• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 02:03
CEST 08:03
KST 15:03
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: Within Reach5[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: In A Tizzy11[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Holy Diver5[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Rough Waters10[ASL22] Ro24 Preview: Siren's Call8
Community News
StarCraft II 5.0.17 PTR Patch Notes (Sept 30, 2026)54Weekly Cups (Sept 21-27): herO and ByuN double2Weekly Cups (Sep 13-20): herO scores triple3BSL Season 2313Weekly Cups (Sep 7-12): SHIN, ByuN, MaxPax double down1
StarCraft 2
General
How do you feel about the mass reverts in the 5.0.17 PTR? StarCraft II 5.0.17 PTR Patch Notes (Sept 30, 2026) SC4ALL: II SC2 Complete Invited Player Lineup StarCraft open world shooter announced at BlizzCon Weekly Cups (Sept 21-27): herO and ByuN double
Tourneys
Sea Duckling Open (Global, Bronze-Diamond) Stellar Fest TWO the Moon (Dec 16-20) 2026 GSTL Grand Finals SC2 INu's Battles#21 [ 3-Days tournament ] ScienceCraft (October 24-25) - Live Event
Strategy
[H] ZvP Mid-Late Game: Stalkers Collossi HT
Custom Maps
[M] (2) Sweltering Sands [M] (2) Frigid Storage
External Content
The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 545 And Drops and Rifts Mutation # 544 Double Trouble Mutation # 543 Enhanced Defenses
Brood War
General
Fantasy returning? Bot on ladder BW General Discussion ASL22 General Discussion a Announcement on the JEDI Ringing
Tourneys
[ASL22] Ro8 Day 4 [Megathread] Daily Proleagues [ASL22] Ro8 Day 3 [ASL22] Ro8 Day 2
Strategy
Cliff Jump Revisited (1 in a 1000 strategy) Replay Review Process - What do you do? Simple Questions, Simple Answers Odyssey Mineral Stack Saturation
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread General RTS Discussion Thread Warcraft III: The Frozen Throne Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Total Annihilation Zero
Dota 2
Dota 2 Champions League Season 3 Begins April 25! Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
[TL LoL EUW IHs] Teemo shall perish
Heroes of the Storm
Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Canadian Politics Mega-thread US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Artificial Intelligence Thread
Fan Clubs
Serral Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece Diablo Animated Series on Netflix
Sports
Football (Soccer) Thread MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
Recent Gifted Posts
Blogs
[ASL22] Ro4 Day1 Ticket Giv…
bITt.mAN
Escaping Into Video Games: G…
TrAiDoS
38 yo Retired SWE loo…
PurE)Rabbit-SF
Can Bots Beat Pros?? Starcr…
namkraft
[meme] I finally understa…
LUCKY_NOOB
Regacy Esports:Our Goa…
regacyesports
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 7097 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 62

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 26 2013 23:55 GMT
#1221
On October 27 2013 08:37 HolydaKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 08:35 FiWiFaKi wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:33 TaKemE wrote:
On October 27 2013 08:30 FiWiFaKi wrote:
To simplify who you cheer for:

Oz, Byul, Dear, Trap are the bad guys now.

Oz needs 4th
Dear needs 4th
Byul needs1st
Trap needs 1st

If two of these happen, Naniwa is out. Otherwise, he's through.


Dont forget Revival. His not through if just one of them makes it


The odds of that seem very low... Surprised that the program says that Revival has a 50% chance. But yes, you're right.

Yup, I'd be suprirsed if neither Oz or Dear makes Ro 8. Also Trap could very well win this tournament, but it's not likely.

Oz already has made the ro8
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
RiSkysc2
Profile Joined September 2011
696 Posts
October 26 2013 23:57 GMT
#1222
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!
Iceman331
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1306 Posts
October 27 2013 00:00 GMT
#1223
On October 27 2013 08:57 RiSkysc2 wrote:
naniwa currently at 74% wohooo, and Hero about to beat dear too!!


Talking about percentages was nice when there were too many scenarios to enumerate them all. At this point, it's kind of lost its meaning.
bertu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Brazil871 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:01:42
October 27 2013 00:01 GMT
#1224
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.
SEKO SEKO SEKO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1225
On October 27 2013 09:01 bertu wrote:
If Byul makes it in his groups, does he play against Oz in the top8? This would mean one of them got out.

Probably, and you'd better hope for byul in that case, as he has to win to threaten naniwa
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States766 Posts
October 27 2013 00:16 GMT
#1226
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:18 GMT
#1227
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
frogrubdown
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
1266 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:19:49
October 27 2013 00:19 GMT
#1228
On October 27 2013 09:18 hansonslee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:16 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
This is the last event with WCS points being earned right?


Yes


Don't forget the potentially crucial WCS NA challenger groups.
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:20 GMT
#1229
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
October 27 2013 00:21 GMT
#1230
On October 27 2013 09:20 Neazbo wrote:
It has probably been said 100 times but what happens if Nani and Revival are tied on points and only one of them can go?

If they are tied in the top 16 they play a live Bo5 at Blizzcon as a tiebreaker
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Neazbo
Profile Joined May 2013
United Kingdom698 Posts
October 27 2013 00:22 GMT
#1231
Ok, thanks for the swift reply. Go HerO!
hansonslee
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States2027 Posts
October 27 2013 00:39 GMT
#1232
Oh Dear! Looks like Naniwa won't sleep that easy yet!

But Dear was definitely the better player than HerO was!
Seed's # 1 fan!!! #ForVengeance
FiWiFaKi
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada9859 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:47:20
October 27 2013 00:40 GMT
#1233
Naniwa's odds will be dropping to 55%~ after Dear beat Hero.

edit: ... Or 63%, well I was off S;
In life, the journey is more satisfying than the destination. || .::Entrepreneurship::. Living a few years of your life like most people won't, so that you can spend the rest of your life like most people can't || Mechanical Engineering & Economics Major
Aegeis
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States1619 Posts
October 27 2013 00:42 GMT
#1234
how are players chosen for the Ro8?
"Skills to pay the bills" - Artosis, https://twitter.com/AegeisSC2 ,http://www.tumblr.com/blog/socal-esports
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
October 27 2013 00:43 GMT
#1235
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
October 27 2013 00:46 GMT
#1236
update posted with results of Hero vs Dear
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 00:49:06
October 27 2013 00:48 GMT
#1237
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 27 2013 00:50 GMT
#1238
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1239
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

it should be impossible, but it's included in the simulation. The next match display only shows 1 of the possible brackets.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
miniskirt
Profile Joined December 2012
France487 Posts
October 27 2013 00:55 GMT
#1240
On October 27 2013 09:50 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 09:48 miniskirt wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:43 Die4Ever wrote:
On October 27 2013 09:42 Aegeis wrote:
how are players chosen for the Ro8?

don't know, my simulation does randomized bracket

can you run a simulation where dear and Oz faces each other? (in ro8)

but that's impossible

my bad, they are indeed in the same group, even if we don't know how ro8 is decided it's unlikely they face each others
Self-proclaimed best Feast and Grubby fan | also MVP MMA Fantasy Polt forGG Dayshi the french hope| Leenock, the sober version of stephano and Scarlett cutiepie <3
Prev 1 60 61 62 63 64 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
OSC
00:00
OSC Elite Rising Star #21
Liquipedia
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Nina 133
StarCraft: Brood War
Rain 1918
Shuttle 903
ggaemo 98
Dewaltoss 82
Hm[arnc] 51
Bale 26
Noble 24
ZergMaN 14
soO 13
yabsab 12
[ Show more ]
Icarus 6
Dota 2
NeuroSwarm174
League of Legends
JimRising 630
Counter-Strike
Coldzera 1152
Heroes of the Storm
Khaldor683
Other Games
summit1g8233
C9.Mang0302
PiGStarcraft283
Mew2King136
ViBE46
ArmadaUGS41
trigger10
Happy6
Organizations
Dota 2
PGL Dota 2 - Main Stream99
[ Show 13 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• practicex 33
• intothetv
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• lizZardDota2313
League of Legends
• Lourlo1099
• Rush945
• Stunt366
Upcoming Events
Stellar Fest
6h 57m
OSC
15h 57m
CranKy Ducklings
1d 3h
Online Event
1d 4h
FEL
1d 9h
AI Arena Tournament
1d 10h
BSL: Ladder Tournament
1d 12h
Sparkling Tuna Cup
2 days
INu's Battles
2 days
herO vs Classic
Percival vs Rogue
BSL Open Qualifier
2 days
[ Show More ]
BSL Open Qualifier
2 days
Replay Cast
2 days
Afreeca Starleague
3 days
Rush vs Light
WardiTV Weekly
3 days
Replay Cast
3 days
Afreeca Starleague
4 days
Soma vs Soulkey
INu's Battles
4 days
SHIN vs Cure
ByuN vs Zoun
PiGosaur Cup
4 days
The PondCast
6 days
INu's Battles
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-09-30
Blizzard Classic Cup 2026
Calamity Invitational

Ongoing

ASL Season 22
Super Anchor Qualifying S3
CSL 2026 AUTUMN (S22)
Acropolis #5
Stake Ranked Episode 4
1win Private Club #1
Logitech G Play Connect 2026
SL StarSeries Fall 2026
FISSURE Playground #3
BLAST Open Fall 2026
Esports World Cup 2026
BLAST Bounty Summer 2026
BLAST Bounty Summer Qual

Upcoming

Acropolis #5 - GSB
Acropolis #5 - GSC
BSL Season 23
SC4ALL II: Brood War
BSL 23: Non-Korean Championship
HSC XXX
Stellar Fest 2: Lunar Cup
SC4ALL II: StarCraft II
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
RSL Offline Finals
Custodian Cup
Copium Cup
PGL Major Singapore 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 6
BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
IEM Beijing 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 5
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
1win Private Club #2
Thunderpick World Champ. '26
ESL Pro League Season 24
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.