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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

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Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 19 2016 15:20 GMT
#112941
After how well Trump's plan of "go ape shit" during the second debate panned out, I'm starting to wonder if the wild idea of just trying to talk policy and be a decent human being might be what he tries tonight. Is it possible he could stop hemorrhaging support by just trying to play it cool and be respectable?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 19 2016 15:27 GMT
#112942
It’s an odd feeling to be working for the election of someone you know dislikes you and your colleagues. I’ve spent a good chunk of this month trying to register voters on campuses in Pennsylvania and Ohio—registering them to vote against Donald Trump, which means pushing for the election of Hillary Clinton. It wasn’t how I wanted to spend the fall—I’d much rather have been campaigning for Bernie Sanders.

It didn’t get any easier when Wikileaks released a tape of Clinton talking to backers in the building-trades unions about the environmental work so many of us (including much of the rest of organized labor) have been engaged in for the last few years. “They come to my rallies and they yell at me and, you know, all the rest of it. They say, ‘Will you promise never to take any fossil fuels out of the earth ever again?’ No. I won’t promise that. Get a life, you know.”

I know the young people Clinton was talking about, and they weren’t demanding she somehow wave a wand and stop the fossil-fuel age overnight. They were asking her about the scientific studies showing that we can’t actually keep mining and drilling new supplies of coal, oil, and gas if we’re going to meet the temperature targets set with such fanfare in Paris last year. They were asking her to support the “Keep It In the Ground” Act introduced by Senator Jeff Merkley of Oregon and endorsed by a passel of other senators, from Barbara Boxer of California to Kirsten Gillibrand of New York. (Oh yeah, and that guy Bernie.) They were also asking her to take a stand against fracking, since new studies demonstrate quite clearly that the release of methane from the use of natural gas makes climate change worse. Publicly, she hemmed and hawed. When Bernie said in a debate that he was against fracking, period, Clinton said, “By the time we get through all of my conditions, I do not think there will be many places in America where fracking will continue to take place.” That was a pretty weak hedge to begin with, but we now know that privately she reassured the building trades unions: “My view is, I want to defend natural gas…. I want to defend fracking.”

Truth be told, these aren’t revelations. All of us working on climate issues have known this is how Clinton feels; she set up a whole wing of the State Department devoted to spreading fracking around the world. She’d favored the Keystone Pipeline from the start, and it was abundantly clear that only Sanders’s unexpected success in the primaries convinced her she’d have to change. (And it was only his refusal to endorse her until after the platform was agreed upon that made the platform into the fairly progressive document that it is, on climate and other issues). Still, it stings to see in black and white exactly how little regard she has for people fighting pipelines, frack wells, coal ports. Though truth be told, that was no huge surprise either: Politicians are forever saying they want people engaged in the political process, but most of them really just want people to vote and then go home.

So why are many of us out there working to beat Trump and elect her? Because Trump is truly a horror. He’s man who looks at fourth-grade girls and imagines that he’ll be dating them in ten years. He’s a racist. He knows next to nothing and lacks the intellectual curiosity to find out more. He’s a bully. He’s almost a cartoonish villain: If a writer invented a character this evil, no one would believe them. But he’s very nearly president.

Because environmentalists are not just concerned about the climate—we have allies and friends whom we support. And on some of those issues Clinton actually seems sincere: She clearly cares about women’s issues and understands that we are a nation of immigrants.

Because if Trump wins, we backslide on the small gains we’ve made. We’ve forced Clinton to say through gritted teeth that she opposes Keystone, for instance. She can’t, I think, go back on that. Trump has made it clear he’ll permit that and every other pipeline, just as soon as he’s done tearing up the Paris climate accord.

But none of that makes it easy to go out and support her. We’ve watched all fall as she’s maintained a studied silence about the most dramatic and important fossil-fuel fight of the moment, the Dakota Access Pipeline. Even the sight of attack dogs being used on peaceful Native American protesters didn’t move her to break ranks with her industry allies and that fraction of the labor movement that still wants to build pipelines. That’s craven on her part, pure and simple.

And so the good news is that when she wins, none of us will be under the slightest illusion about who she is. The honeymoon won’t last 10 minutes; on November 9 we’ll be organizing for science and human rights and against the timid incrementalism that marks her approach. It’s clear that we need to beat the creepy perv she’s running against. It’s also clear that we then need to press harder than ever for real progress on the biggest crisis the world has ever faced.

“Get a life”? We’ve got a planet, just one.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
JinDesu
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3990 Posts
October 19 2016 15:27 GMT
#112943
Debate#1 - Get baited.
Public response: Man, he's kinda immature...

Debate#2 - Get baited.
Public response: Wow, he really is immature...

Debate#3 - Don't get baited.
Public response: See? He learned! He's obviously the better candidate.
Yargh
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
October 19 2016 15:28 GMT
#112944
On October 20 2016 00:20 Mohdoo wrote:
After how well Trump's plan of "go ape shit" during the second debate panned out, I'm starting to wonder if the wild idea of just trying to talk policy and be a decent human being might be what he tries tonight. Is it possible he could stop hemorrhaging support by just trying to play it cool and be respectable?


About the same as the likelihood in drops to his knees and sobs into the camera saying "this election is a joke, the best the establishment can do is a Warhawk harpy who wants to continue obama's drone war against humanity. I'm not going to be part of that that shit. Join me in revolution, join me right now and retake this country. I believe in the second amendment, I believe in you, and I believe we can do this together" and then he pulls out a gun and walks out of the debate.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44171 Posts
October 19 2016 15:37 GMT
#112945
The problem with Donald Trump trying not to look like a piece of shit is that he's not a very good actor.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 19 2016 15:46 GMT
#112946
Would Trump do better by just doing Mr Garrison quotes from south park the whole debate? sad that it seems he almost might do better with that.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 19 2016 16:00 GMT
#112947
I'm kind of expecting Clinton to go bananas on HIM. With these 6 witnesses coming out, I think Clinton has an opportunity to really pound him on that and to totally throw him off guard. I think if she can be *actually* aggressive and aggressive towards him, she has the possibility of causing tilt.

I expect a couple such episodes of well practiced, firm, pointed attacks. She will dig a dagger in twice, spread out, then effectively defend herself otherwise. I think she'll focus on laying out specific plans that have wide-ranging support. She might even talk about how she would improve the ACA and admit places where it has failed Americans.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44171 Posts
October 19 2016 16:06 GMT
#112948
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
October 19 2016 16:08 GMT
#112949
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


Not to say this is entirely a proper comparison, but in many competitive games, being up 2-0 in a BO5 often makes it a great idea to go wild in game 3. Giving your opponent a second opportunity to properly adapt can sometimes backfire.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
October 19 2016 16:17 GMT
#112950
On October 20 2016 01:08 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


Not to say this is entirely a proper comparison, but in many competitive games, being up 2-0 in a BO5 often makes it a great idea to go wild in game 3. Giving your opponent a second opportunity to properly adapt can sometimes backfire.

Yeah, but Trump is your typical one trick pony cheeser, so you only need to play solid macro against that.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-19 16:19:12
October 19 2016 16:18 GMT
#112951
On October 20 2016 01:00 Mohdoo wrote:
I'm kind of expecting Clinton to go bananas on HIM. With these 6 witnesses coming out, I think Clinton has an opportunity to really pound him on that and to totally throw him off guard. I think if she can be *actually* aggressive and aggressive towards him, she has the possibility of causing tilt.

I expect a couple such episodes of well practiced, firm, pointed attacks. She will dig a dagger in twice, spread out, then effectively defend herself otherwise. I think she'll focus on laying out specific plans that have wide-ranging support. She might even talk about how she would improve the ACA and admit places where it has failed Americans.

When you attack someone, it makes you look bad too. It's best not to make attacks that are already so much in the spotlight that no one thinks about anything else. While it's worth bringing them up if you can make some strong and targeted talking point against them (Bernie Sanders, for example, should have really hammered Hillary early and severely for some of her many unpopular political involvements), overemphasizing the issue is just not worth it. See: Congressional Hearing #XXXX on Hillary Clinton's email server.

Obama did a drive-by shot at Romney for the 47 percent in his closing remarks - that's about the extent to which Hillary should mention the tapes.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6275 Posts
October 19 2016 16:18 GMT
#112952
On October 19 2016 19:42 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 19 2016 17:11 oBlade wrote:
On October 19 2016 16:00 Biff The Understudy wrote:
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_5806f564e4b0dd54ce364558

70 nobel laureates from all fields wrote an open letter saying they support strongly Hillary Clinton and that in the interest of science and the safeguard of our freedom she must become president of the united states.

Clearly a rigged election, no nobel supports Trump. Very unfair.

Is the eminent Bob Dylan represented?

Nobel prize is clearly worth nothing, u right bro. Especially stuff like chemistry, economics or physics.

I'm not your bro and you seem wound up over nothing. Nobel prize winners do not control the focus and flow of information, like the media, and they aren't likely to cast ballots from the grave. While you may be proud of the endorsements, they're not related to the rigged election talking point.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
October 19 2016 16:19 GMT
#112953
On October 20 2016 01:08 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


Not to say this is entirely a proper comparison, but in many competitive games, being up 2-0 in a BO5 often makes it a great idea to go wild in game 3. Giving your opponent a second opportunity to properly adapt can sometimes backfire.


It is more like a Bo5, but you have to play out all 5 matches, you are leading 4-0, all you have to do in the last match is not get DQ'ed for an offensive GG or PPP. So just keep doing what you are doing.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-19 16:24:02
October 19 2016 16:21 GMT
#112954
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


I don't think there's any style that she CAN change into without alienating some people outside of minor adjustments (like having quips similar to the first debate). Anything that deviates from what she's already shown in the debates will just be interpreted as her being a bitch or emotional or failing that pretentious.

Plus I think Clinton is trying to head off an obstructionist GoP party by cutting them HUGE amounts of slack for the disaster train that is Donald Trump even though the GOP has been on that track for many years now. Being too aggressive would probably not help that much.
Logo
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
October 19 2016 16:23 GMT
#112955
Very often, academics vote for and endorse whatever group is more likely to provide them with funding. That's not a bad thing in the slightest, but like any self-interested party you should always take their opinion with a grain of salt.

That said, if every expert tells you that you're a moron, then you probably are.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6275 Posts
October 19 2016 16:30 GMT
#112956


https://theintercept.com/2016/10/19/is-disclosure-of-podestas-emails-a-step-too-far-a-conversation-with-naomi-klein/

When I first started defending WikiLeaks back in 2010, one of my primary arguments was that WikiLeaks, contrary to the way they were being depicted by the U.S. intelligence community and their friends, was not some reckless rogue agent running around sociopathically dumping information on the internet without concern about who might be endangered. And in fact, if you look at how the biggest WikiLeaks releases were handled early on — the Iraq and Afghanistan war logs, as well as the State Department cables — not only did they redact huge numbers of documents on the grounds that doing so was necessary to protect the welfare of innocent people, they actually requested that the State Department meet with them to help them figure out what kind of information should be withheld on the grounds that it could endanger innocent people.

So they were very much an ardent and enthusiastic proponent of that model — that when you get tons of information that belongs in the public eye, you have the corresponding responsibility to protect not only people’s physical security but also their privacy. I used to defend them on that all the time.

Somewhere along the way, WikiLeaks and Julian decided, and they’ve said this explicitly, that they changed their mind on that question — they no longer believe in redactions or withholding documents of any kind.

During our reporting on the Snowden material, we did not just take the archive and dump it on the internet, as a lot of people called for. We spent years very carefully curating it and keeping parts of it secret that might endanger individual privacy, harm people’s reputations unjustifiably, or otherwise put them in harm’s way. And WikiLeaks publicly and viciously attacked us for years. They continue to, actually, over the fact that we were the so-called gatekeepers of information. It was always my view — and continues to be — that it would have been incredibly hypocritical for us to say that these documents need to see the light of day because people’s privacy is being compromised, and then in the same breath, release documents that would destroy people’s privacy because they’re too lazy or don’t think it’s justifiable to go through and redact.

So there’s debate, even among people who believe in radical transparency, over the proper way to handle information like this. I think WikiLeaks more or less at this point stands alone in believing that these kinds of dumps are ethically — never mind journalistically — just ethically, as a human being, justifiable. I think that debate has been vibrant and healthy, and I do think you’re probably right that it needs to be even more so now that we have so many more examples, like the leak of climate scientists, of Sony executives, and other leaks that are inevitably coming.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
October 19 2016 16:30 GMT
#112957
On October 20 2016 01:21 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


I don't think there's any style that she CAN change into without alienating some people outside of minor adjustments (like having quips similar to the first debate). Anything that deviates from what she's already shown in the debates will just be interpreted as her being a bitch or emotional or failing that pretentious.


Uhm: She could start answering questions. She could also stop talking over moderators for eternities and extend her 2 minutes to 4 minutes every time. Maybe should could also read up on the idea of the SC and how judges should be chosen. I guess not going mad on Russia on every answer would also be a possible change.
I can see people accepting all those changes to her debate style. Then again, why change when your opponent is fails to say anything useful on the debate and is completely unable to react to those rather brutal misssteps.
The second debate was a serious pain. Clinton said absurd stuff on half the questions, and you felt like any competent debater would hammer her for it. And then all Trump did was to say even more retarded things? Like "Ey, this is my territory, get out of here, I'm the true shitlord". Just great.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46167 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-19 16:37:57
October 19 2016 16:37 GMT
#112958
On October 20 2016 01:30 mahrgell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 20 2016 01:21 Logo wrote:
On October 20 2016 01:06 KwarK wrote:
I expect no changes from Clinton. Why would she adjust a winning strategy? This election is pretty much done at this point. We're less than 3 weeks out and Texas is looking more competitive than Pennsylvania (Trump has gone allin on flipping PA, even though PA isn't a swing state, it's a bold strategy Cotton). Even if a new strategy for Clinton is low risk/high reward the current strategy is no risk/same reward. She can't become double President, there really isn't much more room for her to improve from her current 340ish electoral college vote cushion.


I don't think there's any style that she CAN change into without alienating some people outside of minor adjustments (like having quips similar to the first debate). Anything that deviates from what she's already shown in the debates will just be interpreted as her being a bitch or emotional or failing that pretentious.


Uhm: She could start answering questions. She could also stop talking over moderators for eternities and extend her 2 minutes to 4 minutes every time. Maybe should could also read up on the idea of the SC and how judges should be chosen. I guess not going mad on Russia on every answer would also be a possible change.


Literally every "She" should be a "He", because it's Donald Trump who talked over the moderators, talked for longer periods of time, and has no idea what the role of the Supreme Court is... and do we even need to talk about who's in love with Russia?

The polls show that Hillary has benefited far more from the past two debates than Trump has; she might as well stick with her rehearsed, composed rhetoric while Trump flails wildly and ignorantly yet again.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
October 19 2016 16:37 GMT
#112959
I expect chris wallace to actually ask clinton some tough questions this time. Also if he wants to have any shot at winning this election, he needs to apologize to women and make a case for himself from that position. He isn't going to do this, the polls will stay massively in HRC's favor and the only way trump can win at this point is if there is a large undetected population who will secretly cast their vote for trump, combined with complacency from the dems. Still gonna get my popcorn ready though for the impending onslaught on clinton for wikileaks and corruption charges. Never gets old.
Question.?
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32749 Posts
October 19 2016 16:39 GMT
#112960
On October 20 2016 00:20 Mohdoo wrote:
After how well Trump's plan of "go ape shit" during the second debate panned out, I'm starting to wonder if the wild idea of just trying to talk policy and be a decent human being might be what he tries tonight. Is it possible he could stop hemorrhaging support by just trying to play it cool and be respectable?

Trump hasn't changed gears at all, so don't expect him to magically turn his personality around in the span of 10 days. He tried to play at calm politician in the debates, and got baited into his old self within like 15 minutes. And not like altering his personality will stop the bleeding of support. People have already seen his everyday, nasty side plenty enough and one debate won't change that.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
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