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Race balance last 6 months. - Page 12

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Sqq
Profile Joined August 2010
Norway2023 Posts
May 02 2011 21:15 GMT
#221
The PvZ one just seems wrong. Before IdrA had his weird run this past week or two, I can't recall seing a lot of Zergs beating Protoss.
Dead girls don't say no.
Yoshi Kirishima
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States10364 Posts
May 02 2011 21:25 GMT
#222
Just data, remember not to take this and make a quick assumption or anything ^_^

The number of players and tournaments in Korea is much lower, so therefore these numbers are more volatile.


How do you know this? It's a bit ignorant of you to say that, unless you also are very close with the Korean scene. Just because we don't get too many news or posts here on TL or in the western world in general, it doesn't mean they don't have many tournaments or players.
Mid-master streaming MECH ONLY + commentary www.twitch.tv/yoshikirishima +++ "If all-in fails, all-in again."
thebole1
Profile Joined April 2011
Serbia126 Posts
May 02 2011 21:29 GMT
#223
simpy game is .... i think that unites should conter unites not i need fungel to conter mass marines or TS ... i think this game shouldt be like wc3 with hard conter(mass dps is hurting game) unites should conter unites and game would be easy balanced...

ofc some additionall dps from other unites would be great but if something have 2 high dps

for exemple colloss have hudge dps they should be easyer to kill they dont sufer enaph treet (it should easyer get killed by normal ground unites...) also Stimed MMM and banglings...

User was warned for this post
Ruyguy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada988 Posts
May 02 2011 21:31 GMT
#224
Cool data man. It's nice to see from the North American side that all the matchups seem to be hovering around 50% win/loss ratio. TvZ in Korea seems to be a little more one sided still haha.
TheBanana
Profile Joined December 2010
Norway2183 Posts
May 02 2011 21:34 GMT
#225
On May 03 2011 06:15 Sqq wrote:
The PvZ one just seems wrong. Before IdrA had his weird run this past week or two, I can't recall seing a lot of Zergs beating Protoss.


Looking at idra, his last 40 games in the TLPD he is 20-20, a clean 50%.
Overall 34-29 53,97%.
So I don't think he is skewing the stats like some are suggesting.

I recall for instance Nerchio, Happy and Stephano winning lots.
They are bound to have been winning vs Protoss as well.
If you're not getting better faster than everybody else, you're getting worse.
Sablar
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Sweden880 Posts
May 02 2011 21:35 GMT
#226
On May 03 2011 06:25 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
Just data, remember not to take this and make a quick assumption or anything ^_^

Show nested quote +
The number of players and tournaments in Korea is much lower, so therefore these numbers are more volatile.


How do you know this? It's a bit ignorant of you to say that, unless you also are very close with the Korean scene. Just because we don't get too many news or posts here on TL or in the western world in general, it doesn't mean they don't have many tournaments or players.


OP says it's from TLDP and there aren't a lot of games there. But of course there is a difference in the number of players and tournaments shown and number of players and tournaments that there isn't any data for. I guess it could mean any of the two.

Great job putting the numbers together anyway and it's really interesting. The only thing I'm missing is something like N per month.
TheBanana
Profile Joined December 2010
Norway2183 Posts
May 02 2011 21:38 GMT
#227
On May 03 2011 06:25 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
Just data, remember not to take this and make a quick assumption or anything ^_^

Show nested quote +
The number of players and tournaments in Korea is much lower, so therefore these numbers are more volatile.


How do you know this? It's a bit ignorant of you to say that, unless you also are very close with the Korean scene. Just because we don't get too many news or posts here on TL or in the western world in general, it doesn't mean they don't have many tournaments or players.


One way of knowing this is that the Koreans players have stated this numerous of times in interviews. There are very few tournaments besides GSL in KR.
If you're not getting better faster than everybody else, you're getting worse.
fraktoasters
Profile Joined January 2011
United States617 Posts
May 02 2011 21:39 GMT
#228
On May 03 2011 05:38 DragonDefonce wrote:
Considering the amount of zerg QQ in the korean forums, the PvZ in korea is quite surprising to me. Also pretty ridiculous how badly P did in april in korea.


Yeah they did SO bad that the highest any Protoss got was 3rd and 4th in the World Championship and before that there were 3 Protosses in the top 4 of GSL March, with a Protoss winning the thing.

I feel like I'm taking crazy pills reading this thread.
RemrafGrez
Profile Joined November 2010
United States180 Posts
May 02 2011 21:45 GMT
#229
Scary statistics in Korea. So the higher the skill and the more experience, the better Zerg is doing and the worse Protoss... at least by the numbers. Can we have amulet back yet?
00Visor
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
4337 Posts
May 02 2011 21:49 GMT
#230
On May 03 2011 06:15 Sqq wrote:
The PvZ one just seems wrong. Before IdrA had his weird run this past week or two, I can't recall seing a lot of Zergs beating Protoss.


Thats why its better to look at actual statisticts and not guess on our own valuation.
RemrafGrez
Profile Joined November 2010
United States180 Posts
May 02 2011 21:52 GMT
#231
On May 03 2011 00:03 Mailing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2011 00:00 hmunkey wrote:
Another thing to note is that key protoss players like MC have been knocked into up/down in GSL, so they haven't really had many games in Korea lately. Since the KR TLPD is based almost all on GSL, that means there are basically no protoss games to chart.

So what we have are dozens of terran games and maybe 4 protoss matches.



Though it does seem weird, why would korean protoss fail so hard yet european and NA protoss are fine after the infestor buff?

It's not like korean zerg are even using infestors more often.


Maybe it's because Korean Zergs and Terrans are more aggressive. Everybody knows to put pressure on Zerg, but they should also put pressure on Protoss.
Br3ezy
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States720 Posts
May 02 2011 21:53 GMT
#232
lets see terrans qq about this
Check out my guide to mechanics http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=319876
Uhh Negative
Profile Joined May 2010
United States1090 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-02 21:54:27
May 02 2011 21:53 GMT
#233
On May 03 2011 06:45 RemrafGrez wrote:
Scary statistics in Korea. So the higher the skill and the more experience, the better Zerg is doing and the worse Protoss... at least by the numbers. Can we have amulet back yet?

You can't really conclude that. It may be true, but there's not enough data to support that claim yet. I'd love to see Protoss get amulet back along with a +light nerf to collosus. It's been needed for a long time. Collosus is just too good against anything on the ground. Period. There is little reason to use immortals over collosus. It would make the game more interesting, IMO. It would add some choice.
Etrnity
Profile Joined November 2010
United States88 Posts
May 02 2011 21:55 GMT
#234
Generally I'm a stickler for managing the omitted variable bias in statistics posts, but I must say you've done a really good job here. I love the fact that you removed mirror for bias, you've accounted for time period differences, you've taken into account the differences in sample size, and you have limited the data to tournaments only (where purpose is defined). I feel as if the other variables that would skew the data, such as skill of the player, is not only subject to personal bias, but can also be offensive to the players. I would love to see some regression analysis of this data to show if the differences in percentages is significant, but what you have done is really good, and I just wanted to share this compliment.

Also, if you wouldn't mind adding in lines for the patch adjustments I think that would be amazing. I doubt that there is much significance in the patches and changes in the percentages, but who knows? I think it would be a fun exercise, and eye candy for a lot of folks! :D
RemrafGrez
Profile Joined November 2010
United States180 Posts
May 02 2011 21:58 GMT
#235
On May 03 2011 00:17 dismiss wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2011 00:11 57 Corvette wrote:
Hmm, seems Protoss is having a hard time recently in Korea.


And for all those who say "XvX Matchup is Imba!", look at the International stats. They are currently all pretty much at 50%w/L ratio. So shut up, this game isn't Imba in any way shape or form at this time.

The problem with these statistics is that they take neither the different maps nor the the difference in playskill into account, which, at least in my opinion, is much bigger in the foreign scene than in the GSL. So a matchup might look "more balanced" than it actually is due to a few top players beating worse players over and over.


The different maps? What happened to Protoss being better on big maps?Sounds like the bandwagon was wrong on that. So if Terran are OP on small maps, and Protoss are doing worse than ever on big maps... what now?
Let it Raine
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada1245 Posts
May 02 2011 22:08 GMT
#236
8000 games for non korean scene

1000 games for korean scene

mlg wasn't included, a tournament where protosses dominated in many bo3's.

this is why the korean graph is so crazy looking.
Grandmaster Zerg x14. Diamond 1 LoL. MLG 50, Halo 3. Raine.
Barca
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States418 Posts
May 02 2011 22:21 GMT
#237
Love the excuses people are making up to justify their belief that Protoss is OP.

People are just so defensive.
- I hate threads that end with "Thoughts?" -
Uhhmm
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden19 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-02 22:44:30
May 02 2011 22:25 GMT
#238
Gigaudas
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Sweden1213 Posts
May 02 2011 22:34 GMT
#239
On May 03 2011 07:21 Barca wrote:
Love the excuses people are making up to justify their belief that Protoss is OP.

People are just so defensive.


Still, it's important to note that Zerg doesn't have a 70% win rate over Protoss over hundreds of games. It's just one month and looking at the months before that we should expect the average win percentage to go towards 50/50 with more games played.
I
biskit
Profile Joined August 2010
Australia355 Posts
May 02 2011 22:45 GMT
#240
It's encouraging to see the international chart is trending to be close to balance. On the other hand, I fear that it will follow a similar pattern to the Korean chart in the future. I don't know other people definition of balance but my definition is the ratio of each race in GSL Code S. And the trend seems to show there will be more Terrans than ever before.
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