• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 19:29
CEST 01:29
KST 08:29
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
Serral wins EWC 202532Tournament Spotlight: FEL Cracow 202510Power Rank - Esports World Cup 202580RSL Season 1 - Final Week9[ASL19] Finals Recap: Standing Tall15
Community News
[BSL 2025] H2 - Team Wars, Weeklies & SB Ladder8EWC 2025 - Replay Pack4Google Play ASL (Season 20) Announced40BSL Team Wars - Bonyth, Dewalt, Hawk & Sziky teams10Weekly Cups (July 14-20): Final Check-up0
StarCraft 2
General
The GOAT ranking of GOAT rankings Tournament Spotlight: FEL Cracow 2025 Classic: "It's a thick wall to break through to become world champ" Firefly given lifetime ban by ESIC following match-fixing investigation Serral wins EWC 2025
Tourneys
Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament Sea Duckling Open (Global, Bronze-Diamond) TaeJa vs Creator Bo7 SC Evo Showmatch FEL Cracov 2025 (July 27) - $10,000 live event Esports World Cup 2025
Strategy
How did i lose this ZvP, whats the proper response
Custom Maps
External Content
Mutation # 484 Magnetic Pull Mutation #239 Bad Weather Mutation # 483 Kill Bot Wars Mutation # 482 Wheel of Misfortune
Brood War
General
BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ Which top zerg/toss will fail in qualifiers? 2025 Season 2 Ladder map pool Google Play ASL (Season 20) Announced Flash Announces (and Retracts) Hiatus From ASL
Tourneys
[ASL20] Online Qualifiers Day 1 [Megathread] Daily Proleagues Small VOD Thread 2.0 [BSL] Non-Korean Championship - Final weekend
Strategy
Muta micro map competition Does 1 second matter in StarCraft? Simple Questions, Simple Answers [G] Mineral Boosting
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread Beyond All Reason Total Annihilation Server - TAForever [MMORPG] Tree of Savior (Successor of Ragnarok)
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Vanilla Mini Mafia TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread US Politics Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Canadian Politics Mega-thread Stop Killing Games - European Citizens Initiative
Fan Clubs
INnoVation Fan Club SKT1 Classic Fan Club!
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread [\m/] Heavy Metal Thread Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece Korean Music Discussion
Sports
2024 - 2025 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 NBA General Discussion
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Gtx660 graphics card replacement Installation of Windows 10 suck at "just a moment" Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
TeamLiquid Team Shirt On Sale The Automated Ban List
Blogs
The Link Between Fitness and…
TrAiDoS
momentary artworks from des…
tankgirl
from making sc maps to makin…
Husyelt
StarCraft improvement
iopq
Socialism Anyone?
GreenHorizons
Eight Anniversary as a TL…
Mizenhauer
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 578 users

US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6450

Forum Index > Closed
Post a Reply
Prev 1 6448 6449 6450 6451 6452 10093 Next
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-19 23:20:23
December 19 2016 23:20 GMT
#128981
On December 20 2016 07:35 LegalLord wrote:
Trump just hit 270. The Nevertrumper failure is complete.


I wouldn't really call it a failure for people who were realistic. It's the most faithless electors for president since 1872.

Also Faith Spotted Eagle is now tied with Clinton for being one of the first women to receive a presidential electoral vote.
Logo
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
December 19 2016 23:24 GMT
#128982
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 03:29 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:08 Doodsmack wrote:
I think there was plenty of disdain and hate for the war at all times, as well as multiple rationales before it started. Most of the war's supporters now don't want to touch it with a ten foot pole, because history is not treating it well. The argument that the war was well-conceived to begin with is a convenient out for those who were originally supporters.

Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.


Yes, occupation is more expensive than not occupying. And being that the argument presented for the Iraq War was not an occupation but simply a disarming of the people in power, it did in 2 weeks what the intended plan was for Libya failed to do in the span of 4 years.

And, just like I said, it wasn't until the goal posts started getting shoved further and further as the plan got changed further and further that Iraq became a quagmire. Had the US simply showed up in Libya, spent 2 weeks retaking the capital, and then give the land to the rebel forces after they decimated the Libyan army, then Libya would have been where it is now but 4 years sooner and for a LOT LOT cheaper. But instead we simply spent years throwing random rockets and random targets with the hopes that the rebel forces would get their act together. End result was thousands dying for no reason and both sides of the conflicting at war for 4 years what should have been lasting a month.

EDIT

Don't get me wrong, I think Iraq was shit, I think the whole thing was shit, I think that people were presented with a scary enough threat that many felt forced to do something about it. A kind of "ignorance is bliss but now that I know how I can I not do something" hero complex.

The two options for why it got extended are both awful. Either we got into a quagmire that was too horrible to leave because too many people would die (and die they did when we left) or some homicidal elites in our leadership decided they enjoyed having children bleed on foreign soil. It really doesn't matter to me which one of those two bullshit possibilities dragged Iraq longer than the month needed to realize they either couldn't find WMDs or couldn't find proof of WMDs.

You understand that in both your Iraq and Syria scenario your basically creating the ISIS Kalifaat for them right?

If you fuck up Iraq and then leave ISIS takes it over entirely instead of the resistance offered now. Dito for Syria where the 'moderate' rebels probably wouldn't have held out.
So instead of spending the money on an Iraq occupation and a Syria stalemate you create a 2 country state of radical Islam who hate the West.

I really don't see how this is an improvement.

Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:08 Doodsmack wrote:
I think there was plenty of disdain and hate for the war at all times, as well as multiple rationales before it started. Most of the war's supporters now don't want to touch it with a ten foot pole, because history is not treating it well. The argument that the war was well-conceived to begin with is a convenient out for those who were originally supporters.

Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.

I don't think that worked out. For one, they created ISIS, which is going to be problematic for years to come (first taste was when they entered Mosul and forced further US involvement). Second, the US credibility in the region seems to have gone down the shitter with the rise of ISIS and the effect is felt all around the world with the refugee crisis, increase in terrorism, and populist movements all over Europe and in the US. Third of all, the "bleed each other dry" part sort of went out the window when Russia entered into the scene. As I linked in the other thread, Hezbollah became stronger from Syrian cooperation, Iran seems to have gained a lot (including security agreements with both Russia and China), Assad gets the best chance he's had in years to consolidate power, and Russia has spent an absolutely trivial amount (alternative, newer but possibly more biased source) in Syria, and in fact a third of what the US has spent since 2014 on containing ISIS.

Maybe that was the goal, but it seems to have failed, like most of the other US interventions in the area. Much of the reason is that the US military just doesn't know how to keep costs down.

ISIS forming in the wake of the Iraq withdraw is a failure 100%. My resource draining stalemate solution is for how to deal with ISIS existing without a 2nd invasion (unacceptable to the US people).

-At that point you either bomb them into submission, they go underground and terror cells ruin everyones day.
-You don't intervene and hope they don't win but with Russia not in the picture yet at this point there is a big chance ISIS does win.
-You prolong the conflict to drain resources and keep their focus away from US soil terrorism.

I believe they took the 3e option and while it has resulted in the refugees crisis thats a problem for Europe and not the US who are safely far away. And again while Europe had some terrorist attacks (While they claim ISIS allegiance I wonder how many of these attacks were actually being orchestrated but ISIS itself) the US has been pretty safe from them.

When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US. I'm still kinda convinced its the best of the options available tho at the time. In hindsight staying entirely out of it and letting Russia fix it with Assad might have been a better solution.

And yes I agree with your final point that the US military is horribly cost inefficient and using high tech expensive to operate equipment when cheaper options would be just as successful.


I think what happened with Iraq was that they showed up without thinking things through, saw the possibility of an ISIS, and then get caught unable to fucking leave because their choice was eternal conflict versus creating an ISIS.

But you are once again conflating hindsight and foresight and are trying to see the initial invasion of iraq as an occupation strategy when it was everything but. It was seeing weapons that needed to be eliminated, and then withdrawing once it was eliminated. Had that been the actual plan we stuck to and just left once we figured out there were no WMDs to get rid of--then everything would end up like the first Iraq war where we showed up, killed soldiers, left Sadam in power, let thousands die to his regime, and be happy westerners reaping the benefits of ignorance.

Instead we showed up, saw no objectives, change the objectives, and then dug in. We fucked up big time.

The current policy we have where we literally just kill people for pleasure for no tactical gain is literally the worst of all worlds option. Because now its a fuck up as plan A as opposed to a fuck up as plan C.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-19 23:44:20
December 19 2016 23:44 GMT
#128983
Efforts made by groups like the anti-Trump Hamilton Electors to sway the Electoral College vote to a more moderate candidate have dominated the media landscape this week, but so far most of the surprise “faithless electors” to emerge out of today’s Electoral College vote have been Democrats choosing not to vote for Hillary Clinton.

Clinton will not be receiving 4 of the 12 electoral votes in Washington state, despite winning there. Three of the electors cast their vote for former Republican Secretary of State Colin Powell.

The other faithless elector cast their vote for Standing Rock activist and tribe leader Faith Spotted Eagle. Before Standing Rock, Spotted Eagle has devoted her life to fighting for environmental justice for Native American communities as well as healing and shepherding the women within these communities.

While the motives behind this vote have not been reported, Clinton was heavily criticized during her campaign for being largely silent about the human rights abuses perpetrated on the Dakota Pipeline protesters by mercenaries and heavily-armed police, saying only that “all of the parties involved…need to find a path forward that serves the broadest public interest. As that happens, it’s important that on the ground in North Dakota, everyone respects demonstrators’ rights to protest peacefully and workers’ rights to do their jobs safely.”

Minnesota elector and former Bernie Sanders delegate Muhammad Abdurrahman also said that he would not vote for Clinton, and was replaced by somebody who would in accordance with state law.

A similar incident occurred in Maine, where elector David Bright attempted to vote for Sanders but was compelled to vote for Clinton by state law.

Bright wrote in a Facebook post why he wanted to vote for Sanders:

“I cast my vote for Bernie Sanders not out of spite, or malice, or anger, or as an act of civil disobedience. I mean no disrespect to our nominee. I cast my vote to represent thousands of Democratic Maine voters – many less than a third my age – who came into Maine politics for the first time this year because of Bernie Sanders…

“So I cast my Electoral College vote for Bernie Sanders today to let those new voters who were inspired by him know that some of us did hear them, did listen to them, do respect them and understand their disappointment. I want them to know that not only can they come back to the process, but that they will be welcomed back; that there is room in the Democratic Party for their values.
”

The only instance of electors defecting from Trump so far are two electors in Texas who gave one vote each to John Kasich and Paul Ryan. As of this writing, Trump has received the needed 270 votes from the Electoral College to secure the presidency.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Monochromatic
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
United States997 Posts
December 19 2016 23:51 GMT
#128984
On December 20 2016 08:20 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 07:35 LegalLord wrote:
Trump just hit 270. The Nevertrumper failure is complete.


I wouldn't really call it a failure for people who were realistic. It's the most faithless electors for president since 1872.

Also Faith Spotted Eagle is now tied with Clinton for being one of the first women to receive a presidential electoral vote.


Actually, the first woman to receive an electoral vote was in 1972.


MC: "Guys I need your support! iam poor make me nerd baller" __________________________________________RIP Violet
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21682 Posts
December 19 2016 23:52 GMT
#128985
On December 20 2016 08:24 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:29 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:08 Doodsmack wrote:
I think there was plenty of disdain and hate for the war at all times, as well as multiple rationales before it started. Most of the war's supporters now don't want to touch it with a ten foot pole, because history is not treating it well. The argument that the war was well-conceived to begin with is a convenient out for those who were originally supporters.

Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.


Yes, occupation is more expensive than not occupying. And being that the argument presented for the Iraq War was not an occupation but simply a disarming of the people in power, it did in 2 weeks what the intended plan was for Libya failed to do in the span of 4 years.

And, just like I said, it wasn't until the goal posts started getting shoved further and further as the plan got changed further and further that Iraq became a quagmire. Had the US simply showed up in Libya, spent 2 weeks retaking the capital, and then give the land to the rebel forces after they decimated the Libyan army, then Libya would have been where it is now but 4 years sooner and for a LOT LOT cheaper. But instead we simply spent years throwing random rockets and random targets with the hopes that the rebel forces would get their act together. End result was thousands dying for no reason and both sides of the conflicting at war for 4 years what should have been lasting a month.

EDIT

Don't get me wrong, I think Iraq was shit, I think the whole thing was shit, I think that people were presented with a scary enough threat that many felt forced to do something about it. A kind of "ignorance is bliss but now that I know how I can I not do something" hero complex.

The two options for why it got extended are both awful. Either we got into a quagmire that was too horrible to leave because too many people would die (and die they did when we left) or some homicidal elites in our leadership decided they enjoyed having children bleed on foreign soil. It really doesn't matter to me which one of those two bullshit possibilities dragged Iraq longer than the month needed to realize they either couldn't find WMDs or couldn't find proof of WMDs.

You understand that in both your Iraq and Syria scenario your basically creating the ISIS Kalifaat for them right?

If you fuck up Iraq and then leave ISIS takes it over entirely instead of the resistance offered now. Dito for Syria where the 'moderate' rebels probably wouldn't have held out.
So instead of spending the money on an Iraq occupation and a Syria stalemate you create a 2 country state of radical Islam who hate the West.

I really don't see how this is an improvement.

On December 20 2016 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:08 Doodsmack wrote:
I think there was plenty of disdain and hate for the war at all times, as well as multiple rationales before it started. Most of the war's supporters now don't want to touch it with a ten foot pole, because history is not treating it well. The argument that the war was well-conceived to begin with is a convenient out for those who were originally supporters.

Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.

I don't think that worked out. For one, they created ISIS, which is going to be problematic for years to come (first taste was when they entered Mosul and forced further US involvement). Second, the US credibility in the region seems to have gone down the shitter with the rise of ISIS and the effect is felt all around the world with the refugee crisis, increase in terrorism, and populist movements all over Europe and in the US. Third of all, the "bleed each other dry" part sort of went out the window when Russia entered into the scene. As I linked in the other thread, Hezbollah became stronger from Syrian cooperation, Iran seems to have gained a lot (including security agreements with both Russia and China), Assad gets the best chance he's had in years to consolidate power, and Russia has spent an absolutely trivial amount (alternative, newer but possibly more biased source) in Syria, and in fact a third of what the US has spent since 2014 on containing ISIS.

Maybe that was the goal, but it seems to have failed, like most of the other US interventions in the area. Much of the reason is that the US military just doesn't know how to keep costs down.

ISIS forming in the wake of the Iraq withdraw is a failure 100%. My resource draining stalemate solution is for how to deal with ISIS existing without a 2nd invasion (unacceptable to the US people).

-At that point you either bomb them into submission, they go underground and terror cells ruin everyones day.
-You don't intervene and hope they don't win but with Russia not in the picture yet at this point there is a big chance ISIS does win.
-You prolong the conflict to drain resources and keep their focus away from US soil terrorism.

I believe they took the 3e option and while it has resulted in the refugees crisis thats a problem for Europe and not the US who are safely far away. And again while Europe had some terrorist attacks (While they claim ISIS allegiance I wonder how many of these attacks were actually being orchestrated but ISIS itself) the US has been pretty safe from them.

When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US. I'm still kinda convinced its the best of the options available tho at the time. In hindsight staying entirely out of it and letting Russia fix it with Assad might have been a better solution.

And yes I agree with your final point that the US military is horribly cost inefficient and using high tech expensive to operate equipment when cheaper options would be just as successful.


I think what happened with Iraq was that they showed up without thinking things through, saw the possibility of an ISIS, and then get caught unable to fucking leave because their choice was eternal conflict versus creating an ISIS.

But you are once again conflating hindsight and foresight and are trying to see the initial invasion of iraq as an occupation strategy when it was everything but. It was seeing weapons that needed to be eliminated, and then withdrawing once it was eliminated. Had that been the actual plan we stuck to and just left once we figured out there were no WMDs to get rid of--then everything would end up like the first Iraq war where we showed up, killed soldiers, left Sadam in power, let thousands die to his regime, and be happy westerners reaping the benefits of ignorance.

Instead we showed up, saw no objectives, change the objectives, and then dug in. We fucked up big time.

The current policy we have where we literally just kill people for pleasure for no tactical gain is literally the worst of all worlds option. Because now its a fuck up as plan A as opposed to a fuck up as plan C.

Your right, I'm not considering a hypothetical where Sadam was left in power because that was never the plan to begin with. (ignoring the instability and possible rise of ISIS even with Sadam in power but his army destroyed)
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
December 19 2016 23:58 GMT
#128986
On December 20 2016 08:52 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 08:24 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:29 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
[quote]
Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.


Yes, occupation is more expensive than not occupying. And being that the argument presented for the Iraq War was not an occupation but simply a disarming of the people in power, it did in 2 weeks what the intended plan was for Libya failed to do in the span of 4 years.

And, just like I said, it wasn't until the goal posts started getting shoved further and further as the plan got changed further and further that Iraq became a quagmire. Had the US simply showed up in Libya, spent 2 weeks retaking the capital, and then give the land to the rebel forces after they decimated the Libyan army, then Libya would have been where it is now but 4 years sooner and for a LOT LOT cheaper. But instead we simply spent years throwing random rockets and random targets with the hopes that the rebel forces would get their act together. End result was thousands dying for no reason and both sides of the conflicting at war for 4 years what should have been lasting a month.

EDIT

Don't get me wrong, I think Iraq was shit, I think the whole thing was shit, I think that people were presented with a scary enough threat that many felt forced to do something about it. A kind of "ignorance is bliss but now that I know how I can I not do something" hero complex.

The two options for why it got extended are both awful. Either we got into a quagmire that was too horrible to leave because too many people would die (and die they did when we left) or some homicidal elites in our leadership decided they enjoyed having children bleed on foreign soil. It really doesn't matter to me which one of those two bullshit possibilities dragged Iraq longer than the month needed to realize they either couldn't find WMDs or couldn't find proof of WMDs.

You understand that in both your Iraq and Syria scenario your basically creating the ISIS Kalifaat for them right?

If you fuck up Iraq and then leave ISIS takes it over entirely instead of the resistance offered now. Dito for Syria where the 'moderate' rebels probably wouldn't have held out.
So instead of spending the money on an Iraq occupation and a Syria stalemate you create a 2 country state of radical Islam who hate the West.

I really don't see how this is an improvement.

On December 20 2016 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
[quote]
Just saying that the actions of the US Military during the first two weeks matched up precisely with what was requested to both the UN and Congress.

Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.

I don't think that worked out. For one, they created ISIS, which is going to be problematic for years to come (first taste was when they entered Mosul and forced further US involvement). Second, the US credibility in the region seems to have gone down the shitter with the rise of ISIS and the effect is felt all around the world with the refugee crisis, increase in terrorism, and populist movements all over Europe and in the US. Third of all, the "bleed each other dry" part sort of went out the window when Russia entered into the scene. As I linked in the other thread, Hezbollah became stronger from Syrian cooperation, Iran seems to have gained a lot (including security agreements with both Russia and China), Assad gets the best chance he's had in years to consolidate power, and Russia has spent an absolutely trivial amount (alternative, newer but possibly more biased source) in Syria, and in fact a third of what the US has spent since 2014 on containing ISIS.

Maybe that was the goal, but it seems to have failed, like most of the other US interventions in the area. Much of the reason is that the US military just doesn't know how to keep costs down.

ISIS forming in the wake of the Iraq withdraw is a failure 100%. My resource draining stalemate solution is for how to deal with ISIS existing without a 2nd invasion (unacceptable to the US people).

-At that point you either bomb them into submission, they go underground and terror cells ruin everyones day.
-You don't intervene and hope they don't win but with Russia not in the picture yet at this point there is a big chance ISIS does win.
-You prolong the conflict to drain resources and keep their focus away from US soil terrorism.

I believe they took the 3e option and while it has resulted in the refugees crisis thats a problem for Europe and not the US who are safely far away. And again while Europe had some terrorist attacks (While they claim ISIS allegiance I wonder how many of these attacks were actually being orchestrated but ISIS itself) the US has been pretty safe from them.

When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US. I'm still kinda convinced its the best of the options available tho at the time. In hindsight staying entirely out of it and letting Russia fix it with Assad might have been a better solution.

And yes I agree with your final point that the US military is horribly cost inefficient and using high tech expensive to operate equipment when cheaper options would be just as successful.


I think what happened with Iraq was that they showed up without thinking things through, saw the possibility of an ISIS, and then get caught unable to fucking leave because their choice was eternal conflict versus creating an ISIS.

But you are once again conflating hindsight and foresight and are trying to see the initial invasion of iraq as an occupation strategy when it was everything but. It was seeing weapons that needed to be eliminated, and then withdrawing once it was eliminated. Had that been the actual plan we stuck to and just left once we figured out there were no WMDs to get rid of--then everything would end up like the first Iraq war where we showed up, killed soldiers, left Sadam in power, let thousands die to his regime, and be happy westerners reaping the benefits of ignorance.

Instead we showed up, saw no objectives, change the objectives, and then dug in. We fucked up big time.

The current policy we have where we literally just kill people for pleasure for no tactical gain is literally the worst of all worlds option. Because now its a fuck up as plan A as opposed to a fuck up as plan C.

Your right, I'm not considering a hypothetical where Sadam was left in power because that was never the plan to begin with. (ignoring the instability and possible rise of ISIS even with Sadam in power but his army destroyed)


That is arguable, as Bush Sr. was able to do an invasion in Iraq without leaving a power vacuum.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21682 Posts
December 20 2016 00:10 GMT
#128987
On December 20 2016 08:58 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 08:52 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:24 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:29 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
[quote]
Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.


Yes, occupation is more expensive than not occupying. And being that the argument presented for the Iraq War was not an occupation but simply a disarming of the people in power, it did in 2 weeks what the intended plan was for Libya failed to do in the span of 4 years.

And, just like I said, it wasn't until the goal posts started getting shoved further and further as the plan got changed further and further that Iraq became a quagmire. Had the US simply showed up in Libya, spent 2 weeks retaking the capital, and then give the land to the rebel forces after they decimated the Libyan army, then Libya would have been where it is now but 4 years sooner and for a LOT LOT cheaper. But instead we simply spent years throwing random rockets and random targets with the hopes that the rebel forces would get their act together. End result was thousands dying for no reason and both sides of the conflicting at war for 4 years what should have been lasting a month.

EDIT

Don't get me wrong, I think Iraq was shit, I think the whole thing was shit, I think that people were presented with a scary enough threat that many felt forced to do something about it. A kind of "ignorance is bliss but now that I know how I can I not do something" hero complex.

The two options for why it got extended are both awful. Either we got into a quagmire that was too horrible to leave because too many people would die (and die they did when we left) or some homicidal elites in our leadership decided they enjoyed having children bleed on foreign soil. It really doesn't matter to me which one of those two bullshit possibilities dragged Iraq longer than the month needed to realize they either couldn't find WMDs or couldn't find proof of WMDs.

You understand that in both your Iraq and Syria scenario your basically creating the ISIS Kalifaat for them right?

If you fuck up Iraq and then leave ISIS takes it over entirely instead of the resistance offered now. Dito for Syria where the 'moderate' rebels probably wouldn't have held out.
So instead of spending the money on an Iraq occupation and a Syria stalemate you create a 2 country state of radical Islam who hate the West.

I really don't see how this is an improvement.

On December 20 2016 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:38 Gorsameth wrote:
[quote]
Yes, the US with 100, more?, times the budget of the aged Iraqi military were able to swiftly dispatch an insignificant but clearly visible foe. Truly a work of art for the ages /s.

Looking at the easiest and simplest part of the iraq war and going 'we did that well' is not something worth celebrating.


I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.

I don't think that worked out. For one, they created ISIS, which is going to be problematic for years to come (first taste was when they entered Mosul and forced further US involvement). Second, the US credibility in the region seems to have gone down the shitter with the rise of ISIS and the effect is felt all around the world with the refugee crisis, increase in terrorism, and populist movements all over Europe and in the US. Third of all, the "bleed each other dry" part sort of went out the window when Russia entered into the scene. As I linked in the other thread, Hezbollah became stronger from Syrian cooperation, Iran seems to have gained a lot (including security agreements with both Russia and China), Assad gets the best chance he's had in years to consolidate power, and Russia has spent an absolutely trivial amount (alternative, newer but possibly more biased source) in Syria, and in fact a third of what the US has spent since 2014 on containing ISIS.

Maybe that was the goal, but it seems to have failed, like most of the other US interventions in the area. Much of the reason is that the US military just doesn't know how to keep costs down.

ISIS forming in the wake of the Iraq withdraw is a failure 100%. My resource draining stalemate solution is for how to deal with ISIS existing without a 2nd invasion (unacceptable to the US people).

-At that point you either bomb them into submission, they go underground and terror cells ruin everyones day.
-You don't intervene and hope they don't win but with Russia not in the picture yet at this point there is a big chance ISIS does win.
-You prolong the conflict to drain resources and keep their focus away from US soil terrorism.

I believe they took the 3e option and while it has resulted in the refugees crisis thats a problem for Europe and not the US who are safely far away. And again while Europe had some terrorist attacks (While they claim ISIS allegiance I wonder how many of these attacks were actually being orchestrated but ISIS itself) the US has been pretty safe from them.

When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US. I'm still kinda convinced its the best of the options available tho at the time. In hindsight staying entirely out of it and letting Russia fix it with Assad might have been a better solution.

And yes I agree with your final point that the US military is horribly cost inefficient and using high tech expensive to operate equipment when cheaper options would be just as successful.


I think what happened with Iraq was that they showed up without thinking things through, saw the possibility of an ISIS, and then get caught unable to fucking leave because their choice was eternal conflict versus creating an ISIS.

But you are once again conflating hindsight and foresight and are trying to see the initial invasion of iraq as an occupation strategy when it was everything but. It was seeing weapons that needed to be eliminated, and then withdrawing once it was eliminated. Had that been the actual plan we stuck to and just left once we figured out there were no WMDs to get rid of--then everything would end up like the first Iraq war where we showed up, killed soldiers, left Sadam in power, let thousands die to his regime, and be happy westerners reaping the benefits of ignorance.

Instead we showed up, saw no objectives, change the objectives, and then dug in. We fucked up big time.

The current policy we have where we literally just kill people for pleasure for no tactical gain is literally the worst of all worlds option. Because now its a fuck up as plan A as opposed to a fuck up as plan C.

Your right, I'm not considering a hypothetical where Sadam was left in power because that was never the plan to begin with. (ignoring the instability and possible rise of ISIS even with Sadam in power but his army destroyed)


That is arguable, as Bush Sr. was able to do an invasion in Iraq without leaving a power vacuum.

Which was a war to drive the army from Kuwait and ended shortly after that was successful. They didn't want to search the Iraqi desert looking for hidden caches of WMD's like you want them to, which requires a much more thorough destruction of the army to allow such an operation in safety.
And to dispel any lingering illusion that the original intend was to simply hunt WMD's and not a transfer of power. "Operation Iraqi Freedom" doesn't sound like a quick in and out search operation.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 20 2016 00:31 GMT
#128988
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US.

No, not in the slightest. To be fair, I can't say I was expecting Russian intervention either - it's been one hell of a statement on world involvement that Russia didn't really look ready to take at the time - but no, the US basically didn't see it as a realistic possibility.

The first they seemed to have heard of it was when a Russian general in Baghdad came to the US embassy there and asked them to relay this message to Obama: "Air strikes in an hour. Don't get in the way." Well, maybe that one would be popular with the "Putin doesn't respect Obama" crowd, lol.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
December 20 2016 00:31 GMT
#128989
On December 20 2016 08:19 Doodsmack wrote:
Totally rational.



maybe that's not such a bad idea. who cares if we get it back?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21682 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-20 00:36:54
December 20 2016 00:36 GMT
#128990
On December 20 2016 09:31 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 08:19 Doodsmack wrote:
Totally rational.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/810288321880555520


maybe that's not such a bad idea. who cares if we get it back?

Because its the reply an 8 year old gives when a bully takes his ball on the playground "well... I didnt want that ball anyway".

Trump complained that other countries are laughing at the US for being weak and now he wants to back down from Russia by lifting the sanctions and China but letting them just steal their stuff.

Not a great signal to send the word "screw with us and we will not do anything back".
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
December 20 2016 00:40 GMT
#128991
On December 20 2016 09:10 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 08:58 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:52 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:24 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:05 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:29 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
[quote]

I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.


Yes, occupation is more expensive than not occupying. And being that the argument presented for the Iraq War was not an occupation but simply a disarming of the people in power, it did in 2 weeks what the intended plan was for Libya failed to do in the span of 4 years.

And, just like I said, it wasn't until the goal posts started getting shoved further and further as the plan got changed further and further that Iraq became a quagmire. Had the US simply showed up in Libya, spent 2 weeks retaking the capital, and then give the land to the rebel forces after they decimated the Libyan army, then Libya would have been where it is now but 4 years sooner and for a LOT LOT cheaper. But instead we simply spent years throwing random rockets and random targets with the hopes that the rebel forces would get their act together. End result was thousands dying for no reason and both sides of the conflicting at war for 4 years what should have been lasting a month.

EDIT

Don't get me wrong, I think Iraq was shit, I think the whole thing was shit, I think that people were presented with a scary enough threat that many felt forced to do something about it. A kind of "ignorance is bliss but now that I know how I can I not do something" hero complex.

The two options for why it got extended are both awful. Either we got into a quagmire that was too horrible to leave because too many people would die (and die they did when we left) or some homicidal elites in our leadership decided they enjoyed having children bleed on foreign soil. It really doesn't matter to me which one of those two bullshit possibilities dragged Iraq longer than the month needed to realize they either couldn't find WMDs or couldn't find proof of WMDs.

You understand that in both your Iraq and Syria scenario your basically creating the ISIS Kalifaat for them right?

If you fuck up Iraq and then leave ISIS takes it over entirely instead of the resistance offered now. Dito for Syria where the 'moderate' rebels probably wouldn't have held out.
So instead of spending the money on an Iraq occupation and a Syria stalemate you create a 2 country state of radical Islam who hate the West.

I really don't see how this is an improvement.

On December 20 2016 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:20 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:14 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 20 2016 03:06 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 20 2016 02:47 Thieving Magpie wrote:
[quote]

I'm not celebrating. LegalLord asked if anything in Iraq did better than things done in Libya and Syria. And for the most part, there was only one.

The invasion of Iraq went better then the invasion that didn't happen in Libya and Syria.
Bravo. You did something better then... not doing it at all (and that's assuming you don't want to debate that not invading at all would have been an improvement for Iraq).


After spending a billion dollars on Libya the US Military has jack shit to show when it comes to results. No progress in improving the country, no progress to show that anything was won, just a billion dollars spent to kill random people over the course of 3-4 years. If you consider that much more successful than the first two weeks of Iraq before the started moving the goal posts then I don't know what metric you measure success.

As I have stated many times before, The US has no interest in winning the war in Syria. Its wants to drag it out as long as possible and bleed as much resources from the forces in the region as possible.
Iraq shows that the US could have ended it in days if it wanted to. The lack of progress you describe as a failure is very much a successful operation and a billion dollars is a lot cheaper then Iraq turned out to be.

I don't think that worked out. For one, they created ISIS, which is going to be problematic for years to come (first taste was when they entered Mosul and forced further US involvement). Second, the US credibility in the region seems to have gone down the shitter with the rise of ISIS and the effect is felt all around the world with the refugee crisis, increase in terrorism, and populist movements all over Europe and in the US. Third of all, the "bleed each other dry" part sort of went out the window when Russia entered into the scene. As I linked in the other thread, Hezbollah became stronger from Syrian cooperation, Iran seems to have gained a lot (including security agreements with both Russia and China), Assad gets the best chance he's had in years to consolidate power, and Russia has spent an absolutely trivial amount (alternative, newer but possibly more biased source) in Syria, and in fact a third of what the US has spent since 2014 on containing ISIS.

Maybe that was the goal, but it seems to have failed, like most of the other US interventions in the area. Much of the reason is that the US military just doesn't know how to keep costs down.

ISIS forming in the wake of the Iraq withdraw is a failure 100%. My resource draining stalemate solution is for how to deal with ISIS existing without a 2nd invasion (unacceptable to the US people).

-At that point you either bomb them into submission, they go underground and terror cells ruin everyones day.
-You don't intervene and hope they don't win but with Russia not in the picture yet at this point there is a big chance ISIS does win.
-You prolong the conflict to drain resources and keep their focus away from US soil terrorism.

I believe they took the 3e option and while it has resulted in the refugees crisis thats a problem for Europe and not the US who are safely far away. And again while Europe had some terrorist attacks (While they claim ISIS allegiance I wonder how many of these attacks were actually being orchestrated but ISIS itself) the US has been pretty safe from them.

When Russia came along the plan kinda fell apart and I don't think they were expected to join by the US. I'm still kinda convinced its the best of the options available tho at the time. In hindsight staying entirely out of it and letting Russia fix it with Assad might have been a better solution.

And yes I agree with your final point that the US military is horribly cost inefficient and using high tech expensive to operate equipment when cheaper options would be just as successful.


I think what happened with Iraq was that they showed up without thinking things through, saw the possibility of an ISIS, and then get caught unable to fucking leave because their choice was eternal conflict versus creating an ISIS.

But you are once again conflating hindsight and foresight and are trying to see the initial invasion of iraq as an occupation strategy when it was everything but. It was seeing weapons that needed to be eliminated, and then withdrawing once it was eliminated. Had that been the actual plan we stuck to and just left once we figured out there were no WMDs to get rid of--then everything would end up like the first Iraq war where we showed up, killed soldiers, left Sadam in power, let thousands die to his regime, and be happy westerners reaping the benefits of ignorance.

Instead we showed up, saw no objectives, change the objectives, and then dug in. We fucked up big time.

The current policy we have where we literally just kill people for pleasure for no tactical gain is literally the worst of all worlds option. Because now its a fuck up as plan A as opposed to a fuck up as plan C.

Your right, I'm not considering a hypothetical where Sadam was left in power because that was never the plan to begin with. (ignoring the instability and possible rise of ISIS even with Sadam in power but his army destroyed)


That is arguable, as Bush Sr. was able to do an invasion in Iraq without leaving a power vacuum.

Which was a war to drive the army from Kuwait and ended shortly after that was successful. They didn't want to search the Iraqi desert looking for hidden caches of WMD's like you want them to, which requires a much more thorough destruction of the army to allow such an operation in safety.
And to dispel any lingering illusion that the original intend was to simply hunt WMD's and not a transfer of power. "Operation Iraqi Freedom" doesn't sound like a quick in and out search operation.


I agree. I know many people who did not believe that that was what they intended--but the argument was enough for both congressional thumbs up and to build a coalition going into the war.

Now we can argue all day about "intent" and "true vs false goals" of the war, we can talk all day about conspiracy theories, corruption stories, and correlative anxieties. But I'd rather drop this topic and just move on to the things actually in front of us--which is that passivity, sanctions, and the hands off approach is 100% useless and pointless if the countries you do it to have zero fucks about about fearing your possible escalation. If they know you won't do shit then no amount of grandstanding bullshit will make them stop what they are doing.

So we either say we are perfectly fine with systemic genocide, or we put boots on the ground for a long and bloody fight. Those are the only two options when it comes to the middle east and Africa.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 20 2016 00:40 GMT
#128992
The Washington electoral rebellion made this electoral college matter more humorous than I expected it to be. Good stuff.

I wonder how long it will be before the establishment Democrats take some responsibility for the actual contents of the hacked but genuine documents instead of continuing their war on Russian hacking. Sooner or later people will insist on a better explanation than "Russia did it."
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23229 Posts
December 20 2016 00:40 GMT
#128993
On December 20 2016 09:36 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 09:31 IgnE wrote:
On December 20 2016 08:19 Doodsmack wrote:
Totally rational.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/810288321880555520


maybe that's not such a bad idea. who cares if we get it back?

Because its the reply an 8 year old gives when a bully takes his ball on the playground "well... I didnt want that ball anyway".

Trump complained that other countries are laughing at the US for being weak and now he wants to back down from Russia by lifting the sanctions and China but letting them just steal their stuff.

Not a great signal to send the word "screw with us and we will not do anything back".


Perhaps it's the more ominous "no, go ahead, keep it. I dare you."
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5585 Posts
December 20 2016 00:45 GMT
#128994
Maybe it's just a robot and it looks better to everyone later if later you're able to say "look, we didn't make a fuss when you stole the thing, now do you mind about the artificial islands?"
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
December 20 2016 00:53 GMT
#128995
Lol oblade. The drone is a non issue. The fact he is even responding on twitter continues to show his inadequacies.

Let's not forget this is the same guy who he would attack a foreign vessel because they were mean to our ship.

There is no rhyme or reason to his FP responses. He just says what pops into his head.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 20 2016 01:19 GMT
#128996
Newt Gingrich said Monday that President-elect Donald Trump could simply pardon members of his administration who may break anti-nepotism laws, adding that Trump's business ties require "a whole new approach" to addressing potential conflicts of interest in the presidency.

“In the case of the president, he has a broad ability to organize the White House the way he wants to. He also has, frankly, the power of the pardon,” Gingrich told WAMU’s Diane Rehm on Monday morning. “It is a totally open power, and he could simply say, ‘Look, I want them to be my advisers. I pardon them if anyone finds them to have behaved against the rules. Period.' Technically, under the Constitution, he has that level of authority.”

Gingrich was referring to a federal anti-nepotism law that could prevent Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, Trump’s daughter and son-in-law, respectively, from serving in his administration. Previously, Gingrich suggested Trump may need a waiver from Congress to have Kushner work in his administration.

On Monday, however, Gingrich said the law was the result of “Lyndon Johnson’s reaction to Bobby Kennedy, and the fact that Johnson hated Kennedy.”

“It was a very narrowly focused bill really in reaction to a particular personality thing,” he said. “I think that we have to look at it in the context of what they were trying to accomplish.”

Although Gingrich acknowledged that Trump’s potential conflicts of interest were “a very real problem,” he argued that the President-elect's massive wealth was “virtually impossible to isolate” and that “traditional rules don’t work."

"We’re going to have to think up a whole new approach,” he said.

For his part, Gingrich provided little detail as to what that approach might look like. He suggested a "review group," led by someone like former U.S. Attorney General Michael Mukasey, could "monitor regularly what was going on and would offer warnings if they get too close to the edge.”

“You can’t say that Trump Tower is not the Trump Tower or that Trump Hotel is not the Trump Hotel, and you can’t say that the kids who run it aren’t his children,” Gingrich said. “These are facts and they’re obvious.”

After returning from a commercial break, Rehm asked Richard Painter, President George W. Bush’s chief ethics lawyer from 2005 to 2007, for his reaction to Gingrich's comments.

“There is no billionaire exception in the Constitution of the United States,” Painter said, adding later: “The pardon power can not be used by the president to pardon himself, or to cause other members of his administration to engage in illegal conduct or unconstitutional conduct and then simply use the pardon power in that way. If the pardon power allows that, the pardon power allows the president to become a dictator."


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
December 20 2016 02:09 GMT
#128997
Did we already go over the topic of trump nominee/donor overlap?
I only properly noticed it recently, and I the article chosen is a couple weeks old, so we may well have without me noticing/remembering.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/12/09/the-six-donors-trump-appointed-to-his-administration-gave-almost-12-million-with-their-families-to-his-campaign-and-the-party/?utm_term=.8b50273f1bb9



This also led me to a related article, about how many people don't know the basic facts about the election (like who got most votes).
a higher number than I'd like to see, sadly.
http://www.people-press.org/2016/12/08/6-awareness-of-election-results/
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 20 2016 02:33 GMT
#128998
On December 20 2016 09:45 oBlade wrote:
Maybe it's just a robot and it looks better to everyone later if later you're able to say "look, we didn't make a fuss when you stole the thing, now do you mind about the artificial islands?"

Trump is deliberately testing the relationship with China by doing and saying the unexpected. He can't enact policy yet (obviously), but he can start setting the table now with public statements.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-20 02:55:56
December 20 2016 02:54 GMT
#128999
On December 20 2016 11:33 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 09:45 oBlade wrote:
Maybe it's just a robot and it looks better to everyone later if later you're able to say "look, we didn't make a fuss when you stole the thing, now do you mind about the artificial islands?"

Trump is deliberately testing the relationship with China by doing and saying the unexpected. He can't enact policy yet (obviously), but he can start setting the table now with public statements.


Orrrrrrrrrr, he is just making it up as he goes and the results will fall to the whims of fate. Pretty sure even you have said he's a roll of the dice. This is kinda what that statement looks like in practice.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 20 2016 02:57 GMT
#129000
On December 20 2016 11:54 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2016 11:33 xDaunt wrote:
On December 20 2016 09:45 oBlade wrote:
Maybe it's just a robot and it looks better to everyone later if later you're able to say "look, we didn't make a fuss when you stole the thing, now do you mind about the artificial islands?"

Trump is deliberately testing the relationship with China by doing and saying the unexpected. He can't enact policy yet (obviously), but he can start setting the table now with public statements.


Orrrrrrrrrr, he is just making it up as he goes and the results will fall to the whims of fate. Pretty sure even you have said he's a roll of the dice. This is kinda what that statement looks like practically.

I said he was a roll of the dice during the campaign because I wasn't entirely sure if he was going to do the things that he campaigned upon (or whether he'd be a capable executive). However, now it seems like he fully intends to. And how he's publicly commenting on Chinese relations is proof of that.
Prev 1 6448 6449 6450 6451 6452 10093 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
BSL
19:00
Team Wars - Round 1
Dewalt vs Hawk
ZZZero.O71
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
CosmosSc2 59
StarCraft: Brood War
ggaemo 261
firebathero 241
BeSt 116
ZZZero.O 71
MaD[AoV]17
Dota 2
monkeys_forever593
capcasts443
NeuroSwarm102
League of Legends
Grubby4150
Counter-Strike
Stewie2K1163
flusha378
Super Smash Bros
AZ_Axe71
Other Games
tarik_tv13366
gofns7584
fl0m1060
ViBE125
C9.Mang0118
ROOTCatZ44
PPMD17
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick619
StarCraft 2
angryscii 27
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 15 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• davetesta107
• RyuSc2 68
• sitaska48
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• HerbMon 36
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Other Games
• imaqtpie1154
Upcoming Events
Korean StarCraft League
3h 31m
CranKy Ducklings
10h 31m
BSL20 Non-Korean Champi…
12h 31m
Mihu vs QiaoGege
Zhanhun vs Dewalt
Fengzi vs TBD
WardiTV European League
16h 31m
ShoWTimE vs Harstem
Shameless vs MaxPax
HeRoMaRinE vs SKillous
ByuN vs TBD
Sparkling Tuna Cup
1d 10h
BSL20 Non-Korean Champi…
1d 14h
Bonyth vs TBD
WardiTV European League
1d 16h
Wardi Open
2 days
OSC
3 days
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
4 days
[ Show More ]
The PondCast
5 days
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

BSL 20 Non-Korean Championship
FEL Cracow 2025
Underdog Cup #2

Ongoing

Copa Latinoamericana 4
Jiahua Invitational
BSL 20 Team Wars
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 3
BSL 21 Qualifiers
CC Div. A S7
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 7
IEM Dallas 2025

Upcoming

ASL Season 20: Qualifier #1
ASL Season 20: Qualifier #2
ASL Season 20
CSLPRO Chat StarLAN 3
BSL Season 21
RSL Revival: Season 2
Maestros of the Game
SEL Season 2 Championship
WardiTV Summer 2025
uThermal 2v2 Main Event
HCC Europe
CAC 2025
Roobet Cup 2025
ESL Pro League S22
StarSeries Fall 2025
FISSURE Playground #2
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.