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On November 01 2016 10:06 biology]major wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 10:03 Jaaaaasper wrote:On November 01 2016 09:55 Ropid wrote:On November 01 2016 09:36 Jaaaaasper wrote:On November 01 2016 09:33 Sermokala wrote: I feel really bad for comey though. For all the shit hes going to get for releasing the info about reopening the investigation 11 days before the election he'd be much worse off for releasing that after the election.
And all this started with the conversation between bill clinton and the AG at the airport. He wanted to provide transparency about the process with the impropriety implied by the AG. But he couldn't just go back on that now that more information has come to light after the weiner investigation found more emails. By saying that he wouldn't recommend charges back then he was forced to say that he was reopening the investigation when the new information came no matter how asinine it is.
Crazy election would end with a crazy set of circumstances. Comey has lost credibility and lost control of the FBI. He fucked up hard with his handling of all of this Yeah, but that weird meeting between Bill Clinton and Loretta Lynch should be important? That should be involved in the first weirdness in July where Comey was the one who recommended to stop the investigation after presenting the first results of it. Normally he should have just made a presentation without recommending anything, and then the DoJ should have published an opinion and ordered the investigation stopped. They couldn't do that because it would have looked rigged so they made Comey look suspicious instead. That meeting could be a meeting between two old freinds, a poorly timed one for sure, but no evidence it was more than that. Lynch doesn't have power to directly control the FBI anyways, as evidenced by this mess. You think they talked about grandkids and yoga for 40 minutes? Given the circumstances? Far more likely than them plotting election rigging and political corruption in public like that. The double standard on the Clintons is hilarious. People accuse them of both massive incompetence, and pulling off some incredilby impressive feats in their corruption.
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On November 01 2016 11:21 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 11:18 pmh wrote: This attack on comey from the democrats makes little sense to me,i don't see how it will help Clinton. Now they make comey an enemy,why? If they push it to far it will be between Clinton and the fbi/comey and I don't think Clinton would win that. I really don't know. But I have to say I think much less of Congressional Democrats after seeing how they turn into whiny bitches when the FBI does something they don't like, after heaping praise when they recommended Hillary not be charged. I concur in this. the sad state of politicians 
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
On November 01 2016 11:22 Thieving Magpie wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 11:15 LegalLord wrote:On November 01 2016 11:12 Blisse wrote:On November 01 2016 10:43 Thieving Magpie wrote:On November 01 2016 10:12 Blisse wrote:On November 01 2016 08:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:On November 01 2016 07:58 zlefin wrote: I'd have thought any regular thread follower by now could put together a list of solid weaknesses/flaws for Hillary; or valid criticisms against. Sure, there might not be many when you clear away the chaff, but there's certainly a few.
magpie, surely you can identify 1-2 issues with Hillary that you believe are sound? More than 1-2 Tim Kaine nomination to me is her biggest as it tells me that she thinks she's the liberal candidate when she really is the centrist. This suggests she's either slightly out of touch, or is just super committed to pre-made plans that her and her advisors have already agreed on--neither are very good. Assuming she is the more positive of the two--which is that she is inflexible at shifting gears once a plan is in motion--this is very good for "pull the trigger" decisions/scenarios (like the oft touted Bin Laden humble brag), less so for softer touch long term engagements. Obama and Bill were super flexible and super good at re-translating shifts in their plans so it never seemed like they were comprising or out of touch, which is how Obama was able to get his drone programming running for years before anyone realized it. Bush Jr. was really bad at it and is the reason why he got a lot of support for Afghanistan but was unable to shift public sentiment when he found reason to go after Iraq. The nomination tells me she will be closer to Bush Jr. in this department which has its biggest problems when guiding the american people through times when plans go south; like if her touted education program does not get enough support for example. Things like this are important because of the nature of political support and public sentiment being super entwined with each other such that slip ups like that end up slowing down progress across the board. I'm also fairly unhappy with her decision to isolate Russia as a target of interest. Not that I disagree with her assessment of the situation, but this is definitely something that her "supporters" should be vocal about while she herself should be silent about. She has been super far ahead of Trump and does not need to make foreign policy promises she might be forced to delay. Obama made a similar error during his Primary run with his emphasis of getting out of Iraq and shifting armed focus to Afghanistan. As such we got stuck with an "exit strategy" for Iraq that was not slow enough, despite it taking nearly half a decade to complete. The reason Obama did it however was because he was the underdog, as such he needed to show the people something about him that makes the risk of voting for him worth it. Hillary is not in the same position. Hillary went on defense when she didn't have to in this case and will force a policy decision before she has all the facts in place--that makes me nervous. Another issue I have with Hillary is her wanting to both expand the ACA while making education free for certain demographics at the same time. For the education portion of her policy she is forced into it in order to gain Bernie's support, but putting together these policies at the same time before the Republican Party imploded tells me that she did not plan to get improvements to the ACA passed since it would have been easier to negotiate an education reform bill at the cost of expanding the ACA than the other way around. She might have gotten lucky with Trump causing a self destruct on the GOP allowing a possible switch in house and senate majority allowing her to get both her asks instead of just one of them--but its definitely a sticky point for me that she would use the ACA as leverage tool like that. Thankfully the implosion might prevent this from happening, but her sticking with Kaine makes me nervous about her being able to adapt to the new circumstance smoothly. These are the kinds of issues I have with Hillary, and most candidates actually. I have more than a few more of these complaints, but for the most part I aim to keep my issues based on what she has said or did recently as opposed to what she did almost two to three decades ago. I agree with the other 2 points, this 1st one is interesting. This election doesn't run get any policy coverage but from what I've seen I get the opposite impression that she's more careful about handling negative backlash in order to achieve her agenda. She seems to be willing to moderate/reverse her opinions when it turns out they are unpopular with the public, re: Bernie with Obamacare, Armenian genocide, trade. Interesting theory about Obama vs Bush too. I think it's both a positive to be willing to change positions when you realize it's not popular (ability to reflect on decisions and willingness change your mind), but also a negative in terms of looking weak on stances when you change so much (see Clinton Campaign Manager Lost Track of Shifting Position on Trade). I can see where people would be annoyed with supporting her due to her previous positions and finding out she changed them, and I can see where people would be against a candidate that didn't seem to have solid stances. Personally I don't think that being flexible is a weakness unless it's more like you only shift for the sake of shifting and never has definite stances. I think she currently projects a strong stance on some issues and a shifting stance on others, and I believe all of her policy shifts are somewhat reasonable responses. I don't have any informed opinion about Kaine but he didn't seem that bad. I really don't like how inexperienced she is with technology. Obama was great for that so any change would be disappointing. I don't think the private email server was a problem because I think everyone? uses a private email server anyways. There's no evidence that she did anything treasonous with her email server, and it just seems less scandalous than something like the Bush administration missing emails on specific important dates I linked earlier back. Furthermore about her deleting emails, she's legally allowed to delete personal emails, and they didn't find any evidence of her intentionally deleting personal emails that were actually work emails. A private email server isn't any less secure than the email servers that they were normally using anyways, but from a security standpoint in 2016 it's disappointing she doesn't seem to be in touch with technology because I expect more of my presidents but it's not a disqualifying factor. I believe she made her aides handle it and they handled it really poorly. I'd expect my president to be smarter than that but I have higher tech standards. My personal biggest thing against her is that she doesn't seem to be aware of the image that she projects (either that or she's extremely aware and doing it intentionally). My main evidence for this is her paid speeches. There has been no evidence that she's changed her stance due to a donation to the Clinton Foundation, but there are so many ties that could be drawn that it doesn't seem smart to stoke the fire by accepting the donations/doing the speeches, but she and Bill still do so. I think John Oliver said it doesn't seem like her aides are willing to say "hey don't you think this is a bad idea" to them. That's a bit scary if her advisors aren't able to realize these kinds of problems and change her mind, but that she's also not aware of the image it projects. Also she toes the legal line so hard on everything. I can't tell if that's impressive and necessary for people at that level or masking illegal activity. I'd like to clarify my analysis on the Kaine VP choice. It is the fact that she is so damn good at controlling the flow of information and controlling the accuracy of her positions that makes me confused about the Kaine choice. As I said, she either does not understand the image it projects, or she is specifically trying to present herself as the "leftist" choice. My assumption is that she and her team understand that she needs to be the "leftist choice" come Nov 8, but it just feels weird picking Kaine to try to create that image instead of someone more right leaning. They're both solid middle of the road choices and most VP's are usually used to convince certain demographics to shift towards the primary candidate. The third option that I did not state because it is one that's devoid of strategic choice is that of all the people she and her team talked to, Kaine was the one who actually had the same ideals as her and she picked him not for strategic value (as most VP Picks are) but because she was so certain of herself to win that she picked the person who she felt would have the best positive impact for her administration. (ie, she actually picked who she wanted for VP and not the VP most likely to help her win the nomination) Its definitely a hard read, like when you see a pro do an "obviously stupid move" and you're not sure if it was mistake or if he was on so many levels of meta-gaming that it was just way beyond you. Interesting. I read a few articles about Kaine and he seemed really sane to me (the articles also regretfully reminded me that McCain chose Palin in 08). I can see arguments all three ways really. One article made the argument that Hillary believed she had the election already and just needed to make it to the end unscathed, so she didn't need to choose a VP that appealed to any demographic. She basically picked an even less charismatic version of herself. + Show Spoiler +And given that he's male and we STILL think he's less charismatic, TM would argue that he must be really, really, really uncharismatic at that. Its super unfair to call Kaine charismatic just because he doesn't say extreme things like Bernie/Trump. Is it super unfair to call him uncharismatic because he has zero presence whatsoever in every event I have ever seen him be involved in?
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On November 01 2016 10:39 GGTeMpLaR wrote: Who ever said she was a corrupt genius? No one, its a straw man.
Hillary is paranoid and probably technologically challenged, thus the server and poor protocols around everything (she obviously prioritized her own ease of access). Her "corruption" is evidence of her and Bill's great command of the law and how to skirt the edges of pay-to-play. These are not contradictions, particularly, given that she also has a hint of arrogance, which lets her think she would not be caught because of something like hacked emails.
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On November 01 2016 11:24 LegalLord wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 11:22 Thieving Magpie wrote:On November 01 2016 11:15 LegalLord wrote:On November 01 2016 11:12 Blisse wrote:On November 01 2016 10:43 Thieving Magpie wrote:On November 01 2016 10:12 Blisse wrote:On November 01 2016 08:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:On November 01 2016 07:58 zlefin wrote: I'd have thought any regular thread follower by now could put together a list of solid weaknesses/flaws for Hillary; or valid criticisms against. Sure, there might not be many when you clear away the chaff, but there's certainly a few.
magpie, surely you can identify 1-2 issues with Hillary that you believe are sound? More than 1-2 Tim Kaine nomination to me is her biggest as it tells me that she thinks she's the liberal candidate when she really is the centrist. This suggests she's either slightly out of touch, or is just super committed to pre-made plans that her and her advisors have already agreed on--neither are very good. Assuming she is the more positive of the two--which is that she is inflexible at shifting gears once a plan is in motion--this is very good for "pull the trigger" decisions/scenarios (like the oft touted Bin Laden humble brag), less so for softer touch long term engagements. Obama and Bill were super flexible and super good at re-translating shifts in their plans so it never seemed like they were comprising or out of touch, which is how Obama was able to get his drone programming running for years before anyone realized it. Bush Jr. was really bad at it and is the reason why he got a lot of support for Afghanistan but was unable to shift public sentiment when he found reason to go after Iraq. The nomination tells me she will be closer to Bush Jr. in this department which has its biggest problems when guiding the american people through times when plans go south; like if her touted education program does not get enough support for example. Things like this are important because of the nature of political support and public sentiment being super entwined with each other such that slip ups like that end up slowing down progress across the board. I'm also fairly unhappy with her decision to isolate Russia as a target of interest. Not that I disagree with her assessment of the situation, but this is definitely something that her "supporters" should be vocal about while she herself should be silent about. She has been super far ahead of Trump and does not need to make foreign policy promises she might be forced to delay. Obama made a similar error during his Primary run with his emphasis of getting out of Iraq and shifting armed focus to Afghanistan. As such we got stuck with an "exit strategy" for Iraq that was not slow enough, despite it taking nearly half a decade to complete. The reason Obama did it however was because he was the underdog, as such he needed to show the people something about him that makes the risk of voting for him worth it. Hillary is not in the same position. Hillary went on defense when she didn't have to in this case and will force a policy decision before she has all the facts in place--that makes me nervous. Another issue I have with Hillary is her wanting to both expand the ACA while making education free for certain demographics at the same time. For the education portion of her policy she is forced into it in order to gain Bernie's support, but putting together these policies at the same time before the Republican Party imploded tells me that she did not plan to get improvements to the ACA passed since it would have been easier to negotiate an education reform bill at the cost of expanding the ACA than the other way around. She might have gotten lucky with Trump causing a self destruct on the GOP allowing a possible switch in house and senate majority allowing her to get both her asks instead of just one of them--but its definitely a sticky point for me that she would use the ACA as leverage tool like that. Thankfully the implosion might prevent this from happening, but her sticking with Kaine makes me nervous about her being able to adapt to the new circumstance smoothly. These are the kinds of issues I have with Hillary, and most candidates actually. I have more than a few more of these complaints, but for the most part I aim to keep my issues based on what she has said or did recently as opposed to what she did almost two to three decades ago. I agree with the other 2 points, this 1st one is interesting. This election doesn't run get any policy coverage but from what I've seen I get the opposite impression that she's more careful about handling negative backlash in order to achieve her agenda. She seems to be willing to moderate/reverse her opinions when it turns out they are unpopular with the public, re: Bernie with Obamacare, Armenian genocide, trade. Interesting theory about Obama vs Bush too. I think it's both a positive to be willing to change positions when you realize it's not popular (ability to reflect on decisions and willingness change your mind), but also a negative in terms of looking weak on stances when you change so much (see Clinton Campaign Manager Lost Track of Shifting Position on Trade). I can see where people would be annoyed with supporting her due to her previous positions and finding out she changed them, and I can see where people would be against a candidate that didn't seem to have solid stances. Personally I don't think that being flexible is a weakness unless it's more like you only shift for the sake of shifting and never has definite stances. I think she currently projects a strong stance on some issues and a shifting stance on others, and I believe all of her policy shifts are somewhat reasonable responses. I don't have any informed opinion about Kaine but he didn't seem that bad. I really don't like how inexperienced she is with technology. Obama was great for that so any change would be disappointing. I don't think the private email server was a problem because I think everyone? uses a private email server anyways. There's no evidence that she did anything treasonous with her email server, and it just seems less scandalous than something like the Bush administration missing emails on specific important dates I linked earlier back. Furthermore about her deleting emails, she's legally allowed to delete personal emails, and they didn't find any evidence of her intentionally deleting personal emails that were actually work emails. A private email server isn't any less secure than the email servers that they were normally using anyways, but from a security standpoint in 2016 it's disappointing she doesn't seem to be in touch with technology because I expect more of my presidents but it's not a disqualifying factor. I believe she made her aides handle it and they handled it really poorly. I'd expect my president to be smarter than that but I have higher tech standards. My personal biggest thing against her is that she doesn't seem to be aware of the image that she projects (either that or she's extremely aware and doing it intentionally). My main evidence for this is her paid speeches. There has been no evidence that she's changed her stance due to a donation to the Clinton Foundation, but there are so many ties that could be drawn that it doesn't seem smart to stoke the fire by accepting the donations/doing the speeches, but she and Bill still do so. I think John Oliver said it doesn't seem like her aides are willing to say "hey don't you think this is a bad idea" to them. That's a bit scary if her advisors aren't able to realize these kinds of problems and change her mind, but that she's also not aware of the image it projects. Also she toes the legal line so hard on everything. I can't tell if that's impressive and necessary for people at that level or masking illegal activity. I'd like to clarify my analysis on the Kaine VP choice. It is the fact that she is so damn good at controlling the flow of information and controlling the accuracy of her positions that makes me confused about the Kaine choice. As I said, she either does not understand the image it projects, or she is specifically trying to present herself as the "leftist" choice. My assumption is that she and her team understand that she needs to be the "leftist choice" come Nov 8, but it just feels weird picking Kaine to try to create that image instead of someone more right leaning. They're both solid middle of the road choices and most VP's are usually used to convince certain demographics to shift towards the primary candidate. The third option that I did not state because it is one that's devoid of strategic choice is that of all the people she and her team talked to, Kaine was the one who actually had the same ideals as her and she picked him not for strategic value (as most VP Picks are) but because she was so certain of herself to win that she picked the person who she felt would have the best positive impact for her administration. (ie, she actually picked who she wanted for VP and not the VP most likely to help her win the nomination) Its definitely a hard read, like when you see a pro do an "obviously stupid move" and you're not sure if it was mistake or if he was on so many levels of meta-gaming that it was just way beyond you. Interesting. I read a few articles about Kaine and he seemed really sane to me (the articles also regretfully reminded me that McCain chose Palin in 08). I can see arguments all three ways really. One article made the argument that Hillary believed she had the election already and just needed to make it to the end unscathed, so she didn't need to choose a VP that appealed to any demographic. She basically picked an even less charismatic version of herself. + Show Spoiler +And given that he's male and we STILL think he's less charismatic, TM would argue that he must be really, really, really uncharismatic at that. Its super unfair to call Kaine charismatic just because he doesn't say extreme things like Bernie/Trump. Is it super unfair to call him uncharismatic because he has zero presence whatsoever in every event I have ever seen him be involved in? He seems friendly. But boring. Very, very boring.
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Amid multiple reports drawing different connections between Donald Trump's campaign and Russia Monday night, the New York Times reported that FBI officials' investigations of the GOP nominee have yet to confirm ties between the two.
FBI officials said their investigations have yet to find a connection between the GOP presidential nominee and Russia.
The bureau has been investigating the Russian government’s role in the U.S. presidential election. But the FBI believes that the country was likely trying to disrupt the overall race, and not trying boost Trump’s chance of getting elected. The Monday night report comes after CNBC reported earlier in the day that FBI Director James Comey argued against accusing Russia of interfering in the election due to the timing, and because he did not want the accusation against Russia to come from his agency.
And Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) alleged earlier in the day that the FBI has “explosive information” about a connection between the two, suggesting federal investigators have “explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors and the Russian government” and must make it public.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303705-us-officials-see-no-link-between-trump-and-russia-report
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html
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lol those articles titles went from see no link to doubt there is a link pretty fast. That's both amusing and interesting. Given how fast this is breaking, I'm going to be interested how this story keeps changing. Given how the Carlos Danger emails story got twisted and spun, I'm betting the Clinton campaign will hammer him with this. And this article says nothing about Manafort, who is known to have been a Russian political operative, would be the most likely link to begin with.
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I guess the Slate article is simply garbage. If you look at the whois info, there's even a typo in the "Trump Orgainzation" entry. Why wasn't it mentioned that there's a second set of data with that Cendyn business and the mail contact also leading there? They wrote their stuff as if this is about a server sitting somewhere in Trump Tower.
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
All in all I'm glad Harry Reid is retiring. He certainly wore out his welcome with me over the past few years.
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On November 01 2016 11:47 oBlade wrote:Show nested quote +Amid multiple reports drawing different connections between Donald Trump's campaign and Russia Monday night, the New York Times reported that FBI officials' investigations of the GOP nominee have yet to confirm ties between the two.
FBI officials said their investigations have yet to find a connection between the GOP presidential nominee and Russia.
The bureau has been investigating the Russian government’s role in the U.S. presidential election. But the FBI believes that the country was likely trying to disrupt the overall race, and not trying boost Trump’s chance of getting elected. The Monday night report comes after CNBC reported earlier in the day that FBI Director James Comey argued against accusing Russia of interfering in the election due to the timing, and because he did not want the accusation against Russia to come from his agency.
And Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) alleged earlier in the day that the FBI has “explosive information” about a connection between the two, suggesting federal investigators have “explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors and the Russian government” and must make it public. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303705-us-officials-see-no-link-between-trump-and-russia-reporthttp://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html
It's pretty funny that the FBI concluding that there "could be an innocuous explanation" for sketchy server traffic they spent weeks investigating indicts Trump less than declining to charge Clinton did for conservatives.
I can't help but wonder what weeks of this investigation in the news alongside leaks from Wikileaks related to it would have done for the campaign.
On November 01 2016 11:57 Ropid wrote: I guess the Slate article is simply garbage. If you look at the whois info, there's even a typo in the "Trump Orgainzation" entry. Why wasn't it mentioned that there's a second set of data with that Cendyn business and the mail contact also leading there? They wrote their stuff as if this is about a server sitting somewhere in Trump Tower.
Yeah, I think you're blowing that out your ass. The Slate article basically copied exactly what the FBI did...and concluded the exact same thing...so they're at least as functional as the FBI. They just aren't willing to give Trump the benefit of the doubt.
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On November 01 2016 12:04 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 11:47 oBlade wrote:Amid multiple reports drawing different connections between Donald Trump's campaign and Russia Monday night, the New York Times reported that FBI officials' investigations of the GOP nominee have yet to confirm ties between the two.
FBI officials said their investigations have yet to find a connection between the GOP presidential nominee and Russia.
The bureau has been investigating the Russian government’s role in the U.S. presidential election. But the FBI believes that the country was likely trying to disrupt the overall race, and not trying boost Trump’s chance of getting elected. The Monday night report comes after CNBC reported earlier in the day that FBI Director James Comey argued against accusing Russia of interfering in the election due to the timing, and because he did not want the accusation against Russia to come from his agency.
And Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) alleged earlier in the day that the FBI has “explosive information” about a connection between the two, suggesting federal investigators have “explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors and the Russian government” and must make it public. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303705-us-officials-see-no-link-between-trump-and-russia-reporthttp://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html It's pretty funny that the FBI concluding that there "could be an innocuous explanation" for sketchy server traffic they spent weeks investigating indicts Trump less than declining to charge Clinton did for conservatives. I can't help but wonder what weeks of this investigation in the news alongside leaks from Wikileaks related to it would have done for the campaign. Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 11:57 Ropid wrote: I guess the Slate article is simply garbage. If you look at the whois info, there's even a typo in the "Trump Orgainzation" entry. Why wasn't it mentioned that there's a second set of data with that Cendyn business and the mail contact also leading there? They wrote their stuff as if this is about a server sitting somewhere in Trump Tower. Yeah, I think you're blowing that out your ass. The Slate article basically copied exactly what the FBI did...and concluded the exact same thing...so they're at least as functional as the FBI. They just aren't willing to give Trump the benefit of the doubt. Do you approach that story about Clinton as Secretary of State giving the go-ahead to sell Uranium to Russia after the Clinton Foundation had been wired a hundred million dollars from several Russian donors the same?
Russia recently proudly presented their new Satan II nukes which is why they were shopping around for materials a few years ago.
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On November 01 2016 12:14 Ropid wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2016 12:04 TheTenthDoc wrote:On November 01 2016 11:47 oBlade wrote:Amid multiple reports drawing different connections between Donald Trump's campaign and Russia Monday night, the New York Times reported that FBI officials' investigations of the GOP nominee have yet to confirm ties between the two.
FBI officials said their investigations have yet to find a connection between the GOP presidential nominee and Russia.
The bureau has been investigating the Russian government’s role in the U.S. presidential election. But the FBI believes that the country was likely trying to disrupt the overall race, and not trying boost Trump’s chance of getting elected. The Monday night report comes after CNBC reported earlier in the day that FBI Director James Comey argued against accusing Russia of interfering in the election due to the timing, and because he did not want the accusation against Russia to come from his agency.
And Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) alleged earlier in the day that the FBI has “explosive information” about a connection between the two, suggesting federal investigators have “explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors and the Russian government” and must make it public. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303705-us-officials-see-no-link-between-trump-and-russia-reporthttp://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/01/us/politics/fbi-russia-election-donald-trump.html It's pretty funny that the FBI concluding that there "could be an innocuous explanation" for sketchy server traffic they spent weeks investigating indicts Trump less than declining to charge Clinton did for conservatives. I can't help but wonder what weeks of this investigation in the news alongside leaks from Wikileaks related to it would have done for the campaign. On November 01 2016 11:57 Ropid wrote: I guess the Slate article is simply garbage. If you look at the whois info, there's even a typo in the "Trump Orgainzation" entry. Why wasn't it mentioned that there's a second set of data with that Cendyn business and the mail contact also leading there? They wrote their stuff as if this is about a server sitting somewhere in Trump Tower. Yeah, I think you're blowing that out your ass. The Slate article basically copied exactly what the FBI did...and concluded the exact same thing...so they're at least as functional as the FBI. They just aren't willing to give Trump the benefit of the doubt. Do you approach that story about Clinton as Secretary of State giving the go-ahead to sell Uranium to Russia after the Clinton Foundation had been wired a hundred million dollars from several Russian donors the same? Russia recently proudly presented their new Satan II nukes which is why they were shopping around for materials a few years ago.
Where exactly did I say Salon's interpretation is perfect? I like the instant deflection, too. Classic Trump.
I just have no idea why you're impugning the work of the Slate journalists when the FBI spent weeks doing the exact same thing with the same conclusions from a methods level.
Then again, maybe you're saying the FBI is garbage too, in which case I dunno if I should believe their reports about Clinton or Trump.
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I dislike the Slate article because I felt it was suggestive. It felt like they tried to push things as far as possible. They left out things that you can immediately find if you start searching around yourself.
Compare with the NYT article about that Uranium deal:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/24/us/cash-flowed-to-clinton-foundation-as-russians-pressed-for-control-of-uranium-company.html
I feel that's a much better article. You can see that it's fair to say that the donations were well intentioned. They explain why that can make sense. The writers could instead have pushed the narrative very far into treason territory, but they were fair so that you can decide yourself.
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So I just got around to reading some of the recent stuff about Trump + Russia. I think Josh Marshall's commentary here is pretty interesting. He notes (correctly, I think, although I don't know enough about IT stuff to know how damning the Slate article's evidence is) that the allegations being made here are incredibly serious, and this evidence is still pretty murky, so it's too soon to say anything conclusive about the current charges against Trump.
But on the other hand, what is pretty clear is that Trump is actively pursuing a foreign policy that is very pro-Russia. He's antagonizing our military allies ("we might defend you, we might not"), attacking NATO, and weakening Western alliances (all of which is completely consistent with Russia's foreign policy goals). He changed the Republican platform to weaken support for Ukraine, and said he would recognize the Russian annexation of Crimea and lift Russian sanctions. Add to that an impressive collection of both government and non-government agencies and analysts have confirmed that there has been a concerted cyberattack effort by Russia recently in an effort to influence this election. As Marshall puts it,
If Trump is advocating for Russia in the US political arena (he is), and Russia is conducting an espionage and disruption campaign on Trump's behalf in the US political area (highly likely), do I need to know if they're actually talking to each other while both these things are happening? I'm not sure I do.
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In the case of Clinton, we have all the evidence, how many emails, classified emails, deleting under subpoena, where the server was, who ran it, who had access, her making up all manner of CYA bullshit about not knowing what (C) means. This is information that came out from federal investigation. In Trump's case we have monsters under the bed.
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You know Trump did get instantly defensive when Hillary called him a Putin puppet in the last debate. My ears actually perked up at that. It seemed even quicker than a normal Trump meltdown. Guess I was on to the Illuminati plot early.
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On November 01 2016 12:35 oBlade wrote: In the case of Clinton, we have all the evidence, how many emails, classified emails, deleting under subpoena, where the server was, who ran it, who had access, her making up all manner of CYA bullshit about not knowing what (C) means. This is information that came out from federal investigation. In Trump's case we have monsters under the bed. On the other hand, in the case of Clinton there's no real chance that she was actually an operative for another country with whom we're not too friendly right now. With Trump it's a distinct possibility.
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A Veteran Spy Has Given the FBI Information Alleging a Russian Operation to Cultivate Donald Trump
On Friday, FBI Director James Comey set off a political blast when he informed congressional leaders that the bureau had stumbled across emails that might be pertinent to its completed inquiry into Hillary Clinton's handling of emails when she was secretary of state. The Clinton campaign and others criticized Comey for intervening in a presidential campaign by breaking with Justice Department tradition and revealing information about an investigation—information that was vague and perhaps ultimately irrelevant—so close to Election Day. On Sunday, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid upped the ante. He sent Comey a fiery letter saying the FBI chief may have broken the law and pointed to a potentially greater controversy: "In my communications with you and other top officials in the national security community, it has become clear that you possess explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors, and the Russian government…The public has a right to know this information."
Reid's missive set off a burst of speculation on Twitter and elsewhere. What was he referring to regarding the Republican presidential nominee? At the end of August, Reid had written to Comey and demanded an investigation of the "connections between the Russian government and Donald Trump's presidential campaign," and in that letter he indirectly referred to Carter Page, an American businessman cited by Trump as one of his foreign policy advisers, who had financial ties to Russia and had recently visited Moscow. Last month, Yahoo News reported that US intelligence officials were probing the links between Page and senior Russian officials. (Page has called accusations against him "garbage.") On Monday, NBC News reported that the FBI has mounted a preliminary inquiry into the foreign business ties of Paul Manafort, Trump's former campaign chief. But Reid's recent note hinted at more than the Page or Manafort affairs. And a former senior intelligence officer for a Western country who specialized in Russian counterintelligence tells Mother Jones that in recent months he provided the bureau with memos, based on his recent interactions with Russian sources, contending the Russian government has for years tried to co-opt and assist Trump—and that the FBI requested more information from him.
"This is something of huge significance, way above party politics," the former intelligence officer says. "I think [Trump's] own party should be aware of this stuff as well." Does this mean the FBI is investigating whether Russian intelligence has attempted to develop a secret relationship with Trump or cultivate him as an asset? Was the former intelligence officer and his material deemed credible or not? An FBI spokeswoman says, "Normally, we don't talk about whether we are investigating anything." But a senior US government official not involved in this case but familiar with the former spy tells Mother Jones that he has been a credible source with a proven record of providing reliable, sensitive, and important information to the US government.
In June, the former Western intelligence officer—who spent almost two decades on Russian intelligence matters and who now works with a US firm that gathers information on Russia for corporate clients—was assigned the task of researching Trump's dealings in Russia and elsewhere, according to the former spy and his associates in this American firm. This was for an opposition research project originally financed by a Republican client critical of the celebrity mogul. (Before the former spy was retained, the project's financing switched to a client allied with Democrats.) "It started off as a fairly general inquiry," says the former spook, who asks not to be identified. But when he dug into Trump, he notes, he came across troubling information indicating connections between Trump and the Russian government. According to his sources, he says, "there was an established exchange of information between the Trump campaign and the Kremlin of mutual benefit."
This was, the former spy remarks, "an extraordinary situation." He regularly consults with US government agencies on Russian matters, and near the start of July on his own initiative—without the permission of the US company that hired him—he sent a report he had written for that firm to a contact at the FBI, according to the former intelligence officer and his American associates, who asked not to be identified. (He declines to identify the FBI contact.) The former spy says he concluded that the information he had collected on Trump was "sufficiently serious" to share with the FBI.
Mother Jones has reviewed that report and other memos this former spy wrote. The first memo, based on the former intelligence officer's conversations with Russian sources, noted, "Russian regime has been cultivating, supporting and assisting TRUMP for at least 5 years. Aim, endorsed by PUTIN, has been to encourage splits and divisions in western alliance." It maintained that Trump "and his inner circle have accepted a regular flow of intelligence from the Kremlin, including on his Democratic and other political rivals." It claimed that Russian intelligence had "compromised" Trump during his visits to Moscow and could "blackmail him." It also reported that Russian intelligence had compiled a dossier on Hillary Clinton based on "bugged conversations she had on various visits to Russia and intercepted phone calls."
The former intelligence officer says the response from the FBI was "shock and horror." The FBI, after receiving the first memo, did not immediately request additional material, according to the former intelligence officer and his American associates. Yet in August, they say, the FBI asked him for all information in his possession and for him to explain how the material had been gathered and to identify his sources. The former spy forwarded to the bureau several memos—some of which referred to members of Trump's inner circle. After that point, he continued to share information with the FBI. "It's quite clear there was or is a pretty substantial inquiry going on," he says.
"This is something of huge significance, way above party politics," the former intelligence officer comments. "I think [Trump's] own party should be aware of this stuff as well."
The Trump campaign did not respond to a request for comment regarding the memos. In the past, Trump has declared, "I have nothing to do with Russia."
The FBI is certainly investigating the hacks attributed to Russia that have hit American political targets, including the Democratic National Committee and John Podesta, the chairman of Clinton's presidential campaign. But there have been few public signs of whether that probe extends to examining possible contacts between the Russian government and Trump. (In recent weeks, reporters in Washington have pursued anonymous online reports that a computer server related to the Trump Organization engaged in a high level of activity with servers connected to Alfa Bank, the largest private bank in Russia. On Monday, a Slate investigation detailed the pattern of unusual server activity but concluded, "We don't yet know what this [Trump] server was for, but it deserves further explanation." In an email to Mother Jones, Hope Hicks, a Trump campaign spokeswoman, maintains, "The Trump Organization is not sending or receiving any communications from this email server. The Trump Organization has no communication or relationship with this entity or any Russian entity.")
According to several national security experts, there is widespread concern in the US intelligence community that Russian intelligence, via hacks, is aiming to undermine the presidential election—to embarrass the United States and delegitimize its democratic elections. And the hacks appear to have been designed to benefit Trump. In August, Democratic members of the House committee on oversight wrote Comey to ask the FBI to investigate "whether connections between Trump campaign officials and Russian interests may have contributed to these [cyber] attacks in order to interfere with the US. presidential election." In September, Sen. Dianne Feinstein and Rep. Adam Schiff, the senior Democrats on, respectively, the Senate and House intelligence committees, issued a joint statement accusing Russia of underhanded meddling: "Based on briefings we have received, we have concluded that the Russian intelligence agencies are making a serious and concerted effort to influence the U.S. election. At the least, this effort is intended to sow doubt about the security of our election and may well be intended to influence the outcomes of the election." The Obama White House has declared Russia the culprit in the hacking capers, expressed outrage, and promised a "proportional" response.
There's no way to tell whether the FBI has confirmed or debunked any of the allegations contained in the former spy's memos. But a Russian intelligence attempt to co-opt or cultivate a presidential candidate would mark an even more serious operation than the hacking.
In the letter Reid sent to Comey on Sunday, he pointed out that months ago he had asked the FBI director to release information on Trump's possible Russia ties. Since then, according to a Reid spokesman, Reid has been briefed several times. The spokesman adds, "He is confident that he knows enough to be extremely alarmed."
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/10/veteran-spy-gave-fbi-info-alleging-russian-operation-cultivate-donald-trump
(This was written by the same journalist who publised the 47% tape in 2012, but I'd wait for at least another source before taking it at face value)
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United Kingdom13775 Posts
I mentioned in some earlier post way, way back about Ukraine's power grid getting hacked by some people I know who work in a nuclear power plant. Just now I stumbled upon something rather amusing, but probably only coincidentally related.
It was 3:30 p.m. last December 23, and residents of the Ivano-Frankivsk region of Western Ukraine were preparing to end their workday and head home through the cold winter streets. Inside the Prykarpattyaoblenergo control center, which distributes power to the region’s residents, operators too were nearing the end of their shift. But just as one worker was organizing papers at his desk that day, the cursor on his computer suddenly skittered across the screen of its own accord.
He watched as it navigated purposefully toward buttons controlling the circuit breakers at a substation in the region and then clicked on a box to open the breakers and take the substation offline. A dialogue window popped up on screen asking to confirm the action, and the operator stared dumbfounded as the cursor glided to the box and clicked to affirm. Somewhere in a region outside the city he knew that thousands of residents had just lost their lights and heaters.
The operator grabbed his mouse and tried desperately to seize control of the cursor, but it was unresponsive. Then as the cursor moved in the direction of another breaker, the machine suddenly logged him out of the control panel. Although he tried frantically to log back in, the attackers had changed his password preventing him from gaining re-entry. All he could do was stare helplessly at his screen while the ghosts in the machine clicked open one breaker after another, eventually taking about 30 substations offline. The attackers didn’t stop there, however. They also struck two other power distribution centers at the same time, nearly doubling the number of substations taken offline and leaving more than 230,000 residents in the dark. And as if that weren’t enough, they also disabled backup power supplies to two of the three distribution centers, leaving operators themselves stumbling in the dark. Source
Goes on to speculate about possible hackers (but no proof). Still, it's a pretty interesting example of what a cyber war could actually look like if someone is motivated enough to try to break in. Great example of why you don't try to start that kind of war game.
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