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On March 06 2016 11:44 kwizach wrote: Man, a Cruz vs Trump battle for the nomination until August would be the Democrats' wet dream.
Depends on how much participation there is. So far it seems like Republican voters are getting out in much larger numbers. Demo could be sandbagging it till general but the GOP seems to have more enthusiasm surrounding it (I guess the reality show approach works)
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On March 06 2016 11:33 oBlade wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 11:03 Slaughter wrote:On March 06 2016 10:48 oBlade wrote:On March 06 2016 10:46 On_Slaught wrote:On March 06 2016 10:40 Toadesstern wrote:On March 06 2016 10:36 Mohdoo wrote:On March 06 2016 10:35 On_Slaught wrote: Man, this thread is looking more and more like a Republican "debate."
Oh well, at least not Trump is winning at least 2 of tonight's states. I don't think anyone around here sees Cruz as better than Trump. Trump defended diplomacy and planned parenthood in recent debates. Let that sink in. does "I think Cruz is slightly more of a walkover than Trump in the general" count as a good point Cruz has? Exactly this. His predictability coupled with his lack of moderate\populist views makes him much easier to beat. His entire stance is that he is principled. He has no room to move to the middle. Yes, Ted Cruz would be the worst nominee for the future of the Republican party. You would think he nails all the Christian demo because he is the one who would genuinely fight hard for a lot of those social issues. I guess the fact he was branded as an assholes who is unlikeable got to him or that people don't care as much about social issues (which mostly don't affect them). There are a lot of very conservative people in my family: in 3 pastors but none of them liked Cruz. The most enthusiasm I heard was for Rand and a bit for Carson from 1 person. They all universally thought Trump was horrible though. That was a while back so I dunno if all the debates would change much (it definitely wouldn't the those who liked Paul). Either way they will vote and they will just vote for whoever wins the GOP nomination because they think Clinton is sleezy and sanders is crazy because socialism. I really wonder if any of them have warmed up to Trump. Personally I like the Ohio governor the most and I wouldn't mind voting for him but in this day and age being reasonable won't cut it when running...which only enables the candidateS moving to further extremes. Trump and Kasich, for different reasons, I believe both have a wider appeal they can bring to the general election. And they can in general shift the focus and goals of the party. Cruz might be a strong candidate in terms of how he's doing, including among the Christian demographics, but that's not enough for the rest of the country. Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 11:00 Kyadytim wrote:On March 06 2016 09:50 oBlade wrote:The creation of this thought experiment shows a misunderstanding of the nihilism of ISIS... they want to restore a caliphate. There is no notion of surrender. Remember The Dark Knight? Some men just want to watch the world burn? That kind of psychopathy does exist in reality. Regarding the rest of your post, as far as I can tell you were responding tangentially to my points, and clarifying would take more time than I am willing to continue spending on this topic. However, as for the part I quoted. I believe that you are correct that there is no notion of surrender, but you are the one showing a fundamental misunderstanding of what a caliphate is. A caliphate is an Islamic state that exists in accordance with Sharia law. It is very explicitly neither nihilistic nor psychopathic. ISIS does not want to watch the world burn. They want to conquer it by converting everyone who lives in the world to Islam (at sword point if necessary) or killing them, after which I guess they think they will have some sort of utopia where everyone lives in harmony in accordance with their god's commandments. There's also a bunch of specific requirements like needing to have claimed territory, not maintaining a peace treaty with another nation for more than a year, needing to constantly expand its territory that a government must meet to actually qualify as a caliphate. So anyway, people fighting for ISIS are not all nihilistic psychopaths. They are also people who believe that they are making the world a better place by claiming it for their religion. Some of them might be psychopaths, though. Statistically, some ISIS fighters are psychopathic. Dismissing every single one of them as psychopaths who just want to watch the world burn is absurd, though. I am not the one who has misunderstood what a caliphate is. Take it up with ISIS, the caliphate is their goal, not mine. Is Al-Baghdadi not called a caliph? And ISIS is decidedly nihilistic. An ideology that denounces music, literature, culture, philosophy, science, education, and adopts torture, rape, murder, and genocide as standard operating procedure - if this isn't nihilism, then pray tell, what would qualify...? It's like saying the Khmer Rouge was misunderstood, all they wanted to do was convert everyone in Cambodia to uneducated ignorance, by force if necessary, or by killing them (which they did - kill all the educated people, that is), and then have an agrarian utopia. Or Charles Manson just wanted to live in harmony with Helter-Skelter. It's ISIS. It's not a revolutionary movement fighting for a better future. It's psychopathic nihilism. Have you been reading their tourist magazine or something? What point did you think you were going to convince me of by posting "Not All ISIS Fighters?" If you're trying to say that ISIS uses terror and force to compel obedience - to compel people to commit further terror - then yes. That's true. Not everyone who gets caught up in a terrible circumstance seeing no way out necessarily wants to perpetuate that circumstance. And Hemingway told us as much: Show nested quote +"I cannot say it easily. There are people who would make war. In this country there are many like that. There are other people who would not make war."
"But the first ones make them do it."
"Yes."
"And I help them."
"You are a foreigner. You are a patriot."
"And the ones who would not make war? Can they stop it?"
"I do not know." But the organism (it's not simply an intangible ideology, it's something that's very real) that is ISIS is fundamentally incompatible with civilization. I think we're using different definitions of nihilism. The definition I'm working with looks something like google's first definition: "The rejection of all religious and moral principles, often in the belief that life is meaningless." By that definition, the caliphate is not nihilistic. Considering their strong identification with Islam, they are not rejecting all religious and moral principles. The fervent believers who join ISIS probably do believe they are fighting for a better future. At the least, they believe they are helping build something bigger than themselves. That's not nihilism.
Also, I'm not trying to start some sort of "Not all ISIS Fighters" meme or something. The attitude of "ISIS delenda est" and "they're all nihilistic psychopaths" gets in the way of things like understanding what drives various individuals to leave their countries to join ISIS and stuff like finding ways to prevent them from choosing to leave.
EDIT: This is my last post on this conversation thread. We've gotten pretty far off topic.
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On March 06 2016 11:52 oneofthem wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 11:48 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. What, you really want to give loans to people who can't afford them or are otherwise unfit to incur such liabilities? Didn't we determine that that was a bad idea eight years ago? Objective indicators are objective indicators. Using them for legitimate purposes is not emblematic of any kind of racism, regardless of disparate impact. the implication is that race is being used as a selector if it is in a pool of potential selectors, due to superior performance. this does not make race an objective selector, it rather biases the algorithm against some groups even holding other conditions the same. this is analogous to the 'black name on same resume' experiment. further it reflects the reality that blacks are under-developed. it's like a different country within the u.s. with some need for developmental intervention. If race (either itself or through a virtually indistinguishable proxy [like names]) is being used as a selector, then yes, I agree that's a problem.
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Cayman Islands24199 Posts
primary participation is still a small portion of the voter base come general election time. it's not a direct instrument to general election voter turn out. could just be higher % of the base participating in hte primaries
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On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist?
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On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist?
yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics
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On March 06 2016 11:56 Slaughter wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 11:44 kwizach wrote: Man, a Cruz vs Trump battle for the nomination until August would be the Democrats' wet dream. Depends on how much participation there is. So far it seems like Republican voters are getting out in much larger numbers. Demo could be sandbagging it till general but the GOP seems to have more enthusiasm surrounding it (I guess the reality show approach works)
Some of their enthusiasm comes from disliking the candidates though, which doesn't bode quite as well for the general. What was the stat from Tuesday, something like 49% of Republican primary voters would be dissatisfied with a Trump nomination? That's substantially lower than pretty much any candidate in recent memory that's led in delegates at this point.
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Respectable showing by Cruz in Louisiana, down 42-37 w/75%.
Did Rubio get any delegates tonight?
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he has 12 so far I think
yeah 44/60/12/8 according to NYtimes (Trump/Cruz/Rubio/Kasich)
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On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics
so reality is racist?
Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life.
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On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life. you arguing that credit rating is genetic?!
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On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life.
It's a social reality that some demographics have a lower credit rating, higher crime rates and so on. The racist part is re-inforcing this by creating cultural and social institutions that perpetuate the problem, because that's what using "science" or "statistics" in this case does. If you look at historical racism you will notice that it was almost always accompanied by some kind of scientific or technocratic methodology to justify it, ranging from silly pseudo science like craniology to people using IQ tests to justify mistreatment of minorities and dehumanizing individuals
The modern version of this is to act all meritocratic and to act as if a few smart bank employees and algorithms can't possibly be racist because they're 'objective' which obviously isn't the case. The motivation behind those programs can just be as racist as a mean guy in a Klan-costume.
The is/ought distinction isn't exactly cutting edge philosophy. That some people have a lower credit rating doesn't mean that they deserve it.
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On March 06 2016 13:13 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life. you arguing that credit rating is genetic?!
Nope. Just that statistics use proxies to predict and race is just another variable (like age, weight, sex, credit history, education level, etc)
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On March 06 2016 13:15 Nyxisto wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life. It's a social reality that some demographics have a lower credit rating, higher crime rates and so on. The racist part is re-inforcing this by creating cultural and social institutions that perpetuate the problem, because that's what using "science" or "statistics" in this case does. If you look at historical racism you will notice that it was almost always accompanied by some kind of scientific or technocratic methodology to justify it, ranging from silly pseudo science like craniology to people using IQ tests to justify mistreatment of minorities.
Using lower average IQ to mistreat minorities, or discriminate 1 person because of an average, is indeed racist. Stating that Jews have on average higher IQ or that black people are taller than asians is not.
Would you disagree?
Is making seat buses in China smaller than in the US racist or acknowledging reality? (I know there is not an US or China race, but just for average sakes)
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The votes are not all in yet, but so far this is looking to be a bad day for Sanders math-wise, despite his two wins:
Sanders won Kansas and Nebraska. That’s the good news for him. The bad news is he’s even further from the nomination than he was before the day started: He lost Louisiana, and, in doing so, fell even further behind in the delegate hunt.
Let’s take a look at the math. Sanders won 23 delegates in Kansas to Clinton’s 10. He won — preliminarily — 14 delegates in Nebraska to Clinton’s 11. That’s a margin of 16 delegates.
In losing Louisiana, however, Sanders only claimed 12 delegates to Clinton’s 39.
Combine the three states, and Clinton gained 11 delegates on Sanders.
Now you might be saying, but didn’t we expect Sanders to do poorly in Louisiana? Yes, that’s true. But according to our delegate targets, which takes that into account, Sanders is now 3 delegates further behind the pace he needs to win a majority of pledged delegate than he was at the beginning of the day. Considering he was already running 82 delegates behind his delegate goals, he needs to be exceeding his delegate targets.
Source
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On March 06 2016 11:29 Yoav wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 04:49 Acrofales wrote: "Following a book" is such an empty statement. All religions to that to some extent or another.
I do get what you're going, for, but let's be accurate; it's by no means true that sacred texts are the basis of every religion. Or that a religion is defined by its adherence to one particular sacred text. There are plenty of counterexamples, or examples of religion where tradition, jurisprudence, wisdom of elders etc. are of greater importance than texts. Sola scriptura is a minority viewpoint. We don't disagree. Just to be clear, though; the same goes for Islam. For starters, they have the whole Hadith thing.
Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 04:49 Acrofales wrote: Just as most Christians ignore Leviticus in the bible. We don't ignore it; we think that it was a part of God's plan to bring truth to a humanity that wasn't ready for the big picture yet. The New Testament invalidates it as a continuing obligation on several occasions ("what defiles" "Council of Jerusalem," "the Law was until John" and the entire book of Galatians). Maybe ignoring is the wrong word, but the fact remains that there are Christians who choose to interpret the bible differently. So while I very much prefer the interpretation you give, other Christian groups place significantly more importance on their readings of Leviticus (and the Old Testament in general).
My main point with all this was simply to point out that religions, including the Islam, are significantly more complex than people like Ayaan Hirsi Ali describe it (although I haven't read her latest book), and that is already infinitely more nuanced than Trump blathers about it.
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On March 06 2016 13:22 GoTuNk! wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 13:15 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life. It's a social reality that some demographics have a lower credit rating, higher crime rates and so on. The racist part is re-inforcing this by creating cultural and social institutions that perpetuate the problem, because that's what using "science" or "statistics" in this case does. If you look at historical racism you will notice that it was almost always accompanied by some kind of scientific or technocratic methodology to justify it, ranging from silly pseudo science like craniology to people using IQ tests to justify mistreatment of minorities. Using lower average IQ to mistreat minorities, or discriminate 1 person because of an average, is indeed racist. Stating that Jews have on average higher IQ or that black people are taller than asians is not. Would you disagree? Is making seat buses in China smaller than in the US racist or acknowledging reality? (I know there is not an US or China race, but just for average sakes)
No, measuring the IQ isn't racist, not acknowledging that the IQ is a human invention trying to classify people in a very narrow way or even using this as a policy tool is. Steven J Gould has written a whole book about how much ideology goes into the classification of human intelligence. IQ tests don't come from the Gods or the Platonic realm, they've been invented by people with certain intentions in mind, and this kind of justification of mistreatment with alleged "objective information" is exactly what modern racism looks like.
I'm not sure about bus seats. I don't think anybody has ever used information about bus seats in any malicious way.
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IQ tests are tests of cogitative development, nothing more. Its not even a very accurate test either. A malnourished child will have a lower IQ than a well fed child, regardless of genetics. The same is true if you compare the IQs of a child in a "standard" loving family to a child that is abused or in an abusive household. Weirdly, nourishment, lack of quality preschool, elementary school education and abusive, unstable house holds are all traits of poverty.
So Jews having a higher IQ than other minority groups in the has very little to do with their genetics. IQ has only a passing connection to genetics as social economic groups have similar traits when it comes to appearance.
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On March 06 2016 13:01 GoTuNk! wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2016 12:18 Nyxisto wrote:On March 06 2016 12:01 wei2coolman wrote:On March 06 2016 11:40 oneofthem wrote: this is not being pedantic but important. this discussion about institutional racism is not a case of different definitions, both right. it's rather one guy is using lack of legal discrimination as substitute for institutional racism, which covers social institutions and deep seated dynamics.
one example of such a deep seated discrimination is the ongoing trend towards automation and algorithm in everything from credit evaluation in loans to job candidate evaluation. race turns up high on the list of impactful indicators of fitness. there is no regulation for this so far. You mean statistical analysis by actuaries have determined that certain races have different lending results and therefore that's racist? yes, nobody said that racists are necessarily bad at statistics so reality is racist? Jewish people have higher IQ on average than the rest of the population. And black people on average have better 100m sprint times; such is life.
Sure but you have to acknowledge that IQ tests are rubbish and don't actually measure intelligence.
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