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Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 62

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 26 2013 23:55 GMT
#1221
On October 27 2013 08:37 HolydaKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 08:35 FiWiFaKi wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:33 TaKemE wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:30 FiWiFaKi wrote:
To simplify who you cheer for:

Oz, Byul, Dear, Trap are the bad guys now.

Oz needs 4th
Dear needs 4th
Byul needs1st
Trap needs 1st

If two of these happen, Naniwa is out. Otherwise, he's through.


Dont forget Revival. His not through if just one of them makes it


The odds of that seem very low... Surprised that the program says that Revival has a 50% chance. But yes, you're right.

Yup, I'd be suprirsed if neither Oz or Dear makes Ro 8. Also Trap could very well win this tournament, but it's not likely.

Oz already has made the ro8
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
RiSkysc2
Profile Joined September 2011
696 Posts
October 26 2013 23:57 GMT
#1222
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!
Iceman331
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1306 Posts
October 27 2013 00:00 GMT
#1223
On October 27 2013 08:57 RiSkysc2 wrote:
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!


Talking about percentages was nice when there were too many scenarios to enumerate them all. At this point, it's kind of lost its meaning.
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:01:42
October 27 2013 00:01 GMT
#1224
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1225
On October 27 2013 09:01 bertu wrote:
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.

Probably, and you'd better hope for byul in that case, as he has to win to threaten naniwa
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1226
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:18 GMT
#1227
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
frogrubdown
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
1266 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:19:49
October 27 2013 00:19 GMT
#1228
On October 27 2013 09:18 hansonslee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes


Don't forget the potentially crucial WCS NA challenger groups.
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:20 GMT
#1229
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 00:21 GMT
#1230
On October 27 2013 09:20 Neazbo wrote:
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?

If they are tied in the top 16 they play a live Bo5 at Blizzcon as a tiebreaker
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:22 GMT
#1231
Ok, thanks for the swift reply. Go HerO!
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:39 GMT
#1232
Oh Dear! Looks like Naniwa won't sleep that easy yet!

But Dear was definitely the better player than HerO was!
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
FiWiFaKi
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada9859 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:47:20
October 27 2013 00:40 GMT
#1233
Naniwa's odds will be dropping to 55%~ after Dear beat Hero.

edit: ... Or 63%, well I was off S;
In life, the journey is more satisfying than the destination. || .::Entrepreneurship::. Living a few years of your life like most people won't, so that you can spend the rest of your life like most people can't || Mechanical Engineering & Economics Major
Aegeis
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States1619 Posts
October 27 2013 00:42 GMT
#1234
how are players chosen for the Ro8?
"Skills to pay the bills" - Artosis, https://twitter.com/AegeisSC2 ,http://www.tumblr.com/blog/socal-esports
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 00:43 GMT
#1235
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 00:46 GMT
#1236
update posted with results of Hero vs Dear
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:49:06
October 27 2013 00:48 GMT
#1237
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 00:50 GMT
#1238
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17709 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1239
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

it should be impossible, but it's included in the simulation. The next match display only shows 1 of the possible brackets.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1240
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

my bad, they are indeed in the same group, even if we don't know how ro8 is decided it's unlikely they face each others
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
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