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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7194

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
JinDesu
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3990 Posts
March 24 2017 19:55 GMT
#143861
Thanks, Obama.
Yargh
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 24 2017 19:59 GMT
#143862
On March 25 2017 04:45 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 25 2017 04:21 xDaunt wrote:
With hours to go before the House is set to (finally) vote on Paul Ryan’s health-care bill, the Trump administration is putting a full-court press on recalcitrant Republicans to rally votes. Last night, the White House sent senior officials including Chief of Staff Reince Priebus, Budget Director Mick Mulvaney, and Chief Strategist Steve Bannon to Capitol Hill to deliver an ultimatum to wavering House members: Pass the bill or Trump is moving on to other priorities. The message was intended to put blame for a failed vote on Congress.

The failure to repeal and replace Obamacare would be a stinging defeat for Trump. But it would be an even bigger defeat for Paul Ryan, who has all but staked his Speakership on passing this bill. And in the hall of mirrors that is Washington, the big winner to emerge out of the health-care debacle could be Steve Bannon. That’s because Bannon has been waging war against Ryan for years. For Bannon, Ryan is the embodiment of the “globalist-corporatist” Republican elite. A failed bill would be Bannon’s best chance yet to topple Ryan and advance his nationalist-populist economic agenda.

Publicly, Bannon has been working to help the bill pass. But privately he’s talked it down in recent days. According to a source close to the White House, Bannon said that he’s unhappy with the Ryan bill because it “doesn’t drive down costs” and was “written by the insurance industry.” While the bill strips away many of Obamacare’s provisions, it does not go as far as Bannon would wish to “deconstruct the administrative state” in the realm of health care. Furthermore, Bannon has been distancing himself from the bill to insulate himself from political fallout of it failing. He’s told people that Trump economic adviser Gary Cohn — a West Wing rival — has run point on it. (Bannon did not respond to a request for comment.)

Whether or not the bill passes, Ryan has been weakened, the pro-Breitbart Freedom Caucus has been emboldened. It’s hard to see how the Republican health-care civil war hasn’t been a boon for Bannon.


Source.

Congress is not to blame for failing a vote on a shit bill. The people writing the bill are to blame for it being shit and dead before it left the committee room.

Also if Ryan stakes his speakership on this he's an idiot because everyone who looked at it declared it dead the moment they saw it.

And newsflash, healthcare is complicated, and so is its financing. To remove to 'administrative state' is to remove modern healthcare. But considering Bannon's anti-government stance, that's probably what his aim actually is.

Like I've said before, the AHCA is a good example of why the conservative movement is rotten. It also makes it more likely that Paul Ryan is actually a dunce. And Trump really shouldn't have gotten behind this bill. It was DOA when it was first unveiled a month ago. Regardless, the GOP leadership on Capitol Hill is going to bear the brunt of most of the fallout from this.

He made a quick turnaround from being cast as the more conservative member of the Romney/Ryan ticket to this Obamacare supporter. Put your names to ACA-lite or else. It was already clear that Trump was letting others fill in the policy details, so any bluster from his part would already fall flat.

Since the bill is being pulled, the GOP has the best political outcome in the wake of the blunder. No vote on trash with Trump and Ryan's endorsement. And all the campaign promises ... well we don't have the Senate and Presidency now, but put us in power and we'll get this piece of shit legislation off everyone's backs ... then open up 2016 with a super-bowl-size fumble. Now, the goal is to get another effort going with more time and discussion later this year so we know they didn't give up trying after three weeks. The next bill will still make Dems howl and then filibuster, but at least (hopefully) they've learned their lesson and it'll have majority support within the GOP and GOP voters.

But the fun times living up to campaign promises they never thought they'd have to keep are just beginning.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
March 24 2017 20:03 GMT
#143863
Kasparov who has a book on artificial intelligence coming out in May also wondering what in the world Munchin's talking about

"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
March 24 2017 20:03 GMT
#143864
So Spicer said the vote would continue a few hours ago, but now it won't? Running like a well oiled machine
Neosteel Enthusiast
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
March 24 2017 20:04 GMT
#143865
On March 25 2017 04:59 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 04:45 xDaunt wrote:
On March 25 2017 04:34 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 25 2017 04:21 xDaunt wrote:
With hours to go before the House is set to (finally) vote on Paul Ryan’s health-care bill, the Trump administration is putting a full-court press on recalcitrant Republicans to rally votes. Last night, the White House sent senior officials including Chief of Staff Reince Priebus, Budget Director Mick Mulvaney, and Chief Strategist Steve Bannon to Capitol Hill to deliver an ultimatum to wavering House members: Pass the bill or Trump is moving on to other priorities. The message was intended to put blame for a failed vote on Congress.

The failure to repeal and replace Obamacare would be a stinging defeat for Trump. But it would be an even bigger defeat for Paul Ryan, who has all but staked his Speakership on passing this bill. And in the hall of mirrors that is Washington, the big winner to emerge out of the health-care debacle could be Steve Bannon. That’s because Bannon has been waging war against Ryan for years. For Bannon, Ryan is the embodiment of the “globalist-corporatist” Republican elite. A failed bill would be Bannon’s best chance yet to topple Ryan and advance his nationalist-populist economic agenda.

Publicly, Bannon has been working to help the bill pass. But privately he’s talked it down in recent days. According to a source close to the White House, Bannon said that he’s unhappy with the Ryan bill because it “doesn’t drive down costs” and was “written by the insurance industry.” While the bill strips away many of Obamacare’s provisions, it does not go as far as Bannon would wish to “deconstruct the administrative state” in the realm of health care. Furthermore, Bannon has been distancing himself from the bill to insulate himself from political fallout of it failing. He’s told people that Trump economic adviser Gary Cohn — a West Wing rival — has run point on it. (Bannon did not respond to a request for comment.)

Whether or not the bill passes, Ryan has been weakened, the pro-Breitbart Freedom Caucus has been emboldened. It’s hard to see how the Republican health-care civil war hasn’t been a boon for Bannon.


Source.

Congress is not to blame for failing a vote on a shit bill. The people writing the bill are to blame for it being shit and dead before it left the committee room.

Also if Ryan stakes his speakership on this he's an idiot because everyone who looked at it declared it dead the moment they saw it.

And newsflash, healthcare is complicated, and so is its financing. To remove to 'administrative state' is to remove modern healthcare. But considering Bannon's anti-government stance, that's probably what his aim actually is.

Like I've said before, the AHCA is a good example of why the conservative movement is rotten. It also makes it more likely that Paul Ryan is actually a dunce. And Trump really shouldn't have gotten behind this bill. It was DOA when it was first unveiled a month ago. Regardless, the GOP leadership on Capitol Hill is going to bear the brunt of most of the fallout from this.

He made a quick turnaround from being cast as the more conservative member of the Romney/Ryan ticket to this Obamacare supporter. Put your names to ACA-lite or else. It was already clear that Trump was letting others fill in the policy details, so any bluster from his part would already fall flat.

Since the bill is being pulled, the GOP has the best political outcome in the wake of the blunder. No vote on trash with Trump and Ryan's endorsement. And all the campaign promises ... well we don't have the Senate and Presidency now, but put us in power and we'll get this piece of shit legislation off everyone's backs ... then open up 2016 with a super-bowl-size fumble. Now, the goal is to get another effort going with more time and discussion later this year so we know they didn't give up trying after three weeks. The next bill will still make Dems howl and then filibuster, but at least (hopefully) they've learned their lesson and it'll have majority support within the GOP and GOP voters.

But the fun times living up to campaign promises they never thought they'd have to keep are just beginning.

I really hope that the GOP starts wising up to how precarious of a situation that they're in. I give all of my conservative friends and family members ulcers when I start talking about the Flight 93 Election article or otherwise point out the moral and intellectual bankruptcy of the GOP. None of them has a particularly good answer for the points that I raise. Just imagine if some GOP leaders broke ranks and started actively preaching this stuff.
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
March 24 2017 20:05 GMT
#143866
On March 25 2017 05:03 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
So Spicer said the vote would continue a few hours ago, but now it won't? Running like a well oiled machine


If spicer says something is going to happen it apparently now means the opposite. this happened yesterday too. "the vote will not be delayed" vote immediately delayed.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
March 24 2017 20:11 GMT
#143867
Remember when Trump said healthcare had to go before tax reform for a variety of reasons? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

In all seriousness, Obamacare staying is best for the majority or Americans. If this also helps throw out a bunch of Republicans in 2018 then its a win win for america.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
March 24 2017 20:19 GMT
#143868
Neosteel Enthusiast
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18132 Posts
March 24 2017 20:23 GMT
#143869
So what are the chances of the GOP actually managing to put a healthcare bill together that they can all agree on? Because I can just see them at the midterms in 2018 yelling that they will definitely repeal Obamacare pinkyswear. That will work.

I can't imagine a GOP congressman trying to run in 2018 without having passed healthcare reform. Even if the new bill is a steaming pile of shit, they could spin it to look positive in some way (most effects would probably not be noticed yet), but inaction speaks for itself, right?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 24 2017 20:27 GMT
#143870
Only way I see it happening is if they siphon off a few traitors from the Democratic side onto whatever bill they pass.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
March 24 2017 20:28 GMT
#143871
small changes that everyone agrees on maybe. any type of meaningful legislation no.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
March 24 2017 20:29 GMT
#143872
On March 25 2017 05:27 LegalLord wrote:
Only way I see it happening is if they siphon off a few traitors from the Democratic side onto whatever bill they pass.


GH and I gonna lose our minds when Manchin is the deciding vote.
Azuzu
Profile Joined August 2010
United States340 Posts
March 24 2017 20:29 GMT
#143873
On March 25 2017 05:27 LegalLord wrote:
Only way I see it happening is if they siphon off a few traitors from the Democratic side onto whatever bill they pass.


It would certainly give some meaning to his ultimatum. Pass this one or else! Or else what? I appeal to Democrats instead of the freedom caucus.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21963 Posts
March 24 2017 20:29 GMT
#143874
On March 25 2017 05:23 Acrofales wrote:
So what are the chances of the GOP actually managing to put a healthcare bill together that they can all agree on? Because I can just see them at the midterms in 2018 yelling that they will definitely repeal Obamacare pinkyswear. That will work.

I can't imagine a GOP congressman trying to run in 2018 without having passed healthcare reform. Even if the new bill is a steaming pile of shit, they could spin it to look positive in some way (most effects would probably not be noticed yet), but inaction speaks for itself, right?

Since there was no vote they will claim whatever their district wants to hear, be it "I was for repeal and other people were not" or "I was against because I want to make it better for you guys".

Imo that is the big reason why it was pulled last minute rather then have a vote and see it fail like Trump appeared to want.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mysticesper
Profile Joined January 2011
United States1183 Posts
March 24 2017 20:36 GMT
#143875
Repubs just don't have the sweeping majority dems had in 2009 when they rammed ACA through the legislation, so having 34 house defectors wasn't an issue since they came out ahead by a few votes, and 60 in the senate also really helps.
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/111-2010/h165

and even that had loads of issues because moderate dems were wary of it and got smacked in 2010 for passing it. I wouldn't be surprised if the opposite happened in 2018 if this passed.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
March 24 2017 20:37 GMT
#143876
On March 25 2017 05:36 Mysticesper wrote:
Repubs just don't have the sweeping majority dems had in 2009 when they rammed ACA through the legislation, so having 34 house defectors wasn't an issue since they came out ahead by a few votes, and 60 in the senate also really helps.
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/111-2010/h165

and even that had loads of issues because moderate dems were wary of it and got smacked in 2010 for passing it. I wouldn't be surprised if the opposite happened in 2018 if this passed.


Yeah, this was pulled to help sustain their majorities.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 24 2017 20:39 GMT
#143877
On March 25 2017 05:29 Azuzu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 05:27 LegalLord wrote:
Only way I see it happening is if they siphon off a few traitors from the Democratic side onto whatever bill they pass.


It would certainly give some meaning to his ultimatum. Pass this one or else! Or else what? I appeal to Democrats instead of the freedom caucus.

Maybe after 2018. The GOP is going to try and defund planned parent hood in every bill and Democrats are not going to cave on that. Their constituents would destroy them.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
March 24 2017 20:44 GMT
#143878
No one knew just how complicated passing legislation can be.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21963 Posts
March 24 2017 20:47 GMT
#143879
On March 25 2017 05:44 farvacola wrote:
No one knew just how complicated passing legislation can be.

Trump sure didn't. He is used to business where he tells them to do something and everyone just does it.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
March 24 2017 20:51 GMT
#143880
On March 25 2017 05:47 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 05:44 farvacola wrote:
No one knew just how complicated passing legislation can be.

Trump sure didn't. He is used to business where he tells them to do something and everyone just does it.

But unlike in business, where you simply find a new contractor if you ultimatum-botched the negotiations with your old one here he will have troubles finding a new house/senate.

Also unlike in business, when you are the only boss and only responsible to yourself, and you don't care if some project simply doesn't happen because you couldn't find an agreement with your contractors... Here there might be indeed shitty consequences, especially for someone so heavily reliant on appreciation by others.
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