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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7192

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 24 2017 17:23 GMT
#143821
On March 25 2017 02:21 Krikkitone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:06 WolfintheSheep wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:03 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 01:45 JinDesu wrote:
On March 25 2017 01:38 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 01:08 KwarK wrote:
On March 25 2017 01:01 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 00:52 KwarK wrote:
On March 25 2017 00:30 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 00:08 Acrofales wrote:
[quote]

Except that if you are a person who interprets it as B, you should also accept that if you gambled wrong and didn't get insured for <insert rare disease>, and you get that disease, then you can either pay for the treatment yourself, or should just die, and not be a burden on society. Moreover, poor people who cannot afford insurance that includes coverage for rare diseases, but get those rare diseases are simply destined to die. In other words: you are a social Darwinist. If you don't accept this as an acceptable outcome of your model, then stop arguing insurance model B.

Given that most people here are assuming that lettng people die in the streets because they are poor is unacceptable in civilized society, it is very hard to justify any argument in favor of model B.


Except you won't die on the streets because you are poor. (not for healthcare)

You will be bankrupt and out on the streets, but not dead.

You can always walk into the ER and get care, and they will bill you.. if you can't pay (are poor) then you declare bankruptcy and the ER makes up the money by billing other people more.

Now some people would rather take their risks with poor health than be bankrupt... and if you are bankrupt and poor, then there is a lot of other stuff that can kill you.

The thing is there are two separate problems
1. how to make a health insurance/healthcare system that properly assigns costs
2. how to make sure the poor can pay for the minimum amount of healthcare we think they should have (since it is a minimum, society isn't going to pay for the entire population to get weekly enhanced lab tests and a personal team of nutrition and mental health consultants)

On March 25 2017 00:24 KwarK wrote:
[quote]
So, if I were a private subcontractor, like a wedding venue, who wanted to discriminate against interracial marriages you'd be cool with that? As long as my objections to interracial marriages were strongly held and religious in nature.

Divorced, sex before marriage, being a jerk etc, all not protected classes.
.


Religion is a protected class, but churches are allowed to discriminate on that basis.

A church could refuse to marry individuals because they (or one of them) profess a different religion.
(they could probably refuse other protected classes as well... I could see a religious institution that only marries men being legal... ie only men-men weddings, no woman-woman or woman-man weddings, assuming they had sincere belief to back it up.)

Churches have limited powers to discriminate on the basis of religion, such as not being forced to hire a Catholic Rabbi. In terms of hosting weddings, a lot of churches don't offer their services to the general public exactly as a way to avoid this issue. They are available only to their own congregation, like a members only club.

Doesn't really apply to the bakery, it's not a members only bakery.


Based on that last bit, then it means that no one should offer services to the public if they object to anyone.
Instead just have

"Ask about our custom wedding cakes*"
*members only...membership is free and only requires your name and approval


Which would be strange to see outside a McDonalds
*members only (membership provided when you order for free, no name required, but We reserve the right to refuse/withdraw membership for any reason)

but under that argument would protect them in case McDonalds wanted to have a "safe space Saturdays" location that didn't serve whites on Saturday.

They could have any sign they liked but if they withdrew membership expressly from members of protected classes they would run into the exact same issue.

A golf course that is open to the general public cannot discriminate against black people.

A golf course that is members only can discriminate against non members. But it can't deny membership to black people on the grounds of their race.

All you're doing is shifting the illegal discrimination from denial of service to denial of membership, it doesn't make it any more legal.

Those signs that say "management reserves the right to refuse service for any reason" don't actually trump the law. No shirt, no shoes, no service is fine because shirt wearers aren't a protected class. No shirt, non white, no service isn't fine because race is. You can put up whatever sign you like outside your store but that doesn't mean that the laws of the nation have been changed.


Then the churches with "members" run into the problem of discriminating against a protected class if they restrict members to those with certain religious beliefs.


I don't think churches work that way - they allow you to participate if you accept their religion and do the steps to become part of their religion, no? And so, people of other religions do not want to do that - because it is heresy to them.


If a non-messianic Jew or an atheist wanted to join a Christian church, then they would probably have to sign something stating they agreed with the churches believed that Jesus is God... definitely sounds like it would be discriminating against the person's religion.

(not that that would be likely to happen....but I would guess it would be illegal for a section of the KKK to exclude a black person that wanted to join, because that would be racial discrimination)

Basically the church can discriminate against your religion in membership, and so they are probably entitled to do so in other services they offer as well (especially if the services they offer have a religious nature, like weddings/funerals/etc.)

The bakers are arguing that their provision of custom wedding cakes have a religious nature. Given the fact that many people have strong religious beliefs around marriage, and that a custom made cake involves some personal involvement of the maker, that seems potentially reasonable.

As an atheist I have never been unable to walk into a church. Also have never been questioned about my religious affiliation when attending any services.

I mean, I don't know how stringent churches are in the US, but...


Walking in and attending services is very different than becoming a member.
(and buying a premade cake is somewhat different from buying a custom one)

Membership to churches is not open. Just like colleges.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 24 2017 17:25 GMT
#143822
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:27:35
March 24 2017 17:26 GMT
#143823
On March 25 2017 02:20 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Yay 35 more jobs and using Chinese steel.


also these are the people in charge right now.




I think amazon would disagree with that


Mnuchin already showed his ignorance and lack of fitness for the job he holds during his budget plan press conference. This is the icing on the cake.
Krikkitone
Profile Joined April 2009
United States1451 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:30:52
March 24 2017 17:28 GMT
#143824
On March 25 2017 02:21 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:15 LegalLord wrote:
Trump approves Keystone pipeline.

while I don't care much either way on that issue; there's a serious general issue with the lack of uh, I guess for want of a better term, stare decisis in executive decisions. stuff getting reversed back and forth constantly as the presidency changes hands isn't good for the system, it makes for inconsistent and ever-shifting law that can't be predicted well either.


That's why it ideally would be handled by laws (which as the GOP is learning is harder to switch back and forth (by design)).

and why it is interesting that if they don't change the law, the executive nonenforcement of the penalty (which isn't going to be enforced now) will cause some serious problems for Obamacare (not full death spiral because of subsidies)
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 24 2017 17:30 GMT
#143825
On March 25 2017 02:28 Krikkitone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:21 zlefin wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:15 LegalLord wrote:
Trump approves Keystone pipeline.

while I don't care much either way on that issue; there's a serious general issue with the lack of uh, I guess for want of a better term, stare decisis in executive decisions. stuff getting reversed back and forth constantly as the presidency changes hands isn't good for the system, it makes for inconsistent and ever-shifting law that can't be predicted well either.


That's why it ideally would be handled by laws (which as the GOP is learning is harder to switch back and forth (by design))

there already are laws which cover the cases; but even with laws some factual determinations need to be made by an executive; and those can be swapped by a later executive unless rules are put in place to prevent that.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1890 Posts
March 24 2017 17:32 GMT
#143826
AI and self-driving cars are going to wipe out a quarter of American jobs in the next 20 years. Are we going to transition to socialism or a universal basic income, or will the ultra-wealthy continue to clinch to their pennies like the Russian and French aristocracy right before their revolutions?
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Krikkitone
Profile Joined April 2009
United States1451 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:41:37
March 24 2017 17:33 GMT
#143827
On March 25 2017 02:30 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:28 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:21 zlefin wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:15 LegalLord wrote:
Trump approves Keystone pipeline.

while I don't care much either way on that issue; there's a serious general issue with the lack of uh, I guess for want of a better term, stare decisis in executive decisions. stuff getting reversed back and forth constantly as the presidency changes hands isn't good for the system, it makes for inconsistent and ever-shifting law that can't be predicted well either.


That's why it ideally would be handled by laws (which as the GOP is learning is harder to switch back and forth (by design))

there already are laws which cover the cases; but even with laws some factual determinations need to be made by an executive; and those can be swapped by a later executive unless rules are put in place to prevent that.


Judicial branch can determine the facts, the issue is the executive branch has taken a number of judicial functions.

On March 25 2017 02:32 LightSpectra wrote:
AI and self-driving cars are going to wipe out a quarter of American jobs in the next 20 years. Are we going to transition to socialism or a universal basic income, or will the ultra-wealthy continue to clinch to their pennies like the Russian and French aristocracy right before their revolutions?


I doubt it would be that many that fast.. true self-driving cars will probably only be first ready in 20 years.

AI overall is definitely eliminating some jobs but 25% in 20 years I would put at the fairly high end of estimates (possible, but not likely)..unless you are including churn (ie not counting new jobs). (I'd say somewhere like 10-25%)

A lot of jobs will change, more work with AI some totally replaced by radically different jobs.

Now in 50 years... I'd say probably anywhere from 25-75% makes sense, in 100 years... then I'd say 50-99.9%
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
March 24 2017 17:34 GMT
#143828
On March 25 2017 02:33 Krikkitone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:30 zlefin wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:28 Krikkitone wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:21 zlefin wrote:
On March 25 2017 02:15 LegalLord wrote:
Trump approves Keystone pipeline.

while I don't care much either way on that issue; there's a serious general issue with the lack of uh, I guess for want of a better term, stare decisis in executive decisions. stuff getting reversed back and forth constantly as the presidency changes hands isn't good for the system, it makes for inconsistent and ever-shifting law that can't be predicted well either.


That's why it ideally would be handled by laws (which as the GOP is learning is harder to switch back and forth (by design))

there already are laws which cover the cases; but even with laws some factual determinations need to be made by an executive; and those can be swapped by a later executive unless rules are put in place to prevent that.


Judicial branch can determine the facts, the issue is the executive branch has taken a number of judicial functions.

these kinds of fact-finding really aren't the purview of the judicial branch, they're very clearly part of the executive functions.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
March 24 2017 17:34 GMT
#143829
On March 25 2017 02:32 LightSpectra wrote:
AI and self-driving cars are going to wipe out a quarter of American jobs in the next 20 years. Are we going to transition to socialism or a universal basic income, or will the ultra-wealthy continue to clinch to their pennies like the Russian and French aristocracy right before their revolutions?


Eventually things get violent. It might end up coming to that. It will not surprise me when certain states outlaw some specific technology because the state needs time to adapt to 100K people losing their jobs as soon as ___ comes out.
Trainrunnef
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States599 Posts
March 24 2017 17:37 GMT
#143830
On March 25 2017 02:34 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:32 LightSpectra wrote:
AI and self-driving cars are going to wipe out a quarter of American jobs in the next 20 years. Are we going to transition to socialism or a universal basic income, or will the ultra-wealthy continue to clinch to their pennies like the Russian and French aristocracy right before their revolutions?


Eventually things get violent. It might end up coming to that. It will not surprise me when certain states outlaw some specific technology because the state needs time to adapt to 100K people losing their jobs as soon as ___ comes out.


Wisconsin i believe is already doing that with an anti wind power bill, though I am not sure if it already passed.
I am, therefore I pee
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 24 2017 17:38 GMT
#143831
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:41:03
March 24 2017 17:39 GMT
#143832
Tried hard? He basically just supported Ryan's plan. And he's giving up.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35162 Posts
March 24 2017 17:40 GMT
#143833
On March 25 2017 02:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/845327746637148161

Does this mean we can get him a participation trophy?
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:45:35
March 24 2017 17:44 GMT
#143834


also found this interesting

"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 17:45:17
March 24 2017 17:45 GMT
#143835
On March 25 2017 02:39 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Tried hard? He basically just supported Ryan's plan. And he's giving up.

He tried so hard
And got so far
But in the end
Nobody knew that healthcare could be so complicated
Neosteel Enthusiast
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1890 Posts
March 24 2017 17:59 GMT
#143836
Trump isn't giving up. This is a strategy straight from his book The Art of the Deal. If you pretend like negotiations are over and this is your last chance, some people will scramble back to the table and sign. And it looks like it worked since many Republicans planning to vote "No" have switched to "Yes" today.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Blisse
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada3710 Posts
March 24 2017 18:00 GMT
#143837
On March 25 2017 02:45 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2017 02:39 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Tried hard? He basically just supported Ryan's plan. And he's giving up.

He tried so hard
And got so far
But in the end
Nobody knew that healthcare could be so complicated


I know it's beating a dead horse but it's so ridiculous that this is the president.

Trump: 'I can’t be doing so badly, because I’m president and you’re not'

“I’m a very instinctual person, but my instinct turns out to be right,” Trump told Time’s Washington bureau chief Michael Scherer in an interview conducted Wednesday and published Thursday morning. “I tend to be right. I’m an instinctual person, I happen to be a person that knows how life works.”


http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/trump-time-interview-truth-236404
There is no one like you in the universe.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 18:08:15
March 24 2017 18:05 GMT
#143838
On March 25 2017 02:59 LightSpectra wrote:
Trump isn't giving up. This is a strategy straight from his book The Art of the Deal. If you pretend like negotiations are over and this is your last chance, some people will scramble back to the table and sign. And it looks like it worked since many Republicans planning to vote "No" have switched to "Yes" today.

a fairly standard negotiating strategy in general.
of course it's also the case that what people say they'll do and what they'll actually do when it comes time to it differs;
and each congressperson has to decide which vote is gonna hurt them more. if something is expected to fail it's less of a risk to vote for it then if there was a chance it'd actually become law.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
March 24 2017 18:06 GMT
#143839
On March 25 2017 02:59 LightSpectra wrote:
Trump isn't giving up. This is a strategy straight from his book The Art of the Deal. If you pretend like negotiations are over and this is your last chance, some people will scramble back to the table and sign. And it looks like it worked since many Republicans planning to vote "No" have switched to "Yes" today.

"I'm going to take $5,500 yearly from your pocket."
"No."
"It's a good deal."
"No it's not."
"Just take it."
"No."
"It's your last chance to take my offer."
"Okay.

If this is what the negotiation looks like, you've managed to elect the dumbest politicians imaginable.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-24 18:23:34
March 24 2017 18:15 GMT
#143840
John Lewis from Georgia has quite the passion. He just held a sick speech about fighting this bill with every bone in his body.

So i'm casually listening to this debate but both Democrats and Republicans are only talking about their people having problems with healthcare. Nobody is defending the 1 trillion dollar taxcut for the rich. So why is it there? Why not make the ACA better without more money to the rich. Why not solve these problems that Obamacare apparently has without removing so much funds from poor people.
Neosteel Enthusiast
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