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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 681

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
corumjhaelen
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
France6884 Posts
December 02 2013 17:39 GMT
#13601
The glory of Newton obviously didn't come from predicting the movement of planets, you silly.
Also let's skip a few steps and get to Feyerabend and throw potatoes at each other.
‎numquam se plus agere quam nihil cum ageret, numquam minus solum esse quam cum solus esset
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18132 Posts
December 02 2013 17:54 GMT
#13602
On December 03 2013 02:39 corumjhaelen wrote:
The glory of Newton obviously didn't come from predicting the movement of planets, you silly.
Also let's skip a few steps and get to Feyerabend and throw potatoes at each other.

Feyerabend throws the baby out with the bath water. But if you want to discuss this, I think we should take it to the philosophy thread, rather than the politics one
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 02 2013 18:00 GMT
#13603
BOSTON (AP) — Pro-marijuana activists in Massachusetts have already succeeded in paving the way for dozens of medical marijuana dispensaries and decriminalizing possession of small amounts of the drug.

Now many of those same activists have set their sights on the full legalization of marijuana for adults, effectively putting the drug on a par with alcohol and cigarettes.

And those activists — as they have in the past — are again hoping to make their case directly to voters.

The group Bay State Repeal says it’s planning to put the proposal on the state’s 2016 ballot. The group is first planning to test different versions of the measure by placing nonbinding referendum questions on next year’s ballot in about a dozen state representative districts.

Those nonbinding questions are intended to gauge voter support for possible variations of the final, binding question.

Bill Downing, a member of Bay State Repeal, said the state should legalize marijuana for many reasons, especially since the use of marijuana no longer carries the stigma it once did and many people smoke the drug despite laws against it.

‘‘That’s the problem with the marijuana laws,’’ Downing said. ‘‘There’s no moral impact anymore because the laws don’t reflect our common values.’’

The activists have some reason to be hopeful. Not only have Massachusetts voters twice supported past efforts to ease restrictions on marijuana, but other states and cities have also recently moved toward lifting prohibitions on the drug.

Last year, voters made Washington and Colorado the first states to legalize the sale of taxed marijuana to adults over 21 at state-licensed stores.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 02 2013 18:48 GMT
#13604
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?

Frankly, it took all his focus on tax cuts with blue dog Democrats to even get that done. It was Congressional spending under the Democrats that was responsible for the debt more than even the growth in military spending. You can't win them all as a president.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 02 2013 19:34 GMT
#13605
About 100,000 people signed up for health insurance through Obamacare's troubled online federal exchange last month even as government contractors raced to revamp the website, Bloomberg News reported.

An anonymous person familiar with the website's progress told Bloomberg that about 100,000 customers successfully selected a plan in November, roughly four times more than the amount of sign-ups in October. That number represents a steady increase in sign-ups, the person said, although the final enrollment numbers were still being calculated.

The White House announced Sunday that it met its goal of "having a system that will work smoothly for the vast majority of users." The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services said that 50,000 users can now access the federal exchange simultaneously.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mindcrime
Profile Joined July 2004
United States6899 Posts
December 02 2013 21:38 GMT
#13606
On December 03 2013 03:48 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?

Frankly, it took all his focus on tax cuts with blue dog Democrats to even get that done. It was Congressional spending under the Democrats that was responsible for the debt more than even the growth in military spending. You can't win them all as a president.


factually untrue
That wasn't any act of God. That was an act of pure human fuckery.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-02 22:30:22
December 02 2013 22:12 GMT
#13607
On December 03 2013 02:14 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 01:39 Acrofales wrote:
The scientific method isn't founded on experiments, it is founded on falsifiable hypotheses. And even that is only part of the equation. I suggest everybody here starts reading up on the philosophy of science before spouting pseudoscientific drivel here.


Sorry but this is just outright delusional. The "Method of Falsification" a la Popper you are proposing here is not the standard scientific approach. In medicine you are not trying to prove that a drug isn't working, you are trying to prove that it is. At CERN physicists are not trying to prove that the Higg's Boson doesn't exist, they're collecting enough data so they can be pretty sure it does. Experiments and empirical verification are the core idea of every "hard science". Please show me a scientific field where that is not the case.(You made your point pretty clear, so please prove me wrong and don't expect me to provide any evidence here for my statements )
Show nested quote +

Germany is not an example of supply side again, Germany is one of the most hypocritical country ever. They actually invested a lot in their economy, their debt GDP ratio before the crisis was bigger than most EU countries, they had (have) a big investment program in green energy and in the reconstruction of Berlin. Not to mention the euro was greatly helping them (low inflation rate in other european countries, with high inflation in Germany, an euro underevaluated for them and overevaluated for the rest of the euro, there is a piece on Krugman blog about that http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/11/12/germanys-lack-of-reciprocity/).

If you want to find supply side economy, find someone who make tax cut and deregulation in a period of growth, like Bush, and see the result.


Sorry but the part about German investments is just outright wrong. Our rates of investment were constantly 4-5% below OECD average for the last decade. And the Euro helping us or being in a recession hasn't really anything to do with supply side economics. If you lower taxes and deregulate your markets during a recession it's still supply-side policy and doesn't magically become the opposite. (Or please show me a definition of said policy where it says:"It only is supply side economics if you do it while your economy is booming and your currency sucks". Although i slowly get the impression that your personal definition seems to be "It can't be supply side economics if it works")

I'm just saying you argue that Germany has done supply side economics and it worked, while what made German policy work is : the euro and its impacts, and the global hypocrisy of the german economy.

It's not a proof that "supply side economy works" it is just a proof that being hypocritical and having a big advantage thanks to a currency that destroy southern countries is good for your economy, period.

Now if you want to know if supply side works, you need an economic context that is more or less "normal" so that you can really assess the impact of the said economic policy without interferences : and that is the bush administration.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
December 02 2013 22:53 GMT
#13608
On December 03 2013 07:12 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 02:14 Nyxisto wrote:
On December 03 2013 01:39 Acrofales wrote:
The scientific method isn't founded on experiments, it is founded on falsifiable hypotheses. And even that is only part of the equation. I suggest everybody here starts reading up on the philosophy of science before spouting pseudoscientific drivel here.


Sorry but this is just outright delusional. The "Method of Falsification" a la Popper you are proposing here is not the standard scientific approach. In medicine you are not trying to prove that a drug isn't working, you are trying to prove that it is. At CERN physicists are not trying to prove that the Higg's Boson doesn't exist, they're collecting enough data so they can be pretty sure it does. Experiments and empirical verification are the core idea of every "hard science". Please show me a scientific field where that is not the case.(You made your point pretty clear, so please prove me wrong and don't expect me to provide any evidence here for my statements )

Germany is not an example of supply side again, Germany is one of the most hypocritical country ever. They actually invested a lot in their economy, their debt GDP ratio before the crisis was bigger than most EU countries, they had (have) a big investment program in green energy and in the reconstruction of Berlin. Not to mention the euro was greatly helping them (low inflation rate in other european countries, with high inflation in Germany, an euro underevaluated for them and overevaluated for the rest of the euro, there is a piece on Krugman blog about that http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/11/12/germanys-lack-of-reciprocity/).

If you want to find supply side economy, find someone who make tax cut and deregulation in a period of growth, like Bush, and see the result.


Sorry but the part about German investments is just outright wrong. Our rates of investment were constantly 4-5% below OECD average for the last decade. And the Euro helping us or being in a recession hasn't really anything to do with supply side economics. If you lower taxes and deregulate your markets during a recession it's still supply-side policy and doesn't magically become the opposite. (Or please show me a definition of said policy where it says:"It only is supply side economics if you do it while your economy is booming and your currency sucks". Although i slowly get the impression that your personal definition seems to be "It can't be supply side economics if it works")

I'm just saying you argue that Germany has done supply side economics and it worked, while what made German policy work is : the euro and its impacts, and the global hypocrisy of the german economy.

It's not a proof that "supply side economy works" it is just a proof that being hypocritical and having a big advantage thanks to a currency that destroy southern countries is good for your economy, period.

Now if you want to know if supply side works, you need an economic context that is more or less "normal" so that you can really assess the impact of the said economic policy without interferences : and that is the bush administration.
You must be trolling...
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
December 03 2013 00:25 GMT
#13609
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?


No, I'm saying that American capital reaped profits from the rest of the world, which had its tariffs and other capital barriers torn down, and the capital surplus in the US allowed domestic (local) unemployment to decrease, even as global growth rates declined in the 80s. Everyone just assumes Reaganomics creates growth because the US and the UK to some extent showed growth, but the entire world showed a relative decline in growth.

Average global growth rate in the 60s was around 3.4%, and declined to 2.4% in the troubled 70s, but declined even further to 1.4% and 1.1% for the 80s and 90s, despite the US, and later, China and India doing well. Yes, global poverty went down, but that is due almost entirely to China and India.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
December 03 2013 00:53 GMT
#13610
On December 03 2013 09:25 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?


No, I'm saying that American capital reaped profits from the rest of the world, which had its tariffs and other capital barriers torn down, and the capital surplus in the US allowed domestic (local) unemployment to decrease, even as global growth rates declined in the 80s. Everyone just assumes Reaganomics creates growth because the US and the UK to some extent showed growth, but the entire world showed a relative decline in growth.

Average global growth rate in the 60s was around 3.4%, and declined to 2.4% in the troubled 70s, but declined even further to 1.4% and 1.1% for the 80s and 90s, despite the US, and later, China and India doing well. Yes, global poverty went down, but that is due almost entirely to China and India.

Interesting. Could you clarify if you mean that Reaganomics / neoliberalism resulted in faster relative US growth at the expense of growth outside of the US? And if so could you elaborate on what that mechanism was?
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 03 2013 02:37 GMT
#13611
On December 03 2013 06:38 Mindcrime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 03:48 Danglars wrote:
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?

Frankly, it took all his focus on tax cuts with blue dog Democrats to even get that done. It was Congressional spending under the Democrats that was responsible for the debt more than even the growth in military spending. You can't win them all as a president.

factually untrue

In order to get the budget passed, you have to pick your fights, pay the political cost pushing through reductions in wasteful spending. The man fought a belligerent communist regime and punitive taxes (70% top rate) and the worst economy since the great depression (thanks Carter). He brought unemployment down from ~7.7% pre-cuts to ~5.8%, part of which was growth at the expense of deficits. Revenue growth was higher in his 1980s with low taxes than the high-tax 1970s. Successes upon successes.

You might have to step back from an examination of what actually got passed through Congress to see the following. His economic thought involved minimizing the deficit with cuts in spending, but he needed the Democratic Congress to authorize his defense buildup and go along with the tax cuts that he was actively selling the American people. The price for this was agreement with the Democrat's domestic spending desires. In an alternate universe without a communist power to oppose, I have no doubt his energies and political power could've been exercised profitably in the deficit area. Long-term, the booming economy from his 1980s management were the only thing that made the 1990s surpluses possible (add in defense savings from having won the Cold War as well here if you wish).
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Roe
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Canada6002 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-12-03 03:22:52
December 03 2013 03:19 GMT
#13612
On December 03 2013 03:00 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
BOSTON (AP) — Pro-marijuana activists in Massachusetts have already succeeded in paving the way for dozens of medical marijuana dispensaries and decriminalizing possession of small amounts of the drug.

Now many of those same activists have set their sights on the full legalization of marijuana for adults, effectively putting the drug on a par with alcohol and cigarettes.

And those activists — as they have in the past — are again hoping to make their case directly to voters.

The group Bay State Repeal says it’s planning to put the proposal on the state’s 2016 ballot. The group is first planning to test different versions of the measure by placing nonbinding referendum questions on next year’s ballot in about a dozen state representative districts.

Those nonbinding questions are intended to gauge voter support for possible variations of the final, binding question.

Bill Downing, a member of Bay State Repeal, said the state should legalize marijuana for many reasons, especially since the use of marijuana no longer carries the stigma it once did and many people smoke the drug despite laws against it.

‘‘That’s the problem with the marijuana laws,’’ Downing said. ‘‘There’s no moral impact anymore because the laws don’t reflect our common values.’’

The activists have some reason to be hopeful. Not only have Massachusetts voters twice supported past efforts to ease restrictions on marijuana, but other states and cities have also recently moved toward lifting prohibitions on the drug.

Last year, voters made Washington and Colorado the first states to legalize the sale of taxed marijuana to adults over 21 at state-licensed stores.


Source


I whole heartedly accept the liberal arguments for legalization, but I have to admit that deep down inside I can't shake my disgust for people that do it, and this reinforces my will to keep it criminal. I also fear that they will indeed put marijuana on the level of cigarettes, which means you'll have douchebags on the street blowing not just arsenic and tar derivatives in your face but mental state changing gases as well.

On December 03 2013 01:39 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 01:26 Roe wrote:
On December 02 2013 20:03 Crushinator wrote:
On December 02 2013 10:20 Roe wrote:
...What? No scientist worth anything would say correlation proves a causal relationship. And nothing meaningful ever comes from correlational studies either.


All statistics are correlational in nature. Correlation does not prove causation, but correlation along with correction for confounding factors and a solid theory about how A causes B, does provide evidence for causation. Inference from correlation is pretty much the basis of all empirical evidence in the social sciences, and the only way to test a hypothesis.

When confronted with statistical evidence, no scientist worth a damn would go "correlation doesnt equal causations" becasuse that is incredibly infantile.


No, but they wouldn't be publishing conclusive studies of the nature we were talking about either. When looking at correlations/statistics, a scientist would simply shrug because it obviously wasn't an experiment and isn't proving anything meaningful.

This is absolute nonsense. Pick up a book on ethnography, or any other methodology that relies on careful observation of the environment (using either qualitative or quantitative methods) rather than controlled experiments.

There is only a small subset of humanities, law, and economics that can realistically conduct controlled experiments. And even other areas like biology rely largely on observation in a natural environment, rather than some controlled setting. Not to mention cosmology, where "experiments" are fundamentally impossible.

The scientific method isn't founded on experiments, it is founded on falsifiable hypotheses. And even that is only part of the equation. I suggest everybody here starts reading up on the philosophy of science before spouting pseudoscientific drivel here.


Why are you assuming that "ethnography" and other humanities need experiments, or have scientifically meaningful results, or are even scientific? So I don't see where the nonsense is, and I don't see it in absolute form.
tomatriedes
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
New Zealand5356 Posts
December 03 2013 05:41 GMT
#13613
http://www.upworthy.com/every-war-on-drugs-myth-thoroughly-destroyed-by-a-retired-police-captain?g=2&c=ufb1

This video makes some great points about drug legalization. You can 100% hate drugs and still be in favor of legalization. Drugs are a public health issue just like tobacco and alcohol and the harmful aspects of them should be countered in classrooms, treatment centers, health campaigns and eradication of poverty rather than the futile war which can never be won, the war that does nothing but enrich criminals and doom hundreds of thousands to long-term incarceration effectively ending any chance of them becoming productive members of society.



aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
December 03 2013 06:14 GMT
#13614
Correlation hints at causation, but is by no means definite proof. If you've ever solved systems of equations or done any (linear) algebra, you'd see the mathematics behind the whole "correlation doesn't prove causation." Given enough data, however, you can build a case for correlation/causation pairs within a certain confidence interval. That confidence interval is key, and if it can't be established then correlation is less and less likely a sign of causation.
Mindcrime
Profile Joined July 2004
United States6899 Posts
December 03 2013 06:14 GMT
#13615
On December 03 2013 11:37 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 06:38 Mindcrime wrote:
On December 03 2013 03:48 Danglars wrote:
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?

Frankly, it took all his focus on tax cuts with blue dog Democrats to even get that done. It was Congressional spending under the Democrats that was responsible for the debt more than even the growth in military spending. You can't win them all as a president.

factually untrue

In order to get the budget passed, you have to pick your fights, pay the political cost pushing through reductions in wasteful spending. The man fought a belligerent communist regime and punitive taxes (70% top rate) and the worst economy since the great depression (thanks Carter). He brought unemployment down from ~7.7% pre-cuts to ~5.8%, part of which was growth at the expense of deficits. Revenue growth was higher in his 1980s with low taxes than the high-tax 1970s. Successes upon successes.

You might have to step back from an examination of what actually got passed through Congress to see the following. His economic thought involved minimizing the deficit with cuts in spending, but he needed the Democratic Congress to authorize his defense buildup and go along with the tax cuts that he was actively selling the American people. The price for this was agreement with the Democrat's domestic spending desires. In an alternate universe without a communist power to oppose, I have no doubt his energies and political power could've been exercised profitably in the deficit area. Long-term, the booming economy from his 1980s management were the only thing that made the 1990s surpluses possible (add in defense savings from having won the Cold War as well here if you wish).


Yeah, who gives a shit if Reagan requested more spending than Congress authorized; democrats made him do it.

and who gives a shit about glasnost and perestroika when you have fucking star wars, amirite?
That wasn't any act of God. That was an act of pure human fuckery.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 03 2013 06:50 GMT
#13616
WASHINGTON -- While most Americans like the idea of drug testing for welfare recipients, they LOVE the idea of drug testing for members of Congress.

According to a new HuffPost/YouGov poll, 64 percent of Americans favor requiring welfare recipients to submit to random drug testing -- a measure pushed by Republican lawmakers in recent years -- while 18 percent oppose it. But an even stronger majority said they're in favor of random drug testing for members of Congress, by a 78 percent to 7 percent margin. Sixty-two percent said they "strongly" favor drug testing for congressional lawmakers, compared to only 51 percent who said the same of welfare recipients.

The House of Representatives passed legislation this year that would allow states to require food stamp recipients to pee in cups to prove they're not on drugs. In 2012, Republicans pushed for drug testing of people seeking unemployment insurance benefits when they lose their jobs. At the state level, GOP lawmakers across the country have sought drug testing for an array of safety net programs. (Politicians sometimes refer to means-tested government benefits in general as "welfare," although the term is more commonly a nickname for the relatively small Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program.)

Democrats have frequently suggested that if drug tests are good for people getting a hand from the government, then they're good for people running the government, too. Republicans usually don't go along with that idea -- the Kansas state legislature is one recent exception -- but voters heartily approve.

While drug testing for both welfare recipients and lawmakers received support across party lines in the new poll, the congressional proposal was the one more likely to bring Americans together. Eighty-six percent of Republicans, 77 percent of Democrats and 75 percent of independents said they want drug testing for members of Congress.

Republicans felt especially strongly about drug testing of welfare recipients, with 87 percent favoring it and only 9 percent opposed. Among Democrats, 50 percent favored and 28 percent opposed drug testing of welfare recipients, while independents were in favor by a 64 percent to 16 percent margin.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 03 2013 07:48 GMT
#13617
On December 03 2013 15:14 Mindcrime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 11:37 Danglars wrote:
On December 03 2013 06:38 Mindcrime wrote:
On December 03 2013 03:48 Danglars wrote:
On December 03 2013 01:09 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On December 02 2013 13:09 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
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Reagan steps into office, and in his first two years unemployment skyrockets.

+ Show Spoiler +
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Reagan starts spending shitloads of money, oil prices drop precipitously, and the US/UK/IMF force deregulations on the rest of the world in order to make it a friendlier environment for American capital, and suddenly unemployment in the United States starts going down.

I can see why you would be confused as to what causes what.

Unemployment went up early in his first term because the Fed raised interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation. That caused a rough recession and sparked the S&L financial crisis. After, stagflation had ended.

Reagan did spend a lot, though some of that was due to high interest rates on the debt.

You'll have to explain how you think making the rest of the world friendlier for US capital lowered the unemployment rate in the US. Are you making a free trade argument?

Frankly, it took all his focus on tax cuts with blue dog Democrats to even get that done. It was Congressional spending under the Democrats that was responsible for the debt more than even the growth in military spending. You can't win them all as a president.

factually untrue

In order to get the budget passed, you have to pick your fights, pay the political cost pushing through reductions in wasteful spending. The man fought a belligerent communist regime and punitive taxes (70% top rate) and the worst economy since the great depression (thanks Carter). He brought unemployment down from ~7.7% pre-cuts to ~5.8%, part of which was growth at the expense of deficits. Revenue growth was higher in his 1980s with low taxes than the high-tax 1970s. Successes upon successes.

You might have to step back from an examination of what actually got passed through Congress to see the following. His economic thought involved minimizing the deficit with cuts in spending, but he needed the Democratic Congress to authorize his defense buildup and go along with the tax cuts that he was actively selling the American people. The price for this was agreement with the Democrat's domestic spending desires. In an alternate universe without a communist power to oppose, I have no doubt his energies and political power could've been exercised profitably in the deficit area. Long-term, the booming economy from his 1980s management were the only thing that made the 1990s surpluses possible (add in defense savings from having won the Cold War as well here if you wish).


Yeah, who gives a shit if Reagan requested more spending than Congress authorized; democrats made him do it.

and who gives a shit about glasnost and perestroika when you have fucking star wars, amirite?

As I said ... wait did you read it? Or perhaps you'd like to identify the spending you opposed? I know winning the cold war isn't a high priority for you; appeasement was always the better idea. I don't know if there was other non-defense spending you opposed during his years that you can assert was a Reagan idea. Make that Bush-era spending stamp stick if you can lick it hard enough, I won't stop you.

And who really gives a shit about glasnost and perestroika, period? Do you? I'm sure had your position been interposed with Gorbachev you wouldn't have been impacted by SDI.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18132 Posts
December 03 2013 11:25 GMT
#13618
On December 03 2013 12:19 Roe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2013 01:39 Acrofales wrote:
On December 03 2013 01:26 Roe wrote:
On December 02 2013 20:03 Crushinator wrote:
On December 02 2013 10:20 Roe wrote:
...What? No scientist worth anything would say correlation proves a causal relationship. And nothing meaningful ever comes from correlational studies either.


All statistics are correlational in nature. Correlation does not prove causation, but correlation along with correction for confounding factors and a solid theory about how A causes B, does provide evidence for causation. Inference from correlation is pretty much the basis of all empirical evidence in the social sciences, and the only way to test a hypothesis.

When confronted with statistical evidence, no scientist worth a damn would go "correlation doesnt equal causations" becasuse that is incredibly infantile.


No, but they wouldn't be publishing conclusive studies of the nature we were talking about either. When looking at correlations/statistics, a scientist would simply shrug because it obviously wasn't an experiment and isn't proving anything meaningful.

This is absolute nonsense. Pick up a book on ethnography, or any other methodology that relies on careful observation of the environment (using either qualitative or quantitative methods) rather than controlled experiments.

There is only a small subset of humanities, law, and economics that can realistically conduct controlled experiments. And even other areas like biology rely largely on observation in a natural environment, rather than some controlled setting. Not to mention cosmology, where "experiments" are fundamentally impossible.

The scientific method isn't founded on experiments, it is founded on falsifiable hypotheses. And even that is only part of the equation. I suggest everybody here starts reading up on the philosophy of science before spouting pseudoscientific drivel here.


Why are you assuming that "ethnography" and other humanities need experiments, or have scientifically meaningful results, or are even scientific? So I don't see where the nonsense is, and I don't see it in absolute form.


I don't even know what this means, or what you're arguing. Are you trying to say that there is no science to be done in humanities? Or that ethnography is a flawed methodology? Or what?

Either way, it is explained better in my subsequent longer post. But dismissing all scientific methodologies that don't rely on controlled experiments to gather their data is dangerously stupid.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
December 03 2013 15:45 GMT
#13619
Associated Industries of Massachusetts survey finds huge variability in health insurance premium changes under 'Obamacare'

... AIM is conducting a survey of its members to determine the effect of the Affordable Care Act on insurance premiums for those businesses that must renew their plans in January, the first time parts of the the new law will be in effect. The group will conduct an additional survey in March, since many small businesses renew their premiums in April.

So far, the group has received 101 responses from businesses buying insurance in the small group market. Although the number is too small for a scientific sample, it does provide some early indication of what businesses will see going forward.

Of those, Geehern said, 59 percent of businesses are seeing their premiums increase, 27 percent are seeing their premiums decrease and 14 percent are seeing their premiums remain flat. Since health insurance premiums typically increase every year, the most notable thing about the results is how variable those changes are.

All of those who saw their premiums decrease saw drops of less than 9 percent, Geehern said. The increases were more variable.

Among all respondents, 27 percent saw their premiums increase by less than 9 percent; 17 percent increased between 10 and 19 percent; 13 percent increased between 20 and 29 percent; and 2 percent increased between 30 and 49 percent.

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Link

Get your Obamacare paws off of my Romneycare!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 03 2013 17:06 GMT
#13620
House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) dodged a question Tuesday about whether the GOP will bring up a legislative alternative to Obamacare for a vote in 2014.

"We'll see," he said.

At a press briefing in the Capitol, Boehner swiped the Affordable Care Act and called for "patient-centered" solutions to health care.

"When you look at Obamacare which is a government-centered health care delivery system, that's not what the American people want," he said. "The American people want to be able to pick their own type of health insurance. They want to be able to pick their own doctor. They want to be able to pick their own hospital. That's what a patient-centered system looks like."


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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