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Nomination Mafia - Page 82

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 00:33 GMT
#1621
##Vote CC

cause why not.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
BioSC
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States636 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-16 01:51:36
February 16 2013 01:08 GMT
#1622
Day 4 Vote Count:

Mr. Cheesecake (2): Mocsta, Oatsmaster, prplhz, jaybrundage

Mocsta (5): VisceraEyes, yamato77, slOosh, debears, Mr. Cheesecake

slOosh (3): Oatsmaster, Mocsta, Oatsmaster, Phagga

Deadline in 10 minutes.

Currently Mocsta is set to be lynched.
Bio - Breaking it down
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 16 2013 01:29 GMT
#1623
I won't be here for deadline.

Thoughts are outlined.. With prplhz vote on CC and his attitude this nomination I would upgrade him above yam.

Jay u really need to step up. I think you are town but that is no excuse to jack off all the time. Your recent vote on Cc is a good example.

Debears needs to be scrutinised as well.

Overall there are just too many lurkers in this game. Now that there are several people playing multiple games I see the lurking getting worse.

Best of luck to town.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
February 16 2013 01:40 GMT
#1624
##vote: Mocsta

sorry guys i be lurky cus work and V day. this shld be sekf explanatory. sloosh is town imo.

update after i get home
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
BioSC
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States636 Posts
February 16 2013 02:00 GMT
#1625
Day 5


[image loading]


The Council had no doubts of Government interference this time. Whether or not they rigged the machine to rid themselves of the biggest threats, or to clear their own names was uncertain. Nevertheless, a pattern was spotted; They could only manipulate the justice machine every other day.

Regardless, the remaining members had their own agendas with whom to judge. Discussion was light, and votes were settled early. As the timer ran down, many sat in silence and awaited the results.

Number 8 chosen to be judged. Prepare to be terminated.

As soon as the mechanical voice ended its sentence, they all glanced over to the man sitting in seat eight. He made not a sound, but a trickle of blood ran down his mouth. A spike originating from the back of his seat had impaled his chest, killing him instantly. His seat was lowered into the floor to be rid of the body.

Termination Complete. Blood Analysis Complete. Mocsta - Business owner, opposed government taxation of small businesses. No Government Connections Known.

Somewhere in the background, a frustrated member banged the table and let out a groan. They were in danger of being outnumbered by the infiltrators. The console lit up once more, another 48 hours set on the clock, and all the remaining members were available to be voted for.

Mocsta, the Vanilla Townie, has been lynched!

All flavor is just flavor.
You have 48 hours to decide who to lynch.
Bio - Breaking it down
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 16 2013 02:00 GMT
#1626
I'm not recording this as a mislynch mudafarkers lol

Have fun see ya later
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 03:37 GMT
#1627
No big suprise there. Would rather not have had Mocsta die. But a townie did have to die.

##Vote Debears

Show me why I should move this vote off you
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 03:41 GMT
#1628
The biggest thing im worried about was that Mocsta was great at contributing discussion and i feel like him being gone is gonna not help town keep the discussion flowing. Town in general has been pretty lurky and in turn has created a lurky enviroment where scum can lurk there day's free. If we want to win this we really need to start conversations and force people to contribute. Town can win this easily but we have to earn it.

Also can we vote to have 24 hours on nomination lynches. I know that more time is considered town favored. But with town starting to lurk like this. I feel a faster nomination cycle will make more people contribute
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
February 16 2013 04:17 GMT
#1629
Jay,
You are one of the biggest offenders of the LURKZONE
What do you think about my slOosh case, slOosh's phagga case, and phagga's response to my case on slOosh?
No gg, No skill.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
February 16 2013 04:32 GMT
#1630
On February 16 2013 12:41 jaybrundage wrote:
Also can we vote to have 24 hours on nomination lynches.

I'm not changing cycles mid game, sorry.
Moderator
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
February 16 2013 05:14 GMT
#1631
I am coming around to the idea of killing prplhz. His play of late shows absolutely no curiosity, and his activity is becoming more and more atrocious.

##Vote: Prplhz

Sloosh probs right on this one.
Writer@WriterYamato
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 05:32 GMT
#1632
On February 16 2013 14:14 yamato77 wrote:
I am coming around to the idea of killing prplhz. His play of late shows absolutely no curiosity, and his activity is becoming more and more atrocious.

##Vote: Prplhz

Sloosh probs right on this one.

Are you not even going to commentate on your bad case on Mocsta and suspicion on people for no damn reason.

Regardless I prplhz does look bad. Not sure who i prefer him or phagga tho.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 05:34 GMT
#1633
On February 16 2013 13:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
Jay,
You are one of the biggest offenders of the LURKZONE
What do you think about my slOosh case, slOosh's phagga case, and phagga's response to my case on slOosh?

I think Sloosh is town. Mocsta flipping should make that clear. Scum nominated three towneis day one. I wish everyone else caught on this fact sooner. And didn't lynch Mocsta. This is why i preferred killing CC yesterday Because he wasn't in that initial group.

I think phagga has a good chance to flip red. Also I think Debears is a candidate for a lynch as well.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
February 16 2013 05:49 GMT
#1634
On February 16 2013 14:32 jaybrundage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2013 14:14 yamato77 wrote:
I am coming around to the idea of killing prplhz. His play of late shows absolutely no curiosity, and his activity is becoming more and more atrocious.

##Vote: Prplhz

Sloosh probs right on this one.

Are you not even going to commentate on your bad case on Mocsta and suspicion on people for no damn reason.

Regardless I prplhz does look bad. Not sure who i prefer him or phagga tho.

What's the point? He's dead and I was wrong, so what? We had to lynch someone anyway. Might as well have been him.
Writer@WriterYamato
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
February 16 2013 06:00 GMT
#1635
Debears's fantastic snarf lynch vote analysis!!!!!!!

Votecounts:

+ Show Spoiler +

On February 12 2013 14:04 jaybrundage wrote:
Vote Count


Snarfs: Mr.Cheesecake, Yamato77, VisceraEyes
Yamato77: JayBrundage, Phagga, Mocsta, Oatsmaster
VisceraEyes: Snarfs, SlOosh
Mr.Cheesecake: Prplhz,
Prplhz: VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Have not voted: Djodref,

Oats did you vote CC today?


On February 13 2013 07:08 jaybrundage wrote:
Everybody has to die sometime
[image loading]

Day 3 Vote Count:

Snarfs (4): Mr. Cheesecake, yamato77, VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Yamato77 (1): jaybrundage, phagga, Mocsta, Oatsmaster

VisceraEyes (4): Snarfs, SlOosh, Mocsta, Jaybrundage

Mr. Cheesecake (1): prplhz

prplhz (0): VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Snarfs is currently set to be lynched. Djodref has not voted.

You have ~4h hours left until the end of the day.


Phagga come to lynch VE with us scum is really trying to make this not happen.


On February 13 2013 08:04 jaybrundage wrote:


Day 3 Vote Count:

Snarfs (5): Mr. Cheesecake, yamato77, VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster, Phagga, SlOosh

Yamato77 (0): jaybrundage, phagga, Mocsta, Oatsmaster

VisceraEyes (4): Snarfs, SlOosh, Mocsta, Jaybrundage, prplhz, Phagga

Mr. Cheesecake (1): prplhz

prplhz (0): VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Snarfs is currently set to be lynched. Djodref has not voted. SlOosh Has not voted

You have ~3h hours left until the end of the day.





On February 13 2013 08:11 BioSC wrote:
Day 3 Vote Count:

Snarfs (6): Mr. Cheesecake, yamato77, VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster, slOosh, phagga, slOosh

Yamato77 (0): jaybrundage, phagga, Mocsta, Oatsmaster

VisceraEyes (4): Snarfs, SlOosh, Mocsta, jaybrundage, prplhz, phagga

Mr. Cheesecake (0): prplhz

prplhz (0): VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Snarfs is currently set to be lynched. Djodref has not voted.

You have less than 3 hours left until the end of the day.


On February 13 2013 10:40 BioSC wrote:
Day 3 Vote Count:

Snarfs (7): Mr. Cheesecake, yamato77, VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster, slOosh, phagga, slOosh, Mocsta

Yamato77 (0): jaybrundage, phagga, Mocsta, Oatsmaster

VisceraEyes (3): Snarfs, SlOosh, Mocsta, jaybrundage, prplhz, phagga

Mr. Cheesecake (0): prplhz

prplhz (0): VisceraEyes, Oatsmaster

Snarfs is currently set to be lynched. Djodref has not voted.

You have 20 minutes left until the end of the day.


[/QUOTE]



CheeseCake - Town

Suspicious of snarfs since d1.

Early vote on snarf - http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17766828

Leaves open possibility of switching to Yamato ------> Never switches to Yamato

Pushes the snarf lynch hard when VE lynch gains traction.

Snarf was scum, CC risked everything, saying "lynch me if snarf is town".

Yamato - Town

The second vote on snarfs. Vote stayed on snarfs. Pushed snarfs very hard all day.

VE - slight town

VE switched onto Snarfs when he himself was at threat of getting lynched. So VE's vote is a null tell to me.

However, Snarfs had been pushing VE since day 1. VE was snarf's only real scumread that he pursued aggressively. This tells me the VE is most likely town, unless they (if both town), planned on a double bus at the very beginning of the game.

Also, his counter wagon gained a lot of traction fast over a snarfs wagon that had a lot more scum oriented content behind it.

JayBrund - Scum+ Show Spoiler +


Jay pushed Yamato at first, and then VE.

The yamato push isn't scummy solely because he pushed yamato, it is also scummy because of the timing and the reasoning behind his push on yamato.

Context:

Here is jay's post on yamato

+ Show Spoiler +


On February 11 2013 13:02 jaybrundage wrote:
YAMATO

Cause Palmar said so


WELP HERE WE GO
Well first of all there's this
Show nested quote +
On February 10 2013 21:57 Palmar wrote:
I think you guys should lynch a few people, but should I flip I want you guys to not forget that however good you think my scumreads are, any mediocre player with updated reads is more valuable than a dead great player with his old reads. Not to mention I'm not invested far enough into this game to actually consider my reads worth too much.

Anyway, I think yamato, prplhz, snarfs, phagga, visceraeyes and cheesecake should be in the initial round of scum. I guess VE should not be strongly considered in this group unless I'm wrong about prplhz, but who knows.


I'm fairly certain 2-4 of those players are scum. This leaves the group of me, mochsta, JX, oat, jay, djodref and sloosh as most likely 5-7 townies. jay and djodref are the ones I like the least.

I'm not going to bother you guys with detailed PR cases (that's what I really call them, I actually write cases to convince town, not to prove people are mafia). I'm just going to pick out scum and tell you why in short.




Yamato is most likely scum. He basically seems to be picking a target that looks like it could die and then going for him. The giveaway part for me is how he's pushing his reads. Notice how often he seems to be looking for reasons to lynch people instead of looking for people who are scum:

On February 07 2013 22:48 yamato77 wrote:
What town needs now is to consolidate, and I don't think anyone would oppose a JX lynch.


It's quite interesting yamato77 already made it quite clear what he was going to do when JX predictably flipped town:

On February 08 2013 10:27 yamato77 wrote:
Regardless of the JX flip I think Palmar is claiming mafia to us with that last post about the lynch.


And again with the "let's get everyone working together to lynch someone, not necessarily scum, just a lynch. To be fair he seems to think we're all town, but whatever.

On February 10 2013 17:04 yamato77 wrote:
I don't think it's any stretch to say everyone should be on board with killing Palmar today. Sloosh is townier by a mile and Palmar is obviously not even playing the game, so he should just die. If he's town, oh well, someone has to die, and he's admitted to us that he's going to do nothing. If he's mafia then his team is retarded, or he's too cocky for his own good.





prplhz is another guy who is scum, this is why:

He constantly advises people to do stuff, requests their opinions and puts forth very little concrete opinions himself.

Examples:

On February 07 2013 21:30 prplhz wrote:
But we're not lynching people because you think their play is "abhorrent to [your] notion of playing to win". His reputation is well earned and it's silly to lynch him on day 1 unless there's a really good case but the entire case against him can be explained away with "he's had a mental breakdown" and we can tolerate that for a single day as long as he isn't straight up lying to us so lets just wait it out and see what happens. Only bad thing about that is that we have to lynch someone else and this game isn't making much sense to me. I think I need to talk to slOosh.



On February 08 2013 07:38 prplhz wrote:
@VisceraEyes Why are you so anxious to get rid of Palmar right now? No one said it could last forever. Why would we take the fact that he is Palmar away from the equation considering that .... he is Palmar?


On February 08 2013 01:14 prplhz wrote:
Will people please comment on jaybrundage. JieXian sucks and he'll need to do something about that but in the meantime I want some feedback on jaybrundage.


The last one really rubs me the wrong way, why is prplhz asking for "permission" to go after jaybrundage? If you think he's scum just go nail him.

Also did you know prplhz completely disappeared during the night?

Anyway, more later if I have time.




Lets start from the top

Yamato wants to lynch Mocsta as quite a bit of people viewed Mocsta scummy at first Oats naming one and i know he had about 3-4 votes at one point in time. However when Mocsta actually writes up his defense Yamato completly back tracks. And chalks it up to Mocsta misunderstanding his case? Yamato thought Mocsta was scum it wouldn't be misunderstanding it would be him twisting words. And then Yamato just flips it around and calls Mocsta town later.

Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 11:17 yamato77 wrote:
Djo, what do you make of Mocsta's case on me up there?

I have a hard time thinking it came from scum but he quite clearly misunderstands quite a lot of stuff.


Ok So here Yamato comes full circle in Mocsta from hes scum to idk to yea hes town. And get this then Yamato calls JX scummy for calling Mocsta scum when a short while ago. Yamato was going after Mocsta with a pick axe. Also note his need as scum to want to kill Palmar ASAP.

Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 12:54 yamato77 wrote:
I'm starting to come around to the idea of town Mocsta, actually. I believe he has a scum read on me, wrong or not. I'm not going to pick apart his case on me, because honestly it's too time consuming to do so, but rather, I'll say this: Reread what you've quoted with the idea that I'm town in your head, and you'll see what I've been doing this game. It does no good for you, as town, to continue to pursue me.

With that, I'd be behind a JX lynch. His one post is a "case" and vote on Mocsta. He was a QT spammer in our game together, and was far more active there than the thread, as opposed to his "carefree" town games like LIX. I'd be behind his lynch.

Palmar should also be on people's minds. No, you don't want to lynch Palmar D1 if he's town, but you don't exactly want him staying alive until tomorrow if mafia, either, so if he refuses to do anything for the rest of today I would say he should almost certainly be our lynch. A weak ass joke-vote on Prplhz is not meaningful contribution.

I don't like a Djodref lynch at the moment, but I need to reassess his posting from a more objective standpoint. I was giving him too much credit for his Mocsta read before. Still, I think he is perhaps not the best choice in front of people like JX/Palmar, so he's a backburner for me.

I don't know what's going on between VE/Snarfs, but I don't think people are cool with lynching VE so Snarfs needs some better contributions than a "case" on VE that I don't find to be good.


Here he just becomes unreasonable demanding a JX lynch while not even listening to alternatives
Show nested quote +
On February 08 2013 05:41 yamato77 wrote:
If someone other than JX gets lynched today I will afk.



The sole reason he wants to go after people now is lack of activity. He legit with all the information we have got from two lynches is gonna do a lurker lynch is he fucking srs? Yes lurking can be a tell of scum. But to use it alone as who you decide to kill at this point in the game is just a easy scum route. Also look at the people that he's defending VE prlhz the exact people that Palmar and Sloosh are going for. Also keep in mind his one track mind to want ot lynch Palmar. We have SCUM Yamato here.
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2013 12:45 yamato77 wrote:
One heuristic that I find important to mention about the behavior of people around yesterday's lynch is simple activity.

Assume that Sloosh and Mocsta are town. With Palmar's green flip, that means that I was wrong and mafia decided to make the lynch a choice between three town players. They don't care who dies, really, because any of the three is good for them. So mafia are more inclined to not care at all what happens yesterday. They lurk, slap their vote somewhere, and do nothing relevant to the game because there is zero chance of them getting lynched and they have no reason to push a mafia agenda.

So who fits this bill from yesterday? Snarfs, jay, and djo. Djo is the question mark of the three, because he simply didn't post at all. The other two, however, had very similar days and patterns of activity. They both slapped their vote on someone early, and then basically AFK'd. Right now, I think Snarfs is the best lynch because of this behavior and his similar behavior around the lynch day 1 where he didn't vote JX but rather put Hus vote on VE and used his 'case' as an excuse to not comment on the actual lynch. He should die today.

##Vote Snarfs

As for other reads, obviously I think jay is an acceptable alternative lynch candidate. I defended him early day 1 but since then he's done very little, which is more in line with how I view his scum meta. When he's town he at least cares enough to post his thoughts, but this game he's not even doing that anymore and is probably mafia for it.

Phagga is scummy, as others have outlined. I don't see him as red as I do snarfs or jay, but he's on my radar. If I was making a hypothetical scum team, I'd say the fourth might be Oats. In the past day his activity has dropped off a cliff and I don't know what his reads in the game are anymore. He seems to be sticking to his guns from day 1 but has no new information to support his reads and hasn't been very active in the game.

For town reads, Mocsta and Sloosh look really town to me, mostly from their play while under the gun. I'm more confident on Mocsta than Sloosh, but I would defend either one's towniness. VE and prplhz are also both town to me, despite other player's suspicions of them. If I need to defend them today, I will, because neither show scum traits to me at all.

Cheesecake, you asked for my read on you. You lean town to me, but you're real blendy and not at all confrontational like I think town CC is. I suppose you haven't been accused seriously yet, but you also aren't going out of your way to pressure your reads like I think town CC usually does. You're more null than I expected at this point in the game.

If you guys think I'm mafia for serious, come at me, but neither case from yesterday is at all good. I've been the towniest yamato of all time. Bring the cases on.



##Vote Yamato






Note that half his case is using palmar's words to justify his case, which isn't reasonable. Palmar himself said that his reads likely weren't great this game due to the fact he was behind on the game.

Now, for the three or so parts where Jay actually writes something of his own.

1) Yamato's flip on Mocsta. Let's examine why Yamato flipped on his read on Mocsta

Yamato's original case:

+ Show Spoiler +


On February 07 2013 03:05 yamato77 wrote:
QUOTE]On January 20 2013 22:18 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2013 22:11 Djodref wrote:

@ Mocsta

Sorry, I didn't see your answer.
Do you really think yamato is going to be elected today ? I personally don't think so becauset yamato didn't "officially" campaign, and he is not known to have good reads so...
If not, I'm curious to know what raised your attention in his posts.



It doesnt matter if i think yamato is a candidate with a chance to win, I represent one vote out of 22.


I thought yamato campaigned passive-aggressively; just like Toad.
Its an approach I am oft in favour of when attempting to look squeaky-clean whilst attempting to manipulate.


Having said that, its not pertinent to determining alignment. At least not with the information we have currently.



This is from page 1 of Mocsta's filter in LIX, the game he was town. He gives out, in the part I bolded, his rationale in thinking Toad and I might be mafia, but in doing so reveals his own thought process when mafia, that being passive-aggressive is a way to play mafia.

On January 12 2013 16:38 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2013 14:22 Sn0_Man wrote:
I'm not denying, discussion is good/important and if nobody starts it scum autowin. However, if a scum can get control of town fast, they almost instawin. As a gambit, it seems fair since people like you are jumping in to defend him pretty fast.
...


@Sn0_Man
I appreciate the sense of energy you are giving back to this thread, and I certainly do not want to deter that; town needs this energy.

BUT.. you are almost sounding "paranoid" - I know this, because after my last game, many assumed I was "paranoid".

I think we both want the same thing, a town environment where people can voice their opinion and join together for the scum hunt.

When you say "it seems fair since people like you are jumping in to defend him pretty fast"; that alienates participants from wanting to contribute.

You are actually creating an environment scum can thrive in with that attitude - even though I doubt that is your intention.


I ask that you please think about the above.



This is the first alignment-indicative post Mocsta made in NMM XXXV, the game he was mafia. What do you notice here?

On February 06 2013 15:49 Mocsta wrote:
Oats you have an uncanny ability to read a wall of text and focus on one word in that paragraph.

You sound like a whiny chick to me, who hears one word she doesnt like, and zones off to everything else.

I AM NOT SETUP SPECULATING. The fuckn setup is 9 town, 4 mafia.

I am saying we need to make scum work hard to become read as town,
I am saying good play Day1 is to emphasise quality posts, and avoid being a lurker
I am saying, bad play Day1, is going to make nominations for scum in Day2 much fuckn easier.


He's making the same sort of argument about Oats this game that he did about Sn0 in the other game, that their play isn't "optimal" and they are "helping mafia". It's a fabricated read, in my eyes, and a fabricated contribution to say such things. It doesn't matter how a player is playing versus how you think the ideal town player SHOULD play, it matters if that player is playing in a way you know mafia would play.

On January 12 2013 22:38 Mocsta wrote:
Well im going to bed anyways.. will check in the thread in the morning, and will then be away for at least 6 hrs. *sigh*

Please generate some discussions USA shift ! There are still plenty of players who have not even posted yet.



zebezt, trust me.. I know the feeling to want some discussion happening, but, as town we don't want to create spam. Unfortunately now its just a waiting game for some activity.

[Unless 24hrs has expired.. thats my personal deadline for lurker calling]



On February 06 2013 17:10 Mocsta wrote:
Oats,
Stop getting over-defensive. Now you have to spell out actions.

If you couldnt tell my post was a joke, you have problems.

And your comment regarding my intentions is stupid. You admit yourself it is "optimal play'.. well no shit, why you think I am striving for that. Im not trying to re-invent the wheel.

Again you are flinging shit at an active participant, and for what purpose?
Still, no one is contributing; and the one guy who does, you tell him to "fuck off" whether joke or not.

Lay off the juice and give others a chance to input into the thread.


Those two posts showcase a trait I see in Mafia Mocsta's play, a preoccupation with "contribution" and "lurking" from other players. Aside from the meta similarity here, the mafia trait is that he's doing exactly what he thinks people give out town reads for, and indeed what some of you have given him a town read for this game, simply post. He calls out "lurkers" to appear to contribute and care about the town atmosphere, something I readily see as a common trait in his mafia game and this one.

On January 13 2013 07:14 Mocsta wrote:
Wow. Thats it over the night shift.

Oats u sound like sno_man.

perhaps the aggresion u 2 have shown is why there is a lack of discussion.

I think u should read what i posted to him.

My questions are ice breakers and i have not a genuine comment from to stimulate town conversation. In fact. You are deterring conversation.

@oatsmaster
Why should i NOT treat is the outcome of your agressive posts [stopping fluid and positive town conversation] as scummy motivations


On February 06 2013 16:34 Mocsta wrote:
VE, you posted you would prefer nomination discussion to be held post Day 2 Dawn - when scum lynch candidates are released.

My motive for the quote was along the lines of: the candidates are going to be chosen based on play Day 1. Yes that statement is obvious, hoever what I am trying to highlight is that effort needs to be made to make the decision for scum difficult.

I listed 4 scenarios scum can take; we can't control that decision. What we can CONTROL is the viability of one of those options - to me, this is of benefit to town as it reduces WIFOM choices.

I thought my message(s) were clear cut, but, perhaps I am not communicating myself effectively. If not, please let me know.


Again, two similar posts in rationale from NMM XXXV and this game. In both posts, he wants to paint what he's doing as "pro-town" by, again, promoting a positive discussion-based atmosphere. He's concerned with how people perceive what he's doing, and wants to control the discussion on the matter. It's mafia mentality, plenty of people, Marv included, attempt to play "pro-town" when mafia. Mcosta, when mafia, is obsessed with the concept, just like he is in this game.

I highly doubt Mocsta is town. Who is his scum read so far? All I see in his filter is a bunch of arguing with Oats, and then arriving at the conclusion that he's town/null/whatever. It doesn't look to me like he's hunting mafia, it looks like to me that he's just trying to look town.



In this post, yamato essential states that Mocsta was fake contributing day 1, just calling out people for contribution and lurking, with tone similar to his scum meta. Also, he has a problem with Mocsta caring about his own appearance.

However, why did yamato switch his read?

+ Show Spoiler +


On February 07 2013 12:54 yamato77 wrote:
I'm starting to come around to the idea of town Mocsta, actually. I believe he has a scum read on me, wrong or not. I'm not going to pick apart his case on me, because honestly it's too time consuming to do so, but rather, I'll say this: Reread what you've quoted with the idea that I'm town in your head, and you'll see what I've been doing this game. It does no good for you, as town, to continue to pursue me.

With that, I'd be behind a JX lynch. His one post is a "case" and vote on Mocsta. He was a QT spammer in our game together, and was far more active there than the thread, as opposed to his "carefree" town games like LIX. I'd be behind his lynch.

Palmar should also be on people's minds. No, you don't want to lynch Palmar D1 if he's town, but you don't exactly want him staying alive until tomorrow if mafia, either, so if he refuses to do anything for the rest of today I would say he should almost certainly be our lynch. A weak ass joke-vote on Prplhz is not meaningful contribution.

I don't like a Djodref lynch at the moment, but I need to reassess his posting from a more objective standpoint. I was giving him too much credit for his Mocsta read before. Still, I think he is perhaps not the best choice in front of people like JX/Palmar, so he's a backburner for me.

I don't know what's going on between VE/Snarfs, but I don't think people are cool with lynching VE so Snarfs needs some better contributions than a "case" on VE that I don't find to be good.




He realizes, "hey, mocsta has a scumread". The lack of mocsta's scumreads was a major basis of yamato's scum read on mocsta. Why wouldn't yamato switch his read upon realizing a major reason for mocsta being scum was wrong?

2) Being stubborn about a JX lynch d1

By the end of day1, yamato was stubborn on JX. However, Jay totally disregards the fact that yamato had commented with cases on yamato, phagga, and prplhz. Yamato had shown that he was actively trying to figure out the game, and had settled on JX for the lynch.

3) The case on snarfs

He pretty much calls yamato's case on snarfs a pure lurker lynch.

Yet he totally disregards what Yamato said, which imo was decent analysis of the situation

Here are yamato's words on the snarfs vote:

"Assume that Sloosh and Mocsta are town. With Palmar's green flip, that means that I was wrong and mafia decided to make the lynch a choice between three town players. They don't care who dies, really, because any of the three is good for them. So mafia are more inclined to not care at all what happens yesterday. They lurk, slap their vote somewhere, and do nothing relevant to the game because there is zero chance of them getting lynched and they have no reason to push a mafia agenda.

So who fits this bill from yesterday? Snarfs, jay, and djo. Djo is the question mark of the three, because he simply didn't post at all. The other two, however, had very similar days and patterns of activity. They both slapped their vote on someone early, and then basically AFK'd. Right now, I think Snarfs is the best lynch because of this behavior and his similar behavior around the lynch day 1 where he didn't vote JX but rather put Hus vote on VE and used his 'case' as an excuse to not comment on the actual lynch. He should die today."

This is in no way a pure lurker lynch suggestion. It's a vote based on the fact that someone didn't care about the lynch, which is usually a scumtell.

4) The timing of jay's case on yamato.

Look at the timestamp of jay's case.

Now look at the timestamp of when yamato voted snarfs.

On February 11 2013 12:45 yamato77 wrote:
One heuristic that I find important to mention about the behavior of people around yesterday's lynch is simple activity.

Assume that Sloosh and Mocsta are town. With Palmar's green flip, that means that I was wrong and mafia decided to make the lynch a choice between three town players. They don't care who dies, really, because any of the three is good for them. So mafia are more inclined to not care at all what happens yesterday. They lurk, slap their vote somewhere, and do nothing relevant to the game because there is zero chance of them getting lynched and they have no reason to push a mafia agenda.

So who fits this bill from yesterday? Snarfs, jay, and djo. Djo is the question mark of the three, because he simply didn't post at all. The other two, however, had very similar days and patterns of activity. They both slapped their vote on someone early, and then basically AFK'd. Right now, I think Snarfs is the best lynch because of this behavior and his similar behavior around the lynch day 1 where he didn't vote JX but rather put Hus vote on VE and used his 'case' as an excuse to not comment on the actual lynch. He should die today.

##Vote Snarfs

As for other reads, obviously I think jay is an acceptable alternative lynch candidate. I defended him early day 1 but since then he's done very little, which is more in line with how I view his scum meta. When he's town he at least cares enough to post his thoughts, but this game he's not even doing that anymore and is probably mafia for it.

Phagga is scummy, as others have outlined. I don't see him as red as I do snarfs or jay, but he's on my radar. If I was making a hypothetical scum team, I'd say the fourth might be Oats. In the past day his activity has dropped off a cliff and I don't know what his reads in the game are anymore. He seems to be sticking to his guns from day 1 but has no new information to support his reads and hasn't been very active in the game.

For town reads, Mocsta and Sloosh look really town to me, mostly from their play while under the gun. I'm more confident on Mocsta than Sloosh, but I would defend either one's towniness. VE and prplhz are also both town to me, despite other player's suspicions of them. If I need to defend them today, I will, because neither show scum traits to me at all.

Cheesecake, you asked for my read on you. You lean town to me, but you're real blendy and not at all confrontational like I think town CC is. I suppose you haven't been accused seriously yet, but you also aren't going out of your way to pressure your reads like I think town CC usually does. You're more null than I expected at this point in the game.

If you guys think I'm mafia for serious, come at me, but neither case from yesterday is at all good. I've been the towniest yamato of all time. Bring the cases on.


17 minutes after yamato votes snarfs, Jay magically has a case on him, based on palmar's reads and jay's bad/twisted reasoning.

That, my friends, is scummy.


Now, for Jay's vote on VE. Snarfs had pushed VE hard since the beginning of the game, and, not only did jay join the wagon, jay also freaked out when snarfs was getting lynched.

But, the main problem was the timing of his voteswitch. After oats unvoted yamato, and yamato's lynch was losing steam, jay did not keep pushing yamato. Instead, Jay suddenly decides, "oh, i'll just join the VE wagon that suddenly popped up". What was his reasoning for VE being scum?

On February 13 2013 06:58 jaybrundage wrote:
Yea I love how divided the votes are It will make it so much easier to see scum movements later in the day.

And actually the thing I wanted to talk to you about was changing the vote to VE today. But you did it earlier then I would of liked. I wanted to get more a read of VE and scum friends on if they would of killed Yamato instead of Snarfs instead.
##UnVote
##Vote VisceraEyes


I looked thru the 3 pages before the VE vote, and guess what? Jay never made a case on VE, yet he saw him as "very likely scum". That's odd and scummy as shit, especially considering snarfs was scum and had pushed VE all game long.

Suddenly, when snarfs is under heavy pressure, jay sees it fitting to vote yamato, who he made a big case on, and then unvote yamato for VE, whom he never made a case on.
[/QUOTE]


I have more i need to add in there. These are the clear reads I got from the day3 analysis
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
February 16 2013 06:01 GMT
#1636
##Vote JayBrundage
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
February 16 2013 06:03 GMT
#1637
On February 16 2013 14:34 jaybrundage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2013 13:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
Jay,
You are one of the biggest offenders of the LURKZONE
What do you think about my slOosh case, slOosh's phagga case, and phagga's response to my case on slOosh?

I think Sloosh is town. Mocsta flipping should make that clear. Scum nominated three towneis day one. I wish everyone else caught on this fact sooner. And didn't lynch Mocsta. This is why i preferred killing CC yesterday Because he wasn't in that initial group.

I think phagga has a good chance to flip red. Also I think Debears is a candidate for a lynch as well.


Why would you want to kill someone who correctly identified and pushed a scum lynch (CC) over someone who was completely wrong (Mocsta) if you saw both as town?
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 06:09 GMT
#1638
On February 16 2013 15:03 debears wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2013 14:34 jaybrundage wrote:
On February 16 2013 13:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
Jay,
You are one of the biggest offenders of the LURKZONE
What do you think about my slOosh case, slOosh's phagga case, and phagga's response to my case on slOosh?

I think Sloosh is town. Mocsta flipping should make that clear. Scum nominated three towneis day one. I wish everyone else caught on this fact sooner. And didn't lynch Mocsta. This is why i preferred killing CC yesterday Because he wasn't in that initial group.

I think phagga has a good chance to flip red. Also I think Debears is a candidate for a lynch as well.


Why would you want to kill someone who correctly identified and pushed a scum lynch (CC) over someone who was completely wrong (Mocsta) if you saw both as town?

First how long does it take to write a case. It takes longer then 17 minutes my friend. Your accusation's have no base. Because we have to lynch someone and I have a better town read on Mocsta. He has played way townier then CC most of the game. I also gave my reasons before. Go read.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
February 16 2013 06:11 GMT
#1639
Oh also when I think someone is town. I do tend to freak out and try to stop the lynch. And I have hard defended a scum before as town. Hell ask VE
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
February 16 2013 06:26 GMT
#1640
On February 16 2013 15:09 jaybrundage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2013 15:03 debears wrote:
On February 16 2013 14:34 jaybrundage wrote:
On February 16 2013 13:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
Jay,
You are one of the biggest offenders of the LURKZONE
What do you think about my slOosh case, slOosh's phagga case, and phagga's response to my case on slOosh?

I think Sloosh is town. Mocsta flipping should make that clear. Scum nominated three towneis day one. I wish everyone else caught on this fact sooner. And didn't lynch Mocsta. This is why i preferred killing CC yesterday Because he wasn't in that initial group.

I think phagga has a good chance to flip red. Also I think Debears is a candidate for a lynch as well.


Why would you want to kill someone who correctly identified and pushed a scum lynch (CC) over someone who was completely wrong (Mocsta) if you saw both as town?

First how long does it take to write a case. It takes longer then 17 minutes my friend. Your accusation's have no base. Because we have to lynch someone and I have a better town read on Mocsta. He has played way townier then CC most of the game. I also gave my reasons before. Go read.


Yes cuz when you go:

"hey palmar said this guy is scum, let me write 3 small paragraphs", it takes you longer than 17 minutes.

You don't get a fucking strong town read when someone fucking hammers a scum hard and is 70% responsible for that scum's lynch, as opposed to a guy who opposed his lynch through day 1 and day 3?
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