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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious.
I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai;
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On February 07 2014 02:41 Nyxisto wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:15 xDaunt wrote:On February 07 2014 02:04 Wolfstan wrote: I agree, the point is exactly one of my problems with the GOP, constant criticism of Dem initiatives while offering no policy compromise of their own. Completely devoid of ideas. The GOP offers plenty of ideas on energy policy. The problem is that the Democrats won't consider anything that isn't solar or wind. Besides the fact that you're blatantly ignoring my response to your "wake me up when scientists blablabla.. post" , let me explain it to you like this: Nuclear power, coal and gas are finite, they're going to be gone at some point over the next few hundred years. Solar, thermal, wind and tide energy won't. So even if you think climate change isn't happening, which is stupid, at least every sane person should understand that at some point every country needs to switch from energy sources that are dependent on fossil fuels to energy sources that are not. And the sooner we'll switch the better it will be for coming generations. Of course that would require long term decision making which US conservatives seem to be incapable off. Let's cut the bullshit. First, I didn't say climate change isn't happening. It doesn't take much to see that earth's climate has always been in a constant state of flux. The real issue is the extent to which man is contributing and whether anything can be realistically done to stop climate change, which is what I was addressing. Again, there is no one out there who reasonably claims that mankind can control -- not influence, CONTROL -- natural climate change. Second, the exhaustion of fuels for nuclear, coal, and gas power is such a ridiculously long term problem that it is not even worth considering at this point. It's not like scientists aren't trying to find something new just because these traditional sources still exist. We'll have a replacement long before we run out of fossil fuels. So yes, we can and will replace fossil fuels at some point. Let's just do it at a time when it actually makes sense to do so. For some applications and in some settings, that time is now. For the vast majority, it's not.
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On February 07 2014 02:41 Nyxisto wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:15 xDaunt wrote:On February 07 2014 02:04 Wolfstan wrote: I agree, the point is exactly one of my problems with the GOP, constant criticism of Dem initiatives while offering no policy compromise of their own. Completely devoid of ideas. The GOP offers plenty of ideas on energy policy. The problem is that the Democrats won't consider anything that isn't solar or wind. Besides the fact that you're blatantly ignoring my response to your "wake me up when scientists blablabla.. post" , let me explain it to you like this: Nuclear power, coal and gas are finite, they're going to be gone at some point over the next few hundred years. Solar, thermal, wind and tide energy won't. So even if you think climate change isn't happening, which is stupid, at least every sane person should understand that at some point every country needs to switch from energy sources that are dependent on fossil fuels to energy sources that are not. And the sooner we'll switch the better it will be for coming generations. Of course that would require long term decision making which US conservatives seem to be incapable off.
We have to wait for the technology to prove itself and as problems get solved, we will find the best way forward. Approve billions of dollars in shovel ready infrastructure with pipelines, nuclear plants and hydro dams for our energy needs now while investing in thermo, wind and solar technology for our future energy needs. I disagree with people who want to spend those billions on unproven wind and solar infrastructure while delaying and rejecting the building of pipelines and nuclear plants for our energy needs today.
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On February 07 2014 02:52 TheFish7 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious. I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai; ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4ayat8J.jpg) Just watch some picture of the earth from space at night, and see how we redefined our own earth in the last fifty years. Danglars, xDaunt & co don't need facts, because they don't care about them.
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On February 07 2014 02:57 WhiteDog wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:52 TheFish7 wrote:On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious. I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai; ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4ayat8J.jpg) Just watch some picture of the earth from space at night, and see how we redefined our own earth in the last fifty years. Danglars, xDaunt & co don't need facts, because they don't care about them. Actually, I think we care more about the facts than you do.
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On February 07 2014 03:04 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:57 WhiteDog wrote:On February 07 2014 02:52 TheFish7 wrote:On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious. I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai; ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4ayat8J.jpg) Just watch some picture of the earth from space at night, and see how we redefined our own earth in the last fifty years. Danglars, xDaunt & co don't need facts, because they don't care about them. Actually, I think we care more about the facts than you do. Ho really ? lol tell me more about it.
You read a scientific research on the subject, with hard facts about it, and you (or one your mate) respond I DON'T THINK it is relevant.
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On February 07 2014 03:05 WhiteDog wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 03:04 xDaunt wrote:On February 07 2014 02:57 WhiteDog wrote:On February 07 2014 02:52 TheFish7 wrote:On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious. I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai; ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4ayat8J.jpg) Just watch some picture of the earth from space at night, and see how we redefined our own earth in the last fifty years. Danglars, xDaunt & co don't need facts, because they don't care about them. Actually, I think we care more about the facts than you do. Ho really ? lol tell me more about it. You read a scientific research on the subject, with hard facts about it, and you (or one your mate) respond I DON'T THINK it is relevant. This is your summary of the state of the argument, and you claim to give a shit about facts? Please. Of course, this is generally how people on your side of the fence treat the other side, so I can't say that I am surprised.
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On February 07 2014 02:15 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:04 Wolfstan wrote: I agree, the point is exactly one of my problems with the GOP, constant criticism of Dem initiatives while offering no policy compromise of their own. Completely devoid of ideas. The GOP offers plenty of ideas on energy policy. The problem is that the Democrats won't consider anything that isn't solar or wind. Democrats don't consider those policies because Republicans aren't fully behind them. Half the party is still set on denial of climate change or battling environmentally conscious policy and a somewhat overlapping half is on the single goal of "dismantle government!"
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On February 07 2014 03:30 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 03:05 WhiteDog wrote:On February 07 2014 03:04 xDaunt wrote:On February 07 2014 02:57 WhiteDog wrote:On February 07 2014 02:52 TheFish7 wrote:On February 06 2014 15:30 xDaunt wrote: Let's also not forget to point out that underlying all of this is a presumption that mankind can actually control global climate change by adjusting its carbon emissions. Hilarious. I don't understand this mentality. It seems to presume that mankind's influence is too small to effect any real change on our environment. I mean mankind's influence is visible in many cases. Take a look at satellite images of deforestation, or melting glaciers, or take a plane ride to Shanghai; ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/4ayat8J.jpg) Just watch some picture of the earth from space at night, and see how we redefined our own earth in the last fifty years. Danglars, xDaunt & co don't need facts, because they don't care about them. Actually, I think we care more about the facts than you do. Ho really ? lol tell me more about it. You read a scientific research on the subject, with hard facts about it, and you (or one your mate) respond I DON'T THINK it is relevant. This is your summary of the state of the argument, and you claim to give a shit about facts? Please. Of course, this is generally how people on your side of the fence treat the other side, so I can't say that I am surprised. Please. Don't be ridiculous. You state that a) we don't know about the way the climate behave (who said the contrary ?) b) there are bigger forces than men that act on climate (who cares ?) c) men don't control climate change (and ?). And the fact that you respond to an argument with "imo" or "i don't think" says a lot about the state of the debate.
All your arguments are biased and you know it. What you really care about is the economy and the environment is, to you, secondary. So don't try to engage in an argument on the environment and just state your point of view.
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Records obtained by TPM show George Washington Bridge traffic was a major factor in recent years as local officials and developers discussed a billion-dollar real estate project in Fort Lee, N.J.
In recent weeks, some have wondered whether the project was somehow linked to lane closures on the bridge in September, which snarled traffic for days in Fort Lee and have sparked multiple investigations into the administration of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R).
The development project is a massive residential, retail and hotel development planned at the foot of the bridge. It consists of two parcels, Hudson Lights, which is being built by Tucker Development, and The Modern, a pair of residential towers proposed by Fort Lee Redevelopment Associates. Meeting minutes from the Fort Lee Planning Board show traffic on the bridge was often a topic of discussion and concern. Developers attempted to allay these fears by conducting multiple studies and simulations to analyze traffic patterns as they attempted to obtain approval for the project.
Late last year, two of Christie's appointees at the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey resigned as questions mounted about the lane closures. The scandal then reached a boiling point last month as emails became public showing Christie staffers had communicated with the Port Authority officials about the closures ahead of time.
"Traffic signalization and coordination is a big issue with this project," attorney James Demetrakis said at a Feb. 27, 2012 meeting. He was representing Fort Lee Redevelopment Associates.
The minutes obtained by TPM through a public records request showed a Port Authority official even met with Fort Lee's mayor about the project and discussed potential solutions to "reduce traffic" near the bridge. On Tuesday, Fort Lee Mayor Mark Sokolich confirmed to TPM the Port Authority official was Bill Baroni, one of the Christie appointees who resigned last year amid the growing scandal.
Source
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On February 06 2014 20:08 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On February 06 2014 12:03 Introvert wrote:On February 06 2014 11:41 oneofthem wrote:On February 06 2014 10:35 Introvert wrote:On February 06 2014 10:21 Roe wrote:On February 06 2014 09:38 Introvert wrote:I was talking about hard statistics on increasingly frequent "extreme" whether, not a bunch of predictions. The whole point of statistics in science is to make predictions... there are a bunch of studies with figures between 20-40% increased effect of extreme weather effects from a range of past time periods. all you have is 'i am aware' or 'i think' which is not very persuasive But that's not what I was asking for. Someone made the statement along the lines of "climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events." I want the hard data, not future predictions. Are extreme weather events actually happening more often? How reliably do we know this? So far as I'm aware, that claim is false. And increased effects, compared to past times? You mean they are comparing bad weather now to some event they know about from the past? That seems guesswork at best. Still doesn't contain the answer to the question I'm asking. if you actually read the abstract for the studies linked you'll see that they are indeed actually happened trends. and you've basically gone full young earth with the "seems guesswork at best." pls Don't make an absurd comparison. I'm allowed to to doubt people, especially with so much $$$ on the line. You think oil would lie to you, but the Greenies would not? pls. Besides, I think I've been rather fair. I've asked for a simple set of numbers, and no one can provide them because apparently they are unable to see the distinction I am making. I read them, and some of them said that temperatures were reaching new extremes, and some made a future prediction. They then tired to tie it in with weather. Still others tried to link particular events to Climate Change, by running more of their oh so reliable models. Point is, we've had fewer actual events (so far as we can tell due to the inability to gather sufficient data) of extreme weather, At most, you can argue it makes what events do occur worse. But that's still hard to maintain due to the lack of extreme weather, at least here in the US. I just hit something in Google and follwed a few links for this: http://www.gm.univ-montp2.fr/spip/IMG/pdf/Sabatier_QSRv2-3-1.pdfI can find a study for anything. But cold hard data says these events are NOT increasing in frequency. I don't recall anybody saying that there is currently an increase in extreme weather events, and if there is that that can be contributed to man-made global warming. However, the studies talk about probabilities, as any good study should, and the odds are against us. http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes
Farv said the following:
The extreme winter and unpredictable pressure systems in the US are a direct result of an altered climate, so they actually help indicate that global warming and the resulting climate shifts that come with that are real
While acknowledging that a single data point is no good, people are still linked extreme weather with climate change. I have finally received at least some sort of response (just on Hurricane potential). Took long enough.
It's absurd to think that we won't get over this. New things will come along, since when (at least in the country) has the idea "well it works, so it doesn't need improving" ever been the case? Lefties in this thread always take such a static view of things- they can't seem to look in the future, all they can do is moan about the present and criticize the past.
The irony is that the innovator will be some dude that makes a breakthrough and becomes super wealthy, at which point he will be hated by the left for his wealth unless he votes Democrat.
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On February 07 2014 02:52 xDaunt wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2014 02:41 Nyxisto wrote:On February 07 2014 02:15 xDaunt wrote:On February 07 2014 02:04 Wolfstan wrote: I agree, the point is exactly one of my problems with the GOP, constant criticism of Dem initiatives while offering no policy compromise of their own. Completely devoid of ideas. The GOP offers plenty of ideas on energy policy. The problem is that the Democrats won't consider anything that isn't solar or wind. Besides the fact that you're blatantly ignoring my response to your "wake me up when scientists blablabla.. post" , let me explain it to you like this: Nuclear power, coal and gas are finite, they're going to be gone at some point over the next few hundred years. Solar, thermal, wind and tide energy won't. So even if you think climate change isn't happening, which is stupid, at least every sane person should understand that at some point every country needs to switch from energy sources that are dependent on fossil fuels to energy sources that are not. And the sooner we'll switch the better it will be for coming generations. Of course that would require long term decision making which US conservatives seem to be incapable off. The real issue is the extent to which man is contributing Lol. Sure. And a 2009 US supreme court decision banned toffee candy. Or you know, not.
and whether anything can be realistically done to stop climate change, which is what I was addressing. . At this point? Probably nothing according to the latest IPCC reports. The US leadership did a pretty good job of ensuring that over the past 20 years.
On a slightly happier note, solar panel technology is now at a point where energy companies in Arizona are aggressively lobbying to tax people who install them extra.
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Norway28673 Posts
This is just depressing. I'll go through the different elements that depress me.
1: Cherrypicked science. The consensus among climate scientists that humans and in particular CO2 emissions contribute to climate change is way up there in the 90%+ rate - wayy higher than for the population as a whole.
2: The notion that somehow man-made climate change is less real because people used to refer to it as Global Warming and that the changed wording somehow indicates how volatile and insecure of a field this is and extrapolating from that, none of the science behind man made climate change has any credibility.
3: The notion that this science is unreliable because it relates to climate and we can't even predict the weather accurately two days from now. Here's the thing; climate scientists are not predicting stuff. Sometimes newspapers choose to write articles based on the worst case scenarios given by climate scientists, and I'm sure this also sometimes makes climate change activists phrase arguments that are doomsday'y in nature, but anyway. What would actually be a fitting comparison is; meteorologists make "predictions" all the time. But they do this based on probabilities, and they end up going with the one that seems more probable. But when they say it's sunny and it ended up being rainy, their model actually had a 20% chance of rain. Relating this to climate scientists, they have a 50% chance or whatever of x increase in temperature, they have a 5% chance of y change, they have 10% of z change, etc. Basically, if sun and 20 degrees weather is predicted, it never snows. Climate scientists know that temperatures will increase, but they don't know how much. Whether sea level changes and how much, whether further CO2 is emitted and how much and if that continues to accelerate the rate of "global warming", whether stuff like this ends up changing currents of gulf streams etc, that we don't know - but there are statistical probabilities.
And then when xDaunt ridicules the notion that we can "control" climate change, what the hell. People aren't claiming that. People are claiming that the more CO2 we emit, the higher is the probability of us reaching the worst case predicted scenarios. Like, we influence the climate, we know that one particular thing we do influences the climate negatively, and we know that some things we do influence the climate positively. We don't know exactly how much either actually does, but we know there is an effect. How can it be so bad then to insist that we do less of the harmful stuff and more of the beneficial stuff?
I mean I'm sure any climate denialist has encountered and been outraged by headlines like temperatures will increase by 6 degrees in the next 80 years unless we stop producing oil immediately! but that's irrelevant! Because of number 4 of my list over stuff that depresses me here;
4: People with extremist viewpoints arguing against the polar opposite extremist viewpoints to validate their own extremist viewpoints. If your point of view is that no changes need to be made regarding emissions, that no political effort should be made to move towards "greener" technology, that everything is all fine and dandy and we should increase expenditures of fossil fuels to lubricate The Economy while focusing more on nuclear technology cuz that's the future or whatever it is you are arguing, then you're not arguing against the vegan army who want us to stop cattle production, stop building roads, decrease economic output by 20%, whatever, you're also in conflict with moderate voices who just want a bit more sensibility. Personally I think we're probably fucking ourselves pretty hard and 100 years from now, climate change denial of days of yore will be one of those things humanity will look back on while muttering "how could they", but I also realize that trying to mass convert an entire population into hippies is not really plausible, so I want to give economic incentives and tax breaks etc to push towards a greener economy cause having enough money seems to be the by far highest priority of most people and thus a principle we can't abandon during policy-making.
5: The notion that climate scientists are unreliable because they are paid to be supportive of the "theory of man-made climate change". Here's a fact: Despite the enormous consensus among climate scientists, the ONLY climate scientists whose name I know of is Bjørn Lomborg. (whom isn't even denying climate change anyway, he's mostly saying that money is best spent on infrastructure rather than decreasing economic output!) If a scientist wanted global fame and wealth, disproving man-made climate change would do one hell of a lot more for him than echoing the already existing choir of scientists.
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On February 07 2014 04:31 Introvert wrote:Show nested quote +On February 06 2014 20:08 Acrofales wrote:On February 06 2014 12:03 Introvert wrote:On February 06 2014 11:41 oneofthem wrote:On February 06 2014 10:35 Introvert wrote:On February 06 2014 10:21 Roe wrote:On February 06 2014 09:38 Introvert wrote:I was talking about hard statistics on increasingly frequent "extreme" whether, not a bunch of predictions. The whole point of statistics in science is to make predictions... there are a bunch of studies with figures between 20-40% increased effect of extreme weather effects from a range of past time periods. all you have is 'i am aware' or 'i think' which is not very persuasive But that's not what I was asking for. Someone made the statement along the lines of "climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events." I want the hard data, not future predictions. Are extreme weather events actually happening more often? How reliably do we know this? So far as I'm aware, that claim is false. And increased effects, compared to past times? You mean they are comparing bad weather now to some event they know about from the past? That seems guesswork at best. Still doesn't contain the answer to the question I'm asking. if you actually read the abstract for the studies linked you'll see that they are indeed actually happened trends. and you've basically gone full young earth with the "seems guesswork at best." pls Don't make an absurd comparison. I'm allowed to to doubt people, especially with so much $$$ on the line. You think oil would lie to you, but the Greenies would not? pls. Besides, I think I've been rather fair. I've asked for a simple set of numbers, and no one can provide them because apparently they are unable to see the distinction I am making. I read them, and some of them said that temperatures were reaching new extremes, and some made a future prediction. They then tired to tie it in with weather. Still others tried to link particular events to Climate Change, by running more of their oh so reliable models. Point is, we've had fewer actual events (so far as we can tell due to the inability to gather sufficient data) of extreme weather, At most, you can argue it makes what events do occur worse. But that's still hard to maintain due to the lack of extreme weather, at least here in the US. I just hit something in Google and follwed a few links for this: http://www.gm.univ-montp2.fr/spip/IMG/pdf/Sabatier_QSRv2-3-1.pdfI can find a study for anything. But cold hard data says these events are NOT increasing in frequency. I don't recall anybody saying that there is currently an increase in extreme weather events, and if there is that that can be contributed to man-made global warming. However, the studies talk about probabilities, as any good study should, and the odds are against us. http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes Farv said the following: Show nested quote +The extreme winter and unpredictable pressure systems in the US are a direct result of an altered climate, so they actually help indicate that global warming and the resulting climate shifts that come with that are real While acknowledging that a single data point is no good, people are still linked extreme weather with climate change. I have finally received at least some sort of response (just on Hurricane potential). Took long enough. It's absurd to think that we won't get over this. New things will come along, since when (at least in the country) has the idea "well it works, so it doesn't need improving" ever been the case? Lefties in this thread always take such a static view of things- they can't seem to look in the future, all they can do is moan about the present and criticize the past. The irony is that the innovator will be some dude that makes a breakthrough and becomes super wealthy, at which point he will be hated by the left for his wealth unless he votes Democrat.
At issue in this case and the primary driver of climate change is the use of energy. If you're familiar with the principal of conservation of energy you know that energy can not change but rather can only change form. What this means is that the amount of energy at our disposal is finite. We know that markets are concerned with the distribution of limited resources. Once the markets have distributed all of the energy the price must necessarily rise and redistribution must occur and reoccur into perpetuity. The market cannot solve that problem. To make things worse, the primary way we are currently accessing our finite energy reserves is through the use of the existing stored energy on our planet which is in the form of fossil fuels. Even if some innovator comes along and allows us to completely get off of this system, we will still be limited in terms of the amount of total energy that we as a race have access to. In the meantime we continue to voraciously consume irreplaceable energy reserves which will one day no longer be available, and in the process pollute our environment in a perhaps irreversible way. It may not happen 5, or even 500 years from now, but at some point this system must change. And as long as it is more advantageous to continue to convert existing fossil fuels into energy we will continue to pollute and to expel carbon dioxide into the atmosphere causing climate change.
The issue I see is that even if we sit and wait for innovation to "solve" the problem, we will eventually still be stuck in a scenario where the available energy will become finite. Every day that passes where the status quo continues means another day where our environment degrades. Conservatives want to sit on their hands and let the problem correct itself through the market, but the market cannot create energy out of nothing and it therefore cannot correct this problem.
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I second Liquid Drone's comments.
Watching some cspan right now. We need different rules in congress. If they talked like this in court, there'd be tons of sustained objections and probably some contempt citations.
I wonder, if one of the tests to get into government is how much cspan you voluntarily watch, what would happen. At least then I could get in 
more republicans directly lying about the IRS issue.
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United States42754 Posts
Claiming "conservation of energy means the amount of energy in the system is finite so we need to conserve it" is really dumb. The earth is not a closed system. Yes, new energy doesn't come into the universe but that doesn't mean that it doesn't come into earth. Every time a plant grows it is creating new chemical energy in the earth.
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On February 07 2014 05:23 Liquid`Drone wrote: 3: The notion that this science is unreliable because it relates to climate and we can't even predict the weather accurately two days from now. Here's the thing; climate scientists are not predicting stuff. Sometimes newspapers choose to write articles based on the worst case scenarios given by climate scientists, and I'm sure this also sometimes makes climate change activists phrase arguments that are doomsday'y in nature, but anyway. What would actually be a fitting comparison is; meteorologists make "predictions" all the time. But they do this based on probabilities, and they end up going with the one that seems more probable. But when they say it's sunny and it ended up being rainy, their model actually had a 20% chance of rain. Relating this to climate scientists, they have a 50% chance or whatever of x increase in temperature, they have a 5% chance of y change, they have 10% of z change, etc. Basically, if sun and 20 degrees weather is predicted, it never snows. Climate scientists know that temperatures will increase, but they don't know how much. Whether sea level changes and how much, whether further CO2 is emitted and how much and if that continues to accelerate the rate of "global warming", whether stuff like this ends up changing currents of gulf streams etc, that we don't know - but there are statistical probabilities.
I'm not sure how these two statements jive. The whole point of climate science from a political perspective -- which is really what we're talking about -- is making predictions about the future.
And then when xDaunt ridicules the notion that we can "control" climate change, what the hell. People aren't claiming that. People are claiming that the more CO2 we emit, the higher is the probability of us reaching the worst case predicted scenarios. Like, we influence the climate, we know that one particular thing we do influences the climate negatively, and we know that some things we do influence the climate positively. We don't know exactly how much either actually does, but we know there is an effect. How can it be so bad then to insist that we do less of the harmful stuff and more of the beneficial stuff?
I'm kinda amused by how people are reacting to my "control" statement. If you acknowledge that we can't influence climate change with any kind of control or certainty, then why exactly would you propose that we undertake specific policies in pursuit of the very goal that you deem to be unrealistic?
4: People with extremist viewpoints arguing against the polar opposite extremist viewpoints to validate their own extremist viewpoints. If your point of view is that no changes need to be made regarding emissions, that no political effort should be made to move towards "greener" technology, that everything is all fine and dandy and we should increase expenditures of fossil fuels to lubricate The Economy while focusing more on nuclear technology cuz that's the future or whatever it is you are arguing, then you're not arguing against the vegan army who want us to stop cattle production, stop building roads, decrease economic output by 20%, whatever, you're also in conflict with moderate voices who just want a bit more sensibility. Personally I think we're probably fucking ourselves pretty hard and 100 years from now, climate change denial of days of yore will be one of those things humanity will look back on while muttering "how could they", but I also realize that trying to mass convert an entire population into hippies is not really plausible, so I want to give economic incentives and tax breaks etc to push towards a greener economy cause having enough money seems to be the by far highest priority of most people and thus a principle we can't abandon during policy-making.
And here's where the rubber hits the road -- the actual policy considerations. It's one thing to enact policies to encourage green energy development. However, that's not just what people on the left are using climate science to justify. They are actively using it to shut down and hinder the development of traditional sources of cheap energy. The Democrats in the US have done as much as they can possibly get away with it to limit American development of "dirty energy" sources. The consequences of what they are doing and what they are trying to do are profound. Oh, and the kicker is that when someone questions the necessity or wisdom of pursuing those policies, that person is labeled all sorts of nasty things. So who is really the extremist and where is the "sensibility" that you describe?
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http://money.msn.com/business-news/article.aspx?feed=BLOOM&date=20140206&id=17328094
Patron Saint If approved by voters, St. George, as it would be called, would be Louisiana’s fifth-largest city. Prospective residents hope its existence would provide political momentum for separate schools.
St. George would have about 100,000 residents, or a quarter of the population now governed by the combined city-parish government of Baton Rouge. It also would include much of the area’s retail and commercial development, including the Mall of Louisiana, which has more than 150 shops, among them department stores of Macy’s Inc. (M +2.24%, news) and Dillard’s Inc. (DDS +5.25%, news)
The area generates a disproportionate 40 percent of local government’s sales and use tax receipts, according to the LSU report. Removing that might mean the splintering of the unified government that now runs Baton Rouge, the researchers said.
They called the new-city method of creating a school system “costly and imprecise.”
With all the problems amalgamation of large metropolitan areas bring, secession has it's share of obstacles as well.
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On February 07 2014 05:51 KwarK wrote: Claiming "conservation of energy means the amount of energy in the system is finite so we need to conserve it" is really dumb. The earth is not a closed system. Yes, new energy doesn't come into the universe but that doesn't mean that it doesn't come into earth. Every time a plant grows it is creating new chemical energy in the earth.
That's not what I was claiming. My point is that no innovation is going to possibly come along that will allow humans to achieve some sort of energy independence within the context of the fact that it is for the foreseeable future going to be easier to burn fossil fuels than to collect it from sunlight or wind or whatever.
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