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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 613

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 07 2013 05:33 GMT
#12241
On November 07 2013 14:20 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
and then using it for something.


yeah, more finance

edit: anyway, I said "hoover up surplus-value" not "suck up surplus capital", which are completely and utterly different things, but let's not get too "philosophical" before bedtime


I think I said "suck up surplus capital."
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 05:33 GMT
#12242
On November 07 2013 14:20 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
and then using it for something.


yeah, more finance

edit: anyway, I said "hoover up surplus-value" not "suck up surplus capital", which are completely and utterly different things, but let's not get too "philosophical" before bedtime

Yeah, more finance. We're talking about banks, it's bound to happen

The person I replied to wrote "suck up surplus capital".
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
November 07 2013 05:37 GMT
#12243
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak
shikata ga nai
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 05:59 GMT
#12244
On November 07 2013 14:32 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:46 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."

Most "toxic shit" wasn't that toxic. AAA MBS defaults were extremely ratre. The big problem there wasn't huge investment losses, it was how the securities were being used (like cash, which caused a run). As for something like Abacus, I think there were some disclosure issues there, but I don't think (correct me if I'm wrong) GS was managing client money there.

You seem to be mixing issues here. If we're discussing GS selling "shit" there's zero need to bring up bailouts. GS is in zero need of a bailout from selling things, be it shit or gold.

"Sucking up surplus capital" is what the financial sector is supposed to do. That's where my comment about the RS article sounding like a left wing version of "end the fed" came from. The financial sector is supposed to enable economic activity by quickly grabbing surplus money and then using it for something.


Their clients and the people they sold things to were in need of a bailout.

As to Abacus:
Show nested quote +
Facts of the case that all parties have agreed upon include:
  • Goldman was approached by John Paulson of Paulson & Co. to assemble a synthetic CDO, dubbed ABACUS 2007-AC1, in exchange for a $15 million fee.

  • Goldman brought in an outside asset manager (ACA Capital) to aid in the selection of collateral that was to comprise ABACUS. In the end, it consisted primarily of subprime mortgage securities.

  • Goldman sold ABACUS to German-based bank IKB.

  • Paulson effectively shorted ABACUS by entering into credit default swaps to buy protection on specific layers of the CDO (the senior tranches).

  • The CDO ultimately failed as a result of the subprime market meltdown. In the end, John Paulson netted approximately $1 billion, IKB lost approximately $150 million, ACA Capital lost approximately $900 million, and Goldman lost approximately $100 million (which was partially offset by the $15 million fee it received from Paulson & Co.).


The disagreements between the parties center on the information Goldman provided to the parties on the “other” side of the transaction and on the sales strategies Goldman employed to close the deal.

In short, the SEC alleged that Goldman made materially misleading statements and omissions in connection with the ABACUS CDO placement. The SEC charged that Goldman’s marketing materials for ABACUS conveyed that ACA Management, an independent third party with experience analyzing RMBS credit risk, selected the reference portfolio of the RMBS underlying the CDO. In fact John Paulson (who, unbeknownst to IKB, had a direct adverse economic interest in the instrument) played a significant role in the portfolio selection. Additionally, the SEC alleged that Goldman’s salesman for ABACUS, Fabrice Tourre, misled ACA into believing that Paulson had invested hundreds of millions of dollars in the equity of ABACUS. Tourre further said that Paulson’s interests in the collateral selection process were aligned with ACA’s when in reality their interests sharply conflicted.


As for GS managing people's money, the fact that GS's profits have far outpaced the expected return for the average investor over the last 10 years shows you where their priorities lie.

Yes, a lot of entities involved in MBS crashed and burned badly. But that's not because the MBS were particularly bad. The crisis happened because the MBS were something other than 100% perfectly safe and when small losses occurred huge leverage and short term funding lead to a disaster.

Like I said about abacus - there were disclosure issues. Your source says that GS lost money on it, so that may not be a case where GS "knew" the deal was junk.

GS isn't a mutual fund. What does the average investor's return have to do GS's profit growth?
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 06:01 GMT
#12245
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
November 07 2013 06:06 GMT
#12246
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state
shikata ga nai
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 07 2013 06:22 GMT
#12247
On November 07 2013 14:59 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:32 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:46 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."

Most "toxic shit" wasn't that toxic. AAA MBS defaults were extremely ratre. The big problem there wasn't huge investment losses, it was how the securities were being used (like cash, which caused a run). As for something like Abacus, I think there were some disclosure issues there, but I don't think (correct me if I'm wrong) GS was managing client money there.

You seem to be mixing issues here. If we're discussing GS selling "shit" there's zero need to bring up bailouts. GS is in zero need of a bailout from selling things, be it shit or gold.

"Sucking up surplus capital" is what the financial sector is supposed to do. That's where my comment about the RS article sounding like a left wing version of "end the fed" came from. The financial sector is supposed to enable economic activity by quickly grabbing surplus money and then using it for something.


Their clients and the people they sold things to were in need of a bailout.

As to Abacus:
Facts of the case that all parties have agreed upon include:
  • Goldman was approached by John Paulson of Paulson & Co. to assemble a synthetic CDO, dubbed ABACUS 2007-AC1, in exchange for a $15 million fee.

  • Goldman brought in an outside asset manager (ACA Capital) to aid in the selection of collateral that was to comprise ABACUS. In the end, it consisted primarily of subprime mortgage securities.

  • Goldman sold ABACUS to German-based bank IKB.

  • Paulson effectively shorted ABACUS by entering into credit default swaps to buy protection on specific layers of the CDO (the senior tranches).

  • The CDO ultimately failed as a result of the subprime market meltdown. In the end, John Paulson netted approximately $1 billion, IKB lost approximately $150 million, ACA Capital lost approximately $900 million, and Goldman lost approximately $100 million (which was partially offset by the $15 million fee it received from Paulson & Co.).


The disagreements between the parties center on the information Goldman provided to the parties on the “other” side of the transaction and on the sales strategies Goldman employed to close the deal.

In short, the SEC alleged that Goldman made materially misleading statements and omissions in connection with the ABACUS CDO placement. The SEC charged that Goldman’s marketing materials for ABACUS conveyed that ACA Management, an independent third party with experience analyzing RMBS credit risk, selected the reference portfolio of the RMBS underlying the CDO. In fact John Paulson (who, unbeknownst to IKB, had a direct adverse economic interest in the instrument) played a significant role in the portfolio selection. Additionally, the SEC alleged that Goldman’s salesman for ABACUS, Fabrice Tourre, misled ACA into believing that Paulson had invested hundreds of millions of dollars in the equity of ABACUS. Tourre further said that Paulson’s interests in the collateral selection process were aligned with ACA’s when in reality their interests sharply conflicted.


As for GS managing people's money, the fact that GS's profits have far outpaced the expected return for the average investor over the last 10 years shows you where their priorities lie.

Yes, a lot of entities involved in MBS crashed and burned badly. But that's not because the MBS were particularly bad. The crisis happened because the MBS were something other than 100% perfectly safe and when small losses occurred huge leverage and short term funding lead to a disaster.

Like I said about abacus - there were disclosure issues. Your source says that GS lost money on it, so that may not be a case where GS "knew" the deal was junk.

GS isn't a mutual fund. What does the average investor's return have to do GS's profit growth?


Since when did GS stop offering mutual funds? You don't find it fishy when a bank makes more money on the financial products it sells than the investors who buy the products? Oh right, GS is just offering a service, and people can buy or not buy.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 06:49 GMT
#12248
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state

Money isn't just currency. The Fed can create money, but cannot print currency.

On November 07 2013 15:22 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 14:59 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:32 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:46 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."

Most "toxic shit" wasn't that toxic. AAA MBS defaults were extremely ratre. The big problem there wasn't huge investment losses, it was how the securities were being used (like cash, which caused a run). As for something like Abacus, I think there were some disclosure issues there, but I don't think (correct me if I'm wrong) GS was managing client money there.

You seem to be mixing issues here. If we're discussing GS selling "shit" there's zero need to bring up bailouts. GS is in zero need of a bailout from selling things, be it shit or gold.

"Sucking up surplus capital" is what the financial sector is supposed to do. That's where my comment about the RS article sounding like a left wing version of "end the fed" came from. The financial sector is supposed to enable economic activity by quickly grabbing surplus money and then using it for something.


Their clients and the people they sold things to were in need of a bailout.

As to Abacus:
Facts of the case that all parties have agreed upon include:
  • Goldman was approached by John Paulson of Paulson & Co. to assemble a synthetic CDO, dubbed ABACUS 2007-AC1, in exchange for a $15 million fee.

  • Goldman brought in an outside asset manager (ACA Capital) to aid in the selection of collateral that was to comprise ABACUS. In the end, it consisted primarily of subprime mortgage securities.

  • Goldman sold ABACUS to German-based bank IKB.

  • Paulson effectively shorted ABACUS by entering into credit default swaps to buy protection on specific layers of the CDO (the senior tranches).

  • The CDO ultimately failed as a result of the subprime market meltdown. In the end, John Paulson netted approximately $1 billion, IKB lost approximately $150 million, ACA Capital lost approximately $900 million, and Goldman lost approximately $100 million (which was partially offset by the $15 million fee it received from Paulson & Co.).


The disagreements between the parties center on the information Goldman provided to the parties on the “other” side of the transaction and on the sales strategies Goldman employed to close the deal.

In short, the SEC alleged that Goldman made materially misleading statements and omissions in connection with the ABACUS CDO placement. The SEC charged that Goldman’s marketing materials for ABACUS conveyed that ACA Management, an independent third party with experience analyzing RMBS credit risk, selected the reference portfolio of the RMBS underlying the CDO. In fact John Paulson (who, unbeknownst to IKB, had a direct adverse economic interest in the instrument) played a significant role in the portfolio selection. Additionally, the SEC alleged that Goldman’s salesman for ABACUS, Fabrice Tourre, misled ACA into believing that Paulson had invested hundreds of millions of dollars in the equity of ABACUS. Tourre further said that Paulson’s interests in the collateral selection process were aligned with ACA’s when in reality their interests sharply conflicted.


As for GS managing people's money, the fact that GS's profits have far outpaced the expected return for the average investor over the last 10 years shows you where their priorities lie.

Yes, a lot of entities involved in MBS crashed and burned badly. But that's not because the MBS were particularly bad. The crisis happened because the MBS were something other than 100% perfectly safe and when small losses occurred huge leverage and short term funding lead to a disaster.

Like I said about abacus - there were disclosure issues. Your source says that GS lost money on it, so that may not be a case where GS "knew" the deal was junk.

GS isn't a mutual fund. What does the average investor's return have to do GS's profit growth?


Since when did GS stop offering mutual funds? You don't find it fishy when a bank makes more money on the financial products it sells than the investors who buy the products? Oh right, GS is just offering a service, and people can buy or not buy.


GS has an asset management business, but that's not all it does. I'm not sure why it would matter if the asset management business did better than the investments it made or not anyways. The mutual fund isn't going to waive fees because the stock market did bad.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 07:07:16
November 07 2013 07:05 GMT
#12249
On November 07 2013 15:49 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state

Money isn't just currency. The Fed can create money, but cannot print currency.


you're a lousy pedant. the fed orders currency from the treasury department, which prints it.

the fact remains that people who aren't the state aren't allowed to create money. except they do. increasingly so, as the sophistication of financial instruments increases. essentially what finance does is let you count money twice in time, once now, and once in the future, except that you can spend the future money now.

whether or not this is a good thing is, i suppose, an open question. but it's much more difficult for the state to regulate the money supply in world of computerized finance.
shikata ga nai
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
November 07 2013 07:52 GMT
#12250
On November 07 2013 08:18 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 08:10 HunterX11 wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:51 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:32 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:20 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:08 xDaunt wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:04 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 04:57 xDaunt wrote:
On November 07 2013 04:53 Roe wrote:
[quote]

That's ultimately what it comes down to: they can do whatever they want with the company. You give me no assurances that they will fail when the company fails.

What more failure do you need than the destruction and utter loss of a valuable asset? If I own a company that generates $2 million per year and is valued at around $10 million, I have pretty damned good incentive to keep the thing afloat rather than run it into the ground. My personal loss in destroying the company would be far greater than that of any employee of mine. Executives and owners aren't looking to kill the goose that lays the golden egg.


But what exactly is the incentive to keep it afloat? And is your claim really empirically proven? There's no lack of cases where CEOs have tanked the company and made millions in severance/golden parachutes. Clearly if you can run away and make millions then people will.

Keeping a job? Getting a new job? Maximizing the value of their compensation (they aren't going to make as much money tanking the company as opposed to keeping/making the company profitable).

You're acting as if executives are intentionally destroying companies to make a quick buck, which is ridiculous. Bad management happens. Executives don't always do a good job or get a good result for their company. That doesn't mean they are intentionally destroying their employer.

A good read on making a quick buck while destroying companies (among many other things):
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-great-american-bubble-machine-20100405

Sounds like a left-wing version of "End the Fed".


Isn't ending the fed a left-wing position anyways? I thought sam advocated it. At any rate your comment is impotent and frankly irrelevant.

It's more populist, I'd say. Hating on the Fed is more common with Republicans than Democrats.

I don't see why my comment is irrelevant. The RS piece was mainly about bubbles, which is mainly a complaint that in good times money is too easy.


Taibbi has a deeper problem with financialization itself, and that complaint isn't even that controversial (though actually doing anything at all about it of course is).

What complaint is that?


Even aside from the undue political influence finance has had, finance has clearly reached a significant disconnect from the real economy. There are straightforward derivatives such as futures which have an actual value in connection to real, physical, things, such as managing risk for farmers, and then there more questionable instruments, such as securitizing mortgages in a manner so complex that literally no one is able to determine who has any legal right to be paid what, or credit default swaps which claim to allow people to hedge risk but only promise to pay out under conditions where they can't pay out. And the effects of the failure of the hyperreal financial economy spill over into the real economy, and things of real value are lost when the financial games don't work out.

When you have something like the meltdown of 2007 turning into a huge success for the right people, what incentive is there to prevent it from happening again, instead of encouraging it? Remember when people said the moral hazard of the LTCM bailout was just going to ensure it happened again, but next time on a larger scale? And that was 1998. Lord knows how bad it will be next time.
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 13:04 GMT
#12251
On November 07 2013 16:05 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 15:49 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state

Money isn't just currency. The Fed can create money, but cannot print currency.


you're a lousy pedant. the fed orders currency from the treasury department, which prints it.

the fact remains that people who aren't the state aren't allowed to create money. except they do. increasingly so, as the sophistication of financial instruments increases. essentially what finance does is let you count money twice in time, once now, and once in the future, except that you can spend the future money now.

whether or not this is a good thing is, i suppose, an open question. but it's much more difficult for the state to regulate the money supply in world of computerized finance.

My point was that when the Fed creates money it's not necessarily creating physical currency:

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


The broader point being that money isn't just physical currency and it can basically be created by making loans, depending on what definition of money you want to use.

So there isn't a single entity (central bank) or physical thing (gold) that has a hard lock on the amount of money out there.

On November 07 2013 16:52 HunterX11 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 08:18 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 08:10 HunterX11 wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:51 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:32 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 07:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:20 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:08 xDaunt wrote:
On November 07 2013 05:04 Roe wrote:
On November 07 2013 04:57 xDaunt wrote:
[quote]
What more failure do you need than the destruction and utter loss of a valuable asset? If I own a company that generates $2 million per year and is valued at around $10 million, I have pretty damned good incentive to keep the thing afloat rather than run it into the ground. My personal loss in destroying the company would be far greater than that of any employee of mine. Executives and owners aren't looking to kill the goose that lays the golden egg.


But what exactly is the incentive to keep it afloat? And is your claim really empirically proven? There's no lack of cases where CEOs have tanked the company and made millions in severance/golden parachutes. Clearly if you can run away and make millions then people will.

Keeping a job? Getting a new job? Maximizing the value of their compensation (they aren't going to make as much money tanking the company as opposed to keeping/making the company profitable).

You're acting as if executives are intentionally destroying companies to make a quick buck, which is ridiculous. Bad management happens. Executives don't always do a good job or get a good result for their company. That doesn't mean they are intentionally destroying their employer.

A good read on making a quick buck while destroying companies (among many other things):
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-great-american-bubble-machine-20100405

Sounds like a left-wing version of "End the Fed".


Isn't ending the fed a left-wing position anyways? I thought sam advocated it. At any rate your comment is impotent and frankly irrelevant.

It's more populist, I'd say. Hating on the Fed is more common with Republicans than Democrats.

I don't see why my comment is irrelevant. The RS piece was mainly about bubbles, which is mainly a complaint that in good times money is too easy.


Taibbi has a deeper problem with financialization itself, and that complaint isn't even that controversial (though actually doing anything at all about it of course is).

What complaint is that?


Even aside from the undue political influence finance has had, finance has clearly reached a significant disconnect from the real economy. There are straightforward derivatives such as futures which have an actual value in connection to real, physical, things, such as managing risk for farmers, and then there more questionable instruments, such as securitizing mortgages in a manner so complex that literally no one is able to determine who has any legal right to be paid what, or credit default swaps which claim to allow people to hedge risk but only promise to pay out under conditions where they can't pay out. And the effects of the failure of the hyperreal financial economy spill over into the real economy, and things of real value are lost when the financial games don't work out.

When you have something like the meltdown of 2007 turning into a huge success for the right people, what incentive is there to prevent it from happening again, instead of encouraging it? Remember when people said the moral hazard of the LTCM bailout was just going to ensure it happened again, but next time on a larger scale? And that was 1998. Lord knows how bad it will be next time.

I don't disagree that there are problems, I'm disagreeing over what the problems are. I don't think something like a MBS which has been used going back to the 60's is inherently flawed. And they help make mortgages cheaper, which is a good thing. I think the problem with them is how they were used - with high leverage and shot term funding.

I mean irresponsible lending played a role, sure, but that's pretty much the normal credit cycle. The substantial issue as far as I'm concerned is keeping that from blowing up the entire system.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
November 07 2013 17:48 GMT
#12252
On November 07 2013 22:04 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 16:05 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:49 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state

Money isn't just currency. The Fed can create money, but cannot print currency.


you're a lousy pedant. the fed orders currency from the treasury department, which prints it.

the fact remains that people who aren't the state aren't allowed to create money. except they do. increasingly so, as the sophistication of financial instruments increases. essentially what finance does is let you count money twice in time, once now, and once in the future, except that you can spend the future money now.

whether or not this is a good thing is, i suppose, an open question. but it's much more difficult for the state to regulate the money supply in world of computerized finance.

My point was that when the Fed creates money it's not necessarily creating physical currency:

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


The broader point being that money isn't just physical currency and it can basically be created by making loans, depending on what definition of money you want to use.

So there isn't a single entity (central bank) or physical thing (gold) that has a hard lock on the amount of money out there.


yeah. that was my point. but thanks for explaining
shikata ga nai
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 07 2013 18:10 GMT
#12253
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) is scheduled to serve as the keynote speaker at the "conservative dinner event of the year": the Florida Family Policy Council’s 8th Annual Policy Awards Dinner on Nov. 16.

The FFPC, a staunchly conservative nonprofit dedicated to promoting anti-gay and pro-life policies, is run by John Stemberger, an outspoken anti-gay activist who supports banning gays from participating in the Boy Scouts.

The fundraiser will honor former Seventh Day Adventist pastor Mathew Staver, the founder and chairman of Liberty Counsel, a non-profit litigation firm and Christian ministry that is “advancing the family” through anti-gay lawsuits and “advancing the sanctity of human life” by supporting anti-abortion legislation.

Rubio, a likely 2016 Republican contender for president, strongly opposes Roe v. Wade and supports a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage.

In June, the conservative senator from Florida threatened on the Andrea Tantaros Show to abandon his own bill on comprehensive immigration reform "if this bill has something in it that gives gay couples immigration rights and so forth."

"It kills the bill. I'm done ... it shouldn't happen," Rubio said on the show.

Rubio has been ramping up public appearances recently, promoting his "Christian" values and the American dream.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18857 Posts
November 07 2013 18:17 GMT
#12254
Oh man I hope Charlie Crist ends up winning that governorship.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 07 2013 18:37 GMT
#12255
WASHINGTON -- WASHINGTON (AP) — Heart-clogging trans fats have been slowly disappearing from grocery aisles and restaurant menus in the last decade. Now, the Food and Drug Administration is finishing the job.

The FDA plans to announce later Thursday that it will require the food industry to gradually phase out all trans fats, saying they are a threat to people's health. Commissioner Margaret Hamburg said the move could prevent 20,000 heart attacks a year and 7,000 deaths.

Hamburg said that while the amount of trans fats in the country's diet has declined dramatically in the last decade, they "remain an area of significant public health concern." The trans fats have long been criticized by nutritionists, and New York and other local governments have banned them.

The agency isn't yet setting a timeline for the phase-out, but will collect comments for two months before officials determine how long it will take. Different foods may have different timelines, depending how easy it is to substitute.

"We want to do it in a way that doesn't unduly disrupt markets," says Michael Taylor, FDA's deputy commissioner for foods. Still, he says, "industry has demonstrated that it is by and large feasible to do."

To phase them out, the FDA said it had made a preliminary determination that trans fats no longer fall in the agency's "generally recognized as safe" category, which is reserved for thousands of additives that manufacturers can add to foods without FDA review. Once trans fats are off the list, anyone who wants to use them would have to petition the agency for a regulation allowing it, and that would be unlikely to be approved.

Trans fat is widely considered the worst kind for your heart, even worse than saturated fat, which can also contribute to heart disease. Trans fats are used both in processed food and in restaurants, often to improve the texture, shelf life or flavor of foods. They are created when hydrogen is added to vegetable oil to make it more solid, which is why they are often called partially hydrogenated oils.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18857 Posts
November 07 2013 18:43 GMT
#12256
Sometimes it can be very hard to wrap ones' head around exactly what is going at the FDA. In many if not most cases, the FDA looks crooked and beholden to basically every monied private interest in food/drugs/medicine, but then they go ahead and announce stuff like this. What we ought to look out for is what the FDA does in tandem with the banning of trans fats, I smell a backroom deal.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 07 2013 20:42 GMT
#12257
WASHINGTON -- The federal government shutdown that lasted for 16 days last month is expected to cost the U.S. economy between $2 billion and $6 billion in economic output, according to a report by the Office of Management and Budget released Thursday afternoon.

Those figures, culled from independent forecasters, may be a conservative estimate, the authors note. They found that approximately 120,000 fewer private sector jobs were created during the first two weeks of October because of the dual threats of the shutdown and the standoff over the debt ceiling. Forecasters additionally expect fourth quarter real GDP growth to be 0.2 to 0.6 percent lower than what it could have been had the shutdown and debt ceiling fight not taken place.

The report provides the most detailed insight to date into how much damage the shutdown caused. Among the notable findings are the fact that federal employees were furloughed during the shutdown for a combined total of 6.6 million days, and they received $2.0 billion in back pay for work that they never performed. The country's national parks lost roughly $500 million in visitor spending nationwide, while almost $4 billion in tax refunds were delayed because the Internal Revenue Service was shuttered.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 07 2013 20:45 GMT
#12258
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state


Banks are allowed to create money in form of fiat money. This accounts for far more than what the Fed is printing.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 20:51:02
November 07 2013 20:50 GMT
#12259
On November 08 2013 05:45 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state


Banks are allowed to create money in form of fiat money. This accounts for far more than what the Fed is printing.

They're destroyed as soon as there are transactions between banks, because it force them to use central money. Their capacity to create scriptural money is directly linked to the supply of central money and to the tendency of people to use central money.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
November 07 2013 20:55 GMT
#12260
On November 08 2013 05:50 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2013 05:45 Nyxisto wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:06 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 15:01 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 14:37 sam!zdat wrote:
fine.

yeah, finance into more finance into more finance, all of which is a big rent-seeking machine which taxes the economy circumvents the state monopoly on the printing of money. the precession of the simulacra. we're way past Arrighi's signal crisis and we're living through the terminal crisis as we speak

The state doesn't have a monopoly on printing money. That's not the monetary system we have, and it has good and bad trade-offs.


um.

who else gets to print money? I'm pretty sure you are not allowed to start issuing your own currency.

don't tell me the fed is not part of the state. the fed is part of the state


Banks are allowed to create money in form of fiat money. This accounts for far more than what the Fed is printing.

They're destroyed as soon as there are transactions between banks, because it force them to use central money. Their capacity to create scriptural money is directly linked to the supply of central money and to the tendency of people to use central money.

derivative trades let banks create credit, which has money like qualities, without the need for central bank money. but yes, the overall supply of central bank money controls credit, alternating between making it more money-like and less-money like.
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