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Feb 10: Balance Test Map Coming - Page 50

Forum Index > SC2 General
992 CommentsPost a Reply
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WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26794 Posts
February 13 2014 03:14 GMT
#981
On February 13 2014 12:06 SC2Toastie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2014 11:23 Wombat_NI wrote:
Jesus, sniping banelings, you guys have better mouse accuracy than me for sure!

It's not that hard... :O
Also, you should have tanks, which helps.

Within the confines of Ghostmech yes, but real men play GhostBio TvZ. Well, Gumiho and that was only like twice
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
vthree
Profile Joined November 2011
Hong Kong8039 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-13 03:25:02
February 13 2014 03:21 GMT
#982
On February 13 2014 09:41 DinoMight wrote:
I kind of want to see what happened in Brood War. Blizzard says OKAY WERE DONE HERE and just leaves the game alone for 10 years. Let map makers and metagame figure it out.

The metagame evolves so quickly especially nowadays when information sharing is so much easier (there were no Day9 dailies and Youtube tutorials back then, pros could not as easily send each other replays and watch VoDs). We need to give people some time to learn how to react to things. It's much easier to create a new cheese or strategy than to learn how to stop it effectively.

Map making is also a VERY powerful balance tool. Just look at Daedalus. Once Zergs figured out that the only option was for Protoss to go balls out cheese they started going 14/14 and winning every game. It was in fact the only balance tool used in BW once the last patch hit in like 2001 (or whatever, not sure when exact date was).

Blizzard's approach with SC2 seems to be "nerf the build du jour" without really allowing people to figure out alternatives. As soon as something becomes standard, Blizzard decides it needs a nerf. If they just left the game alone, people would eventually figure out things to do, out of necessity. Like they did in Brood War. SC2 has no Bisu, has no Savior... just a bunch of guys playing standard until Blizzard changes standard by nerfing something into the ground.


Actually, doesn't information sharing make it easier to learn how to stop the cheese? Hell, almost everyone on TL knows what should be done vs blink all-ins and immortal sentries all-in. The execution and the margin of error is the problem.

The competitive environment for BW was very different. With PL being the most dominate tournament, maps and race balance didn't have a huge impact and could be more flexible. Daedulus would be an ok map for PL, simply because it would mostly be ZvZ and maybe some snipe P builds like Ruin's. But when put in Code A, we saw what happened.
aZealot
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
New Zealand5447 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-13 08:17:39
February 13 2014 07:51 GMT
#983
On February 13 2014 11:23 Whitewing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2014 11:21 aZealot wrote:
Do you mean holding the third? Or expanding in general? If the latter, this is demonstrably untrue. Heck, Daedalus Point was as bad for Terran as for Protoss. A choke or ramp to the second is as necessary for T against Z as for P.

As for FF and GW units, you may be right. But, no GW units are strong enough to hold off Banelings or massive Ling surrounds without FF. You'd buff them so much they could be OP when massed or at any stage of the MU vs Terran.

It's not as easy as tossing around numbers and dreaming up our ideal Protoss (or SC for that matter).

I 100% agree on the Colossus though. I wish it is tweaked for LOTV. If anything so as to help SG play.


For terran, Daedalus point had a lot to do with the distance from the main to the natural as well, it's not just the ramp size. On maps where you can't wall off a choke, you can usually do a partial wall from the nexus to the ramp or something to prevent units from running past, and rely on good sim city for defense. On Daedalus point, because the distance is so huge, you can't even attempt it.


But, it's not just Daedalus, is it? Given a completely open natural T would be in the same trouble as P is vs mass Zerg armies. Maybe not to the same extent, but that would be because of bunkers, Tanks, Mines and a core army comprised of ranged units. Heck, even maps with larger ramps than usual to the natural (like Akilon) were often susceptible to busts.

You can't do away with the narrow ramp to the main or a defensible natural in Starcraft.

The same feature even seems to hold true of some of the BW maps I have just been looking. Now, I don't know much about BW map making at all (other than the phrase, "BW was balanced through maps" which, when you think about it, doesn't really say anything worthwhile - especially when the data still indicates strong swings in racial win rates) but some of these maps, and these appear to be the better known maps (as far as I know) appear to share the same traits.

For example, Fighting Spirit: http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/maps/237_Fighting Spirit.jpg

This has a main on the high ground with a ramp leading to a natural that is in a choke and which has a large bridge leading into it. The third is relatively close and itself is on the high ground with two ramps into it.

Here is Python: http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/maps/147_Python.jpg

Here too there is a high ground main with a ramp leading to a natural which is situated within a large choke.

Here is Bloody Ridge: http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/maps/415_Bloody Ridge.jpg

Here the main is on the low ground but well within a choke. The natural is very close and itself situated within a choke.

I chose these maps from the TL BW map database. They also appear to have been in recent use so I expect that they are well known and popular BW maps, and being of recent use would reflect the current meta for BW maps (at least this is my uneducated assumption). Certainly, Fighting Spirit which I have played with StarBow is as I described (as is Texas).

(I looked at about 6 maps which all looked the same with respect to the layout of the main and natural.)

So, I have to question if the Sentry and FF are really as restrictive to map making as we think it is. The basic SC2 map layout seems to be similar to that accepted for BW as the basic layout for the main and natural. This way, all races start equal.

Sure, you can argue that the third etc for SC2 should not be too close or too defensible. I'd like to see the location of the third played with, as with different resource allocations for the natural and third (but the main should be standard, I think). But, I do not think there is a hard requirement for the map to be FF friendly for P. I know, as a Protoss, moving out on an open map means I have to be vigilant and scout ahead with MSC or Hallu and hug walls. For Z, for example, it means opportunity to poke and press and harry the enemy as it moves across the map. That leads to decisions and tension and good game play.

At least that's how I see it.

KT best KT ~ 2014
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
February 13 2014 11:56 GMT
#984
On February 13 2014 16:51 aZealot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2014 11:23 Whitewing wrote:
On February 13 2014 11:21 aZealot wrote:
Do you mean holding the third? Or expanding in general? If the latter, this is demonstrably untrue. Heck, Daedalus Point was as bad for Terran as for Protoss. A choke or ramp to the second is as necessary for T against Z as for P.

As for FF and GW units, you may be right. But, no GW units are strong enough to hold off Banelings or massive Ling surrounds without FF. You'd buff them so much they could be OP when massed or at any stage of the MU vs Terran.

It's not as easy as tossing around numbers and dreaming up our ideal Protoss (or SC for that matter).

I 100% agree on the Colossus though. I wish it is tweaked for LOTV. If anything so as to help SG play.


For terran, Daedalus point had a lot to do with the distance from the main to the natural as well, it's not just the ramp size. On maps where you can't wall off a choke, you can usually do a partial wall from the nexus to the ramp or something to prevent units from running past, and rely on good sim city for defense. On Daedalus point, because the distance is so huge, you can't even attempt it.


But, it's not just Daedalus, is it? Given a completely open natural T would be in the same trouble as P is vs mass Zerg armies. Maybe not to the same extent, but that would be because of bunkers, Tanks, Mines and a core army comprised of ranged units. Heck, even maps with larger ramps than usual to the natural (like Akilon) were often susceptible to busts.

Queens having 5 range makes the old Daedalus Zerg-favored, not really the map layout. Terran has an opening (Reactor Hellion expand) which fits the map, but it falls behind normal Zerg play since Zergs no longer need to slow down their development as much as before. Hell, Zergs were the ones who didn't like maps with a wide open natural (Xel'Naga Caverns, Metalopolis) because of the Hellion pressure before the Queen patch.
TW
Profile Joined March 2012
Poland255 Posts
February 14 2014 11:01 GMT
#985
For the first time ever, I turned off GSL after watching Soulkey SH turtling style. I don't know how the game ended but I don't care.
In fact, I am not gonna watch any PvZ until they fix SH.

This is how SC2 is losing viewership. Just look at the chat, I am not alone.
wishr
Profile Joined February 2012
Russian Federation262 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-14 12:36:28
February 14 2014 12:35 GMT
#986
On February 14 2014 20:01 TW wrote:
This is how SC2 is losing viewership. Just look at the chat, I am not alone.

Well, numbers say no: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=443451
But i agree, some tweaks needed for: SH, Corruptor, Ravens and maybe Voidrays.
* Only girls complain about balance! *
TW
Profile Joined March 2012
Poland255 Posts
February 14 2014 12:41 GMT
#987
Well, numbers say no: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=443451


So to maintain the viewership, they should redesign SH
lost_artz
Profile Joined January 2012
United States366 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-14 13:05:23
February 14 2014 13:04 GMT
#988
On February 14 2014 21:41 TW wrote:
Show nested quote +
Well, numbers say no: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=443451


So to maintain the viewership, they should redesign SH


Not gonna lie, I was like "not this bullshit again" when the Swarm hosts came out. I understand Zerg needs some sort of way to pressure turtle-ing players, but as it currently stands they're too good. Especially when Locusts last 25 secs and the cooldown is 25 secs on the SH. It's literally a constant stream. There needs to be a brief amount of time where there are no Locusts whatsoever from a given swarm host.
VArsovskiSC
Profile Joined July 2010
Macedonia563 Posts
February 14 2014 23:53 GMT
#989
On February 14 2014 22:04 lost_artz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 14 2014 21:41 TW wrote:
Well, numbers say no: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=443451


So to maintain the viewership, they should redesign SH


Not gonna lie, I was like "not this bullshit again" when the Swarm hosts came out. I understand Zerg needs some sort of way to pressure turtle-ing players, but as it currently stands they're too good. Especially when Locusts last 25 secs and the cooldown is 25 secs on the SH. It's literally a constant stream. There needs to be a brief amount of time where there are no Locusts whatsoever from a given swarm host.


TBH SH isn't a good unit but instead it is very bad.. That's why you have to make like at least 15 of them, and another 200/200 to invest into the upgrade.. So yah - the mere very high cost for the unit actually forces the turtle cause otherwise the unit is too expensive, it simply is far too high cost and forces the passiveness in playstyle in order to make them pay off

IMO Blizz should consider reducing the cost of the unit for reduction of their overall performance in greater numbers.. The simplest way to reduce the SH performance is just remove the EL upgrade.. But yah - SH as a unit is far too expensive and it basically makes Zerg go all-in for quite a while when going for them
Another world, another place, another universe, won the race.. :) ;) :P
Spect8rCraft
Profile Joined December 2012
649 Posts
February 15 2014 00:42 GMT
#990
I think one of the fundamental problems with Zerg right now is the presumption of their remax potential. That's not to say it doesn't exist; it does, but such a presumption requires the Zerg to trade at least on par or close to with the opposing forces; otherwise remaxing doesn't exactly benefit the Zerg in any way. That's a bit of an issue with Protoss and Terran mech.

From what I've watched, Protoss with sufficient forcefields and minimal AoE--that is, three colossi, four high templars, which are about the norm--can easily decimate Zerg's roach-hydra, roach-hydra-corrupter, ling-bane-muta, really any ground-based compositions, without taking heavy losses, even if colossi usually are the first to go with any corrupter-heavy composition.

Similarly, tanks can be monstrous against ling-bane sans muta or roach-hydra without vipers. If a Terran can turtle into a maxed army of mech on 2-3 bases, then they will almost always have the defender's advantage--so long as the tanks remain properly sieged. A Zerg player who only eliminates half of a mech force would return only to find vikings and ravens that zone out mutalisks. Once a critical mass of ravens is achieved, which is becoming increasingly feasible, though not always, no amount of trading will get through PDDs.

There's making units trade efficiently, like marines via splitting and kiting, banelings counter-splitting, mutalisk magic-boxing versus thor-baiting. Then there's extreme efficiency, like forcefields, where even just cordoning off mere sections of a map can leave the entire army susceptible to AoE, and absolute forcefield surrounds just massacre anything unfortunate enough to get caught. Or like PDDs, where the number of Zerg units that can strike past its defenses is infestors. Despite being the swarm, Zerg seems like the least benefited when it comes to maxing out an army.

That's why the Zerg are obligated to have the swarm host. The Zerg doesn't NEED swarm hosts per se--I'm sure most Zerg would more than happily trade the swarm host for most any other unit equivalent--but with their current arsenal, its their only way to reliably trade up. Otherwise, the only way for Zerg to trade with any other composition is through superior positioning--which, while still entirely possible, doesn't come easy, and comes at the mercy of Protoss deathballs and Terran mech advantages.
FabledIntegral
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States9232 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-15 04:43:28
February 15 2014 04:41 GMT
#991
On February 15 2014 09:42 Spect8rCraft wrote:
I think one of the fundamental problems with Zerg right now is the presumption of their remax potential. That's not to say it doesn't exist; it does, but such a presumption requires the Zerg to trade at least on par or close to with the opposing forces; otherwise remaxing doesn't exactly benefit the Zerg in any way. That's a bit of an issue with Protoss and Terran mech.

From what I've watched, Protoss with sufficient forcefields and minimal AoE--that is, three colossi, four high templars, which are about the norm--can easily decimate Zerg's roach-hydra, roach-hydra-corrupter, ling-bane-muta, really any ground-based compositions, without taking heavy losses, even if colossi usually are the first to go with any corrupter-heavy composition.

Similarly, tanks can be monstrous against ling-bane sans muta or roach-hydra without vipers. If a Terran can turtle into a maxed army of mech on 2-3 bases, then they will almost always have the defender's advantage--so long as the tanks remain properly sieged. A Zerg player who only eliminates half of a mech force would return only to find vikings and ravens that zone out mutalisks. Once a critical mass of ravens is achieved, which is becoming increasingly feasible, though not always, no amount of trading will get through PDDs.

There's making units trade efficiently, like marines via splitting and kiting, banelings counter-splitting, mutalisk magic-boxing versus thor-baiting. Then there's extreme efficiency, like forcefields, where even just cordoning off mere sections of a map can leave the entire army susceptible to AoE, and absolute forcefield surrounds just massacre anything unfortunate enough to get caught. Or like PDDs, where the number of Zerg units that can strike past its defenses is infestors. Despite being the swarm, Zerg seems like the least benefited when it comes to maxing out an army.

That's why the Zerg are obligated to have the swarm host. The Zerg doesn't NEED swarm hosts per se--I'm sure most Zerg would more than happily trade the swarm host for most any other unit equivalent--but with their current arsenal, its their only way to reliably trade up. Otherwise, the only way for Zerg to trade with any other composition is through superior positioning--which, while still entirely possible, doesn't come easy, and comes at the mercy of Protoss deathballs and Terran mech advantages.


Uh, you left out ultras/BL/vipers, aka the tier 3 tech, ofc the Zerg trades worse in these situations lol. Keep in mind Zerg has mobile static defense which encourages the heavy massing of these structures and also typically has a superior economy. Doesn't play even remotely as lopsided as you make it sound...

On February 15 2014 08:53 VArsovskiSC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 14 2014 22:04 lost_artz wrote:
On February 14 2014 21:41 TW wrote:
Well, numbers say no: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=443451


So to maintain the viewership, they should redesign SH


Not gonna lie, I was like "not this bullshit again" when the Swarm hosts came out. I understand Zerg needs some sort of way to pressure turtle-ing players, but as it currently stands they're too good. Especially when Locusts last 25 secs and the cooldown is 25 secs on the SH. It's literally a constant stream. There needs to be a brief amount of time where there are no Locusts whatsoever from a given swarm host.


TBH SH isn't a good unit but instead it is very bad.. That's why you have to make like at least 15 of them, and another 200/200 to invest into the upgrade.. So yah - the mere very high cost for the unit actually forces the turtle cause otherwise the unit is too expensive, it simply is far too high cost and forces the passiveness in playstyle in order to make them pay off

IMO Blizz should consider reducing the cost of the unit for reduction of their overall performance in greater numbers.. The simplest way to reduce the SH performance is just remove the EL upgrade.. But yah - SH as a unit is far too expensive and it basically makes Zerg go all-in for quite a while when going for them


Removing upgrade means they won't be as effective at siege, which is their intention. I'd sooner see a longer cool down, or a shift in cost to like 75/225.
Spect8rCraft
Profile Joined December 2012
649 Posts
February 15 2014 08:55 GMT
#992
On February 15 2014 13:41 FabledIntegral wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2014 09:42 Spect8rCraft wrote:
I think one of the fundamental problems with Zerg right now is the presumption of their remax potential. That's not to say it doesn't exist; it does, but such a presumption requires the Zerg to trade at least on par or close to with the opposing forces; otherwise remaxing doesn't exactly benefit the Zerg in any way. That's a bit of an issue with Protoss and Terran mech.

From what I've watched, Protoss with sufficient forcefields and minimal AoE--that is, three colossi, four high templars, which are about the norm--can easily decimate Zerg's roach-hydra, roach-hydra-corrupter, ling-bane-muta, really any ground-based compositions, without taking heavy losses, even if colossi usually are the first to go with any corrupter-heavy composition.

Similarly, tanks can be monstrous against ling-bane sans muta or roach-hydra without vipers. If a Terran can turtle into a maxed army of mech on 2-3 bases, then they will almost always have the defender's advantage--so long as the tanks remain properly sieged. A Zerg player who only eliminates half of a mech force would return only to find vikings and ravens that zone out mutalisks. Once a critical mass of ravens is achieved, which is becoming increasingly feasible, though not always, no amount of trading will get through PDDs.

There's making units trade efficiently, like marines via splitting and kiting, banelings counter-splitting, mutalisk magic-boxing versus thor-baiting. Then there's extreme efficiency, like forcefields, where even just cordoning off mere sections of a map can leave the entire army susceptible to AoE, and absolute forcefield surrounds just massacre anything unfortunate enough to get caught. Or like PDDs, where the number of Zerg units that can strike past its defenses is infestors. Despite being the swarm, Zerg seems like the least benefited when it comes to maxing out an army.

That's why the Zerg are obligated to have the swarm host. The Zerg doesn't NEED swarm hosts per se--I'm sure most Zerg would more than happily trade the swarm host for most any other unit equivalent--but with their current arsenal, its their only way to reliably trade up. Otherwise, the only way for Zerg to trade with any other composition is through superior positioning--which, while still entirely possible, doesn't come easy, and comes at the mercy of Protoss deathballs and Terran mech advantages.


Uh, you left out ultras/BL/vipers, aka the tier 3 tech, ofc the Zerg trades worse in these situations lol. Keep in mind Zerg has mobile static defense which encourages the heavy massing of these structures and also typically has a superior economy. Doesn't play even remotely as lopsided as you make it sound...


Sorry, didn't mean to come off as lopsided. You're right, brood lords, ultralisks and vipers can often tip the scales in Zerg's favor. I think ultralisks can be pretty resilient against Protoss compositions that don't include void rays, but the Zerg would have to plan fairly ahead in advance to get the melee upgrades to make ultralisks efficient enough to try to trade against archons, which will undoubtedly be at 3 attack by that point. Brood lords are more of a peculiar late-game timing attack, as once they are identified, Terrans will begin to stock up on vikings (or whatever counters brood lords these days) and Protoss will get that abominable tempest--if they have the proper infrastructure, otherwise brood lords can become a more serious threat. Vipers generally make good on what they do best, despite feedbacks and vikings. Along with timings, anti-timings, good flanks and positioning, snipes and harassment, Zerg can win games with sufficient frequency. There's no denying that, and recent winrates support the lack of extreme or even prevalent lopsidedness.

Even so, what you suggest in the latter sentence doesn't necessarily make Zergs win games, it just makes them not lose them (if it makes any sense). Superior economy with theoretically instant army production is balanced against weaker units (however that's compared; I've always felt that Zerg units don't trade well in even fights when army supply increases, doubly so when compositions are involved). Pre-max timings where Zerg can get an army supply advantage offer a significant number of victories for Zerg. Mobile defense doesn't mean you can attack armies or even bases with them; it just means the opponent can't attack in Zerg's parts of the map without clearing out the defense first--which essentially flashes a red light as to where that army is relative to Zerg's. Defenses don't go towards the opponent's army, the opponent's army comes towards the defense, where vipers can pick it apart.

In other words, if the Protoss plays macro and the Zerg plays macro, the best case scenario is that the Zerg is slightly the underdog or on par in terms of composition (muta-corrupter can trade okay against pheonix and/or void-ray compositions, given proper micro; muta-ling-bane is still very viable against bio; roach-hydra varies against immortal-centered compositions that don't involve a Soul); I think these games are preferable because they're more action-packed and don't take an hour minimum (hyperbole, of course, but not by much). The worst is that the enemy deathball is or becomes virtually unassailable, and Zerg's first response is to "not die". To "not die" is to macro up, get up swarm hosts, litter the map in creep and defenses, and play the starvation game to win. Then comes the verdict: either one side screws up and loses their army--either by being out of position or by attrition, sometimes by poor army composition--or both players stabilize into a sort of end-game situation, which is when the prior verdict happens so slowly--or not even at all--that games go on... and on... and on. Soulkey vs. Reality and MaNa vs. FireCake are both indicative of the latter.
FabledIntegral
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States9232 Posts
February 15 2014 17:34 GMT
#993
On February 15 2014 17:55 Spect8rCraft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2014 13:41 FabledIntegral wrote:
On February 15 2014 09:42 Spect8rCraft wrote:
I think one of the fundamental problems with Zerg right now is the presumption of their remax potential. That's not to say it doesn't exist; it does, but such a presumption requires the Zerg to trade at least on par or close to with the opposing forces; otherwise remaxing doesn't exactly benefit the Zerg in any way. That's a bit of an issue with Protoss and Terran mech.

From what I've watched, Protoss with sufficient forcefields and minimal AoE--that is, three colossi, four high templars, which are about the norm--can easily decimate Zerg's roach-hydra, roach-hydra-corrupter, ling-bane-muta, really any ground-based compositions, without taking heavy losses, even if colossi usually are the first to go with any corrupter-heavy composition.

Similarly, tanks can be monstrous against ling-bane sans muta or roach-hydra without vipers. If a Terran can turtle into a maxed army of mech on 2-3 bases, then they will almost always have the defender's advantage--so long as the tanks remain properly sieged. A Zerg player who only eliminates half of a mech force would return only to find vikings and ravens that zone out mutalisks. Once a critical mass of ravens is achieved, which is becoming increasingly feasible, though not always, no amount of trading will get through PDDs.

There's making units trade efficiently, like marines via splitting and kiting, banelings counter-splitting, mutalisk magic-boxing versus thor-baiting. Then there's extreme efficiency, like forcefields, where even just cordoning off mere sections of a map can leave the entire army susceptible to AoE, and absolute forcefield surrounds just massacre anything unfortunate enough to get caught. Or like PDDs, where the number of Zerg units that can strike past its defenses is infestors. Despite being the swarm, Zerg seems like the least benefited when it comes to maxing out an army.

That's why the Zerg are obligated to have the swarm host. The Zerg doesn't NEED swarm hosts per se--I'm sure most Zerg would more than happily trade the swarm host for most any other unit equivalent--but with their current arsenal, its their only way to reliably trade up. Otherwise, the only way for Zerg to trade with any other composition is through superior positioning--which, while still entirely possible, doesn't come easy, and comes at the mercy of Protoss deathballs and Terran mech advantages.


Uh, you left out ultras/BL/vipers, aka the tier 3 tech, ofc the Zerg trades worse in these situations lol. Keep in mind Zerg has mobile static defense which encourages the heavy massing of these structures and also typically has a superior economy. Doesn't play even remotely as lopsided as you make it sound...


Sorry, didn't mean to come off as lopsided. You're right, brood lords, ultralisks and vipers can often tip the scales in Zerg's favor. I think ultralisks can be pretty resilient against Protoss compositions that don't include void rays, but the Zerg would have to plan fairly ahead in advance to get the melee upgrades to make ultralisks efficient enough to try to trade against archons, which will undoubtedly be at 3 attack by that point. Brood lords are more of a peculiar late-game timing attack, as once they are identified, Terrans will begin to stock up on vikings (or whatever counters brood lords these days) and Protoss will get that abominable tempest--if they have the proper infrastructure, otherwise brood lords can become a more serious threat. Vipers generally make good on what they do best, despite feedbacks and vikings. Along with timings, anti-timings, good flanks and positioning, snipes and harassment, Zerg can win games with sufficient frequency. There's no denying that, and recent winrates support the lack of extreme or even prevalent lopsidedness.

Even so, what you suggest in the latter sentence doesn't necessarily make Zergs win games, it just makes them not lose them (if it makes any sense). Superior economy with theoretically instant army production is balanced against weaker units (however that's compared; I've always felt that Zerg units don't trade well in even fights when army supply increases, doubly so when compositions are involved). Pre-max timings where Zerg can get an army supply advantage offer a significant number of victories for Zerg. Mobile defense doesn't mean you can attack armies or even bases with them; it just means the opponent can't attack in Zerg's parts of the map without clearing out the defense first--which essentially flashes a red light as to where that army is relative to Zerg's. Defenses don't go towards the opponent's army, the opponent's army comes towards the defense, where vipers can pick it apart.

In other words, if the Protoss plays macro and the Zerg plays macro, the best case scenario is that the Zerg is slightly the underdog or on par in terms of composition (muta-corrupter can trade okay against pheonix and/or void-ray compositions, given proper micro; muta-ling-bane is still very viable against bio; roach-hydra varies against immortal-centered compositions that don't involve a Soul); I think these games are preferable because they're more action-packed and don't take an hour minimum (hyperbole, of course, but not by much). The worst is that the enemy deathball is or becomes virtually unassailable, and Zerg's first response is to "not die". To "not die" is to macro up, get up swarm hosts, litter the map in creep and defenses, and play the starvation game to win. Then comes the verdict: either one side screws up and loses their army--either by being out of position or by attrition, sometimes by poor army composition--or both players stabilize into a sort of end-game situation, which is when the prior verdict happens so slowly--or not even at all--that games go on... and on... and on. Soulkey vs. Reality and MaNa vs. FireCake are both indicative of the latter.


I still don't really see your scenario at all. Ultras trade fine vs archons w/o any attack upgrades after the huge buff in HOTS, getting significant more dmg vs light or psionic than a +3 ultra would have in WOL. If you want to keep playing this "macro up never attack" style then maybe Zerg could "at best be on par" but in reality Zerg has little incentive to macro beyond the 3 base economy because the returns are so incredibly marginal in terms of said economy. Zerg still has tons of capability to abuse mobility, attack where the deathball isn't, and then if the deathball just tries to counter you, that's when the static D comes into place. I just completely disagree with your assessment of the swarm host.
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