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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 612

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
November 07 2013 03:09 GMT
#12221
On November 07 2013 11:52 ziggurat wrote:
It's funny to come to the US politics thread and see no one talking about the disastrous roll-out of the Obamacare federal insurance exchanges. No one is talking about "if you like your policy, you can keep it". I would love to know what all the liberals here think about these issues!


Dude that was like a few days ago. We just had an election!
Funnytoss
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Taiwan1471 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 03:42:35
November 07 2013 03:19 GMT
#12222
On November 07 2013 11:52 ziggurat wrote:
It's funny to come to the US politics thread and see no one talking about the disastrous roll-out of the Obamacare federal insurance exchanges. No one is talking about "if you like your policy, you can keep it". I would love to know what all the liberals here think about these issues!


Assuming you mean actual liberals and not "Democrats", chances are we would say that obviously, we should have offered a public option.

(edited for clarity)
AIV_Funnytoss and sGs.Funnytoss on iCCup
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 03:24:28
November 07 2013 03:23 GMT
#12223
That's stupid; there are plenty of "American liberals" who wanted a public option and are actual liberals, whatever the hell that means.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 03:26 GMT
#12224
On November 07 2013 11:46 Roe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 11:45 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 11:22 coverpunch wrote:
On November 07 2013 08:59 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 08:27 sam!zdat wrote:
financialization is a way to use shell games to hoover up surplus-value out of the economy

there's a reason that most of the world's religions prohibited usury (yes christianity, yes judaism, exception of hinduism)

What aspects of financialization and what shell games are you referring to?

Religions say a lot of things. Sometimes really stupid things.

The article spells it out that Goldman Sachs positions itself as an underwriter for financial products and manipulates the sale of those products to create a bubble that they profit from.

Goldman Sachs would buy worthless sets of mortgage securities, re-brand them in a new name, have a MIT rocket scientist stamp his approval that some complex bullshit formula proved they were risk-free, and then parade it around with a AAA rating and sell it for a premium. It is the financial equivalent to buying expired food for pennies on the dollar, restamping the expiration date, and then selling it as though it were new, possibly even better than new. They also used known intermediaries to create rival bids or create hype to make the product seem even more exciting, like selling something on eBay but using your friends' or fake accounts to push up the bids.

It's weird to rehash 2009 again.

I'm not sure about the intermediaries bidding up prices aspect, but the other two complaints, that GS creates bubbles to sell at higher prices, or that GS takes junk and falsely repackages it as something great, don't sound correct.


Why aren't they correct? I'm assuming you've read the article since it was homework for today's class.


Because to be correct the bubble theory has to rely on the idea that GS knows something super special that no one else knows. That GS knows, ex-ante, the "real" value of something that's in a bubble and no one else, to any meaningful extent, knows that. Otherwise GS simply has on opinion of the real value, which may or may not be true ex-post.

People don't buy during a bubble simply because they've been duped by someone nefarious. They're buying based off of future predictions that turn out wrong. GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.

There's a similar problem with the idea of repackaging junk. If bad mortgage loans were made, that's unfortunate, but it doesn't mean that the bad loan can't be sold. It's a matter of evaluating the risk and coming up with a price. For the most part that process worked fine. AAA securities behaved about as well as AAA should. They weren't risk free, but they aren't supposed to be risk free. If GS had an opinion that they weren't worth as much as they were selling for - so what? GS isn't the ultimate arbiter of truth and justice. Opposing opinions can be just as valid and GS isn't necessarily obligated to convince someone that their opinion is wrong.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 03:28:26
November 07 2013 03:28 GMT
#12225
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh
shikata ga nai
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 03:35 GMT
#12226
On November 07 2013 12:28 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh

Not everyone can buy MBS and IPOs. Do you really read all these books you keep linking to?
Funnytoss
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Taiwan1471 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 03:40:02
November 07 2013 03:39 GMT
#12227
On November 07 2013 12:23 farvacola wrote:
That's stupid; there are plenty of "American liberals" who wanted a public option and are actual liberals, whatever the hell that means.


I guess I wasn't clear, trying to draw distinction between "Democrats" and "liberals".
AIV_Funnytoss and sGs.Funnytoss on iCCup
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
November 07 2013 03:44 GMT
#12228
Well there are Democrats that wanted single payer too
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 03:51:21
November 07 2013 03:51 GMT
#12229
On November 07 2013 12:35 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 12:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh

Not everyone can buy MBS and IPOs. Do you really read all these books you keep linking to?


you're selling it to grandma because you are selling it to things grandma "owns," like her pension fund. which is run by some busyness school clown

and yokels lining up to buy twitter right now so i dunno about yer IPOs
shikata ga nai
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 07 2013 04:01 GMT
#12230
On November 07 2013 12:35 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 12:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh

Not everyone can buy MBS and IPOs. Do you really read all these books you keep linking to?


You have a tendency to revert back to your ideological knee-jerk responses even when the issues have already been discussed to death. Shouldn't your extreme free-market opinion be that Golden Sachs can be as shady and nefarious as it wants, but that you don't approve of the bailout and think that we should have let the financial industry collapse into itself, destroying the world's economy but setting the stage for new creative capitalist growth out of the ashes? How can you say this bullshit when you know what actually happened, i.e. the banks got bailed out. They engage in systemic risk-taking, extreme leveraging, and ordinary deception because they can pass the buck to the federal government. These points are already conceded. It's like you forget what's happened and start from ground zero every time with what your ideology tells you should be the correct answer. At least have the gumption to admit that Goldman is a predatory profit-seeking corporation, and that you are ok with that, but that you want it to die when its risky investments blow up in its face.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 04:22:55
November 07 2013 04:21 GMT
#12231
On November 07 2013 12:51 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 12:35 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh

Not everyone can buy MBS and IPOs. Do you really read all these books you keep linking to?


you're selling it to grandma because you are selling it to things grandma "owns," like her pension fund. which is run by some busyness school clown

and yokels lining up to buy twitter right now so i dunno about yer IPOs

yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.

On November 07 2013 13:01 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 12:35 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 12:26 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
GS doesn't sell MBS or internet IPOs to grandma, they're selling to sophisticated buyers who not only have the ability to decide value on their own, but a duty to as well.


bullshit. they're selling it to grandma. you actually believe this "the market is full of rational actors" crap huh

Not everyone can buy MBS and IPOs. Do you really read all these books you keep linking to?


You have a tendency to revert back to your ideological knee-jerk responses even when the issues have already been discussed to death. Shouldn't your extreme free-market opinion be that Golden Sachs can be as shady and nefarious as it wants, but that you don't approve of the bailout and think that we should have let the financial industry collapse into itself, destroying the world's economy but setting the stage for new creative capitalist growth out of the ashes? How can you say this bullshit when you know what actually happened, i.e. the banks got bailed out. They engage in systemic risk-taking, extreme leveraging, and ordinary deception because they can pass the buck to the federal government. These points are already conceded. It's like you forget what's happened and start from ground zero every time with what your ideology tells you should be the correct answer. At least have the gumption to admit that Goldman is a predatory profit-seeking corporation, and that you are ok with that, but that you want it to die when its risky investments blow up in its face.

This isn't an ideological opinion. This isn't about everything banks do, it's about a couple specific issues.

Selling to a sophisticated pension fund isn't the same as selling to grandma. The pension fund is smart and has valid opinions. Sometimes their opinion will turn out wrong, but that's life. We can't predict the future 100% accurately. GS can't either. So when GS sells to a pension fund they don't have a duty to value their own opinion higher than the pension fund's. Sometimes GS's opinion will turn out to be correct, sometimes the pension fund's opinion will turn out to be correct. It's not shady and nefarious to sell something to a pension fund for $100 if you think it's worth $98 or even $50. Again, there is no true value known ex-ante. All you have is an opinion of the value.

Bank bailouts are completely separate to that. I've said that the bank bailouts were necessary and that banks shouldn't be allowed to leverage themselves so high.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 04:28:24
November 07 2013 04:28 GMT
#12232
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.
shikata ga nai
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 04:30 GMT
#12233
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 07 2013 04:46 GMT
#12234
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 04:53:50
November 07 2013 04:52 GMT
#12235
I certainly would prefer if more of the banks that did bad things had been allowed to die if their balance sheets were horrible.
If the economy can't function without them; then just manage their deaths more carefully so that their death doesn't cause a problem for the economy.

I got the feeling that a lot of the problem with toxic assets was a result of companies holding onto them; and if they had simply been forced through, and the losses taken; it woulda gotten much better afterwards.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Funnytoss
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Taiwan1471 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 05:02:46
November 07 2013 05:00 GMT
#12236
On November 07 2013 12:44 farvacola wrote:
Well there are Democrats that wanted single payer too


Very true - sadly, not enough to even make it an option. That's something that frustrates me - in a sense, both the Democrats and Republicans aren't monolithic; in that sense, it isn't *that* different from a multiparty coalition system in terms of interests and standpoints. However, when it actually comes to voting on something... argh. The FPTP system has really screwed us up.
AIV_Funnytoss and sGs.Funnytoss on iCCup
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 07 2013 05:00 GMT
#12237
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Gov. Chris Christie (R-N.J.) -- both possible 2016 Republican presidential contenders -- may be at odds again, the day after Christie celebrated his reelection.

During a Senate hearing Wednesday on the federal response to Hurricane Sandy, Paul voiced his disproval of the way some have politicized television ads meant to garner support for recovery fund campaigns.

Though Paul did not address Christie by name, he railed against funding campaigns in New Jersey that heavily featured political candidates, saying the ads give "a little bit of a black eye" to recovery efforts. The October 2012 storm killed more than 148 people and caused $68 billion in property damage.

“Some of these ads, people who are running for office put their mug all over the ads while they’re in the middle of a political campaign," Paul said. "In New Jersey, $25 million was spent on ads that included somebody running for political office."

Paul said this could create "a conflict of interest," upsetting taxpayers who expect their dollars to be spent otherwise.

"And that's why, when people are trying to do good and trying to use the taxpayer's money wisely, they're offended to see our money spent on political ads. That's just offensive," he said.

Paul reportedly also took issue with New York ads paid for using recovery funds. New Jersey and New York were hardest hit by the storm.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
November 07 2013 05:19 GMT
#12238
On November 07 2013 13:46 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."

Most "toxic shit" wasn't that toxic. AAA MBS defaults were extremely ratre. The big problem there wasn't huge investment losses, it was how the securities were being used (like cash, which caused a run). As for something like Abacus, I think there were some disclosure issues there, but I don't think (correct me if I'm wrong) GS was managing client money there.

You seem to be mixing issues here. If we're discussing GS selling "shit" there's zero need to bring up bailouts. GS is in zero need of a bailout from selling things, be it shit or gold.

"Sucking up surplus capital" is what the financial sector is supposed to do. That's where my comment about the RS article sounding like a left wing version of "end the fed" came from. The financial sector is supposed to enable economic activity by quickly grabbing surplus money and then using it for something.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 05:28:13
November 07 2013 05:20 GMT
#12239
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
and then using it for something.


yeah, more finance

edit: anyway, I said "hoover up surplus-value" not "suck up surplus capital", which are completely and utterly different things, but let's not get too "philosophical" before bedtime
shikata ga nai
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-07 05:32:25
November 07 2013 05:32 GMT
#12240
On November 07 2013 14:19 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2013 13:46 IgnE wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:30 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:28 sam!zdat wrote:
On November 07 2013 13:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
yeah sam, the busyness school clowns at GS are omniscient and the busyness school clowns at the pension fund are all stupid.


they're all idiots, obviously. the blind leading the blind.

Then why should GS treat it's opinion as the one true truth?


Because when it's selling toxic shit to thousands of other banks in order to pad its own bottom line, there are no repercussions when it all goes bad, because there will just be a bailout. You seem to just be shifting the blame to the "sophisticated buyers" who bought all that shit from GS. It's like blaming the homeowners who bought homes that were mortgaged to the hilt because they were told that a home is a great investment that can only go up in value. You can't say it's just the buyers fault when GS claims to have a duty to its client while its employees are sending intraoffice emails laughing about how dumb the person they just sold the garbage to is for willingly getting fleeced.

I don't understand how you can sit here in 2013 and claim that GS is not knowingly fleecing people in order to line its own wallets with the security of a potential bailout in the background if anything goes wrong. Do you not remember the Abacus Fund, where GS lost $1bn for its client investors based on GS's own supposedly expert advice? Perhaps a particularly damning fact is that you would have been much better off simply investing in GS Inc. stock over the last ten years than actually letting them manage your money. They are predators on the financial landscape sucking up surplus capital and you apparently see no problem with this in a world where the bank bailouts "were necessary."

Most "toxic shit" wasn't that toxic. AAA MBS defaults were extremely ratre. The big problem there wasn't huge investment losses, it was how the securities were being used (like cash, which caused a run). As for something like Abacus, I think there were some disclosure issues there, but I don't think (correct me if I'm wrong) GS was managing client money there.

You seem to be mixing issues here. If we're discussing GS selling "shit" there's zero need to bring up bailouts. GS is in zero need of a bailout from selling things, be it shit or gold.

"Sucking up surplus capital" is what the financial sector is supposed to do. That's where my comment about the RS article sounding like a left wing version of "end the fed" came from. The financial sector is supposed to enable economic activity by quickly grabbing surplus money and then using it for something.


Their clients and the people they sold things to were in need of a bailout.

As to Abacus:
Facts of the case that all parties have agreed upon include:
  • Goldman was approached by John Paulson of Paulson & Co. to assemble a synthetic CDO, dubbed ABACUS 2007-AC1, in exchange for a $15 million fee.

  • Goldman brought in an outside asset manager (ACA Capital) to aid in the selection of collateral that was to comprise ABACUS. In the end, it consisted primarily of subprime mortgage securities.

  • Goldman sold ABACUS to German-based bank IKB.

  • Paulson effectively shorted ABACUS by entering into credit default swaps to buy protection on specific layers of the CDO (the senior tranches).

  • The CDO ultimately failed as a result of the subprime market meltdown. In the end, John Paulson netted approximately $1 billion, IKB lost approximately $150 million, ACA Capital lost approximately $900 million, and Goldman lost approximately $100 million (which was partially offset by the $15 million fee it received from Paulson & Co.).


The disagreements between the parties center on the information Goldman provided to the parties on the “other” side of the transaction and on the sales strategies Goldman employed to close the deal.

In short, the SEC alleged that Goldman made materially misleading statements and omissions in connection with the ABACUS CDO placement. The SEC charged that Goldman’s marketing materials for ABACUS conveyed that ACA Management, an independent third party with experience analyzing RMBS credit risk, selected the reference portfolio of the RMBS underlying the CDO. In fact John Paulson (who, unbeknownst to IKB, had a direct adverse economic interest in the instrument) played a significant role in the portfolio selection. Additionally, the SEC alleged that Goldman’s salesman for ABACUS, Fabrice Tourre, misled ACA into believing that Paulson had invested hundreds of millions of dollars in the equity of ABACUS. Tourre further said that Paulson’s interests in the collateral selection process were aligned with ACA’s when in reality their interests sharply conflicted.


As for GS managing people's money, the fact that GS's profits have far outpaced the expected return for the average investor over the last 10 years shows you where their priorities lie.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
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