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SC2 Ladder Analysis: Division Tiers - Page 22

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Deleted User 61629
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
1664 Posts
December 01 2010 11:57 GMT
#421
--- Nuked ---
Emperor_Earth
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States824 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-01 12:06:06
December 01 2010 12:03 GMT
#422
On December 01 2010 20:52 Inori wrote:
Not gonna waste time for the quotes, so I'll just write as I read.

System aim is to have me in a division with more or less equally skilled players. I'm not good I know, but if I can get to top350 of US and I'm #70 in my division, this means one of the two things:
1.) My divsion is S-classed, stacked with very skilled players and amongst them I'm #70.
2.) System is failing.
Since my division isn't S-class, it's 2.

Activity != skill, yes. But the higher the person is ranked the more chances are that he's skilled.


I pulled #1 in 90% out of thin air, yes, but I'm quite sure that in 18k diamond divisions in europe, there's a lot where 2k rated player is in at least top5.

Yeah, sorry, I wasn't accurate. Actually top10 in my division is 2622+.

People in top200 shift a lot. Last I checked I saw somebody at #15 from my div in EU top200, so I assumed it stayed that way. Now I rechecked, it's actually top10 and I changed that. Doesn't really change the fact that if top10 of a division is in EU top200, it's stacked.


I think we've come to an understanding that was long delayed by my hostility towards my incorrect perception of an ignorant air of superiority from you. I thought you were saying something you weren't and was arguing with your imaginary diabolical twin.

Regarding that quote by quote post, I started it before you posted your other bits just as you may have posted your reply before realizing there was another reply... and I left that aggression standing to show my stance at that time. Prior posts don't necessarily reflect my current disposition, I just won't try to erase tracks cause I made a mistake.

I'll leave further debate along this line to PM form to not derail this thread any further.
@Emperor_Earth ------- "Amat Victoria Curam."
hephaestos
Profile Joined September 2010
France54 Posts
December 01 2010 12:11 GMT
#423
I don't see how you can say that the problem is the rank of the divisions Inori. Would you be in a S-rank division, you would still be far from the top200 (800 or so using the EU master league tool) and you are 1023th with the 126 points removed due to you division being B-rank. How can you tell that this difference in rank is undue, only from your experience on NA ladder ? Sure, the gap seems big with you being 350th on NA, but it is still big when you consider you are S-rank.
Emperor_Earth
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States824 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-01 12:20:22
December 01 2010 12:19 GMT
#424
On December 01 2010 21:11 hephaestos wrote:
I don't see how you can say that the problem is the rank of the divisions Inori. Would you be in a S-rank division, you would still be far from the top200 (800 or so using the EU master league tool) and you are 1023th with the 126 points removed due to you division being B-rank. How can you tell that this difference in rank is undue, only from your experience on NA ladder ? Sure, the gap seems big with you being 350th on NA, but it is still big when you consider you are S-rank.

Is there some way to see how many EU players there are compared to NA?

With 700 mill in EU in 2000 and 300 in US in 2000, I'd imagine there are about 1.8x ppl in EU than USA. Does this ratio hold in the SC2 world?

If so, then ~700 rank in EU ~= 350 rank in NA.

This would support the idea that EU > NA in skill.
Also, what division are the newest players in the 1000-1100 range mostly get placed into? I suspect it'll be S/A Diamond Divisions.

*** The idea is that raw #s don't matter as much as %'s imo.
@Emperor_Earth ------- "Amat Victoria Curam."
Deleted User 61629
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
1664 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-01 12:29:18
December 01 2010 12:28 GMT
#425
--- Nuked ---
Emperor_Earth
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States824 Posts
December 01 2010 12:32 GMT
#426
On December 01 2010 21:28 Inori wrote:Total: 2,197,913, Russia: 75,991, Taiwan: 124,735, SE Asia: 104,806, Europe: 630,850, Korea: 381,713, NA: 843,080, Latin America: 36,738


Wow^^ I have no way to back you up on this. Sorry buddy.
@Emperor_Earth ------- "Amat Victoria Curam."
Lalgee
Profile Joined August 2010
United Kingdom65 Posts
December 01 2010 17:35 GMT
#427
On December 01 2010 08:05 Excalibur_Z wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 01 2010 07:50 Lalgee wrote:
The EU data surely can't be right. That would mean my division has a modifier of AT LEAST 450pts, as SypherFeast has 2835pts and is not appearing on the top 200..


Going back in LoCo (#200)'s history, it looks like he had 2719 points at the time of the snapshot. He's in Char Xi which is a +252 division, putting his adjusted rating at 2467. If SypherFeast had 2835 at the time of the snapshot (which I don't think he did, he's gained at least 70 points since yesterday but the time of the EU snapshot is not known), then he's probably in a +315 or +378 division. I don't see any evidence of an 8th tier.


No, he hadn't played in a while. He had like 60 bonus points, played last night and is now at 2925 points. Like top 10 in EU on points? lol
"That's Lal-Genius"
SDream
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Brazil896 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-01 18:53:11
December 01 2010 17:53 GMT
#428
Blizzard says at their Top 200:

The top 200 1v1 players are determined across divisions by comparing their relative rankings and skill, while meeting certain requirements, such as ensuring that they're active.


These requirements are probably the reason for some people that should be in TOP 200 (applying our math) not being there. After some thought I only have 1 valid requirement in mind: a MMR greater than X.

I hope that next monday we can confirm that there are people that "should" be there but isn't, then I will be pretty sure that MMR > X is a requirement.

X might be:

1) The Y best MMR (200? 400?). So Blizzard only sort them by points.

2) The Z% best MMR. (1%? 5%?)

3) A static number, like 2000 MMR.

-----------------
Using the MMR to make an inicial cut would make sense in a "TOP 200" point of view. Also, the "ensuring that they're active" part could simple be the points. If you don't play, your MMR won't decrease, but you won't spend your bonus points, nor gain more points, so you'll decrease in a competitive server.
Excalibur_Z
Profile Joined October 2002
United States12248 Posts
December 01 2010 18:34 GMT
#429
On December 01 2010 19:35 Emperor_Earth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 01 2010 19:32 shannn wrote:
On December 01 2010 19:18 Emperor_Earth wrote:
On December 01 2010 19:09 shannn wrote:
On December 01 2010 18:48 Emperor_Earth wrote:
On December 01 2010 17:44 Inori wrote:
This system is complete BS and fails at even doing what it was supposed to do (which is also BS).
So I'm in division Reaper Gravity EU, which is #4 most active division in the world. #60 in my division would be #1 in 90% of other EU divisions. To get into top10 you must be 2600+ rated. Top15 of our division are in EU top200. One would think that such a division is prime example of S class. Well, nope, according to this retarded system, it's B.


If anything, this is perfect evidence that the system is correctly working.

To start, can we agree that activity != skill?

If we can accept the previous supposition, can we further accept that MMR != shown rating?

If we can accept the previous supposition, can we further accept that if your division is B rating, then the MMR of players in your B division is much lower than those in S divisions.

If we can accept all the previous suppositions, we further continue as follows:




You feel that people in your division are deserving of high ranks that the system is giving them via high ranks in their division.

But the reality is that they're pisspoor players compared to those in S rated divisions. (They're also way better than the norm.) So the system is correctly giving people in B divisions the illusion of being good while correctly displacing them from the top 200.

The system is correctly encouraging you to play more deluding you into thinking you can advance higher and higher.

Carrot: Top 200 list
Horse: You

* Dangle * Dangle

Sorry if it's a bit brutal




The only weakness I see is the scenario where a B teamer becomes good enough to deserve to be in a S Diamond division.

The only real way to change divisions then is to tank to demote, then win at an absurd rate to regain your true MMR. Hopefully you can delay promotion long enough to get a high enough MMR to be in a decent division.

Oddly enough, this is exactly OPPOSITE what people were doing when they tried to game the system back at release. Oh situational irony, how I love thee.

Are you implying it's hard to get promoted to an S class division?
I was promoted after around 30 games to Norad Phi on EU (A rank division).

I don't know if Excalibur can explain this to me or anyone else but does promoting to a high division means u start with low rating with lots of bonus pool points and promoting to low division means high rating with less bonus pool points?

Maybe this has something to do with the division modifier? I got promoted to Norad Phi with 450 rating~ with about 1k bonus pool points while my practice partners got promoted to a lower division with 1500rating and only 400 bonus pool points~. I don't know if this is some kind of hint about the amount of division tiers but maybe I just want to see this pattern ><

To start, I'm nowhere near Excalibur Z on my understanding of the ladder system.

But, as I understand it:

S >>> A
+ Show Spoiler +
Self-explanatory
It takes much longer to confirm you belong in S, much shorter that you belong in A.

First because it's a higher skill level.

Second because there's less available S level players to confirm your skill level vs. The next point relates to this in greater detail.


Timing of laddering
+ Show Spoiler +
If you're laddering at times where there's not many ppl near your true MMR online, they system will have a hard time confirming your actual MMR curve.

If Team USA keeps playing my high school basketball team, it's going to take about 100 games before I'm truly convinced that Team USA is pretty damn good, while it would only take 5 games if they were to play against say Team Spain.

The availability of people in your true MMR range should play a role in how quickly you get placed if my logic is sound and based on sound starting points^^

Yea I understand that S > A which also means it takes longer if u belong in S or A. But I don't necessaril asked whether a person should be placed into S or A ranked division or w/e rank division you are. But rather the rating u start with when promoting a person into a certain division.
If I should rephrase it to make it more understandable then is there some kind of reasoning why you get less rating or higher rating when being promoted in a division? Does this have something to do with division modifier?


Ooh, never thought of that. Let's ask Excalibur Z. :D

Rephrase of shannn's question:
Does your new rating immediately post-promotion get affected by the division modifier?


I would have to guess that it does. I mean, it would have to.
Moderator
Excalibur_Z
Profile Joined October 2002
United States12248 Posts
December 01 2010 18:40 GMT
#430
On December 02 2010 02:35 Lalgee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 01 2010 08:05 Excalibur_Z wrote:
On December 01 2010 07:50 Lalgee wrote:
The EU data surely can't be right. That would mean my division has a modifier of AT LEAST 450pts, as SypherFeast has 2835pts and is not appearing on the top 200..


Going back in LoCo (#200)'s history, it looks like he had 2719 points at the time of the snapshot. He's in Char Xi which is a +252 division, putting his adjusted rating at 2467. If SypherFeast had 2835 at the time of the snapshot (which I don't think he did, he's gained at least 70 points since yesterday but the time of the EU snapshot is not known), then he's probably in a +315 or +378 division. I don't see any evidence of an 8th tier.


No, he hadn't played in a while. He had like 60 bonus points, played last night and is now at 2925 points. Like top 10 in EU on points? lol


That's not what I was seeing yesterday. SypherFeast had anywhere from 2835 to 2760 points at the time of the snapshot. That means the difference between him and the adjusted rating of LoCo was between 293 and 368 (maybe as high as 378 due to a math error?). Certainly not 441 which would be the next tier.
Moderator
ZerG~LegenD
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Sweden1179 Posts
December 01 2010 18:55 GMT
#431
Tal'Darim Theta appears to have been forgotten in the EU masters list.
Even a broken clock is right twice a day
Antoine
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States7481 Posts
December 01 2010 19:02 GMT
#432
ExcaliburZ your OP was translated into Korean and posted in a newspost over on playxp:
http://www.playxp.com/sc2/news/view.php?article_id=2394241
ModeratorFlash Sea Action Snow Midas | TheStC Ret Tyler MC | RIP 우정호
s.a.y
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
Croatia3840 Posts
December 01 2010 19:29 GMT
#433
On December 02 2010 04:02 Antoine wrote:
ExcaliburZ your OP was translated into Korean and posted in a newspost over on playxp:
http://www.playxp.com/sc2/news/view.php?article_id=2394241


That's so awesome
I am not good with quotes
Excalibur_Z
Profile Joined October 2002
United States12248 Posts
December 01 2010 19:33 GMT
#434
Ah nuts, reading that PlayXP post made me realize that I never linked to the SC2Ranks Masters page or my previous threads. I better fix that :O
Moderator
Dino_Toss
Profile Joined October 2009
Canada13 Posts
December 01 2010 19:37 GMT
#435
question
im 2200 in a bad division tho. its not listed but id say its probably like +189.
does this mean im only about as good as a 2000 person in medivac mu? this doesnt make sesne since i play 2200 level people in A,B,C and S class divisions
GG!
Barbiero
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Brazil5259 Posts
December 01 2010 19:47 GMT
#436
On December 02 2010 04:37 Dino_Toss wrote:
question
im 2200 in a bad division tho. its not listed but id say its probably like +189.
does this mean im only about as good as a 2000 person in medivac mu? this doesnt make sesne since i play 2200 level people in A,B,C and S class divisions


Beeing "as good as" would be a rough definition of the MMR, and since MMR has nothing to do with points, no, that doesn't means anything.

Also, theorically, the more you play ladder the more points you get, but you don't necessarily become "worse" by not playing ladder. And the opposite is true.
♥ The world needs more hearts! ♥
Dino_Toss
Profile Joined October 2009
Canada13 Posts
December 01 2010 19:53 GMT
#437
yea i meant it as in am i considered as having equal points as some1 with 2000 in medivac mu. i mean this kuz like i wana make it to master league and just was curious if this was killing those chances.
GG!
SDream
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Brazil896 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-01 20:22:08
December 01 2010 20:05 GMT
#438
When you say "master league", do you mean the next season master league?

As there is a MMR cut for bronze / silver/ gold / platinun / diamond, there'll probably be another MMR cut for master then grand master league, so you can't calculate it by points.

MMR still exists and still plays a role for telling who's better than who in a way. Right now, it is in leagues, and master and grand master will be new leagues... so...
Dino_Toss
Profile Joined October 2009
Canada13 Posts
December 01 2010 20:11 GMT
#439
i wish they told us our MMRs lol
GG!
Jonas :)
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States511 Posts
December 01 2010 20:35 GMT
#440
This doesn't make sense at all

People that are promoted to diamond division are just learning how to play the game at a reasonably high level. Regardless of whatever super crazy algorithm you think that blizzard has to put better players in better divisions, your hypothesis (and blizzard's algorithm) have no way of taking into account the ability of the players in each division to learn and improve over time relative to each other. Statistically if you put 100 players at random into a divison and compare the rate of improvement of the players in this divison with another division they should be pretty close to each other.

But, you might say, why are there so many good players in some divisons such as medivac alamo or medic mu? Well those are just the players that were able to demonstrate their ability to play at the diamond level to the blizzard matchmaking service the quickest and were correspondingly put in diamond league at about the same time. This means that many good players ended up in the same division.

Here is where your mistake is: unless the blizzard matchmaking service is designed to give the players in these divisions less points for winning the same match against an equal point counterpart in other divisions then there is no way that such a bias could exist
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