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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 21:25:37
February 14 2017 21:25 GMT
#137421
The Trump Whitehouse issues a tough-on-Russia statement the same day a national security advisor resigns on suspicions of being compromised by the Russians.

"Never a likelihood."

lol, how summarily unconvincing.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44190 Posts
February 14 2017 21:25 GMT
#137422
On February 15 2017 05:52 brian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 05:27 KwarK wrote:
The answer is pretty simple. The Republicans think better to betray the country than the party. The President's National Security Adviser being a designated a national security risk, and the fact that the President knowingly kept him included in matters of national security despite knowing this, is apparently a partisan issue.


**--there is obviously no evidence to support this:
occam's razor leads me to believe that he didn't get canned due to his security risk to the nation but that instead he's the near-president source. this easy explanation, imo, explains all of the inconsistencies in all the stories. and why it's a partisan issue.

????
Which part do you not have evidence for? Yates told McGahn that Flynn was a security risk.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/justice-department-warned-white-house-that-flynn-could-be-vulnerable-to-russian-blackmail-officials-say/2017/02/13/fc5dab88-f228-11e6-8d72-263470bf0401_story.html?utm_term=.f921c544e890
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22459 Posts
February 14 2017 21:25 GMT
#137423
On February 15 2017 06:20 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
U.S. President Donald Trump made it clear he expects Russia to return Crimea to Ukraine and reduce violence in Ukraine, White House spokesman Sean Spicer said on Tuesday.

"President Trump has made it very clear that he expects the Russian government to de-escalate violence in the Ukraine and return Crimea," Spicer said at a daily news briefing. "At the same time, he fully expects to and wants to get along with Russia."

Source

So, as I was saying a few days ago: no detente with Russia is going to happen. It was never a likelihood.

No, its Spicer in damage control mode because the National Security Advisor just had to step down over illegal actions with Russia

Also lets see how Trump responds to Russia breaking that Cruise missile agreement held up since the Cold war.
Actions > words.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 21:28:31
February 14 2017 21:26 GMT
#137424
The Trump White House seems to really blow at actually doing paperwork, about on par with Trump's campaign. Here's the official letter saying they haven't taken the proper steps to register their chastisement of Conway's "commercial" for Ivanka, which was Chaffetz-style posted online by the Dems in the House oversight committee.

I really can see why some of his past projects crumbled if nobody on the team actually crosses the t's and dots the i's. This is probably part of why there are so many leaks, nobody knows who knows what or who is responsible for what.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 14 2017 21:33 GMT
#137425
On February 15 2017 06:26 TheTenthDoc wrote:
The Trump White House seems to really blow at actually doing paperwork, about on par with Trump's campaign. Here's the official letter saying they haven't taken the proper steps to register their chastisement of Conway's "commercial" for Ivanka, which was Chaffetz-style posted online by the Dems in the House oversight committee.

I really can see why some of his past projects crumbled if nobody on the team actually crosses the t's and dots the i's. This is probably part of why there are so many leaks, nobody knows who knows what or who is responsible for what.

I like how that letter contributes to the narrative that all of Trump's inner circle are at each other's throats. And we're only in week 4 of ~200.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 14 2017 21:34 GMT
#137426
On February 15 2017 06:20 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
U.S. President Donald Trump made it clear he expects Russia to return Crimea to Ukraine and reduce violence in Ukraine, White House spokesman Sean Spicer said on Tuesday.

"President Trump has made it very clear that he expects the Russian government to de-escalate violence in the Ukraine and return Crimea," Spicer said at a daily news briefing. "At the same time, he fully expects to and wants to get along with Russia."

Source

So, as I was saying a few days ago: no detente with Russia is going to happen. It was never a likelihood.

this is all part of managing the appearances. the willingness to craft messaging not to express your beliefs or positions but to achieve certain effects.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 14 2017 21:38 GMT
#137427
On February 15 2017 06:34 oneofthem wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 06:20 LegalLord wrote:
U.S. President Donald Trump made it clear he expects Russia to return Crimea to Ukraine and reduce violence in Ukraine, White House spokesman Sean Spicer said on Tuesday.

"President Trump has made it very clear that he expects the Russian government to de-escalate violence in the Ukraine and return Crimea," Spicer said at a daily news briefing. "At the same time, he fully expects to and wants to get along with Russia."

Source

So, as I was saying a few days ago: no detente with Russia is going to happen. It was never a likelihood.

this is all part of managing the appearances. the willingness to craft messaging not to express your beliefs or positions but to achieve certain effects.

It's a fairly weighty statement. The folk over in the Ukraine are already quivering with anticipation for the kind of support they will ultimately get.

I mean, they will be disappointed, but either Trump makes weighty statements lightly for the sake of deflecting criticism or it's a policy shift. Could be either, considering Trump is nothing if not capricious.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 14 2017 21:44 GMT
#137428
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 21:46:14
February 14 2017 21:44 GMT
#137429
This all assumes that Trump understands our relationship to Russia and has the vaguest idea how to address it. Because my bet is that he does not. If he wants them to back off in the Ukraine, he needs to give up the ghost of working out a better NATO deal(Like that is a thing that could happen).
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 14 2017 21:47 GMT
#137430
On February 15 2017 06:44 oneofthem wrote:
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.

Meh, for all my criticism of the tee-pee-pee I have to say it's pretty stupid to simultaneously withdraw from that deal and then take a hawkish stance on China.

The result is just going to be that everyone hates you.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 14 2017 21:49 GMT
#137431
On February 15 2017 06:47 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 06:44 oneofthem wrote:
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.

Meh, for all my criticism of the tee-pee-pee I have to say it's pretty stupid to simultaneously withdraw from that deal and then take a hawkish stance on China.

The result is just going to be that everyone hates you.

This will likely be the legacy of the Trump presidency. Most of our allies got burned hard under Bush. We don’t get the benefit of the doubt the second time around.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11922 Posts
February 14 2017 21:56 GMT
#137432
On February 15 2017 06:49 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 06:47 LegalLord wrote:
On February 15 2017 06:44 oneofthem wrote:
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.

Meh, for all my criticism of the tee-pee-pee I have to say it's pretty stupid to simultaneously withdraw from that deal and then take a hawkish stance on China.

The result is just going to be that everyone hates you.

This will likely be the legacy of the Trump presidency. Most of our allies got burned hard under Bush. We don’t get the benefit of the doubt the second time around.


Yeah, at this point it seems like when doing any treaties with the US, one needs to keep in mind that your government goes completely mad every 8 years.
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 22:09:32
February 14 2017 22:05 GMT
#137433
I hope the former navy seal gets in to nsc advisor (harward). Apparently the guy was a distinguished seal, and is highly respected by people in the military and Mattis. These are the best types of people we can rely on in this time of Russian infiltration. Going to just assume Flynn was an exception and nutcase.
Question.?
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 22:11:09
February 14 2017 22:10 GMT
#137434
As long as it isn't Patreus. I have to hope picking two consecutive ex-generals that were fired for stupid crap would be too much, even for Trump.
OuchyDathurts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States4588 Posts
February 14 2017 22:15 GMT
#137435
Well Flynn was the third person he's had to fire because of flagrant Russian ties so I don't believe Trump knows the definition of "too much" in all honesty. As long as we're clearing out the NSC after only 3 weeks can we get Bannon out of there yet?
LiquidDota Staff
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28863 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 22:19:54
February 14 2017 22:19 GMT
#137436
On February 15 2017 06:49 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 06:47 LegalLord wrote:
On February 15 2017 06:44 oneofthem wrote:
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.

Meh, for all my criticism of the tee-pee-pee I have to say it's pretty stupid to simultaneously withdraw from that deal and then take a hawkish stance on China.

The result is just going to be that everyone hates you.

This will likely be the legacy of the Trump presidency. Most of our allies got burned hard under Bush. We don’t get the benefit of the doubt the second time around.


To be fair, I've noticed a difference in mentality among Norwegians. Hate towards america(ns) was more common during the bush years (specifically caused by the invasion of Iraq), now it's more an amalgamation of disappointment, pity and disbelief. So far, Trump has not actually made any mistakes even approaching the magnitude of the Iraq invasion (in terms of consequence, not stupidity), and nowadays, very few Americans speak openly on the internet about their support for Trump; most people express the same disappointment and disbelief, some argue that Hillary was sufficiently hard place-like that they had no choice but to go for the crock, and then only like 5-10% of Americans I encounter online actually display rage-inducing RIK-ignorance.

Go back to the invasion of Iraq and I was arguing with people I perceived as completely sane who thought it seemed like the right thing to do - I hardly saw american voices that were vocal in their opposition to it. (At least during the build-up.) That made me go like, fuck you guys. Now I feel like much more like you guys are my lost brethren and I just gotta hold your hand for the next 4 years, be supportive, hope stuff ends up less painful than I fear, and also, I feel genuine hope and excitement because I see so many people who used to be apathetic towards politics who suddenly have become very engaged. I'm certain there are places on the internet that would drive me absolutely insane, but at least within my bubble, you guys are super sympathetic.
Moderator
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
February 14 2017 22:36 GMT
#137437
I'd love if Trump just cleared house of Bannon, Priebus, Conway but that is just a pipe dream.
Question.?
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
February 14 2017 22:43 GMT
#137438
On February 15 2017 07:36 biology]major wrote:
I'd love if Trump just cleared house of Bannon, Priebus, Conway but that is just a pipe dream.

i'd love if pence would hurry up and clear house of trump
but it's too early for that. likely going to take a few months at least before it's time for that.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-14 22:52:16
February 14 2017 22:51 GMT
#137439
On February 15 2017 07:19 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2017 06:49 Plansix wrote:
On February 15 2017 06:47 LegalLord wrote:
On February 15 2017 06:44 oneofthem wrote:
it's kind of like saying 'we'll be tough on china' while cutting off all the allies who could help you on china.

they are giving away leverage positions while stating the opposite to make calling them out on it harder.

Meh, for all my criticism of the tee-pee-pee I have to say it's pretty stupid to simultaneously withdraw from that deal and then take a hawkish stance on China.

The result is just going to be that everyone hates you.

This will likely be the legacy of the Trump presidency. Most of our allies got burned hard under Bush. We don’t get the benefit of the doubt the second time around.


To be fair, I've noticed a difference in mentality among Norwegians. Hate towards america(ns) was more common during the bush years (specifically caused by the invasion of Iraq), now it's more an amalgamation of disappointment, pity and disbelief. So far, Trump has not actually made any mistakes even approaching the magnitude of the Iraq invasion (in terms of consequence, not stupidity), and nowadays, very few Americans speak openly on the internet about their support for Trump; most people express the same disappointment and disbelief, some argue that Hillary was sufficiently hard place-like that they had no choice but to go for the crock, and then only like 5-10% of Americans I encounter online actually display rage-inducing RIK-ignorance.

Go back to the invasion of Iraq and I was arguing with people I perceived as completely sane who thought it seemed like the right thing to do - I hardly saw american voices that were vocal in their opposition to it. (At least during the build-up.) That made me go like, fuck you guys. Now I feel like much more like you guys are my lost brethren and I just gotta hold your hand for the next 4 years, be supportive, hope stuff ends up less painful than I fear, and also, I feel genuine hope and excitement because I see so many people who used to be apathetic towards politics who suddenly have become very engaged. I'm certain there are places on the internet that would drive me absolutely insane, but at least within my bubble, you guys are super sympathetic.

The Iraq war is like this open wound we don’t talk about, so it just festers. My brother served in it, thought it was stupid, got a whole bunch of PTSD and now lives with his dog. He dislikes Obama for pulling out of the war, but also freely admits it was unwinnable and bad. He is mad about the lack of veteran support for his troops and one of his guys just committed suicide. But yet he can’t seem to blame the Republicans for holding up everything in congress for 6 years. Just as long as they give lip service to vets come election time, he is all for that party.

And after all of that, he still voted for Trump because he “couldn’t deal with another Democrat screwing with the armed services. Against every discussion we had leading up to the election. And now he doesn’t understand why my wife was pissed at him because he basically voted to fuck up her healthcare. Its like this distorted unreality we can't escape.

Iraq is the worst because we all got played and no one was held accountable. The Democrats just wanted to save the economy and the Republicans just wanted to ignore it. No one wants to pay for it, no one wants to talk about it. Our services members suffer from it. But let’s watch American Sniper for the 50th time so we can try to feel better about that disaster.

I'm glad the people around you are not completely feed up with the US. For the since 9/11 we have either fucked shit up completely or our congress decided to do literally nothing but watch after we elected Obama.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 14 2017 22:52 GMT
#137440
As insane as what Trump is doing appears, it's pretty consistent with the confused and unwieldy reality of the general American approach to the world right now. Bush's presidency saw a rather consequential manifestation of the results of hawkish behavior, Obama saw an attempt to gradually pull back (which ended up quite unsuccessful), and Trump represents the nationalist/populist/protectionist view of the US. At the end of four years Hillary would have most likely just been another Hollande, who would bumble through keeping the status quo while doing little to give it long-term staying power. Trump may make enemies and degrade the status of the US abroad, but it was just a matter of time until that came to pass.

Keep in mind our political system is in a hopeless perpetual gridlock. So are the other countries of Europe where populists gain traction but they aren't quite at this level yet. Any actions by Trump, good or bad, are going to be perceived by quite a lot of Democrats as the ultimate evil. There is no illusion of cooperation anymore.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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