• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EST 18:49
CET 00:49
KST 08:49
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
Rongyi Cup S3 - RO16 Preview3herO wins SC2 All-Star Invitational10SC2 All-Star Invitational: Tournament Preview5RSL Revival - 2025 Season Finals Preview8RSL Season 3 - Playoffs Preview0
Community News
Weekly Cups (Jan 12-18): herO, MaxPax, Solar win0BSL Season 2025 - Full Overview and Conclusion8Weekly Cups (Jan 5-11): Clem wins big offline, Trigger upsets4$21,000 Rongyi Cup Season 3 announced (Jan 22-Feb 7)20Weekly Cups (Dec 29-Jan 4): Protoss rolls, 2v2 returns7
StarCraft 2
General
StarCraft 2 not at the Esports World Cup 2026 [Short Story] The Last GSL Oliveira Would Have Returned If EWC Continued Stellar Fest "01" Jersey Charity Auction PhD study /w SC2 - help with a survey!
Tourneys
$21,000 Rongyi Cup Season 3 announced (Jan 22-Feb 7) OSC Season 13 World Championship $70 Prize Pool Ladder Legends Academy Weekly Open! SC2 All-Star Invitational: Jan 17-18 Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament
Strategy
Simple Questions Simple Answers
Custom Maps
[A] Starcraft Sound Mod
External Content
Mutation # 509 Doomsday Report Mutation # 508 Violent Night Mutation # 507 Well Trained Mutation # 506 Warp Zone
Brood War
General
Fantasy's Q&A video BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ [ASL21] Potential Map Candidates BW General Discussion Gypsy to Korea
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues Azhi's Colosseum - Season 2 Small VOD Thread 2.0 [BSL21] Non-Korean Championship - Starts Jan 10
Strategy
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Current Meta Soma's 9 hatch build from ASL Game 2 Game Theory for Starcraft
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread Battle Aces/David Kim RTS Megathread Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Beyond All Reason Awesome Games Done Quick 2026!
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Vanilla Mini Mafia Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Canadian Politics Mega-thread NASA and the Private Sector Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine
Fan Clubs
The herO Fan Club! The IdrA Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread [Manga] One Piece
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
How Esports Advertising Shap…
TrAiDoS
My 2025 Magic: The Gathering…
DARKING
Life Update and thoughts.
FuDDx
How do archons sleep?
8882
James Bond movies ranking - pa…
Topin
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1368 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 60

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 58 59 60 61 62 78 Next
Sabu113
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States11075 Posts
October 26 2013 01:59 GMT
#1181
Argh. Cmon Nani Not looking good so far.
Biomine is a drunken chick who is on industrial strength amphetamines and would just grab your dick and jerk it as hard and violently as she could while screaming 'OMG FUCK ME', because she saw it in a Sasha Grey video ...-Wombat_Ni
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18198 Posts
October 26 2013 01:59 GMT
#1182
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 03:48:08
October 26 2013 02:04 GMT
#1183
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).



And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.
9-BiT
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
United States1089 Posts
October 26 2013 04:57 GMT
#1184
God damn it oz T___________T
kwark_uk: @father_sc learn to play maybe?
Taf the Ghost
Profile Joined December 2010
United States11751 Posts
October 26 2013 05:59 GMT
#1185
Naniwa isn't looking all that bad.

Not-Hack & Not-Genius come out of Groups A & B, then if Not-Trap comes out of C & Duckdeok out of D, and he's pretty much much assured in. If that played out, he'd just need someone to beat Trap.

I still think Naniwa will make it to Blizzcon, but it will be close. 59% really does seem the odds, at this moment.

Granted, I'm pulling for MC to make a finals run. He seems to be feeling it.

Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 26 2013 06:01 GMT
#1186
On October 26 2013 14:59 Taf the Ghost wrote:
Naniwa isn't looking all that bad.

Not-Hack & Not-Genius come out of Groups A & B, then if Not-Trap comes out of C & Duckdeok out of D, and he's pretty much much assured in. If that played out, he'd just need someone to beat Trap.

I still think Naniwa will make it to Blizzcon, but it will be close. 59% really does seem the odds, at this moment.

Granted, I'm pulling for MC to make a finals run. He seems to be feeling it.


Oz only needs to win his Ro8 match and NaNiwa's already confirmed not in the Ro16 at BlizzCon. He'll be in the Ro17 (a bo5 against Revival to make it to the Ro16)
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 06:03 GMT
#1187
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Garnet
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Vietnam9033 Posts
October 26 2013 06:05 GMT
#1188
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 16:51:19
October 26 2013 06:10 GMT
#1189
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have Blizzcon spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 26 2013 06:11 GMT
#1190
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

The biggest ones for the NaNiwa fans to root against and the biggest ones for the NaNiwa anti-fans to root for are showcased here:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


AKA everyone below him in the Season 3 finals. :D
Nine Gates
Profile Joined November 2012
Finland198 Posts
October 26 2013 11:17 GMT
#1191
Now here's a chilling thought: Assume Oz is eliminated in the quarterfinals. Then set the finals as Trap vs Dear. Cause for travesty, no?
1112345678999
Garnet
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Vietnam9033 Posts
October 26 2013 13:26 GMT
#1192
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 15:37:44
October 26 2013 13:35 GMT
#1193
On October 26 2013 22:26 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?

Of course he meant BlizzCon. Nothing else makes sense. D:

Also if you read this before your next update, Die4Ever, remember to decrease sample size.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 16:51 GMT
#1194
On October 26 2013 22:26 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?

yea I have no idea why I put WS EU. I was tired I guess
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
MrLightning
Profile Joined September 2013
306 Posts
October 26 2013 17:02 GMT
#1195
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 26 2013 17:04 GMT
#1196
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
October 26 2013 17:19 GMT
#1197
On October 27 2013 02:04 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit

yea, he didn't sleep for 1 month not 2
"Expert" mods4ever.com
BaneRiders
Profile Joined August 2013
Sweden3630 Posts
October 26 2013 17:19 GMT
#1198
On October 27 2013 02:04 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit


I think he is talking about Chuck Norris tbh, but then again, if Chuck Norris was sick and didn't sleep for 2 months, he'd still be able to go all in with 3 probes* and win within 57 seconds.

*Yes, Chuck Norris is Toss and yes, his probes' Kung Fu is stronk.
Earth, Water, Air and Protoss!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17725 Posts
October 26 2013 17:30 GMT
#1199
Update posted with most recent results, the first 3 matches in each group played.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 17:32 GMT
#1200
~61.5% not bad for Naniwa considering how yesterday started. Oz is really shooting up there though
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Prev 1 58 59 60 61 62 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
The PiG Daily
21:20
Best Games of SC
ByuN vs Solar
herO vs Classic
Reynor vs Cure
Solar vs herO
PiGStarcraft708
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
PiGStarcraft708
Nathanias 136
CosmosSc2 107
StarCraft: Brood War
Shuttle 107
Dota 2
420jenkins809
syndereN509
League of Legends
C9.Mang0125
Counter-Strike
allub263
minikerr18
Super Smash Bros
Mew2King50
AZ_Axe43
Other Games
tarik_tv14732
gofns11565
Grubby2156
summit1g873
DeMusliM420
shahzam314
mouzStarbuck226
ViBE106
KnowMe88
ZombieGrub53
Liquid`Ken10
Organizations
StarCraft 2
angryscii 33
Other Games
BasetradeTV1
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 18 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• musti20045 31
• davetesta28
• RyuSc2 17
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• sooper7s
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Laughngamez YouTube
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• RayReign 31
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
• BSLYoutube
League of Legends
• Doublelift3280
Other Games
• imaqtpie2057
• Scarra671
Upcoming Events
Replay Cast
11m
CranKy Ducklings0
RongYI Cup
11h 11m
SHIN vs Creator
Classic vs Percival
OSC
13h 11m
BSL 21
15h 11m
RongYI Cup
1d 11h
Maru vs Cyan
Solar vs Krystianer
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
1d 12h
BSL 21
1d 15h
Wardi Open
2 days
Monday Night Weeklies
2 days
OSC
3 days
[ Show More ]
WardiTV Invitational
3 days
WardiTV Invitational
4 days
The PondCast
5 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-01-20
OSC Championship Season 13
NA Kuram Kup

Ongoing

C-Race Season 1
BSL 21 Non-Korean Championship
CSL 2025 WINTER (S19)
KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 1
Rongyi Cup S3
Underdog Cup #3
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual
eXTREMESLAND 2025
SL Budapest Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 8
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025

Upcoming

Acropolis #4 - TS4
Escore Tournament S1: W6
Escore Tournament S1: W7
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
uThermal 2v2 2026 Main Event
Bellum Gens Elite Stara Zagora 2026
HSC XXVIII
Nations Cup 2026
Tektek Cup #1
PGL Bucharest 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 1
BLAST Open Spring 2026
ESL Pro League Season 23
ESL Pro League Season 23
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.