• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 03:00
CEST 09:00
KST 16:00
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL20] Ro8 Preview Pt2: Holding On6Maestros of the Game: Live Finals Preview (RO4)5TL.net Map Contest #21 - Finalists4Team TLMC #5: Vote to Decide Ladder Maps!0[ASL20] Ro8 Preview Pt1: Mile High15
Community News
5.0.15 Balance Patch Notes (Live version)43$2,500 WardiTV TL Map Contest Tournament 150Stellar Fest: StarCraft II returns to Canada9Weekly Cups (Sept 22-28): MaxPax double, Zerg wins, PTR12BSL Season 217
StarCraft 2
General
5.0.15 Balance Patch Notes (Live version) Stellar Fest: StarCraft II returns to Canada SC2 5.0.15 PTR Patch Notes + Sept 22nd update Had to smile :) Weekly Cups (Sept 22-28): MaxPax double, Zerg wins, PTR
Tourneys
Stellar Fest Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament $2,500 WardiTV TL Map Contest Tournament 15 LANified! 37: Groundswell, BYOC LAN, Nov 28-30 2025 Maestros of The Game—$20k event w/ live finals in Paris
Strategy
Custom Maps
External Content
Mutation # 493 Quick Killers Mutation # 492 Get Out More Mutation # 491 Night Drive Mutation # 490 Masters of Midnight
Brood War
General
Thoughts on rarely used units Flash On JaeDongs ASL Struggles & Perseverance Any rep analyzer that shows resources situation? Recent recommended BW games BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/
Tourneys
[ASL20] Ro8 Day 4 [ASL20] Ro8 Day 3 3D!Community Brood War Super Cup №3 BSL Team Wars - Grand Finals - Sunday 21:00 CET
Strategy
Current Meta I am doing this better than progamers do. Simple Questions, Simple Answers Cliff Jump Revisited (1 in a 1000 strategy)
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Dawn of War IV Nintendo Switch Thread Path of Exile Liquipedia App: Now Covering SC2 and Brood War!
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion LiquidDota to reintegrate into TL.net
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
Russo-Ukrainian War Thread US Politics Mega-thread The Games Industry And ATVI Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Canadian Politics Mega-thread
Fan Clubs
The herO Fan Club! The Happy Fan Club!
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
SC2 Client Relocalization [Change SC2 Language] Linksys AE2500 USB WIFI keeps disconnecting Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List BarCraft in Tokyo Japan for ASL Season5 Final
Blogs
[AI] Sorry, Chill, My Bad :…
Peanutsc
Try to reverse getting fired …
Garnet
[ASL20] Players bad at pi…
pullarius1
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 2002 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 62

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 26 2013 23:55 GMT
#1221
On October 27 2013 08:37 HolydaKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 08:35 FiWiFaKi wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:33 TaKemE wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:30 FiWiFaKi wrote:
To simplify who you cheer for:

Oz, Byul, Dear, Trap are the bad guys now.

Oz needs 4th
Dear needs 4th
Byul needs1st
Trap needs 1st

If two of these happen, Naniwa is out. Otherwise, he's through.


Dont forget Revival. His not through if just one of them makes it


The odds of that seem very low... Surprised that the program says that Revival has a 50% chance. But yes, you're right.

Yup, I'd be suprirsed if neither Oz or Dear makes Ro 8. Also Trap could very well win this tournament, but it's not likely.

Oz already has made the ro8
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
RiSkysc2
Profile Joined September 2011
696 Posts
October 26 2013 23:57 GMT
#1222
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!
Iceman331
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1306 Posts
October 27 2013 00:00 GMT
#1223
On October 27 2013 08:57 RiSkysc2 wrote:
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!


Talking about percentages was nice when there were too many scenarios to enumerate them all. At this point, it's kind of lost its meaning.
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:01:42
October 27 2013 00:01 GMT
#1224
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1225
On October 27 2013 09:01 bertu wrote:
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.

Probably, and you'd better hope for byul in that case, as he has to win to threaten naniwa
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1226
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:18 GMT
#1227
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
frogrubdown
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
1266 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:19:49
October 27 2013 00:19 GMT
#1228
On October 27 2013 09:18 hansonslee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes


Don't forget the potentially crucial WCS NA challenger groups.
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:20 GMT
#1229
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 00:21 GMT
#1230
On October 27 2013 09:20 Neazbo wrote:
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?

If they are tied in the top 16 they play a live Bo5 at Blizzcon as a tiebreaker
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:22 GMT
#1231
Ok, thanks for the swift reply. Go HerO!
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:39 GMT
#1232
Oh Dear! Looks like Naniwa won't sleep that easy yet!

But Dear was definitely the better player than HerO was!
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
FiWiFaKi
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada9859 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:47:20
October 27 2013 00:40 GMT
#1233
Naniwa's odds will be dropping to 55%~ after Dear beat Hero.

edit: ... Or 63%, well I was off S;
In life, the journey is more satisfying than the destination. || .::Entrepreneurship::. Living a few years of your life like most people won't, so that you can spend the rest of your life like most people can't || Mechanical Engineering & Economics Major
Aegeis
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States1619 Posts
October 27 2013 00:42 GMT
#1234
how are players chosen for the Ro8?
"Skills to pay the bills" - Artosis, https://twitter.com/AegeisSC2 ,http://www.tumblr.com/blog/socal-esports
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 27 2013 00:43 GMT
#1235
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 27 2013 00:46 GMT
#1236
update posted with results of Hero vs Dear
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:49:06
October 27 2013 00:48 GMT
#1237
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 00:50 GMT
#1238
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1239
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

it should be impossible, but it's included in the simulation. The next match display only shows 1 of the possible brackets.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1240
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

my bad, they are indeed in the same group, even if we don't know how ro8 is decided it's unlikely they face each others
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 3h
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Nina 170
SortOf 80
UpATreeSC 70
StarCraft: Brood War
actioN 1072
Leta 218
ToSsGirL 47
Bale 26
Noble 16
Shine 14
Dota 2
NeuroSwarm141
League of Legends
JimRising 622
Counter-Strike
Stewie2K749
Super Smash Bros
Mew2King59
Other Games
summit1g9732
singsing1201
C9.Mang0341
XaKoH 219
Maynarde136
ArmadaUGS14
ceh90
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick592
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 13 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• practicex 41
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
League of Legends
• Lourlo1716
• Stunt398
Upcoming Events
The PondCast
3h
Map Test Tournament
4h
Wardi Open
1d 4h
[BSL 2025] Weekly
2 days
Safe House 2
2 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
3 days
BSL Team Wars
3 days
Team Bonyth vs Team Dewalt
Dewalt vs kogeT
JDConan vs Tarson
RaNgeD vs DragOn
StRyKeR vs Bonyth
Aeternum vs Hejek
Replay Cast
4 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2025-09-25
Maestros of the Game
HCC Europe

Ongoing

BSL 20 Team Wars
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 3
BSL 21 Points
ASL Season 20
CSL 2025 AUTUMN (S18)
Acropolis #4 - TS2
EC S1
ESL Pro League S22
Frag Blocktober 2025
Urban Riga Open #1
FERJEE Rush 2025
Birch Cup 2025
DraculaN #2
LanDaLan #3
StarSeries Fall 2025
FISSURE Playground #2
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1

Upcoming

IPSL Winter 2025-26
SC4ALL: Brood War
BSL Season 21
BSL 21 Team A
RSL Revival: Season 3
Stellar Fest
SC4ALL: StarCraft II
WardiTV TLMC #15
ESL Impact League Season 8
SL Budapest Major 2025
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
IEM Chengdu 2025
PGL Masters Bucharest 2025
Thunderpick World Champ.
CS Asia Championships 2025
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.