US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6442
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
Nebuchad
Switzerland12172 Posts
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Thieving Magpie
United States6752 Posts
On December 17 2016 15:42 Nebuchad wrote: A criticism of SA can't be only focused on their internal affairs. I mean, yeah, they're shitty there, but they've also done as much as they can to spread islamist extremism and fundamentalism throughout the muslim world (and beyond). You cannot forget that when you discuss their influence on the global situation. Would you rather: A.) Cut ties with the middle east and not try to make allies there. B.) Start alliances where you can and hope that after enough time passes (my guess is 100-200 years) the two cultures finds a middle ground and both sides end up happier for it. | ||
a_flayer
Netherlands2826 Posts
On December 17 2016 16:32 Thieving Magpie wrote: Would you rather: A.) Cut ties with the middle east and not try to make allies there. B.) Start alliances where you can and hope that after enough time passes (my guess is 100-200 years) the two cultures finds a middle ground and both sides end up happier for it. Don't give me the fallacy of those two choices you listed. I'd want non-hostile relations, but I don't want to sell them weapons or, quite frankly, buy their oil when it comes down to it (don't give me "we need it", what all countries across the world need to do is be energy independent and carbon neutral -- since you're talking about things being better 100-200 years down the line, I feel I can bring this up perfectly fine without any backtalk from you). Furthermore, the alliance that you're talking about, in my non-professional opinion, is probably causing problems as well with regards to relations between countries in the Middle East. And yes, those problems would still exist without the alliance, but I can't imagine the massive arms sales and potential military support are improving this in the slightest. And I realize abandoning SA at this point could very well end up in (more) war for the region. It's a matter of practising what you preach. Don't support non-democratic nations even if you can get what you want from them outside of their human rights abusing and global extremist promoting ways. | ||
GreenHorizons
United States23224 Posts
On December 17 2016 16:32 Thieving Magpie wrote: Would you rather: A.) Cut ties with the middle east and not try to make allies there. B.) Start alliances where you can and hope that after enough time passes (my guess is 100-200 years) the two cultures finds a middle ground and both sides end up happier for it. B, but people are high if they think SA should be on that list. Iran should be higher on that list than SA (they have a living memory of something not so far off). Our relationship with SA has virtually nothing to do with culture (theirs anyway) and everything to do with profit and military positioning. We can have allies that are purely allies for monetary and military gain, and we can ignore the atrocities they commit, but we have to be honest about what were doing. | ||
a_flayer
Netherlands2826 Posts
On December 17 2016 17:01 GreenHorizons wrote: B, but people are high if they think SA should be on that list. Iran should be higher on that list than SA (they have a living memory of something not so far off). Our relationship with SA has virtually nothing to do with culture (theirs anyway) and everything to do with profit and military positioning. We can have allies that are purely allies for monetary and military gain, and we can ignore the atrocities they commit, but we have to be honest about what were doing. Not that I don't agree with you, but I think you're high right now to be honest, based on what seem to be missing words in your sentences. | ||
Acrofales
Spain17986 Posts
And of course, people were pissed off with Saddam Hussein anyway, whereas we can't afford to be pissed off with the Sauds? | ||
GreenHorizons
United States23224 Posts
On December 17 2016 17:09 a_flayer wrote: Not that I don't agree with you, but I think you're high right now to be honest, based on what seem to be missing words in your sentences. Help me out, I'm a bit tired and I'm not sure what I'm missing lol. | ||
a_flayer
Netherlands2826 Posts
On December 17 2016 17:36 Acrofales wrote: Given our collective outrage when Iraq unilaterally invaded Kuwait, so much so that we went to war there, what is so different about SA's war in Yemen? The main difference seems to be that the prime motivator isn't financial, but rather ideological. And of course, people were pissed off with Saddam Hussein anyway, whereas we can't afford to be pissed off with the Sauds? I'm not at all familiar with the Kuwait thing, so here's my first random and I'm sure entirely unrelated question, how much oil was Kuwait producing for the US? | ||
iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4329 Posts
On December 17 2016 01:04 zlefin wrote: grounds for civil war is whatever people are willing to take up arms and actually die for. that said civil war is much harder to do these days; as the military is far stronger at the federal level; and state-level militias far less powerful. while individuals can rise up, an organized army is much harder to pull off. You think the military would be 100% behind a nominee other than Trump at this point in the game? Trump made a very wise move selecting respected generals Mattis, Flynn and Kelly with the possibility of more former high ranking military leaders to be added. | ||
iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4329 Posts
On December 17 2016 16:32 Thieving Magpie wrote: Would you rather: A.) Cut ties with the middle east and not try to make allies there. B.) Start alliances where you can and hope that after enough time passes (my guess is 100-200 years) the two cultures finds a middle ground and both sides end up happier for it. 200 years? Last i heard Saudi has maybe 30-40 years of oil left.And we all know that oil is harder to extract than the stuff they've already pulled out. Saudi gets 90% of it's revenue from oil, it will be a total minnow on the global political stage with a few decades and it is very unlikely the current monarchy will still exist.They will probably go back to being nomadic traders which to me is far preferable than the atrocities they are committing in Yemen right now in the name of globalism and the "war on terror". | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
On December 17 2016 13:30 Mohdoo wrote: No, its that I am focusing on specific people on my facebook and not all PNW Democrats. I guarantee you that I have friends who see candidates who don't support basic income as old fart republicans. There are people on my Facebook who would never vote for someone who supports the use of drones in the middle east. The PNW is a very, very liberal place and I happen to run with a particularly liberal crowd. People on my FB have specifically called out Clinton as using an increase to the minimum wage as lip service and showed that she isn't actually committed to working class people because even $15/hour is not nearly enough to raise a family while living in Portland, Oregon. And that's probably a big part of it. A significant amount of people on my Facebook believe that anyone and everyone should have the ability to live in Seattle/Portland while working as a chef or some other unskilled labor. They see rent inflation as a civil rights issue and that people who work in a given city should not be forced to take a 15 minute bus ride to work because they can't afford to live in that city. I dunno where you are from (do you mind if I ask?), but the PNW is a unique place because of the not only particularly left leaning climate, but also the prevalence of gentrification. Gentrification ends up making people EXTREMELY mad about the comparison of minimum wage to rent cost in major cities. I am not exaggerating. There is a reason Bernie swept the PNW despite Clinton already mathematically winning the primary. I'm from New England. I hereby call those people on your FB saying such things idiots. as I do an awful lot of people ![]() And if they want people to be able to live in portland, they should fix the problem which is probably zoning regs put in at the local level. lots of people have strong opinions and a poor understanding of the issues and their solutions. like how much minimum wage needs vary across the country, and hence the inaccuracy of a high federal minimum wage. edit: in response to a statement of yours from the prior page; it's not possible to put enough economic pressure on the saudis to ruin their economy if they don't comply with higher human rights standards. | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
On December 17 2016 18:40 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: 200 years? Last i heard Saudi has maybe 30-40 years of oil left.And we all know that oil is harder to extract than the stuff they've already pulled out. Saudi gets 90% of it's revenue from oil, it will be a total minnow on the global political stage with a few decades and it is very unlikely the current monarchy will still exist.They will probably go back to being nomadic traders which to me is far preferable than the atrocities they are committing in Yemen right now in the name of globalism and the "war on terror". There was this one movie that put it best: "Fifty years ago, you were living in huts and chopping each other's heads off, and in another 50 years that's where you'll be." SA isn't much of an ally given how they rely quite heavily on American support (they spend more than Russia but have pretty much nothing to show for it) and yet turn around and fund terrorism. They should be dropped like a hot potato on the next feasible opportunity to do so. It's also rather humorous how people try to draw an equivalence between treatment of gays in Russia and in SA. To put it simply, Russia doesn't stone gays. | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
On December 17 2016 18:31 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: You think the military would be 100% behind a nominee other than Trump at this point in the game? Trump made a very wise move selecting respected generals Mattis, Flynn and Kelly with the possibility of more former high ranking military leaders to be added. yes. I do think that. if another nominee was chosen through constitutional processes. and my general point on military force distribution stands regardless. | ||
Thieving Magpie
United States6752 Posts
On December 17 2016 18:40 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: 200 years? Last i heard Saudi has maybe 30-40 years of oil left.And we all know that oil is harder to extract than the stuff they've already pulled out. Saudi gets 90% of it's revenue from oil, it will be a total minnow on the global political stage with a few decades and it is very unlikely the current monarchy will still exist.They will probably go back to being nomadic traders which to me is far preferable than the atrocities they are committing in Yemen right now in the name of globalism and the "war on terror". Can you name those Middle East countries who could ally with us with enough muscle to positively affect the region? | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
In some ways Hillary Clinton is a slightly worse version of Obama. I'm starting to realize that it's Obama's campaign charisma more than anything else that convinced me to go along with it, on top of the brokenness of the Republican Party. Yet the pressure has evidently been against Obama, seeing as how the Republicans have been gaining quite goodly in Congress. Even against a broken Republican Party it seems that Clinton just couldn't push back against the populist pressure opposing her across the country. It is remarkable how much she tries to deny it by blaming anyone but her own campaign for losing to a clown. | ||
Karis Vas Ryaar
United States4396 Posts
On December 17 2016 17:36 Acrofales wrote: Given our collective outrage when Iraq unilaterally invaded Kuwait, so much so that we went to war there, what is so different about SA's war in Yemen? The main difference seems to be that the prime motivator isn't financial, but rather ideological. And of course, people were pissed off with Saddam Hussein anyway, whereas we can't afford to be pissed off with the Sauds? didn't the whole Iraq invasion involve the daughter of a diplomat pretending to be a war refugee to congress? | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
When you go to the polls today, here is a thought to fortify you: We are being protected by a "big, beautiful brown wall." Latino turnout in Florida is tracking at 130% of normal, and African American turnout is consistent with the population in Florida, which is 13%. That may just keep this country from facing 4 years of infantile, angry leadership, or worse. "Donald Trump will be kept from the White House by a big, beautiful, brown wall,” Clinton supporter Maria Cardona said during a tumultuous CNN panel. The panel was centered on Ana Navarro's announcement that she, a lifelong Republican, is voting for Hillary Clinton and also included Trump supporters Corey Lewandowski and Andy Dean. Both men were aghast at the numbers, refusing to accept that they signal an impending Trump loss, but Baraki Sellers, another panelist, broke it down for them: “But what you see Andy, and what you and Corey are missing is the larger talking point. The larger talking point is that the electorate is more diverse. That benefits Hillary Clinton." Minority voters can not do this alone, but their voices are being heard louder than ever. It's up to the rest of us to also get out of our comfort zones, even break from our party like Ana, to take the time and vote against an untenable candidate. Vote like your life depends on it, because it very well may. Source I certainly hope that people realize what a ridiculous thing "big beautiful brown wall" is to say among those who think that racism is the worst thing ever. On December 18 2016 02:22 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote: didn't the whole Iraq invasion involve the daughter of a diplomat pretending to be a war refugee to congress? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nayirah_(testimony) | ||
oBlade
United States5584 Posts
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LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Hillary Clinton said on Thursday that the hacking attacks carried out by Russia against her campaign and the Democratic National Committee were intended “to undermine our democracy” and were ordered by Vladimir V. Putin “because he has a personal beef against me.” Speaking to a group of donors in Manhattan, Mrs. Clinton said that Mr. Putin, the Russian president, had never forgiven her for the accusation she made in 2011, when she was secretary of state, that parliamentary elections his country held that year were rigged. “Putin publicly blamed me for the outpouring of outrage by his own people, and that is the direct line between what he said back then and what he did in this election,” Mrs. Clinton said. It is the first time Mrs. Clinton has publicly addressed the impact of the hacks since the intelligence community concluded that they were specifically aimed at harming her campaign. “Make no mistake, as the press is finally catching up to the facts, which we desperately tried to present to them during the last months of the campaign,” Mrs. Clinton told the group, which collectively poured roughly $1 billion into her effort. “This is not just an attack on me and my campaign, although that may have added fuel to it. This is an attack against our country. We are well beyond normal political concerns here. This is about the integrity of our democracy and the security of our nation.” In her remarks, she endorsed the proposal of a bipartisan group of senators to investigate the hacking and said the inquiry should be modeled on the commission set up after the Sept. 11 attacks. “The public deserves to know exactly what happened, and why, in order for us to prevent future attacks on our systems, including our electoral system,” she said. Mrs. Clinton said the hacking was one of two “unprecedented” events that led to her defeat. The other was the release of a letter by James B. Comey, the F.B.I. director, shortly before the election disclosing new questions about emails handled by her private server. The letter, she said, cost her close races in several battleground states. “Swing-state voters made their decisions in the final days breaking against me because of the F.B.I. letter from Director Comey,” she said. Mrs. Clinton first talked about the impact of Mr. Comey’s letters in a conference call with donors a few days after the election. Since the election she has kept a low profile, mostly appearing on social media in photographs by passers-by who have spotted her walking her dogs near her home in Chappaqua, N.Y. Source President Obama on Friday tied election-year hacks of Democrats to Russia’s Vladimir Putin, and warned Republicans that “Ronald Reagan would roll over in his grave” if he saw so many in the GOP expressing fondness for leaders in Moscow. “Not much happens in Russia without Vladimir Putin,” Obama told reporters at his final press conference of 2016. “I will let you make that determination as to whether there are high-level Russian officials who go off rogue and decide to tamper with the U.S. election process without Vladimir Putin knowing about it.” The president promised unspecific and potentially secret retaliation against Russia, telling Putin, “We can do stuff to you,” and took pains to belittle Moscow’s influence over world affairs. “The Russians can’t change us or significantly weaken us,” he said. “They are a smaller country, they are a weaker country, their economy doesn’t produce anything that anyone wants to buy except oil and gas and arms. They don’t innovate. But they can impact us if we lose track of who we are. They can impact us if we abandon our values.” Obama pointed to a public opinion poll that, he said, showed 37 percent of Republicans have a favorable view of Putin, blaming the “fierceness of partisan battle” in the United States for driving Americans into the arms of a historic foe. During the campaign, Donald Trump often heaped praise on Putin, whom he labeled a stronger leader than the U.S. president. “Over a third of Republican voters approve of Vladimir Putin, the former head of the KGB,” Obama said. “Ronald Reagan would roll over in his grave.” Asked whether his administration will provide evidence to back up charges of Russian meddling, Obama gave a guarded response. “We will provide evidence that we can safely provide, that does not compromise sources and methods. But I’ll be honest with you, when you are talking about cybersecurity, a lot of it is classified and we’re not going to provide it, because the way we catch folks is by knowing certain things about them that they may not want us to know, and if we’re going to monitor this stuff effectively going forward, we don’t want them to know that we know.” But he expressed disbelief that Americans would trust Putin’s word over statements from the U.S. spy community. His comments came shortly after it was disclosed that the FBI agrees with the CIA’s conclusions that Russia targeted Democrats with the aim of helping Trump win on Nov. 8. “This is one of those situations where, unless the American people genuinely think that the professionals in the CIA, the FBI, our entire intelligence infrastructure — many of whom, by the way, served in previous administrations, and who are Republicans — are less trustworthy than the Russians, then people should pay attention to what our intelligence agencies say,” Obama said. Obama said he had confronted Putin during a September meeting about the cyberintrusions, telling the Russian leader to “cut it out.” He said he had delivered a similar warning to President Xi Jinping of China, which U.S. officials have blamed for major cyberattacks against the U.S. government and American firms. And he promised that Moscow would pay a price for its alleged interference. “Our goal continues to be to send a clear message to Russia or others not to do this to us because we can do stuff to you, but it is also important for us to do that in a thoughtful, methodical way,” Obama said. “Some of it we do publicly. Some of it we will do in a way that they know but not everybody will.” Trump and some of his top aides have played down the potential impact of Russia’s alleged actions and cast doubt on the CIA’s findings. Last Friday, Trump’s transition team dismissed those findings, saying in a statement, “These are the same people that said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction.” At his press conference, Obama said the back-and-forth between the White House and the incoming administration would not hamper cooperation on the transfer of power. “I think they would be the first to acknowledge that we have done everything we can to make sure that they are successful, as I promised, and that will continue,” he said. Obama repeatedly emphasized the importance of a free and independent news media, but also took aim at the press over its widespread coverage of leaked emails linked to Hillary Clinton’s campaign. “You guys wrote about it every day, every single leak about every little juicy tidbit of political gossip, including John Podesta’s risotto recipe,” the president said. “This was an obsession that dominated the news coverage.” As a result, he said, “I don’t think she was treated fairly during the election. I think the coverage of her and the issues was troubling.” Source At the end of the day, Hillary Clinton lost because of her position on trade, her willingness to continue a set of ineffective FP directions, and her ridiculous focus on minorities to the exclusion of the WWC. Any analysis of the election has to start with the issues that she lost on, not on which boogeyman to blame for her loss. Blaming Russia for your own problems doesn't make people forget about those problems. | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
On December 18 2016 02:49 oBlade wrote: One thing the president gave away on TV was the administration's failure to organize an international response in Syria when he was patting them on the back for doing what he claims is the best they could (droning terrorists and arming the opposition). Because putting together an international response wasn't an option. Well, it wasn't an option because they couldn't hack it. That's what that actually means. There's never a gift-wrapped way to move the world but a theme for most of this administration on any issue has been looking for a quick answer, realizing it doesn't exist, then giving up and using the perpetual campaign to sell the results as some kind of inevitability. Syria failed because the administration had no strategic vision for the region and how they would pursue it - or, for those more inclined to defend that course of action, they did a piss-poor job of communicating any such strategic vision to the public. People saw Iraq and the problem of direct involvement in an absurd quagmire, they saw Libya and the absurdity of involvement with no real forethought as to "the day after" and just noped all over another conflict that resembles either of them. When the US failed to provide any real endgame as to what would happen after Assad and arming rebel oppositions when taking a hard line on "Assad must go" that provided a golden opportunity for Russia to go and assert their own geopolitical interests in the area. If the US strategy were better that would have never happened. | ||
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