• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 15:45
CEST 21:45
KST 04:45
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL21] Ro24 Preview Pt2: News Flash9[ASL21] Ro24 Preview Pt1: New Chaos0Team Liquid Map Contest #22 - Presented by Monster Energy16ByuL: The Forgotten Master of ZvT30Behind the Blue - Team Liquid History Book20
Community News
Weekly Cups (March 23-29): herO takes triple6Aligulac acquired by REPLAYMAN.com/Stego Research8Weekly Cups (March 16-22): herO doubles, Cure surprises3Blizzard Classic Cup @ BlizzCon 2026 - $100k prize pool49Weekly Cups (March 9-15): herO, Clem, ByuN win4
StarCraft 2
General
What mix of new & old maps do you want in the next ladder pool? (SC2) Team Liquid Map Contest #22 - Presented by Monster Energy Aligulac acquired by REPLAYMAN.com/Stego Research Weekly Cups (March 23-29): herO takes triple herO wins SC2 All-Star Invitational
Tourneys
RSL Season 4 announced for March-April Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament StarCraft Evolution League (SC Evo Biweekly) WardiTV Mondays World University TeamLeague (500$+) | Signups Open
Strategy
Custom Maps
[M] (2) Frigid Storage Publishing has been re-enabled! [Feb 24th 2026]
External Content
Mutation # 519 Inner Power The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 518 Radiation Zone Mutation # 517 Distant Threat
Brood War
General
Pros React To: JaeDong vs Queen Gypsy to Korea How Can I Add Timer & APM Count? [ASL21] Ro24 Preview Pt2: News Flash ASL21 General Discussion
Tourneys
[ASL21] Ro24 Group E [Megathread] Daily Proleagues [ASL21] Ro24 Group F Azhi's Colosseum - Foreign KCM
Strategy
Fighting Spirit mining rates What's the deal with APM & what's its true value Simple Questions, Simple Answers
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Starcraft Tabletop Miniature Game General RTS Discussion Thread Darkest Dungeon
Dota 2
The Story of Wings Gaming Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
G2 just beat GenG in First stand
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas TL Mafia Community Thread Five o'clock TL Mafia
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread NASA and the Private Sector Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Canadian Politics Mega-thread
Fan Clubs
The IdrA Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
[Req][Books] Good Fantasy/SciFi books [Manga] One Piece Movie Discussion!
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion Cricket [SPORT] Tokyo Olympics 2021 Thread General nutrition recommendations
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
[G] How to Block Livestream Ads
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
Funny Nicknames
LUCKY_NOOB
Money Laundering In Video Ga…
TrAiDoS
Iranian anarchists: organize…
XenOsky
FS++
Kraekkling
Shocked by a laser…
Spydermine0240
ASL S21 English Commentary…
namkraft
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 2562 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 60

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 58 59 60 61 62 78 Next
Sabu113
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States11076 Posts
October 26 2013 01:59 GMT
#1181
Argh. Cmon Nani Not looking good so far.
Biomine is a drunken chick who is on industrial strength amphetamines and would just grab your dick and jerk it as hard and violently as she could while screaming 'OMG FUCK ME', because she saw it in a Sasha Grey video ...-Wombat_Ni
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18250 Posts
October 26 2013 01:59 GMT
#1182
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 03:48:08
October 26 2013 02:04 GMT
#1183
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).



And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.
9-BiT
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
United States1089 Posts
October 26 2013 04:57 GMT
#1184
God damn it oz T___________T
kwark_uk: @father_sc learn to play maybe?
Taf the Ghost
Profile Joined December 2010
United States11751 Posts
October 26 2013 05:59 GMT
#1185
Naniwa isn't looking all that bad.

Not-Hack & Not-Genius come out of Groups A & B, then if Not-Trap comes out of C & Duckdeok out of D, and he's pretty much much assured in. If that played out, he'd just need someone to beat Trap.

I still think Naniwa will make it to Blizzcon, but it will be close. 59% really does seem the odds, at this moment.

Granted, I'm pulling for MC to make a finals run. He seems to be feeling it.

Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 26 2013 06:01 GMT
#1186
On October 26 2013 14:59 Taf the Ghost wrote:
Naniwa isn't looking all that bad.

Not-Hack & Not-Genius come out of Groups A & B, then if Not-Trap comes out of C & Duckdeok out of D, and he's pretty much much assured in. If that played out, he'd just need someone to beat Trap.

I still think Naniwa will make it to Blizzcon, but it will be close. 59% really does seem the odds, at this moment.

Granted, I'm pulling for MC to make a finals run. He seems to be feeling it.


Oz only needs to win his Ro8 match and NaNiwa's already confirmed not in the Ro16 at BlizzCon. He'll be in the Ro17 (a bo5 against Revival to make it to the Ro16)
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 06:03 GMT
#1187
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Garnet
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Vietnam9036 Posts
October 26 2013 06:05 GMT
#1188
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 16:51:19
October 26 2013 06:10 GMT
#1189
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have Blizzcon spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 26 2013 06:11 GMT
#1190
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

The biggest ones for the NaNiwa fans to root against and the biggest ones for the NaNiwa anti-fans to root for are showcased here:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


AKA everyone below him in the Season 3 finals. :D
Nine Gates
Profile Joined November 2012
Finland198 Posts
October 26 2013 11:17 GMT
#1191
Now here's a chilling thought: Assume Oz is eliminated in the quarterfinals. Then set the finals as Trap vs Dear. Cause for travesty, no?
1112345678999
Garnet
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Vietnam9036 Posts
October 26 2013 13:26 GMT
#1192
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-26 15:37:44
October 26 2013 13:35 GMT
#1193
On October 26 2013 22:26 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?

Of course he meant BlizzCon. Nothing else makes sense. D:

Also if you read this before your next update, Die4Ever, remember to decrease sample size.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 16:51 GMT
#1194
On October 26 2013 22:26 Garnet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 15:10 Shellshock wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:05 Garnet wrote:
On October 26 2013 15:03 Shellshock wrote:
Biggest ones for Naniwa fans to root against tomorrow should be soO and then Dear I would think

what exactly should we be rooting for?

if you want Naniwa to go to blizzcon you should root for people who already have WCS EU spots locked up. Polt or Soulkey in A, MMA or Jaedong in B, HerO in C, duckdeok in D

by "WCS EU" you mean "Blizzcon"?

yea I have no idea why I put WS EU. I was tired I guess
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
MrLightning
Profile Joined September 2013
306 Posts
October 26 2013 17:02 GMT
#1195
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 26 2013 17:04 GMT
#1196
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17727 Posts
October 26 2013 17:19 GMT
#1197
On October 27 2013 02:04 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit

yea, he didn't sleep for 1 month not 2
"Expert" mods4ever.com
BaneRiders
Profile Joined August 2013
Sweden3630 Posts
October 26 2013 17:19 GMT
#1198
On October 27 2013 02:04 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2013 02:02 MrLightning wrote:
On October 26 2013 11:04 Elite_ wrote:
On October 26 2013 10:59 Acrofales wrote:
So with MC beating Hack, just have to have Polt or Soulkey do the same... and either of them really should (despite Polt somehow losing a TvT in the first game).

https://twitter.com/CMStormPolt/status/393828374281347072

And with Oz topping Dear, both NaNiwa and Revival's chances dropped dramatically.


This is so silly. The finals should only happen when Polt is feeling 100%. They should have planned ahead and got Polt to the doctor to see how he was feeling. If he is sick they should rescheduled the whole thing to better accommodate Polt's biological condition. I mean Polt is not just any old guy. He is the best video game player in the universe. Failures like this are simply unacceptable. It is obvious that no one can beat Polt if he 100% ready. I actually would not be surprised if Polt made himself sick and not slept for two months before the tournament to even out the competition and make some sort of a challenge for himself. Otherwise he would have beaten hack in 10 minutes, which is very impressive considering that the ad breaks were 3 minutes in a BO3.

you might be exaggerating a bit


I think he is talking about Chuck Norris tbh, but then again, if Chuck Norris was sick and didn't sleep for 2 months, he'd still be able to go all in with 3 probes* and win within 57 seconds.

*Yes, Chuck Norris is Toss and yes, his probes' Kung Fu is stronk.
Earth, Water, Air and Protoss!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17727 Posts
October 26 2013 17:30 GMT
#1199
Update posted with most recent results, the first 3 matches in each group played.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 26 2013 17:32 GMT
#1200
~61.5% not bad for Naniwa considering how yesterday started. Oz is really shooting up there though
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Prev 1 58 59 60 61 62 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
BSL
19:00
S22 - Open Qualifier #5
ZZZero.O59
LiquipediaDiscussion
Ladder Legends
18:00
Amateur Showdown #3
Liquipedia
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
elazer 199
JuggernautJason123
ProTech122
SpeCial 93
EmSc Tv 24
PattyMac 3
StarCraft: Brood War
Britney 25582
Mini 253
Soulkey 155
Dewaltoss 143
firebathero 79
sorry 75
ZZZero.O 64
yabsab 23
IntoTheRainbow 11
Dota 2
420jenkins445
LuMiX1
Counter-Strike
byalli79
Heroes of the Storm
Liquid`Hasu447
Khaldor363
Other Games
summit1g2972
Grubby2211
FrodaN1654
Hui .131
Trikslyr45
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick1268
StarCraft 2
angryscii 36
EmSc Tv 24
EmSc2Tv 24
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 20 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• printf 56
• Freeedom8
• davetesta7
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• sooper7s
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Migwel
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
StarCraft: Brood War
• blackmanpl 30
• RayReign 23
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
• BSLYoutube
Dota 2
• C_a_k_e 3171
• lizZardDota284
Other Games
• imaqtpie882
• WagamamaTV420
• Shiphtur207
Upcoming Events
RSL Revival
11h 15m
Cure vs Rogue
Maru vs TBD
MaxPax vs TBD
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
18h 15m
BSL
23h 15m
Afreeca Starleague
1d 14h
Wardi Open
1d 14h
Replay Cast
2 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
2 days
Kung Fu Cup
3 days
The PondCast
4 days
Replay Cast
5 days
[ Show More ]
Replay Cast
6 days
CranKy Ducklings
6 days
BSL
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Escore Tournament S2: W1
WardiTV Winter 2026
NationLESS Cup

Ongoing

BSL Season 22
CSL Elite League 2026
ASL Season 21
CSL Season 20: Qualifier 2
StarCraft2 Community Team League 2026 Spring
RSL Revival: Season 4
Nations Cup 2026
PGL Bucharest 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 1
BLAST Open Spring 2026
ESL Pro League S23 Finals
ESL Pro League S23 Stage 1&2
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026

Upcoming

CSL 2026 SPRING (S20)
IPSL Spring 2026
Acropolis #4
BSL 22 Non-Korean Championship
CSLAN 4
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
HSC XXIX
uThermal 2v2 2026 Main Event
IEM Cologne Major 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 2
CS Asia Championships 2026
Asian Champions League 2026
IEM Atlanta 2026
PGL Astana 2026
BLAST Rivals Spring 2026
CCT Season 3 Global Finals
IEM Rio 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.