• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 18:46
CEST 00:46
KST 07:46
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL21] Ro24 Preview Pt2: News Flash8[ASL21] Ro24 Preview Pt1: New Chaos0Team Liquid Map Contest #22 - Presented by Monster Energy16ByuL: The Forgotten Master of ZvT30Behind the Blue - Team Liquid History Book20
Community News
Weekly Cups (March 23-29): herO takes triple6Aligulac acquired by REPLAYMAN.com/Stego Research8Weekly Cups (March 16-22): herO doubles, Cure surprises3Blizzard Classic Cup @ BlizzCon 2026 - $100k prize pool49Weekly Cups (March 9-15): herO, Clem, ByuN win4
StarCraft 2
General
Team Liquid Map Contest #22 - Presented by Monster Energy Aligulac acquired by REPLAYMAN.com/Stego Research Weekly Cups (March 23-29): herO takes triple What mix of new & old maps do you want in the next ladder pool? (SC2) herO wins SC2 All-Star Invitational
Tourneys
Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament RSL Season 4 announced for March-April StarCraft Evolution League (SC Evo Biweekly) WardiTV Mondays World University TeamLeague (500$+) | Signups Open
Strategy
Custom Maps
[M] (2) Frigid Storage Publishing has been re-enabled! [Feb 24th 2026]
External Content
Mutation # 519 Inner Power The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 518 Radiation Zone Mutation # 517 Distant Threat
Brood War
General
Behind the scenes footage of ASL21 Group E ASL21 General Discussion A cwal.gg Extension - Easily keep track of anyone BW General Discussion BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/
Tourneys
[ASL21] Ro24 Group E Azhi's Colosseum - Foreign KCM [ASL21] Ro24 Group F 🌍 Weekly Foreign Showmatches
Strategy
Fighting Spirit mining rates What's the deal with APM & what's its true value Simple Questions, Simple Answers
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread Starcraft Tabletop Miniature Game General RTS Discussion Thread Darkest Dungeon
Dota 2
The Story of Wings Gaming Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
G2 just beat GenG in First stand
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas TL Mafia Community Thread Five o'clock TL Mafia
Community
General
Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine US Politics Mega-thread Canadian Politics Mega-thread The Games Industry And ATVI European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread
Fan Clubs
The IdrA Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
[Manga] One Piece [Req][Books] Good Fantasy/SciFi books Movie Discussion!
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion Cricket [SPORT] Tokyo Olympics 2021 Thread General nutrition recommendations
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
[G] How to Block Livestream Ads
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
Funny Nicknames
LUCKY_NOOB
Money Laundering In Video Ga…
TrAiDoS
Iranian anarchists: organize…
XenOsky
FS++
Kraekkling
Shocked by a laser…
Spydermine0240
ASL S21 English Commentary…
namkraft
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 2038 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 63

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 61 62 63 64 65 78 Next
9-BiT
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
United States1089 Posts
October 27 2013 01:17 GMT
#1241
Byul wins........... Naniwa plz.
kwark_uk: @father_sc learn to play maybe?
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 27 2013 01:20 GMT
#1242
yes yes yes......DOWN DOWN DOWN.......
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
Zheryn
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden3653 Posts
October 27 2013 01:27 GMT
#1243
So sad for SC2 if Nani doesn't make it
hundred thousand krouner
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 01:42:17
October 27 2013 01:39 GMT
#1244
EDIT: Wait, those weren't the pairings? oO Nevermind. Misleading WCS screen haha, my bad

SEKO SEKO SEKO
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17727 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1245
omg give me brackets lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Yonnua
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United Kingdom2331 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1246
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.


I hear that PvP is all about skill...
LRSL 2014 Finalist! PartinG | Mvp | Bomber | Creator | NaNiwa | herO
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 27 2013 01:41 GMT
#1247
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.

Are you sure? The four 'matches' on the stage just now were 1st place vs. 1st place and 2nd place vs. 2nd place... Meaning they weren't the actual matches. >_>
JonathanMerklin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States72 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 01:43:32
October 27 2013 01:42 GMT
#1248
On October 27 2013 10:41 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 10:39 bertu wrote:
Damnit, Oz got a PvP and Dear a PvZ. This will not end well for Nani.

Are you sure? The four 'matches' on the stage just now were 1st place vs. 1st place and 2nd place vs. 2nd place... Meaning they weren't the actual matches. >_>


They definitely aren't since earlier in the cast Rotti mentioned that Polt/Day[9] are casting a TvT, right?

EDIT: Well, now that they're interviewing Maru/MMA for a game, I'd say it's confirmed. Sorry, having to switch attention between WCS and college football, haha.
"The object of the game is to win. If they can't counter that, they're the ones with the problem, not you." - Nemephosis
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 01:48 GMT
#1249
Bracket
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
TheSilverfox
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden1928 Posts
October 27 2013 01:49 GMT
#1250
This seems pretty legit:
https://twitter.com/soulprogameteam/status/394278252665008128

MMA vs Maru
MC vs Dear
Oz vs Soulkey
Trap vs Byul
Also known as Joinsimon on Twitter/Reddit
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17727 Posts
October 27 2013 01:52 GMT
#1251
yep already running the update, thanks guys
"Expert" mods4ever.com
JonathanMerklin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States72 Posts
October 27 2013 01:56 GMT
#1252
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?
"The object of the game is to win. If they can't counter that, they're the ones with the problem, not you." - Nemephosis
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12422 Posts
October 27 2013 01:59 GMT
#1253
Seems unlikely that two people pass Nani with this draw. Ofc, we still need to beat Revival when one does.
No will to live, no wish to die
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
October 27 2013 02:00 GMT
#1254
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17727 Posts
October 27 2013 02:00 GMT
#1255
update posted with quarterfinals set
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
October 27 2013 02:01 GMT
#1256
--- Nuked ---
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 02:05:05
October 27 2013 02:02 GMT
#1257
If Dear and Oz both win their ro8 match Naniwa is out.

Oz would have 3350 points, Dear would have 3250. That could only be upset by Trap or Byul winning the entire tournament.

15th Oz 3350
16th Dear 3250
17th Naniwa 3200
18th Revival 3175
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
October 27 2013 02:05 GMT
#1258
On October 27 2013 11:02 Dodgin wrote:
If Dear and Oz both win their ro8 match Naniwa is out.


Yeah. If they both lose, he is in.
If only one wins, then trap/byul has to win to knock him out.

I am counting him being "in" if he makes it to the possible tiebreaker against revival. It's blizzcon anyways, right? : P
SEKO SEKO SEKO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 02:06 GMT
#1259
On October 27 2013 11:00 bertu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.

I got 3/8, funny enough... rechecking calculations
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 02:10:12
October 27 2013 02:09 GMT
#1260
On October 27 2013 11:06 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 11:00 bertu wrote:
On October 27 2013 10:56 JonathanMerklin wrote:
There's only 128 possible outcomes for an 8-man single-elimination bracket right? I know this isn't the scope of the program, so I'll just ask: does anyone know how many (given 50:50 odds for everyone) of those outcomes result in Naniwa at Blizzcon?


I think 5/8.

I got 3/8, funny enough... rechecking calculations


If you factor the tiebreaker against revival, it's closer to 3/8.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
Prev 1 61 62 63 64 65 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 1h 14m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
ROOTCatZ 122
CosmosSc2 34
PiGStarcraft28
JuggernautJason2
StarCraft: Brood War
Britney 9704
Artosis 666
Soma 291
Rush 192
LancerX 18
Sexy 14
Dota 2
syndereN404
canceldota114
capcasts89
Counter-Strike
taco 253
Super Smash Bros
C9.Mang0242
PPMD23
Other Games
tarik_tv5276
summit1g5217
Liquid`Hasu172
ViBE102
Chillindude8
Organizations
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 17 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• RyuSc2 111
• Hupsaiya 99
• musti20045 34
• Response 14
• IndyKCrew
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• sooper7s
• intothetv
• Kozan
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
• BSLYoutube
Dota 2
• masondota21398
Other Games
• imaqtpie1089
• WagamamaTV369
Upcoming Events
OSC
1h 14m
RSL Revival
11h 14m
TriGGeR vs Cure
ByuN vs Rogue
Big Brain Bouts
17h 14m
Replay Cast
1d 1h
RSL Revival
1d 11h
Maru vs MaxPax
BSL
1d 20h
RSL Revival
2 days
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
2 days
BSL
2 days
Afreeca Starleague
3 days
[ Show More ]
Replay Cast
4 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
4 days
The PondCast
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-03-31
WardiTV Winter 2026
NationLESS Cup

Ongoing

BSL Season 22
CSL Elite League 2026
CSL Season 20: Qualifier 1
ASL Season 21
CSL Season 20: Qualifier 2
RSL Revival: Season 4
Nations Cup 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 1
BLAST Open Spring 2026
ESL Pro League S23 Finals
ESL Pro League S23 Stage 1&2
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual

Upcoming

Escore Tournament S2: W1
CSL 2026 SPRING (S20)
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
BSL 22 Non-Korean Championship
CSLAN 4
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
HSC XXIX
uThermal 2v2 2026 Main Event
StarCraft2 Community Team League 2026 Spring
IEM Cologne Major 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 2
CS Asia Championships 2026
IEM Atlanta 2026
Asian Champions League 2026
PGL Astana 2026
BLAST Rivals Spring 2026
CCT Season 3 Global Finals
IEM Rio 2026
PGL Bucharest 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.