO comparison is insane though.

https://twitter.com/politicalhackuk/status/901831430011047936
There is no fighting or preparing against this much water imo. Your only option is to get out of the way and wait it out.


Do you even rebuild the city? For people who remember our conversation about housing prices in Phoenix: Fuck it, forget Houston, don't rebuild it. Just move everyone to Phoenix for half the cost.

Well you still own the land in Houston. And your job might still be there too. If everyone does that, there will quickly be no jobs in Phoenix.


Jobs in buildings that no longer exist though, right?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-28 17:15:11
August 28 2017 17:14 GMT
#171523
On August 29 2017 02:10 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 02:09 Plansix wrote:
On August 29 2017 02:07 Mohdoo wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:21 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:18 brian wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:13 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:05 Broetchenholer wrote:
I am not sure if this is just due to the fact that you were not prepared for a disaster of this proportion or if there was no preparation for someting of that magnitude.
I remember the last really bad flooding in eastern germany and it was basically days and days of people fighting the dams to break. I haven't seen any coverage of people building sandsack dams.

I would find it interesting to know if that wasn't in the coverage i saw but happened or if it did not happen.

And if it did not happen, why not? I don't understand the concept of building paperhouses on faultlines, tornado zones and hurricane areas which seems to have happened here as well. Could this have been avoided if people had just tried before?


You are underestimating the amount of water they got and the amount of wind by comparing it to the German flood (which was as I recalled it due to a combination of increased melting of snow/ice and an above average downpour). Houson got more rain over the weekend than Denmark gets in 2 years (and Denmark isn't exactly known for it's dry climate as most people might now). It's damn near unfathomable how much water we are talking here.

The concept of paperhouses is a more widespread american thing and has to do with the american dream of a family house in a cul-de-sac with a white picket fence. Building cheap houses is the way to keep down housing costs. US houses are an impressive study in using space terribly.


to quote an article on my PC that i'm too lazy to find on my phone (damn work firewalls) so much rain has fallen on texas that 'you could coat the entire lower 48 in .17 inches, or the size of three pennies stacked.'

like obviously that number itself isn't impressive. but it's enough rain that you could splash around in the entire country


'in comparison to Katrina, if you took this rain and distributed it within new orleans city limits, it would be the height of a twelve story building.'


While an interesting fact I think you are not really helping any of us Europeans understanding how much water it is with your inches and pennies

The NO comparison is insane though.

https://twitter.com/politicalhackuk/status/901831430011047936
There is no fighting or preparing against this much water imo. Your only option is to get out of the way and wait it out.


Do you even rebuild the city? For people who remember our conversation about housing prices in Phoenix: Fuck it, forget Houston, don't rebuild it. Just move everyone to Phoenix for half the cost.

Well you still own the land in Houston. And your job might still be there too. If everyone does that, there will quickly be no jobs in Phoenix.


Jobs in buildings that no longer exist though, right?

You do know that cities have recovered from disasters before, right? That people didn't just abandon the state and move to another area. That isn't a viable solution for however many thousands of people in that city.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-28 17:15:05
August 28 2017 17:14 GMT
#171524
An economics question, but would this give inflation just a little bit of jiggle? Especially since it is so sudden etc.

Amazon.com Inc. spent its first day as the owner of a brick-and-mortar grocery chain cutting prices at Whole Foods Market as much as 43 percent.

At the store on East 57th Street in Manhattan, organic fuji apples were marked down to $1.99 a pound from $3.49 a pound; organic avocados went to $1.99 each from $2.79; organic rotisserie chicken fell to $9.99 each from $13.99, and the price of some bananas was slashed to 49 cents per pound from 79 cents. The marked-down items had orange signs reading “Whole Foods + Amazon.” The signs listed the old price, the new price and “More to come...”.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9008 Posts
August 28 2017 17:15 GMT
#171525
On August 29 2017 02:07 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 01:26 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:21 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:18 brian wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:13 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 29 2017 01:05 Broetchenholer wrote:
I am not sure if this is just due to the fact that you were not prepared for a disaster of this proportion or if there was no preparation for someting of that magnitude.
I remember the last really bad flooding in eastern germany and it was basically days and days of people fighting the dams to break. I haven't seen any coverage of people building sandsack dams.

I would find it interesting to know if that wasn't in the coverage i saw but happened or if it did not happen.

And if it did not happen, why not? I don't understand the concept of building paperhouses on faultlines, tornado zones and hurricane areas which seems to have happened here as well. Could this have been avoided if people had just tried before?


You are underestimating the amount of water they got and the amount of wind by comparing it to the German flood (which was as I recalled it due to a combination of increased melting of snow/ice and an above average downpour). Houson got more rain over the weekend than Denmark gets in 2 years (and Denmark isn't exactly known for it's dry climate as most people might now). It's damn near unfathomable how much water we are talking here.

The concept of paperhouses is a more widespread american thing and has to do with the american dream of a family house in a cul-de-sac with a white picket fence. Building cheap houses is the way to keep down housing costs. US houses are an impressive study in using space terribly.


to quote an article on my PC that i'm too lazy to find on my phone (damn work firewalls) so much rain has fallen on texas that 'you could coat the entire lower 48 in .17 inches, or the size of three pennies stacked.'

like obviously that number itself isn't impressive. but it's enough rain that you could splash around in the entire country


'in comparison to Katrina, if you took this rain and distributed it within new orleans city limits, it would be the height of a twelve story building.'


While an interesting fact I think you are not really helping any of us Europeans understanding how much water it is with your inches and pennies

The NO comparison is insane though.

https://twitter.com/politicalhackuk/status/901831430011047936
There is no fighting or preparing against this much water imo. Your only option is to get out of the way and wait it out.


Do you even rebuild the city? For people who remember our conversation about housing prices in Phoenix: Fuck it, forget Houston, don't rebuild it. Just move everyone to Phoenix for half the cost.

Houston will be rebuilt. It's a not a flyover city and it has some history. It's not the lower 9th of New Orleans. It'll get the money and feds will prop it up. The trick is to watch how the money going into rebuilding it gets used and who the players are. The feds will contract out the work. Gotta watch to see who has ties to who in government.

I also think that this will give Houston a chance to implement some kick ass futuristic urban design if they play their hands right. But I won't hold my breath for the utopian dream.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 28 2017 17:15 GMT
#171526
Land is most of the cost of a house. And while flood repairs are quite expensive it's nowhere near the cost of abandoning a large city every time something goes to shit.

Houston will be fine. This is going to cause a lot of problems but they'll bounce back.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 28 2017 17:20 GMT
#171527
Also, insurance exists and the goverment will provide aid. They are not going to tell the people of Houston that the city isn't worth it.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-28 17:25:28
August 28 2017 17:24 GMT
#171528
On August 29 2017 02:14 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
An economics question, but would this give inflation just a little bit of jiggle? Especially since it is so sudden etc.

Show nested quote +
Amazon.com Inc. spent its first day as the owner of a brick-and-mortar grocery chain cutting prices at Whole Foods Market as much as 43 percent.

At the store on East 57th Street in Manhattan, organic fuji apples were marked down to $1.99 a pound from $3.49 a pound; organic avocados went to $1.99 each from $2.79; organic rotisserie chicken fell to $9.99 each from $13.99, and the price of some bananas was slashed to 49 cents per pound from 79 cents. The marked-down items had orange signs reading “Whole Foods + Amazon.” The signs listed the old price, the new price and “More to come...”.


Source

Probably not, because their prices are now just normal instead of insane


Also, Houston is the 4th largest city in the US. That's why you're seeing much more activity federally to save it.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
August 28 2017 17:37 GMT
#171529
On August 29 2017 02:14 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
An economics question, but would this give inflation just a little bit of jiggle? Especially since it is so sudden etc.

Show nested quote +
Amazon.com Inc. spent its first day as the owner of a brick-and-mortar grocery chain cutting prices at Whole Foods Market as much as 43 percent.

At the store on East 57th Street in Manhattan, organic fuji apples were marked down to $1.99 a pound from $3.49 a pound; organic avocados went to $1.99 each from $2.79; organic rotisserie chicken fell to $9.99 each from $13.99, and the price of some bananas was slashed to 49 cents per pound from 79 cents. The marked-down items had orange signs reading “Whole Foods + Amazon.” The signs listed the old price, the new price and “More to come...”.


Source

Food at home is ~8% of the CPI data set. Whole Foods plus Amazon is ~ 1.4% of the grocery market.
If they cut prices by 43% on average CPI would fall by ~ 0.048%.
Core inflation would change by zero, as food is not in the data set.

Only would matter if all grocers followed their discounting. They won't - average grocery store earns 1%-3% net margin. They'd close shop first.

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/relative-importance.htm
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/21/dont-worry-wal-mart-amazon-buying-whole-foods-is-just-a-drop-in-the-bucket.html
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-28 17:42:08
August 28 2017 17:38 GMT
#171530
On August 29 2017 01:57 KwarK wrote:
Here's the point of the Nazis vs BLM civil rights thing.

Suppose for a second that a hypothetical California called a state constitutional congress to amend the state constitution. And they added a line that said that the local electoral registrars had the right to disenfranchise anyone that they considered guilty of moral turpitude. And that the local electoral registrars, as a body, were comprised almost entirely by extreme left people who think that any Trump supporter is guilty of moral turpitude. And that the registrars are appointed by the system that they, and people who believe as they do, control.

xDaunt, Danglars etc would cry out that this is just asking for abuse. That the system is built to systematically disenfranchise conservatives. Now imagine that the president of that California constitutional congress actually said in his speech opening the constitutional congress that he was calling it to change the state constitution to deal with the threat of Nazis, racists, and conservatives, and forever ensure that liberal beliefs dominated in California. That in this case the naked abuse of the system is actually the stated intent for the use of the system.

Now imagine that they held a statewide referendum on the issue and that predominantly conservative parts of the state voted overwhelmingly for the new constitution, in even greater numbers than the number of registered votes in those districts. Can you imagine how they would react to that?

Well, you don't actually need to. Because that actually already happened. Only it was Alabama, not California. And it was blacks, not conservatives. And it's still being enforced. Black people are still being legally disenfranchised for life in Alabama by local electoral registrars without appeal or oversight in a system that was openly described by the author of it as a means to ensure white supremacy in the state. And Danglars already defended it as both constitutional and a state's rights issue and said that if the people of Alabama were unhappy with it then the people of Alabama who still had the franchise would surely vote against it.

This is why it's very suspicious when xDaunt, Danglars and so forth insist that nobody ever infringe upon any rights of white supremacists, not because they support white supremacists but because they'd never tolerate any kind of infringing of the rights of anyone for any reason. The status quo is not neutral, the status quo does not protect everyone's rights, the status quo is racist, and the status quo is built upon denying legal and constitutional rights to minorities.

That's what separates the right from the likes of the ACLU who will defend Nazis and the citizen children of illegal immigrants equally. When the ACLU defends Nazis people may be mad that they're doing it but nobody questions why they're doing it because it's been established by a very long track record that they defend everyone without prejudice. When the right show up to defend Nazis, not so much.

When the right stand behind their stated beliefs and support equal legal protections for every American then nobody will question why they're so eager to protect Americans who happen to be Nazis. But while they ignore millions of Americans but stand up for the rights of Nazis who happen to be Americans it's a little suspicious. If they want to be taken seriously as defenders of civil rights then they should broaden their defence to include non Nazis.

The fact that you're asserting "the right" acts uniformly as you suppose is just a testament to how your bias blinds you to the the equally prevalent legitimate complaints of the "the right."

If you didn't notice, most of the right (including his own senior administration officials) was criticizing Trump for his handling of Charlottesville. Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi was accusing a guy who is on public video yelling "F*** Neo-Nazis! F*** white supremacists!" of being a white supremacist (yeah, figure that one out) for planning a free speech rally--as if "free speech" necessarily implies "white supremacist" in the modern age. Link to previous post.

For every Sessions, Bannon, and Trump, there's a McCain, Cohn, and Tillerson that are disgusted by them. But as long as you're condoning (and willfully participating in) the broad stroking of the entire right as racists while ignoring the legitimate arguments of the non-racist right, there's never going to be a constructive discussion on either racism or free speech.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9008 Posts
August 28 2017 17:42 GMT
#171531
On Monday, 54 years after Martin Luther King Jr. delivered his famous "I have a dream" speech and less than a month after a counterprotester was killed following a demonstration by white supremacists in Charlottesville, Va., a statue of the legendary civil rights leader will be unveiled outside the Georgia State Capitol in King's hometown of Atlanta.

The state Capitol grounds are dominated by the figures from Georgia's Confederate and segregationist past, including Confederate general and alleged Ku Klux Klan leader John Brown Gordon and U.S. Sen. Richard Russell, one of the staunchest opponents to the civil rights legislation King advocated for.

"The King statue will inspire and give hope to generations to come," said longtime state Rep. Calvin Smyre, a member of the Georgia Legislative Black Caucus who helped raise money for the statue. "The day the statue memorializing [King] is unveiled will be a great day in the history of our state and nation."

The date for the unveiling was set well before the recent violence in Charlottesville, but the symbolism of the King statue has increased with moves to take down Confederate monuments across the country.

Source
I guess this is a start?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 28 2017 17:43 GMT
#171532
Every time I pass by a Whole Foods I remember that it's owned by Amazon now.

I think the market is moving to aggressively on this news though, with Kroger and Walmart losing ground to it. Personally I shop groceries primarily by convenience and this didn't make Whole Foods any closer to home. Not to mention it's not like it was a particularly enticing store to begin with.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-28 17:47:22
August 28 2017 17:46 GMT
#171533
On August 29 2017 02:38 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 01:57 KwarK wrote:
Here's the point of the Nazis vs BLM civil rights thing.

Suppose for a second that a hypothetical California called a state constitutional congress to amend the state constitution. And they added a line that said that the local electoral registrars had the right to disenfranchise anyone that they considered guilty of moral turpitude. And that the local electoral registrars, as a body, were comprised almost entirely by extreme left people who think that any Trump supporter is guilty of moral turpitude. And that the registrars are appointed by the system that they, and people who believe as they do, control.

xDaunt, Danglars etc would cry out that this is just asking for abuse. That the system is built to systematically disenfranchise conservatives. Now imagine that the president of that California constitutional congress actually said in his speech opening the constitutional congress that he was calling it to change the state constitution to deal with the threat of Nazis, racists, and conservatives, and forever ensure that liberal beliefs dominated in California. That in this case the naked abuse of the system is actually the stated intent for the use of the system.

Now imagine that they held a statewide referendum on the issue and that predominantly conservative parts of the state voted overwhelmingly for the new constitution, in even greater numbers than the number of registered votes in those districts. Can you imagine how they would react to that?

Well, you don't actually need to. Because that actually already happened. Only it was Alabama, not California. And it was blacks, not conservatives. And it's still being enforced. Black people are still being legally disenfranchised for life in Alabama by local electoral registrars without appeal or oversight in a system that was openly described by the author of it as a means to ensure white supremacy in the state. And Danglars already defended it as both constitutional and a state's rights issue and said that if the people of Alabama were unhappy with it then the people of Alabama who still had the franchise would surely vote against it.

This is why it's very suspicious when xDaunt, Danglars and so forth insist that nobody ever infringe upon any rights of white supremacists, not because they support white supremacists but because they'd never tolerate any kind of infringing of the rights of anyone for any reason. The status quo is not neutral, the status quo does not protect everyone's rights, the status quo is racist, and the status quo is built upon denying legal and constitutional rights to minorities.

That's what separates the right from the likes of the ACLU who will defend Nazis and the citizen children of illegal immigrants equally. When the ACLU defends Nazis people may be mad that they're doing it but nobody questions why they're doing it because it's been established by a very long track record that they defend everyone without prejudice. When the right show up to defend Nazis, not so much.

When the right stand behind their stated beliefs and support equal legal protections for every American then nobody will question why they're so eager to protect Americans who happen to be Nazis. But while they ignore millions of Americans but stand up for the rights of Nazis who happen to be Americans it's a little suspicious. If they want to be taken seriously as defenders of civil rights then they should broaden their defence to include non Nazis.

The fact that you're asserting "the right" acts uniformly as you suppose is just a testament to how your bias blinds you to the the equally prevalent legitimate complaints of the "the right."

If you didn't notice, most of the right (including his own senior administration officials) was criticizing Trump for his handling of Charlottesville. Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi was accusing a guy who is on public video yelling "F*** Neo-Nazis! F*** white supremacists!" of being a white supremacist (yeah, figure that one out) for planning a free speech rally--as if "free speech" necessarily implies "white supremacist" in the modern age. Link to previous post.

For every Sessions, Bannon, and Trump, there's a McCain, Cohn, and Tillerson that are disgusted by them. But as long as you're condoning (and willfully participating in) the broad stroking of the entire right as racists while ignoring the legitimate arguments of the non-racist right, there's never going to be a constructive discussion on either racism or free speech.


One of the problems is that it takes something like Charlottesville for the right to condemn racism. The State of North Carolina has been happily repressing black citizens for a long time and ramping up their efforts. And the GOP is just letting it chug along without comment. Texas has how many racist laws struck down. Like 9 or so in the last 3-5 years. And when I say racists laws, I mean that the judge called them racists.

Personally, I have would have no problem talking about the failings of each "side" on their own terms, without referencing the other party or side. I think it would be refreshing to simply make a temporary rule in the thread that "what about left/right Republicans/democrats" isn't allowed. It may stifle some lines of discussion, but maybe we lean on the same talking points to much and people need to think outside their comfort zone.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 28 2017 17:47 GMT
#171534
US intelligence officials are under pressure from the White House to produce a justification to declare Iran in violation of a 2015 nuclear agreement, in an echo of the politicisation of intelligence that led up to the Iraq invasion, according to former officials and analysts.

The collapse of the 2015 deal between Tehran, the US and five other countries – by which Iran has significantly curbed its nuclear programme in return for sanctions relief – would trigger a new crisis over nuclear proliferation at a time when the US is in a tense standoff with North Korea.

Intelligence analysts, chastened by the experience of the 2003 Iraq war, launched by the Bush administration on the basis of phoney evidence of weapons of mass destruction, are said to be resisting the pressure to come up with evidence of Iranian violations.

“Anecdotally, I have heard this from members of the intelligence community – that they feel like they have come under pressure,” said Ned Price, a former CIA analyst who also served as a national security council spokesman and special assistant to Barack Obama. “They told me there was a sense of revulsion. There was a sense of déjà vu. There was a sense of ‘we’ve seen this movie before’.”

However, Donald Trump has said he expects to declare Iran non-compliant by mid-October, the next time he is required by Congress to sign a three-monthly certification of the nuclear deal (known as the Joint Comprehensive Programme of Action, or JCPOA). And the administration is pursuing another avenue that could trigger the collapse of the deal.

David Cohen, a former deputy director of the CIA, said it was “disconcerting” that Trump appeared to have come to a conclusion about Iran before finding the intelligence to back it up.

“It stands the intelligence process on its head,” Cohen told CNN. “If our intelligence is degraded because it is politicised in the way that it looks like the president wants to do here, that undermines the utility of that intelligence all across the board.”

In another move reminiscent of the Iraq debacle, the US administration is putting pressure on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to be more aggressive in its demands to investigate military sites in Iran, just as George W Bush’s team pushed for ever more intrusive inspections of Saddam Hussein’s military bases and palaces.

The US ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, visited IAEA headquarters in Vienna to press the agency to demand visits to Iran’s military sites. Haley described IAEA inspectors as “professionals and true experts in their field”.

“Having said that, as good as the IAEA is, it can only be as good as what they are permitted to see,” Haley told reporters on her return to New York. “Iran has publicly declared that it will not allow access to military sites but the JCPOA makes no distinction between military and non-military sites. There are also numerous undeclared sites that have not been inspected yet. That’s a problem.”

Unlike the case of Iraq and the Bush administration, where there were deep divisions in the US intelligence community over the evidence for Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, there is now a general consensus among US intelligence and foreign intelligence agencies, the state department, the IAEA and the other five countries that signed the JCPOA, as well as the European Union, that there is no significant evidence that Iran has violated its obligations under the deal. Tehran scaled down its nuclear infrastructure and its nuclear fuel stockpiles soon after the deal was signed in Vienna.

However, Trump, who denigrated the agreement throughout his election campaign, has appeared determined to torpedo it.

On 17 July, the latest deadline for presidential certification of the JCPOA deal required by Congress, the announcement was postponed for several hours, while Trump’s senior national security officials dissuaded the president from a last-minute threat not to sign.

“If it was up to me, I would have had them noncompliant 180 days ago,” Trump told the Wall Street Journal on 25 July. He hinted it was his secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, who had persuaded him to certify the agreement.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43337 Posts
August 28 2017 17:49 GMT
#171535
On August 29 2017 02:38 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2017 01:57 KwarK wrote:
Here's the point of the Nazis vs BLM civil rights thing.

Suppose for a second that a hypothetical California called a state constitutional congress to amend the state constitution. And they added a line that said that the local electoral registrars had the right to disenfranchise anyone that they considered guilty of moral turpitude. And that the local electoral registrars, as a body, were comprised almost entirely by extreme left people who think that any Trump supporter is guilty of moral turpitude. And that the registrars are appointed by the system that they, and people who believe as they do, control.

xDaunt, Danglars etc would cry out that this is just asking for abuse. That the system is built to systematically disenfranchise conservatives. Now imagine that the president of that California constitutional congress actually said in his speech opening the constitutional congress that he was calling it to change the state constitution to deal with the threat of Nazis, racists, and conservatives, and forever ensure that liberal beliefs dominated in California. That in this case the naked abuse of the system is actually the stated intent for the use of the system.

Now imagine that they held a statewide referendum on the issue and that predominantly conservative parts of the state voted overwhelmingly for the new constitution, in even greater numbers than the number of registered votes in those districts. Can you imagine how they would react to that?

Well, you don't actually need to. Because that actually already happened. Only it was Alabama, not California. And it was blacks, not conservatives. And it's still being enforced. Black people are still being legally disenfranchised for life in Alabama by local electoral registrars without appeal or oversight in a system that was openly described by the author of it as a means to ensure white supremacy in the state. And Danglars already defended it as both constitutional and a state's rights issue and said that if the people of Alabama were unhappy with it then the people of Alabama who still had the franchise would surely vote against it.

This is why it's very suspicious when xDaunt, Danglars and so forth insist that nobody ever infringe upon any rights of white supremacists, not because they support white supremacists but because they'd never tolerate any kind of infringing of the rights of anyone for any reason. The status quo is not neutral, the status quo does not protect everyone's rights, the status quo is racist, and the status quo is built upon denying legal and constitutional rights to minorities.

That's what separates the right from the likes of the ACLU who will defend Nazis and the citizen children of illegal immigrants equally. When the ACLU defends Nazis people may be mad that they're doing it but nobody questions why they're doing it because it's been established by a very long track record that they defend everyone without prejudice. When the right show up to defend Nazis, not so much.

When the right stand behind their stated beliefs and support equal legal protections for every American then nobody will question why they're so eager to protect Americans who happen to be Nazis. But while they ignore millions of Americans but stand up for the rights of Nazis who happen to be Americans it's a little suspicious. If they want to be taken seriously as defenders of civil rights then they should broaden their defence to include non Nazis.

The fact that you're asserting "the right" acts uniformly as you suppose is just a testament to how your bias blinds you to the the equally prevalent legitimate complaints of the "the right."

If you didn't notice, most of the right (including his own senior administration officials) was criticizing Trump for his handling of Charlottesville. Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi was accusing a guy who is on public video yelling "F*** Neo-Nazis! F*** white supremacists!" of being a white supremacist (yeah, figure that one out) for planning a free speech rally--as if "free speech" necessarily implies "white supremacist" in the modern age. Link to previous post.

For every Sessions, Bannon, and Trump, there's a McCain, Cohn, and Tillerson that are disgusted by them. But as long as you're condoning (and willfully participating in) the broad stroking of the entire right as racists while ignoring the legitimate arguments of the non-racist right, there's never going to be a constructive discussion on either racism or free speech.

?
You completely ignored my point and instead ranted about how I was painting you all with the same brush. If you don't want to be painted with the same brush then start standing up against the civil rights abuses. At a certain point you're making my argument for me. You're more concerned with defending people on the right from being called racists than you are with civil rights abuses.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
August 28 2017 18:25 GMT
#171536
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 28 2017 18:28 GMT
#171537
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Tachion
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada8573 Posts
August 28 2017 18:29 GMT
#171538
On August 29 2017 02:47 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
US intelligence officials are under pressure from the White House to produce a justification to declare Iran in violation of a 2015 nuclear agreement, in an echo of the politicisation of intelligence that led up to the Iraq invasion, according to former officials and analysts.

The collapse of the 2015 deal between Tehran, the US and five other countries – by which Iran has significantly curbed its nuclear programme in return for sanctions relief – would trigger a new crisis over nuclear proliferation at a time when the US is in a tense standoff with North Korea.

Intelligence analysts, chastened by the experience of the 2003 Iraq war, launched by the Bush administration on the basis of phoney evidence of weapons of mass destruction, are said to be resisting the pressure to come up with evidence of Iranian violations.

“Anecdotally, I have heard this from members of the intelligence community – that they feel like they have come under pressure,” said Ned Price, a former CIA analyst who also served as a national security council spokesman and special assistant to Barack Obama. “They told me there was a sense of revulsion. There was a sense of déjà vu. There was a sense of ‘we’ve seen this movie before’.”

However, Donald Trump has said he expects to declare Iran non-compliant by mid-October, the next time he is required by Congress to sign a three-monthly certification of the nuclear deal (known as the Joint Comprehensive Programme of Action, or JCPOA). And the administration is pursuing another avenue that could trigger the collapse of the deal.

David Cohen, a former deputy director of the CIA, said it was “disconcerting” that Trump appeared to have come to a conclusion about Iran before finding the intelligence to back it up.

“It stands the intelligence process on its head,” Cohen told CNN. “If our intelligence is degraded because it is politicised in the way that it looks like the president wants to do here, that undermines the utility of that intelligence all across the board.”

In another move reminiscent of the Iraq debacle, the US administration is putting pressure on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to be more aggressive in its demands to investigate military sites in Iran, just as George W Bush’s team pushed for ever more intrusive inspections of Saddam Hussein’s military bases and palaces.

The US ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, visited IAEA headquarters in Vienna to press the agency to demand visits to Iran’s military sites. Haley described IAEA inspectors as “professionals and true experts in their field”.

“Having said that, as good as the IAEA is, it can only be as good as what they are permitted to see,” Haley told reporters on her return to New York. “Iran has publicly declared that it will not allow access to military sites but the JCPOA makes no distinction between military and non-military sites. There are also numerous undeclared sites that have not been inspected yet. That’s a problem.”

Unlike the case of Iraq and the Bush administration, where there were deep divisions in the US intelligence community over the evidence for Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, there is now a general consensus among US intelligence and foreign intelligence agencies, the state department, the IAEA and the other five countries that signed the JCPOA, as well as the European Union, that there is no significant evidence that Iran has violated its obligations under the deal. Tehran scaled down its nuclear infrastructure and its nuclear fuel stockpiles soon after the deal was signed in Vienna.

However, Trump, who denigrated the agreement throughout his election campaign, has appeared determined to torpedo it.

On 17 July, the latest deadline for presidential certification of the JCPOA deal required by Congress, the announcement was postponed for several hours, while Trump’s senior national security officials dissuaded the president from a last-minute threat not to sign.

“If it was up to me, I would have had them noncompliant 180 days ago,” Trump told the Wall Street Journal on 25 July. He hinted it was his secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, who had persuaded him to certify the agreement.


Source


This article makes it sound like a prelude to invasion given the comparisons to Iraq, but if they're found noncompliant it would just result in their sanctions relief being waived, no? Republicans love sanctioning Iran.
i was driving down the road this november eve and spotted a hitchhiker walking down the street. i pulled over and saw that it was only a tree. i uprooted it and put it in my trunk. do trees like marshmallow peeps? cause that's all i have and will have.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35164 Posts
August 28 2017 18:32 GMT
#171539
On August 29 2017 03:25 Nevuk wrote:
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/902225562533588992

Holy moly if true.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 28 2017 18:32 GMT
#171540
Honestly I really wonder how all these government agencies are allowing themselves to leak like a sieve. Comey's testimony makes me suspect that the leakage is very much top-down.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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