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Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
February 28 2012 06:58 GMT
#29
/in. I will give it a try.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-03-01 04:01:05
March 01 2012 03:57 GMT
#67
NVM. 9 townies 3 mafia. We got at least 2 free lynch.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-03-01 04:02:36
March 01 2012 04:02 GMT
#68
On March 01 2012 12:38 gunman103 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2012 12:14 DimmuKlok wrote:
I too feel that we should push for a lynch on day one. Mafia has nothing to lose with with a no lynch on day one, where the town loses the potential for more information with a lynch. That's why it's crucial that everyone posts their opinions on topics and stays active so we can get reads on everyone.

I agree. However, we will lose our number advantage more rapidly if we do lynch someone just for the sake of lynching. If there's no potential for information to be gained by lynching him, then we should not do so.


No. We are better off to RL lynch someone. Town typically cannot kill players, so RL every day is required unless it cannot be afforded.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 01 2012 04:11 GMT
#72
On March 01 2012 13:04 EchelonTee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2012 12:57 Sufficiency wrote:
NVM. 9 townies 3 mafia. We got at least 2 free lynch.



don't edit!!!!!!!!

Seriously don't edit. Your words have to be set in stone, or you could just go back and edit whatever you want to be un-said. This is a warning.


I'll take this opportunity to invite everyone to re-read all of the rules carefully, please ^^


Sorry I didn't know. I won't edit anymore.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 01 2012 04:15 GMT
#74
On March 01 2012 13:10 trackd00r wrote:
Suffciency, If you are willing to random lynch anyone, which player it would be? I hardly see a point of RL someone later on this day because we already might have better reads in that moment. If you want to take this action, throw a name by now. I don't really like the idea though.

Going to bed now. See you in about 9 hours.


I actually FoS gunman103 right now for suggesting no RL.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 01 2012 04:16 GMT
#75
Oh great. Now he is defensive about it.

Anyway, since it's not the time to vote yet, we might as well wait until everyone talked a few lines.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 01 2012 04:17 GMT
#76
I also FoS OtoshimonoU for being a compromiser.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 03:45 GMT
#142
I say we lynch OtoshimonoU or gunman103
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 08:11 GMT
#146
On March 02 2012 12:59 gunman103 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 12:45 Sufficiency wrote:
I say we lynch OtoshimonoU or gunman103

Can you at least give us a reason for wanting to lynch me and Oto?


Can you read what I wrote before?
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 08:16 GMT
#147
On March 02 2012 10:36 Maverick32x wrote:
Okay guys.
This is ALL of my reads over the past day. Let me know what you think. If any is inaccurate let me know, but I broke it down into looking at each player's tendency to agree/disagree with someone else to see if there are any patterns of "allegiance" that I can spot. I also looked at behaviors that can be interpreted as either Mafia or Town. I obviously couldn't hit on everything, but these were the things that jumped out at me.. feel free to agree/disagree all you'd like. Lastly, I put in some miscellaneous information that I just thought was interesting or factual about a stance that the person had.

I obviously didn't write stuff about myself, but if you'd like to create one for me, go ahead.




1.) gunman103 –
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with: Dimx2
Disagrees with: Sufficiency.
Mafia Behaviors: A kind of wishy-washy with his policy. Starts to fall to RL as a last resort if necessary. Though previously stated he wants to lynch for info, he now is considering a RL, but would prefer a ‘lurker’.
Town Behaviors: Doesn’t want to lynch unless there is information to be gained. Repeats this information. Reinforces this idea a third time
Misc: Against random lynching. Should only lynch for info. .


2.) Mementoss –
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with: Maverickx2
Disagrees with: Trackd00r but takes it back. Sufficiency, OtoshimonUx3, Friedchicken, Pablols
Mafia Behaviors: Possibly keeping attention off himself by focusing on others, Especially OtoshimonoU.
Town Behaviors: Against Random Lynch- presents a well thought out argument. Continues to detail out his reasoning. Consistent with the people he disagrees with and the people he suspects.
Misc: Claims himself as one of the most active. True?


3.) Rainmaker5
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with:
Dissagrees with:
Mafia Behaviors: Willing to sac a townie. Responds very late with little substancex2
Town Behaviors:
Misc: Wants to move onto a new topic since random lynch has been discussed to death.


4.) Pablols –
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with:
Disagrees with: Trakd00r-> takes it back(after being exonerated by him), lightly disagrees with Maverick, Mementossx4
Mafia Behaviors: Brings it back to the RL, despite everyone moving on from it. Rambles on a bit at this point.
Town Behaviors: Decently argues for a move to lynch in looking at the long term perspective, willing to take a risk. Puts a lot of effort into pointing out that Mementoss if taking his words out of context. Wants to lynch for a purpose.
Misc: Randomly accuses Mementoss seemingly because he is upset that he was accussed. A bit overaction.


5.) Tiystus –
+ Show Spoiler +

Agrees with:
Disagrees with: Mementoss
Mafia Behaviors: Indecisive. Encouraging risky/chaotic behaviors.Still contradictory statements. Says Dim is town, but then also accuses him of possibly being mafia. Brings back the RL discussion (though he has been mia for awhile)
Town Behaviors: Would rather go with a hunch than a RL, but feels a lynch is necessary or town will lose.
Misc: all for random lynch- posts that he’s reluctant. Sticks with reluctance, but again is on the “we need to do something NOW train” Back tracks and now is saying RL is a last resort. Didn't answer numerous questions directed at him.


6.) DimmuKlok –

+ Show Spoiler +

Agrees with: Trackd00r, Mementoss
Disagress with
Mafia Behaviors: First post indicates a strong desire to try to push for a lynch.
Town Behaviors: Still thinks we could lynch a lurker to ‘flush out mafia’, but doesn’t want to randomly do it. Recognizes that we are talking circles about Random lynching or not and wants to change topics.
Misc:wants to lynch on day 1. But wants to see active posters and seems to want to decide on someone. Against random lynching though.


7.) Sufficiency –.
+ Show Spoiler +

Mafia Behaviors: Wants to RL- pushes this hard. Accusses without any evidence or reasoning.
Town Behaviors:
Agrees with:
Disagrees with: Gunman, OtoshimonU


8.) friedchicken –
+ Show Spoiler +

Mafia Behaviors: poor logic, wants to lynch no matter what. Flips kind of. Would be willing to lynch a lurker, not necessarily random. There could be only town that are lurking however, so this could be a setup.
Town Behaviors:


9.) Maverick32x

10.) trackd00r –
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with: Pablols
Disagrees with: Sufficiency- then flips to say he is town. OtoshimonUx2
Mafia Behaviors: Seems eager in the initial post to try to get people to accuse others right away. Uses past game as evidence of his ability to hunt down mafia to try to set up innocence. Brings up that the activity is too low, but hasn’t posted much.
Town Behaviors: Initial post is encouraging and pro-town. Continues this trend, wants to hear people talk. Doesn’t want to RL
Misc:Seems positive about staying active. Focuses on wording as his evidence.



11.) OtoshimonoU-
+ Show Spoiler +
Agrees with:
Disagrees with: Trakd00r and Dim
Mafia Behaviors: Wishy-washy. Willing to along with everyone, seems to be trying to lie low.
Town Behaviors: Recognizes the disadvantages of a first day lynch and feels its too hasty.
Misc: Against first day lynching since town is at disadvantage- but will go along if everyone else will do it. Defends Trak’s usage of “accusing” and seems to support him.


12.) Beorn1
+ Show Spoiler +
Mafia Behaviors: Longest Lurker by far. First post has 0 content.
Town Behaviors:


How long have you been playing mafia, Maverick32x?
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 08:31 GMT
#148
OtoshimonoU: don't you find me scummy? I did fos you without explaining much.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 11:18 GMT
#151
On March 02 2012 17:59 DimmuKlok wrote:
Sufficiency, while you're here could you explain to me in more detail why you chose OtoshimonoU and gunman103?


gutty feelings.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 18:03 GMT
#161
Anyway, the way I see it now, Beorn, OtoshimonoU, Rainmaker5 are either indifferent towns or scums. I was pointing FoS'es like crazy everywhere and these three failed to make any responses. I am especially happy about a beorn lynch because he said almost nothing so far (in case we actually want to do a lynch today). Surely, sometimes vanilla towners can be very quiet, but if he is allowed to live for too long, in lylo situations we may hammer wrong because he has only made one post so far.

I actually think Tiystus is town. The way he defended NL was pretty towntelling for me.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 18:09 GMT
#162
If I have to choose from the three I listed above, however, I'd probably just lynch beorn. It feels to me that his inactivity is either because he is really scum, or his lack of power (i.e. he is probably vanilla). I really don't think he is a PR of any sort. It feels like a safe lynch to me.

In my opinion, day1 lynch is very difficult to conduct. Without any "hard" evidence (from kills, etc.) and only through talking, any mafia can be just as pro-town as anyone else.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 20:59 GMT
#176
On March 03 2012 05:51 Maverick32x wrote:
@Sufficiency-
Good posts!! I'm really glad to hear from you!! That being said, I truly am suspecting the following people as the most likely to be mafia at this point-

Sufficiency- Its not so much the things you said, but the reactions that I've been gathering from the bottom two. Obviously I suspected you from the start due to your poor posting. But it seems like a lot of the other people were eager to let you get by as "poor town", and you weren't confronted at all. Then all of a sudden you post that you want to get rid of the lurker, and Dim hopes right on board. You've established zero credability in this thread, if anything you were seen as a non-helpful, yet for some reason you're getting bandwagon support.....

Dim- You've spent a lot of time defending Mementoss, and bandwagoned with Sufficiency.
Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 19:25 DimmuKlok wrote:

My thoughts regarding Mementoss and Pablols, I think we have a case of 2 townies accusing each other. Yes Mementoss did misquote Pablols but his posts thus far have given me a town vibe, and a misquote is no reason to lynch someone. Pablols doesn't really have a solid case on him since Mementoss's case was addressed by Pablols, and in my opinion truth except for accusation of Mementoss.

Normally I wouldn't be posting who I think is town, but I don't want to see the discussion of who to lynch on these two, since I think it's a waste of time at the moment.


Show nested quote +
On March 03 2012 03:24 DimmuKlok wrote:
On March 03 2012 03:09 Sufficiency wrote:
If I have to choose from the three I listed above, however, I'd probably just lynch beorn. It feels to me that his inactivity is either because he is really scum, or his lack of power (i.e. he is probably vanilla). I really don't think he is a PR of any sort. It feels like a safe lynch to me.

In my opinion, day1 lynch is very difficult to conduct. Without any "hard" evidence (from kills, etc.) and only through talking, any mafia can be just as pro-town as anyone else.

I agree. Lets lynch beorn. He has yet to contribute and say who he feels is a good lynch candidate for today.


Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 07:59 DimmuKlok wrote:
Because some of you are starting to look at Mementoss, I'm going to post my opinion on him quickly and post my scum reads a bit later.

Mementoss's posts thus far seem pro town to me. He's been either giving his opinion on the topic at hand, pointing out inactives, and posting his scum reads.
Even if all his scum picks were wrong, it's still pro town to put it out there. It forces responses from the accused, which brings more information to the table.


I think this is highly suspicous behavior. Both players have bounced off each other and defended each other's actions to establish credability.

Mementos:
Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 05:46 Mementoss wrote:

Sufficiency (although trackd00r brings up a point about his sloppy posts)

Not counting Beorn cause I think it might be cause hes a noob and just forgot about the game starting to be honest. But he is in my mind too.


Creating excuses for Sufficiency.

Show nested quote +
On March 02 2012 10:37 Mementoss wrote:
@Maverick - I would also like to hear more from Sufficiency, I still have a decently scummy read on him based on his low amount of posting. Content related posters (includes at least 1 post unique opinion with logic and evidence to back it up.)
Mementoss
trackd00r
maverick
dimmuklok --> interested in your opinion of scum.


No unique opinion (bandwagoners) - Little content posts/one liners /derails
gunman
rainman
friedchicken
tiystus
otoshimoU
beornt


Quick to judge - Quick fos, multiple FoS, no evidence to back it up
Pablos FoS ->(trackd00r, mementoss)
Suffiency FoS ->(gunman, OtU)


I honestly was shocked when I saw Dimm in this list. I looked through his filter and did not see a whole lot of "Meaningful posts".. but I guess the bar was set kind of low for this... I think he kept Sufficiency in the bottom since obviously I have been making a scene about him.

You later make a huge post about how scummy Sufficiency is, and how you think he is the worst townie ever, or mafia.

Show nested quote +
On March 03 2012 02:57 Mementoss wrote:

@Maverick, I still don't see the read on Tiystus personally, but would lvoe to hear more from him. I consider him more of a lurker than anything. If we lynch Sufficiency or OtoshimonoU I think there is a damn good chance one of them is scum, and they are both pretty worthless (so far ) as town.

Don't forget OtoshimonoU not responding to you as well
On March 02 2012 12:04 Maverick32x wrote:
Maverick, you might sound very strong in your arguments, but to me it already shows your strange behavior.

@Oto: I would really be interested to know what it is that you mean by that? Its strange that I'm forming logical arguments? I'm trying to accomplish a goal. If you want to punch holes in my reads, by all means go ahead, but just blanket statements to create doubt doesn't seem like its very helpful. I want to get discussions going based off these reads so we can go into Day 1 Lynch with some suspicions and the ability to make an informed decision (as I've stated numerous times)


Not only ignores you but ignores trackd00r.

Not only ignores you and trackd00rs question but also mine.
About Sufficiency, I think he is town. No newbie mafia would try to catch up so much attention in that way. They'd rather stay more quiet and apparently contribute, which it's kinda working for them now.

Beorn1 hasn't posted anything yet.

The player I would worry right now is OtoshimonoU. He has been the least contributor (excluding beorn) so far. This is his only post with actual content.
Right now the lack of posting is really hurting us seeing different point of views, and to get more of a read on where some people stand. Both sufficiency and OtoshimonoU are good lynches imo, and I just want to make sure we get the majority to get one out and gain some information.

My vote right now is committed to [red]OtoshimonoU.[red]



Yet you've flipped to Oto, and are actively trying to make me consider Oto, and point to his lack of answering to both myself and Trackd00r- trying to get us to sway our votes.


All this being said!!!! I won't vote for mementoss or Dim. They do talk a lot, which would be useful later on if they do end up being Mafia...

So I guess that leads me to who I should vote for... I have about 2 hours left!! So I'm going to keep reading through and seeing what people come up with!!! Feel free to respond Sufficiency, Dim and Mementoss- I'd like to hear a counter to what I've posted, since I'm trying to stay open-minded.


I am not sure what you are getting at - it almost sounds like you are trying to buddy me.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 21:01 GMT
#177
I am going to vote for Beorn1, by the way.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 02 2012 21:23 GMT
#179
On March 03 2012 06:09 Maverick32x wrote:
Okay, well clearly you've only read the first sentence -_-.... also make sure you vote in the voting thread... if you haven't already...


No I read the whole thing, obviously. I just can't put my finger on what you are trying to get at.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 04 2012 05:13 GMT
#241
To Pablols:

Can you tell me who you would have voted for if you had the chance to vote?
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 04 2012 20:31 GMT
#257
Now that we are on Day 2 I'll be writing some opinion soon (no, I think Day 1 analysis is utter garbage, which is why I was more willing to lynch beorn1. But it seems that blubdavid is a good player...).

My current read is that beorn1/blubdavid is town. I also have a good guess at his role.

There were 7 votes on oto yesterday and oto didn't make a move to defend himself much. This seems to me like a vanilla town behaviour. If I were him, and I were almost certain to get lynched, I would claim a PR and fish out the real PR. He didn't do that. To me, this suggests that he is either really a vanilla town or he is a poorly played scum. In case he is scum then I wouldn't be too worried. He is on everyone's radar so if he does something scummy again we will catch him.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
Sufficiency
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada23833 Posts
March 04 2012 20:35 GMT
#258
On March 05 2012 05:31 Sufficiency wrote:
Now that we are on Day 2 I'll be writing some opinion soon (no, I think Day 1 analysis is utter garbage, which is why I was more willing to lynch beorn1. But it seems that blubdavid is a good player...).

My current read is that beorn1/blubdavid is town. I also have a good guess at his role.

There were 7 votes on oto yesterday and oto didn't make a move to defend himself much. This seems to me like a vanilla town behaviour. If I were him, and I were almost certain to get lynched, I would claim a PR and fish out the real PR. He didn't do that. To me, this suggests that he is either really a vanilla town or he is a poorly played scum. In case he is scum then I wouldn't be too worried. He is on everyone's radar so if he does something scummy again we will catch him.


^ I meant that If I were him and I was scum, and I were almost certain to get lynched, I would claim a PR and fish out the real PR.

dat slip. Hahaha.
https://twitter.com/SufficientStats
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