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KeSPA Cup 2016 - Power Rank

Forum Index > SC2 General
126 CommentsPost a Reply
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KeSPA Cup 2016 - Power Rank

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
September 27th, 2016 00:04 GMT

Welcome to KeSPA Cup—the first Global Event of 2016! It’s been a long buildup to the main event over the last couple of weeks, but we’re finally about to kick off the Korea vs the World rivalry we’ve been looking forward to all year. One group will be played per day from Tuesday to Friday, before a day off leads us into the playoffs on Sunday and Monday. Join us for a power rank of the sixteen players in attendance. As usual, the standard qualifiers apply—this is a PR collated from the votes of seven writers, ensuring that none of us are happy with the final result. For the first time though, we’re showing exactly how each of us voted, allowing all of you to abuse us personally in the comments instead of hiding under the TL Esports banner.



Power Rank



#16: MVP.(Z)Pet

Pet ZvZ'd his way through the qualifier. Fortunately for the suspense here, that tells us next to nothing about his skill overall, especially because nothing was streamed. Pet's only other ventures have come online against mixed competition, with mixed results. HIs GSL Season 2 was cut short by (P)Stork in Code A.
The only thing that makes me think Pet has any chance of taking the odd map is that he beat SSL runner-up and Cross Finals Champion (Z)Dark in his final qualifying series. Regardless of what match-up you're playing, beating Dark is impressive.

So good on you, Pet. Let's see what you've got. Until then, though, I'm putting you at #16. [E/N: So is everyone else]

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
16161616161616



#15: Millenium.(T)MarineLorD

Let’s not beat around the bush; it’s been a pretty disappointing year for MarineLorD. Sure, 2nd place at DH Valencia was impressive, albeit falling crushingly short after Nerchio’s dominant 4-0 win in the final, but results elsewhere have been lacking. Top 16 finishes at WCS Winter and Summer, a top 8 place at HSC, and assorted other low finishes aren’t really anything to be embarassed about, but after the hype train that was Nation Wars last December, it’s been a swift fall from grace. At the start of the year, MarineLorD stated that he wanted at least a $50,000 haul from the year to justify the progamer life; as we come to the end of 2016, it seems he’s likely to fall short. Nothing is expected of him here, and he’ll be the biggest underdog of the foreigner triple threat in this competition (especially given his tough group). Then again, we have to remember the run that kicked off his year; the run that announced him as a threat in Legacy of the Void. None of those players he demolished will be here—Hydra, PartinG and INnoVation—but Korea does not forget. They’ll be gunning for him, but with nothing to lose here, MarineLorD may well give them one more thing to remember.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
15151515131415



#14: PSISTORM.(Z)TRUE

With a WCS title under his belt, TRUE didn't need any additional WCS Points. Regardless, he qualified through the NA qualifier with flying colors. That's in stark contrast to his Open Qualifier performance, though, where he was quickly 2-0'd by (P)Super. If that is anything to go by, then TRUE might face some trouble in KeSPA Cup. Nevertheless, he has done very well against any kind of competition in the foreign scene, of which some players are ranked higher than TRUE himself here, so I will cut him some slack.

Inexperience in Korea will not be his downfall, as TRUE was a Code S player before relocating to the US. He's also in arguably the weakest group. But this ranking is not about who has the best chances to advance, it's about who we think are the best players overall. And although TRUE is good, we agreed that the players above him are better.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
13121414141514



#13 JinAir.(P)Trap

Despite Jin Air’s overwhelming success this year, Trap’s gone under the radar in 2016. A top 16 finish in GSL S1 was encouraging, looking particularly clean against Super, but poor performances in Season 2 contributed to early exits in both competitions. Usurped by Cure for Jin Air’s 4th spot, Trap’s had little to do in the back end of 2016. Then again, Trap’s never been a player who’s particularly impressed in the Korean starleagues, save for his breakout 5th place finish in WCS KR S3 2013. He’s always been a player who kicks it up a gear in his rare forays in foreign events with remarkable reliability—top 4 at the WCS S3 Finals in 2013, 1st and 4th at MLG Anaheim and Red Bull Washington respectively in 2014, and his silver medal at IEM Katowice last year. Shorn of those opportunities this year, this will be Trap’s final chance in 2016; can he conjure up some weekender magic once more?

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
14141313111313



#12: TING.(P)Neeb

Arguably the best American player, Neeb, is hard to rank. Summed up in short, it's because there are two different players wrapped in one Neeb. One that is good enough to 4-0 a GSL champion online and dominate foreign opposition, and another who, at the first sign of glory, lets himself be overcome by panic and nerves. These two play the game differently. Whereas regular Neeb approaches the game similarly to Zest, figuring out builds, refining them and executing them very well, nervous Neeb lets it fall apart. Execution requires a level of calmness, a view from above and cold blood, and nervousness directly opposes that. Neeb is his own worst enemy, because his personality almost directly opposes his style of play.

If that were not the case, chances are Neeb would dominate the foreign scene entirely and, naturally, be ranked higher. How this translates to his performance at the offline KeSPA Cup is hard to say. He has had some time to get accustomed to Korea, having lived there for a few weeks now. He may have played against others in this event on ladder before. But Korea is a rough neighborhood, and competition will be harder than ever before. Neeb may come into the tournament with a 'nothing to lose' attitude, calming his mind and letting him perform well, but he may also crumble under the heavy weight of Korea's greatest players. A group with ByuN, Zest and Rogue could absolutely do both.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
1213121115118



#11 JinAir.(Z)Rogue

There’s been no more confusing player to watch in Korea this year than Rogue. From the utter consistency of 2015—five top 8 finishes out of six in the starleagues—to the crazy ups and downs of 2016, Rogue’s definitely taken a backward step this year. Still, for every dispiriting defeat, there’s an equally uplifting reminder of Rogue at his creative best, not least in his multiple unorthodox victories over Zest during the year. His ZvZ has grown from strength to strength (7-0 in Proleague this year), and he’s arguably the best mirror matcher that the race has to offer right now. What we saw last year from Rogue was a player who’d crush through lesser opposition in the early rounds, before being unable to beat the best in the business when the pressure ramped up. Arguably, it’s been completely the opposite this year; clutch for Jin Air in ace matches, while having enough tools to take out unsuspecting opposition. It’s a formula that thwarted him in the starleagues, but the fast paced KeSPA Cup rounds, Rogue could spring an upset.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
10101012101212



#10: KT.(P)Zest

Never did I imagine that Zest would fall this hard after his dominant GSL winning run. It's taken only seven series to push him from what could still be the throne of this ranking down to tenth place. Those series are the last ones he has played. Every one of them he lost. But it isn't that he lost them, it's the manner he lost them in. While he was painting near perfect pictures previously, his strokes now seem blunt and rough. His execution appears especially questionable, his decisions sometimes off.

Now, seven series is not much to write someone off completely. With three GSL trophies and a KeSPA Cup in Korea alone, Zest's ability to bounce back stronger than ever is immense. His recent form makes you wonder if #10 is even low enough, but the fact that he won a GSL this year and was the best player in the world for a long time lets him stay here. Class is permanent, and Zest most certainly has it, but his form does not appear to be there right now.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
111111981010



#9 EURONICS.(Z)Nerchio

Is there really another choice right now for ‘Best Foreigner in SC2’? Nerchio’s relentless self-promotion, both on the message boards and in the server, has garnered him plenty of fans around the world. Not without reason; the EURONICS zerg has put together an awesomely consistent set of results since the release of Legacy of the Void. He’s reached the top 8 in eight of his ten competitive appearances since DH Winter 2015, including the runners up spot at WCS Spring and the gold at DH Valencia—a record that only Neeb comes close to matching. It’s not just foreigners that Nerchio is crushing though; in the past four months, his record against KR-based Koreans is 20-6, including six victims from his rampage through SHOUTcraft Kings September. The Polish zerg is a very real threat here, and if his motivation for success here isn’t already at an all-time high, certain comments from SKT Dark might push him over the edge. Nerchio notably shares a group with Dark’s teammate Classic, and success here could well mean an awkward night in the SKT house.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
99881297



#8: Afreeca.(P)Patience

It may be time to re-evaluate Patience as a player. Always talked about as someone who isn't good enough to hang with the very best, but occasionally take games off them, the Afreeca ace has finally hit his stride and it's become impossible to deny it. That's why, at the last event before BlizzCon, Patience is still fighting for a spot, and he isn't far off either. Had Classic failed to qualify for KeSPA Cup, Patience' ticket to Anaheim would already be booked.

Patience is not your everyday cheesy Protoss anymore. He's now someone who easily 2-0'd (T)INnoVation and (P)sOs, despite the latter having everything to lose. He's the one who knocked GSL champion Zest out of Starleague in a Bo5. He beat TY and Cure to get there in the first place. Patience is now good enough to compete with the best, and to beat them. And right here, he can prove it by securing his place at the Global Finals. That's why, deservedly so, Patience ranks at #8 and may even deserve higher if his recent form is anything to go by.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
88910969



#7 CJ.(P)herO

herO was by far the most polarising player in the entire PR. Ranked as high as #4 by one writer, and as low as #11 by another, the CJ ace seems to be the one player that we can’t really agree on at all. That’s partly because he’s neither had the eyecatching starleague placements of some of those above him, nor the mindboggling Proleague results of others (Maru). Still, it bears repeating that while it’s been a step down from his stellar 2015, herO’s still had a great year. Two top 8 finishes in the GSL have been paired with a 20-9 record in Proleague—results all the more impressive given how disastrously the rest of CJ have performed this year. Let’s not forget too—herO still has an outside chance of stealing the 8th seed for BlizzCon. Sure, it’s unlikely—he’ll need to win the whole thing, while hoping Classic and Patience drop out early—but with one more target to aim at, 2016’s not quite over yet for herO.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
46577811



#6: JinAir.(T)Maru

A single Ro16. That's Maru's individual league achievements throughout the whole year. Despite all the talk that Korean competition is too rough, which may very well be the case, Maru just didn't show up in them. He failed to qualify for anything in Season 1, fell out of Starleague in S2 Challenger again. His GSL S2 run was ended by (P)MyuNgSiK and (P)Dear, just about summing up that chapter of his career. So why is he at #6?

Well, Maru's Proleague record is absurd. 22-4 is good, no matter how you spin it. And despite being eliminated from every individual competition early, Maru rarely looked bad in defeat. He did, however, look absolutely dominant in victory. It's incredibly hard to rank Maru due to his lack of individual success, but we've decided to give him the benefit of the doubt and agreed that the way he played Proleague all year deserves a decent ranking. So welcome at rank 6, Maru.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
5776636



#5 KT.(P)Stats

“Anything that Stats can do, Zest can do better”. It’s a fact that Stats’ big brother on KT proved time and again in the first half of the year. It was Zest who won his starleague final; Zest who led KT to Proleague success. That’s the perceived wisdom though. Since his SSL loss to Dark, Stats went from strength to strength; winning the Cross Finals over Zest and Dark while embarking on a 15-1 winstreak in Proleague. Where Zest has struggled, Stats has made his case to be KT’s #1 player, even if a tight 2-3 loss to Classic kicked him out of the SSL and a rare bad day at the office led to 0-2s from Cure and MyuNgSiK in the GSL. Stats has always been the dark horse of the protoss pack. Zest, Classic, herO and sOs have all tasted success on multiple occasions, but Stats is still yet to stand on the stage as a champion—let’s be honest, the Cross Finals don’t really count. His consistency throughout the year has delivered him a guaranteed spot at BlizzCon; it’s time for him to add the KeSPA Cup cherry to the cake.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
7564575



#4: SKT.(P)Classic

Currently sitting very uncomfortably in #8 of the Korean WCS rankings, Classic has definitely stepped up from where he was earlier this year. To be honest with you, this writer (Olli) thinks that Legacy of the Void is absolutely not a game made for Classic, a player who previously excelled at no single thing in particular, but was the most versatile Protoss in the world. He can do absolutely everything at a very high level, and HotS simply had more strategies for him to use. The more Classic is allowed to do, the better he is. That's why I still don't think that he's as good as he was in the previous expansion. When he won his SSL and IEM titles, Classic was the best player in the world. Those heights he hasn't reached since.

But he has definitely improved compared to his early days in the new game. His SSL semifinal series against Dark was one of the best series of the year, played at an immensely high level. Despite Dark barely edging out a win in the end, Classic did plenty to show that he is still very much one of the greats. His form is good, he looks good in every match-up, he's a championship caliber player. And, perhaps most importantly, Classic has everything to play for, with Patience on his heels in WCS.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
6445454



#3 KT.(T)TY

Much like Stats, TY’s seemingly fated to be ‘that player who places highly but fails to win’. Denied GSL victory by his teammate Zest, he’s nonetheless been excellent throughout 2016. Following up his GSL silver with a pair of top 8 finishes gives him a consistency other players on this list can only dream of, and he was only denied further glory by some inspired PvT from Dear, and some world class ZvT from his traditional nemesis Dark. Still, it’s all added up to another year of ‘not quite’ for the KT terran—not quite good enough in TvP to beat Zest or Dear; not quite good enough in TvZ to beat Dark; not quite good enough in TvT to beat Maru. Much like Stats, TY’s always been good, but not the best. What better time to correct that status than the first Global Event of 2016?

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
3332243



#2: Samsung.(Z)Solar

Solar has deserved to be the highest ranking Zerg in something for so long. This time, there's no soO to automatically rank above him, as it was in 2014. No Life, as in 2015. And with Dark not qualifying for KeSPA Cup, his current rival isn't here either. And thus, Solar is the best Zerg at this event. The reigning Starleague champion almost added another trophy to his growing stack, but was ultimately out-ZvZ-ed by Dark in a deciding fifth game of the Cross Finals. With top class ZvZ, arguably the best ZvP on the planet, and largely untested ZvT that we expect to be quite decent as well, Solar is one of the hottest contenders to take home KeSPA Cup as well.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
2223322



#1 (T)ByuN

Besides Pet, there was only one player that all seven of us agreed on. The reigning GSL champion is on a hot streak that rivals anything we’ve seen this year so far. ByuN shares Zest’s impenetrable aura in Season 1, and Maru’s irresistable force during his unbeaten proleague run. His TvP prowess is off the charts; since the start of July, ByuN is 80-8 in the matchup, with just one series loss to Classic in the SSL (having beaten Classic in their opening match). With 4-1 wins over both Dear and sOs en route to the GSL title, that particular streak doesn’t look like stopping anytime soon, with his transcendent micro control making mincemeat of protoss’ traditional adept-heavy armies. An 80% winrate in TvT in the same timeframe is hardly poor either, including a win over INnoVation (although it must be mentioned that he’s yet to face either TY or Maru this year).

If he’s got one weakness, it’s that his TvZ is shaky sometimes, though his weakness against lategame zerg is more a generic terran concern than one attributable to him in particular. His 2-3 loss to Dark in the Cross-Finals demonstrated his inability to crack late game ultra-heavy compositions, although such a tight loss to the best ZvTer in the world is hardly a loss to be ashamed of. We’re in an age where none of the players we watch are perfect; there’s no 2011 Mvp to be found here. But in a set of players who all have their faults, ByuN shines as the star with the highest peaks. If he performs to his peak potential, with no Dark to stop him here, ByuN’s the clear favourite to take the tournament.

munchOlliTheOneAboveUhexhavenDestructiconbanjoetheredskinSoularion
1111111






Writer: Olli, munch
Editor: Olli, munch
Graphics: shiroiusagi
 
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TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 26 2016 23:59 GMT
#2
NERCHIO DISRESPECTED
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
munch
Profile Joined July 2014
Mute City2363 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-27 00:00:24
September 27 2016 00:00 GMT
#3
time to tell us who is the most biased
WriterForm is temporary, MMA is permanent || http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/508630-article-archive
seemsgood
Profile Joined January 2016
5527 Posts
September 27 2016 00:02 GMT
#4
THIS IS THE MOST HYPE TOURNAMENT IN 2016.
Look at how many topic about it.
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13974 Posts
September 27 2016 00:17 GMT
#5
Classic > Rogue Finals, ByuN gets second in his group
Kaina + Drones Linkcro Summon Cupsie Yummy Way
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33390 Posts
September 27 2016 00:20 GMT
#6
I don't know guys, are you sure you know StarCraft ?
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16071 Posts
September 27 2016 00:30 GMT
#7
Nerchio ahead of Zest and Rogue is VERY generous lol.

I guess he does have a slightly easier group though so I guess it works out. Winners of Group A I think will be the heavy favorites to take the whole tournament.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
September 27 2016 00:34 GMT
#8
A foreigner in top10 power rank? on teamliquid? Dreams are made of this
Neosteel Enthusiast
sparklyresidue
Profile Joined August 2011
United States5523 Posts
September 27 2016 00:36 GMT
#9
However this turns out it's a victory for me. I'm curious to see how these predictions pan out via groups.
Like Tinkerbelle, I leave behind a sparkly residue.
Nerchio
Profile Joined October 2009
Poland2633 Posts
September 27 2016 00:42 GMT
#10
Everybody else in my group is higher than me, terrible power rank.

I can be #9, whatever, but patience/classic/maru need to be lower than #9
Progamer"I am the best" - Nerchio , 2017.
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 27 2016 00:42 GMT
#11
Interesting list, seems decent enough

Byun's mentioned winrates include a lot of online play i would imagine? While i think his skill atm is absolutely there he really plays a lot vs mediocre competition and thus the winrates are not really a good indicator.
You have to put him at number one though so it's ok.
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
September 27 2016 00:42 GMT
#12
pretty sure Pet will obliterate the Cup and this PR
TL+ Member
FrkFrJss
Profile Joined April 2015
Canada1205 Posts
September 27 2016 00:42 GMT
#13
I'm pretty surprised that the foreigners didn't occupy the last four places (plus Pet), but I think I can understand Zest and Rogue's placing given Zest's recent form and Rogue's not-very-much that he has accomplished this year.

I do think that there are some very apt comparisons with Zest and Neeb. When they're on, they're really on, but when they're off, they're really off. Zest can go from winning GSLs to losing to TangTang. And Neeb has spectacularly failed at certain times in tournaments.

It should be a fun tournament.
"Keep Moving Forward" - Walt Disney
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-27 00:51:54
September 27 2016 00:48 GMT
#14
Very nice. You should have published the individual results years ago.

What I got from all this is that Soularion is the fool who likes foreigners, Destructicon is the KeSPA elitist, and everyone's overrating Maru.

On September 27 2016 09:42 Paljas wrote:
pretty sure Pet will obliterate the Cup and this PR


Pet outZvZing TRUE would be best possible finals for this cup.
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 27 2016 00:51 GMT
#15
On September 27 2016 09:48 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
Very nice. You should have published the individual results years ago.

What I got from all this is that Soularion is the fool who likes foreigners, Destructicon is the KeSPA elitist, and everyone's overrating Maru.

Yeah i also like Destruction's list the most
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
September 27 2016 01:07 GMT
#16
Only Destruction makes sense. Nerchio could be rank 13, the highest of all foreigners and True
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
September 27 2016 01:56 GMT
#17
On September 27 2016 09:48 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
Very nice. You should have published the individual results years ago.

What I got from all this is that Soularion is the fool who likes foreigners, Destructicon is the KeSPA elitist, and everyone's overrating Maru.

Show nested quote +
On September 27 2016 09:42 Paljas wrote:
pretty sure Pet will obliterate the Cup and this PR


Pet outZvZing TRUE would be best possible finals for this cup.


pretty accurate. Funnily Ravi said Soul wasn't biased enough to NA players.
Moderator
Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
September 27 2016 02:42 GMT
#18
I don't even like foreigners /that/ much, I just don't see that much from the koreans here

Pet is horrible, Trap is weak, Rogue and Zest have both had very very middling form recently, while herO/patience are totally arguable - I just haven't seen enough from herO, and his decisive losses in the Ro8 of both GSLs are the main thing I've seen from his year.

note neeb is floating super high in KR GM right now, which is pretty good, and Nerchio just ravaged a bunch of koreans in shoutcraft. I like foreigners, but not unreasonably
Writermaru pls
Xenharmonic
Profile Joined August 2011
Australia1 Post
September 27 2016 03:34 GMT
#19
Just did a search of the web and found NO information on who is commentating. Why is nobody asking this question!?
Is it Tastosis?
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
September 27 2016 03:35 GMT
#20
On September 27 2016 12:34 Xenharmonic wrote:
Just did a search of the web and found NO information on who is commentating. Why is nobody asking this question!?
Is it Tastosis?

Im almost certain it'll be Wolf and Brenden
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
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