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Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015.
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United States33584 Posts
metas will come and go in actual SC2 games, but the GOAT-debate meta will always be valid in SC content
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On October 22 2025 10:13 Waxangel wrote:metas will come and go in actual SC2 games, but the GOAT-debate meta will always be valid in SC content 
The guy bugging out on the Reddit thread made my day 😆
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On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015.
Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better.
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Did Serral win a Zotac cup though?
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth.
Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky.
Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure.
For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT.
As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up.
I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing.
Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it.
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Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
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Nice interview.. I like the longer format and learning more about the backgrounds of the interviewed No surprises that Rotti sees Serral as the GOAT... I would have liked to hear follow-ups on the remark about many Koreans seeing it the same way. Anyways, good job!
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It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution.
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United States1919 Posts
Only a complete sicko would enjoy the 2016 Blizzcon finals.
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On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution. Serral's longevity is noteworthy but imo also a symptome of the state of the scene. It's not just Serral even though he's the most consistent, but the overall field of championship contenders has hardly changed in the last years. The elite tier of players has pretty much remained the same for the last 7-8 years with the exception of Dark and Rogue leaving for military, herO returning and Clem finally overcoming the hurdle of international LAN events. Compare that to the more competitive days where even by month to month basis the tournament favorites would change, I attribute this largely to the fact there just aren't any other players challenging the top dogs and they can just keep winning forever without any competition. So of course over time the last remaining top players will accumulate the most amount of achievements, and with Serral as the best of the last generation he accordingly has the most achievements. Does that make him the Goat? Probably I guess since I don't think anyone else deserves this title, but it's still not comparable to someone like Flash who dominated during his games competitive peak.
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On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution.
Agreed. If there is anyone who's the GOAT before 2018, it would not be Maru but MVP, Life, sOs, or Innovation. I would consider Taeja if Maru is on the table. Since in this hypothetical situation we would be weighing 2013-2015 a lot and he was only a tad below Life. Taeja had such a crazy amount of tournament wins where players like Innovation, sOs, Life, MMA, MC etc. would compete. (And don't say those prize pools weren't big enough those other players didn't care and only Taeja did etc. Making $10k in 1 weekend of time is a lot more time-wise than prepping and playing months of a GSL season). Maru's time came after.
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United States33584 Posts
On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution.
Gonna heavily disagree with your recollection of Mvp here—IMO winning 2012 Season 2 sealed the deal for a lot of fans during the game's early history.
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On October 22 2025 19:03 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth. Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky. Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure. For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT. As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up. I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing. Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it.
You're 100% right that SC2 is different than pretty much every other sport and game. I'm not aware of any other one besides perhaps baseball in which the consensus GOAT pick never competed in the most competitive leagues and tournaments in the most competitive era of the game. Certainly I'm not aware of GOATs from other sports and games that got easy quals verging on auto-entries into premier international tournaments and world championships while all other GOAT contenders were nerfed in this regard (I'm pretty sure every KR GOAT contender missed out on multiple such tournaments). I missed all Serral's games against Mvp and the other Kespa era hall of famers, can you link them? Jokes aside, I think your casually incorrect overstatement demonstrates some of the key analytical problems people are having here. In any event, I wasn't really trying to challenge the Serral = GOAT consensus/cult/etc. I am trying to challenge folks to see outside of their confirmation bias and understand how normal fans of other games and sports understand GOATs. I honestly think for many SC2 fans and pros this comes down to "best" = GOAT, and Serral is almost certainly the best so he's a good pick. I'm not sure it's helpful or adds much credibility to exaggerate and say ridiculous things like he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time.
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On October 22 2025 20:03 dysenterymd wrote: Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
MJ's few "good" seasons with the Wizards are an absolute non-factor re: his GOAT candidacy and you really should just extend that same logic to Inno whatever the reasons for his drop-off. You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
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On October 23 2025 14:49 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 19:03 WombaT wrote:On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth. Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky. Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure. For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT. As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up. I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing. Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it. You're 100% right that SC2 is different than pretty much every other sport and game. I'm not aware of any other one besides perhaps baseball in which the consensus GOAT pick never competed in the most competitive leagues and tournaments in the most competitive era of the game. Certainly I'm not aware of GOATs from other sports and games that got easy quals verging on auto-entries into premier international tournaments and world championships while all other GOAT contenders were nerfed in this regard (I'm pretty sure every KR GOAT contender missed out on multiple such tournaments). I missed all Serral's games against Mvp and the other Kespa era hall of famers, can you link them? Jokes aside, I think your casually incorrect overstatement demonstrates some of the key analytical problems people are having here. In any event, I wasn't really trying to challenge the Serral = GOAT consensus/cult/etc. I am trying to challenge folks to see outside of their confirmation bias and understand how normal fans of other games and sports understand GOATs. I honestly think for many SC2 fans and pros this comes down to "best" = GOAT, and Serral is almost certainly the best so he's a good pick. I'm not sure it's helpful or adds much credibility to exaggerate and say ridiculous things like he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time.
Trying to chip away at Serral on the basis that he was not born Korean (as the implication is him missing a "proper" GSL win in his resume) is a weak leg to stand on, as was pointed out several times. He on multiple occasions showed to be perfectly able to win competitively even in Korea and in tournaments with top Korean participation on the international stage when competition was insanely strong. As Rotti stated, Serral did so with numbers that no one else was/is able to match in the slightest.
So you missed all of Serral's games against Mvp? Then you missed also all of Mvp's games against Serral, as the argument goes both ways. It would actually be quite ironic to pick Mvp to prove a point, as he has way less games than Serral against the greatest players of SC2. He played the same amounts of games against Rain as Serral (2). He only played twice against TY. Against herO, Life, sOs, soO as well as Inno he only played once. And Mvp never played Dark, Maru, Classic, Rogue, Zest, Trap, Stats, MaxPax or Reynor while Serral demolished all of the aforementioned multiple times over several years with insane match win rates (except Life, whom he never played and Rain and Rogue against whom the record is somehow even). This is what Rotti points out in the video: To claim that Serral only played outside of competitiveness is utterly absurd and has no basis in reality. He has a more than sufficient display against the Prime SC2 greats and against guys who were forged in that time and exploded later like Dark.
As we had this discussion multiple times, you know my stance by now: If you disagree that Serral is the GOAT - that is fine, but please use factual takes to support your claims. Similar to your reply to WombaT, who didn't say that he "he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time". WombaT's words were "Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up". There is no absolute claim about "every" hall of famer involved and the hyperbolic exaggeration of Serral being a "student playing part-time" is also not present in the original text.
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On October 23 2025 03:18 Waxangel wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution. Gonna heavily disagree with your recollection of Mvp here—IMO winning 2012 Season 2 sealed the deal for a lot of fans during the game's early history. He's not alone, I also was around all through WoL and I also am a bit confused by the "MVP is the untouchable GOAT of Wings" fervor that others seem to recall.
But I think maybe the problem is just one of relative perspective. Back in 2012 I don't recall that people would have been talking about whether or not MVP was "the GOAT" or even the greatest player of all time with emphasis on the all time. SC2 was a new game, and we all assumed it would have a lot of history going forward, just like BW. People very much did discuss and argue (on both sides) over whether he was "a bonjwa," and I would say something approaching a consensus ultimately accepted that he was. But a bonjwa is not exactly the same thing as *the GOAT* imo.
I agree that Life is the main retrospective loser in terms of people forgetting about how dominant and iconic he really was at his peak, and how long that peak was. But there are obvious reasons for that.
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On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 20:03 dysenterymd wrote: Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
MJ's few "good" seasons with the Wizards are an absolute non-factor re: his GOAT candidacy and you really should just extend that same logic to Inno whatever the reasons for his drop-off. You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018. Maru had 2 starleague wins, a bunch of deep runs, and a great proleague career pre-2018. sOs, Inno, Life, and Zest had clearly better Kespa careers than Maru, while players like Classic/soO/Rain/Soulkey/herO were in around Maru's ballpark depending on how you value certain achievements (2nd places vs 1st places, proleague vs non starleague championships, etc.)
I actually do think Maru being one of the top 10 most accomplished players of the most competitive era helps his case for goat significantly. I also think the community doesn't rate proleague success highly enough (I don't know the exact conversion factor, but players like Maru/Inno being so amazing in proleague has to be worth at least one starleague, right?) But it's still true that most of Maru's accomplishments are post Kespa.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 23 2025 14:49 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2025 19:03 WombaT wrote:On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth. Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky. Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure. For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT. As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up. I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing. Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it. You're 100% right that SC2 is different than pretty much every other sport and game. I'm not aware of any other one besides perhaps baseball in which the consensus GOAT pick never competed in the most competitive leagues and tournaments in the most competitive era of the game. Certainly I'm not aware of GOATs from other sports and games that got easy quals verging on auto-entries into premier international tournaments and world championships while all other GOAT contenders were nerfed in this regard (I'm pretty sure every KR GOAT contender missed out on multiple such tournaments). I missed all Serral's games against Mvp and the other Kespa era hall of famers, can you link them? Jokes aside, I think your casually incorrect overstatement demonstrates some of the key analytical problems people are having here. In any event, I wasn't really trying to challenge the Serral = GOAT consensus/cult/etc. I am trying to challenge folks to see outside of their confirmation bias and understand how normal fans of other games and sports understand GOATs. I honestly think for many SC2 fans and pros this comes down to "best" = GOAT, and Serral is almost certainly the best so he's a good pick. I'm not sure it's helpful or adds much credibility to exaggerate and say ridiculous things like he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time. I can’t think of an individual sport where the GOAT never won a World Championship equivalent.
I follow plenty of other sports, they don’t all mesh neatly, but there are commonalities at times sure.
It’s a matter of accepting both sides of a particular coin, people tend to often just look at one. A pit you’re jumping into yourself while ostensibly trying to educate others on bias.
I am happy to accept there was a decline in cutthroat competition and optimal training environments after the Kespa pull-out. The other side of that particular coin however is that Serral never had that environment to begin with. And there was still plenty of prize money to go around, it didn’t fall off a cliff immediately, so plenty of incentives for other pros. Yet with that equaliser, Serral was consistently very competitive.
GSL again, I think is a fair crit and I would have loved to have seen Serral give it a shot, it’s his only mountain left to climb. But the other side of that particular coin is that Serral wasn’t in the field, and he was basically perpetually a top 4-5 player in the world at absolute worst, and often the best at best. It goes both ways. If, for some reason like peak Roger Federer refused to play the French Open, it’s absolutely a mark against his GOAT claim, but equally whoever wins didn’t have to play peak Federer. Not the best example given Nadal is the greatest clay court player, but hey!
Going back to the teams thing and the post Kespa era, and something that is almost never mentioned. JAGW did not disband with the Kespa pull-out, indeed they kept going for years.
A span which happens to cover Maru’s GSL 4-peat and Rogue jumping from being a good solid pro to a prolific tournament contender. As well as Trap being the best Toss for a while, Cure doing Cure things and sOs doing his thing.
I think there’s a plausible argument that Maru and Rogue’s GOAT claims were boosted by Kespa’s collapse, more than anyone else’s including Serral. It made things more level, where Serral had similar practice environments to many Korean pros, but the JAGW crew had a bit of a structural advantage over both.
Was like in Serie A when Juventus got relegated and other teams crippled. My Inter boys were making hay in winning leagues but, not quite as satisfying.
I think you have a point re qualifying for every tournament being more difficult for Koreans, especially in such a cutthroat era. Equally this wouldn’t really be an argument in most regular sports I’m aware of and follow. Usain Bolt is the GOAT precisely because he beat stiff competition in a strong sprinting nation to even get to the Olympics, and then smashing the best of the rest. It’s a more binary sport where times are king sure, but if he’d failed to qualify for multiple Olympics he’d not be regarded as highly.
In a weaker, less competitive era Maru’s basically been a lock for every WC event anyway. He’s had as many shots as Serral has had, and more before Serral went Serral mode.
Serral for me is the GOAT simply because there isn’t another obvious outstanding candidate, and he’s probably the closest with his trophies and general numbers.
Voldemort did his thing. Mvp’s body broke down. Both Inno and Maru haven’t got a WC under their belts, Rain dipped early, and both Rogue and Dark have the big titles + Starleagues (that Serral doesn’t) but aren’t as crazily consistent
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 23 2025 20:49 dysenterymd wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 20:03 dysenterymd wrote: Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
MJ's few "good" seasons with the Wizards are an absolute non-factor re: his GOAT candidacy and you really should just extend that same logic to Inno whatever the reasons for his drop-off. You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018. Maru had 2 starleague wins, a bunch of deep runs, and a great proleague career pre-2018. sOs, Inno, Life, and Zest had clearly better Kespa careers than Maru, while players like Classic/soO/Rain/Soulkey/herO were in around Maru's ballpark depending on how you value certain achievements (2nd places vs 1st places, proleague vs non starleague championships, etc.) I actually do think Maru being one of the top 10 most accomplished players of the most competitive era helps his case for goat significantly. I also think the community doesn't rate proleague success highly enough (I don't know the exact conversion factor, but players like Maru/Inno being so amazing in proleague has to be worth at least one starleague, right?) But it's still true that most of Maru's accomplishments are post Kespa. I consider Proleague a useful tiebreaker for sure. But only a tiebreaker I don’t really consider it versus a non-Proleague individual.
It’s the most closed competition going, not only do you have to be in Korea, you have to be in a team participating.
It’s also a very different format
It’s a great competition don’t get me wrong, I just think it muddies waters a little, partly because outside GSL the scene has generally been focused on individual weekender gauntlets.
You might see some brilliant build, but whose idea was it?
Don’t get me wrong I think Proleague was fantastic, and I wish we’d had more team leagues, but the team thing does come into play.
If we’re talking individual GOATs, how does one factor in teams planning and workshopping things for a week in advance? It’s a tricky one.
Classic’s famous DT blink build to snipe Rogue, he’s talked about working on it in practice, that it generally failed in practice, but with the match on the line and struggling in more standard scenarios, his balls increased in size about 3x and he just went for it.
For me, in assessing individuals that’s some clutch, off-the-wall stuff Classic brought in an environment without an entourage, or much time to prep. It’s not complicated to credit Classic for that one.
With Proleague, it gets a bit trickier. Then you’re almost looking for sets where the plan went to complete shit and the player adjusted and prevailed. But that’s not always obvious from the outside
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I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask:
On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many".
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
Yeah it’s an interesting interview all-round, not just another chance to relitigate GOAT chat :p
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United States1919 Posts
On October 24 2025 03:32 WombaT wrote: Yeah it’s an interesting interview all-round, not just another chance to relitigate GOAT chat :p GOAT addendum 2026 on the way!
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 24 2025 21:07 Mizenhauer wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 03:32 WombaT wrote: Yeah it’s an interesting interview all-round, not just another chance to relitigate GOAT chat :p GOAT addendum 2026 on the way! For realsies?
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On October 23 2025 20:42 Captain Peabody wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 03:18 Waxangel wrote:On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution. Gonna heavily disagree with your recollection of Mvp here—IMO winning 2012 Season 2 sealed the deal for a lot of fans during the game's early history. He's not alone, I also was around all through WoL and I also am a bit confused by the "MVP is the untouchable GOAT of Wings" fervor that others seem to recall. But I think maybe the problem is just one of relative perspective. Back in 2012 I don't recall that people would have been talking about whether or not MVP was "the GOAT" or even the greatest player of all time with emphasis on the all time. SC2 was a new game, and we all assumed it would have a lot of history going forward, just like BW. People very much did discuss and argue (on both sides) over whether he was "a bonjwa," and I would say something approaching a consensus ultimately accepted that he was. But a bonjwa is not exactly the same thing as *the GOAT* imo. I agree that Life is the main retrospective loser in terms of people forgetting about how dominant and iconic he really was at his peak, and how long that peak was. But there are obvious reasons for that. That's true and it was wrong of me to use the word goat, but he wasn't the favourite in that 2012 gsl at all and that has after the fact increased his goatiness since he was able to win when he was weaker and all that old man mvp narrative despite him being 21. Mc was hailed as the winningest player for his earnings which he held to 2016 or smth. But as best player, there were always new ones on the rise, mma, HerO, drg, parting and life, and then there were the kespa influx. I don't think mvp was the favourite for most of his wins.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 25 2025 03:33 ejozl wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 20:42 Captain Peabody wrote:On October 23 2025 03:18 Waxangel wrote:On October 22 2025 23:17 ejozl wrote: It's hard to judge a player's career time while still being in it. Mvp wasn't seen as the absolute goat during wol at all, only upon hots did ppl start looking back and seeing him as the king of wings, looking back life was the best during kespa time + wol, and sOs and inno went above in post kespa. Because serral is still dominating after so many years can either mean that perhaps he tru;y is the greatest, or perhaps the scene is just not what it once was. I think it would be a mistake to take for granted how much he started to dominate and so suddenly, but at the same time I get annoyed when ppl think sc2 is all about mechanics and use the execution of top 3 players today as evidence against the kespa regime, when the game is so much more than being able to max out as fast as possible against the ai, or some other benchmark of execution. Gonna heavily disagree with your recollection of Mvp here—IMO winning 2012 Season 2 sealed the deal for a lot of fans during the game's early history. He's not alone, I also was around all through WoL and I also am a bit confused by the "MVP is the untouchable GOAT of Wings" fervor that others seem to recall. But I think maybe the problem is just one of relative perspective. Back in 2012 I don't recall that people would have been talking about whether or not MVP was "the GOAT" or even the greatest player of all time with emphasis on the all time. SC2 was a new game, and we all assumed it would have a lot of history going forward, just like BW. People very much did discuss and argue (on both sides) over whether he was "a bonjwa," and I would say something approaching a consensus ultimately accepted that he was. But a bonjwa is not exactly the same thing as *the GOAT* imo. I agree that Life is the main retrospective loser in terms of people forgetting about how dominant and iconic he really was at his peak, and how long that peak was. But there are obvious reasons for that. That's true and it was wrong of me to use the word goat, but he wasn't the favourite in that 2012 gsl at all and that has after the fact increased his goatiness since he was able to win when he was weaker and all that old man mvp narrative despite him being 21. Mc was hailed as the winningest player for his earnings which he held to 2016 or smth. But as best player, there were always new ones on the rise, mma, HerO, drg, parting and life, and then there were the kespa influx. I don't think mvp was the favourite for most of his wins. It was Mvp though the scene was so competitive he wasn’t as dominant as some of the modern guys. And the periods are much shorter then too, say 6 months versus several years.
He wasn’t on top the whole time, and Nestea was putting in similar accomplishments early doors, but dropped off a lot quicker. They were almost the ‘Big 2’ for a bit.
MC, MMA, DRG won big things they entered the conversation and were probably the world’s best at times. But perhaps they didn’t maintain it to surpass Mvp. Taeja did Taeja things, and I think he was incredible but he didn’t really win the big prestige prizes.
Parting I dunno why he always features in this convos but anyway :p
There was stiff competition, and it’s not as clear cut as say, Maru and Serral in post-Kespa, but I think on balance Mvp definitely deserved the King of Wings moniker.
For me the lineage of like an outright best player for any sizeable span , Voldemort and Inno took over after a bit, and then we have a pretty long period where you’ve got a handful of top players without one outstanding candidate. Then we’re into the ‘modern era’ which is like half the game’s life where you’ve had a few deviations but Serral and Maru probably stayed on top the longest
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On October 23 2025 20:49 dysenterymd wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 20:03 dysenterymd wrote: Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
MJ's few "good" seasons with the Wizards are an absolute non-factor re: his GOAT candidacy and you really should just extend that same logic to Inno whatever the reasons for his drop-off. You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018. Maru had 2 starleague wins, a bunch of deep runs, and a great proleague career pre-2018. sOs, Inno, Life, and Zest had clearly better Kespa careers than Maru, while players like Classic/soO/Rain/Soulkey/herO were in around Maru's ballpark depending on how you value certain achievements (2nd places vs 1st places, proleague vs non starleague championships, etc.) I actually do think Maru being one of the top 10 most accomplished players of the most competitive era helps his case for goat significantly. I also think the community doesn't rate proleague success highly enough (I don't know the exact conversion factor, but players like Maru/Inno being so amazing in proleague has to be worth at least one starleague, right?) But it's still true that most of Maru's accomplishments are post Kespa.
Totally premo and wombat in other threads literally said proleague doesn’t matter at all and then started changing their tune when they realized how silly it sounded.
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On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many".
Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in.
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On October 23 2025 16:47 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 14:49 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 19:03 WombaT wrote:On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth. Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky. Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure. For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT. As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up. I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing. Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it. You're 100% right that SC2 is different than pretty much every other sport and game. I'm not aware of any other one besides perhaps baseball in which the consensus GOAT pick never competed in the most competitive leagues and tournaments in the most competitive era of the game. Certainly I'm not aware of GOATs from other sports and games that got easy quals verging on auto-entries into premier international tournaments and world championships while all other GOAT contenders were nerfed in this regard (I'm pretty sure every KR GOAT contender missed out on multiple such tournaments). I missed all Serral's games against Mvp and the other Kespa era hall of famers, can you link them? Jokes aside, I think your casually incorrect overstatement demonstrates some of the key analytical problems people are having here. In any event, I wasn't really trying to challenge the Serral = GOAT consensus/cult/etc. I am trying to challenge folks to see outside of their confirmation bias and understand how normal fans of other games and sports understand GOATs. I honestly think for many SC2 fans and pros this comes down to "best" = GOAT, and Serral is almost certainly the best so he's a good pick. I'm not sure it's helpful or adds much credibility to exaggerate and say ridiculous things like he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time. Trying to chip away at Serral on the basis that he was not born Korean (as the implication is him missing a "proper" GSL win in his resume) is a weak leg to stand on, as was pointed out several times. He on multiple occasions showed to be perfectly able to win competitively even in Korea and in tournaments with top Korean participation on the international stage when competition was insanely strong. As Rotti stated, Serral did so with numbers that no one else was/is able to match in the slightest. So you missed all of Serral's games against Mvp? Then you missed also all of Mvp's games against Serral, as the argument goes both ways. It would actually be quite ironic to pick Mvp to prove a point, as he has way less games than Serral against the greatest players of SC2. He played the same amounts of games against Rain as Serral (2). He only played twice against TY. Against herO, Life, sOs, soO as well as Inno he only played once. And Mvp never played Dark, Maru, Classic, Rogue, Zest, Trap, Stats, MaxPax or Reynor while Serral demolished all of the aforementioned multiple times over several years with insane match win rates (except Life, whom he never played and Rain and Rogue against whom the record is somehow even). This is what Rotti points out in the video: To claim that Serral only played outside of competitiveness is utterly absurd and has no basis in reality. He has a more than sufficient display against the Prime SC2 greats and against guys who were forged in that time and exploded later like Dark. As we had this discussion multiple times, you know my stance by now: If you disagree that Serral is the GOAT - that is fine, but please use factual takes to support your claims. Similar to your reply to WombaT, who didn't say that he "he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time". WombaT's words were "Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up". There is no absolute claim about "every" hall of famer involved and the hyperbolic exaggeration of Serral being a "student playing part-time" is also not present in the original text.
I don’t know who you’re arguing with since I don’t care what soil anyone is born on or plays on. It’s ironic that you’re doing what you accuse me of. But fair, I did overstate Wombat’s point. But he is fundamentally incorrect in his point. Serral simply did not compete with many hall of famers and—again—he did not compete in the most competitive tournaments and leagues. That’s just not a debatable proposition. It’s a mathematical reality. Proleague was the most competitive league. He did not play in it. KILs were the most competitive tournaments. He sis not play in them. He basically got auto entries into every premier tourney and world championship that many Korean GOAT contenders were excluded from. Not debatable. Serral can still be the GOAT, but the issue is folks like you bending over backwards to say that math equation can tell you objectively who is the GOAt…iit’s just kinda cringe to be honest. You end up saying weird things like Proleague doesn’t matter but Aligulac rating does.
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On October 25 2025 14:17 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 16:47 PremoBeats wrote:On October 23 2025 14:49 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 19:03 WombaT wrote:On October 22 2025 14:26 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 06:09 TeamMamba wrote: Thanks for another great interview
Always enjoy Rotterdam contents and agree with most of what he said in regards to sc2 stuff.
People really need to stop boosting and overrating the skills level during kespa 2015. Google the concept of absolute versus relative comparisons and apply it to your kespa 2015 comment and then see if you can understand what's going on here. It's a fairly simple concept applied regularly in other games and sports, but somehow confuses SC fans. Most chess play from past world champions--including Garry Kasparov, the GOAT--would be considered iffy (if not completely refuted) by modern standards. Relative to chess understandings of the time Kasparov's play was of course genius. In case that helps you understand better. Plenty make the argument that the Kespa era was better skill-wise though as well. Not merely that it was an era with more competitive depth. Unlike many other sports, the scene has completely changed about 4 times structurally, so comparing does get rather tricky. Equally we’re not talking massive spans of time either. It is rather confusing in ways sure. For me it’s Serral, partly because there isn’t really an outstanding counter-candidate from pre-Serral times. If there was a properly dominant, Flash-esque player in the Kespa era, that player probably is the GOAT. As is, that player doesn’t really exist. And Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up. I think Serral’s accomplishments go a little under the radar, as absurd as that sounds because the scene has gone on, and on. He smashed a seemingly unbreakable ceiling, basically as a solo player doing his thing. Years of decline, the scene having a mere handful of genuine contenders, and other foreigners lifting WCs is kind of the norm we’re accustomed to, but in a way it detracts from the greatness of what Serral was doing way back in 2018 because we’ve got accustomed to it. You're 100% right that SC2 is different than pretty much every other sport and game. I'm not aware of any other one besides perhaps baseball in which the consensus GOAT pick never competed in the most competitive leagues and tournaments in the most competitive era of the game. Certainly I'm not aware of GOATs from other sports and games that got easy quals verging on auto-entries into premier international tournaments and world championships while all other GOAT contenders were nerfed in this regard (I'm pretty sure every KR GOAT contender missed out on multiple such tournaments). I missed all Serral's games against Mvp and the other Kespa era hall of famers, can you link them? Jokes aside, I think your casually incorrect overstatement demonstrates some of the key analytical problems people are having here. In any event, I wasn't really trying to challenge the Serral = GOAT consensus/cult/etc. I am trying to challenge folks to see outside of their confirmation bias and understand how normal fans of other games and sports understand GOATs. I honestly think for many SC2 fans and pros this comes down to "best" = GOAT, and Serral is almost certainly the best so he's a good pick. I'm not sure it's helpful or adds much credibility to exaggerate and say ridiculous things like he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time. Trying to chip away at Serral on the basis that he was not born Korean (as the implication is him missing a "proper" GSL win in his resume) is a weak leg to stand on, as was pointed out several times. He on multiple occasions showed to be perfectly able to win competitively even in Korea and in tournaments with top Korean participation on the international stage when competition was insanely strong. As Rotti stated, Serral did so with numbers that no one else was/is able to match in the slightest. So you missed all of Serral's games against Mvp? Then you missed also all of Mvp's games against Serral, as the argument goes both ways. It would actually be quite ironic to pick Mvp to prove a point, as he has way less games than Serral against the greatest players of SC2. He played the same amounts of games against Rain as Serral (2). He only played twice against TY. Against herO, Life, sOs, soO as well as Inno he only played once. And Mvp never played Dark, Maru, Classic, Rogue, Zest, Trap, Stats, MaxPax or Reynor while Serral demolished all of the aforementioned multiple times over several years with insane match win rates (except Life, whom he never played and Rain and Rogue against whom the record is somehow even). This is what Rotti points out in the video: To claim that Serral only played outside of competitiveness is utterly absurd and has no basis in reality. He has a more than sufficient display against the Prime SC2 greats and against guys who were forged in that time and exploded later like Dark. As we had this discussion multiple times, you know my stance by now: If you disagree that Serral is the GOAT - that is fine, but please use factual takes to support your claims. Similar to your reply to WombaT, who didn't say that he "he beat every hall of famer while he was a student playing part-time". WombaT's words were "Serral’s playing against the existing hall of famers, without training in full-time team houses and they can’t really keep up". There is no absolute claim about "every" hall of famer involved and the hyperbolic exaggeration of Serral being a "student playing part-time" is also not present in the original text. I don’t know who you’re arguing with since I don’t care what soil anyone is born on or plays on. It’s ironic that you’re doing what you accuse me of. But fair, I did overstate Wombat’s point. But he is fundamentally incorrect in his point. Serral simply did not compete with many hall of famers and—again—he did not compete in the most competitive tournaments and leagues. That’s just not a debatable proposition. It’s a mathematical reality. Proleague was the most competitive league. He did not play in it. KILs were the most competitive tournaments. He sis not play in them. He basically got auto entries into every premier tourney and world championship that many Korean GOAT contenders were excluded from. Not debatable. Serral can still be the GOAT, but the issue is folks like you bending over backwards to say that math equation can tell you objectively who is the GOAt…iit’s just kinda cringe to be honest. You end up saying weird things like Proleague doesn’t matter but Aligulac rating does.
Which Hall of Famers didn't Serral play against? Let's put some numbers on that claim.
And I am not bending over backwards, as I used plausible regression models. Up until the weighting (which I concede for the 100th time, as you still try to make a point where none is to be made) - which was utterly pointless to begin with as Serral topped every category - my subjective decisions were based on player strengths in tournaments, regression models and the analysis of surrounding datapoints leading to these two.
I basically only had 2 debatable modifiers if we leave weighting out of the equation (era and tournament score) and showed that Serral only loses his first spot if you hyper-focus era. This would lead to him losing out in the end to Life. I never checked how much tweaking it would take for Maru to overtake him, but my gut feeling is, that if the rest of the setup is fairly and - most importantly - consistently measured, that Inno would overtake Maru, before Maru overtakes Serral, as it would take a lot of tweaking before Maru's achievements in the prime era outweigh what Serral has done in the time that they both were at the top. And that is basically my whole claim. I don't claim that Serral played in KILs and Proleague. My claim is that the players and the tournaments he played are clearing the threshhold to call him GOAT easily.
And in regards to the 2 debatable modifiers: even the suggestions of people criticizing my entire approach wouldn't have led to massively different results as we were only discussing tiny tweaks in the grand scheme of things.
On October 25 2025 13:46 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 20:49 dysenterymd wrote:On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote:On October 22 2025 20:03 dysenterymd wrote: Kespa era was definitely the most competitive, but not the highest-skilled. Valuing Kespa achievements highly is valid, but the funny thing is that the other goat contenders who get talked about (Rogue and Maru) have most of their achievements post-Kespa (Maru was a very good Kespa era player, but was nowhere near the goat debate pre-2018.)
If you took Kespa >>> all very seriously, Inno would probably be the GOAT? But then what do his poor results post-2017 (with the exception of the WESG win) mean? Okay, Inno had motivation issues, but Serral/Rogue/Maru still cleaned house with many players who were better than them during Kespa.
MJ's few "good" seasons with the Wizards are an absolute non-factor re: his GOAT candidacy and you really should just extend that same logic to Inno whatever the reasons for his drop-off. You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018. Maru had 2 starleague wins, a bunch of deep runs, and a great proleague career pre-2018. sOs, Inno, Life, and Zest had clearly better Kespa careers than Maru, while players like Classic/soO/Rain/Soulkey/herO were in around Maru's ballpark depending on how you value certain achievements (2nd places vs 1st places, proleague vs non starleague championships, etc.) I actually do think Maru being one of the top 10 most accomplished players of the most competitive era helps his case for goat significantly. I also think the community doesn't rate proleague success highly enough (I don't know the exact conversion factor, but players like Maru/Inno being so amazing in proleague has to be worth at least one starleague, right?) But it's still true that most of Maru's accomplishments are post Kespa. Totally premo and wombat in other threads literally said proleague doesn’t matter at all and then started changing their tune when they realized how silly it sounded.
Please quote that. Because as far as I remember and as far as can be read upon in my first article, I discarded team results because of the inherent issues of adding them to individual results (being carried by a team, putting a burden on your team but still receicing points as the team performed well, how to measure contribution, how to handle the fact there there were only 8 teams versus 32 or 64 players which leads to fewer knockout stages, etc.), not because I thought that Proleague didn't matter. I established a whole new system to include team results (fairly imo) in the 2nd article. So again: Why the need to put words in my mouth or mischaracterize what happened? I am also not aware of any quote WombaT made in that direction.
Here are my exact words from the first article. + Show Spoiler + As you can see, I did not include team scores, as I see the GOAT discussion as an enterprise of an individual. A player could have been lifted up or put down by a team and including team scores would dilute the results heavily. But player’s accomplishments - such as Maru’s phenomenal Proleague run in 2016 (22-4) - will be included in the match win rate analysis, to give credit to individual accomplishments and to not discard team achievements entirely.
And these are the texts from the 2nd:
+ Show Spoiler + As a critique of the first article by others: b. Including match win rates of team events is not enough to honor the accomplishments of players and team events should be included in the tournament score as well
and
Team result handling For the team result multipliers that were newly added, I did the following: I checked the win rate of a given player. If it was below 50% then the tournament was not counted for that player, because if everyone had this player's win rate, the team would have never gotten an upper placement in the league. This result is an indicator that a player was lifted up by his team-mates and thus, there should be no points handed out. It serves as an entrance barrier and as a marker for contribution. It also takes away one of my concerns for including team-results. One could argue that the entrance barrier should be higher, but adding more to a team than being neutral or a burden is fine for me. There will be another new multiplier, named participation-multiplier. Why is that necessary? For example: A team played 60 games in a given season and the player only participated in 2 games, his contribution is extremely small. The fairest and most practical idea I had was to incorporate a participation rate.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. The scene has always been more individual tournament focused in perception, and team leagues in general go a bit under the radar. Taeja at IPL TAC, Inno in GSTL, Serral in NationWars, are also rarely mentioned in such discussions, although I’m not saying those are equivalently prestigious leagues to Proleague.
I’ve not discounted Proleague from consideration, I factor it between players who competed in it, and not for comparison with players who did not.
It’s also just a completely different format, and one where the team element is a big factor. Outside of Starleagues, the majority of tournies are weekend gauntlets where players largely have to think on their feet in navigating it.
It also only ran for a few years in a 15 year scene, and it was a very closed off competition. If we’re gonna talk about regional lock and its effects, which is a fair observation, you have to apply that to Proleague as well.
So I just find it difficult to factor in, that doesn’t mean I think it’s irrelevant or anything, but it’s simply easier to compare like with like.
The Ryder and Davis Cups in golf and tennis are big, prestige deals in golf and tennis respectively. Performance in them doesn’t tend to factor too prominently in GOAT debates because the rest of their circuits are all individual competitions.
I think it’s a little similar here, but a bit different in Kespa Brood War times because Proleague was such an integral part of that scene for so long.
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On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in.
How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO Stats. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. Maru didn't "fail to break through regionlock", he missed the qualification-line by over 3000 points, that's equal to more than a GSL-2nd place.
It is also funny that you proclaim people don't remember Proleague and then completly misrepresent how easy it is/was for foreigner to get into Blizzcon. Especially since you hand-picked Elazer, a player who only very barely got into Blizzcon 2016, he narrowly avoided to have to play a LastChance decider against Violet to get in (it got a bit less dramatic afterwards because Polt dropped out aswell). There was no "near autoqualify".
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. Maru didn't "fail to break through regionlock", he missed the qualification-line by over 3000 points, that's equal to more than a GSL-2nd place. It is also funny that you proclaim people don't remember Proleague and then completly misrepresent how easy it is/was for foreigner to get into Blizzcon. Especially since you hand-picked Elazer, a player who only very barely got into Blizzcon 2016, he narrowly avoided to have to play a LastChance decider against Violet to get in (it got a bit less dramatic afterwards because Polt dropped out aswell). There was no "near autoqualify". You’ve also got team tactics to factor in. I’d have to go and look over those times, and perhaps I shall at some point!
All-kill versus set picking depending on what format is going at a particular time.
If you’re facing a team with a real killer ace player, who’s favoured against even your best player, it can be the prudent play to try and predict when they’re sent out and put out your weakest. Play the percentages.
As I’ve already said I also haven’t checked so nobody @ me yet haha, and it’s also something of a compliment to the ace player in the first place, but I think it’s conceivable that super aces get a slight boost in that kind of scenario.
There’s obviously a lot of variance, but in an ideal world you send out a lineup that’s favoured in every matchup, be it sheer quality of player, matchup speciality or a particular map strat.
As I said I don’t remotely discount things like Proleague, there’s just a lot of added complexity that makes it tricky.
I think the region lock point on WCs does have some merit, but equally if you’re the GOAT and can’t even qualify on occasions? Surely that’s a minus, even if a minor one.
At this juncture I think Maru’s had more shots at a WC than any other player and hasn’t won one, even in the weaker era.
Personally I think he’s top 3 in pure SC skill, and probably top 2 GOAT, but I think he kinda blew his shot to be the GOAT when he lost to Oliveira. The stars aligned, his TvT was crazy at the time and he’s facing the biggest WC finalist underdog and he couldn’t deliver.
In more recent times I don’t really hold stuff like Serral battering him against him, he’s basically the longest serving pro, has injuries etc
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On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: Show nested quote +On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many".
Only the Maru fans, majority had Maru sitting comfortably outside of top 5. Maru was basically a gatekeeper before he broke out in 2018. His ssl path run was quite easy due to luck bracket
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On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in.
lol why are people still trying to over exaggerate pro league.
It has already been proven thwt league was a match fixing league.
We just don’t know how many other games were fixed beside the one that was caught
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On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass.
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On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass.
Yeah, apparently I can't read (which is hilarious, considering how often you people force me to look up these statistics). Love the completly unnecessary aggression though.
So yeah, I had multiple fuckups in that...no idea why I mixed herO in that when I looked at Stats...well, stats. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. Buuuuut the fact that you already have to make these discussions shows that Marus 2016 Proleague is not such a marvelous "one of a kind"-things people pretend it to be.
Special thanks however to Google-AI for this answer to my question "who was the 2016 Starcraft 2 Proleague MVP?":
The 2016 StarCraft 2 Proleague MVP was Clem, who was awarded this title at the end of the 2016 Proleague season.
And you people proclaim Maru is a wonderchild, where is his MVP award with 14 in a league he didn't play in, HUH?
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On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. Buuuuut the fact that you already have to make these discussions shows that Marus 2016 Proleague is not such a marvelous "one of a kind"-things people pretend it to be. So by that logic if people say Serral is not the Goat because he hasn't won a GSL, the fact this discussion exists shows that he really isn't as clear cut at the top as his fans pretend to be?. People making bad arguments doesn't prove anything
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On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral.
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On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral.
So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug*
Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void.
See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops!
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On October 25 2025 22:46 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. Maru didn't "fail to break through regionlock", he missed the qualification-line by over 3000 points, that's equal to more than a GSL-2nd place. It is also funny that you proclaim people don't remember Proleague and then completly misrepresent how easy it is/was for foreigner to get into Blizzcon. Especially since you hand-picked Elazer, a player who only very barely got into Blizzcon 2016, he narrowly avoided to have to play a LastChance decider against Violet to get in (it got a bit less dramatic afterwards because Polt dropped out aswell). There was no "near autoqualify". At this juncture I think Maru’s had more shots at a WC than any other player and hasn’t won one, even in the weaker era. I think him and herO are equalled here, counting the official WCs (till 2019 Blizzcon, 21-23 IEM, from 24 EWC). Which I find pretty impressive by herO tbh, as he lost 2 years because of his military service. Overall, I think he gets too little credit in GOAT discussions and having advanced my analysis by a couple more players, I am quite interested if he is able to place inside the top 10, which he didn't do in Miz' list.
On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?"
The argument against objective statistics in GOAT-discussions never really stuck with me, but if the adjective in question is "best" and not "greatest", I think no one should have issues with some factuals on this one, especially as we stay rather intra-era.
Maru's statistics starting from 2013-2017 (average place, won tournaments, match win rate): 2013: 7,08, 1, 65,37% 2014: 7,93, none, 64,29% 2015: 6,50, 1, 66,99% 2016: 7,83, none, 73,44% 2017: 9,22, none, 62,71%
Looking at a Zerg World Champion: Life (would have used soO, but I don't have the data yet) 2013: 6,35, 3, 66,36% 2014: 6,35, 3, 63,76% 2015: 7,55, 2, 61,47% 2016: / 2017: /
Looking at another old-timer: herO 2013: 15,33%, 1, 66,67% 2014: 6,00%, 2, 68,87% 2015: 5,77%, 2, 66,37% 2016: 10,50%, 0, 63,21% 2017: 7,40%, 1, 68,52%
Looking at a fellow Terran: INnoVation 2013: 5,00, 1, 69,83% 2014: 5,63, 1, 67,96% 2015: 5,83, 2, 75,23% 2016: 7,75, 1, 69,09% 2017: 5,86, 3, 68,94%
I can't imagine people meaning a win in a singular tournament to determine the best. That would lead to Serral outscaling Maru massively in the bigger picture. And even if we look at that: Maru won SSL in 2015, but is flanked by Life's GSL season 1 and IEM Taipei, where Life beat Maru in the finals. 2013... as Maru was still up and coming at that time and others outperformed him in hard statistics, I would need some discussions from back then to be convinced. In that time frame he was beaten twice by Dear, who won finals against Soulkey and soO not much after. I doubt Maru was a clear cut best, even if he put his name on the board in that time... but I am open for a case to be made.
Of course, one could also look at Rain, soO, Zest, Taeja and sOs on top, but I don't have the numbers yet. So yeah, even looking at the comparison above... I'd like to know which time frames exactly are meant for this notion, as rwala proclaimed "many stints pre-2018".
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On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! Now I'm curious to hear what's different when Serral has the highest winrates but lower wins in total compared to when Maru has it. The only reason Stats has more wins is... because he played more games - exactly the same reason as it is for ByuN vs Serral. Not sure why it's relevant at how many tournaments we're looking, the reason for having more wins but lower winrate is exactly the same
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On October 26 2025 15:57 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! Now I'm curious to hear what's different when Serral has the highest winrates but lower wins in total compared to when Maru has it. The only reason Stats has more wins is... because he played more games - exactly the same reason as it is for ByuN vs Serral. Not sure why it's relevant at how many tournaments we're looking, the reason for having more wins but lower winrate is exactly the same
"Maru is the best GSL player of all time, having won by far the most of them" "Yeah, but Clem has won far more ESL Cups. When we talk about tournament wins it shouldn't matter at what tournaments we look at, so Clem is the far better player."
That is your argument right now. We however talk about a specific teamleague season, which naturally has wildly different "rules" compared to just randomly looking at a bunch of unrelated 1v1 tournaments. If you think winrate is THE most important stat that trumps everything in Proleague, then that is fine. Would also mean that a player who snipes one other player and then never plays again becomes your Proleague MVP with 1-0 stats...but in seriousness: I always thought that going 12-10 is more impressive than going 5-3. Usually in most sports, we do not go by percentages. You become the Top Striker in Football by getting the most goals - doesn't matter how many games you need for that, as long as your number is bigger than anyone elses. Stats numbers are bigger...partially. I'm still 100% fine with calling Maru the 2016 Proleague MVP, especially if you factor in that he got the finals MVP (for beating TY I guess?). I'm just not buying into it that it is a miraculous run that forever shaked the foundation of the game...it was not. And it still, to loop this back, doesn't help the original question. So again the answer remains "never".
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Guys we’ve been through all this before. Your boy Serral is the GOAT in most people’s minds but it’s despite—not because—he showed results in the most competitive tournaments and leagues and eras and regions of the game. He simply did not. These are not really debatable propositions and when you try to debate them by discounting Proleague or proclaiming Blizzcon to be the most competitive tournament in the history of the game, it’s what we lawyers call “proving too much.”
Balnazza you’re completely missing the point re: Elazer. The point is simply to note that region lock is designed to give non-Koreans more shots at international premier and world championship titles. Wombat smartly concedes this point because it’s not disputable. Why do you feel the need to debate it? Pointing out that Inno and Maru—world champion contenders for sure—-missed out on Blizzcon by massive amounts of WCS points demonstrates the opposite of what you think it does.
Here’s the thing, and this is really the bottom line. We do not know what Serral’s achievements would look like if he had played in the most competitive eras, leagues, and tournaments. It’s certainly possible that he would have been equally if not more dominant. But it’s also possible that for reasons of style or substance or metas or patches that there would have been certain players or eras or matches that would have posed much more significant barriers that Serral faced in the modern LOV era…especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Saying that he won on Korean soil and against the top KR players in the modern era is a very shallow rejoinder to this.
It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results in KILs or Proleague. Any one of these guys could have been the equivalent of a Clem that essentially makes the match-up a toss-up, at best, but more likely there would have been several such players. I think this is especially the case in ZvZ, but it could be in other match-ups. Guys like Solar in the modern era have had winning streaks against Serral so it’s just not at all hard to imagine many of the best players of earlier eras doing the same on a more consistent basis.
Let me clarify. I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have and to deny that his dominance is at least in part connected to the decline in competition is honestly just very strange.
You’ll notice I have not mentioned Maru’s name here. I am not making a case for him. I’m in an Mvp = GOAT phase and I know no one agrees with me, but I don’t care. My larger point here is that recency and confirmation bias are largely driving this convo, and I’m trying to challenge that a bit.
I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players. It’s great to be a Serral fanboy and most agree he’s the GOAT. It’s also fine (and better imho) to acknowledge that all of his results were from weaker eras, tournaments, leagues, and regions.
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On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification.
Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf?
It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics?
See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all".
But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant.
I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check?
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Balnazza you’re completely missing the point re: Elazer. The point is simply to note that region lock is designed to give non-Koreans more shots at international premier and world championship titles. Wombat smartly concedes this point because it’s not disputable. Why do you feel the need to debate it? Pointing out that Inno and Maru—world champion contenders for sure—-missed out on Blizzcon by massive amounts of WCS points demonstrates the opposite of what you think it does.
Actually, you are completly missing the point, because you fail to defend your own arguments. I never said anything about regionlock, of course it was designed to help the foreign scene. But that doesn't make it an "auto-qualify", especially not when you then pick a player who had to fight tooth and nail to be in that particular Blizzcon. Of course you picked Elazer because he reached the Ro4 and I guess you wanted to make some point that he got that spot gifted and for free...which he didn't. You also do the same thing with Maru then: Mind you, my original question was for you to defend your argument that Maru "had many stints" pre-2018 where he was "the best player in the world". You failed to do that aswell, instead making these grandious arguments about KILs and Proleagues and what not.
Inno and Maru missing Blizzcon by massive amount of points in 2016 proved this point: Neither of them was in contention to be the best player in that year, because they performed poorly in their region. This says nothing about the qualitfy of KILs or Proleague in 2016, because that isn't important for your argument.
So how about this: Maybe stop using arguments people bring to Discussion A to then geniously disproving them in Discussion B and actually defend your own argument. When was Maru the best player in the world pre-2016 and why? You said "for many stints", so I assume you can atleast list 1-2 years he was the best player in the world?
It really is not that hard of a question, is it?
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On October 27 2025 03:37 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +Balnazza you’re completely missing the point re: Elazer. The point is simply to note that region lock is designed to give non-Koreans more shots at international premier and world championship titles. Wombat smartly concedes this point because it’s not disputable. Why do you feel the need to debate it? Pointing out that Inno and Maru—world champion contenders for sure—-missed out on Blizzcon by massive amounts of WCS points demonstrates the opposite of what you think it does. Actually, you are completly missing the point, because you fail to defend your own arguments. I never said anything about regionlock, of course it was designed to help the foreign scene. But that doesn't make it an "auto-qualify", especially not when you then pick a player who had to fight tooth and nail to be in that particular Blizzcon. Of course you picked Elazer because he reached the Ro4 and I guess you wanted to make some point that he got that spot gifted and for free...which he didn't. You also do the same thing with Maru then: Mind you, my original question was for you to defend your argument that Maru "had many stints" pre-2018 where he was "the best player in the world". You failed to do that aswell, instead making these grandious arguments about KILs and Proleagues and what not. Inno and Maru missing Blizzcon by massive amount of points in 2016 proved this point: Neither of them was in contention to be the best player in that year, because they performed poorly in their region. This says nothing about the qualitfy of KILs or Proleague in 2016, because that isn't important for your argument. So how about this: Maybe stop using arguments people bring to Discussion A to then geniously disproving them in Discussion B and actually defend your own argument. When was Maru the best player in the world pre-2016 and why? You said "for many stints", so I assume you can atleast list 1-2 years he was the best player in the world? It really is not that hard of a question, is it?
People need to stop disrespecting elazer.
Gsl vs the world the Koreans were literally too easy for Serral that elazer was his toughest opponent in that tournament
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On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? Show nested quote +It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. Show nested quote + I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check?
I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others.
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On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops!
I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping…
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On October 27 2025 10:48 TeamMamba wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 03:37 Balnazza wrote:Balnazza you’re completely missing the point re: Elazer. The point is simply to note that region lock is designed to give non-Koreans more shots at international premier and world championship titles. Wombat smartly concedes this point because it’s not disputable. Why do you feel the need to debate it? Pointing out that Inno and Maru—world champion contenders for sure—-missed out on Blizzcon by massive amounts of WCS points demonstrates the opposite of what you think it does. Actually, you are completly missing the point, because you fail to defend your own arguments. I never said anything about regionlock, of course it was designed to help the foreign scene. But that doesn't make it an "auto-qualify", especially not when you then pick a player who had to fight tooth and nail to be in that particular Blizzcon. Of course you picked Elazer because he reached the Ro4 and I guess you wanted to make some point that he got that spot gifted and for free...which he didn't. You also do the same thing with Maru then: Mind you, my original question was for you to defend your argument that Maru "had many stints" pre-2018 where he was "the best player in the world". You failed to do that aswell, instead making these grandious arguments about KILs and Proleagues and what not. Inno and Maru missing Blizzcon by massive amount of points in 2016 proved this point: Neither of them was in contention to be the best player in that year, because they performed poorly in their region. This says nothing about the qualitfy of KILs or Proleague in 2016, because that isn't important for your argument. So how about this: Maybe stop using arguments people bring to Discussion A to then geniously disproving them in Discussion B and actually defend your own argument. When was Maru the best player in the world pre-2016 and why? You said "for many stints", so I assume you can atleast list 1-2 years he was the best player in the world? It really is not that hard of a question, is it? People need to stop disrespecting elazer. Gsl vs the world the Koreans were literally too easy for Serral that elazer was his toughest opponent in that tournament
Elazer is great, so is Special, Time, Has, and others from non-KR regions that were repeatedly seeded into international premier and WC tourneys via region lock. But this isn’t the point. The point is that KILs and Proleague was were the fiercest competition was. These other tournaments had prestige and prize pool but were designed for marketing and business purposes to grow the game outside of South Korea. They were not intended to represent the highest level of competition, and they generally didn’t.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Haven’t you argued that the Kespa era was the most competitive era though?
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Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region
What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating.
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Winrates don't account for strength of schedule.
Tournaments are a crapshoot because of bracket format, even if not, 1 single tournament shouldnt define your whole year or carreer.
Prize pool metrics are even wilder, with single elim tournaments being worth a huge chunk of the yearly prize pool.
The funny thing is, Serral wins on all 3 metrics, even when you filter winrates vs Koreans but don't account that Serral's Korean opponents are just way better than Koreans.
The best single measure of a players strength is Aligulac rating, and Serral has been far far more dominant than any other player, adn that reflects on betting lines, he is (almost?) always favoured to win.
So yes, Rotterdam is obviously right, there's only "controversy" on SC2 because of a few koreaboo die hard fans, much much more dominant than magnus is on Chess.
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Why do stints have to be years, I think there were many days at least that maru was the best player from 13-15. Of course if you divide it up in years you will lose a lot to low resolution since these years were so competitive. If Maru needed to be the best, it wasn't just 3 pro gamers that he had to beat.
You can't just compare proleague statistics and putting cure above maru is laughable. He was probably comfortably in top 7 in 2015 [life, soo, maru, inno, zest, herO and sOs]. And a record that herO holds is amazingly impressive since he was supposed to carry his team against all of the top dogs and in all of the ace matches, whereas if your just another top player in skt you will get to play trash, or lowely players. Maru at 7-2 over sOs 7-4 does not mean he's better either, and that the team miscalculated, sOs played the harder matches and were their golden boy, it isn't maru's face that was featured on an aeroplane.
There's been other arguments that are faulty, for instance the fact that serral has dominated for half the game, if maxpax started winning all of the online cups for the next 15 years that could though impressive, never cement him the goat status.
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On October 27 2025 22:33 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping…
I switched up a name, which I immediatly admitted as a mistake. Doesn't change that everything that I said holds true if you use the correct player - Stats.
So no, you didn't answer me. You avoided the topic and instead shifted the discussion to the value of KILs or Proleague...neither of which helped your original point. So again: 2016 was clearly not a year you would consider Maru to be "the best player in the world", because while he did great in Proleague, he failed to qualify for Blizzcon (which means: He failed to do well in the most competitive giga-galaxy tournaments of all time in that year). If you compare his 2016 to someone like Stats: Stats also did great (equal, slightly better or slightly worse, depending what you value) than Maru, but he qualified for Blizzcon. So Stats alone would have a bigger claim to be "the best player" in 2016...and you could make that argument for numerous players, not saying Stats is necessarily the best.
Which leaves, surprisingly, the question...when were those stints when Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018? No one is having the argument with you about the value of Proleague. No one is disputing the competitiveness of GSL back in the day (though I will always fight on the importance of Blizzcon as the most competitive and important tournament of the year - case in point 2016: People always remember ByuN as a World Champion, the fact that he also won GSL that year kind of gets added on most of the time). But neither the value of Proleague nor the competitiveness of GSL by themselves make Maru "the best player in the world" randomly...this isn't even "Maru vs. Serral", this is literally "Maru vs. other koreans".
So can we make this easy? Do me the favor and do one of two things: 1)Point out these times Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018 and why. 2)Just admit you pulled that statement out of thin air and have literally no backup for it.
As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others.
If you try to make your argument so short you just skip over those little things called facts and statistics, you are not making an argument. You make up a baseless opinion. What would a lawyer call that? Hearsay?
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Literally barely anyone remember Maru nor anyone put him anywhere close as a top Koreans pre 2018.
Based on my memory, WOL was basically mvp nested and MC
Hots was basically a mix of all the other top Koreans and their accomplishments. For example sos 2 world champs, innovation the machine winning multiple GSLs, sOO failing short constantly , Life insane runs.
Maru fans would bring up his SSL win or his forgettable pro league stats. Majority of the fans base don’t even care about Maru prior to 2018.
Let’s be real here, Maru was literally a pedestrian pre 2018. If we do a goat list only from the period 2010-2017. Maru wouldn’t even be top 20
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 28 2025 06:16 TeamMamba wrote: Literally barely anyone remember Maru nor anyone put him anywhere close as a top Koreans pre 2018.
Based on my memory, WOL was basically mvp nested and MC
Hots was basically a mix of all the other top Koreans and their accomplishments. For example sos 2 world champs, innovation the machine winning multiple GSLs, sOO failing short constantly , Life insane runs.
Maru fans would bring up his SSL win or his forgettable pro league stats. Majority of the fans base don’t even care about Maru prior to 2018.
Let’s be real here, Maru was literally a pedestrian pre 2018. If we do a goat list only from the period 2010-2017. Maru wouldn’t even be top 20 This is silly.
He was up there as a top contender for years, and in terms of sheer raw ability and skill level especially.
I don’t think he had an appreciable span as ‘the best’ before 2018, but few did. I’d say Mvp, Innovation and Life are amongst a handful who one could say that about.
I think it’s safe to say maybe one shouldn’t put too much stock in your memory of the scene’s history, your conclusions are bonkers.
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United States1919 Posts
On October 24 2025 21:53 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 21:07 Mizenhauer wrote:On October 24 2025 03:32 WombaT wrote: Yeah it’s an interesting interview all-round, not just another chance to relitigate GOAT chat :p GOAT addendum 2026 on the way! For realsies?
Yes. I need to finish a few projects, but once those are taken care of I'm on it!
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 28 2025 07:36 Mizenhauer wrote:Show nested quote +On October 24 2025 21:53 WombaT wrote:On October 24 2025 21:07 Mizenhauer wrote:On October 24 2025 03:32 WombaT wrote: Yeah it’s an interesting interview all-round, not just another chance to relitigate GOAT chat :p GOAT addendum 2026 on the way! For realsies? Yes. I need to finish a few projects, but once those are taken care of I'm on it! Good stuff, always enjoy your work!
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On October 28 2025 03:50 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 22:33 rwala wrote:On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote:I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask: On October 23 2025 15:01 rwala wrote: You're right about Rogue but Maru was the best player in the world for many stints pre-2018.
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping… I switched up a name, which I immediatly admitted as a mistake. Doesn't change that everything that I said holds true if you use the correct player - Stats. So no, you didn't answer me. You avoided the topic and instead shifted the discussion to the value of KILs or Proleague...neither of which helped your original point. So again: 2016 was clearly not a year you would consider Maru to be "the best player in the world", because while he did great in Proleague, he failed to qualify for Blizzcon (which means: He failed to do well in the most competitive giga-galaxy tournaments of all time in that year). If you compare his 2016 to someone like Stats: Stats also did great (equal, slightly better or slightly worse, depending what you value) than Maru, but he qualified for Blizzcon. So Stats alone would have a bigger claim to be "the best player" in 2016...and you could make that argument for numerous players, not saying Stats is necessarily the best. Which leaves, surprisingly, the question...when were those stints when Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018? No one is having the argument with you about the value of Proleague. No one is disputing the competitiveness of GSL back in the day (though I will always fight on the importance of Blizzcon as the most competitive and important tournament of the year - case in point 2016: People always remember ByuN as a World Champion, the fact that he also won GSL that year kind of gets added on most of the time). But neither the value of Proleague nor the competitiveness of GSL by themselves make Maru "the best player in the world" randomly...this isn't even "Maru vs. Serral", this is literally "Maru vs. other koreans". So can we make this easy? Do me the favor and do one of two things: 1)Point out these times Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018 and why. 2)Just admit you pulled that statement out of thin air and have literally no backup for it. Show nested quote +As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. If you try to make your argument so short you just skip over those little things called facts and statistics, you are not making an argument. You make up a baseless opinion. What would a lawyer call that? Hearsay?
Nice one! Lawyers in America would call that getting Rule 11 sanctioned, and potentially disbarred I said when he won his two KILs and at points during the tail end of the 2016 Proleague season when he was consistently smashing all the best players in the most prestigious and competitive SC2 competition. Others more knowledgeable/with a better memory than I could point to other periods and might debate my 2016 Proleague claim but at minimum it’s definitely fair to say that during the periods of time in which Maru held his KIL titles he was considered the best player in the world.
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On October 28 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Why do stints have to be years, I think there were many days at least that maru was the best player from 13-15. Of course if you divide it up in years you will lose a lot to low resolution since these years were so competitive. If Maru needed to be the best, it wasn't just 3 pro gamers that he had to beat.
You can't just compare proleague statistics and putting cure above maru is laughable. He was probably comfortably in top 7 in 2015 [life, soo, maru, inno, zest, herO and sOs]. And a record that herO holds is amazingly impressive since he was supposed to carry his team against all of the top dogs and in all of the ace matches, whereas if your just another top player in skt you will get to play trash, or lowely players. Maru at 7-2 over sOs 7-4 does not mean he's better either, and that the team miscalculated, sOs played the harder matches and were their golden boy, it isn't maru's face that was featured on an aeroplane.
There's been other arguments that are faulty, for instance the fact that serral has dominated for half the game, if maxpax started winning all of the online cups for the next 15 years that could though impressive, never cement him the goat status.
Your point about players having days or weeks as the best player I think is spot on and was honestly just an accepted truth in the scene back in the day when the game, performances, and results were so volatile. I think this speaks to the recency bias. Serral has been the undisputed best player for so many stretches in the last few years that folks maybe think that’s just always how it was. It speaks to Serral’s unbelievable strength and unmatched consistency, but pre-Serral you have to probably go all the way back to Mvp to uncover another extended period of consensus best player.
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On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating.
This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year.
The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well).
I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp.
If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build.
Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game.
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It seems that your definition of competitive means larger pool of realistic winners. Which is fine, but if you make that the crux of your definition of who was the greatest you end up arguing that MVP was somehow greater because he was worse.
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I attribute a lot of the dominance by nestea and mvp to the IM team house that was just ahead of the curve, of course these 2x players presumably attributed the most to that team house. But with kespa thrown into the mix you get the most concentrated talent pool ever, and so it's literally impossible to dominate in the same manner, also because of all the player switching between teams.
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Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories.
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On October 28 2025 13:37 Admiral Yang wrote: It seems that your definition of competitive means larger pool of realistic winners. Which is fine, but if you make that the crux of your definition of who was the greatest you end up arguing that MVP was somehow greater because he was worse. Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater...
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On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today.
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On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today.
True to some degree
However since 2018, Serral has been evolving and teaching other Zergs players how to raise their skills. A lot of current skills was started by Serral.
For example more use of burrow roaches, burrow infestor, introducing lurker viper engagements to the Koreans, etc. I haven’t seen any other Zergs that had yet to have such an impact raising his peers level. Other zergs have yet to learn how to engage properly in late game zvp like Serral
That’s literally half of Sc2 history period
HM- to be fair no one can copy what dark does cause he just does whatever he feels like doing
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Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater...
These arguments by comparison just keep getting worse.
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On October 28 2025 10:19 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 03:50 Balnazza wrote:On October 27 2025 22:33 rwala wrote:On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote:On October 24 2025 02:56 Balnazza wrote: I really want to stay out of the discussion, just to avoid repeating the same-old arguments in both directions, especially on a thread that isn't even really about the GOAT-topic...but I have to ask:
[quote]
What year(s) pre-2018 would anyone consider Maru to be the best player in the world? Even if you would do the ludicrous thing to proclaim him the best player after winning his two Premier events pre-2018...that would still just be two 'stints', which in my book hardly count as "many". Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping… I switched up a name, which I immediatly admitted as a mistake. Doesn't change that everything that I said holds true if you use the correct player - Stats. So no, you didn't answer me. You avoided the topic and instead shifted the discussion to the value of KILs or Proleague...neither of which helped your original point. So again: 2016 was clearly not a year you would consider Maru to be "the best player in the world", because while he did great in Proleague, he failed to qualify for Blizzcon (which means: He failed to do well in the most competitive giga-galaxy tournaments of all time in that year). If you compare his 2016 to someone like Stats: Stats also did great (equal, slightly better or slightly worse, depending what you value) than Maru, but he qualified for Blizzcon. So Stats alone would have a bigger claim to be "the best player" in 2016...and you could make that argument for numerous players, not saying Stats is necessarily the best. Which leaves, surprisingly, the question...when were those stints when Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018? No one is having the argument with you about the value of Proleague. No one is disputing the competitiveness of GSL back in the day (though I will always fight on the importance of Blizzcon as the most competitive and important tournament of the year - case in point 2016: People always remember ByuN as a World Champion, the fact that he also won GSL that year kind of gets added on most of the time). But neither the value of Proleague nor the competitiveness of GSL by themselves make Maru "the best player in the world" randomly...this isn't even "Maru vs. Serral", this is literally "Maru vs. other koreans". So can we make this easy? Do me the favor and do one of two things: 1)Point out these times Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018 and why. 2)Just admit you pulled that statement out of thin air and have literally no backup for it. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. If you try to make your argument so short you just skip over those little things called facts and statistics, you are not making an argument. You make up a baseless opinion. What would a lawyer call that? Hearsay? Nice one! Lawyers in America would call that getting Rule 11 sanctioned, and potentially disbarred  I said when he won his two KILs and at points during the tail end of the 2016 Proleague season when he was consistently smashing all the best players in the most prestigious and competitive SC2 competition. Others more knowledgeable/with a better memory than I could point to other periods and might debate my 2016 Proleague claim but at minimum it’s definitely fair to say that during the periods of time in which Maru held his KIL titles he was considered the best player in the world.
I wouldn't agree that winning a KIL makes you the best player in the world at that moment, but that are atleast examples I can work with, thanks!
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On October 29 2025 00:27 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 10:19 rwala wrote:On October 28 2025 03:50 Balnazza wrote:On October 27 2025 22:33 rwala wrote:On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote:On October 25 2025 14:05 rwala wrote: [quote]
Most of 2016 Proleague when he accomplished one of the greatest feats in all of SC. But I’d be happy to concede he wasn’t the best player as much as Inno, Rain, Zest, TY, MVP, and probably others. You can go back and watch Proleague and that’s what Wolf, GTR, Valdez were saying. A lot of the modern fans don’t really remember or even value Proleague because they never watched it or cared much about it and would probably point out that Maru didn’t even make Blizzcon in 2016. Neither did Inno, and in fact many Korean GOATs failed to break through region lock since they unfortunately didn’t have the region lock near autoqualify that got players like Elazer and Special in. How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs. 8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping… I switched up a name, which I immediatly admitted as a mistake. Doesn't change that everything that I said holds true if you use the correct player - Stats. So no, you didn't answer me. You avoided the topic and instead shifted the discussion to the value of KILs or Proleague...neither of which helped your original point. So again: 2016 was clearly not a year you would consider Maru to be "the best player in the world", because while he did great in Proleague, he failed to qualify for Blizzcon (which means: He failed to do well in the most competitive giga-galaxy tournaments of all time in that year). If you compare his 2016 to someone like Stats: Stats also did great (equal, slightly better or slightly worse, depending what you value) than Maru, but he qualified for Blizzcon. So Stats alone would have a bigger claim to be "the best player" in 2016...and you could make that argument for numerous players, not saying Stats is necessarily the best. Which leaves, surprisingly, the question...when were those stints when Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018? No one is having the argument with you about the value of Proleague. No one is disputing the competitiveness of GSL back in the day (though I will always fight on the importance of Blizzcon as the most competitive and important tournament of the year - case in point 2016: People always remember ByuN as a World Champion, the fact that he also won GSL that year kind of gets added on most of the time). But neither the value of Proleague nor the competitiveness of GSL by themselves make Maru "the best player in the world" randomly...this isn't even "Maru vs. Serral", this is literally "Maru vs. other koreans". So can we make this easy? Do me the favor and do one of two things: 1)Point out these times Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018 and why. 2)Just admit you pulled that statement out of thin air and have literally no backup for it. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. If you try to make your argument so short you just skip over those little things called facts and statistics, you are not making an argument. You make up a baseless opinion. What would a lawyer call that? Hearsay? Nice one! Lawyers in America would call that getting Rule 11 sanctioned, and potentially disbarred  I said when he won his two KILs and at points during the tail end of the 2016 Proleague season when he was consistently smashing all the best players in the most prestigious and competitive SC2 competition. Others more knowledgeable/with a better memory than I could point to other periods and might debate my 2016 Proleague claim but at minimum it’s definitely fair to say that during the periods of time in which Maru held his KIL titles he was considered the best player in the world. I wouldn't agree that winning a KIL makes you the best player in the world at that moment, but that are atleast examples I can work with, thanks!
I personally tend to agree with you, I’m more making a point about how the “community” saw it at the time. I just remember Soulkey or Rain or whoever would win a tournament and the commentators and analysts would say they were the best. Or Maru would crush Ps with MMM no Vikings while all the other terrans couldn’t even qualify for tournaments and in Proleague matches GTR or whoever would say this guy is the best in the world. It’s all extremely subjective and these periods of time of being the best for Maru pre-2018 were definitely short-lived compared to some other players. I do think it’s fair to say that pretty after he won his 2013 OSL he was a perennial title contender and consistently “one of the best” in the world.
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On October 28 2025 13:37 Admiral Yang wrote: It seems that your definition of competitive means larger pool of realistic winners. Which is fine, but if you make that the crux of your definition of who was the greatest you end up arguing that MVP was somehow greater because he was worse.
That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who?
Basically I think you can—and many people do—make a persuasive argument for Garry Kasparov or Bobby Fischer as the chess GOAT, even tho neither in their prime could realistically hang with Magnus or frankly most of today’s top 25 players. The absolute skill level and understand of chess across the board has simply grown too much over time. I really do not understand why some SC2 fans fail to grasp this. It’s axiomatic, basic understanding in literally every other sport or game. The only conclusion I can draw is that some fans are SC lifers and don’t watch or play other sports or games.
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On October 29 2025 01:39 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 13:37 Admiral Yang wrote: It seems that your definition of competitive means larger pool of realistic winners. Which is fine, but if you make that the crux of your definition of who was the greatest you end up arguing that MVP was somehow greater because he was worse. That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who? Basically I think you can—and many people do—make a persuasive argument for Garry Kasparov or Bobby Fischer as the chess GOAT, even tho neither in their prime could realistically hang with Magnus or frankly most of today’s top 25 players. The absolute skill level and understand of chess across the board has simply grown too much over time. I really do not understand why some SC2 fans fail to grasp this. It’s axiomatic, basic understanding in literally every other sport or game. The only conclusion I can draw is that some fans are SC lifers and don’t watch or play other sports or games.
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On October 28 2025 22:44 TeamMamba wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. True to some degree However since 2018, Serral has been evolving and teaching other Zergs players how to raise their skills. A lot of current skills was started by Serral. For example more use of burrow roaches, burrow infestor, introducing lurker viper engagements to the Koreans, etc. I haven’t seen any other Zergs that had yet to have such an impact raising his peers level. Other zergs have yet to learn how to engage properly in late game zvp like Serral That’s literally half of Sc2 history period HM- to be fair no one can copy what dark does cause he just does whatever he feels like doing
If understanding strategy and tactics and raising others’ levels was the primary criteria, Lambo or Ryung would be the GOAT.
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That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who?
If the argument is that "competitiveness" means a greater pool of potential winners, then MVP's claims on that basis must be based on the fact that he failed to dominate his era, thereby giving that era a greater number of potential winners. Ie. MVP is greater because he was demonstrably less capable of domination than Serral, who dominated his era to a much greater extent, including by beating many of the same players who had essentially forced MVP, MC, MMA, Nestea etc. out of the top. That seems a deeply flawed reasoning.
Same with the endless analogies to other sports. You are free to do what you like, but after 30+ pages across multiple threads I still haven't seen that help anyone make their case.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 29 2025 01:33 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 00:27 Balnazza wrote:On October 28 2025 10:19 rwala wrote:On October 28 2025 03:50 Balnazza wrote:On October 27 2025 22:33 rwala wrote:On October 26 2025 06:15 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 04:22 Charoisaur wrote:On October 26 2025 02:49 Balnazza wrote:On October 26 2025 01:55 Charoisaur wrote:On October 25 2025 22:19 Balnazza wrote: [quote]
How can Proleague (as you proclaim later on) be the most competite thing in 2016 when Maru AND Inno didn't make it into Blizzcon that year? Clearly Blizzcon is more competitive to get in. Also, sorry, but people overexaggurate Marus Proleague '16 slightly...he had an incredibly high winrate, but in terms of actual points, he was equal or behind herO. Not to mention that most of his success came from Mirrormatches of all things. And if you look into Jin Airs playoffs runs, it is noteworthy that most of the heaviy-lifting did get done by Cure and especially sOs.
8-0 in tvt, 5-1 in TvZ, 9-3 in PvT. What kind of "points" are you talking about, there were no points. herO was 20-9 which is significantly worse. All playoff matches together Maru was 7-2 compared to Cures 4-3 and sOs 7-4. Stop lying out of your ass. His winrate is lower than Marus, but he earned more "Points" as in wins (27) and his Win-Loss-Difference, which for me is the most important stat, is equal to Marus. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), they eventually equal out and it comes down to what you value more. ByuN had lower winrates than Serral in every year since 2018, but he earned more "points" (wins) and had a higher win-loss difference in every year which for me is the most important stat. So if you take three statistics (Winrate, Wins and W/L-Diff), ByuN is ahead of Serral. So you complain about people making "bad arguments" to then come to this marvelous and hopefully sarcastic statement, which even then is just...not that smart? Proleague, buddy, Proleague. We are talking about stats in Proleague, one particular season, the easiest to compare two players. If you can't even do that...well *shrug* Anyway. I originally just joined this one for the question "when was Maru the best player pre-2018?" and the answer from you two is: Never, can't back it up at all, completly made up, *angry noises*. So I got my my answer and wish you much fun screaming into the void. See y'all back when Mizenhauers addendum drops! I answered you, but then you tried to dispute it with literal misinformation until Char called you out. Not sure that went the way you were hoping… I switched up a name, which I immediatly admitted as a mistake. Doesn't change that everything that I said holds true if you use the correct player - Stats. So no, you didn't answer me. You avoided the topic and instead shifted the discussion to the value of KILs or Proleague...neither of which helped your original point. So again: 2016 was clearly not a year you would consider Maru to be "the best player in the world", because while he did great in Proleague, he failed to qualify for Blizzcon (which means: He failed to do well in the most competitive giga-galaxy tournaments of all time in that year). If you compare his 2016 to someone like Stats: Stats also did great (equal, slightly better or slightly worse, depending what you value) than Maru, but he qualified for Blizzcon. So Stats alone would have a bigger claim to be "the best player" in 2016...and you could make that argument for numerous players, not saying Stats is necessarily the best. Which leaves, surprisingly, the question...when were those stints when Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018? No one is having the argument with you about the value of Proleague. No one is disputing the competitiveness of GSL back in the day (though I will always fight on the importance of Blizzcon as the most competitive and important tournament of the year - case in point 2016: People always remember ByuN as a World Champion, the fact that he also won GSL that year kind of gets added on most of the time). But neither the value of Proleague nor the competitiveness of GSL by themselves make Maru "the best player in the world" randomly...this isn't even "Maru vs. Serral", this is literally "Maru vs. other koreans". So can we make this easy? Do me the favor and do one of two things: 1)Point out these times Maru was "the best player in the world" pre-2018 and why. 2)Just admit you pulled that statement out of thin air and have literally no backup for it. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. If you try to make your argument so short you just skip over those little things called facts and statistics, you are not making an argument. You make up a baseless opinion. What would a lawyer call that? Hearsay? Nice one! Lawyers in America would call that getting Rule 11 sanctioned, and potentially disbarred  I said when he won his two KILs and at points during the tail end of the 2016 Proleague season when he was consistently smashing all the best players in the most prestigious and competitive SC2 competition. Others more knowledgeable/with a better memory than I could point to other periods and might debate my 2016 Proleague claim but at minimum it’s definitely fair to say that during the periods of time in which Maru held his KIL titles he was considered the best player in the world. I wouldn't agree that winning a KIL makes you the best player in the world at that moment, but that are atleast examples I can work with, thanks! I personally tend to agree with you, I’m more making a point about how the “community” saw it at the time. I just remember Soulkey or Rain or whoever would win a tournament and the commentators and analysts would say they were the best. Or Maru would crush Ps with MMM no Vikings while all the other terrans couldn’t even qualify for tournaments and in Proleague matches GTR or whoever would say this guy is the best in the world. It’s all extremely subjective and these periods of time of being the best for Maru pre-2018 were definitely short-lived compared to some other players. I do think it’s fair to say that pretty after he won his 2013 OSL he was a perennial title contender and consistently “one of the best” in the world. When was he the best though?
herO managed to run qualification gauntlets and win multiple IEM events, had his runner up to sOs as well. Had a good Proleague record.
Had multiple wins in international LANs, 3, a win in an A tier, a Kespa Cup silver, a Kespa Cup win, a GSL Ro4, and an SSL in a 2 year span.
In a 2 year span that’s not bad either. By end of 2015 herO has a KIL himself, but one less than Maru. But also more golds and accolades in international tournaments, and a Kespa Cup to his name.
Inno has as many KILs by the end of 2015 as well, and better overall accolades.
Just to pick two. If we go after 2015 and before 2018, Inno is still doing his thing, Rogue goes monster mode.
If we go from 2018, Maru has his fourpeat, which is insane, but Serral also has a monster year and wins the WC.
But after 2018 Serral has generally roundly outperformed Maru. And at times where Serral wasn’t the man, it wasn’t Maru capitalising, it was Rogue, Dark or Reynor.
Maru does have a good claim to having spell as the absolute best player in the world. Winning 4 GSLs in a row. The problem with that is it’s in the ‘less competitive era’
Which then brings us into the problematic territory of why 2018 is still legit but other stuff isn’t.
Now, this wouldn’t necessarily be my argument, but it’s not a problem I have to deal with as it’s not my argument.
For me, Maru is pretty much a lock at #2. Rogue only became elite post-Kespa, and Serral beats him most metrics anyway. Innovation was better in the Kespa era, but he seemingly couldn’t summon the motivation to stomp the field latterly, which skill wise I think he could have done.
Nobody else for me really has a good claim. There’s nobody who both massively outperformed him in the Kespa era and subsequently. In terms of consistency of performance, Serral gaps everyone, and Maru gaps everyone who isn’t Serral.
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Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style
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On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others.
Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC?
As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against?
So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct?
The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one.
To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side.
No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions.
In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why?
On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories.
Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era?
On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today.
But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era.
And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer?
On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style
In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC.
We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before.
It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results.
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On October 29 2025 00:24 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater... These arguments by comparison just keep getting worse. If you can find a single Manchester United fan who thinks that Marcus Rashford means more to the history of the football club than George Best then I'd be very surprised lmao. But Marcus Rashford has 50 years of technical and tactical development to draw from, so he's definitely the more skilful player.
Greatness isn't the same as skill level.
Never has been, never will be.
EDIT:
I wasn't making an argument by comparison because I'm not getting involved in naming a GOAT, and I don't care who you think the GOAT is either. I think that the community's obsession with this topic is ridiculous.
I even purposefully picked two footballers who aren't in football's GOAT conversation to make my point.
I just wanted to point out that greatness and skill level are very much separate entities, and there are plenty of examples from other sports that would demonstrate the same point.
Starcraft isn't exceptional in this aspect.
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Do you think MVP means more to the history of SC2 than Serral?
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On October 29 2025 17:16 Admiral Yang wrote: Do you think MVP means more to the history of SC2 than Serral? Like I said, I'm not getting involved in the GOAT debate.
All I wanted to point out was this simple premise:
Skill does not equal greatness.
That's it.
That's the whole point I was making.
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On October 29 2025 16:30 MJG wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 00:24 Admiral Yang wrote:Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater... These arguments by comparison just keep getting worse. If you can find a single Manchester United fan who thinks that Marcus Rashford means more to the history of the football club than George Best then I'd be very surprised lmao. But Marcus Rashford has 50 years of technical and tactical development to draw from, so he's definitely the more skilful player. Greatness isn't the same as skill level. Never has been, never will be. EDIT: I wasn't making an argument by comparison because I'm not getting involved in naming a GOAT, and I don't care who you think the GOAT is either. I think that the community's obsession with this topic is ridiculous. I even purposefully picked two footballers who aren't in football's GOAT conversation to make my point. I just wanted to point out that greatness and skill level are very much separate entities, and there are plenty of examples from other sports that would demonstrate the same point. Starcraft isn't exceptional in this aspect.
Yes, they are somewhat separate and shouldn't be used as synonyms. But skill and being very good at something seems to at least be a prerequisite for greatness. I mean you can also be a "great" person of a community if you have a very great way of casting and commentating. So in that sense Tastosis as an entity, but also both for themselves are great personalities in the SC2 community. But if you talk about the actual greatest of any sport, the discussion naturally involves skill and being the best or very good.
Of course, you have accessory factors like legacy, inventing new ways to look at a given sport/branch, having a nice personality, not doing illegal things, achievements that no one else has, etc. All these play a role, but I think the minimum threshold is being fucking good at the thing you are doing. At least to my knowledge, there aren't many examples where the GOAT of a sport was/is not extremely good at it.
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On October 29 2025 18:37 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 16:30 MJG wrote:On October 29 2025 00:24 Admiral Yang wrote:Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater... These arguments by comparison just keep getting worse. If you can find a single Manchester United fan who thinks that Marcus Rashford means more to the history of the football club than George Best then I'd be very surprised lmao. But Marcus Rashford has 50 years of technical and tactical development to draw from, so he's definitely the more skilful player. Greatness isn't the same as skill level. Never has been, never will be. EDIT: I wasn't making an argument by comparison because I'm not getting involved in naming a GOAT, and I don't care who you think the GOAT is either. I think that the community's obsession with this topic is ridiculous. I even purposefully picked two footballers who aren't in football's GOAT conversation to make my point. I just wanted to point out that greatness and skill level are very much separate entities, and there are plenty of examples from other sports that would demonstrate the same point. Starcraft isn't exceptional in this aspect. Yes, they are somewhat separate and shouldn't be used as synonyms. But skill and being very good at something seems to at least be a prerequisite for greatness. I mean you can also be a "great" person of a community if you have a very great way of casting and commentating. So in that sense Tastosis as an entity, but also both for themselves are great personalities in the SC2 community. But if you talk about the actual greatest of any sport, the discussion naturally involves skill and being the best or very good. Of course, you have accessory factors like legacy, inventing new ways to look at a given sport/branch, having a nice personality, not doing illegal things, achievements that no one else has, etc. All these play a role, but I think the minimum threshold is being fucking good at the thing you are doing. At least to my knowledge, there aren't many examples where the GOAT of a sport was/is not extremely good at it. When did I say that someone didn't need to be good at the game to be great?
All I'm saying is that being better doesn't mean being greater.
This is an incredibly simple concept.
EDIT:
You might want to go back and look at the original post that I responded to.
I'm only interested in removing from the discussion the nonsensical idea that being better means being greater, or that being worse means that you can't be greater.
Do you know who I'm probably better than given 15 years of additional technical and strategic development in SC2? Pretty much anyone who entered the first three GSLs and then retired shortly after. Am I greater or more relevant to SC2 history than those players? Absolutely fucking not.
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On October 29 2025 02:11 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who? If the argument is that "competitiveness" means a greater pool of potential winners, then MVP's claims on that basis must be based on the fact that he failed to dominate his era, thereby giving that era a greater number of potential winners. Ie. MVP is greater because he was demonstrably less capable of domination than Serral, who dominated his era to a much greater extent, including by beating many of the same players who had essentially forced MVP, MC, MMA, Nestea etc. out of the top. That seems a deeply flawed reasoning. Same with the endless analogies to other sports. You are free to do what you like, but after 30+ pages across multiple threads I still haven't seen that help anyone make their case.
I think you're having some logic problems bud. Mvp "dominated" in his era to the extent that domination was possible in his era because his domination involved competing in and defeating an active pro player base of a 1000+ pros, tournaments with hundreds of competitors and dozens of title contenders, and tournament gauntlets with ridiculous qualification, group stage, and bracket barriers. Mvp's results in this context were honestly kind of insane. Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements.
You may not understand the analogies to other sports and games, but you should try. It'll help you gain some perspective. Go back and read my analogy to chess--the OG "most competitive" 1v1 strategy game--because Magnus Carlsen's domination across eras and formats in a growing game against an increasingly competitive pro player base gives you a sense for what actual domination looks like. Again, in chess there are like 5 new Clems every year. Think about that.
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On October 29 2025 19:24 MJG wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 18:37 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 16:30 MJG wrote:On October 29 2025 00:24 Admiral Yang wrote:Who is the better football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's Marcus Rashford and it's not even close.
Who is the greater football player out of George Best and Marcus Rashford?
It's George Best and it's not even close.
Being better doesn't mean being greater... These arguments by comparison just keep getting worse. If you can find a single Manchester United fan who thinks that Marcus Rashford means more to the history of the football club than George Best then I'd be very surprised lmao. But Marcus Rashford has 50 years of technical and tactical development to draw from, so he's definitely the more skilful player. Greatness isn't the same as skill level. Never has been, never will be. EDIT: I wasn't making an argument by comparison because I'm not getting involved in naming a GOAT, and I don't care who you think the GOAT is either. I think that the community's obsession with this topic is ridiculous. I even purposefully picked two footballers who aren't in football's GOAT conversation to make my point. I just wanted to point out that greatness and skill level are very much separate entities, and there are plenty of examples from other sports that would demonstrate the same point. Starcraft isn't exceptional in this aspect. Yes, they are somewhat separate and shouldn't be used as synonyms. But skill and being very good at something seems to at least be a prerequisite for greatness. I mean you can also be a "great" person of a community if you have a very great way of casting and commentating. So in that sense Tastosis as an entity, but also both for themselves are great personalities in the SC2 community. But if you talk about the actual greatest of any sport, the discussion naturally involves skill and being the best or very good. Of course, you have accessory factors like legacy, inventing new ways to look at a given sport/branch, having a nice personality, not doing illegal things, achievements that no one else has, etc. All these play a role, but I think the minimum threshold is being fucking good at the thing you are doing. At least to my knowledge, there aren't many examples where the GOAT of a sport was/is not extremely good at it. When did I say that someone didn't need to be good at the game to be great? All I'm saying is that being better doesn't mean being greater. This is an incredibly simple concept. EDIT: You might want to go back and look at the original post that I responded to. I'm only interested in removing from the discussion the nonsensical idea that being better means being greater, or that being worse means that you can't be greater. Do you know who I'm probably better than given 15 years of additional technical and strategic development in SC2? Pretty much anyone who entered the first three GSLs and then retired shortly after. Am I greater or more relevant to SC2 history than those players? Absolutely fucking not.
Never said that you did. Simply talking concepts... And I agree: That someone is better statistically does not automatically mean that the person is greater.
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Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there.
TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS.
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On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? Show nested quote +On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results.
Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out
I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year?
If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to
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On October 29 2025 21:44 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there. TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS.
No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early.
This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised).
There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels.
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On October 29 2025 17:18 MJG wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 17:16 Admiral Yang wrote: Do you think MVP means more to the history of SC2 than Serral? Like I said, I'm not getting involved in the GOAT debate. All I wanted to point out was this simple premise: Skill does not equal greatness. That's it. That's the whole point I was making.
You are much wiser and smarter than I for avoiding the GOAT debate. But also for the actual point you are making here.
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On October 29 2025 02:11 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who? If the argument is that "competitiveness" means a greater pool of potential winners, then MVP's claims on that basis must be based on the fact that he failed to dominate his era, thereby giving that era a greater number of potential winners. Ie. MVP is greater because he was demonstrably less capable of domination than Serral, who dominated his era to a much greater extent, including by beating many of the same players who had essentially forced MVP, MC, MMA, Nestea etc. out of the top. That seems a deeply flawed reasoning. Same with the endless analogies to other sports. You are free to do what you like, but after 30+ pages across multiple threads I still haven't seen that help anyone make their case. You're disingenious if you truly think the only reason we now have a smaller pool of potential winners is because of Serral. Removing him out of the equation won't suddenly give us a much greater pool of potential winners
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 29 2025 21:11 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 02:11 Admiral Yang wrote:That’s a fair, if simple, summary of my position sure. I don’t understand what you mean about Mvp tho? Greater than who because he was worse than who? If the argument is that "competitiveness" means a greater pool of potential winners, then MVP's claims on that basis must be based on the fact that he failed to dominate his era, thereby giving that era a greater number of potential winners. Ie. MVP is greater because he was demonstrably less capable of domination than Serral, who dominated his era to a much greater extent, including by beating many of the same players who had essentially forced MVP, MC, MMA, Nestea etc. out of the top. That seems a deeply flawed reasoning. Same with the endless analogies to other sports. You are free to do what you like, but after 30+ pages across multiple threads I still haven't seen that help anyone make their case. I think you're having some logic problems bud. Mvp "dominated" in his era to the extent that domination was possible in his era because his domination involved competing in and defeating an active pro player base of a 1000+ pros, tournaments with hundreds of competitors and dozens of title contenders, and tournament gauntlets with ridiculous qualification, group stage, and bracket barriers. Mvp's results in this context were honestly kind of insane. Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. You may not understand the analogies to other sports and games, but you should try. It'll help you gain some perspective. Go back and read my analogy to chess--the OG "most competitive" 1v1 strategy game--because Magnus Carlsen's domination across eras and formats in a growing game against an increasingly competitive pro player base gives you a sense for what actual domination looks like. Again, in chess there are like 5 new Clems every year. Think about that. I think 1000 pros is rather stretching this!
To go with your chess analogy a second, it doesn’t 100% map. It would be more like if chess had just been invented, or probably more accurately ‘Chess 2.0’, because while different, skills and general concepts from BW, WC3 and other RTS games did transfer over.
For me, I think RTS greatness in the early years tends to come with innovation, and the longer it runs it’s execution.
It’s worth remembering as well, it took multiple expansions to really see truly consistently dominant players. Part of that is just not having the knowledge to optimally counter everything. Part of it is the game not being as figured out, and there’s always the chance someone shows up with some new killer build (Slayers blue flame), and I think part of it is just Legacy’s eco changes driving a more mechanical, but less unpredictable game.
There’s almost nothing you can throw at Serral early that he can’t either scout, or make a read on. So you’re kinda locked in to playing a straight macro game against him, and in a war of straight-up macro execution he’ll just beat you unless you’re Clem.
That ramble aside, in combination Mvp is absolutely one of the greats. 1. He kinda developed the blueprint of how Terran is played. You can watch even relatively early Mvp games and they’re quite recognisably modern. 2. Not only was he ahead of the curve in figuring out how to play Terran, he was generally ahead of the curve in mechanics and execution as well. Maybe Bomber was more of a macro monster, Mkp was better at micro, maybe MMA had the edge in aggressive multitasking and maybe Polt had the sharper tactical brain. But Mvp as a whole package was basically top 1-3 at basically everything. 3. Despite basically being the best of his era in latent skill, he was also great at set planning and clutch moments. 4. We have the old man Mvp stage, and he could still hang with the next generation even with his injuries. Playing completely different styles to compensate and still being very competitive through sharp plans.
If there’s a StarCraft fan who doesn’t love Gumiho, I’ve yet to meet them. And he has been a competitive player to this day. I don’t think many would argue that Mvp wasn’t a more complete player. Realistically a healthy Mvp would probably have been good enough to win a whole bunch more.
Maru and Inno raised the skill bar, and Clem nowadays is insane. But even if Mvp got surpassed mechanically, I think Mvp is the better planner and stronger mentally. Maybe it’s not a huge trophy haul but I think a healthy Mvp would have picked up more premiers if injury hadn’t gutted him.
Same with Taeja of other players injury ravaged, although I don’t think he’s got Mvp’s range. He won a lot by virtue of just being outright better skill wise than opponents.
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On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts.
Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms.
So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you?
And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era?
You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional.
My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for.
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No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early.
This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised).
There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels.
This logic only really applies if MVP or anyone else from his era had simply been too old to compete from 2018 onwards. They weren't. Plenty of them are still around. The fact that out of all the players from that era, the only one still in contention is Classic demonstrably proves that the skill level was much lower. Putting those players on the pedestal I'm seeing here reeks of nostalgia goggles. They weren't good enough to stick around.
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On October 29 2025 22:23 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 21:44 Admiral Yang wrote:Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there. TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS. No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early. This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised). There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels.
Even without injuries mvp wouldn’t have achieved much
His basic fundamentals were not that impressivr. Sure he played in an era with the most “competition” , but let’s be honest majority of them were low skilled players at best current diamond league.
He lucked out playing during WOL when the game was fresh and when terran was heavily imba and majority of the maps were terran favoured.
No one is going to convince anyone that mvp would have be just as good as current Clem mechanically if he wasn’t injured. MVP probably have at best can only do half what Clem does ( and that’s being generous)
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On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for.
I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport.
Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
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On October 30 2025 00:55 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early.
This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised).
There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels. This logic only really applies if MVP or anyone else from his era had simply been too old to compete from 2018 onwards. They weren't. Plenty of them are still around. The fact that out of all the players from that era, the only one still in contention is Classic demonstrably proves that the skill level was much lower. Putting those players on the pedestal I'm seeing here reeks of nostalgia goggles. They weren't good enough to stick around.
In other words you won’t engage the hypo because it would force you to concede the point.
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In other words you won’t engage the hypo because it would force you to concede the point.
I prefer not to engage these hypotheticals, because, much like the sports analogies, they seem like a way for people to reduce the parameters of a debate to a narrow scope where they think they are ahead. Inevitably, what happens is that you end up debating the validity of the hypothetical, much like the useless debates we are seeing in this thread over the validity of increasingly contrived chess analogies. It's simply bad argumentation and poor reasoning. You are substituting what did happen, the current pros are the last men standing because they were simply the best - a strong buff to their GOAT claim, with some bizarre headcanon where the previous GOAT candidates are all 60 years old and simply couldn't continue because you can't be an SCII pro with gout.
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On October 30 2025 11:04 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport. Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
It is not that I am trolling... it is you not being able to understand what I actually say. I never tried to make the point that winning the European SC2 qualifier is harder than the Candidates in chess. If you actually paid attention you'd notice that I wrote: "analogies that don't apply" "These are utterly different mechanisms" My point is that a reigning Starcraft 2 world champion historically had to play through a qualifier, had to play through a group stage and had to reach the finals through at least 2, if not 3 knockout matches. A reigning chess champion in contrast is seeded automatically into the finals. This makes defending the title overall a lot easier. That is my claim. Do you understand that claim? If so: Do you agree or disagree? If you disagree: why?
until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
Which concepts?
You so far presented one concept in this thread (something along the lines of Serral having not played some names from mostly Mvp's time, meaning a metric to look at which contender played whicht top dogs of SC2's greats) that is even worse fulfilled by the player that is your proclaimed GOAT (Mvp) than the one that you attack (Serral). So I ask again: How do you reconcile this rather obvious first check on your consistency/logic? I mean, I am open to discuss this concept... but I would first need to understand your take on it, as it doesn't seem to make sense.
As you further are (since roughly half a dozen replies) ignoring follow-ups on actual words you put in my mouth (me supposedly saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all) and you don't answer when being pressed on which actual user made certain arguments you argue against (making it seem like you invent arguments in your head that no one actually is making), I can only conclude that you are not being honest in your approach to discussing this topic. At this point, not answering these, can't be seen as a slip up. Another inconsistency would be you calling out my wording in the other thread when I named adjusting Serral's achievements a nerf, to which I agreed. But now you call the region lock a nerf to the Korean region. It is either or. Either we call adjustments a penalty/buff, although we simply want to level the playing field, or we don't and we simply call them adjustments to a "perfect" state/equilibrium. I don't really care (although in a logical sense I'd probably prefer the latter) which one it is, but there needs to be a consistent approach.
If you are done arguing with me that is fine. I find this exchange utterly unsatisfying as well, when main questions are not being answered, despite repeated reminders. So I just want to point out that you haven't addressed the inherent logical disputes in your own argumentation. If I am misrepresenting or misunderstanding you, please point out where the actual misunderstanding is located.
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I'm not sure current players are even better than back then, I mean in terms of they having spent 6-8 years in the game, yes.
But are top players putting more effort in on a daily basis than back then, no. Are they better strategically, mentally, mechanically?, I mean yes mechanically, but only in certain areas, 'disregarding the areas they are weaker, and it's only 4-5 players we're talking about, is that even comparable at all?
Give back mma his passion, dedication and youth, and 6-8 years and he would not be weaker than anyone. You can only win this with a hypothetical where the two timelines are not allowed to mix and influence each other. Yes, serral could win in hots with hindsight, and life would be mechanically weaker with only 4 years of play, but let young life have time to catch up, same amount of play time, or remove that playtime from serral and it's another game.
Old man mvp was 21, sharp top 3 in the world herO is 10 years past his peak.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On October 31 2025 00:15 ejozl wrote: I'm not sure current players are even better than back then, I mean in terms of they having spent 6-8 years in the game, yes.
But are top players putting more effort in on a daily basis than back then, no. Are they better strategically, mentally, mechanically?, I mean yes mechanically, but only in certain areas, 'disregarding the areas they are weaker, and it's only 4-5 players we're talking about, is that even comparable at all?
Give back mma his passion, dedication and youth, and 6-8 years and he would not be weaker than anyone. You can only win this with a hypothetical where the two timelines are not allowed to mix and influence each other. Yes, serral could win in hots with hindsight, and life would be mechanically weaker with only 4 years of play, but let young life have time to catch up, same amount of play time, or remove that playtime from serral and it's another game.
Old man mvp was 21, sharp top 3 in the world herO is 10 years past his peak. But MMA had that opportunity and couldn’t keep up eventually? It’s not even a hypothetical. I mean it’s just what happened. Guys like MC remained dangerous but dropped off being elite.
Passion and dedication is what separates the great from the good, and the GOATs from the great. You can’t just go ‘ok x player didn’t have the burning motivation, but let’s assume they did’. It’s a huge part of the equation
It’s not as competitive now, sure. But Serral and Maru have been at the top of the game for basically half its life, or longer as in the case of Maru. Some of the old legends only really managed that for a few years and then fell off.
Mvp and Taeja IMO could have remained elite players but for injury, which is obviously unfortunate for them.
Voldemort definitely could have, obviously. Although I’d contend that his willingness to do what he did maybe showcased that his motivation was already waning.
Most the rest just got surpassed by superior players and couldn’t keep up, and it’s a feedback loop really.
A player like Serral stands on the shoulders of giants, he obviously hasn’t figured out the whole game himself, he’s leaning on what went before.
On the flipside if Serral raises the bar, you can also copy what he’s doing. But few can do that.
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the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked after 1,321,958 pages of heated debate,
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On October 31 2025 23:36 Telephone wrote: the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked after 1,321,958 pages of heated debate, I wish the mods would lock every thread that devolves into the same GOAT arguments we've seen 1000 times before.
printf is the GOAT.
Who else has done so much with so little?
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On October 30 2025 11:00 TeamMamba wrote:Show nested quote +On October 29 2025 22:23 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 21:44 Admiral Yang wrote:Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there. TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS. No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early. This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised). There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels. Even without injuries mvp wouldn’t have achieved much
His basic fundamentals were not that impressivr. Sure he played in an era with the most “competition” , but let’s be honest majority of them were low skilled players at best current diamond league.
Mvp achieved more than almost any other SC2 player in the history of the game. And that's even with injuries. He's not the greatest of all time (anymore), but he's absolutely still on most people's Top 10 list.
Also, saying that the best WoL tourneys were full of "low skilled diamond league players" is a wild take.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 01 2025 01:07 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On October 30 2025 11:00 TeamMamba wrote:On October 29 2025 22:23 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 21:44 Admiral Yang wrote:Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there. TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS. No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early. This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised). There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels. Even without injuries mvp wouldn’t have achieved much
His basic fundamentals were not that impressivr. Sure he played in an era with the most “competition” , but let’s be honest majority of them were low skilled players at best current diamond league. Mvp achieved more than almost any other SC2 player in the history of the game. And that's even with injuries. He's not the greatest of all time (anymore), but he's absolutely still on most people's Top 10 list. Also, saying that the best WoL tourneys were full of "low skilled diamond league players" is a wild take. Mvp was a good BW talent. No Flash, but he was featuring in Proleague and Starleagues.
He had a better pro BW career than many who transitioned, or a similar one. Outside of the obvious Flash/Jaedong/Bisu level player, and a handful of others, he was nae bad. And indeed some players with very mediocre BW careers outdid those with good-excellent ones.
I think the idea Mvp was lacking in fundamentals is daft. You’re not a BW pro and SC2’s first real MVP without being solid.
What I think goes under the radar is Mvp was basically the complete player. He had the mechanics in his day, but he had set planning, he had the tactical reads, he had the clutch factor. Something I think really sets Serral apart from most. Across the board I think those two have the highest overall score if we’re doing Top Trumps cards.
I’m not saying they’re massively lacking in other departments, but I think Inno, Reynor, Clem are players who’ve really relied on bludgeoning opponents with their better mechanics.
Mvp could still hang even with his injuries because of his other assets.
An uninjured Mvp for me would absolutely have been a big threat in any bracket in HoTS. Legacy, I think it’s harder, it’s a game that rewards raw mechanics that bit more. But a player like Gumigod who isn’t a mechanics wizard has still been intermittently dangerous, so I think at worst Mvp would do something similar.
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On October 30 2025 14:30 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +In other words you won’t engage the hypo because it would force you to concede the point. I prefer not to engage these hypotheticals, because, much like the sports analogies, they seem like a way for people to reduce the parameters of a debate to a narrow scope where they think they are ahead. Inevitably, what happens is that you end up debating the validity of the hypothetical, much like the useless debates we are seeing in this thread over the validity of increasingly contrived chess analogies. It's simply bad argumentation and poor reasoning. You are substituting what did happen, the current pros are the last men standing because they were simply the best - a strong buff to their GOAT claim, with some bizarre headcanon where the previous GOAT candidates are all 60 years old and simply couldn't continue because you can't be an SCII pro with gout.
I don't disagree at all that contemplating 60-year-old SC2 players with gout is ridiculous and useless. Is there a reason you're contemplating that when one else is?
I picked 2029 because it's quite possible to imagine the SC2 competitive scene continuing with some pros competing at the highest level the game has ever seen, albeit with the scene itself being a shadow of its former self in that the number of pros competing fulltime being like 1/10th or whatever of what it is today. Does this sound familiar? If so, forget the 2029 hypo and just apply whatever logic you'd normally provide on the hypo to the current state of affairs. To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange. Or more likely maybe you think there is, but we are just a long ways away from that. That would be a more reasonable position. What's not particularly reasonable is to say that the scene has been getting more and more competitive as fewer and fewer fulltime pros are competing.
I'm not sure what's so challenging about the chess analogy. It's a 1v1 strategy game--now an e-sport--with tournament structures that are very similar to, and in some cases mirror, SC2 tournament structures. It's top-level pro player pool has grown just as SC2's has shrunk (for the same reasons), though on different time scales obviously. In chess, like in SC2, there has been and continues to be significant overlap in the top talent across the eras, and the absolute skill level of top players has grown over time, just as in SC2. This poses similar problems for comparing across eras. Basically the games are comparable in almost every way that you and others have said is important in a GOAT analysis. The one big difference is that in chess none of the big, premier tournaments are explicitly designed to give players from certain regions a leg up to qualify. I personally don't think this should be a knock against Serral because the guy's just such a baller, but seeing GOATs in chess that are able to maintain dominance in increasingly competitive player pools without marketing-driven concepts like region lock helping them seed into premier tournaments and world championships provides some important context.
If there's a better analogy to some other 1v1 competitive strategy game other than Broodwar or WC3 (both of which I think are great analogies), I'd love to hear it. If your position is that analogies as a tool for making meaning of things are useless, well, I don't really buy that because I assume you're not a bot and your own reasoning in this thread is rife with them, whether explicit or implied.
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On October 30 2025 15:53 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On October 30 2025 11:04 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport. Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts. It is not that I am trolling... it is you not being able to understand what I actually say. I never tried to make the point that winning the European SC2 qualifier is harder than the Candidates in chess. If you actually paid attention you'd notice that I wrote: "analogies that don't apply" "These are utterly different mechanisms" My point is that a reigning Starcraft 2 world champion historically had to play through a qualifier, had to play through a group stage and had to reach the finals through at least 2, if not 3 knockout matches. A reigning chess champion in contrast is seeded automatically into the finals. This makes defending the title overall a lot easier. That is my claim. Do you understand that claim? If so: Do you agree or disagree? If you disagree: why? Which concepts? You so far presented one concept in this thread (something along the lines of Serral having not played some names from mostly Mvp's time, meaning a metric to look at which contender played whicht top dogs of SC2's greats) that is even worse fulfilled by the player that is your proclaimed GOAT (Mvp) than the one that you attack (Serral). So I ask again: How do you reconcile this rather obvious first check on your consistency/logic? I mean, I am open to discuss this concept... but I would first need to understand your take on it, as it doesn't seem to make sense. As you further are (since roughly half a dozen replies) ignoring follow-ups on actual words you put in my mouth (me supposedly saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all) and you don't answer when being pressed on which actual user made certain arguments you argue against (making it seem like you invent arguments in your head that no one actually is making), I can only conclude that you are not being honest in your approach to discussing this topic. At this point, not answering these, can't be seen as a slip up. Another inconsistency would be you calling out my wording in the other thread when I named adjusting Serral's achievements a nerf, to which I agreed. But now you call the region lock a nerf to the Korean region. It is either or. Either we call adjustments a penalty/buff, although we simply want to level the playing field, or we don't and we simply call them adjustments to a "perfect" state/equilibrium. I don't really care (although in a logical sense I'd probably prefer the latter) which one it is, but there needs to be a consistent approach. If you are done arguing with me that is fine. I find this exchange utterly unsatisfying as well, when main questions are not being answered, despite repeated reminders. So I just want to point out that you haven't addressed the inherent logical disputes in your own argumentation. If I am misrepresenting or misunderstanding you, please point out where the actual misunderstanding is located.
Brother, you literally excluded any consideration of Proleague from your original GOAT analysis in that it provided no numerical value in an exclusively numbers-based approach. This is, quite literally, the definition of Proleague not mattering. You corrected this after several people pointed out that it was ridiculous. I give you credit for that. But don't try to pretend you had some thoughtful inclusion of Proleague results in your model from the get-go. For a guy that thinks this entire conversation can be reduced to numbers, this is a shockingly bizarre defense of the value of the number "0".
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On November 01 2025 01:43 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2025 01:07 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:On October 30 2025 11:00 TeamMamba wrote:On October 29 2025 22:23 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 21:44 Admiral Yang wrote:Serral dominated in an era with ~1/10th the active pro player base, tournaments with a couple dozen competitors, against a handful of title contenders, in tournaments with much easier paths to qualification and victory, against an aging, retiring, and increasingly injured player base that didn't include most previous title contenders, with almost no new talent to challenge him (other than Clem, who has been dominating him recently). I'm not sure why you think Mvp was "forced" out of the top because he couldn't hang. It's well-known that his injuries forced his early retirement. I'm also not sure why you think beating "many of the same players" who were dominant in an earlier era is a substitute for actually dominating in an earlier era. Clem 5-0'ed Serral and has been dominating him ever since. This is not a substitute for Clem showing tournament results and achievements, and it also doesn't take away from Serral's results and achievements. Serral dominated the field of new talent that had supplanted and replaced the old guard, though. And while his subsequent longevity has certainly been helped by the lack of influx of new blood, when he broke out in 2018, and was already the best player in the world, there was plenty of competition, at a much higher level than what MVP had to play. I am not going to give MVP handicap points for leaving for injury, unlike, say, DRG and Classic, his exact contemporaries, who stuck around to see where their skill ceiling was. If anything, Classic has the more impressive career there. TLDR: The first movers did not have the most competitive environment. If anything, they had it easier. You can see this in how few of them stuck around into HotS. No one is asking you to give Mvp handicap points for his injuries, but I think it's fair to ask you to be accurate. He was not forced out by stiffer competition, but rather because of his injuries. Are you disputing this? No one is evaluating Mvp on hypothetical results that he might have achieved had he not retired early. This convo tends to have a "pre- versus post-2018" vibe to it, but I probably wouldn't lump all those earlier pre-2018 eras into one in terms of level of competition. I think you're making the same conceptual mistake re: absolute versus relative skill that others are making here when you say Serral was facing "much higher" levels of competition in 2018 than in earlier eras. Again, this logic is not used in evaluating levels of competition in literally any other game or sport (if you can name one, I'll be quite surprised). There's a really easy way to understand this via a stylized hypo. Say in 2029 Serral and Classic are the only two remaining full-time SC2 pros and say they are playing at a "higher level" than any pro players before them due to continued skill improvements over time. And say we arrange 25 world championship matches with huge prize pools. Classic wins them all. Is Classic your GOAT? I assume not. But once you concede that he is not, the rest of your argument unravels. Even without injuries mvp wouldn’t have achieved much
His basic fundamentals were not that impressivr. Sure he played in an era with the most “competition” , but let’s be honest majority of them were low skilled players at best current diamond league. Mvp achieved more than almost any other SC2 player in the history of the game. And that's even with injuries. He's not the greatest of all time (anymore), but he's absolutely still on most people's Top 10 list. Also, saying that the best WoL tourneys were full of "low skilled diamond league players" is a wild take. Mvp was a good BW talent. No Flash, but he was featuring in Proleague and Starleagues. He had a better pro BW career than many who transitioned, or a similar one. Outside of the obvious Flash/Jaedong/Bisu level player, and a handful of others, he was nae bad. And indeed some players with very mediocre BW careers outdid those with good-excellent ones. I think the idea Mvp was lacking in fundamentals is daft. You’re not a BW pro and SC2’s first real MVP without being solid. What I think goes under the radar is Mvp was basically the complete player. He had the mechanics in his day, but he had set planning, he had the tactical reads, he had the clutch factor. Something I think really sets Serral apart from most. Across the board I think those two have the highest overall score if we’re doing Top Trumps cards. I’m not saying they’re massively lacking in other departments, but I think Inno, Reynor, Clem are players who’ve really relied on bludgeoning opponents with their better mechanics. Mvp could still hang even with his injuries because of his other assets. An uninjured Mvp for me would absolutely have been a big threat in any bracket in HoTS. Legacy, I think it’s harder, it’s a game that rewards raw mechanics that bit more. But a player like Gumigod who isn’t a mechanics wizard has still been intermittently dangerous, so I think at worst Mvp would do something similar.
Yeah totally agree. Mvp really had it all, and set the bar extremely high.
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Post 2016 competition is much weaker than post-Kespa Broodwar competition when all broodwar players were forced to play sc2.
Nobody is calling Killer or Sea the GOAT because they dominated literal amateurs without a programing licence and washed up 40 year old uncs in 2013. There is not even a discussion on that.
If Serral would be korean, y'all also wouldn't have had this discussion.
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On November 01 2025 05:47 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On October 30 2025 15:53 PremoBeats wrote:On October 30 2025 11:04 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote:Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport. Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts. It is not that I am trolling... it is you not being able to understand what I actually say. I never tried to make the point that winning the European SC2 qualifier is harder than the Candidates in chess. If you actually paid attention you'd notice that I wrote: "analogies that don't apply" "These are utterly different mechanisms" My point is that a reigning Starcraft 2 world champion historically had to play through a qualifier, had to play through a group stage and had to reach the finals through at least 2, if not 3 knockout matches. A reigning chess champion in contrast is seeded automatically into the finals. This makes defending the title overall a lot easier. That is my claim. Do you understand that claim? If so: Do you agree or disagree? If you disagree: why? until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
Which concepts? You so far presented one concept in this thread (something along the lines of Serral having not played some names from mostly Mvp's time, meaning a metric to look at which contender played whicht top dogs of SC2's greats) that is even worse fulfilled by the player that is your proclaimed GOAT (Mvp) than the one that you attack (Serral). So I ask again: How do you reconcile this rather obvious first check on your consistency/logic? I mean, I am open to discuss this concept... but I would first need to understand your take on it, as it doesn't seem to make sense. As you further are (since roughly half a dozen replies) ignoring follow-ups on actual words you put in my mouth (me supposedly saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all) and you don't answer when being pressed on which actual user made certain arguments you argue against (making it seem like you invent arguments in your head that no one actually is making), I can only conclude that you are not being honest in your approach to discussing this topic. At this point, not answering these, can't be seen as a slip up. Another inconsistency would be you calling out my wording in the other thread when I named adjusting Serral's achievements a nerf, to which I agreed. But now you call the region lock a nerf to the Korean region. It is either or. Either we call adjustments a penalty/buff, although we simply want to level the playing field, or we don't and we simply call them adjustments to a "perfect" state/equilibrium. I don't really care (although in a logical sense I'd probably prefer the latter) which one it is, but there needs to be a consistent approach. If you are done arguing with me that is fine. I find this exchange utterly unsatisfying as well, when main questions are not being answered, despite repeated reminders. So I just want to point out that you haven't addressed the inherent logical disputes in your own argumentation. If I am misrepresenting or misunderstanding you, please point out where the actual misunderstanding is located. Brother, you literally excluded any consideration of Proleague from your original GOAT analysis in that it provided no numerical value in an exclusively numbers-based approach. This is, quite literally, the definition of Proleague not mattering. You corrected this after several people pointed out that it was ridiculous. I give you credit for that. But don't try to pretend you had some thoughtful inclusion of Proleague results in your model from the get-go. For a guy that thinks this entire conversation can be reduced to numbers, this is a shockingly bizarre defense of the value of the number "0".
No, I did not exclude Proleague from my first analysis. That is a false statement. At this point I truly have to assume that you are intellectually unable to discuss this topic or that you are having discussions in your mind that lead you to make such obviously wrong statements, instead of engaging with what others or I are actually writing and more importantly what we are meaning. I explained it several times... in my article, other comment sections and even in this very thread a couple of pages ago... I don't know how else to deliver the information to you: https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/642247-rotterdam-serral-is-the-goat-and-its-not-close?page=2#32
In my very first article, I included match win rates of Proleague to not let Maru miss out on his phenomenal season. Proleague simply didn't make it into the tournament score, where its impact is rather small anyway (especially for Maru and Serral who dominate and outshine all the others in that metric through mostly individual achievements). I further didn't fix this because others complained, I adjusted the model in the 2nd article because I found a principled way to account for team events that addressed the methodological issues for the tournament score (see link). It was also the correct thing to do, even though the effect was rather small. This decisions made the follow-up piece less vulnerable to rather unnecessary criticism. This was shown when you - and others - tried to discredit the 2nd article over semantics (buff/nerf/perfect equilibrium) and the Chat GTP weighting, which I immediately conceded as that wasn't the main discovery and completely unimportant to me or the result. Had there be any possible substantial critique about methodology or the findings, I'd have heard them by now.
So, not only are you - again - factually wrong here, you also still haven't attempted to explain the logical contradictions of Mvp having fulfilled a potential concept to look at a GOAT way less than Serral and how we should treat buffs/nerfs/adjustments to a perfect equilibrium. Oh yeah... and I still haven't seen an explanation on who you were arguing with when saying that people argue how Serral would have dominated in the prime era the same way he did post 2018. So did you simply have arguments in your head there or what is going on?
And again: Until you apply your criteria consistently to all players or decide which kind of way you want to follow, your argumentation remains self-contradictory and irresolvable.
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On November 01 2025 15:46 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2025 05:47 rwala wrote:On October 30 2025 15:53 PremoBeats wrote:On October 30 2025 11:04 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 01:03 rwala wrote: especially if he was fighting through the brutal KIL tournament formats and KR region nerf for world championship qualification. Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf? It is not so hard to imagine that players like Soulkey or Rain or Mvp or Byun or SOS or Zest or Soo or Taeja or Life or Dream or Flash or Jaedong or whoever in their prime posing major problems for Serral if he was battling for results
Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics? See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". But to assume that he would have
Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant. I don’t agree with Miz on everything he writes but the central theory of his GOAT analysis avoids the pitfalls of a lot of these heuristics and biases by not trying to diminish the more competitive earlier eras of the game just to justify crowning his preferred players.
Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 23:12 Admiral Yang wrote: [quote]
What is this claim based on? Surely the subsequent eras were much more competitive, given that the players who had dominated previously weren't good enough to continue dominating. This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year. The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well). I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp. If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build. Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport. Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts. It is not that I am trolling... it is you not being able to understand what I actually say. I never tried to make the point that winning the European SC2 qualifier is harder than the Candidates in chess. If you actually paid attention you'd notice that I wrote: "analogies that don't apply" "These are utterly different mechanisms" My point is that a reigning Starcraft 2 world champion historically had to play through a qualifier, had to play through a group stage and had to reach the finals through at least 2, if not 3 knockout matches. A reigning chess champion in contrast is seeded automatically into the finals. This makes defending the title overall a lot easier. That is my claim. Do you understand that claim? If so: Do you agree or disagree? If you disagree: why? until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
Which concepts? You so far presented one concept in this thread (something along the lines of Serral having not played some names from mostly Mvp's time, meaning a metric to look at which contender played whicht top dogs of SC2's greats) that is even worse fulfilled by the player that is your proclaimed GOAT (Mvp) than the one that you attack (Serral). So I ask again: How do you reconcile this rather obvious first check on your consistency/logic? I mean, I am open to discuss this concept... but I would first need to understand your take on it, as it doesn't seem to make sense. As you further are (since roughly half a dozen replies) ignoring follow-ups on actual words you put in my mouth (me supposedly saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all) and you don't answer when being pressed on which actual user made certain arguments you argue against (making it seem like you invent arguments in your head that no one actually is making), I can only conclude that you are not being honest in your approach to discussing this topic. At this point, not answering these, can't be seen as a slip up. Another inconsistency would be you calling out my wording in the other thread when I named adjusting Serral's achievements a nerf, to which I agreed. But now you call the region lock a nerf to the Korean region. It is either or. Either we call adjustments a penalty/buff, although we simply want to level the playing field, or we don't and we simply call them adjustments to a "perfect" state/equilibrium. I don't really care (although in a logical sense I'd probably prefer the latter) which one it is, but there needs to be a consistent approach. If you are done arguing with me that is fine. I find this exchange utterly unsatisfying as well, when main questions are not being answered, despite repeated reminders. So I just want to point out that you haven't addressed the inherent logical disputes in your own argumentation. If I am misrepresenting or misunderstanding you, please point out where the actual misunderstanding is located. Brother, you literally excluded any consideration of Proleague from your original GOAT analysis in that it provided no numerical value in an exclusively numbers-based approach. This is, quite literally, the definition of Proleague not mattering. You corrected this after several people pointed out that it was ridiculous. I give you credit for that. But don't try to pretend you had some thoughtful inclusion of Proleague results in your model from the get-go. For a guy that thinks this entire conversation can be reduced to numbers, this is a shockingly bizarre defense of the value of the number "0". No, I did not exclude Proleague from my first analysis. That is a false statement. At this point I truly have to assume that you are intellectually unable to discuss this topic or that you are having discussions in your mind that lead you to make such obviously wrong statements, instead of engaging with what others or I are actually writing and more importantly what we are meaning. I explained it several times... in my article, other comment sections and even in this very thread a couple of pages ago... I don't know how else to deliver the information to you: https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/642247-rotterdam-serral-is-the-goat-and-its-not-close?page=2#32In my very first article, I included match win rates of Proleague to not let Maru miss out on his phenomenal season. Proleague simply didn't make it into the tournament score, where its impact is rather small anyway (especially for Maru and Serral who dominate and outshine all the others in that metric through mostly individual achievements). I further didn't fix this because others complained, I adjusted the model in the 2nd article because I found a principled way to account for team events that addressed the methodological issues for the tournament score (see link). It was also the correct thing to do, even though the effect was rather small. This decisions made the follow-up piece less vulnerable to rather unnecessary criticism. This was shown when you - and others - tried to discredit the 2nd article over semantics (buff/nerf/perfect equilibrium) and the Chat GTP weighting, which I immediately conceded as that wasn't the main discovery and completely unimportant to me or the result. Had there be any possible substantial critique about methodology or the findings, I'd have heard them by now. So, not only are you - again - factually wrong here, you also still haven't attempted to explain the logical contradictions of Mvp having fulfilled a potential concept to look at a GOAT way less than Serral and how we should treat buffs/nerfs/adjustments to a perfect equilibrium. Oh yeah... and I still haven't seen an explanation on who you were arguing with when saying that people argue how Serral would have dominated in the prime era the same way he did post 2018. So did you simply have arguments in your head there or what is going on? And again: Until you apply your criteria consistently to all players or decide which kind of way you want to follow, your argumentation remains self-contradictory and irresolvable.
Right, so you gave no value to Proleague achievements, many of us explained how that was ridiculous, you tried to defend your original position for a while, and then you caved when you realized it wasn’t defensible. You also admitted that outsourcing your weightings—the most important part of your model—to ChatGPT was a mistake. I pointed out many other ways in which you claimed your model was nerfing Serral when it was explicitly designed to buff him. You never addressed those points. You admitted that Mvp’s “numbers” weren’t even good enough to pass your pre-screening test, which instantly condemned your model to irrelevance. And on and on and on. I don’t know why you can’t admit that you’re a Serral fanboy and so tried to create a model to prove he’s the GOAT. It’s a totally acceptable and fair thing to do, even if your model is deeply flawed and biased. “Biased” in this context is not even a bad thing, it’s a reality that applies to any model. Any model will necessarily reflect the biases of the specific criteria and weightings that are chosen. You never understood this basic concept. I’m not sure why. It’s a commonly accepted concept in economics and various other social sciences that derived value from modeling.
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On November 01 2025 21:42 rwala wrote:Show nested quote +On November 01 2025 15:46 PremoBeats wrote:On November 01 2025 05:47 rwala wrote:On October 30 2025 15:53 PremoBeats wrote:On October 30 2025 11:04 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 23:17 PremoBeats wrote:On October 29 2025 21:57 rwala wrote:On October 29 2025 15:40 PremoBeats wrote:On October 27 2025 22:28 rwala wrote:On October 27 2025 02:07 PremoBeats wrote: [quote]
Wasn't it you who said that it isn't a nerf/buff when things are done to be equaled out or to approximate a "perfect" modifier, which this exact rule was meant to do? So how can you call this a nerf?
[quote] Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your metrics?
See, this is my issue with you... it seems like you throw out unfounded accusations or proclaim arguments, but you rarely follow them through as an argument as well as coherently in applying logic. It happened again in this very thread. You misquote others, you put words in their mouth and you make claims without backing them up. So far, I am still waiting for you to write at least one thing about your notion that Maru had "many stints pre-2018" where he was supposedly the best. I am further waiting for you to prove the unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all".
[quote] Who here does?? Stop having arguments in your head. The only thing that was being said is that it would statistically be reasonable to assume that he would have been the best player if all players gathered in their prime. Not that he would have been equally dominant.
[quote] Do you accuse anyone in particular when you talk about people justify crowning their preferred player? Are you even aware that there is no more transparent list out there than mine, as I demonstrated every little detail of how I arrived at each and every number, without obfuscating, for all of you guys to double check? I don’t apply metrics because I don’t invent math equations to crown my preferred candidate the GOAT. Mvp won the most competitive tournaments against the most competitive pools during the most competitive eras in the most competitive region. As Artosis said, you should be able to make your argument clearly, simply, and succinctly. When you can’t, you’re probably confused and likely seeking to confuse others. Just change the word "metric" with the word "logic": Well, if Mvp is your GOAT, he faces an even harder "challenge" than the one you are pointing out for Serral. As I wrote before, Mvp is most likely the GOAT contender who played the least against other GOAT contenders. So, do the same arguments that you throw at Serral also apply to Mvp? If so, how can he be your GOAT? If not, why? Can you make some arguments why you are inconsistent in applying your LOGIC? As you didn't answer these: 1. You said in another thread that it doesn't make sense to call it a buff for Koreans/nerf for Serral when one discounts region locks, as that is a means to simply level the playing field and thus more an "equalizer" than a buff/ nerf. I agreed. But why do you now call region locks a nerf for Koreans? Again, this shows how you change wording/framing depending on your acute need, not on a set of principles or based on consistent logic. 2. I am further waiting for you to prove your unfounded accusation that I said that "proleague doesn’t matter at all". 3. As you wrote: "I am not saying Serral would not have been equally dominant in earlier, more competitive eras and tournaments and regions. But to assume that he would have... ". Who assumed he would have? Which user here made this assumption that you are arguing against? So according to you, Mvp won in the most competitive era? You think the most competitive era in SC2 was from its beginning up to 2012? Correct? The chess comparison is off on so many accounts (a world champion being the defender, thus making it much easier to get back-to-back streaks) and Serral also fulfills achievements that were listed, hence I will not address all of them one by one. To be honest, you kind of remind me of Don Quixote. In your replies you lament about things no one said or argue against issues no one raised. It seems to me that you are fighting wind mills in your head, rather than actually engaging with the other side. No one said that Serral would be equally dominant had he played in 2012-2016. No one said that Proleague doesn’t matter in GOAT-discussions. In the meantime you wrote that it would be fair to say that Maru was the best in the world when he won a KIL. Then following that logic: Wasn’t Serral the best more than any other player - including Maru - for the most stints than any other player when he won tournaments, including all the best players of the world - not only Korans - with win rates that no one thought to be possible? If no, are you able to explain why? On October 28 2025 18:12 Argonauta wrote: Biggest reason why Rotti and most of SC2 commentators call Serral the goat is because they want this esport to keep going so they need to spin this narrative to try to make the game appealing, they really don't care about being objective or recall past glories. Or perhaps because he is the GOAT based on all statistics, including regression models that let us compare contenders even cross-era? On October 28 2025 18:19 Charoisaur wrote:On October 28 2025 12:23 rwala wrote: [quote]
This is is a really fair question actually, and I think where a lot of the “modernists” slip. The first thing to say is that no one—including Serral, the most dominant player—has dominated SC2 on the level of a Magnus Carlsen in Chess (#1 player in all formats for a decade, consensus favorite to win every tournament, undisputed best player for over a decade, highest ELO ever, longest streak without a loss, 9 consecutive super tournament victories, 17 world championship titles, etc.). Carlsen’s dominance is actually a study in contrast to Serral’s. Unlike Serral, whose dominance came as the game and level of competition was declining due to retirements, injuries, and lack of new talent, Carlsen’s dominance maintains to this day as the level of competition at the super GM level grows at a faster rate than ever before in Chess’s history. Just in the last few years we have the youngest GM ever, the youngest player to reach 2800 ELO, and the youngest world champion. 4 of the top 10 players are under the age of 23. SC2 hasn’t had anything remotely like a young prodigy since Clem in broke out in 2019/2020. Chess has more and more Clems every year.
The thing is that in the earlier years, SC2 was like this, and that’s fundamentally what I mean when I say the level of competition was higher. Making it to the top of a field of hundreds of active pros practicing non-stop to navigate an endlessly evolving and shifting ecosystem of metas and strategies is a different thing than maintaining your dominance over an increasingly dwindling pool of a couple of dozen pros, most of whom are diminished at least somewhat in their speed or skill execution due to age or injury (older chess players struggle with blitz and especially bullet formats as well).
I think sometimes people forget (or maybe didn’t even know), that in prior eras of SC2 GSL, SSL and other KILs there were hundreds of players from all around the world competing in various qualification tournaments for a chance at a main tournament group stage for a chance at a second group stage for a chance to make the tournament bracket for a chance at the title. Other than like the World Series of Poker main event or like the Olympics, which are insane, I honestly cannot think of a level of competition in tournament play that’s more intense than this (I’m sure there are some other examples, just struggling to think of them off the top). So it’s not surprising that there weren’t any really dominant players during these earlier eras, other than maybe Mvp.
If you follow other sports or games like chess that are growing rather than declining, it’s just bizarre to see these SC2 fans claim that the game got more competitive over time. The justification that’s sometimes offered is that absolute skill levels have improved (everyone now is better than before). But this has nothing to do with the level of competition. If anything, as the game gets figured out and metas settle, execution becomes much more important than strategy and tactics, which diminishes the rate at which less skilled pros can upset higher skilled pros. In earlier eras, rank 50 players upset top 10 players regularly. These days Serral and Clem are posting like 80-90% win rates in certain matchups and could probably beat rank 50 players easily with a Uthermal troll build.
Anyways, the TLDR is that other than Serral, I don’t think SC2 has really ever had a truly dominant player compared to some other games and sports, and while Serral’s dominance is ridiculously impressive, it’s certainly in part a product of a diminished level of competition. This isn’t to take anything away from Serral, who I think is the “best” player to ever play the game. Yeah the skill level argument isn't a good one, mainly because the skill level rising is due to the combined effort of all players playing since then, and not Serral or Clem's sole credit. It's like in swimming where techniques are constantly evolving and thus michael phelps isn't holding a single world record anymore, but still what he did back then was more impressive than what swimmers are doing today. But it still is... higher, no? And some players were not able to keep up with the new influence. Do we seriously believe that all the prime players simply lost their combined skill in 2018, so that Serral can defeat them with win rates of over 85%? While they still delivered against other foreigners or other Koreans? Why is it so hard to accept that one player simply is above the others? And these others were the best of the prime era. And can you elaborate why you think (honest question) what Phelps did is more impressive than what swimmers do today? Is it because he dominated his competition much more than any other swimmer? On October 29 2025 05:18 Charoisaur wrote: Maru never was the best in HotS, however I don't think that's the gotcha some people think it is considering how competitive the era back then was, and the only players who really had a period during that time where they were considered the best are Inno, Zest and Life, and even for them it only was a very short period. Imo being top 5 in that era is probably a bigger feat than being #1 in the modern era (in terms of how many S tier players you have to be able to regularly beat, etc.).
After that he was definitely considered the best during 2018 and in late 2021 when he won all the online tournaments with his lategame-style In my opinion (and as far as I remember for many others as well), Serral's 2018 made him at least equal if not better than Maru, especially because of the WC. We have years in which there is a more or less similar distribution of different names as winners of tournaments post-2018, despite the fact that there were a lot less tournaments, which from my perspective means, that 1st place was sufficiently fought for. I argued based on Monte Carlo simulations in the other thread, that it would be harder for player X, who is ahead of the curve, to win a tournament in the modern era, as there, you would have to beat prime Serral and prime Maru who have higher win rates than anything what came before. Meaning you have a skill level you didn't have to fight before. It seems to me, that people always argue from Serral's perspective, which is - at least in my opinion - not the correct approach. It can be helpful to see when looking at certain player achievements to determine - for example - that Serral never won in the most competitive time but I fail to see why it wouldn't account for anything that he played these exact players and other players in better versions than their selfs from 2012-2016 and still beat them with unprecedented results. Brother, you need to spend more than 1 second trying to understand the chess analogy. Notice how Magnus's 5 classical WCs are only part his case for dominance and GOATyness, and Magnus himself doesn't think it's the most competitive competition (which is why he's basically inventing a new world championship circuit). You could learn from Magnus in this regard! I included his 5 classical word championships among his 17 world championships, sure, but this is not why he is so dominant or the GOAT. It's also ironic how you make excuses for Serral's region-lock qualification buffs to get into premier and world championship tournaments, but all of a sudden have major issues with FIDE's classic world championship tournament format. In any event, I (and Magnus) agree with you about the FIDE WC tournament format for sure, and I've also explained why I have issues with the SC2 region-lock qualification process for WC and premier tourneys. This is what it means to be consistent. Try it out I really encourage you to engage deeply with the chess analogy because it will help you understand what a GOAT looks like, which really should be the first step. And by engaging deeply I don't mean crashing out and writing 10K words with every random argument against it. I mean putting your biases to the side and just sitting down and thinking. Try not to let yourself get triggered or become defensive of your model. Ask yourself simple questions like what can I learn about GOATs knowing that a player can maintain dominance in a growing and increasingly competitive 1v1 strategy game, across all game and tournament formats, when there are like 5 new Clems that emerge every year? If you reversed the chess timeline--meaning if time went backwards in the history of the game of chess--Serral is in many ways like Bobby Fisher (many people's chess GOAT). See if you can understand why! If you've done the deep thinking I'm recommending, you should be able to I don't need to spend even one second for analogies that don't apply. Especially not on the GOAT as in that regard many sports differ by insane amounts. Where did I make excuses for Serral's region lock qualification buffs? So you think that Serral should get a penalty for getting into tournaments through supposed easier qualifiers? Is that correct? Thinking about a penalty for a player, simply because they hail from a region with an easier qualifier in a GOAT discussion is... I don't know... are you seriously under the assumption that Serral of all players wouldn't have qualified for the tournaments he subsequently won, if he played the qualifier in a different region? Is that your argument? Just to compare that to the Candidates: The top 8 of the world duke it out in a knockout style tournament and one of them is able to challenge the defender. These are utterly different mechanisms. So to sum it up: You think Maru winning 2 KILs and having a couple of good days in Proleague is a proof to the claim that he had many stints where he was the best pre 2018, right? Why is that important to you? And you don't have any proof of me thinking/saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all? Any response to the question to whom you replied when talking about Serral's supposed dominance in the prime era? You can stop the condescending attitude, as long as you aren't able to answer pretty straightforward easy to answer questions. It's not like you've got some deep, hidden understanding about chess that I am unable to grasp and which leads to being an epiphany why Serral can't be the GOAT. Until you apply the same logic of criticism to your contender, there is simply no consistency. And to even compare the Candidates to a European qualifier, where Serral still had to play in a group stage and the whole knockout brackets of the actual World Championship is simply delusional. My position applies the same logic to every players - yours shifts depending on who you attack/cheer for. I can’t tell if you’re trolling or not but are you really saying winning a European qualifier in SC2 is harder than winning the Candidates in chess? You really should keep offering your opinions on these matters. It’s helping you greatly in your quest to appear objective and reasonable. I’m not sure why you think you can’t learn anything from the most competitive 1v1 tournament strategy game in history, which also happens to now be an e-sport. Serral can be the GOAT and is a great GOAT pick and most people’s GOAT pick as far as I can tell. But not because you decided he was and then created a calculator to prove it. A lot of us spent more time than we care to pointing out all the flaws and I appreciate that you admitted to many of your mistakes and the issues with outsourcing your weightings to ChatGPT, etc. I’m not really interested in engaging with your model any further until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts. It is not that I am trolling... it is you not being able to understand what I actually say. I never tried to make the point that winning the European SC2 qualifier is harder than the Candidates in chess. If you actually paid attention you'd notice that I wrote: "analogies that don't apply" "These are utterly different mechanisms" My point is that a reigning Starcraft 2 world champion historically had to play through a qualifier, had to play through a group stage and had to reach the finals through at least 2, if not 3 knockout matches. A reigning chess champion in contrast is seeded automatically into the finals. This makes defending the title overall a lot easier. That is my claim. Do you understand that claim? If so: Do you agree or disagree? If you disagree: why? until you’re open to thinking through some basic GOAT concepts firsts.
Which concepts? You so far presented one concept in this thread (something along the lines of Serral having not played some names from mostly Mvp's time, meaning a metric to look at which contender played whicht top dogs of SC2's greats) that is even worse fulfilled by the player that is your proclaimed GOAT (Mvp) than the one that you attack (Serral). So I ask again: How do you reconcile this rather obvious first check on your consistency/logic? I mean, I am open to discuss this concept... but I would first need to understand your take on it, as it doesn't seem to make sense. As you further are (since roughly half a dozen replies) ignoring follow-ups on actual words you put in my mouth (me supposedly saying that Proleague doesn't matter at all) and you don't answer when being pressed on which actual user made certain arguments you argue against (making it seem like you invent arguments in your head that no one actually is making), I can only conclude that you are not being honest in your approach to discussing this topic. At this point, not answering these, can't be seen as a slip up. Another inconsistency would be you calling out my wording in the other thread when I named adjusting Serral's achievements a nerf, to which I agreed. But now you call the region lock a nerf to the Korean region. It is either or. Either we call adjustments a penalty/buff, although we simply want to level the playing field, or we don't and we simply call them adjustments to a "perfect" state/equilibrium. I don't really care (although in a logical sense I'd probably prefer the latter) which one it is, but there needs to be a consistent approach. If you are done arguing with me that is fine. I find this exchange utterly unsatisfying as well, when main questions are not being answered, despite repeated reminders. So I just want to point out that you haven't addressed the inherent logical disputes in your own argumentation. If I am misrepresenting or misunderstanding you, please point out where the actual misunderstanding is located. Brother, you literally excluded any consideration of Proleague from your original GOAT analysis in that it provided no numerical value in an exclusively numbers-based approach. This is, quite literally, the definition of Proleague not mattering. You corrected this after several people pointed out that it was ridiculous. I give you credit for that. But don't try to pretend you had some thoughtful inclusion of Proleague results in your model from the get-go. For a guy that thinks this entire conversation can be reduced to numbers, this is a shockingly bizarre defense of the value of the number "0". No, I did not exclude Proleague from my first analysis. That is a false statement. At this point I truly have to assume that you are intellectually unable to discuss this topic or that you are having discussions in your mind that lead you to make such obviously wrong statements, instead of engaging with what others or I are actually writing and more importantly what we are meaning. I explained it several times... in my article, other comment sections and even in this very thread a couple of pages ago... I don't know how else to deliver the information to you: https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/642247-rotterdam-serral-is-the-goat-and-its-not-close?page=2#32In my very first article, I included match win rates of Proleague to not let Maru miss out on his phenomenal season. Proleague simply didn't make it into the tournament score, where its impact is rather small anyway (especially for Maru and Serral who dominate and outshine all the others in that metric through mostly individual achievements). I further didn't fix this because others complained, I adjusted the model in the 2nd article because I found a principled way to account for team events that addressed the methodological issues for the tournament score (see link). It was also the correct thing to do, even though the effect was rather small. This decisions made the follow-up piece less vulnerable to rather unnecessary criticism. This was shown when you - and others - tried to discredit the 2nd article over semantics (buff/nerf/perfect equilibrium) and the Chat GTP weighting, which I immediately conceded as that wasn't the main discovery and completely unimportant to me or the result. Had there be any possible substantial critique about methodology or the findings, I'd have heard them by now. So, not only are you - again - factually wrong here, you also still haven't attempted to explain the logical contradictions of Mvp having fulfilled a potential concept to look at a GOAT way less than Serral and how we should treat buffs/nerfs/adjustments to a perfect equilibrium. Oh yeah... and I still haven't seen an explanation on who you were arguing with when saying that people argue how Serral would have dominated in the prime era the same way he did post 2018. So did you simply have arguments in your head there or what is going on? And again: Until you apply your criteria consistently to all players or decide which kind of way you want to follow, your argumentation remains self-contradictory and irresolvable. Right, so you gave no value to Proleague achievements, many of us explained how that was ridiculous, you tried to defend your original position for a while, and then you caved when you realized it wasn’t defensible. You also admitted that outsourcing your weightings—the most important part of your model—to ChatGPT was a mistake. I pointed out many other ways in which you claimed your model was nerfing Serral when it was explicitly designed to buff him. You never addressed those points. You admitted that Mvp’s “numbers” weren’t even good enough to pass your pre-screening test, which instantly condemned your model to irrelevance. And on and on and on. I don’t know why you can’t admit that you’re a Serral fanboy and so tried to create a model to prove he’s the GOAT. It’s a totally acceptable and fair thing to do, even if your model is deeply flawed and biased. “Biased” in this context is not even a bad thing, it’s a reality that applies to any model. Any model will necessarily reflect the biases of the specific criteria and weightings that are chosen. You never understood this basic concept. I’m not sure why. It’s a commonly accepted concept in economics and various other social sciences that derived value from modeling.
Lol, what kind of reality distortion is that, hahaha. Only 1 person was actually trying to meaningfully engage (Charoisaur) and his critic mostly wasn't based on the excemption of team results anyway. Some users even argued that team results shouldn't count at all. You can check the pages of the first article easily by looking for the keywords "proleague" and "team". Most of the discussion didn't involve this topic. The rest of the critics didn't reply after 1 or 2 follow ups, including you. You do realize that the thread still exists and can be looked at, right? Or that others also made verdicts about the exchange:
On July 30 2024 12:37 sc2turtlepants wrote: While I admire your willingness to continue running in the same circles, rwala straight up said that he prefers subjective metrics (ie he's redefined 'GOAT' as 'My favorite player'), Chariosaur's comments have run in all the same veins, and Poopi won't even engage with the content because then he'd have to state a position that could be refuted when he'd rather just chime in every few pages with a 2-line quip that allows him to maintain an air of smugness. They aren't here to discuss metrics, they're here to complain about them.
Plus, I was open to critic's input from the beginning, before actually thinking deeper about the issue: "7. So any replies to the difficulties on how to factor in Proleague/Team results? Or how to actually do it? This still has not been addressed." https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/628786-the-starcraft-2-goat-an-in-depth-analysis?page=9#165
And I'd be really interested to hear about this "biased" model and where exactly "my bias" trumped statistical analysis. So far, I mostly heard irrelevant talking points about weighting (again), or utterly irrelevant things.
And yes. Mvp would not be in the top 4, unless I massively tweak the era-modifier to complete absurd dimensions. The pre-screen suggested this outcome and thus I didn't include Mvp in the first detailed analysis. That much didn't change in the 2nd iteration and - small head's up - won't change in the up and coming third. Mvp massively benefits from the Aligulac- and Efficiency-score, but as these have been rightfully deemed by the TL- and reddit-community to be massively overtuned in my Chat GTP rating, he will only fall behind more when the final weighting is applied. So far, the suggestion was 44-36-5-5-5-5 in favor of tournament score over tournament win participation.
So yeah... consistency... some tried to attack Serral's case by going after Aligulac. Fair enough, but then you have to deal with the consequence that Mvp's case also drops. That is the value of such an analysis... realizing that you can't get Maru ahead of Serral because of pre-2018-results, without at the same time having him be overtaken by Life or INnoVation.
- I gave FULL value to Proleague in the match win rates and I gave 0 value to it, in the tournament score. Stop trying to frame or mischaracterize your way out of this. I won't let you. - The things you mentioned didn't turn buffs into nerfs, lol. We agreed that calling something a buff/nerf when we approximate it to a "perfect equilibrium" is only an adjustment, not a buff/nerf. A logic, you turned on its head in this very thread and so far didn't explain. - You - again - didn't explain the logical contradictions of Mvp having fulfilled a potential concept to look at a GOAT way less than Serral and how he can be your GOAT - I still haven't seen an explanation on who you were arguing with when saying that people argue how Serral would have dominated in the prime era the same way he did post 2018. So did you simply have arguments in your head there or what is going on?
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To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange
That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation.
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On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:Show nested quote +To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation.
Yeah, that is what irked me a lot about the elite from the KeSPA period. When Serral finished school and exploded, he was 20 years old. Many of the hot shots from 2012-2016 were in their mid twenties like INno, Zest, PartinG, soO, sOs, but even the stars from WoL like Mvp, MarineKing, MC etc. in 2018. The same age Serral is now - yet he still shows an over 83% win rate versus the top Koreans in 2025. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. SC2 is pretty unique in the sense that experience can make up for godlike micro-skills that will probably fade away more, the older a player gets (it will be interesting to see Reynor and Clem developing in the future because of that). This is one of the reasons, why it is so hard for young players to get into the scene. Experience and game understanding are a large part of winning. Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill, especially as their win rates versus foreigners not named Serral were unaffected.
Another interesting angle for the GOAT debate: If the skill level truly deteriorated and Serral had it "easier" (just for the record: which I don't believe as the data suggests otherwise), wouldn't that reflect more on those early players in a GOAT context? Or on the other GOAT contenders that weren't able to "exploit" these alleged easier circumstances the way Serral did and who also had the most success during the same time as him?
In my opinion, no matter how you flip this argument, it doesn't weaken Serral's claim, as all others are affected by it as well.
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On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them.
Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you. You can also see it in many pros changing their playstyle as they get older to a mechanically less intense style.
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On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them.
Yeah, but is that because the skill of existing players deteriorated or because it is so high, that the entrance level for younger players is insurmountable? Classic beat Clem... he beat Reynor. Same for herO. I mean... can you explain why players like YoungYakov or Krystianer are not able to replicate what Serral did back then, if the skill level is supposedly so bad? The age difference is roughly the same...
On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you.
Yes. Hence I wrote: Microskills deteriorate... but is substituted by experience. The level of game is not only about playing fast, which I replied to you in several threads  Haven't we already agreed upon that if INno didn't lose 2 or 3% win rate because he was a little bit slower, he'd still be behind prime Serral? And that Serral would have probably be the best if all players met in their prime? Why do we need to go over the same arguments, that have been addressed in the dozens, again and again?
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On November 02 2025 18:56 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them. Yeah, but is that because the skill deteriorated or because it is so high, that the entrance level for younger players is insurmountable? Classic beat Clem... he beat Reynor. Same for herO. I mean... can you explain why players like YoungYakov or Krystianer are not able to replicate what Serral did back then, if the skill level is supposedly so bad? Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you. Yes. Hence I wrote: Microskills deteriorate... but is substituted by experience. The level of game is not only about playing fast, which I replied to you in several threads 
I agree that it's not only about speed, but regardless it means that the younger players are at an advantage compared to the older players. Especially when looking at Serral who is perfect at decision-making, so you can only really beat him consistently is by mechanically outmuscling him which only Clem can do.
I hope your example of YoungYakov is not serious, of course all younger players aren't suddenly better than all older players.
Haven't we already agreed upon that if INno didn't lose 2 or 3% win rate because he was a little bit slower, he'd still be behind prime Serral? And that Serral would have probably be the best if all players met in their prime?
Well, you dismissed the significance of the aging scene which I couldn't let stand like that. Yes I agree that Serral would probably be the best in any era even if by a much smaller degree, but hypothetical achievements are different than real achievements.
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On November 02 2025 19:02 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:56 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them. Yeah, but is that because the skill deteriorated or because it is so high, that the entrance level for younger players is insurmountable? Classic beat Clem... he beat Reynor. Same for herO. I mean... can you explain why players like YoungYakov or Krystianer are not able to replicate what Serral did back then, if the skill level is supposedly so bad? On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you. Yes. Hence I wrote: Microskills deteriorate... but is substituted by experience. The level of game is not only about playing fast, which I replied to you in several threads  I agree that it's not only about speed, but regardless it means that the younger players are at an advantage compared to the older players. Especially when looking at Serral who is perfect at decision-making, so you can only really beat him consistently is by mechanically outmuscling him which only Clem can do. I hope your example of YoungYakov is not serious, of course all younger players aren't suddenly better than all older players.
But that was true back then as well... Why was Serral the only one to challenge them and beat them in 85% plus win rates? Isn't that the crux of this discussion? That he was able to do so and no one else?
You are writing it yourself: "Especially when looking at Serral...".
I completely agree that these players were not in their extreme prime. My contention is with the idea that the exodus made Korean players considerably weaker as their win rates versus other foreigners were unaffected. They still beat others consistently and were the absolute top notch of the game.
EDIT: Of course the YY example is an exaggeration. But the point stands: If age is such a skill decreasing factor that Serral was able to beat everyone at 85% win rates, why doesn't anyone do the same to the now even older players and the ones like Serral and Maru who are at the age that the others were at, when Serral started beating them?
On November 02 2025 19:02 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +Haven't we already agreed upon that if INno didn't lose 2 or 3% win rate because he was a little bit slower, he'd still be behind prime Serral? And that Serral would have probably be the best if all players met in their prime?
Well, you dismissed the significance of the aging scene which I couldn't stand like that. Yes I agree that Serral would probably be the best in any era even if by a much smaller degree, but hypothetical achievements are different than real achievements.
I dismissed the idea that Koreans got weaker because of the Exodus. Of course age affects skill... but in SC2 that deterioration can be substituted. There was a thread once, where a guy showed a study how age affects reaction speed... of course, it does. But the numbers I presented did not indicate much of an influence on several levels (win rates versus other foreigners, win rates versus newer players).
And yes, I agree... real achievements are way better than hypothetical ones. I don't really like hypothetical... but the hypothetical only needed to be deployed because Serral's achievements were downplayed without ever looking at the reverse (KeSPA period players not having to face him and others like Dark or Maru in their prime).
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United Kingdom38257 Posts
On November 02 2025 18:56 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them. Yeah, but is that because the skill of existing players deteriorated or because it is so high, that the entrance level for younger players is insurmountable? Classic beat Clem... he beat Reynor. Same for herO. I mean... can you explain why players like YoungYakov or Krystianer are not able to replicate what Serral did back then, if the skill level is supposedly so bad? Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you. Yes. Hence I wrote: Microskills deteriorate... but is substituted by experience. The level of game is not only about playing fast, which I replied to you in several threads 
I think broadly esports has always exaggerated the decline that happens in skills as players age tbh.
In SC there's a real legacy of korean team houses grinding kids at young ages inducing burnout and injury and players just naturally were less able to keep going in their mid 20s. I don't discount the players views, but I think there's a bit of confirmation bias happening. Since the global esports money infusion (and perhaps a bit more of a move towards wellness and self care and not just gamer degeneracy) we see that across basically all the top genres there are players playing at top levels into their late 20s and 30s now.
I don't think the current SC generation would be completely obsolete if there had been more young talent, though I imagine we might have one or two more Clems for Serral to try keep up with. The main thing with a lack of new competitive talent is that it enshrines hierarchies in a way we didn't have in the old days
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On November 02 2025 19:17 Asha wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 18:56 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. Keeping up with whom? Other players that are in their late 20s/30s? Fact is there aren't any up and coming players competing for their spots so of course they're still competitive. In an environment where there would be constant up- and coming players it's extremely likely they would've been replaced long ago as it happened in BW and early sc2. But the last generation of talents obviously can keep winning forever because there's nobody to replace them. Yeah, but is that because the skill of existing players deteriorated or because it is so high, that the entrance level for younger players is insurmountable? Classic beat Clem... he beat Reynor. Same for herO. I mean... can you explain why players like YoungYakov or Krystianer are not able to replicate what Serral did back then, if the skill level is supposedly so bad? On November 02 2025 18:54 Charoisaur wrote:Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill It's literally what top pros say. Dark and Inno for example said they felt they were getting slower with increased age. I trust them over you. Yes. Hence I wrote: Microskills deteriorate... but is substituted by experience. The level of game is not only about playing fast, which I replied to you in several threads  I think broadly esports has always exaggerated the decline that happens in skills as players age tbh. In SC there's a real legacy of korean team houses grinding kids at young ages inducing burnout and injury and players just naturally were less able to keep going in their mid 20s. I don't discount the players views, but I think there's a bit of confirmation bias happening. Since the global esports money infusion (and perhaps a bit more of a move towards wellness and self care and not just gamer degeneracy) we see that across basically all the top genres there are players playing at top levels into their late 20s and 30s now. I don't think the current SC generation would be completely obsolete if there had been more young talent, though I imagine we might have one or two more Clems for Serral to try keep up with. The main thing with a lack of new competitive talent is that it enshrines hierarchies in a way we didn't have in the old days
Agreed. Although I am not too sure about another elite like Clem/Reynor/MaxPax. In the age cohort of mid to late 20s, we don't have much else besides Maru and Serral, the two biggest outliers in the history of the game (perhaps Oliveira, but he is yet another 2 years younger than Serral). After them came Reynor, MaxPax and Clem who are in their early 20s now. All others, including Dark, herO and Classic are already in their 30s or way above. So in terms of turnover rate of new elite players, things are pretty stable. Would we have more young talent, if the game was bigger? Probably. But reaching the top and staying there, is incredibly difficult in SC2 and even in the prime era you had at most 3 or 4 top dogs. There were more challengers below that level for sure, but in terms of super elite, who consistently won more than the rest of the bunch, the number of players stayed roughly the same.
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I agree that it's not only about speed, but regardless it means that the younger players are at an advantage compared to the older players. Especially when looking at Serral who is perfect at decision-making, so you can only really beat him consistently is by mechanically outmuscling him which only Clem can do.
Please correct me if I'm misunderstanding things, but aren't you simultaneously arguing that 1. Serral had an advantage on the Korean cohort he overtook based on his age (even if that age difference is merely a year or two) 2. Serral had an advantage of every player that came after him, conveniently also based on his age, which in the reverse now means that noone can possibly accumulate the experience required to beat him
?
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On November 02 2025 18:06 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 02 2025 16:42 Admiral Yang wrote:To give you the benefit of the doubt, perhaps you feel there's simply no threshold at which the fulltime pro player pool has diminished too much to consider achievements to be meaningful in a GOAT convo, which would be strange That's the issue here. This argument would certainly be relevant for someone like Maxpax who never played the supposed competitive elite, but Serral is a mere six years younger than MVP, who is the same age as Classic. Every single one of the 11 players on the Mizenhauer list is of an age where it would be perfectly possible to still be an elite player. Whether they left because they lacked the skill or the motivation or had bad luck with injury, the fact of the matter is that they were booted from the elite at a time when age really wasn't an excuse, which is obviously disqualifying in a GOAT-conversation. Yeah, that is what irked me a lot about the elite from the KeSPA period. When Serral finished school and exploded, he was 20 years old. Many of the hot shots from 2012-2016 were in their mid twenties like INno, Zest, PartinG, soO, sOs, but even the stars from WoL like Mvp, MarineKing, MC etc. in 2018. The same age Serral is now - yet he still shows an over 83% win rate versus the top Koreans in 2025. And players way above their 30th birthday like herO and Classic are still keeping up. SC2 is pretty unique in the sense that experience can make up for godlike micro-skills that will probably fade away more, the older a player gets (it will be interesting to see Reynor and Clem developing in the future because of that). This is one of the reasons, why it is so hard for young players to get into the scene. Experience and game understanding are a large part of winning. Hence, I never bought this deterioration argument... it simply didn't make sense for players to collectively lose skill, especially as their win rates versus foreigners not named Serral were unaffected. Another interesting angle for the GOAT debate: If the skill level truly deteriorated and Serral had it "easier" (just for the record: which I don't believe as the data suggests otherwise), wouldn't that reflect more on those early players in a GOAT context? Or on the other GOAT contenders that weren't able to "exploit" these alleged easier circumstances the way Serral did and who also had the most success during the same time as him? In my opinion, no matter how you flip this argument, it doesn't weaken Serral's claim, as all others are affected by it as well.
If we are going to factor in aging to discredit Serral dominance than we should be consistent across the board.
The kespa players only started winning cause the OG WOL players were getting old and tired such as MC, Nestea etc.
Maru only become relevant in 2018 after majority of the kespa players got old and had to go to military
Serral basically takes a dump on Maru every time they go head to head. Cant use Maru getting old as an excuse since Serral and Maru are literally the same age and came to power at the same time in 2018.
Forwarded 7 years, Serral is basically still at the top of the mountain and the favourite in every tournament. Championship or bust.
Whereas Maru has a list of recycle excuses every time he loses.
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Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take.
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On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism.
Uh oh, I'm half-asian and half-white, so the glaze factor for me is only at a .50x strength (repeating, of course), yet I still think Serral is pretty awesome. I shudder to think how fully white dudes must feel.
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On November 03 2025 12:59 Glorfindelio wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Uh oh, I'm half-asian and half-white, so the glaze factor for me is only at a .50x strength (repeating, of course), yet I still think Serral is pretty awesome. I shudder to think how fully white dudes must feel.
I’m afraid I might be in real danger here - as a fully white guy, I just looked at a picture of Serral and almost started levitating. If this goes on, I might spontaneously begin defending Finnish drone timings on reddit threads from 2018. Please send help (or at least a Zerg nerf).
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On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism.
Joined TL.net Monday, 27th of October 2025
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On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take.
Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that.
So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC.
Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament?
At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever.
You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore.
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United States1919 Posts
On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore.
Poor special. He played in the 8 team house for almost half a year and people like you forget.
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On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore.
Damn, I didn't know that!! How good were these Europeans to not let MC and MMA out of a group stage at HSC VI without such harsh schedules? Or someone like MaNa who is still around after battling these two legends. But that explains why Koreans fell off so hard nowadays... without their Team Houses and 12 hours work days, they simply aren't good enough to keep up with the rest of the world. Tragic stuff. Thanks for letting us know!
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United States33584 Posts
On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore.
While regimented KeSPA practice was definitely an advantage, I think you're somewhat overrating it compared to the general talent-scouting advantage that the institution of Korean esports has. Korea's edge in global esports (at least games it's popular in) is that it has a big player base combined with the best and most realistic path-to-pro ecosystem in the entire world (relatively speaking; it's still obviously very hard to become a successful pro). This leads to Korea being the best at discovering great talents, and then pushing them along a semi-pro/pro path.
When you consider Serral's crazy level of natural ability, I feel like a TaeJa-esque career is a realistic low-end outcome if you dropped him into 2014, with the potential for a lot more upside (I don't know if he would dominate, but he could be a championship level player).
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I actually don't know how much natural ability serral has, but I think he might be the most professional player we've had. What makes serral, clem, reynor, time and maru special is that they've grown up with the game. Much like TY, they're just bound to blast off at some point. But age is honestly such a huge factor.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
Serral is basically flawless mechanically, a few may have an edge over him, but he’s also probably the best reader of the game and has the best starsense in that regard we’ve maybe ever seen, at least defensively.
It’s a pretty potent combination. Never mind his mentality.
Agreed with Wax basically on everything he said.
I think people are asking the wrong questions sometimes. The collapse of the Korean scene as we knew it basically halted the pipeline of gifted amateur to pro.
Serral is just outright better than most of the best of the Kespa era, but given how quick the turnover is, he’s almost the ‘next generation’.
However he’s not competing against the Korean Serral equivalents, he’s largely competing against those established prior.
It’s not a purely systemic thing either, who knows what it is? Serral, Reynor and Clem are easily the best 3 foreign players we’ve seen mechanically.
But there’s also not many signs of any next foreign generation of remotely their calibre gestating either
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On November 03 2025 20:43 Waxangel wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore. While regimented KeSPA practice was definitely an advantage, I think you're somewhat overrating it compared to the general talent-scouting advantage that the institution of Korean esports has. Korea's edge in global esports (at least games it's popular in) is that it has a big player base combined with the best and most realistic path-to-pro ecosystem in the entire world (relatively speaking; it's still obviously very hard to become a successful pro). This leads to Korea being the best at discovering great talents, and then pushing them along a semi-pro/pro path. When you consider Serral's crazy level of natural ability, I feel like a TaeJa-esque career is a realistic low-end outcome if you dropped him into 2014, with the potential for a lot more upside (I don't know if he would dominate, but he could be a championship level player).
This is essentially why some people don't understand the impact of regionlock. The take "regionlock killed the korean scene and therefore everyone else did get better" is just false, there isn't even a reason why regionlock should have killed a scene. What happened was it created a relatively speaking stable path into pro for foreigners aswell, without the pressure exerted by players that trained in the best teamhouses in the world and already had a stable monetary and experience base to compete on a very high level. Without regionlock, Serral might just not happen. Not because he couldn't hack it, but because the risk of going fulltime pro and investing the time that he did might just not have been worth it otherwise or maybe just for a year.
The lack of new korean talents is certainly a popularity problem of the game in korea, but it is also linked to the fact that by now there is no money to be made in Korea if you start fresh. How many GSLs would you have to try starting "from 0" before you qualify for the international events, where the actual money lies? Imagine you start 'getting gud' in SC2 and the first hurdle you have to overtake to become a financially stable pro is...to take out Maru. Well good luck with that!
In reverse, that is why no one of these magical "Top 100 Gigachad Ultragamers" from before just jump into the game, qualify for EWC and take the big money from the scrub Serral. Because they can't. The time-investment they would need to put in to compete with Serral, Clem, Maru, herO and so on is just way too huge and the path is barred of much money.
Like...take Rain for example. Probably one of the most gifted players in Starcraft. Do you seriously think if he could he wouldn't just jump into the EWC qualifier, qualify and take the 200K home? He would probably not even miss an ASL for that. So why doesn't he do it? Altruism?
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On November 04 2025 03:28 ejozl wrote: I actually don't know how much natural ability serral has, but I think he might be the most professional player we've had. What makes serral, clem, reynor, time and maru special is that they've grown up with the game. Much like TY, they're just bound to blast off at some point. But age is honestly such a huge factor.
So somehow it was 100% koreans dominating and top 100 was all korean, now its just 3 foreigners. And it has absolutely nothing to do with kespa teamhouses disbanding, soop sc2 viewership median literally 0 for years, proleague having to hire cheer girls to cheer because nobody showed up.
But of course in 2016, suddenly foreigners were able to compete. Absolutely had nothing to do with anything above and its all talent and hard work of course.
So riddle me this, if suddenly 99 percent of people worldwide would stop playing professional basketball, nba viewership going to below 1k and china basketball going down as well, but not as hard where nobody except 3 people have a living wage through extremely volatile prize money sponsored by saudis, who may or may not sponsor the next season depending on a gut feeling. Then somehow some chinese player putting 50point a game and 20 rebounds in china for years against basically some amateurs, also because he is one of few training professionally, would you call this dude the GOAT above michael jordan?
I mean this is what the numbers show, and his winrate right? Because that is all you guys care about.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 04 2025 08:31 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2025 03:28 ejozl wrote: I actually don't know how much natural ability serral has, but I think he might be the most professional player we've had. What makes serral, clem, reynor, time and maru special is that they've grown up with the game. Much like TY, they're just bound to blast off at some point. But age is honestly such a huge factor. So somehow it was 100% koreans dominating and top 100 was all korean, now its just 3 foreigners. And it has absolutely nothing to do with kespa teamhouses disbanding, soop sc2 viewership median literally 0 for years, proleague having to hire cheer girls to cheer because nobody showed up. But of course in 2016, suddenly foreigners were able to compete. Absolutely had nothing to do with anything above and its all talent and hard work of course. So riddle me this, if suddenly 99 percent of people worldwide would stop playing professional basketball, nba viewership going to below 1k and china basketball going down as well, but not as hard where nobody except 3 people have a living wage through extremely volatile prize money sponsored by saudis, who may or may not sponsor the next season depending on a gut feeling. Then somehow some chinese player putting 50point a game and 20 rebounds in china for years against basically some amateurs, also because he is one of few training professionally, would you call this dude the GOAT above michael jordan? I mean this is what the numbers show, and his winrate right? Because that is all you guys care about. We can just watch the game?
Or trust the perspectives of many a hall of famer who will tell you that Serral is a complete monster.
I don’t think your analogy fully tracks. It would be more akin to the current NBA elite remaining, cutting off avenues for the next generation of talent in the US, but having a pathway for the best European based players.
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On November 04 2025 04:22 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On November 03 2025 20:43 Waxangel wrote:On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore. While regimented KeSPA practice was definitely an advantage, I think you're somewhat overrating it compared to the general talent-scouting advantage that the institution of Korean esports has. Korea's edge in global esports (at least games it's popular in) is that it has a big player base combined with the best and most realistic path-to-pro ecosystem in the entire world (relatively speaking; it's still obviously very hard to become a successful pro). This leads to Korea being the best at discovering great talents, and then pushing them along a semi-pro/pro path. When you consider Serral's crazy level of natural ability, I feel like a TaeJa-esque career is a realistic low-end outcome if you dropped him into 2014, with the potential for a lot more upside (I don't know if he would dominate, but he could be a championship level player). This is essentially why some people don't understand the impact of regionlock. The take "regionlock killed the korean scene and therefore everyone else did get better" is just false, there isn't even a reason why regionlock should have killed a scene. What happened was it created a relatively speaking stable path into pro for foreigners aswell, without the pressure exerted by players that trained in the best teamhouses in the world and already had a stable monetary and experience base to compete on a very high level. Without regionlock, Serral might just not happen. Not because he couldn't hack it, but because the risk of going fulltime pro and investing the time that he did might just not have been worth it otherwise or maybe just for a year. The lack of new korean talents is certainly a popularity problem of the game in korea, but it is also linked to the fact that by now there is no money to be made in Korea if you start fresh. How many GSLs would you have to try starting "from 0" before you qualify for the international events, where the actual money lies? Imagine you start 'getting gud' in SC2 and the first hurdle you have to overtake to become a financially stable pro is...to take out Maru. Well good luck with that! In reverse, that is why no one of these magical "Top 100 Gigachad Ultragamers" from before just jump into the game, qualify for EWC and take the big money from the scrub Serral. Because they can't. The time-investment they would need to put in to compete with Serral, Clem, Maru, herO and so on is just way too huge and the path is barred of much money. Like...take Rain for example. Probably one of the most gifted players in Starcraft. Do you seriously think if he could he wouldn't just jump into the EWC qualifier, qualify and take the 200K home? He would probably not even miss an ASL for that. So why doesn't he do it? Altruism? Regionlock didn't single-handely kill the scene but it definitely exacerbated the downfall of korean sc2. When region-lock was introduced it forced 50+ fulltime players into an ecosystem that could only support about 30 players, forcing many of them to retire. And it removed the path to become pro for them as like you said, there's no way to beat Maru if you aren't an established top pro already. Before region-lock there was a chance a lower tier korean pro gets picked up by a foreign team to start competing in the easier foreign tournaments. After region-lock it was you can't compete in GSL you can't become a pro.
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Koreans lost everything they had to foster new talent and non-koreans gained a new way to foster new talent that specifically excluded koreans.
That's why byun could break the mold (korean collapse), neeb could win on korean soil, a guy who was willing to go there and live like them. Zerg became superpowered and europeans were the first to find the unbeatable way (a style first prophetized by artosis&idra)
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On November 04 2025 23:00 ejozl wrote: Koreans lost everything they had to foster new talent and non-koreans gained a new way to foster new talent that specifically excluded koreans.
That's why byun could break the mold (korean collapse), neeb could win on korean soil, a guy who was willing to go there and live like them. Zerg became superpowered and europeans were the first to find the unbeatable way (a style first prophetized by artosis&idra)
Help me out here: What does the pull out of KeSPA in October 2016 have to do with ByuN's WC title in November, not even a month later? Where the qualifying process took place over the entire year and the majority of Koreans that took part in it were KeSPA affiliated? And of which many played on until the early 2020s.
Same for Neeb.. he won in October and most of the attendees were KeSPA Koreans. The tournament was even finished before the announcement that Proleague was discontinued and KeSPA pulled out.
I disagree with several other framings of your post but on that take I am utterly lost.
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United States1919 Posts
On November 05 2025 02:13 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2025 23:00 ejozl wrote: Koreans lost everything they had to foster new talent and non-koreans gained a new way to foster new talent that specifically excluded koreans.
That's why byun could break the mold (korean collapse), neeb could win on korean soil, a guy who was willing to go there and live like them. Zerg became superpowered and europeans were the first to find the unbeatable way (a style first prophetized by artosis&idra) Help me out here: What does the pull out of KeSPA in October 2016 have to do with ByuN's WC title in November, not even a month later? Where the qualifying process took place over the entire year and the majority of Koreans that took part in it were KeSPA affiliated? And of which many played on until the early 2020s. Same for Neeb.. he won in October and most of the attendees were KeSPA Koreans. The tournament was even finished before the announcement that Proleague was discontinued and KeSPA pulled out. I disagree with several other framings of your post but on that take I am utterly lost.
You are aware the players knew months ahead of time, right? I wrote an entire article about how KT completely punted the Proleague finals, with Zest's game being the most disappointing of the bunch. But back to practical things, there's no way something as big as Proleague just disappears overnight with no warning?
ByuN won because he was the best player at abusing 2/1/1 and reapers. It didn't matter what team anyone was on, he wasn't losing that tournament (and now he serves his penance).
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Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me.
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On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me.
The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol...
Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good.
There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague.
Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support.
Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc.
They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that.
And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce.
And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there.
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They also fell a lot in skill because before they simply didn't have the chance to take it more easy, so suddenly many were at least mentally on hiatus.
Of course when a hole opens other players who had enjoyed less success took that as an opportunity to get ahead, namely, byun, solar, dark, stats, trap, cure and probably a bunch of others.
But just because they were still on jin air, sos and Maru that does not mean they practiced the hardest.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. Holy strawmen Batman!
Most would concede it had some effect, just that it’s not as precipitous as you’re framing it.
Prize money remained pretty good for one. If we accept that things dropped off hugely in level and discipline, there’s all the incentive in money and tournament prestige for an existing elite player to stay motivated and clean house.
As that didn’t really happen, either the scene was still reasonably competitive, or no Korean players could be bothered doing it, and I know which I’d consider more likely.
You’re contracting almost 10 years into your timeline. Some points ring true for 2025 but perhaps don’t for 2016.
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Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good.
Who is this 'random pro', three-time world champion Rogue?
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On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there.
With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830" Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 06 2025 06:21 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830"  Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy. Now you mentioned it, that does somewhat track. Wouldn’t be something I’d be sure about, but wouldn’t surprise me either.
It’s just weird and largely nonsensical bollocks. Even the points with some validity are exaggerated to such a degree they they cease to have it.
SC2’s never been all that big in Korea, including the Proleague era. If it didn’t have the StarCraft name, I highly doubt we’d have even had Proleague, and the entities involved probably didn’t break even on investment. Which really isn’t that different functionally to EWC in that respect. Although I despise the sportswashing element and have been critical of that many times.
It’s all utter hogwash really, I couldn’t be arsed to pick it apart point by point.
Say what you like about current SC2 and its depleted level, the top players show up for Premiers, and especially for EWC. It’s still a scene driven financially by tournament results. That’s the bread and butter. It ain’t in modern BW, where players dip out of ASL reasonably frequently.
There’s certainly demand for other content, and that’s cool, absolutely, and I love both games. I think for my tastes that’s a strength SC2 has over BW right now as a viewer.
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On November 06 2025 07:26 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2025 06:21 Balnazza wrote:On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830"  Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy. Now you mentioned it, that does somewhat track. Wouldn’t be something I’d be sure about, but wouldn’t surprise me either. It’s just weird and largely nonsensical bollocks. Even the points with some validity are exaggerated to such a degree they they cease to have it. SC2’s never been all that big in Korea, including the Proleague era. If it didn’t have the StarCraft name, I highly doubt we’d have even had Proleague, and the entities involved probably didn’t break even on investment. Which really isn’t that different functionally to EWC in that respect. Although I despise the sportswashing element and have been critical of that many times. It’s all utter hogwash really, I couldn’t be arsed to pick it apart point by point. Say what you like about current SC2 and its depleted level, the top players show up for Premiers, and especially for EWC. It’s still a scene driven financially by tournament results. That’s the bread and butter. It ain’t in modern BW, where players dip out of ASL reasonably frequently. There’s certainly demand for other content, and that’s cool, absolutely, and I love both games. I think for my tastes that’s a strength SC2 has over BW right now as a viewer.
It's the exact same arguments, same overhyped numbers, the condescending tone towards SC2 and its fans, the jerking off about Daily Proleague and so on. Would go for 90% on this one.
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On November 06 2025 07:26 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2025 06:21 Balnazza wrote:On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830"  Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy. Now you mentioned it, that does somewhat track. Wouldn’t be something I’d be sure about, but wouldn’t surprise me either. It’s just weird and largely nonsensical bollocks. Even the points with some validity are exaggerated to such a degree they they cease to have it. SC2’s never been all that big in Korea, including the Proleague era. If it didn’t have the StarCraft name, I highly doubt we’d have even had Proleague, and the entities involved probably didn’t break even on investment. Which really isn’t that different functionally to EWC in that respect. Although I despise the sportswashing element and have been critical of that many times. It’s all utter hogwash really, I couldn’t be arsed to pick it apart point by point. Say what you like about current SC2 and its depleted level, the top players show up for Premiers, and especially for EWC. It’s still a scene driven financially by tournament results. That’s the bread and butter. It ain’t in modern BW, where players dip out of ASL reasonably frequently. There’s certainly demand for other content, and that’s cool, absolutely, and I love both games. I think for my tastes that’s a strength SC2 has over BW right now as a viewer.
If sc2 wasnt all that big in korea, which is true, its size doesnt correlate at all with basically all tournaments being won by koreans pre 2016.
So somehow it wasnt big so its decline didnt matter, while everything being won when kespa teams were alive.
Riddle me this
If you make up strawmans at least be internally consistent
On November 06 2025 10:14 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2025 07:26 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2025 06:21 Balnazza wrote:On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830"  Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy. Now you mentioned it, that does somewhat track. Wouldn’t be something I’d be sure about, but wouldn’t surprise me either. It’s just weird and largely nonsensical bollocks. Even the points with some validity are exaggerated to such a degree they they cease to have it. SC2’s never been all that big in Korea, including the Proleague era. If it didn’t have the StarCraft name, I highly doubt we’d have even had Proleague, and the entities involved probably didn’t break even on investment. Which really isn’t that different functionally to EWC in that respect. Although I despise the sportswashing element and have been critical of that many times. It’s all utter hogwash really, I couldn’t be arsed to pick it apart point by point. Say what you like about current SC2 and its depleted level, the top players show up for Premiers, and especially for EWC. It’s still a scene driven financially by tournament results. That’s the bread and butter. It ain’t in modern BW, where players dip out of ASL reasonably frequently. There’s certainly demand for other content, and that’s cool, absolutely, and I love both games. I think for my tastes that’s a strength SC2 has over BW right now as a viewer. It's the exact same arguments, same overhyped numbers, the condescending tone towards SC2 and its fans, the jerking off about Daily Proleague and so on. Would go for 90% on this one.
So numbers dont matter anymore and we go by vibe, which judging by this forum, SC2 has not at all declined post Kespa and viewership isnt at all averaging 1k, with all the prize money coming from saudis that may or may not come back next year. Clearly I underhype these numbers too. Go on streamcharts and see it for yourself.
I wonder if everytime you or all sc2 pros see the live stream section, and see that the biggest SC2 streamer is Nathanias with 82 viewers during NA primetime, yall think: Hey, its totally reasonable to spend all my time training sc2 instead of looking for a job since these numbers will certainly go up and we are about to enter a new prime of SC2 progaming.
Do this for the past 10 years of decline. Please, you don't wanna invest your time and prime of your life to become a sailor on the Titanic right now if the Titanic hit the ice berg 10 years ago. This makes the entire scene miniscule as well as the level of competition.
The fact that people like Innovation or Rain that dominated when the scene gave a fuck because for kespa players, it was their job and they got paid salaries for it, are totally ignored for people who dominate when there is no scene left is absolutely disrespectful.
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On November 06 2025 10:14 Balnazza wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2025 07:26 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2025 06:21 Balnazza wrote:On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there. With this post I'm convinced - welcome back "Expensive-Law9830"  Liking BroodWar is still not a personality buddy. Now you mentioned it, that does somewhat track. Wouldn’t be something I’d be sure about, but wouldn’t surprise me either. It’s just weird and largely nonsensical bollocks. Even the points with some validity are exaggerated to such a degree they they cease to have it. SC2’s never been all that big in Korea, including the Proleague era. If it didn’t have the StarCraft name, I highly doubt we’d have even had Proleague, and the entities involved probably didn’t break even on investment. Which really isn’t that different functionally to EWC in that respect. Although I despise the sportswashing element and have been critical of that many times. It’s all utter hogwash really, I couldn’t be arsed to pick it apart point by point. Say what you like about current SC2 and its depleted level, the top players show up for Premiers, and especially for EWC. It’s still a scene driven financially by tournament results. That’s the bread and butter. It ain’t in modern BW, where players dip out of ASL reasonably frequently. There’s certainly demand for other content, and that’s cool, absolutely, and I love both games. I think for my tastes that’s a strength SC2 has over BW right now as a viewer. It's the exact same arguments, same overhyped numbers, the condescending tone towards SC2 and its fans, the jerking off about Daily Proleague and so on. Would go for 90% on this one. Good catch, I think it's 100%, don't think there are 2 people with exactly the same arguments and writing style.
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If you look at prize money won for sc2 players, serral and maru are absolutely leading the pack, and almost all that money was made since 2018 and on. So to say koreans stopped trying is a retarded take. Since if they were so good, they couldve made millions of dollars in prize money alone from 2018 and onwards.
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United States33584 Posts
On November 04 2025 19:06 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2025 04:22 Balnazza wrote:On November 03 2025 20:43 Waxangel wrote:On November 03 2025 17:44 doktordingerdonger wrote:On November 03 2025 09:05 WombaT wrote:On November 03 2025 08:50 doktordingerdonger wrote: Serral would not be top 100 in 2014 with that level of competition, or if the level of competition be the same in 2025 as in 2014.
Serral would not make it into a KESPA team not even as a dishwasher.
If Serral was Korean, his achievements would be completely dismissed given the complete collapse of the scene post-2015. Because he is white, the complete collapse of the scene post-2015 is instead dismissed entirely by 90% of white dudes here. SC2 avg viewership is 1k. That is not a scene, that is a niche.
The whole glaze of Serral just reeks of ethnonationalism. Well that’s… a take. Here is the thing: during Kespa, 12 hour a day 7 days a week was the absolute norm for both a and b-teamers. No white dude was willing to do that. So how many people active now actually play more than 8 hours a day? There have been koreans not even playing for months or laddering at all going into EWC. Now with the uncertainty of EWC and that without saudi money, the prize pool would barely be able to finance 2 dudes full time, how many people are actually willing to put in the numbers for the magic of lifting a trophy of a, maybe, tournament in the 'highly prestigious' saudi tournament? At least BW streamers make money with streaming more than ever. You cannot seriously dismiss a sc2 scene on life support and yet believe that serral would thrive during kespa days. He would go down like any other foreigner before him. Serral, Reynor and Clem are nothing special. They just are playing sc2 during an era where nobody cares about it anymore. While regimented KeSPA practice was definitely an advantage, I think you're somewhat overrating it compared to the general talent-scouting advantage that the institution of Korean esports has. Korea's edge in global esports (at least games it's popular in) is that it has a big player base combined with the best and most realistic path-to-pro ecosystem in the entire world (relatively speaking; it's still obviously very hard to become a successful pro). This leads to Korea being the best at discovering great talents, and then pushing them along a semi-pro/pro path. When you consider Serral's crazy level of natural ability, I feel like a TaeJa-esque career is a realistic low-end outcome if you dropped him into 2014, with the potential for a lot more upside (I don't know if he would dominate, but he could be a championship level player). This is essentially why some people don't understand the impact of regionlock. The take "regionlock killed the korean scene and therefore everyone else did get better" is just false, there isn't even a reason why regionlock should have killed a scene. What happened was it created a relatively speaking stable path into pro for foreigners aswell, without the pressure exerted by players that trained in the best teamhouses in the world and already had a stable monetary and experience base to compete on a very high level. Without regionlock, Serral might just not happen. Not because he couldn't hack it, but because the risk of going fulltime pro and investing the time that he did might just not have been worth it otherwise or maybe just for a year. The lack of new korean talents is certainly a popularity problem of the game in korea, but it is also linked to the fact that by now there is no money to be made in Korea if you start fresh. How many GSLs would you have to try starting "from 0" before you qualify for the international events, where the actual money lies? Imagine you start 'getting gud' in SC2 and the first hurdle you have to overtake to become a financially stable pro is...to take out Maru. Well good luck with that! In reverse, that is why no one of these magical "Top 100 Gigachad Ultragamers" from before just jump into the game, qualify for EWC and take the big money from the scrub Serral. Because they can't. The time-investment they would need to put in to compete with Serral, Clem, Maru, herO and so on is just way too huge and the path is barred of much money. Like...take Rain for example. Probably one of the most gifted players in Starcraft. Do you seriously think if he could he wouldn't just jump into the EWC qualifier, qualify and take the 200K home? He would probably not even miss an ASL for that. So why doesn't he do it? Altruism? Regionlock didn't single-handely kill the scene but it definitely exacerbated the downfall of korean sc2. When region-lock was introduced it forced 50+ fulltime players into an ecosystem that could only support about 30 players, forcing many of them to retire. And it removed the path to become pro for them as like you said, there's no way to beat Maru if you aren't an established top pro already. Before region-lock there was a chance a lower tier korean pro gets picked up by a foreign team to start competing in the easier foreign tournaments. After region-lock it was you can't compete in GSL you can't become a pro.
I don't really think region-lock had that much effect on the top-tier of Korean SC2. For the most part, I think it just wiped out a lot of mid-tier players who could feast overseas. Ofc, we lost a handful of guys who could actually hang with Korea's best but just found it more pragmatic to compete in WCS (TaeJa, Polt, etc), but it wasn't a devastating loss (purely talking about championship-tier talent, not the overall health of the scene).
I would say the rise of non-SC games like LoL was what REALLY precipitated the depletion of Korean SC2 talent. The last great generation of Korean SC2 pros is basically the final gen of BW up-and-comers/trainees who switched to SC2. By 2013/14, the vast majority of talented pro prospects were being funneled to LoL instead.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 06 2025 19:51 Comedy wrote: If you look at prize money won for sc2 players, serral and maru are absolutely leading the pack, and almost all that money was made since 2018 and on. So to say koreans stopped trying is a retarded take. Since if they were so good, they couldve made millions of dollars in prize money alone from 2018 and onwards. Yep, an argument I frequently make.
It would be different if prize money dropped off a cliff overnight, but it didn’t.
If your argument is nobody was really bothering, well with so much money around if you do bother you’ll clean house. There’s still plenty of incentive there
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On November 07 2025 00:23 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2025 19:51 Comedy wrote: If you look at prize money won for sc2 players, serral and maru are absolutely leading the pack, and almost all that money was made since 2018 and on. So to say koreans stopped trying is a retarded take. Since if they were so good, they couldve made millions of dollars in prize money alone from 2018 and onwards. Yep, an argument I frequently make. It would be different if prize money dropped off a cliff overnight, but it didn’t. If your argument is nobody was really bothering, well with so much money around if you do bother you’ll clean house. There’s still plenty of incentive there
Koreans didn’t stop trying. The top tier Koreans skills are still improving each year.
For example just look back at any Classic games back in the so called “golden era” 2015-2016 and compare to Classic games during his EWC run. The older current classic skills literally shits on that “younger” and “competitive era” classic
Only difference right now is that we eliminate all the mid tier Korean and foreigner from the scene. Only the cream of the crop stil plays to battle each other.
I rather have what we currently have then what we have before. It really helps to skips the useless R32 group stages in Korean or WCS when we know majority of the time there will be no upset.
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What are you on about, mid tier back then would be top tier now, just look at the dmg players like solar, shin, cure, trap and gumiho can do.
There were loads of upsets because everyone was trying their darndest, now ro32\16 is worth skipping because there aren't enough players to fill it out, which is what happened with gsl.
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Solar was mid-tier back then and Trap is top tier now?
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On November 08 2025 03:25 ejozl wrote: What are you on about, mid tier back then would be top tier now, just look at the dmg players like solar, shin, cure, trap and gumiho can do.
There were loads of upsets because everyone was trying their darndest, now ro32\16 is worth skipping because there aren't enough players to fill it out, which is what happened with gsl. Yeah, PartinG used to be the only player who got 10 ro16s in a row and back then it was an almost unbelievable achievement. That's how competitive even the ro32 was.
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On November 05 2025 15:41 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2025 06:40 PremoBeats wrote: Of course they knew ahead of time. My point is that they nevertheless all qualified and most of them played for years to come. ByuN's victory was due to his reaper abuse and not some supposed Korean collapse in 2016. The erosion spaned several years and didn't happen from one year to another. And JAGW, the Proleague winners, were KeSPA too.
We had disappointing failures througout SC2, so to draw a connection - like ejozl did - from a lack of new Korean talent to ByuN's WC, when the effects of the Proleague discontinuation could not have possibly materialized yet, seems like a stretch to me. The fact they still all qualified despite not training for months and the collapse of it rather says the opposite about what you want to support lol... Even now, some random pro who has not played in years can just come back, qualify for EWC and then fuck off simply because the saudi money is too good. There is a reason why all korean pros except very very few went all back to BW, where 100k is easy to achieve even for the top 200 player streaming and playing some daily proleague. Neeb, an absolutely unknown foreigner suddenly is the first person to win a tournament against koreans in 6 yeaers of sc2, and this forum wants to pretend this has absolutely nothing to do with the entire sc2 scene in korea collapsing after being 4 years on life support. Again, proleague had to HIRE people to cheer for the teams every day when proleague happened. During BW times, it was always about 100 people or so and they had 2-3 TV channels broadcasting broodwar nonstop, as well as variety shows etc. They had to HIRE people to pretend its not dead. Imagine how the players must have felt: SC2 is an absolute dead end and there is no point spending energy into it. And yet despite all that, no foreigner could have taken a tournament against koreans until the very end and even beyond that. And then we have this echo chamber that spouted for almost 10 years on how the rise of foreigners has absolutely nothing to do with the collapse of Korean SC2, which was on life support the entire time anyway... I am sorry, but if you had the choice between playing broodwar with its university system (making 60 million usd in donations last year) + streaming revenue from donation (about 15 million usd a year) + about 3 million usd from daily proleague each year, which by the way is quite evenly distributed, vs playing SC2 where the prize money is top heavy and it all depends whether some saudi dude we do not know decides whether to have sc2 or not, each year... it makes all achievements post Kespa in SC2 an absolute farce. And despite this whole echo chamber, there are still threads spanning dozens of pages that basically say the above here and there.
Did you strain your wrist playing SC2 or why is there this need to write such a blatantly falsely constructed comment? Cause not only are you mixing up timelines (Neeb’s/ByuN’s wins, BW university and Saudi money in SC2), weaving in wrong factuals (how do you arrive at the conclusion that Koreans didn’t train for months?) or making a completely inverted framing about Koreans being on life support/having it hard in comparison to the foreign scene (something more akin to reality would be the Koreans being a lifter on roids who had the best equipment and a nutrition coach, but still took the protein shake from his training buddy’s home who had to train in his basement with a couple of self made weights)... you are basically defeating your own point without realizing it.
Because you are actually discrediting the pros that switched to BW. Under all the talk about BW university and the money that is being spent there, you are actually saying that these guys weren’t able to make it in SC2 with all the new competition around individual tournaments and had to switch to a game where even B-Tier players were able to make enough money through salaries/donations. When a kid like Clem - who made his first individual top4 appearance in the 2020s - was able to grind himself to a World Championship, then I think it is pretty evident that all these Koreans either lacked the skill, motivation or a mix of both - according to your framing. Either way: The top dogs of 2013-2016 stuck around until the early 2020s or are still actively playing even now, battling out with newer players like Clem. If the others left because of a lack of motivation, too little skill, injury or whatever other factor is irrelevant: If they were good enough, they made the easy cash grab in SC2 - but they were not. Most of the top earners in SC2 came onto the scene post-KeSPA and made much more than the new BW-blood, so you'd have to explain why the prime-SC2-players back then didn't stick around to make this easy cash grab.
The rise of foreigners of course had something to do with the shrinking Korean scene. Money was redirected and other regions were protected from overpowered predators… that was basically the whole idea.
And to somehow link achievements in a game to the total amount of money circulating in it is - at least for your own argument - self-defeating. Because even if the numbers you posted would be somehow verified and not only posted in a reddit-thread with 12 comments and which probably includes non-game-content like tik-tok dances - as one of these 12 comments puts it (that don’t say anything about high quality competitiveness) - other games like LoL or Overwatch make way more. Now would that invalidate Brood War achievements?
As it stands, yes, the scene is way bigger in BW, but to somehow extract from that fact the idea that all achievements post KeSPA are a farce is ridiculous.
On November 08 2025 03:25 ejozl wrote: What are you on about, mid tier back then would be top tier now, just look at the dmg players like solar, shin, cure, trap and gumiho can do.
There were loads of upsets because everyone was trying their darndest, now ro32\16 is worth skipping because there aren't enough players to fill it out, which is what happened with gsl.
How do you arrive at the conclusion that there were loads of upsets? Upsets, by definition, are notable because they happen rarely - if they’re routine, then we’re just talking about a balanced mid-tier… not higher quality. I never looked at the newer time line, where upsets occur too. But an analysis of 2012-2016 showed that the favored player won in the vast majority of cases.
And I really can’t agree that mid tier back then equals top tier now. Most of the strongest names from that era couldn’t stay relevant past 2019/2020, even with all their experience. I think it is more accurate to say that there simply was no super-elite at the time. You had a couple of players winning more than the rest who were ahead of another big chunk, but there simply was no one like Maru or Serral who dominated in streaks of tournaments. And I think it is clear, that the reason is not less top competition or a decline in average skill, but the excellence of these two players.
On November 08 2025 07:43 Charoisaur wrote:Show nested quote +On November 08 2025 03:25 ejozl wrote: What are you on about, mid tier back then would be top tier now, just look at the dmg players like solar, shin, cure, trap and gumiho can do.
There were loads of upsets because everyone was trying their darndest, now ro32\16 is worth skipping because there aren't enough players to fill it out, which is what happened with gsl. Yeah, PartinG used to be the only player who got 10 ro16s in a row and back then it was an almost unbelievable achievement. That's how competitive even the ro32 was.
But why was it an unbelievable achievement? In my opinion, certainly not, because the Ro32 ranks were filled with only INnos, Lifes, prime-Marus and prime-Serrals.
The biggest chunk of players that left were the ones that couldn't compete, as is evidenced by the fact that most top dogs, that were able to play, kept on playing. For the past Ro32s this meant they were of course harder, when you had to face INno there. But you only had to do so, because there were much more mid players around to fill the other spots to even make a Ro32 possible. For the subsequent win of the tournament this isn't really of interest as you had to play the best of the best anyway sooner or later... having to defeat INno in the Ro32 or the final doesn't really matter... to win, you had to go beyond him or the player capable of eliminating him. Another reason is that there simply wasn't a super elite like Maru or Serral. These guys mostly had the same level, which means that the competitiveness arose from the fact that there was no truly dominating player. The first of these two observations is the reason why I gave the average place-metric in the prime-era much more positive adjustment than the tournament participation win rate. It simply was a metric that was under more impact from more mid-tier-players, as it led to a given player having to face a top beast much sooner.
Of course back then, you also had more 1-shot-players that were able to contest from time to time, although they were not the norm. But you also didn't have an above 85 % win rate monster, which is a bigger hurdle for above average players/GOAT contenders, as Monte Carlo simulations show.
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I know it sounds scientific to say that the best players are left and are the best because of process of elimination, but ask yourself, do you think more skill has left sc2 or more skill is still here?
Ppl don't want to spend their life pro gaming and waste away their future, so it makes sense to do it 100⅚, or not at all. Ppl might stick around at 80% and dilly dallying playing league or gambling in gacha games, that does not mean that serral and maru have bested their top form selves. And it made way more sense for non-koreans to continue playing because they were not descriminated against.
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Your right about upsets but I was answering that upsets never happened, with that, that is way more the case now.
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The truth is somewhere between koreans stopped trying and there's still plenty of money to be made so ofc they're still trying.
If you go from having a good steady salary and can augment it with prize winnings, game is somewhat popular etc. (also why looking only at prize money is kinda flawed) To the other extreme of no salary, couple of big tournaments that will give a lot of money.
Obviously they do and would practice for the tournaments in particular the ones with a large prize pool. But if you've been playing professionally for a decade and see most of the money go away it makes sense to either scale back your time investment or just move on completely.
As for the more or less skill in modern sc. There was a very similar discussion in bw that if you dropped any asl player into peak kespa era bw, the asl player would mop the floor due to build optimization/better meta game understanding. But given time to adjust due to the kespa team house and practice hours the raw mechanics would overtake the asl player once the builds or micro tricks etc are figured out.
I think the same kinda concept explains sc2 fairly accurately. I could be wrong but I don't think it's a coincidence that foreigners starting posted better results post kespa/team houses. I think it's more the playing field leveled off in terms of support/coaching and not necessarily that all of a sudden we have prodigy foreigners popping up for every race.
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On November 11 2025 04:00 ejozl wrote: I know it sounds scientific to say that the best players are left and are the best because of process of elimination, but ask yourself, do you think more skill has left sc2 or more skill is still here?
Ppl don't want to spend their life pro gaming and waste away their future, so it makes sense to do it 100⅚, or not at all. Ppl might stick around at 80% and dilly dallying playing league or gambling in gacha games, that does not mean that serral and maru have bested their top form selves. And it made way more sense for non-koreans to continue playing because they were not descriminated against.
What do you mean by skill? Mechanical skill? Skill to prepare for a 1 game dice roll? Average skill, peak skill, aggregate skill?
We have interviews from back then where the players that stayed explicitly said (I remember one from INno) that they are going to do their best, are highly motivated and that people shouldn't view the Proleague end so pessimistically. But I also don't really understand the over-arching argument here though. Of course Maru and Serral might not have bested some players top forms (no one ever claimed that)... but the reverse is true as well. The 2015-players did not have to face prime-Maru and prime-Serral. Plus, there is no reason to assume that Maru and Serral only won because the skill of players like INnoVation - or all the other big names - massively dropped over the span of 2-3 years. Or do you have any data or observable subjective takes that would speak for this idea? All the data that I looked at does not indicate some sort of massive drop in skill. So I'd be fine to deduct 2 or 3% because of motivation or a tad bit slower reflexes, but who knows if that was not compensated by experience.
On November 11 2025 04:18 Moonerz wrote: As for the more or less skill in modern sc. There was a very similar discussion in bw that if you dropped any asl player into peak kespa era bw, the asl player would mop the floor due to build optimization/better meta game understanding. But given time to adjust due to the kespa team house and practice hours the raw mechanics would overtake the asl player once the builds or micro tricks etc are figured out.
I think the same kinda concept explains sc2 fairly accurately. I could be wrong but I don't think it's a coincidence that foreigners starting posted better results post kespa/team houses. I think it's more the playing field leveled off in terms of support/coaching and not necessarily that all of a sudden we have prodigy foreigners popping up for every race.
I think WombaT's point is pretty accurate. Where before, most of the money was concentrated on one region being able to surface talent, that money now has been dispersed over the whole world. And of course, if we look at potential talent, there is statistically much more lurking in 8 billion people than in 50 million. That is simply common sense, unless we assume some racial superiority of Koreans, which could be a tad problematic  So to me, it isn't a surprise that the rest of the world was able to catch up after Korea's scene lost revenue.
For your analogy: Wouldn't we assume that the ASL player would get a team house as well, if we dropped him in that era? I mean sure, a team house or a well set up training environment are a huge asset... but isn't that one of the exact reasons why Koreans had this unfair advantage over the rest of the world? Big money and structural advantages to build such a multi million dollar machinery that gave them security, training, etc.? To create a hypothetical where you build in this asymmetry seems kind of self-defeating for the argument, no?
Given how substantially the advantage of Koreans was, I think it is still pretty impressive what excellent results some non-Koreans had in the peak SC2 era.
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Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 18 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated. But there’s overlap. Serral is playing the people who rose to the top of the pile when there were more full-time competitive pros. So how does that factor in?
It would be different if scene contracted, all the big hitters of an era retired and then Serral became dominant. If that had actually happened, you’ve had a lot fewer people anointing him the GOAT
I don’t get why you invoke guys like MC who demonstrably couldn’t compete at the same level when Kespa players raised the bar. He had more advantages on his side of the ledger than Serral did breaking through.
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On November 15 2025 17:29 PremoBeats wrote:Show nested quote +On November 11 2025 04:00 ejozl wrote: I know it sounds scientific to say that the best players are left and are the best because of process of elimination, but ask yourself, do you think more skill has left sc2 or more skill is still here?
Ppl don't want to spend their life pro gaming and waste away their future, so it makes sense to do it 100⅚, or not at all. Ppl might stick around at 80% and dilly dallying playing league or gambling in gacha games, that does not mean that serral and maru have bested their top form selves. And it made way more sense for non-koreans to continue playing because they were not descriminated against. What do you mean by skill? Mechanical skill? Skill to prepare for a 1 game dice roll? Average skill, peak skill, aggregate skill? We have interviews from back then where the players that stayed explicitly said (I remember one from INno) that they are going to do their best, are highly motivated and that people shouldn't view the Proleague end so pessimistically. But I also don't really understand the over-arching argument here though. Of course Maru and Serral might not have bested some players top forms (no one ever claimed that)... but the reverse is true as well. The 2015-players did not have to face prime-Maru and prime-Serral. Plus, there is no reason to assume that Maru and Serral only won because the skill of players like INnoVation - or all the other big names - massively dropped over the span of 2-3 years. Or do you have any data or observable subjective takes that would speak for this idea? All the data that I looked at does not indicate some sort of massive drop in skill. So I'd be fine to deduct 2 or 3% because of motivation or a tad bit slower reflexes, but who knows if that was not compensated by experience. Show nested quote +On November 11 2025 04:18 Moonerz wrote: As for the more or less skill in modern sc. There was a very similar discussion in bw that if you dropped any asl player into peak kespa era bw, the asl player would mop the floor due to build optimization/better meta game understanding. But given time to adjust due to the kespa team house and practice hours the raw mechanics would overtake the asl player once the builds or micro tricks etc are figured out.
I think the same kinda concept explains sc2 fairly accurately. I could be wrong but I don't think it's a coincidence that foreigners starting posted better results post kespa/team houses. I think it's more the playing field leveled off in terms of support/coaching and not necessarily that all of a sudden we have prodigy foreigners popping up for every race. I think WombaT's point is pretty accurate. Where before, most of the money was concentrated on one region being able to surface talent, that money now has been dispersed over the whole world. And of course, if we look at potential talent, there is statistically much more lurking in 8 billion people than in 50 million. That is simply common sense, unless we assume some racial superiority of Koreans, which could be a tad problematic  So to me, it isn't a surprise that the rest of the world was able to catch up after Korea's scene lost revenue. For your analogy: Wouldn't we assume that the ASL player would get a team house as well, if we dropped him in that era? I mean sure, a team house or a well set up training environment are a huge asset... but isn't that one of the exact reasons why Koreans had this unfair advantage over the rest of the world? Big money and structural advantages to build such a multi million dollar machinery that gave them security, training, etc.? To create a hypothetical where you build in this asymmetry seems kind of self-defeating for the argument, no? Given how substantially the advantage of Koreans was, I think it is still pretty impressive what excellent results some non-Koreans had in the peak SC2 era.
Theres a couple of points. 1) The asl player would be at a disadvantage without a team house. So without team houses the current skill level of the scene will always be lower than it could be.
2) Even if you gave the asl player a choice or opportunity to join the team house most of these guys are just older versions of themselves and self admittedly have slowed down physically. Not to mention family/life becomes more pressing as you age.
The asymmetry is the point. The competition hasn't been at the highest possible level for some time. That doesn't mean the players now aren't good etc. they're just playing in a much different environment, one that is clearly at a lower level due to the investment and many other factors.
Like for example if in 200 years club football isn't a thing and academies aren't a thing etc. And the usa plays england/france/spain in the world cup and wins -- I would find that way less impressive than a win against those sides now. Because the thing that made European players good wasn't their inherent genetic advantage, it was the machine that trained them and sorted the cream from the crop.
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On November 18 2025 03:52 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated. It would be different if scene contracted, all the big hitters of an era retired and then Serral became dominant.
You may be onto something. I wonder what happened in 2016 that made most people teamless or retired... oh right it was proleague disbanding and along with it, all pro teams except jin air, who in turn have nobody to compete with.
Here is the list of s-tier tournament winners and runner ups ( S-Tier Tournaments/HotS) during the height of the Kespa teamhouse era, and when they first became either teamless (more than a year) or retired for the first time from sc2. Not counting military service and if they then returned. And of course, many kespa dudes were not able to compete in other non-korean s-tier tournaments as well... so the very few foreigners that did something noteworthy in that time would be likely 0 if they also went abroad.
2013: duckdeok 2014: stephano 2015: yoda, first, flash, revival, snute, oz, san, rain, sora, pigbaby, stardust, heart, forgg 2016: life, leenock, soulkey, innovation, stardust, jaedong, taeja, polt, hyun, MC, bomber, dear, soo, byul, parting, zest, classic, sacsri, sen, mkp, hydra, dark, lilbow 2017: hero, naniwa, dream, curious 2018: mma, snute, jjakji 2020: impact 2021: sos 2024: trap
only maru, herO, solar, scarlett, cure, gumiho, true and mana have not been retired or teamless for longer than a year in that timespan until now.
If I count correctly, there had been 83 pairs of finalists, so 166 finalists. Out of these, non-koreans appeared a grand total of 9 times. Non-koreans only won twice out of 83.
Of all people who were finalists in an s-tier tournament during HotS 2013-15, 38 (out of 56) retired or were teamless for a significant amount of time of over a year already by 2016, 45 (out of 56) by 2018. You would think that retirements would be uniformly distributed in a healthy scene... but they were highly concentrated in 2015/16. And I only count finalists here, not the nonfinalists who make up by far the most people and who would be way more inclined to retire but i dont wanna count it because you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions.
So the creme of the crop, the best players during the most competitive era retired or had a hard time finding a new team in 2016.
For the Lotv era until 2016, we have way more foreigners winning, but this is also when the region lock was implemented in 2015, so basically only violet, true, hydra and polt were allowed to compete.
Average twitch viewership meanwhile went from 5k (August 2017) to now 1k (November 2025) in that post-kespa era. Forget about afreeca viewership for sc2, which was like a dozen guys literally (and it is literally 0 now for months). Given that streaming donations/subs is an indicator whether teams would actually support these players, the support must be declining even faster the past 8 years... and note that already in 2016 most of these guys were having issues finding a team. You think the average korean would want to spend their prime of their life teamless, locked out of most tournaments except for korea, or streaming sc2 for a foreign audience where they get basically no viewers that is declining fast the next years? Do you guys really believe the level of commitment towards sc2 from the most dominating people in SC2 history would be high given that saw no future left for sc2 already in 2016?
Now proceed to call this all overrated evidence and that foreigners somehow being able to compete has nothing to do with the best koreans retiring/having a hard time finding a team in 2015-16.
Honestly, this reeks from desperate non-koreans finally 'winning' in SC2 after being destroyed the first 6 years of SC2, where even the worst koreans were able to dominate in europe/NA after failing hard in korea. Now that koreans did not give a fuck about actually training hard for tournaments the past 10 years as they usually did, instead of calling it as it is, foreigners have deluded themselves the past 10 years that it must be that the level of competition has been actually as high as ever, and that the catchup was all because of talent/effort.
Hilarious.
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On November 18 2025 03:52 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated. But there’s overlap. Serral is playing the people who rose to the top of the pile when there were more full-time competitive pros. So how does that factor in? It would be different if scene contracted, all the big hitters of an era retired and then Serral became dominant. If that had actually happened, you’ve had a lot fewer people anointing him the GOAT I don’t get why you invoke guys like MC who demonstrably couldn’t compete at the same level when Kespa players raised the bar. He had more advantages on his side of the ledger than Serral did breaking through. Because being the last samurai doesn't mean you're the best samurai, you were the last before the decline, or even while it happened. Of course players just post peak are better than pre-peak from having gained from set peak.
Dingerdonger painted the picture nicely, though very unapologetically.
MC actually travelled everywhere and got top 2, as opposed to other players like MVP who stayed in korea more. It fits better with the number argument. But mc even had a resurgence in 2016, showing he still had the talent, but probably not the motivation to keep hanging around.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 18 2025 09:21 doktordingerdonger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 03:52 WombaT wrote:On November 18 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated. It would be different if scene contracted, all the big hitters of an era retired and then Serral became dominant. You may be onto something. I wonder what happened in 2016 that made most people teamless or retired... oh right it was proleague disbanding and along with it, all pro teams except jin air, who in turn have nobody to compete with. Here is the list of s-tier tournament winners and runner ups ( S-Tier Tournaments/HotS) during the height of the Kespa teamhouse era, and when they first became either teamless (more than a year) or retired for the first time from sc2. Not counting military service and if they then returned. And of course, many kespa dudes were not able to compete in other non-korean s-tier tournaments as well... so the very few foreigners that did something noteworthy in that time would be likely 0 if they also went abroad. 2013: duckdeok 2014: stephano 2015: yoda, first, flash, revival, snute, oz, san, rain, sora, pigbaby, stardust, heart, forgg 2016: life, leenock, soulkey, innovation, stardust, jaedong, taeja, polt, hyun, MC, bomber, dear, soo, byul, parting, zest, classic, sacsri, sen, mkp, hydra, dark, lilbow 2017: hero, naniwa, dream, curious 2018: mma, snute, jjakji 2020: impact 2021: sos 2024: trap only maru, herO, solar, scarlett, cure, gumiho, true and mana have not been retired or teamless for longer than a year in that timespan until now. If I count correctly, there had been 83 pairs of finalists, so 166 finalists. Out of these, non-koreans appeared a grand total of 9 times. Non-koreans only won twice out of 83. Of all people who were finalists in an s-tier tournament during HotS 2013-15, 38 (out of 56) retired or were teamless for a significant amount of time of over a year already by 2016, 45 (out of 56) by 2018. You would think that retirements would be uniformly distributed in a healthy scene... but they were highly concentrated in 2015/16. And I only count finalists here, not the nonfinalists who make up by far the most people and who would be way more inclined to retire but i dont wanna count it because you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions. So the creme of the crop, the best players during the most competitive era retired or had a hard time finding a new team in 2016. For the Lotv era until 2016, we have way more foreigners winning, but this is also when the region lock was implemented in 2015, so basically only violet, true, hydra and polt were allowed to compete. Average twitch viewership meanwhile went from 5k (August 2017) to now 1k (November 2025) in that post-kespa era. Forget about afreeca viewership for sc2, which was like a dozen guys literally (and it is literally 0 now for months). Given that streaming donations/subs is an indicator whether teams would actually support these players, the support must be declining even faster the past 8 years... and note that already in 2016 most of these guys were having issues finding a team. You think the average korean would want to spend their prime of their life teamless, locked out of most tournaments except for korea, or streaming sc2 for a foreign audience where they get basically no viewers that is declining fast the next years? Do you guys really believe the level of commitment towards sc2 from the most dominating people in SC2 history would be high given that saw no future left for sc2 already in 2016? Now proceed to call this all overrated evidence and that foreigners somehow being able to compete has nothing to do with the best koreans retiring/having a hard time finding a team in 2015-16. Honestly, this reeks from desperate non-koreans finally 'winning' in SC2 after being destroyed the first 6 years of SC2, where even the worst koreans were able to dominate in europe/NA after failing hard in korea. Now that koreans did not give a fuck about actually training hard for tournaments the past 10 years as they usually did, instead of calling it as it is, foreigners have deluded themselves the past 10 years that it must be that the level of competition has been actually as high as ever, and that the catchup was all because of talent/effort. Hilarious. Honestly this reeks of some fetishisation of Korean StarCraft whose honour must be defended at all costs for, some reason.
Region lock did what it was supposed to. Serral, along with Reynor and Clem are also just simply better than the top foreigners before them, which is a factor too. Foreign land was eventually going to produce some monsters, especially given it’s more popular outside of Korea.
Let’s take English football. Suppose the leagues under the Premiership all collapse. That’s going to have an effect on pro footballers, and the game overall. Either very good pros who aren’t quite good enough for the Premier League, or the next generation who may become good enough, but aren’t yet, don’t have a space to ply their trade or develop.
Over time the Premier League would also suffer, but the level would remain high for a time.
The argument for Serral tends not to be (or well, at least mine isn’t) that there wasn’t a decline in the Premier League. But that he got in early enough that it wasn’t a massive one, and his numbers were so bonkers that he’s at least in the GOAT conversation.
Hence why you see a lot less advocacy for Reynor and Clem. Despite their achievements they weren’t as consistently dominant, and some of their big wins are coming further down the line in a period of decline.
Now that koreans did not give a fuck about actually training hard for tournaments the past 10 years as they usually did Did prize money disappear?
It’s worth also noting that cats like Rain and Inno already had stints on foreign teams, and won things even during the Kespa era. Or you had Byun do his solo miracles. Other non-Kespa players were competitive during that era as well.
I say this every time. If the prize money is still damn solid, and nobody else is practicing, and I’m a progamer, my eyes would light up with dollar signs. I can just practice hard for a bit and dominate. Wouldn’t somebody have done that if that were actually the case?
It somehow manages to be insulting to both Serral and Koreans. Serral that his achievements are devalued, Koreans that they lack professional pride and ambition.
The scene certainly did contract, but it didn’t immediately massively impact the top players straight away, it was the Korean middle class who had previously prospered in other WCS regions. A mix of has-beens or never-quite beens.
A healthy scene needs layers, or it’ll decline over time, as we’ve seen. But minus the odd exploits of a Neeb, at least in 2017 thru 2019 or whatever, it was mostly a Korean hall of fame plus Serral competing at the business end of things.
It’s a pretty different conversation if Serral was just a top European/foreigner, who only started being in the mix for international Premiers by like 2022 or something.
You can almost split the discussion out into two areas. 1. Serral’s GOAT candidacy. 2. The overall health of SC2
On the second, well good news your parent will live! The bad news is we’ll have to amputate a leg, and they’re gonna need an oxygen tank the rest of their life. I think your analysis is pretty on the money here, and I think most here would agree within these hallowed walls.
On the first however, was the decline quick enough to greatly damage Serral’s claim? I’d argue no. His 2018-19 alone was very strong, and we have to remember too that many other legends of the game didn’t stay at the top for much longer than 2-3 years. That it’s more common for longer stretches now I think does indicate the decline of the scene with the next generation not coming through and challenging.
There’s also not really a way to devalue at least some of Serral’s best years without impacting on the claims of others. Rogue made hay, Maru became a prolific winner and went past Inno’s trophy haul, why didn’t Inno win a WC in the easy era? Etc etc
Ultimately it comes down to Serral and a bunch of people who’ll be in SC2’s hall of fame when it’s all over, duking it out. And Serral did pretty well. They were all in direct competition over a sustained period of time. It’s not like we’re comparing LeBron and Michael Jordan, or Wiger Toods and Jack Nicklaus, whose careers didn’t overlap.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 18 2025 16:00 ejozl wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 03:52 WombaT wrote:On November 18 2025 03:30 ejozl wrote: Skill can be everything in this case I'm pretty sure I'm right no matter the definition used here.
Koreans being good lads and trying to keep each other positive and in healthy mindset doesn't mean it's 100% right, same as when they have little thoughts on balance, because they actually want to keep professional.
It's not even that your argumentation isn't on point, but that it seems you are tunnel visioned into this narrative - 8billion ppl vs. 5million, when in reality it's serral being the best of hundreds where MC and others were the best out of thousands.
I have rly high respect for players like snute and naniwa, and of course neeb and serral too. But in the later case the shoe is on the other foot, serral and reynor had huge advantage of both race (in game) and being non-korean meaning they get income advantage.
Btw, if koreans for whatever reason were more gifted, I don't know because of asian fingers or for whatever reason, I think that should be celebrated. But there’s overlap. Serral is playing the people who rose to the top of the pile when there were more full-time competitive pros. So how does that factor in? It would be different if scene contracted, all the big hitters of an era retired and then Serral became dominant. If that had actually happened, you’ve had a lot fewer people anointing him the GOAT I don’t get why you invoke guys like MC who demonstrably couldn’t compete at the same level when Kespa players raised the bar. He had more advantages on his side of the ledger than Serral did breaking through. Because being the last samurai doesn't mean you're the best samurai, you were the last before the decline, or even while it happened. Of course players just post peak are better than pre-peak from having gained from set peak. Dingerdonger painted the picture nicely, though very unapologetically. MC actually travelled everywhere and got top 2, as opposed to other players like MVP who stayed in korea more. It fits better with the number argument. But mc even had a resurgence in 2016, showing he still had the talent, but probably not the motivation to keep hanging around. MC was one of the top samurai, until a bunch turned up that were better samurais, I mean we saw this happen. The same blokes that Serral didn’t have much issue competing with.
Ofc MC had talent and is a beloved legend of the game. But greatness is doing the thing, whatever that is.
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Stephano said back in 2012.? that there is a guy from Finland that will dominate. It's clear Serral is a GOAT to anyone watching SC2. No one ever dominated as he did/does.
Saying it is easier now makes no sense. Specially if you consider prizes.
And, there is an eye test. Cmon, last World Champ. was something unreal. All of the top games right now are unreal. If you compare them with older eras.
Of course, arguments that best players retired is false. Best players had no problems to find a team or to compete as solo warriors. Jaedong or Flash would never go back to BW if they thought SC2 could bring them more money.
Talents pool is way smaller and with time, scene will die but we can still enjoy best SC2 ever right now and for some more time.
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I don't think it's possible to keep dominating in such a vibrant scene, is the thing. He was still top dog in terms of earning till the collapse of kespa, so he has a great case, imo.
And it's not like It's easy to just show up and dominate, serral played semi pro in hots, that's 10+ years of catching up you'd have to do to enter the big bucks. We saw with parting it took over a year to get to top lvl condition, and he's a former pro.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 18 2025 22:54 Zergiica wrote: Stephano said back in 2012.? that there is a guy from Finland that will dominate. It's clear Serral is a GOAT to anyone watching SC2. No one ever dominated as he did/does.
Saying it is easier now makes no sense. Specially if you consider prizes.
And, there is an eye test. Cmon, last World Champ. was something unreal. All of the top games right now are unreal. If you compare them with older eras.
Of course, arguments that best players retired is false. Best players had no problems to find a team or to compete as solo warriors. Jaedong or Flash would never go back to BW if they thought SC2 could bring them more money.
Talents pool is way smaller and with time, scene will die but we can still enjoy best SC2 ever right now and for some more time. It’s quite funny because the Korean fanboys just ignore what the Korean players actually say about the lad. soO even called him out as a very promising talent before he exploded.
He’s frequently named as the scariest opponent, and has been for years.
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On November 18 2025 22:54 Zergiica wrote: Stephano said back in 2012.? that there is a guy from Finland that will dominate. It's clear Serral is a GOAT to anyone watching SC2. No one ever dominated as he did/does.
Saying it is easier now makes no sense. Specially if you consider prizes.
And, there is an eye test. Cmon, last World Champ. was something unreal. All of the top games right now are unreal. If you compare them with older eras.
Of course, arguments that best players retired is false. Best players had no problems to find a team or to compete as solo warriors. Jaedong or Flash would never go back to BW if they thought SC2 could bring them more money.
Talents pool is way smaller and with time, scene will die but we can still enjoy best SC2 ever right now and for some more time. You can't just watch Clem vs Serral and say the general skill level of the scene is higher than ever. Yes, they are probably the 2 most skilled players ever (at least mechanically) but they are also massive outliers in the current scene which is why tournaments are always won by them and maybe sometimes Maru or Reynor. If I compare herO (the best Protoss currently) to 2016-2019 Stats, Stats wins everytime. herO makes so many mistakes. Players like Cure, Maru, ByuN, Dark (when he was still there) were also all stronger mechanically 6-7 years ago, and I think that's pretty evident and also what they think. So the average opponent Serral or Clem has to beat to win a tournament is weaker mechanically than 6-7 years ago.
If you talk about strategy/optimization that's another question. Flash famously said that his 2018-self would smash his 2010-self due to superior game knowledge, but if his 2010 self would get a couple months to adapt he would overcome his 2018-self. However, I'm not sure if that's applicable to sc2 since they are playing a completely different version of the game and much of the current game knowledge wouldn't be applicable to an earlier version of the game.
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On November 18 2025 09:21 doktordingerdonger wrote:Here is the list of s-tier tournament winners and runner ups ( S-Tier Tournaments/HotS) during the height of the Kespa teamhouse era, and when they first became either teamless (more than a year) or retired for the first time from sc2. Not counting military service and if they then returned. And of course, many kespa dudes were not able to compete in other non-korean s-tier tournaments as well... so the very few foreigners that did something noteworthy in that time would be likely 0 if they also went abroad. 2013: duckdeok 2014: stephano 2015: yoda, first, flash, revival, snute, oz, san, rain, sora, pigbaby, stardust, heart, forgg 2016: life, leenock, soulkey, innovation, stardust, jaedong, taeja, polt, hyun, MC, bomber, dear, soo, byul, parting, zest, classic, sacsri, sen, mkp, hydra, dark, lilbow 2017: hero, naniwa, dream, curious 2018: mma, snute, jjakji 2020: impact 2021: sos 2024: trap only maru, herO, solar, scarlett, cure, gumiho, true and mana have not been retired or teamless for longer than a year in that timespan until now. (...) Of all people who were finalists in an s-tier tournament during HotS 2013-15, 38 (out of 56) retired or were teamless for a significant amount of time of over a year already by 2016, 45 (out of 56) by 2018. You would think that retirements would be uniformly distributed in a healthy scene... but they were highly concentrated in 2015/16. And I only count finalists here, not the nonfinalists who make up by far the most people and who would be way more inclined to retire but i dont wanna count it because you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions. So the creme of the crop, the best players during the most competitive era retired or had a hard time finding a new team in 2016.
Oh, this is a doozy. You're conflating the decline of a scene with the restructuring of a scene, and to prove your point you're defining the decline of the scene by the metrics of that restructure (and for bonus points, ignoring both the launch of BW Remaster and the continued utter competitiveness of most of the players in your 2016 list).
You're throwing together players who were teamless but competitive, teamless and uncompetitive, retired (just kidding, we're gonna win future world championships), retired (for realz I promise), who left to practice BW for Remaster, and players who were literally banned for life for matchfixing (contributing directly to the end of kespa) all into the same bucket.
On November 18 2025 09:21 doktordingerdonger wrote: you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions.
Yeah no this is why your effort is being dismissed. Your entire case is made of whole cloth.
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Northern Ireland26505 Posts
On November 19 2025 02:01 sc2turtlepants wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 09:21 doktordingerdonger wrote:Here is the list of s-tier tournament winners and runner ups ( S-Tier Tournaments/HotS) during the height of the Kespa teamhouse era, and when they first became either teamless (more than a year) or retired for the first time from sc2. Not counting military service and if they then returned. And of course, many kespa dudes were not able to compete in other non-korean s-tier tournaments as well... so the very few foreigners that did something noteworthy in that time would be likely 0 if they also went abroad. 2013: duckdeok 2014: stephano 2015: yoda, first, flash, revival, snute, oz, san, rain, sora, pigbaby, stardust, heart, forgg 2016: life, leenock, soulkey, innovation, stardust, jaedong, taeja, polt, hyun, MC, bomber, dear, soo, byul, parting, zest, classic, sacsri, sen, mkp, hydra, dark, lilbow 2017: hero, naniwa, dream, curious 2018: mma, snute, jjakji 2020: impact 2021: sos 2024: trap only maru, herO, solar, scarlett, cure, gumiho, true and mana have not been retired or teamless for longer than a year in that timespan until now. (...) Of all people who were finalists in an s-tier tournament during HotS 2013-15, 38 (out of 56) retired or were teamless for a significant amount of time of over a year already by 2016, 45 (out of 56) by 2018. You would think that retirements would be uniformly distributed in a healthy scene... but they were highly concentrated in 2015/16. And I only count finalists here, not the nonfinalists who make up by far the most people and who would be way more inclined to retire but i dont wanna count it because you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions. So the creme of the crop, the best players during the most competitive era retired or had a hard time finding a new team in 2016.
Oh, this is a doozy. You're conflating the decline of a scene with the restructuring of a scene, and to prove your point you're defining the decline of the scene by the metrics of that restructure (and for bonus points, ignoring both the launch of BW Remaster and the continued utter competitiveness of most of the players in your 2016 list). You're throwing together players who were teamless but competitive, teamless and uncompetitive, retired (just kidding, we're gonna win future world championships), retired (for realz I promise), who left to practice BW for Remaster, and players who were literally banned for life for matchfixing (contributing directly to the end of kespa) all into the same bucket. Show nested quote +On November 18 2025 09:21 doktordingerdonger wrote: you guys would dismiss that effort like you always do and return to your usual delusions.
Yeah no this is why your effort is being dismissed. Your entire case is made of whole cloth. Also look at the decline in Twitch viewership through a 7 year period post Kespa. Not the other side of the 7 years which would roughly cover the game coming out until the end of Kespa!
Need I mention that Kespa players like, broadly didn’t stream? I mean yes it’s a useful barometer of a shrinking scene sure, but what point is being made in this invocation?
My biggest criticism of Kespa was that they just did BW again. But unlike BW, this time the audience was primarily non-Korean and they didn’t really adapt to that reality.
It’s not super relevant to the GOAT chat, but I just felt I’d mention.
Post feels like a bunch of (correct) bullet points, but out of order and with no dates or timeline to work off. So conclusions are well, a bit wonky.
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