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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5151

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6342 Posts
September 26 2016 10:05 GMT
#103001
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
Clonester
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany2808 Posts
September 26 2016 10:23 GMT
#103002
On September 26 2016 19:05 zeo wrote:
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?


90 minutes.

Starts 3 am here.
Bomber, Attacker, DD, SOMEBODY, NiKo, Nex, Spidii
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18280 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 10:56:43
September 26 2016 10:29 GMT
#103003
On September 26 2016 16:56 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 16:27 Acrofales wrote:
just the same on the things really close to people's hearts


What are those things? Because I think that either this is so broad (some platitudes like "freedom and justice for all") that this is not a good way to differentiate your values from those of immigrants, or so narrow that it's already not true in the slightest, and never had been.

It's one of the reasons I was talking about the Quebecois and First Nations: these are already communities with (very) different cultures within Canada. But if I understand your point correctly, you consider Quebec unfortunate, but it is already there, so let's at least prevent such things in the future.

(and yeah, let's just agree that the situation of the First Nations is fubar and put that topic aside for the moment).


Alright, I'm getting quite tired, so this will be my last post for the night. I also want to add that I recognize that I often jump to conclusions quite quickly, but that's a product of me having thorough discussions with other people here previously, and fighting it quite tiring to defend every little position over and over that I've explained myself on many times. Providing a full argument, kind of like I am now is very exhausting.

I'll give some extreme examples to not get caught up with the grey areas:

-This asshole fucked my girl, so I'm going to shoot him
-The government is just stealing from me, so it's okay for me to steal from them
-It is my right to decide who my daughter will marry.
-If someone leaves Islam, they deserve to lose their life, also Sharia law should be the rule of the land
-I don't have to work, as the government should take care of me
-My god says I can hit women, so I will, the government can't decide that for me
-Black people are pigs who don't deserve to live, or are an inferior race
-White people have taken advantage of us for centuries, we're allowed to take what is ours back to even out history

I recognize that many things do get very grey, and it's small subtle things... And not everyone has these fundamental what I call Canadian values, even though they live in Canada, particularly the distinction between rural and urban areas.


Ok, I agree that these are generally opinions I, and I expect almost everybody else here, thinks are deplorable (badum tsh). However, some of them are held by a significant part of the (white) population already in the country. Now you seem to be arguing that we should simply hold immigrants to a higher standard, and there is something to be said for that, so lets accept that as an immigration policy. Now lets look at the stated goal (basically, we only accept as immigrants people who reject ideas like the ones above, and accept:
Canadian freedoms are the simple basic stuff that everyone here is aware of, coexistence, treating everyone fairly, maximum possible freedom without infringing on others' freedoms, respect for our institutions and way of life, acknowledging and consider other's perspective, nobody is above the law.


as their own values too.

The problem is that this immigration policy looks absolutely nothing like Donald Trump's. I'd imagine almost all Latino immigrants will agree to these policies, so no problems there. So what is the wall for? And even if not all prospective Muslim immigrants pass this test, the vast majority do. So, why do we need to ban all Muslims?

Now you could argue (as some in this thread have done) that Trump is simply stating these positions in order to get an immigration policy that looks a bit like the one described. The problem is that the current immigration policy already looks a lot like that, and that he attacked Marco Rubio for his involvement in the Gang of Eight, and here is his official opinion on it:
When politicians talk about “immigration reform” they mean: amnesty, cheap labor and open borders. The Schumer-Rubio immigration bill was nothing more than a giveaway to the corporate patrons who run both parties.


The CIR bill would have moved immigration policy further in the direction you want. Now I don't think that bill is very good either (but for different reasons), but it seems to be very similar to what you want from immigration. But it's clear that Trump does not want that. He wants something else. Given that he does not want something that looks like the Gang of Eight's bill, we can only assume that what he does want is what he has stated a couple of times. He wants to ban all muslims from entering the US. That includes those who would not pass your test, but also includes Rebs, my girlfriend, and about a billion likeminded muslims who feel the way you do: those opinions you stated are deplorable.

His immigration policy as described on his page actually goes outright against some of those values that you ascribe to (such as "treating everyone fairly"). The analyses of it that I have read, also seem to think it is both wildly unrealistic, both in how to execute, and in that it does not at all take the economic effects it would have into account.

NPR did an analysis: http://www.npr.org/2016/08/31/492096565/fact-check-donald-trumps-speech-on-immigration
So did your own CBC: http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/donald-trump-immigration-speech-phoenix-arizona-clarity-1.3743945
And there are some other easily googleable.

Maybe more interesting, here are some from more conservative viewpoints:
http://townhall.com/columnists/donaldlambro/2016/09/02/donald-trump-vs-a-nation-of-immigrants-n2213191
http://reason.com/archives/2016/09/21/trump-is-wrong-about-terrorism-and-immig (this one is about values)
http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/article/Donald-Trump-s-immigration-proposals-could-be-a-9198941.php

So I am still a bit at a loss what you like about Trump's immigration reforms, given your stated objectives. Or are you simply claiming that a push for reform is needed, and Clinton is uninclined to do anything at all. Therefore it doesn't matter what Trump says, wants or does, the current status quo is so atrocious that anything he manages to get done will be an improvement?
+ Show Spoiler [Question about primaries] +
If the latter is indeed the case, then what were your objections to Marco Rubio in the primaries, because I recall you supporting Trump during the GOP primaries as well, so it's not just anti-Clinton.



My view of Quebec is that they are here, but we don't really coexist with them... And you're right, we are both Canadians, so it's not like one of us is right and wrong, since neither of us own the way things should be. However if for example, there were no Quebecois, than English Canada would have the right to decide what is Canadian and what isn't. But anyway, we live in completely segregated communities, many Quebecois wont speak English to you even though they can speak it when you're in Quebec, etc.

So do I think that being one nation makes is stronger? Not really, like we have the advantage of being larger and thus have more economic power and trading power, but if magically all of Canada was French or English (with all the history behind it, and no hurt feelings), would we be better off? Yeah, I think so... Realistically that's not possible to happen, and hence it makes sense to stay together, which is the difference I was describing between ex-ante and ex-post analysis.


I find this idea a bit problematic, but it's probably better to get into these details in the Canada thread, rather than here, because they stray really far into Canada-specific topics. When you wake up, you can let me know if you want to pursue this discussion, and I will lay out an argument why I think treating Canada as two countries accidentally joined together in Ottawa is not a good way of looking at it (as an outsider who has visited both Quebec and Toronto; not as a Canadian).


Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 16:34 Acrofales wrote:
Canadian freedoms are the simple basic stuff that everyone here is aware of, coexistence, treating everyone fairly, maximum possible freedom without infringing on others' freedoms, respect for our institutions and way of life, acknowledging and consider other's perspective, nobody is above the law.


How many Muslims, Latinos, or other immigrants, do you know that disagree with these basic principles? Because I agree that those who don't, should be denied a visa. I just think that 99.9%, or even more, happily embrace these values.

As for African American communities in the US... if the institutions fundamentally don't work for them, as many of them, GH included, are saying, then why should they respect them? I'd argue that in this case, the institutions need changing, not the African Americans.


Well it depends on what you decide is the cutoff for too different. I think that it's a greater percentage than that, though I don't have a concrete number for you... It's more of a sliding scale, where sure, 99.9% of these people might be good enough, but we might be better off with only 80% of them, and even though they're compatible, they're not the best we can get. And since it might be so hard for it to be able to determine a good apple from a bad apple, and we only want 80% of Muslims that apply, but we'd be happy to have say 98% of Chinese or Europeans, it might not be too far fetched to say, no Muslim immigration until our issues are sorted out (just to offer a more logical and detailed explanation of why some people might think this way).

The US situation is once again, one we already have black people there, so we don't have the option of saying nope, we're just not going to make these institutions work, because we don't really have another choice without creating excessive hardship for other people. However, by making these institutions work for them, might make it worse for the rest of us. For example, in the transition stage, one strategy might be to bring in more Black people to white communities, to spread the burden of this change, and some white people might not like that (again, it's not necessarily dependent on race, I'm only using it for simple categorization and sake of the argument).

However, when we don't have the immigrants in our country yet, we can choose... Do we want to alter these institutions, and create some hardship for the rest of us (that's a number to be determined or calculated on the specific situation), or do we just say nope, sorry, we don't want to do this, and rather we will keep our current system and only bring in people that see the world more like us.

Since the Black people are citizen of the US, we must consider their utilities when looking at the well-being of the nation (well unless we wish to take the approach of we're a majority, so we can decide how you'll be treated, deal with it, which if 80% of white people wanted, could be done (well if constitutional amendments could be made without supermajorities, but that's not what we want)), but when they are potential immigrants, their feelings don't really matter for the best interests of our society and our nation (though you might make some considerations for international relations and whatnot).

These are things that people often internalized inside of them, but it's hard to formulate these arguments into words, so maybe what I've written over the last few pages speaks to some people, and if not, maybe they can appreciate the perspective a little bit more.

edit: Yes, I realize my excessive use of identity politics in my recent arguments, please understand that the overwhelming reason is to make arguments flow smoother, as without any generalizations it's extremely difficult and lengthy to say anything.

I would definitely argue that making institutions like the police, education and health services better for the African American communities is worth some increased cost to the white majority. After all, one of the principles layed out in the founding of the United States was:
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness.


And while the founding fathers themselves had some problems coming to grips with this statement:
http://www.npiamerica.org/research/category/what-the-founders-really-thought-about-race
I think we can take it as a given, that skin color is not a reason for them to be denied said equality. And if the country's institutions are not treating them equally, there is something wrong with said institutions.

Most interesting to our discussion about values of immigrants (excerpt from the text in the link):

Alexander Hamilton was suspicious even of European immigrants, writing that “the influx of foreigners must, therefore, tend to produce a heterogeneous compound; to change and corrupt the national spirit; to complicate and confound public opinion; to introduce foreign propensities.”[15] John Quincy Adams explained to a German nobleman that if Europeans were to immigrate, “they must cast off the European skin, never to resume it.”[16] Neither man would have countenanced immigration of non-Whites.

Looking back, all those European immigrants weren't so bad after all, were they? Perhaps in 200 years FiWiFaKi VII will be saying the same about Islamic immigrants...



zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6342 Posts
September 26 2016 10:38 GMT
#103004
On September 26 2016 19:23 Clonester wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 19:05 zeo wrote:
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?


90 minutes.

Starts 3 am here.

Wait... we are in the same timezone.. 9pm ET is 2am CET.... right?
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
Clonester
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany2808 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 10:56:57
September 26 2016 10:55 GMT
#103005
On September 26 2016 19:38 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 19:23 Clonester wrote:
On September 26 2016 19:05 zeo wrote:
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?


90 minutes.

Starts 3 am here.

Wait... we are in the same timezone.. 9pm ET is 2am CET.... right?


Well all news media say it starts 3am in Germany. 9pm EST is 3am CEST. (Are you on summer time?)
Bomber, Attacker, DD, SOMEBODY, NiKo, Nex, Spidii
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18280 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 10:57:56
September 26 2016 10:57 GMT
#103006
On September 26 2016 19:05 zeo wrote:
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?

Horrendously offtopic: wasn't the whole time, but I did go to a concert on Saturday and filmed some bits of songs that I felt were particularly awesome. Do you hate me too?
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6342 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 11:04:19
September 26 2016 10:58 GMT
#103007
I have no idea, I just googled what 9pm ET would be in our timezone. I'll stay up till 2 and see what happens.
On September 26 2016 19:57 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 19:05 zeo wrote:
Man I fucking hate people that go to concerts and whatnot and spend the whole time with their phone up filming shit.

The debate is going to be on 2am where I live -.- how long do these things last?

Horrendously offtopic: wasn't the whole time, but I did go to a concert on Saturday and filmed some bits of songs that I felt were particularly awesome. Do you hate me too?

If I went all the way to Brazil for a concert and some tall guy was in front of me with his phone up and screen brightness on max level blinding me... I don't know, if you have a TL wallpaper on your phone it would help a lot /end of offtopic
"No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot." - Mark Twain
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18280 Posts
September 26 2016 11:00 GMT
#103008
On September 26 2016 19:58 zeo wrote:
I have no idea, I just googled what 9pm ET would be in our timezone. I'll stay up till 2 and see what happens.

9pm ET is 3am CET. It is currently 7am in NYC and 1pm where I am. 6 hours difference.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28792 Posts
September 26 2016 11:04 GMT
#103009
On September 26 2016 08:57 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 08:29 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Now to some people it isn't troubling, that's fine, but when I look at Europe, and how rapidly their Muslim population has been rising...

Rose so rapidly that there is now a terrifying proportion of... 6% Muslims in Europe (factoring in the countries with a majority of Muslim in South East Europe). Guess we'll have to wait a few centuries before wearing turbans, uh? But medias did such a nice propaganda job that they managed to convince millions of people of the existence of an unstoppable force:

[image loading]


I'm not really up to date on the thread, just got to this post now, but I just have to quote this post because that picture is fucking beautiful and it should be present on more pages. Thank you.
Moderator
Deleted User 101379
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
4849 Posts
September 26 2016 11:09 GMT
#103010
On September 26 2016 20:04 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 08:57 TheDwf wrote:
On September 26 2016 08:29 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Now to some people it isn't troubling, that's fine, but when I look at Europe, and how rapidly their Muslim population has been rising...

Rose so rapidly that there is now a terrifying proportion of... 6% Muslims in Europe (factoring in the countries with a majority of Muslim in South East Europe). Guess we'll have to wait a few centuries before wearing turbans, uh? But medias did such a nice propaganda job that they managed to convince millions of people of the existence of an unstoppable force:

[image loading]


I'm not really up to date on the thread, just got to this post now, but I just have to quote this post because that picture is fucking beautiful and it should be present on more pages. Thank you.


I agree. It really shows what the immigration problem is all about: Perception.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4411 Posts
September 26 2016 12:14 GMT
#103011
To be fair the survey is from 2014, before the migrant crisis.
Sweden has added 350,000 muslims since then, Germany over 1.5 million.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28792 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 12:33:15
September 26 2016 12:31 GMT
#103012
how is that to be fair? Firstly, a lot of refugees and other asylum seekers coming in 2015 is irrelevant regarding that peoples impression of how many muslims are in Europe is grossly inflated. Secondly, I tried to google stuff after you wrote your post, because those numbers seemed to high to me, and the most specific numbers I could find from any remotely official source was this, indicating that at most, 180k migrants have arrived since then (potentially slightly more if the pew poll was from early 2014, I guess) - and seeing how only 55% of asylum seekers have been approved (according to this) , and that some small percentage might not actually be muslim, it seems more likely that the actual number is even lower.

So basically your 'to be fair' ended up being another example of inflated numbers.
Moderator
Clonester
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany2808 Posts
September 26 2016 12:44 GMT
#103013
On September 26 2016 21:31 Liquid`Drone wrote:
how is that to be fair? Firstly, a lot of refugees and other asylum seekers coming in 2015 is irrelevant regarding that peoples impression of how many muslims are in Europe is grossly inflated. Secondly, I tried to google stuff after you wrote your post, because those numbers seemed to high to me, and the most specific numbers I could find from any remotely official source was this, indicating that at most, 180k migrants have arrived since then (potentially slightly more if the pew poll was from early 2014, I guess) - and seeing how only 55% of asylum seekers have been approved (according to this) , and that some small percentage might not actually be muslim, it seems more likely that the actual number is even lower.

So basically your 'to be fair' ended up being another example of inflated numbers.


The number for Germany is pretty correct.
The number for non approved asylum seekers does not say anything, because neither sweden nor Germany remove denied asylum seekers back to their home nations in numbers they would need. (Germany removed arround 10k-20k last year only) At this very moment arround 500.000 denied asylum seekers live in Germany, many of them for years. Alot of the 2015 seekers (1.000.000 to 1.200.000, nobody really knows that number) havent any status, as the state cant handle the numbers.

Also what is the message? Muslim numbers are lower then you feel like they are, so no problems here, go and get your facts straight? The prisons are fulled by people of muslim/arab-turk descent, the crime rates under muslim/arab-turk descent are higher, the unemployment is higher, there are cities with 40-50% muslim population, not even talking about special parts of cities where it is much higher. When 6% have such a high influx for the society, how big will be the influx of 10%? 15%?
And with the refugee policy by our gouvernments we are on the way there.
Bomber, Attacker, DD, SOMEBODY, NiKo, Nex, Spidii
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28792 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 12:53:56
September 26 2016 12:52 GMT
#103014
The picture linked by dwf shows that populations in various european countries believes that the numbers of muslims in various countries is between 3 and 70 times as high as the actual numbers of muslims living in those countries. Obviously this is a big part of the anti-muslim invasion fear-mongering - if polish people realized that only 0.1% of people living in poland were muslims, that probably would not be particularly significant politically.. I think this is very relevant to the US, because I see people supporting Trump go 'just look at Europe' (in the sense that muslims are out of control here and this is why there must be a moratorium on them coming to the US), but their impression of Europe is based on the same misinformation where they believe the number of muslims living here is 3+ times higher than reality. I also didn't comment on his german numbers because those did not immediately strike me as wrong, the swedish ones however did. The 180k number I cited includes denied asylum seekers.
Moderator
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9296 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 12:55:56
September 26 2016 12:54 GMT
#103015
I don't find those (over)estimates surprising at all. Correct me if I'm wrong but immigrants settle mostly in big cities so whenever someone visits London or Paris he should assume that muslim populations in the UK or France are huge. And even if someone doesn't visit other countries, his knowledge about them comes mostly from tv where they show Londons and Parises, not some unknown 100% white villages. BBC also has some weird diversity quotas which can make their shows misleading to foreigners.
You're now breathing manually
Deleted User 101379
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
4849 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 12:56:26
September 26 2016 12:56 GMT
#103016
On September 26 2016 21:14 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
To be fair the survey is from 2014, before the migrant crisis.
Sweden has added 350,000 muslims since then, Germany over 1.5 million.


From reading quite a few of your posts here, I know that arguing with you is probably pointless, but let's try anyways.

Even assuming that Germany had 1.5 million Muslim immigrants since then, the number would still be half of what was estimated back then.

However, while a lot of refugees have arrived in Germany or the EU in general, by far not all of them actually get accepted.

Example Q2 2016:
[image loading]

In addition to that, the number of applications for 2014, 2015 and Jan.-Aug. 2016 combined is 1.18 million (German source dated September 2016, see page 3 of 11). That is applications, not accepted refugees/migrants.

The latter link also includes the statistics about refused refugees (page 10) and of the 392 thousand decisions made this year 24% have been outright refused, so only 300 thousand actual refugees got accepted this year, all others are either still waiting for a decision or have been refused. In total, for Jan. 2014 to Aug. 2016, 804 thousand decisions have been made of which 575 thousand have been accepted. 575 thousand is 0.7% of the German population.

This is what I mean when I talk about the problem being perception.
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10142 Posts
September 26 2016 12:59 GMT
#103017
On September 26 2016 21:14 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
To be fair the survey is from 2014, before the migrant crisis.
Sweden has added 350,000 muslims since then, Germany over 1.5 million.

Neither you see how the public estimates changed. Seeing as it is the same for every country, it's kinda likely that it would also adjust (increase) accordingly.
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15365 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 13:02:26
September 26 2016 13:00 GMT
#103018
On September 26 2016 21:44 Clonester wrote:
Also what is the message? Muslim numbers are lower then you feel like they are, so no problems here, go and get your facts straight? The prisons are fulled by people of muslim/arab-turk descent, the crime rates under muslim/arab-turk descent are higher, the unemployment is higher, there are cities with 40-50% muslim population, not even talking about special parts of cities where it is much higher. When 6% have such a high influx for the society, how big will be the influx of 10%? 15%?
And with the refugee policy by our gouvernments we are on the way there.



Which city in Germany has 50% muslim population? Which part of which city has a "much higher" than that muslim population?
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
Clonester
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany2808 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-26 13:05:52
September 26 2016 13:01 GMT
#103019
Still, the amount of acceptions does not matter, as no accepted seekers do not get removed. The amount of yearly removals to total amount of non accepted is arround 2-4%.

I am living in Duisburg Hochfeld, Muslim Population: >50%.
City of Pforzheim: Foreign backgroung: 50%, 35-40%. Under 3 year olds foreign descent: over 70%

These numbers are from 2010.
Bomber, Attacker, DD, SOMEBODY, NiKo, Nex, Spidii
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 26 2016 13:03 GMT
#103020
That graph and survey really shows the difference between public feelings about an issue and reality. I find it sort of amazing that people in France believed Muslims made up 31% of their total population.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
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