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Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 63

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 61 62 63 64 65 78 Next
9-BiT
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
United States1089 Posts
October 27 2013 01:17 GMT
#1241
Byul wins........... Naniwa plz.
kwark_uk: @father_sc learn to play maybe?
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 27 2013 01:20 GMT
#1242
yes yes yes......DOWN DOWN DOWN.......
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
Zheryn
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden3653 Posts
October 27 2013 01:27 GMT
#1243
So sad for SC2 if Nani doesn't make it
hundred thousand krouner
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 01:42:17
October 27 2013 01:39 GMT
#1244
EDIT: Wait, those weren't the pairings? oO Nevermind. Misleading WCS screen haha, my bad

SEKO SEKO SEKO
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1245
omg give me brackets lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Yonnua
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United Kingdom2331 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1246
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.


I hear that PvP is all about skill...
LRSL 2014 Finalist! PartinG | Mvp | Bomber | Creator | NaNiwa | herO
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1247
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.

Are you sure? The four 'matches' on the stage just now were 1st place vs. 1st place and 2nd place vs. 2nd place... Meaning they weren't the actual matches. >_>
JonathanMerklin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States72 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 01:43:32
October 27 2013 01:42 GMT
#1248
On October 27 2013 10:41 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.

Are you sure? The four 'matches' on the stage just now were 1st place vs. 1st place and 2nd place vs. 2nd place... Meaning they weren't the actual matches. >_>


They definitely aren't since earlier in the cast Rotti mentioned that Polt/Day[9] are casting a TvT, right?

EDIT: Well, now that they're interviewing Maru/MMA for a game, I'd say it's confirmed. Sorry, having to switch attention between WCS and college football, haha.
"The object of the game is to win. If they can't counter that, they're the ones with the problem, not you." - Nemephosis
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 01:48 GMT
#1249
Bracket
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
TheSilverfox
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden1928 Posts
October 27 2013 01:49 GMT
#1250
This seems pretty legit:
https://twitter.com/soulprogameteam/status/394278252665008128

MMA vs Maru
MC vs Dear
Oz vs Soulkey
Trap vs Byul
Also known as Joinsimon on Twitter/Reddit
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 01:52 GMT
#1251
yep already running the update, thanks guys
"Expert" mods4ever.com
JonathanMerklin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States72 Posts
October 27 2013 01:56 GMT
#1252
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?
"The object of the game is to win. If they can't counter that, they're the ones with the problem, not you." - Nemephosis
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12363 Posts
October 27 2013 01:59 GMT
#1253
Seems unlikely that two people pass Nani with this draw. Ofc, we still need to beat Revival when one does.
No will to live, no wish to die
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
October 27 2013 02:00 GMT
#1254
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 02:00 GMT
#1255
update posted with quarterfinals set
"Expert" mods4ever.com
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
October 27 2013 02:01 GMT
#1256
I really hope Naniwa can make it! Go Soulkey and MC!
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 02:05:05
October 27 2013 02:02 GMT
#1257
If Dear and Oz both win their ro8 match Naniwa is out.

Oz would have 3350 points, Dear would have 3250. That could only be upset by Trap or Byul winning the entire tournament.

15th Oz 3350
16th Dear 3250
17th Naniwa 3200
18th Revival 3175
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
October 27 2013 02:05 GMT
#1258
On October 27 2013 11:02 Dodgin wrote:
If Dear and Oz both win their ro8 match Naniwa is out.


Yeah. If they both lose, he is in.
If only one wins, then trap/byul has to win to knock him out.

I am counting him being "in" if he makes it to the possible tiebreaker against revival. It's blizzcon anyways, right? : P
SEKO SEKO SEKO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 02:06 GMT
#1259
On October 27 2013 11:00 bertu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.

I got 3/8, funny enough... rechecking calculations
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 02:10:12
October 27 2013 02:09 GMT
#1260
On October 27 2013 11:06 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 11:00 bertu wrote:
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.

I got 3/8, funny enough... rechecking calculations


If you factor the tiebreaker against revival, it's closer to 3/8.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
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