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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

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LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
October 09 2016 20:15 GMT
#108181
I would much rather have Trump be president, even given everything that has happened so far, than Cruz. He is just about the worst possible candidate who even ran for president this cycle.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 09 2016 20:15 GMT
#108182
Perhaps it's in the GOP best interest not to be the home for these type of voters, and be a modern one again:

A wave of Republican officials abandoned Donald Trump on Saturday, but, at least for now, rank-and-file Republicans are standing by the party’s presidential candidate, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll conducted immediately after audio was unearthed Friday that had the GOP nominee crudely bragging about groping women and trying to lure a married woman into an affair.

Overall, fewer than 4-in-10 voters — 39 percent — think Trump should end his presidential campaign, while only slightly more voters, 45 percent, think he should not drop out.

But voters are largely viewing Trump’s comments through their own partisan lens: 70 percent of Democrats say Trump should end his campaign, but just 12 percent of Republicans — and 13 percent of female Republicans — agree.

As of now, GOP voters largely want the party to stand behind Trump. Nearly three-quarters of Republican voters, 74 percent, surveyed on Saturday said party officials should continue to support Trump. Only 13 percent think the party shouldn’t back him.

Still, Hillary Clinton leads Trump in the four-way race for the White House by 4 percentage points, 42 percent to 38 percent, with 8 percent supporting Gary Johnson, 3 percent supporting Jill Stein and 9 percent undecided. Clinton also leads by four in a two-way race, 45 percent to 41 percent.

Operatives in both parties say they believe it will take several days — and Sunday night’s debate at Washington University in St. Louis — to have the video bake into the public consciousness.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
October 09 2016 20:17 GMT
#108183
On October 10 2016 05:14 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 05:06 biology]major wrote:
On October 10 2016 05:05 Blisse wrote:
On October 10 2016 05:04 KwarK wrote:
On October 10 2016 04:55 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:

Cruz: Dude, I finally endorsed him a week ago. Do you have any idea how stupid this makes me look? Why the hell couldn't you release it earlier? I could have been President!

I'm not sure but his outrage just seems so fake here.

Would Cruz have actually won against Hillary though?


Any of the other candidates would have won.

Carson? Come on. Bush maybe, he appeared to be able to play the game well enough to appeal to the middle but there were some crazies in there. Carson and his pyramids weren't getting elected.


HRC is that bad. A person who is on tape suggesting sexual assault, calling his daughter a piece of ass, is giving her a hard time. The wikileaks story would be dominating right now if it wasn't for the trump tapes. If any of the other candidates could make it through without some major scandal being revealed, even Carson and his creationist theories would make it into the white house.
Question.?
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43219 Posts
October 09 2016 20:20 GMT
#108184
On October 10 2016 05:15 biology]major wrote:
The real loser in all of this, is Bernie. He started a movement and sold out and lost to the very thing he was fighting against. Trump doesn't give a shit if he loses, he's still rich and is going to go into retirement, or start a new media empire. Bernie will be forgotten as a sellout, if he didn't endorse HRC though he would have been remembered.

I strongly disagree. Firstly, this election was far more important than Bernie, stopping Trump isn't just a priority for Clinton supporters, it's a priority for Bernie supporters. Focusing on the difference between Hillary and Bernie is short sighted, the important priority for Bernie supporters was stopping Trump, Trump beating Clinton would be a far worse result that Clinton beating Bernie. Secondly, Bernie didn't sell for nothing, Bernie got a number of his priority policies incorporated into the Clinton package, both by presenting a threat from the left that forced her to compete for those supporters and later by selling himself. Thirdly, this election is a moral litmus test. You can't stand above it and say it's not important to you, it's important to every American. 2016 is a year in which Americans have to pass judgement, one way or another, on xenophobic populism as a movement. You do not look good by refusing to take a stance on whether that should be opposed. You just don't.

I supported Bernie in the primary but I find no fault with his subsequent actions.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 20:24:06
October 09 2016 20:21 GMT
#108185
On October 10 2016 05:17 biology]major wrote:
HRC is that bad. A person who is on tape suggesting sexual assault, calling his daughter a piece of ass, is giving her a hard time. The wikileaks story would be dominating right now if it wasn't for the trump tapes. If any of the other candidates could make it through without some major scandal being revealed, even Carson and his creationist theories would make it into the white house.

All the other candidates lost to that same person, though.

Cruz and Carson are more deep in the crazy than Trump is. Bush or Rubio could probably pull it off, but I don't think every Republican contender would necessarily beat HRC.
Moderator
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
October 09 2016 20:21 GMT
#108186
There were pretty decent amounts of head to head polling in the primaries. The only one that polled ahead vs Hillary was kasich. I think Trump came closer than most of the others, actually.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 09 2016 20:22 GMT
#108187
The government of Saudi Arabia is now employing 10 lobbying firms in Washington as it grapples with a new law that would allow families of victims of the 9/11 terrorist attacks to sue the country.

The Saudis have hired King & Spalding to provide “advocacy and legal services” related to the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act, according to a contract filed with the Justice Department. It’s the fifth firm to be hired by the country in recent weeks.

Congress handed President Obama his first veto override last week, turning the 9/11 bill into law. But top Republican lawmakers are already discussing rewriting the law to address some of the unintended consequences.
Saudi Arabia hired four other firms at the end of September, right before the White House issued its veto. Heavyweights Squire Patton Boggs, Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck and Glover Park Group, along with Sphere Consulting, were added to the payroll.

Unlike the other firms, King & Spalding inked its contract through Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Commerce and Investment. The agreement does not discuss fees or the duration of the work, saying those details were still being worked out.

A review of disclosures by The Hill shows that Saudi Arabia is now paying upward of $1.3 million in lobbying fees per month — including payments to its other firms, Hogan Lovells, MSLGroup, DLA Piper, Podesta Group and BGR Group. Targeted Victory, a Republican ad firm, is working through a subcontract with MSLGroup.

Earlier this year, Saudi Arabia threatened to sell off hundreds of billions of dollars of American assets should the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act become law.

Obama has warned that the law allowing Americans to sue countries or individuals suspected of sponsoring terrorism could also ultimately open up Americans to lawsuits by foreign governments.

Companies like Boeing, Dow Chemical, General Electric and Chevron also pressed lawmakers not to vote for the override, according to Politico.

Almost immediately after the vote to sustain the legislation into law, overturning Obama’s veto, leaders began discussing ways to change it.

"I would like to think there’s a way we can fix so that our service members do not have legal problems overseas while still protecting the rights of the 9/11 victims,” Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) said last week after the successful veto override.

Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said that he spoke to Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir last week, according to Bloomberg, and the Saudis are open to tweaking the law with new legislation following the November elections.

Prior to the law, families of terrorist attack victims could only sue governments thought to be responsible if the country was a State Department-designated sponsor of terrorism. Saudi Arabia does not have that designation.

Fifteen of the 19 hijackers on 9/11 hailed from Saudi Arabia. Critics have long suspected that the kingdom’s government may have either directly or indirectly supported the attacks, something the Saudis vehemently deny.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
October 09 2016 20:22 GMT
#108188
On October 10 2016 05:21 Nevuk wrote:
There were pretty decent amounts of head to head polling in the primaries. The only one that polled ahead vs Hillary was kasich. I think Trump came closer than most of the others, actually.

Being obscure helps the favorability ratings. If he were leading that would quickly evaporate.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
October 09 2016 20:23 GMT
#108189
On October 10 2016 05:20 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 05:15 biology]major wrote:
The real loser in all of this, is Bernie. He started a movement and sold out and lost to the very thing he was fighting against. Trump doesn't give a shit if he loses, he's still rich and is going to go into retirement, or start a new media empire. Bernie will be forgotten as a sellout, if he didn't endorse HRC though he would have been remembered.

I strongly disagree. Firstly, this election was far more important than Bernie, stopping Trump isn't just a priority for Clinton supporters, it's a priority for Bernie supporters. Focusing on the difference between Hillary and Bernie is short sighted, the important priority for Bernie supporters was stopping Trump, Trump beating Clinton would be a far worse result that Clinton beating Bernie. Secondly, Bernie didn't sell for nothing, Bernie got a number of his priority policies incorporated into the Clinton package, both by presenting a threat from the left that forced her to compete for those supporters and later by selling himself. Thirdly, this election is a moral litmus test. You can't stand above it and say it's not important to you, it's important to every American. 2016 is a year in which Americans have to pass judgement, one way or another, on xenophobic populism as a movement. You do not look good by refusing to take a stance on whether that should be opposed. You just don't.

I supported Bernie in the primary but I find no fault with his subsequent actions.


That's the thing, I think it's pretty funny when Clinton was on stage with Bernie promising free public tuition for any family making less than 125k. LOL ok. She is going to do whatever the hell she wants, and trust me all of the promises she made Bernie will go down the gutter.
Question.?
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28707 Posts
October 09 2016 20:24 GMT
#108190
On October 10 2016 04:55 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/785154577209315328


somehow, these tears manage to be sweet, salty and bitter at the same time.

Clearly what Trump should do during the debate is to stop making it about personal quality and make it about policy. I don't think he has that quality to him, but I think if he answers something akin to 'look, I am a flawed man. I genuinely have some issues with how I approach and talk about women, in all honesty I've been flawed in this way for most of my adult life - there are more examples than this of me talking inappropriately about women. While I refuse to accept that I've ever sexually assaulted anyone, I can also see how I have been too sexually aggressive at times. And while the behavior of others is not a justification for ones own flaws, I must also say that this particular personality flaw is actually fairly common among wealthy superstars.

Now, having said this, this election is not about the sexual morality of either candidate. It's about the future policy and direction of the US. And Hillary represents the failed status quo, the policies that got us to the disaster we currently are in. She will continue down the same failed path of the previous presidents. I however, will continue to fight my hardest to ensure that the US stops getting ripped off, that we negotiate sensible trade deals that bring back american jobs, and that we restore law and order in this country and stop letting it be taken advantage of'.

Something to that effect, and staying on this message for the entire debate, I could see be highly effective damage control, especially if Hillary (predictably) herself doesn't engage in a polite policy discussion. Trying to damage Hillary because she was victim to her husband's infidelity (the whole 'she tried to silence women raped by Bill' line doesn't work with people who aren't already voting trump) is not gonna play well.
Moderator
OuchyDathurts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States4588 Posts
October 09 2016 20:24 GMT
#108191
Clinton and Trump would have lost to pretty much any other candidate. But there are a few exceptions. Cruz and Carson have a less than zero chance of ever becoming president. The country might be dumb but they aren't that fucking dumb. The orchestrator of the government shut down and a brain surgeon who is actually a god damn moron on every topic on earth besides brain surgery. Those two had less of a chance than Trump did.
LiquidDota Staff
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 09 2016 20:25 GMT
#108192
On October 10 2016 05:05 Blisse wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 05:04 KwarK wrote:
On October 10 2016 04:55 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/785154577209315328

Cruz: Dude, I finally endorsed him a week ago. Do you have any idea how stupid this makes me look? Why the hell couldn't you release it earlier? I could have been President!

I'm not sure but his outrage just seems so fake here it's funny.

Would Cruz have actually won against Hillary though?

no, cruz would've had no chance vs hillary.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 20:29:14
October 09 2016 20:27 GMT
#108193
On October 10 2016 05:23 biology]major wrote:
That's the thing, I think it's pretty funny when Clinton was on stage with Bernie promising free public tuition for any family making less than 125k. LOL ok. She is going to do whatever the hell she wants, and trust me all of the promises she made Bernie will go down the gutter.

Unlike his supporters, Bernie isn't stupid enough to think this election cycle is the end of things.

He should very well know by now that for his progressive movement to gain steam, he needs political capital within the Democratic party. Negotiating with the party elite and leveraging his supporters puts his movement on the map as "people the Democratic party has to give a shit about". He has to prove to them that they're a voting bloc worth pandering to, not a bunch of immovable ideologues that they should just ignore because they'll never be satisfied anyway. That's going to matter in 2020 even if Hillary backs out on every single promise she made to him.

That's really where negotiating actually gets him. If his supporters are going to say that he sold out or got swindled, they're being short-sighted.
Moderator
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 20:28:14
October 09 2016 20:27 GMT
#108194
On October 10 2016 05:20 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 05:15 biology]major wrote:
The real loser in all of this, is Bernie. He started a movement and sold out and lost to the very thing he was fighting against. Trump doesn't give a shit if he loses, he's still rich and is going to go into retirement, or start a new media empire. Bernie will be forgotten as a sellout, if he didn't endorse HRC though he would have been remembered.

I strongly disagree. Firstly, this election was far more important than Bernie, stopping Trump isn't just a priority for Clinton supporters, it's a priority for Bernie supporters. Focusing on the difference between Hillary and Bernie is short sighted, the important priority for Bernie supporters was stopping Trump, Trump beating Clinton would be a far worse result that Clinton beating Bernie. Secondly, Bernie didn't sell for nothing, Bernie got a number of his priority policies incorporated into the Clinton package, both by presenting a threat from the left that forced her to compete for those supporters and later by selling himself. Thirdly, this election is a moral litmus test. You can't stand above it and say it's not important to you, it's important to every American. 2016 is a year in which Americans have to pass judgement, one way or another, on xenophobic populism as a movement. You do not look good by refusing to take a stance on whether that should be opposed. You just don't.

I supported Bernie in the primary but I find no fault with his subsequent actions.

I think a lot of people are missing the fact that if the democrats somehow took the house (it's still pretty unlikely now, but it was unthinkable on thursday) and try to implement the DNC platform it will actually be very close to what Bernie was aiming for. I never would have dreamed the platform would have moved so far a year ago
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-09 20:29:25
October 09 2016 20:29 GMT
#108195
2020 is God's gift to the GOP. So if Clinton wins she better pray is she able to put 2-3 judges on the Supreme Court. As I only see a 1 term Presidency for her.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
October 09 2016 20:31 GMT
#108196
On October 10 2016 05:29 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
2020 is God's gift to the GOP. So if Clinton wins she better pray is she able to put 2-3 judges on the Supreme Court. As I only see a 1 term Presidency for her.


They've fucked themselves by un-endorsing trump though. It would have to be an outsider again I think. Or someone who supported trump all the way through.
Question.?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 09 2016 20:31 GMT
#108197
On October 10 2016 05:15 biology]major wrote:
The real loser in all of this, is Bernie. He started a movement and sold out and lost to the very thing he was fighting against. Trump doesn't give a shit if he loses, he's still rich and is going to go into retirement, or start a new media empire. Bernie will be forgotten as a sellout, if he didn't endorse HRC though he would have been remembered.

You don't understand how democratic politics work. Bernie is doing exactly what he needs. He isn't selling out, this was the game plan all along if he didn't get the nomination.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43219 Posts
October 09 2016 20:32 GMT
#108198
The economy will probably have a correction under Clinton. It's overdue for one. There again, Nettles says one will happen before the election so maybe Clinton will get nothing but recovery. There again, Nettles predicts one weekly so maybe it'll never happen.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
October 09 2016 20:32 GMT
#108199
On October 10 2016 05:29 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
2020 is God's gift to the GOP. So if Clinton wins she better pray is she able to put 2-3 judges on the Supreme Court. As I only see a 1 term Presidency for her.


Pretty damn hard to predict how things will go. If the economy and FP go well, then the GOP will actually have to pull out a quality candidate to beat Clinton, and they don't have a single quality candidate currently.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
OuchyDathurts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States4588 Posts
October 09 2016 20:32 GMT
#108200
On October 10 2016 05:27 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2016 05:20 KwarK wrote:
On October 10 2016 05:15 biology]major wrote:
The real loser in all of this, is Bernie. He started a movement and sold out and lost to the very thing he was fighting against. Trump doesn't give a shit if he loses, he's still rich and is going to go into retirement, or start a new media empire. Bernie will be forgotten as a sellout, if he didn't endorse HRC though he would have been remembered.

I strongly disagree. Firstly, this election was far more important than Bernie, stopping Trump isn't just a priority for Clinton supporters, it's a priority for Bernie supporters. Focusing on the difference between Hillary and Bernie is short sighted, the important priority for Bernie supporters was stopping Trump, Trump beating Clinton would be a far worse result that Clinton beating Bernie. Secondly, Bernie didn't sell for nothing, Bernie got a number of his priority policies incorporated into the Clinton package, both by presenting a threat from the left that forced her to compete for those supporters and later by selling himself. Thirdly, this election is a moral litmus test. You can't stand above it and say it's not important to you, it's important to every American. 2016 is a year in which Americans have to pass judgement, one way or another, on xenophobic populism as a movement. You do not look good by refusing to take a stance on whether that should be opposed. You just don't.

I supported Bernie in the primary but I find no fault with his subsequent actions.

I think a lot of people are missing the fact that if the democrats somehow took the house (it's still pretty unlikely now, but it was unthinkable on thursday) and try to implement the DNC platform it will actually be very close to what Bernie was aiming for. I never would have dreamed the platform would have moved so far a year ago


That is what he was aiming for with his political revolution bit. He knew if he just won the white house and nothing else maybe he could get a little work done but not much. He needed people to be so amped up that the democrats would destroy across the board. Win local, state, and congressional elections as well so they could actually push things forward. His message of with me you're not getting more of the same you're getting someone who actually cares and wants to make massive overhauls got people excited. If people think they're just voting for cookie cutter democrat #8721304 they don't care, there's no revolution, and nothing actually changes.
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