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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXVII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
January 30 2013 16:12 GMT
#21
/in
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 07 2013 05:49 GMT
#130
DIs gunna be good can't wait
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 15:42 GMT
#464
Hey guys Im currently getting caught up on today still have a couple of pages left but want to say I am against RNG lynches with RNG you wont see how someone will try to defend themselves when they get lynched so you get little to no information from the flip. This effectively gives scum a much easier second day if we lynch townies.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 16:06 GMT
#476
@ zare Thats a very interesting case you made. I think you over looked the fourth post a little bit in that the way it was worded is basically setting up WoS to defend any lurker he doesn't want lynched and any lurker he does want lynched with a line of qualitative additions which could be interpreted any which way.
@ mocsta
1) I have played mafia before a long time ago
2) right now on the lynch I would like to hear from everyone
3) lurker over null
4) scum over lurker
I think we need to not discuss peoples past games this early its really hard to make a read based on meta on D1 because of how little information we have to look at I understand on most day ones there really isnt anything else to talk about but this day one has a good bit of information so far and talking about past games is just adding stuff that is pure WIFOM which I agree is not helpful to good town play. its pretty much useless to everyone but scum.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 16:20 GMT
#482
@warbaby why 9-bit over a different lurker? it looks like mandalor just picked the top one off his list and I would think you would want to pressure other lurkers over voting for the same one. and making a pressure vote which yours obviously is because of your last sentence is pretty useless if you say its a pressure vote.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 16:38 GMT
#487
yes but your only putting pressure on one lurker. and there is a pretty good chance a townie is scum so if you are going to pressure vote lurkers you should pressure vote all of them so they post and you can get a real read. any pressure vote now however is not going to be very effective because you came out and said it was just for pressure. LAL should not even be seriously considered until closer to the end of day 1 IMO when we will actually lynch the lurkers
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 16:44 GMT
#493
wow yes It was part of a sentence about how probable it is that a lurker is a townie with how many lurkers there are. my text got jumbled.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 11 2013 16:45 GMT
#495
EBWODP: @ snoman
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 03:37 GMT
#583
Hey guys I'm back sorry I have not been super active today its my only day off of the week.
catching up on the thread will be able to post opinions shorty.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 04:02 GMT
#592


+ Show Spoiler +
On February 12 2013 05:12 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 04:57 geript wrote:
@sn0_man
What do you think are Mocsta's town contributions? What are the 'scummy things' Mocsta has done that you think I'm avoiding?


Thats a long-ass filter you just asked me to read.

The short version: He made a post a while back about the difference between lynching bad town and scum, which was spot on and actually was quite opposite of what scum would be telling noobs. Plus I think that he could easily have gotten away with a much more deceptive, scum motivated theory that I don't think town would have properly analysed. Plus he has avoided making super-ultra-ridiculously BS cases (something he did a lot of last time I played with him). It isn't that I have a strong town read, but I'm definitely leaning town here. Plus I still want to lynch a lurker today and slim this down to a game where everybody is contributing. BTW Glurio is squarely on my list of lurkers right now at 2 posts (no better than the 0-posters).


I bolded the odd part. Why wouldn't scum tell the town what exactly they should be looking for and just avoid exactly these things? Since Sn0 spotted the seemingly non-scum-motivated theory how come he thinks he wouldn't have spotted the much more deceptive scum-motivated theory?
this is straight up WIFOM which as i think we established earlier helps scum more and is distracting to town

Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 05:44 Sn0_Man wrote:
WoS has basically managed to come up with: I'm not scum, Honest! Plz forgive terribad posting, I promise to improve.

I'm happy to give him another day, but that defense hardly clears his name.

@Warbaby care to clarify what part of Glurio's post is particularly townie compared to last game? I fully expect that, were he to roll scum again, he would up his game at least a bit with respect to looking more townie as scum. So one kinda OK post isn't gonna clear his name.



So I would up my game if i roll scum again, but i'm not so i'm a scummy lurker? What? That doesn't even make sense.
If I up my game now am i scum? If i won't i'm a scummy lurker? WIFOM
and now your against WIFOM after pointing it out earlier?


Now let's get to all the lurker posts, i won't quote them all, just read the filter it's most of his posts.
It's the easiest thing in the world to point to lurker. Be it the no-post lurker or the few-post lurker which, according to sn0, are actually worse then the no-post lurker.
Everyone can do it. I can just look into the thread every hour, post something about the guy with the lowest post count, tell everyone he only has X posts. After that i start pointing out the other lurkers, because hey don't forget about them. And then theres always the thing about recent games where at some point of the game one of the scum players lurked.
If you really want me to do that, it wouldn't be a problem, but i try to actually contribute something with my posts. Not bury my filter in useless posts about lurkers.
what does this actually say? im not active lurker so im not scum? I feel like your defense here is also WIFOM because you could obviously use that defense to justify real lurking.


so from your case I'm getting a theme of you not saying anything substantial other than counting his posts which is scum behavior
##FOS Glurio
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 04:10 GMT
#594
Also I would like to see some more posts from the inactive people specifically Mandalor who made one anti lurker post and also made a pretty bandwagony FOS on WoS while he has made a few posts they dont really say much or bring anything new to the table which is a great way for scum to appear helpful.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 04:43 GMT
#604
Guys, warbaby is getting discussed to death and my comments to Glurio are getting buried. Can we please discuss something new, these are my points on his case to Sno_Man.
- why did he show all of snos post hes just trying to look like hes trying hard to scumhunt, but is the same as if we just read his filter.
-his question about the bolded part of one of snos posts " Why wouldn't scum tell the town what exactly they should be looking for and just avoid exactly these things?" is just useless rhetoric and he obviously isnt trying to achieve anything with it
-hes also defending himself when no case or anything was made against him so hes preemptively getting ready to be accused by pretending to have gotten attacked.
lastly while he made a big case that doesnt say much he still has barely any posts so hes doing exactly what he claimed not be doing which is actively lurk.
Glurio is scum
##vote: Glurio
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 15:31 GMT
#660
On February 13 2013 00:07 glurio wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 23:28 zarepath wrote:
Reactions to my Fake WoS Case
in order of appearance

+ Show Spoiler +

On February 12 2013 00:45 warbaby wrote:
FoS WaveofShadow

I'm not voting until we've had more time for the remaining lurkers to report in, and Shadow can respond to zarepath.

I agree with zarepath that the people actually voting me aren't looking that scummy; compared to those just trawling for a convenient bandwagon.


On February 12 2013 00:46 cDgCorazon wrote:
Thank you Zare. I liked the points in your analysis for the 3rd and 4th posts. While it's not enough to make me vote for him (and I'd like to see his defense), a lot of the same things could be said about many players (especially with the non scum-hunting).

The point that town never uses WIFOM made me laugh (you know why). Maybe you should rethink using WIFOM as a 100% scum tell (yeah it's scummy but if town Zare (from last game) does it why can't other towns do it and not be scum?).


On February 12 2013 00:52 Mocsta wrote:
Guys im going to bed.

zarepath, I am not sure if the start of your post was addressed to me?

If so, I had mandalor as null read; he said a few things but until he follows through its all NON-alignment indicative.

btw, quite a few decent points in that case; I think some are educated assumptions, and others are really contradictory to ideal town play. Will wait and see what wave has to say for himself before proceeding further.


On February 12 2013 01:06 Sevryn wrote:
@ zare Thats a very interesting case you made. I think you over looked the fourth post a little bit in that the way it was worded is basically setting up WoS to defend any lurker he doesn't want lynched and any lurker he does want lynched with a line of qualitative additions which could be interpreted any which way.


On February 12 2013 01:19 warbaby wrote:
EBWOP: Not to say that I won't vote for someone that makes an obvious scumslip D1, but nobody has done that so far (except maybe WoS).


On February 12 2013 01:20 Mandalor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 00:38 zarepath wrote:
Sixth post, weird defensiveness against others addressing him:
On February 11 2013 13:54 WaveofShadow wrote:
I'm trying to say don't look too much into it. There are more important things to be done like scumhunt; determining as to my town alignment should become obvious by my future actions, not by my words.

On February 11 2013 13:44 warbaby wrote:
WaveOfShadow, this is not your town. It's not my town, and it's not Mocsta's town.

It is the town, and it's members shall think for themselves and analyze the thread before doing stupid things. Please.

Warbaby, this sure as hell is my town as I'm a part of it and I care about it. I'm not sure where you got the idea that I'm telling or leading people not to think for themselves or that I'm doing something stupid.

"Don't look too much into it." "Don't worry, don't read what I say, you'll know that I'm town soon enough, don't even bother thinking about me as mafia." What kind of townie says "don't analyze me in any way, please!"? Also, kind of overemphatic about his town-alignment claim here.


I feel like this is the most interesting part of the case. "Don't look much into it". What is that? Townies should be comfortable with others analysing them. In fact, the more townies do that, the less scum will be able to sway them.
I don't like his overly town attitude ("my town" etc.) and the fact that (apart from a few weak attacks on Mocsta), he didn't analyse anybody yet.

##FoS: WaveOfShadow


On February 12 2013 01:33 Sn0_Man wrote:
Regarding the WaveOfShadow case, I see some merit there but I'm still not here to lynch posting players unless more comes up. I agree with Mandalor about what part of the case is compelling. Unprompted soft AND hard town claims with some fairly stupid follow up excuses.


On February 12 2013 01:40 geript wrote:
@zarepth On the first couple of reads I like the case. I'll come back with more after my test. Wish me luck!


On February 12 2013 05:25 warbaby wrote:
FWIW,

Mocsta's play is a bit like his scum play in XXXV, but maybe it's also his idea of optimal town play (which is why he tried to do it as scum in 35 -- as a ruse). I don't see anything scummy in what Mocsta's done (other than some meta wifom crap based on his play in 35).

I'm not dismissing the scum Mocsta idea, but I think zarepath's case on WaveofShadow is much more concrete at this point. I'm waiting to hear more from WaveofShadow before I consider voting him.

I am also more interested in lynching lurkers (than Mocsta) if WoS makes a non-scummy defense. I do not really count glurio as a lurker -- his last post was very atypical of his scum play in 36 and counts as a real contribution in my book. I also expect he'll continue making decent contributions before D1 is over.


On February 12 2013 05:44 Sn0_Man wrote:
WoS has basically managed to come up with: I'm not scum, Honest! Plz forgive terribad posting, I promise to improve.

I'm happy to give him another day, but that defense hardly clears his name.


On February 12 2013 05:48 geript wrote:
@zare
Second post: + Show Spoiler +
On February 11 2013 11:21 WaveofShadow wrote:
As far as I'm concerned, early game banter based on taking offense to others cheap shots or picking apart grammar is useless and should just be ignored.
I'm fairly sure at this point enough people have declined the RNG vote so the topic should be dropped by everyone.
Can the scumhunting begin now?
I think you're reading too much into the second post. Even if it is posturing to put himself as pro-town, I don't take that as scum read because even town needs a platform from which to espouse their ideas. I also happen to agree that everything up that point should for the most part be ignored as useless.

Your other points are valid in that none if his posts have been effective. In context, his third post seems worse to me than anything else as Mocsta asks him to "Lead the way" and he takes a reasonably impassioned LAL stance which is unlikely to draw any attention. You do miss a post re: filter burying of which the highlight is
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2013 11:35 WaveofShadow wrote:
(@Mocsta)You talk a lot, and it's not always useful.

While he returns to lurking after that, it's a valid point that has been brought up a few times now but started, imo, with Sno's earlier post:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2013 10:35 Sn0_Man wrote:
I have no interest in reading more from Mocsta tonight. I await contributions from the as-yet silent members of our game.

His last post is more of the same. While I still don't like Mocsta so far, your case is better and his last post nails it in for me.
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 05:31 WaveofShadow wrote:
Now as far as I'm concerned, LAL. Glurio basically fitting to his MO from last game rings alarm bells for me much more strongly than a 9-bit or Macheji lynch, I must admit. There are others however, who have not even done the bare minimum in my eyes, namely Sylencia who jump on the warbaby train and disappears, and Sevryn who has contributed nothing worthy of note so far.
In my LAL spirit though, until I see something, I'm going to stick with it.

Ummm what? So, you're seeing alarm bells and aren't interested in putting pressure on them. Instead you're more interested in deflecting towards anyone else? You have clearly no interest in trying to make a case whatsoever or in doing any analysis.
##change vote waveofshadow


On February 12 2013 05:59 cDgCorazon wrote:
WoS- Zare already made a good case against him. Reading through his defense, he says:

Show nested quote +
On February 12 2013 05:31 WaveofShadow wrote:
This was a post that I didn't immediately regret posting, and only now do I realize how scummy it looks. Basically if I avoided saying the whole 'shadows' thing it would have been fine.

My WIFOM post (which was the one I immediately regretted) was only to try and get people not to focus on me because IT IS A WASTE OF TIME. I stand by absolutely everything I have said thus far, I figure I should have just phrased most of it better.



Note the bolded lines. He says that he regrets a few posts, but stands by them anyways. That appears a little bit contradictory to me. Why doesn't he just admit that he made a mistake and keep it at that? Why would he make a post full of WIFOM and only apologize for it when he gets called out on it?

The next thing he does, once he's defended himself, is voted for a lurker. Now LAL isn't a bad policy, but it should not be used 30 hours before a lynch. That's just being lazy. It's giving up on all discussion for 30 hours (if one is going to stick with LAL), and it allows the scum to escape the radar D1 as long as they are slightly active (and it's not hard to make cases on people D1 as there are many players that can be targeted). Voting for Macheji this early is a scummy move to me and one that should be looked at further.

I'm less suspicious on WoS than Geript, but I'm still curious. I'll keep my eye on him.


On February 12 2013 07:07 warbaby wrote:
Also WoS's post is a start in the right direction. IMO none of the proposed cases have enough merit to be worth voting scum at this point. And I don't see why we'd want to lynch glurio right now, over someone with actually zero posts.


On February 12 2013 09:57 Mocsta wrote:
  • WaveofShadow effectively concedes

- Guy effectively says, great posts I am going to struggle to refute…
  • WoS vs warbaby

Whats important to me, is that on Day1 (post 24hrs) there are two guys that majorly fucked up. (warbaby and WoS)
The question comes down to: are they both bad townie; are they both bad scum; or is one bad townie, one bad scum.

Look at the approach
warbaby
Does not address case criteria
Incites emotional arguments
Continues to flame people, even when they agree to back off
Just blindly follows others, once the heat is off.

WaveofShadow
Attempts to address case criteria
Blindly follows others (voting lurkers)
Puts some analysis into Glurio post

The key differentiator is that WoS admits the situation outright, and has tried to still contribute (some parts blind following, other parts on his own accord). Im reading WoS as pretty genuine right now; and am willing to put him at this stage as “bad townie”

Warbaby simply has done nothing to establish his innocence all game; My analysis and my gut is still telling me “first time scum”.


On February 12 2013 10:28 warbaby wrote:
Me vs WaveofShadow is a false dichotomy, Mocsta. What about sylencia? He could easily be a scum trying to blend in.

I can't seriously vote WaveofShadow when there are other people who have made very small contributions.


On February 12 2013 20:09 glurio wrote:
I'll make it easier for you mandalor.

What do you think about WoS right now?
Can you elaborate on the scumminess of mocsta?



A summary of the timeline:

1. warbaby absolutely hops onto it and FoSes without digging any deeper
2. Cora likes two specific points I made, but cautions that a lot of what I said could be said about others, and that my WIFOM point wasn't necessarily true in my own case last game
3. Mocsta generally likes it but thinks some tells are just educated assumptions on WoS's part and we have to wait to see what else he produces
4. Sevryn likes the case and adds some WIFOM to it
5. warbaby suggests that no one's made an obvious scum slip (except maybe WoS)
6. Mandalor emphasizes my point about WoS telling others to not analyze him, adds in the stuff about "my town"
7. Sn0 likes the case, but doesn't want to lynch an active player today
8. geript likes my case on first couples of reads, will post more later (has a test)
9. warbaby says my case is concrete but won't vote until he sees his defense
10. Sn0 really dislikes WoS's defense
11. geript analyzes my case, points out one of my points which wasn't really valid, but likes the others and votes for him
12. cora doesn't like WoS's defense, analyzes it a bit
13. warbaby says that WoS's posting is good enough for now to not vote for him
14. Mocsta analyzes WoS's defense and posting, reads him as genuine
15. warbaby emphasizes not having to vote for WoS
16. glurio wants Mandalor's read on the WoS case

Have to go to work now, but I think that looking at this, you can separate players into how seriously they took this case as opposed to just bandwagoning on it.



This you got wrong.
Since WoS was the only one who actually called me out on my crappy case on Sn0, i have a slight town read on him. I actually wanted to see if Mandalor has got the same idea by now. ("WoS got it right", to quote myself)
[/b]
the only one? do you have anything to say in reply to my post?
also you say you made your case only because you said you would. why would you make a case you know is weak except to try and appear like your contributing when your obviously not.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 15:38 GMT
#663
i learned how to type gud in mah skewl class
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 15:50 GMT
#665
Well thats really easy to say after zarepaths play but you didn't breadcrumb what you were doing which makes it a really convenient excuse.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 12 2013 19:23 GMT
#709
On February 13 2013 02:50 glurio wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2013 02:46 Sn0_Man wrote:
On February 13 2013 02:38 glurio wrote:
On February 13 2013 00:57 zarepath wrote:
glurio, who are your top scum reads right now?


Mandalor i'd like to hear more from.
Sevryn might be scum making a terrible case on me voting and hoping for a wagon.
Other than that i have nothing right now.


I can understand how a town would feel like this as well, but as I recall one of the hallmarks of newer scum is an inability to make cases due to knowing everybody's alignment (and of course not wishing to bus the real scum).

Plus glurio has kept his post/contribution levels quite low (although admittedly if he doesn't have any leads then posting doesn't make a ton of sense). At least there is much less sheep in his play this game compared to last. Again though, that could definitely be a meta update based on the results of last game.


Well i feel like you are really tunneling me. Nothing i'll do will please you. If i post less, i'm scum, if i get more active i changed my meta, still scum. What do you want from me?
Right now i try to ask questions in mandalors direction. If he simply doesn't answer and does not give me anything to work with i really can't make a case on him right now.

Are you really asking here what you can do to not be considered scum?


To everyone else I am going to work and am not sure if I will be able to be on again before the vote. I will be leaving my vote on glurio because he seems the scummiest to me right now.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 13 2013 05:23 GMT
#907
So I'm back from work and wow has a lot happened I dont understand why glurio played like he did. That is why I tunneled him because his case was absolutely terrible. We also needed another topic besides warbaby so I pushed glurio as a good alternate topic. Glurio admitted his case was terrible which just doesnt make sense why would town make a terrible case without breadcrumbs like I said earlier its just distracting and doesnt help town. as this lynch proved.

The only reason you think im scum is because you think a lurker is scum and while I know I havn't been very active which I will be fixing over the next days I have to ask. Why just me and glurio? your just looking at whats blaring in your face and not the whole picture. I had the confidence to share my read and kill glurios case why would scum do that? You talk about when during the day I posted my case like people normally post cases early day one when there is nothing to read which is kind of irrelavant because I posted my case after I read and reread his case.

I'm going to bed now but Will be up tomorrow and will be ready to provide my opinions and takes on yesterdays last minute activity and the night that fight.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 13 2013 17:07 GMT
#921
Alright so sno_man why are you so focused on whether or not WB claimed? while I agree that he could have soft claimed this seems like something you wouldnt want to draw attention too especially before n1. Which you did in at least 4 semi recent posts.
+ Show Spoiler +
On February 13 2013 09:44 Sn0_Man wrote:
You aren't helping yourself glurio.

I think I may be willing to vote Sylencia, but my read on him is Blue or Scum, not green. I read somewhere that people who seem withdrawn and preoccupied with blue roles (like Syl was when we talked about WB's pseudo-blue claim) are often blue themselves. (Somewhere is in Ver's analysis of XXX). I really didn't want to lynch Syl because he might flip blue but his contributions haven't really been in line with what I would hope a town member would try to bring to the table.

So basically, I'm willing to consolidate on Syl but I want you guys to understand the risk that he flips blue is decently high IMO.

On February 13 2013 06:54 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2013 14:01 warbaby wrote:
I won't claim my actual role right now (just that my alignment is not mafia rofl), but if we get to a point later (d2+) where others are considering claiming, I will not hesitate this time.


Show nested quote +
On February 11 2013 20:57 warbaby wrote:
I could give away more information (like a blue role) later on, but I haven't done that yet


Between the two of these it looks like you are saying "I'm blue but I'm not gonna out and say it". VTs traditionally have no real problem mentioning that they are VT (afaik?). You are more like "I'm town, but I won't tell you what special kind of town". Which means you are a special kind. Which is a soft claim. Even if you didn't mean it that way, at least half the thread read it that way.

On February 13 2013 04:41 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2013 04:34 Mandalor wrote:
Right now, I would vote Sylencia.
His response so far hasn't changed anything for me concerning his odd behavior with warbaby. WB never soft-claimed anything - yet Syl gives us this odd post saying he's most likely vig or scum. That is the opposite of helpful for town. I can't think of a use for this information at this point in the game. Elimination surely can't be it when we don't know any role yet.
That combined with his uncharacteristic (I think? at least have that in my mind) lurking (yeah yeah I know, but I have posted more here than I did in any game yet) makes him my top scum read for now.
If nothing big comes up that will be my vote for tonight (will probably have to vote in 4 or 5 hours and call it a day).


There we go! See, I can think of an explanation for most of what Syl is doing, but I'm not going to call you out if you can't. I think WB soft-claimed, but I can definitely see how others think he didn't. I like you you picked a name, gave a real reason that was consistent with your earlier posts, and didn't even need to make it too long.

Obviously this doesn't prove you are town but it certainly helps your chances of not being lynched today. For now, I won't ask more but keep in mind that we expect more of THIS POST as often as is reasonable for you to manage (I know its time consuming).

On February 13 2013 06:56 Sn0_Man wrote:
To further explain WB, the fact that you even went so far as to mention roles and blue and whatever looks bad. "I'm Town" looks fine and doesn't claim VT or blue, but "I won't tell you my role (other than I'm town)" looks leading/breadcrumby/soft-claim.


Now I know this is kind of contradictory for me to post this night one but I was looking for someone to make a case on and tbh this is all I really noticed on you and figured I should share my thoughts before everyone assumed I had gone full on lurker when I'm really in the middle of my two busiest work days. so while you not super scummy to me I would like to know why you keep pointing this out. In my opinion you should have saved this for day2 discussion at the very least.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 13 2013 17:16 GMT
#924
so you were defending syl?
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
February 13 2013 17:26 GMT
#926
Gotcha thanks
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