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41 Starleague S2 Ro8 Preview

Forum Index > BW General
15 CommentsPost a Reply
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 13 2014 23:19 GMT
#1
[image loading]

      With the RO16 completed, we have come down to the final 8 players. The elimination rounds look to be hotly contested as all players will have the same determination to reach the finals in the hope that they can win the grand prize. Now, let's take a look at the groups, maps and dates that BW engagements will take place:

[image loading]

      We have a good racial distribution of three Terrans, three Zergs and two Protoss. The three Terrans include sSak, Mind and Sea. Zergs are Cola, HoGiL and Killer while Sky and Shuttle close out the group as the two lone Protoss players. The series are a best of 5 played on the following maps in this order: Circuit Breaker, New Heartbreak Ridge, Neo Electric Circuit, Match Point and Fighting Spirit


Group A will be played on Sunday, Aug 17 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00):

      First Series: TvP between sSak and Sky. We've seen some strong play from Sky this entire starleague. Taking out Hiya 2-0 in a convincing series, Sky showed that he can be patient and calculating. On the other hand, sSak has also been doing well lately though his recent results aside from a 2-0 win in RO32 over the Protoss Changers have been against Zerg players such as hero and Killer. These two have faced each other in the past. Back in the first season of 41 Starleague, Sky ended up eliminating sSak in RO32 in the finals match with a 2-1 win. The other time they've faced each other was in Gabangpop 1st Sonic PL where Sky also beat sSak on Circuit Breaker. Based on their past history and Sky's recent form, this will be hard series to call.
Prediction: Sky will take it in a close 3-2 series with a high forecast for cheese on HBR.

      Second Series: TvZ between Cola and Mind. Cola and Mind have only faced each other once before, in Gabangpop 1st Sonic PL where Cola lost to Mind on New Sniper Ridge. Their respective records speak for themselves as well. Mind's vZ is sitting at a high 78% though that only takes into account 18 games. Cola vT is sitting at a dismal 39% and he's been on a 14 game losing streak (prior to recent results) which doesn't bode well for him. We should keep in mind that Cola did defeat Sea however one game isn't any indication that his vT is enough to dispatch Mind. Also, Sea's failed 8 rax bunker rush contributed to his win. Mind on the other hand has shown some solid vZ games against the likes of ZerO even if that is ZerO's weakest matchup. He has lost to larva 2-0 in RO32 but one loss doesn't override his whole record. Unless Cola can re-invent himself and study Mind's play to come up with good strategies, he doesn't stand a chance to advance to RO8.
Prediction: Mind should take this series 3-0.


Group B will be played on Monday, Aug 18 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00):

      First Series: ZvZ between HoGiL and Killer. HoGiL looks like the dark horse of this tourney. He wasn't around to play season one of 41 Starleague and his post-Kespa era BW record only contains several games but his vP and vT games seem solid from what we've seen so far. However, he's only played two games against Zergs and both were in Gabangpop 1st Sonic PL. He beat beast whose ZvZ is average but lost to Killer on Mist. Taking a look at his professional BW record, his ZvZ was sitting at 31% with his last win before retirement against Jaedong to knock him out of Bacchus OSL. His opponent, Killer is the undisputed best Zerg in the current BW scene. Killer is coming off beating hero 2-0 convincingly in the RO16 and beating ZerO 2-1 in RO32. His current ZvZ record is 76% which is insane. When considering everything, it's safe to say that Killer will take this series easily.
Prediction: Killer will take this 3-1. Even Killer can still lose a game.

      Second Series: TvP between Sea and Shuttle. Both players have clashed several times before. In Gabangpop 1st Sonic PL, Sea beat Shuttle on Neo Electric Circuit. In 1st LoveTV BJ Starleague, Sea has also won beaten Shuttle 2-1 on his way to first place. Recently, in BCTV Starleague Season 1, Sea beat Shuttle 3-0. This puts things in Sea's favour. On top of that, he's beaten Snow, GuemChi and Lazy this season to make RO8. On the other hand, Shuttle has strong vP and has a higher winrate against Terrans than Sea has against Protoss. Shuttle has also beaten Mind this season otherwise most of his recent victories have been against other protoss and zerg players. Though historically, TvP has been Sea's worst matchup, his recent results against Shuttle indicate that Sea has a good fighting chance and has a high chance of taking this.
Prediction: Close series, 3-2 in Sea's favour because I'm bias towards Sea!

Hopefully, everyone can tune in to watch some exciting RO8 matches! Thanks to Stratos for posting up the groups and dates.
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Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
hellokitty[hk]
Profile Joined June 2009
United States1309 Posts
August 13 2014 23:21 GMT
#2
Shuttle wins you heard it here first.
People are imbeciles, lucky thing god made cats.
HyralGambit
Profile Joined February 2014
2439 Posts
August 14 2014 01:32 GMT
#3
Why isn't this under Community News yet, ffs?

Anyways... considering Sea 3-0'd Shuttle in the BCTV SL, we could very likely get a rival match between Killer and Sea in the Ro4
Passion overcomes corporate stupidity: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jX9hbbA-WP4#t=4h2m
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 14 2014 04:16 GMT
#4
I hope we get a Killer vs Sea semifinals. I remember some of those SRTs where their games were so wacky and funny to watch. Sea also seems to have Killer's number lol.

On August 14 2014 08:21 hellokitty[hk] wrote:
Shuttle wins you heard it here first.

Good luck to Shuttle especially after the latest BCTV results I only went 3-2 for Sea instead of 3-0 because I felt sorry for Shuttle
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
HyralGambit
Profile Joined February 2014
2439 Posts
August 14 2014 04:18 GMT
#5
On August 14 2014 13:16 BigFan wrote:
I hope we get a Killer vs Sea semifinals. I remember some of those SRTs where their games were so wacky and funny to watch. Sea also seems to have Killer's number lol.

Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 08:21 hellokitty[hk] wrote:
Shuttle wins you heard it here first.

Good luck to Shuttle especially after the latest BCTV results I only went 3-2 for Sea instead of 3-0 because I felt sorry for Shuttle

If it was Snow instead of Shuttle, Sea would've had no chance.
Passion overcomes corporate stupidity: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jX9hbbA-WP4#t=4h2m
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 14 2014 04:20 GMT
#6
On August 14 2014 13:18 HyralGambit wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 13:16 BigFan wrote:
I hope we get a Killer vs Sea semifinals. I remember some of those SRTs where their games were so wacky and funny to watch. Sea also seems to have Killer's number lol.

On August 14 2014 08:21 hellokitty[hk] wrote:
Shuttle wins you heard it here first.

Good luck to Shuttle especially after the latest BCTV results I only went 3-2 for Sea instead of 3-0 because I felt sorry for Shuttle

If it was Snow instead of Shuttle, Sea would've had no chance.

I dunno about that. Sea did take a win against Snow in RO32 to take him down to the loser's match so who's to say that he can't just win against him 2 more games if bo5.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
August 14 2014 07:04 GMT
#7
So excited!
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
vult
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States9400 Posts
August 14 2014 16:04 GMT
#8
Shuttle vs Sea should be sick! Hoping for 3-1 from Sea!!
I used to play random, but for you I play very specifically.
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 14 2014 16:41 GMT
#9
On August 15 2014 01:04 vult wrote:
Shuttle vs Sea should be sick! Hoping for 3-1 from Sea!!

Wouldn't be surprised to see Sea take it 3-0 even though Shuttle is not to be underestimated imo. I think he'll make it a series and a rough one at that.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Stratos
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Czech Republic6104 Posts
August 14 2014 18:16 GMT
#10
Good predictions I think, gj. Should be fun
En Taro Violet
ggrrg
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
Bulgaria2716 Posts
August 14 2014 19:58 GMT
#11
I really appreciate your coverage of this league! Keep it up!
and go go Sea!
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 14 2014 21:03 GMT
#12
Glad you guys enjoyed it. Sea fighting!
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Ty2
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United States1434 Posts
August 15 2014 02:46 GMT
#13
--- Nuked ---
Writer
hunting1
Profile Joined August 2014
Thailand2 Posts
August 15 2014 07:48 GMT
#14
Mind go go !!
Stratos
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Czech Republic6104 Posts
August 18 2014 18:41 GMT
#15
Looks like your predictions worked out pretty well
En Taro Violet
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
August 18 2014 23:27 GMT
#16
On August 19 2014 03:41 Stratos wrote:
Looks like your predictions worked out pretty well

lol well, all but one though I need to work on the scores. + Show Spoiler [results] +
Who would've guessed that Sky would 3-0 sSak or Shuttle would beat Sea 3-1 >.>
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
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